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00:00:00

[music]

00:00:06

Hello friends, geoenergy

00:00:09

info Maxim Rodakin and my constant

00:00:11

interlocutor Alexander Frolov Hello

00:00:13

hello Alexander I have this

00:00:16

question, let’s look at what’s happening in

00:00:19

Europe Here are the

00:00:21

special conditions for the

00:00:24

triumph of green energy

00:00:27

classical energy is subject to

00:00:29

all possible taxes and fees

00:00:32

with fines to everyone else, one gets the

00:00:35

impression that classical energy is

00:00:38

completely unprofitable so that

00:00:41

everything turns green, it now has panels

00:00:45

and everything else, but in the current

00:00:47

energy crisis we see the

00:00:49

consequences Alexander,

00:00:51

the thought is already creeping in that this is some kind of

00:00:55

club of green masons, please

00:00:59

explain this situation a little what is basically

00:01:02

going on

00:01:03

green free masons

00:01:07

Well, look Yes, indeed, if you don’t

00:01:10

understand the context in which this is all

00:01:12

happening, then we can endlessly

00:01:15

sneer at the current European

00:01:17

energy policy over the actions

00:01:19

that are being taken in certain

00:01:21

countries of the European Union, but these

00:01:23

actions have an explanation, let us

00:01:25

we will still give this explanation. I understand that the

00:01:27

majority just loves our funny and

00:01:29

unobtrusive jokes about wonderful leaders

00:01:33

such as

00:01:37

Macron noodles. Here is his Emmanuel,

00:01:41

we will definitely still joke, but

00:01:44

let’s try to talk

00:01:46

seriously today and explain where the

00:01:49

current situation came from, that is, based on what kind of

00:01:53

logic are decisions made?

00:01:56

Again, you can invest, what are they

00:01:59

crazy about, but no? Let’s look for the following logic.

00:02:02

At the beginning of the 2000s, in the mid-

00:02:05

2000s, the

00:02:08

following idea of the

00:02:11

future dominated in the European Union: from 2005 to 2030,

00:02:15

gas consumption increases by 300

00:02:19

billion cubic meters, this is a

00:02:21

colossal amount

00:02:24

for understanding in 2005,

00:02:27

gas consumption in the European Union together with

00:02:29

Great Britain was about 500

00:02:31

billion cubic meters, that is, consumption

00:02:33

should have increased to 800 billion

00:02:36

cubic meters, again this is a huge

00:02:39

value that becomes even more

00:02:41

huge If we take into account the decline in production in the

00:02:44

European Union itself, which was

00:02:46

more than obvious that is, the European Union

00:02:48

faces the following

00:02:51

prospect: in the foreseeable future,

00:02:54

in a quarter of a century, our

00:02:56

dependence on external suppliers will increase many times over,

00:02:59

because our

00:03:02

suppliers, our summer residents, will

00:03:04

produce less and less gas and supplies from outside

00:03:07

will already grow, and given the

00:03:10

decrease in our own production,

00:03:11

there will be demand for imports grow at an

00:03:13

accelerated pace, something needs to be done about this

00:03:16

because the Europeans, quite

00:03:18

reasonably, were

00:03:20

generally afraid of the

00:03:22

increasing role of external suppliers and

00:03:26

were afraid that they might at some

00:03:28

point come to an agreement among themselves and begin to

00:03:32

twist the arms of European buyers.

00:03:34

Or, one huge supplier will simply arise

00:03:37

and It’s clear who exactly it

00:03:40

will be who will begin to twist the arms of

00:03:43

European buyers on their own, and

00:03:46

since 2007 this problem has begun to be

00:03:48

solved in order to understand

00:03:51

Who came up with these forecasts, who created them,

00:03:54

for example, the International Energy

00:03:56

Agency, it was they who predicted the

00:03:58

guys 300 billion plus in the thirties,

00:04:02

this must be remembered When you see

00:04:04

some other forecasts of the International

00:04:06

Energy Agency about this or that

00:04:09

direction of development of European or

00:04:11

world energy and you need to understand

00:04:14

that forecasts sometimes do not come true more accurately,

00:04:17

even so they sometimes come true, although in

00:04:20

Europe the International Energy

00:04:22

Agency I don’t remember a single forecast

00:04:24

that would come true, well this on the other

00:04:27

hand, maybe my memory is failing me, here in the

00:04:29

comments you can mention some Forecast

00:04:31

that came true, in the meantime, let’s note

00:04:33

the following: for these forecasts,

00:04:36

huge amounts of money were allocated for the construction of gas

00:04:38

power plants;

00:04:46

more than 100 GB

00:04:49

is also a huge amount. Why, but

00:04:52

again everyone was preparing for the fact that the role of

00:04:54

gas will grow, respected people give

00:04:57

forecasts. And this means we need to

00:05:00

break into this market now so that tomorrow we will have the

00:05:02

necessary infrastructure

00:05:03

that will be useful to utilize this

00:05:06

very natural gas provides everyone with the

00:05:08

growing need for

00:05:10

electrical energy

00:05:12

[music]

00:05:18

friends once again I remind you

00:05:21

that the full name of our channel is

00:05:24

independent analytical online magazine

00:05:26

geoenergy information and the word

00:05:28

independence after

00:05:30

monetization from YouTube was turned off for us

00:05:34

became a dear valuable loved one in order

00:05:38

to maintain independence, you

00:05:40

understand perfectly well that in our troubled

00:05:42

times it is necessary, first of all, an

00:05:44

alternative to find a sponsor who

00:05:47

will set our news agenda,

00:05:49

our so to speak strategy, tactics does

00:05:53

not seem to us the most convenient, therefore I

00:05:56

remind you of what you can see

00:06:00

primarily in our Telegram channel where

00:06:03

we try to report all the news

00:06:06

related to our work of our new

00:06:08

projects you can see us on the

00:06:12

VKontakte portal you can see us in the take-

00:06:15

out scene you can support due to the fact

00:06:19

that we have a page on the sponsor

00:06:21

all this will be in the description under this

00:06:25

brief attack of mine with a reminder

00:06:27

that if you want the

00:06:29

energy project to continue to develop We

00:06:32

need your help and support

00:06:34

Thank you very much for your attention

00:06:35

[music]

00:06:42

and from 7 to 9 years there are active

00:06:45

discussions on what to do with all this, how

00:06:47

can we get out of this in order to

00:06:49

avoid the very risk of strengthening the role of

00:06:54

suppliers despite the fact that the suppliers themselves

00:06:56

should

00:06:57

Well, they shouldn’t

00:07:00

reject you, that is, you

00:07:02

shouldn’t scare the supplier. You shouldn’t

00:07:04

give it to the supplier. But you should create

00:07:06

some kind of system within which the supplier

00:07:08

cannot put pressure on you, and by the ninth

00:07:11

year the third energy package had already been developed.

00:07:13

In the ninth year it was

00:07:15

adopted in the summer of the ninth year and within the framework of this

00:07:17

energy package. Were the

00:07:19

main paths for the development of European

00:07:22

energy outlined, which included a number of

00:07:25

provisions

00:07:26

strengthening the energy security of the European Union,

00:07:29

in particular, the European Union

00:07:32

began to transfer all

00:07:34

long-term contracts, including oil

00:07:37

pegged to stock exchange peg, the logic

00:07:39

was simple if the supplier

00:07:44

If the supplier is tied to an

00:07:47

exchange located in the

00:07:49

European Union, then he will not have

00:07:52

the opportunity to manipulate prices,

00:07:55

and since we are a huge promising

00:07:59

growing market, respected people

00:08:01

say plus 300 billion. And by 1930,

00:08:03

we will be a buyer’s market because

00:08:07

everyone will strive for us. By the way in order for

00:08:09

everyone to strive, it is necessary to build

00:08:11

LNG terminals, the corresponding

00:08:13

direction was also studied and

00:08:15

also stimulated LNG terminals

00:08:19

will allow receiving gas not only from

00:08:22

nearby countries but also from the most

00:08:24

distant suppliers who, of course,

00:08:27

will want to break into the European market,

00:08:29

again we look at plus 300 billion, they are

00:08:32

not lying around on the road and indeed

00:08:33

300 billion is something astounding,

00:08:36

it’s a huge amount. And this means,

00:08:38

again, we have

00:08:40

exchanges, these exchanges are liquid, these exchanges are

00:08:43

good, proven,

00:08:45

transparent, just like a piece of glass, a piece of glass that is

00:08:49

blown on the island of

00:08:53

Murano, that’s how transparent the piece of glass is.

00:08:56

By the way, anyone who has seen these pieces of glass understands that

00:09:01

is, the following

00:09:04

situation is developing, more precisely, the following preconditions are developing: a

00:09:07

growing market,

00:09:09

suppliers will want to break into this market,

00:09:11

we are creating conditions for

00:09:13

competition, they are starting

00:09:16

to push each other with their elbows, delivering through the exchange

00:09:18

either directly or the exchange influences the price

00:09:21

through long-term contracts tied to

00:09:23

exchange indicators and we are thus

00:09:26

by creating a rule of the game in which there can

00:09:29

be fair competition, we avoid

00:09:31

the possibility of manipulating our market,

00:09:33

twisting us out. In

00:09:35

addition, we solved the problem of reducing

00:09:38

dependence on

00:09:40

energy suppliers through the

00:09:43

development of alternative energy. Well, that

00:09:46

is, if they tell you that you will need

00:09:48

more gas, maybe we can replace

00:09:51

this gas with something - and here you are,

00:09:53

renewable energy is beginning to develop,

00:09:56

that is, energy from New

00:09:58

Renewables, as it is also called at

00:10:00

that time, at least they called it

00:10:02

electric power based on

00:10:04

wind and solar energy,

00:10:06

in order for it to develop most

00:10:09

vigorously and at an excellent pace,

00:10:13

the following condition would be proposed that

00:10:15

renewable energy sources

00:10:17

receive priority access to networks

00:10:20

in life, this means the following: the wind

00:10:23

began to blow, the blades began to spin, the current began to flow,

00:10:26

dear friends, accept this current,

00:10:30

but since proportional growth in

00:10:33

consumption does not occur at this moment,

00:10:35

it means that a command is given to some

00:10:37

traditional power plant to reduce

00:10:39

production Well, because how the balance must

00:10:42

be maintained, dear friends, and to whom

00:10:45

will you give such a command nuclear

00:10:46

nuclear power generation no, you will not

00:10:49

give such a command to regenerate

00:10:50

Coal Mining, it is possible but unlikely. Most

00:10:53

likely you will give such a command to gas

00:10:55

power plants because they can

00:10:57

solve this kind of problem most quickly.

00:11:01

Here we go At the beginning of the tenth year,

00:11:05

another important moment arose, another important

00:11:09

variable, if you like, which began to

00:11:11

influence the further development of the

00:11:15

electric power industry and energy in general in the

00:11:17

European Union, the crisis

00:11:20

in the seventh year begins, the

00:11:24

mortgage crisis begins in the United States,

00:11:27

which in the eighth year develops into a

00:11:30

global financial crisis a crisis that

00:11:32

leads to the fact that by the end of the end of

00:11:35

2008, prices for all

00:11:37

energy resources collapse, that is, oil becomes

00:11:39

cheaper there by almost three times, gas

00:11:42

becomes cheaper, etc. Well, since it is tied

00:11:44

to oil, so on and on, on and on, a

00:11:46

paradoxical situation is developing

00:11:48

The European Union is beginning to play out its

00:11:51

energy strategy a new

00:11:53

direction for the development of your energy ethics

00:11:55

period of global crisis

00:11:58

the paradox of this situation

00:11:59

lies in the fact that

00:12:01

this context of the global financial crisis

00:12:05

blurs the results blurs the

00:12:08

results that you could collect

00:12:10

Already in the first stages of implementing your

00:12:13

strategy

00:12:14

what does it mean lubricates takes oil

00:12:17

and lubricates No dear friends, we are

00:12:19

talking about something else here. And since

00:12:22

energy prices are falling at this moment, you

00:12:25

cannot adequately assess whether you are successfully

00:12:27

implementing your strategy or not successfully

00:12:29

because you find yourself in a situation

00:12:32

where you imagined we are a

00:12:34

buyer’s market, everyone will come to us and

00:12:37

it turns out

00:12:38

and getting Yes, everyone will rush in and prices will begin

00:12:41

to decline, and it turns out that prices are

00:12:45

actually decreasing for gas,

00:12:47

including prices decreasing, and you, well, like

00:12:51

any similar situation, chalk it up to

00:12:53

your account, plus,

00:12:55

in this regard, the

00:12:58

development of gas production has had a negative impact on the European market in the

00:13:00

United States of America, the United

00:13:02

States should have become the largest

00:13:04

importer of gas, again based on all the

00:13:06

forecasts that would have been given in the mid

00:13:09

-2000s, there were many

00:13:11

interesting forecasts that now you

00:13:14

can read with interest and

00:13:16

admire the predictive

00:13:18

abilities of those analysts who

00:13:20

came up with all this on the other hand, what

00:13:22

were they to blame or was there a number of things that

00:13:24

happened that

00:13:25

were impossible to foresee, but at the end of the

00:13:27

2000s the United States began to

00:13:29

increase gas production,

00:13:31

accordingly, their

00:13:33

import needs decreased and a number of

00:13:36

plants were launched that were

00:13:40

aimed at the American market

00:13:41

because In the American market, before

00:13:43

this, LNG terminals were built just so

00:13:46

that at the moment when gas is

00:13:48

needed it can be imported, in

00:13:51

particular, capacities are put into operation,

00:13:53

capacities are put into operation,

00:13:57

these capacities are in an excellent

00:14:00

position, global crisis, falling prices, the

00:14:04

key market does not need your gas

00:14:07

to close at night or something No, well, let's take

00:14:10

the gas to where it can be transported And where it can be

00:14:12

transported But they have terminals in their

00:14:14

European Union until we get by until

00:14:16

the crisis is over, we will sell to them

00:14:18

and then it comes to Europe at the beginning at the very end at the

00:14:21

very end of the 2000s at the beginning of the

00:14:23

tenths gas and scooters and

00:14:26

it turns out just Bingo table

00:14:30

ticks the corresponding prices have decreased

00:14:35

the deficit

00:14:38

has arrived new suppliers and prices have decreased

00:14:40

additionally

00:14:43

who are well done those who came up with this

00:14:45

energy strategy are well done So we

00:14:47

need to work further in

00:14:49

parallel with this we need to understand that the

00:14:52

European Union at the end of the 2000s is not the

00:14:54

same that the European Union now

00:14:56

at the end of the 2000s, the European Union was the

00:14:59

world leader in the production of

00:15:00

equipment for renewable

00:15:01

energy sources, and it is precisely this

00:15:04

synergistic effect. That is, you don’t

00:15:05

just say this is what gives the

00:15:08

energy effect. That is, you don’t

00:15:09

just say build wind turbines, you

00:15:12

provide an internal market for

00:15:14

existing ones production, you expand

00:15:17

these, you create conditions,

00:15:19

expand these productions, create

00:15:21

new jobs and actually

00:15:23

create a new industry that will allow

00:15:25

you to further export This

00:15:27

equipment, that is, the European Union,

00:15:29

faced with a global crisis,

00:15:32

hit Europe too,

00:15:34

and in fact tried by creating

00:15:37

favorable conditions for

00:15:39

the development of renewable energy, not

00:15:41

only to replace traditional

00:15:42

energy carriers. Well, he tried to create a

00:15:46

growth point for his industry.

00:15:48

We have excellent manufacturers of

00:15:50

solar panels. We have excellent

00:15:52

manufacturers of wind turbines. We will now

00:15:54

create favorable conditions for them and it will

00:15:56

turn out that we don’t need the gas we

00:15:58

buy from there will be less and the

00:16:01

sales market for the equipment that

00:16:02

is produced here will become wider and we will still

00:16:05

get electricity. Beauty, that is, there is no

00:16:07

need to imply, there is no need to think that in

00:16:09

Europe they are completely idiots, they proceeded from

00:16:13

these conditions when

00:16:14

they launched this whole thing, and then in the eleventh year it

00:16:17

crashed Fukushima 1 exploded in March,

00:16:23

how is this connected to Europe? It would seem in

00:16:25

no way, but the anti-nuclear lobby in Germany

00:16:28

said

00:16:29

an explosion Well, more precisely, an accident at a Japanese

00:16:33

nuclear power plant is a direct signal

00:16:36

that we need to close our nuclear

00:16:38

power plants, where is the point? Where is the logic?

00:16:40

When was the last time there was a tsunami in Germany?

00:16:43

No one at all worries, it needs to be closed. And why should it be

00:16:46

closed, but so that in a

00:16:49

crisis,

00:16:51

energy needs not only do not increase in

00:16:52

Europe, they also decrease? And since they

00:16:55

decreased, they decreased in

00:16:57

electricity, too, and it turned out that

00:16:59

you have new gas power plants

00:17:01

that are here - the heat is about to melt away,

00:17:04

you have just been put into operation, with a

00:17:07

colossal leap in the development of

00:17:09

renewable energy, you are starting to hit

00:17:11

these power plants with demand for their

00:17:14

electricity and it’s not great anyway. Well, simply

00:17:17

because your overall demand for

00:17:18

electricity has fallen. And you are also

00:17:20

strangling it by the fact that periodically the wind

00:17:22

begins and the sun,

00:17:25

to your surprise, begins to shine,

00:17:27

begins to shine and the solar

00:17:30

power plant produces Electricity

00:17:31

and some of these newly opened

00:17:34

power plants, after working for two to three years,

00:17:36

close

00:17:37

and the closure of these power plants you

00:17:41

will have a situation when you have

00:17:44

less reserve capacity, again

00:17:46

there is no the fools sitting there understood perfectly well

00:17:47

that reserve power

00:17:49

is needed and it is better if these reserve

00:17:51

capacities are the best new gas

00:17:54

power plants, gas cycle and all that.

00:17:58

Well, don’t invest in the modernization of

00:18:01

coal power plants, after all,

00:18:03

you are not China, after all, this is

00:18:05

Europe, they are investing in

00:18:07

modernization in general, they don’t like to tear it down,

00:18:09

build it again Yes, that’s really great, and so

00:18:11

it turns out that the first half of the

00:18:14

1900s was a period of falling demand

00:18:16

for energy; a drop in prices occurred

00:18:19

at the beginning; an influx of new suppliers

00:18:22

occurred and the

00:18:24

responsible persons received extremely

00:18:27

contradictory signals which they

00:18:28

interpreted in their

00:18:30

favor. Is there an increase in the production of

00:18:32

equipment for

00:18:36

and have prices decreased? Yes, has

00:18:39

the number of suppliers increased, of course? So what are

00:18:42

we doing wrong? We are doing everything

00:18:44

right, we must continue. And then a

00:18:47

nuclear power plant in Japan successfully fails.

00:18:50

So it is necessary to close it; whoever does not see the logic is the

00:18:52

Kremlin Agent, I don’t know then

00:18:55

This means that it is necessary to close nuclear

00:18:57

power plants in Germany and

00:19:00

thus open an additional market for

00:19:02

the equipment that we are

00:19:04

producing here in the

00:19:07

shrinking electrical energy market.

00:19:11

Well, that is, once again, the consumption of

00:19:13

electrical energy is not growing. Well, by removing

00:19:16

one of the sectors, you open up this

00:19:18

segment more. quite large for

00:19:21

other energy carriers And what kind of

00:19:23

energy carriers do you prioritize?

00:19:25

Renewable energy source is a priority; you

00:19:27

actually open up a good market for them; the

00:19:30

installed capacity of

00:19:32

power plants operating on

00:19:34

renewable energy sources in

00:19:36

Germany are the largest in the European Union.

00:19:38

Well, actually, not least

00:19:40

due to this opened segment but

00:19:43

this is not enough,

00:19:46

energy prices have gone up over the years, the driver has

00:19:49

gone somewhere and two-thirds of the gas has gone to Asia. Well,

00:19:54

of course, some of it remained in Europe,

00:19:56

but the influx that was at the turn of the

00:19:58

decades of the 2000s and 1900s

00:20:00

was no longer there because it began to grow in Asia

00:20:03

gas consumption which they said you want a

00:20:06

long-term contract I want said Qatar

00:20:09

and having concluded a long-term contract two-

00:20:12

thirds of the gas began to be sent to Asia oh It would seem that

00:20:15

you need to strain, but then new

00:20:19

projects in the field of LNG began and although they

00:20:23

mainly served the interests of Asia, up to

00:20:26

three quarters of all LNG in the world went

00:20:28

to Asia, but still Europe remained a

00:20:31

major

00:20:32

consumer and it was assumed that in

00:20:35

the medium term, at that time, the

00:20:39

difficulties

00:20:40

faced by the

00:20:42

implemented energy development strategy,

00:20:44

all these difficulties

00:20:47

would somehow be leveled out, there would be an influx of new

00:20:49

players in the LNG market. Of course, they will run

00:20:52

to Europe we are here we are here, of course, we no longer think

00:20:55

about the fact that we will consume

00:20:58

300 billion cubic meters more, well,

00:20:59

compared to 2005 ’30 Well, we are

00:21:03

still the largest market, run to us,

00:21:04

sell to us, that is, initially

00:21:08

misunderstood Incorrectly

00:21:10

interpreted

00:21:12

based on the desire to misinterpret them,

00:21:14

of course Incorrectly

00:21:16

interpreted events in the

00:21:18

energy market reinforced the incorrect

00:21:21

conditions within which it was proposed that the

00:21:24

electric power industry, in particular the

00:21:26

energy sector in general, should develop. But then, by the

00:21:29

second half of the 1900s,

00:21:32

prices increased. Yes, there were fluctuations

00:21:34

associated with global crises in the

00:21:36

oil market; we will, as it were, omit this a little

00:21:40

otherwise, this conversation will

00:21:41

never end at all, now we just

00:21:44

noticed the following that, compared to the

00:21:46

turn of the 2000s, prices

00:21:48

have increased

00:21:50

and energy consumption, by

00:21:52

and large, has not grown, that is, the

00:21:54

electric power industry turned out to be so

00:21:56

stagnant in essence and something

00:22:00

else needed to be removed from the market in order to develop

00:22:04

renewable energy sources to help

00:22:06

and what to remove coal coal It must be removed

00:22:11

because it is Horrible Not environmentally friendly

00:22:13

modernize coal power plants

00:22:16

yes Where has this been seen in China that these

00:22:18

Chinese understand

00:22:19

they also produce this equipment and

00:22:22

it is the best in the world But we don’t have that And

00:22:25

what do we we’ll buy from the Chinese, this is

00:22:27

unacceptable, we’d better destroy these

00:22:29

power plants and put windmills in their place,

00:22:31

we produce windmills ourselves and yes,

00:22:34

basically I started making wind

00:22:37

energy stubbornly because Chinese

00:22:40

manufacturers of solar panels

00:22:42

instantly washed out the market of European

00:22:45

manufacturers, that is, Europe, expanding the

00:22:47

sales market for these solar power

00:22:50

did a disservice to its

00:22:52

manufacturers; they failed in the

00:22:54

competition with Chinese

00:22:55

manufacturers who did the same

00:22:57

thing, only they had their own raw materials and their own

00:23:00

element base. Well, in fact, here

00:23:01

you are, you produce, you produce the

00:23:04

final product, that is,

00:23:06

they had the entire production chain plus the

00:23:08

Chinese sales market was also quite

00:23:10

large, so these

00:23:12

manufacturers simply had more opportunities than the

00:23:14

Europeans, and those who did not escape to China

00:23:16

simply closed and all of them were gone.

00:23:20

Wind energy in this regard is

00:23:22

somewhat simpler because

00:23:24

transporting blades is not as efficient as the

00:23:27

sea not as efficient to transport as

00:23:30

solar panels, but

00:23:33

there are also some movements in this direction, we

00:23:35

mentioned them once, but for now

00:23:38

we will omit this story for simplicity.

00:23:41

In general, by the end of the late tenths, it was decided to

00:23:45

close all coal mines. In the second

00:23:47

half of the tenths, it was decided to

00:23:49

close all coal-fired power plants and

00:23:52

several countries at once

00:23:54

actually got rid of

00:23:56

their coal-fired generation quite quickly; this is Austria,

00:23:59

Belgium,

00:24:00

Sweden. So, in 2020,

00:24:04

Portugal joined them,

00:24:06

great. Well done, wonderful,

00:24:09

shake hands with everyone, smart guys. It’s just that later it

00:24:11

turned out that it was necessary to

00:24:13

mothball some coal-fired

00:24:14

power plants because I

00:24:15

energy crisis But that was later, but

00:24:18

for now everyone was happy, so we are closing

00:24:20

these power plants and opening a segment and

00:24:24

opening this market segment for

00:24:26

wind generation, but then they came to the

00:24:29

next point that

00:24:32

already in the seventeenth year, in

00:24:35

some energy systems, for example in

00:24:37

Germany, unpleasant events began to occur

00:24:39

due to for the overabundance of the share of

00:24:40

renewable energy sources,

00:24:43

sometimes the wind does not blow and

00:24:46

the sun sometimes does not shine. At the beginning of the

00:24:48

winter of the seventeenth year in Germany,

00:24:50

an oh-oh-oh happened when the reserve

00:24:52

capacity was not enough. When the sun

00:24:55

suddenly stopped shining with

00:24:57

the intensity that was expected from it there were

00:24:59

clouds in the sky. you know all this,

00:25:00

suddenly there are clouds in the sky Oh, the

00:25:03

wind suddenly suddenly stopped blowing, it’s a

00:25:05

complete disgrace and it turned out that

00:25:07

more reserve capacity is needed and what kind of

00:25:10

reserve capacity of gases because

00:25:13

only gas capacity can immediately

00:25:16

give you gas Well, I just depicted

00:25:18

rather some kind of... something like a diesel

00:25:20

generator, but I think you’ll forgive me, I

00:25:22

can’t give you a voice

00:25:25

as starting How

00:25:28

electrical energy begins to be produced at gas

00:25:30

power plants So, in fact, the closure of

00:25:34

coal power plants additionally

00:25:35

opened up space for consumption for the

00:25:38

growth of gas consumption and the growth of

00:25:40

gas consumption in the field of

00:25:41

electric power in the same Germany began

00:25:43

Well, gas began to be observed,

00:25:46

more and more gas began to be required, the share of

00:25:48

gas power plants began to grow, that is,

00:25:50

we closed the nuclear power, we closed some of the

00:25:53

coal power plants. Yes, of course, we

00:25:55

built wind turbines, installed solar

00:25:57

panels, where would we be without them, but in parallel with

00:26:00

this, we are welcome and

00:26:03

We are opening up space for gas power plants

00:26:05

because gas power plants must be

00:26:06

necessary for the transition period in

00:26:09

this green future, namely,

00:26:11

at some point the

00:26:13

Europeans began to go to the green future, that is, they came to the

00:26:15

following conclusion: Why, in principle,

00:26:16

are we bothering with these with these

00:26:20

traditional energy carriers if we

00:26:22

can simply abandon them

00:26:24

theoretically. By the way, I’m not saying that

00:26:27

they can abandon them; I’m describing their code of

00:26:29

thought. We can

00:26:31

refuse them; we’ll just install more

00:26:33

windmills, more solar panels, and

00:26:35

somehow we’ll solve the problem of

00:26:37

controllability of these types generation,

00:26:39

that is, there must be some kind of buffer, the buffer

00:26:42

can be in the form of gas

00:26:43

power plants, that is, the wind does not blow

00:26:45

gas, gas is consumed more for the

00:26:48

production of electrical energy, the wind

00:26:49

blows more gas gas power plants are

00:26:51

idle Well, here is some kind of model,

00:26:53

but then it is advisable to give up gas too

00:26:55

because we are producing

00:26:57

less and less of it, we can only provide 11% of our

00:26:59

own consumption from our own

00:27:01

production as

00:27:05

of 21,

00:27:07

so we won’t have gas soon. Yes, and to

00:27:10

hell with it, we’ll give it up altogether, but

00:27:12

how? Let’s supply big ones

00:27:14

batteries and somewhere at the end of the tenth

00:27:18

years

00:27:20

the topic began to be actively promoted in

00:27:22

Europe that it is necessary to simply build large

00:27:24

battery parks that will

00:27:26

accumulate electrical energy and

00:27:29

then release it all, that is, the sun is shining,

00:27:31

it accumulates Well, part is given to the

00:27:33

network, part is accumulated, in principle, you

00:27:35

can at home organize this at home

00:27:36

If you have, well, there are 300 thousand extra,

00:27:39

well, you can make such a story for yourself. It’s

00:27:41

better if you have about a

00:27:44

million and a half extra, then it’s really

00:27:45

great, you can do it somewhere within 7.5

00:27:49

kW. put it on the roof

00:27:52

and even hand over everything a little bit, but

00:27:55

here a similar system should

00:27:58

have been created within the entire energy system of the

00:28:01

European Union and the topic of

00:28:03

building these battery parks was pedaled,

00:28:05

but then suddenly, completely unexpectedly,

00:28:08

it turned out that the batteries are very

00:28:10

expensive,

00:28:11

very, very expensive, just like that

00:28:14

build as much as necessary, firstly,

00:28:16

where to build them, where to just put them in

00:28:18

such a quantity and divide so much, find

00:28:21

that is, no one was ready to

00:28:23

provide this kind of projects simply

00:28:26

Nobody, you have nowhere to get that much lithium

00:28:29

In general, nowhere in any case,

00:28:31

no one no one is ready for this, no one counted on this, no

00:28:33

one built the

00:28:34

corresponding production facilities, they simply

00:28:36

don’t exist, that is, you can deliver something more or less

00:28:39

acceptable, but

00:28:41

it won’t be enough for the entire European energy system,

00:28:43

then we came to the conclusion that

00:28:46

this was not the first attempt to enter the

00:28:48

hydrogen industry the previous energy industry was

00:28:50

just at the turn of the 2000s and

00:28:51

1900s at the Munich airport, there was

00:28:54

transport running on hydrogen Well, in general,

00:28:57

the beauty is indescribable And then they remembered

00:29:01

about this hydrogen, the guys said

00:29:02

hydrogen Energy, we have an

00:29:05

excess of periodically produced

00:29:07

electrical energy from windmills and

00:29:10

solar panels We take this excess and

00:29:12

use it for the production of hydrogen from

00:29:16

water. By the way, if you do the math, even if

00:29:18

they chose

00:29:20

only water from the lakes that are located in the

00:29:23

largest lakes that are located in

00:29:25

Europe, then this is, in principle,

00:29:27

acceptable from the point of view of

00:29:29

consumption volumes, taking into account conversion volumes.

00:29:32

Well, that is how much of this hydrogen will be produced from the water there?

00:29:35

It’s permissible, even

00:29:38

Europe would have enough of its own water resources,

00:29:42

but

00:29:44

the main thing is that hydrogen was essentially

00:29:46

considered as a battery, even the Germans

00:29:49

themselves wrote at home in 1930, we will spend 20 hours of

00:29:52

electrical energy on the

00:29:54

production of 14 hours of hydrogen.

00:29:58

It would seem that what’s the point The meaning of accumulation

00:30:00

is an excess of free electrical

00:30:03

energy. Well, how is it considered

00:30:04

free electrical energy, you

00:30:07

produce hydrogen and hydrogen

00:30:09

is already used as an energy carrier or you are

00:30:11

simply waiting for a better hour When you

00:30:13

need something you

00:30:16

will need to burn something to

00:30:18

stop wind power plants

00:30:21

in order to compensate consumers for

00:30:23

losses due to the

00:30:27

volume of stopped wind power plants, here

00:30:29

you go, we take hydrogen, we burn it at

00:30:31

power plants that used to burn

00:30:33

natural gas, and here we have What a

00:30:35

wonderful system we have And

00:30:37

we also buy hydrogen mobiles, we’ll build them

00:30:39

just gorgeous, ordinary ones,

00:30:43

here we have ordinary electric cars,

00:30:45

here we have hydrogen mobiles that are

00:30:47

also electric cars in essence and

00:30:49

the fabric there are fuel cells, essentially

00:30:52

hydrogen is used to produce

00:30:53

electric current and so

00:30:55

we get the following system wind turbines

00:30:58

solar panels other renewable

00:31:00

generation including where we process all kinds of garbage

00:31:02

we get biogas This is not

00:31:06

this is not the same of course that just

00:31:08

methane, by the way, is really not the

00:31:10

same, there the methane content is up to 65

00:31:12

percent, we make biomethane. This is just

00:31:15

ordinary natural gas, but only

00:31:17

produced through the fermentation of all sorts of

00:31:19

garbage. This is also yes, this is also

00:31:22

like some kind of renewable

00:31:24

direction, but we are specially going there don’t look at

00:31:26

it, it will be just a little bit, and here we have

00:31:28

fields dotted with

00:31:30

solar panels, there we have fields

00:31:33

dotted with wind power plants, there are

00:31:35

still a lot of wind power plants in the sea,

00:31:37

here we produce hydrogen, this hydrogen

00:31:39

when necessary, we just store it when not

00:31:42

needed, more precisely, we especially needed a

00:31:45

direction to production of

00:31:46

electrical energy, that's

00:31:50

why they want to get rid of coal

00:31:53

because in the absence of demand growth,

00:31:58

based on this logic, it's not that it's not

00:32:01

needed at all. Based on the

00:32:02

logic described above, it's not needed, it needs to be closed,

00:32:04

get rid of gas power plants, let

00:32:06

nuclear power plants work for now,

00:32:09

so be it, let them work compliance, the

00:32:11

corresponding decisions were made,

00:32:14

as it were, well, according to physics, from the point of view of

00:32:16

physics. They are, of course, a

00:32:17

low-carbon source of energy

00:32:19

because nothing is burned there to

00:32:21

release CO2 into the atmosphere, but

00:32:24

nuclear Elektrostal nuclear

00:32:26

power plants, from a legal point of

00:32:27

view, still had to prove their

00:32:30

low-carbon status and have not proven everything

00:32:32

normally appropriate decisions have been

00:32:34

made and for the transition period

00:32:36

decisions have also been made on gas

00:32:39

power plants which are considered

00:32:41

as transitional power plants therefore

00:32:42

all new investments in gas power

00:32:45

must be accompanied by

00:32:47

projects within these

00:32:50

within the framework of the construction of new gas

00:32:53

power must take into account the transition to

00:32:54

hydrogen That is, all gas

00:32:56

power plants

00:32:58

all new ones under construction should be able to

00:33:00

switch to hydrogen as the

00:33:02

main fuel, that’s the logic of

00:33:05

the development of this energy thought,

00:33:09

that it was necessary to reconsider the

00:33:11

energy strategy at least in the

00:33:13

mid-1990s. Well,

00:33:17

here we can say so. And they

00:33:19

looked different there,

00:33:21

events are developing very quickly In

00:33:24

addition, these events periodically throw

00:33:27

up arguments for those who say

00:33:29

Who said and who said that everything is

00:33:33

developing as it should develop

00:33:34

Yes, there will be some crises, but in the

00:33:37

end We will come to a light green

00:33:39

future and theoretically This is the

00:33:41

construction windmills solar panels

00:33:43

hydrogen really looks like a

00:33:46

more or less stable sustainable model

00:33:48

as long as we touch on all sorts of unpleasant

00:33:51

things like materials science until we

00:33:53

start looking at how it should

00:33:55

work from the point of view there Financial

00:33:57

components welfare of the population and

00:33:59

so on so on until we

00:34:01

touch on it the model itself looks

00:34:03

more or less adequate, especially since, say, in the

00:34:06

nineteenth year,

00:34:07

another argument was made by supporters of the current

00:34:10

current model of development of the energy

00:34:12

market. Because these supporters said,

00:34:14

look, there is an excess of LNG on the global market,

00:34:17

this excess of LNG is coming to us, our

00:34:19

prices are falling faster than they are falling in Asia

00:34:23

prices are lower than we are wrong

00:34:26

It would seem that it is not true that this

00:34:29

system is not stable and by receiving bonuses in a

00:34:32

separate period of time you put it at

00:34:34

risk when conditions change. As we

00:34:36

saw in the middle of 21 to the current

00:34:38

moment, it is

00:34:39

now clear that there is

00:34:42

now some evidence

00:34:45

then I present this when we present

00:34:48

this evidence to the Europeans, they

00:34:50

say And it’s your fault and it’s just you

00:34:53

Russia You attacked I don’t know how

00:34:56

YouTube you attacked Ukraine Nightmare And

00:35:01

so the conclusion is that you provoked the

00:35:04

energy crisis and it didn’t happen

00:35:07

la-la - there wasn’t an energy crisis.

00:35:11

Well, how could it not be if in the second

00:35:13

half of the 1900s the same prices

00:35:15

that you observed later in the year,

00:35:17

the

00:35:18

rise of freight, the cost of LNG

00:35:22

tanker freight, Well, that’s all it was. No, it

00:35:25

wasn’t a gas crisis, it’s all because of - for you And

00:35:28

if it was, then look, we had

00:35:30

a forecast according to which on April 1,

00:35:32

22 the crisis was supposed to end, but why did

00:35:35

n’t it end? It’s your fault, that’s

00:35:37

what happened between the point, so to speak,

00:35:41

when the forecast was announced and the very

00:35:44

first of April,

00:35:46

February 24, 22 year conclusion are to blame without

00:35:50

you everything would work well

00:35:54

and now what the European

00:35:56

leadership will say, you understand Just come out and

00:35:58

say Yes, you know, first of all, we lied

00:36:01

constantly before this, it was not Russia that

00:36:03

provoked provoked the crisis,

00:36:05

the crisis was no fundamentally different

00:36:08

after February 24 from the crisis that

00:36:10

was until February 24, there was

00:36:13

no difference at all. Exactly the same thing

00:36:15

happened further. We We incorrectly

00:36:19

assessed over the past 15 years the

00:36:21

events that took place on the market

00:36:23

in the energy market, we interpreted it all

00:36:26

incorrectly; moreover,

00:36:28

all the programs that we have now identified,

00:36:30

which we have now adopted as part of of

00:36:32

which tens of billions of euros are allocated,

00:36:33

we cancel or revise and

00:36:37

reduce financial flows And on the other

00:36:40

side of the financial flows sit

00:36:41

respected people

00:36:43

sit respected people They will be very surprised

00:36:45

If suddenly one of the European

00:36:47

leaders comes out and says such an

00:36:49

interesting thing because they are mentally

00:36:51

already somehow have already received these

00:36:53

financial flows, they have already somehow

00:36:54

become related to them They don’t want to

00:36:56

give them up So you never know what can

00:36:59

happen If you know, tell you

00:37:01

first that we will give you several

00:37:03

tens of billions of euros and then say

00:37:04

You know, we changed our minds, we think that

00:37:07

you are an eccentric, the system you are

00:37:09

proposing is eccentric, and we, too,

00:37:13

agreed with you, also a little

00:37:15

eccentrics, well, this is not unacceptable and,

00:37:18

in fact, a series of mistakes Once again, from our

00:37:21

point of view, suddenly they have money, suddenly they are

00:37:24

right, suddenly they have seen the light of

00:37:26

space and time and now they understand that by the

00:37:28

fiftieth year all the current problems

00:37:30

They will disappear There will

00:37:34

only be good ones left Green energy Only

00:37:36

clearly structured energy that works like a

00:37:39

Swiss watch

00:37:40

[music]

00:37:44

including panels

00:37:47

wind turbines and hydrogen And we will sit here

00:37:50

and say fir-trees and sticks But we thought

00:37:52

They they are not right We thought they were wrong,

00:37:54

maybe this could happen Well, theoretically Yes, but so far

00:37:58

nothing to be honest if you approach from

00:38:02

the outside and look not from the inside when you are

00:38:04

directly interested in a certain

00:38:06

interpretation And if you just look

00:38:08

from the outside does not allow you to say that they are

00:38:10

right, that they are making the right

00:38:12

adequate decisions on the contrary, the situation

00:38:14

is aggravated, that is, the incorrect assumptions

00:38:16

on the basis of which

00:38:19

strategic decisions were made at the end of the

00:38:21

2000s are reflected in the current situation and

00:38:24

directly dictate a

00:38:27

certain logic of the decisions made.

00:38:29

And since the assumptions could not be returned,

00:38:32

it is theoretically possible to make the right

00:38:34

decision even based on such premises,

00:38:36

but dancing on this is extremely small and Judging by

00:38:40

what decisions are being made

00:38:41

[music]

00:38:43

and They are going somewhere in the wrong direction But on the other

00:38:46

hand, is this a problem that is partly ours and

00:38:49

partly ours because our

00:38:50

energy systems are still

00:38:52

somewhat connected to Russia and the European

00:38:55

Union until now have since been connected and

00:38:58

will probably be connected in the future, but

00:39:01

when we evaluate current mistakes,

00:39:04

strange decisions need to be understood Where

00:39:06

these decisions come from and then we can

00:39:09

understand the logic itself And if you want

00:39:12

to predict which decision from a

00:39:14

certain set will most likely be

00:39:16

made by the European leadership, that’s

00:39:19

all Alexander Bolshoye thank you stagnation the

00:39:22

comprehensive comment has become a little

00:39:24

clearer and more interesting friends subscribe

00:39:27

to geoenergy info subscribe to

00:39:29

Alexander Frolov in the price in the telegram

00:39:32

on YouTube all links will be in the description of

00:39:34

this video and the pinned

00:39:36

comment there will also be details for

00:39:38

those who want to financially help our project

00:39:40

and will continue to cheerfully broadcast on just a bummer of

00:39:42

YouTube in terms of monetization solutions,

00:39:45

thank you Until we meet again, all the best

00:39:48

[music]

Description:

Заговор ЗЕЛЕНЫХ против Промышленности Европы. Александр Фролов https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUX3NjzH3Tc - Банковский Кризис ОБНУЛЯЕТ Нефтедобычу в США Европа празднует победу: отказ от российских углеводородов не привел к полному экономическому и промышленному краху крупнейшей в Европе экономики, и цены на газ вышли на плато. Однако немецкие политики рано радуются. Так считают не только Венгрия и российские эксперты, но и западные аналитики. Европейская экономика и заводы по-прежнему остаются под угрозой. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Наш телеграм: https://t.me/geonrgru Станьте спонсором канала CПОНСОР.РУ ► https://sponsr.ru/geonrgru/ Поддержать канал: Сбербанк - 4274 3200 6731 4487 Максим Р. Тинькофф - 4377 7237 6815 3060 Максим Р. ВТБ - 2200 2407 5683 3253 Максим Р. https://yoomoney.ru/to/410018728624134 (донат сервис) Пожалуйста НЕ указывайте ничего в комментариях и назначении перевода! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VK ► https://vk.com/geonrgru ЯНДЕКС.ДЗЕН ► https://dzen.ru/geonrgru Сайт Геоэнергетика https://geonrg.ru/ Реклама, сотрудничество: https://t.me/radaykinpro

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