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  • ruRussian
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00:00:01
always, I’m Olesya Medvedeva and in this video
00:00:04
we’ll talk about what’s
00:00:06
happening now in the Middle East, what’s
00:00:10
happening now between Israel and Iran,
00:00:14
Saturday night to Sunday Iran launched a
00:00:15
massive strike on Israel in response to an
00:00:17
Israeli strike on Hundreds of missiles
00:00:19
were fired at the Iranian consulate in Damascus.
00:00:21
Drones Israel claims that they
00:00:25
shot down everything, and Western media clarify
00:00:28
that Israel was able to fight off the attack
00:00:30
only with the help of its Western allies. Iran
00:00:33
says that they did not shoot down everything and that there were
00:00:36
flights on Israeli territory. However, the
00:00:38
main question is what will happen next and to
00:00:41
answer it, you first need to
00:00:43
answer another question: will the
00:00:46
United States of America intervene? In
00:00:48
fact, a lot depends on this,
00:00:51
including for the war in Ukraine, the American
00:00:53
media have repeatedly written that the White House and
00:00:56
Washington are very worried about the fact
00:00:58
that Israel can drag them in in the war
00:01:02
against Iran, Israel itself, of course,
00:01:04
never officially designated such a goal,
00:01:06
but nevertheless it is quite
00:01:09
logical that the battles in gas showed that Israel was
00:01:13
unable to destroy the small Hamas in six months,
00:01:16
which has no
00:01:19
air defense systems and almost no heavy
00:01:22
weapons, and in such conditions
00:01:24
the war began Israel, even against the Lebanese
00:01:27
Hezbollah, not to mention Iran, will be a controversial
00:01:29
decision, to put it
00:01:30
mildly; Israel alone,
00:01:33
of course, will not be able to inflict any
00:01:36
significant damage or defeat
00:01:39
Iran unless, of course, it uses nuclear
00:01:42
weapons. But even this, taking into account the relatively
00:01:45
small number of
00:01:59
Israel, is not just pointless it is
00:02:02
destructive Washington has already stated that
00:02:05
America does
00:02:07
not intend to join Israel’s retaliatory strike And in general called on
00:02:10
Israel to refuse to respond to
00:02:13
Iran’s strike And in general, since the beginning of the
00:02:15
aggravation in the gas sector, the United
00:02:18
States of America has been trying to avoid direct
00:02:22
intervention Let’s figure it out Why
00:02:24
not because Biden loves Iran so much Quite
00:02:27
the contrary, Tehran is
00:02:29
hostile to Ben to the Americans and Judging by the
00:02:32
information in the Western media, this country will soon
00:02:35
create its own nuclear weapons, so
00:02:42
Washington would probably not mind delivering a crushing blow to Iran.
00:02:44
However, another question arises: What to
00:02:48
do with what, as the war in Ukraine showed
00:02:51
for fairly large states with a
00:02:54
developed air defense system,
00:02:56
air strikes alone are not enough.
00:03:00
Moreover, Iran can respond with
00:03:02
large-scale attacks on American
00:03:05
bases and the American fleet in the Middle
00:03:07
East, and here you know
00:03:10
who will cause more damage to whom. Therefore,
00:03:12
if there is a goal to defeat Iran militarily,
00:03:15
then here you will need a
00:03:18
full-scale, full-fledged land
00:03:21
operation. Taking into account the fact that the population of
00:03:23
Iran is approximately 90 million people,
00:03:27
that is, more than twice as much as
00:03:30
in pre-war Ukraine, then, accordingly, the
00:03:33
invasion forces should be many times
00:03:35
larger than, for example, those that the
00:03:38
Russian Federation used during the start of the invasion
00:03:40
even taking into account the
00:03:42
air and naval power of the United States,
00:03:45
America obviously does not have such forces in the Middle
00:03:48
East, and in principle, finding
00:03:51
so many troops will be problematic for Washington.
00:03:54
Not to mention the fact that
00:03:56
they will operate quite far
00:03:58
from the borders of the united seam of America and NATO. their
00:04:02
communications and bases in the region will be
00:04:05
vulnerable to Iranian Drones and as a result,
00:04:08
this war could turn for the
00:04:11
Americans like Vietnam and Iraq in a cube and will
00:04:15
not end well if,
00:04:17
again, nuclear weapons are not used.
00:04:20
But then this will already open the door
00:04:24
to a world war by removing The taboo on
00:04:27
the use of nuclear weapons among other nuclear
00:04:30
powers and the separate question of the territory of
00:04:33
which country to attack Tehran in Iraq is the
00:04:36
strong influence of Iran and it is unlikely that it
00:04:39
will provide its territory for this,
00:04:41
then first the Americans need to
00:04:43
start a new war in Iraq and capture
00:04:45
Baghdad, now as for Turkey, it
00:04:48
participation in the war against Iran could
00:04:51
fundamentally change the situation
00:04:53
since the Turks themselves have a fairly
00:04:56
strong ground army. And despite the fact
00:04:58
that this is a NATO country, it is
00:05:01
now impossible to imagine that against the backdrop of the war in
00:05:04
gas, Turkey takes and opposes
00:05:07
Iran on the side of Israel, like any
00:05:09
other an Islamic country in general, the situation
00:05:12
in terms of starting a war against Iran is
00:05:15
very difficult for the Americans, so most
00:05:18
likely the United States will make
00:05:20
every effort not to be drawn
00:05:23
into this war, and perhaps they will try
00:05:25
to increase pressure on Israel so that they
00:05:28
stop the fighting in gas,
00:05:30
which, among other things, other things, they also interfere with
00:05:33
Washington’s policy in the Middle East and
00:05:37
worsen relations between the countries of the
00:05:39
Arab world and the West. Iran is now unlikely to
00:05:42
escalate on its own initiative.
00:05:45
Iran is quite happy
00:05:47
that it was stuck in battles with Hamas in the
00:05:51
Gaza strip and Hezbollah is keeping the
00:05:54
North of Israel in suspense. In addition, we still need to
00:05:56
gain time to create a nuclear
00:05:58
bomb. If everything is as the Western
00:06:01
media write, that it is on the way. However, Netanyahu is
00:06:04
unlikely to refuse to drag the
00:06:08
United States into a war with Iran, and therefore new
00:06:10
Israeli strikes on Iran are possible. And then
00:06:14
Tehran’s response will follow again, and there already a
00:06:16
further round of escalation is most likely
00:06:19
Israel’s calculation that if it
00:06:22
comes right down to a Great War, then the United States will not
00:06:25
abandon its ally in an unequal battle with the
00:06:28
axis of evil; however, the Americans probably
00:06:30
also see such a prospect for the development of
00:06:33
events and therefore a moment may come
00:06:36
that Washington will strictly
00:06:39
demand from Netanyahu to stop the strikes
00:06:42
and, again, as the Western media write,
00:06:46
such demands in the form of recommendations have
00:06:49
already been heard from Biden to Israel.
00:06:52
They advise not to strike back and
00:06:55
other Western countries. Israel itself
00:06:57
says that today tomorrow they will
00:07:00
make a decision on how to proceed,
00:07:03
but they are threatening how- then answer But
00:07:05
will Netanyahu listen to the question here is
00:07:08
really controversial, but the fact is that
00:07:11
there are supporters of striking Iran
00:07:14
in the United States of America and there are
00:07:17
many of them and they believe that we must now, as
00:07:21
they say, wait until Iran creates a
00:07:24
nuclear bomb, otherwise it will be too
00:07:26
late one way or another, but the latest
00:07:28
event in the Middle East shows
00:07:31
that the situation is so precarious that it
00:07:34
risks falling into a very serious
00:07:36
escalation up to a direct war between Israel
00:07:39
and Iran, and most likely the United
00:07:43
States of America will also have to intervene,
00:07:47
but not like in Ukraine, but directly
00:07:49
because otherwise Israel could suffer a
00:07:52
crushing defeat or use
00:07:55
nuclear weapons, both of which
00:07:58
are very bad options for the United States, and the
00:08:00
likelihood of an Israeli war, as
00:08:02
recent events have shown, is not zero and
00:08:06
this could have very specific
00:08:08
consequences for Ukraine. Namely, if a
00:08:10
big war breaks out in the Middle
00:08:12
East, then Washington may come to the
00:08:14
conclusion that it’s time
00:08:17
to close the Ukrainian front, so to speak, because it is
00:08:23
very problematic to provide military-technical support to two full-scale troops at once.
00:08:25
Moreover, the
00:08:29
Middle East and the Far East have flared up in Korea,
00:08:33
Taiwan and this increases the likelihood
00:08:35
that Washington will agree to
00:08:37
stop the war on current front line
00:08:42
through an agreement with the Russian
00:08:44
Federation on certain conditions.
00:08:45
However, another important question is whether Vladimir Putin will agree to
00:08:49
this now and also what
00:08:52
position the Ukrainian authorities will take. This is
00:08:55
also a question, but in any case, if the
00:08:58
United States of America lifts the
00:08:59
demands for the withdrawal of Russian troops within the
00:09:01
borders of Ukraine ninety-first year,
00:09:03
then the subject of conversation between Washington and
00:09:07
Moscow will then be And by the way, in recent
00:09:10
weeks rumors have intensified that
00:09:12
there are certain contacts between
00:09:14
America and Russia regarding the end of the
00:09:18
war in Ukraine.
00:09:19
They have not yet, however,
00:09:22
taking into account the possibility of involving the
00:09:24
United States of America in a possible
00:09:27
war in the Middle East is strengthening the
00:09:30
position of those forces in the West who
00:09:32
believe that the war in Ukraine must be
00:09:34
ended as soon as possible, such
00:09:37
information is for your consideration,
00:09:39
my dear friends. I continue to follow the
00:09:41
developments of events not only in Ukraine but
00:09:44
throughout the world because the events
00:09:48
that are taking place in different parts of our
00:09:51
planet can directly or indirectly
00:09:55
influence the situation in Ukraine do not
00:09:58
forget to subscribe to our channels in
00:10:00
YouTube ua It is clear Medvedev about and see you soon
00:10:06
See you again very soon bye

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