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00:00:03
[music]00:00:21
Hello everyone Today is Thursday This is a00:00:23
trumpet program on the Khodorkovsky00:00:25
Life channel, my name is Kirill Sedov, I immediately00:00:28
ask you, as usual, to like and00:00:30
subscribe to the channel If you have00:00:32
not yet subscribed, Subscribe so as not to00:00:35
miss new episodes, stay in touch with me00:00:37
Mikhail Krutikhin as always00:00:39
[ music]00:00:46
Mikhail Ivanovich hello Good afternoon,00:00:49
straight to the main news Transneft00:00:53
reported that in the Bryansk region they tried to00:00:56
shell the Novozybkov oil pumping station, the00:00:59
famous00:01:03
Druzhba oil pipeline passes through it But today is00:01:06
February 2nd Groundhog Day as in the00:01:09
famous picture Everything is repeated again and again00:01:11
in Russia, emergency situations are repeated On pipelines00:01:14
Mikhail Ivanovich What happened in the Bryansk00:01:17
region and whether the Druzhba oil pipeline will repeat the00:01:20
fate of the northern streams00:01:23
Well, as always, it is unknown who fired at00:01:26
what they fired at, they say that they found a00:01:29
crater not far from the00:01:32
gas pumping units at the station.00:01:34
There nearby, what was it, it could00:01:38
be some kind of rocket that fell00:01:39
launched from Russian territory in00:01:41
Ukrainian, maybe local Partisans are on the00:01:44
rampage, maybe something else, that is, it’s00:01:46
not at all clear, but the fact is that the00:01:50
Druzhba pipeline system She00:01:52
served her time a long time ago. I remember Back00:01:55
in 2007, when its fate was discussed, they00:01:58
said, You know the meaning Which one00:02:01
in it,00:02:04
we’ll close it, we’ll open it, she’s justified her worth, she’s00:02:07
already justified herself five or seven times, all her00:02:10
expenses for her construction,00:02:12
She’s fully compensated And therefore,00:02:16
this is an object that needs00:02:19
maintenance, needs operational00:02:22
costs, it00:02:24
may not even be of much use, and in political00:02:27
purposes, it will even be possible to cover it up, and00:02:29
then in January 2007, even Putin00:02:31
Putin agreed with00:02:33
Transneft’s proposals to close this system00:02:36
starting from the Belarusian border and00:02:39
redirect the flow of oil to Russian00:02:42
ports so that it does not go through Belarus00:02:46
Poland Germany through the Czech Republic Slovakia00:02:49
Ukraine and so on further But then the00:02:52
whole thing didn’t burn out, although a pipe from the00:02:54
Belarusian border was00:02:57
installed, compressor stations were installed near Necha, an00:03:02
oil pipeline was built to Ust-Luga and00:03:06
some of the oil is actually flowing,00:03:09
but now there is an00:03:12
assumption that this00:03:16
oil pipeline system will be completely out of00:03:18
order because, firstly It is the Southern00:03:23
branch and it flows through the territory of00:03:25
Ukraine, there are00:03:29
three countries on it: Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia.00:03:33
They are, as it were, excluded from all sorts of00:03:36
sanctions; they can still00:03:38
receive Russian oil for some time; if00:03:41
something is turned off there, then this will be a00:03:44
decision These are not the countries receiving the00:03:48
decision of the Russian leadership, the northern00:03:50
line that goes through from Belarus00:03:54
through Poland to Germany, they also decided to00:03:57
close it because more than Germany00:03:59
refused Russian oil,00:04:01
it will be possible to pump00:04:04
Kazakh oil through it.00:04:06
Kazakhstan has long wanted to use this00:04:09
system to export its oil from it doesn’t00:04:11
have enough export capacity But if00:04:15
now something happens to this line,00:04:18
then Europe won’t get it00:04:22
and everything will depend on Kazakh oil.00:04:25
Well, how can we now talk about00:04:27
political Will, this is the decision in the00:04:30
Kremlin to close it Under the pretext00:04:32
that there are shells fall next to them, then they will close00:04:35
and not allow Kazakhstan into Germany with00:04:39
Kazakh oil, there is a suspicion that there00:04:43
may be such considerations No, it won’t00:04:45
pass there, it won’t pass, not Russian, not00:04:47
Kazakh, no, you somehow manage there yourself,00:04:50
because here we have00:04:52
force majeure circumstances and it00:04:55
will have to go through the pipe close, but00:05:01
they will not make such statements to the public, they will simply00:05:03
close this route under the pretext of insecurity.00:05:07
I understand correctly that00:05:10
this whole situation around Novozybkov00:05:13
can be repeated00:05:15
and, in general, be rhymed with the situation of00:05:18
this summer around the Caspian00:05:21
Pipeline Consortium,00:05:23
whose work there was periodically00:05:24
interrupted due to for numerous ships00:05:27
just because it is Kazakh00:05:31
oil and in general Well, somehow Russia00:05:34
periodically00:05:36
puts a spoke in the wheels of Kazakhstan.00:05:39
I understand you correctly. Well, in this00:05:41
case, I think it can be very00:05:43
strong. Maybe because00:05:46
it happened just after that how the Germans00:05:50
agreed with the Kazakh companies,00:05:52
it seems that there00:05:56
is no excuse for supplies not to allow00:05:58
Kazakh oil to pass through in transit,00:06:01
such an excuse arose and there, in fact,00:06:03
over the past year00:06:06
they stopped the car four times through the Caspian00:06:08
pipeline consortium. And in00:06:10
Kazakhstan, in fact, 80 percent of all00:06:13
oil exports go through this pipe.00:06:15
Tony will stand up, what won’t00:06:18
replace it is not sending00:06:21
some volumes to Russia and further,00:06:25
for example, in some other directions.00:06:28
Because there are00:06:30
oil pipelines that go through00:06:32
Russian territory from Kazakhstan.00:06:35
Well, what other opportunities does Kazakhstan have left?00:06:38
Agree with00:06:40
Azerbaijan to release part of the00:06:43
Kazakh oil into the pipeline that goes to00:06:45
Baku Tbilisi Ceyhan to ship from the00:06:48
Turkish port of Cihan Kazakhstan there is not00:06:51
much free space and high00:06:52
tariffs are not profitable it is possible to00:06:55
send oil from Azerbaijan via the00:07:00
supsa oil pipeline to the Georgian coast of the00:07:03
Black Sea From there send part of the oil00:07:05
there four oil tankers there00:07:08
is a threat and it is possible send00:07:11
by tankers to Makhachkala and again through00:07:15
Russian pipelines from Dagestan00:07:19
towards Novorossiysk And there, no longer from the00:07:22
CPC terminal, but from the normal00:07:24
Novorossiysk oil loading port of00:07:26
Sheskharis, send Kazakhstani no, but00:07:30
this does not replace what00:07:33
CPC can do and now, in my opinion00:07:37
Kazakhstan's00:07:40
only salvation is the Chinese. Well, it's not just00:07:43
the Chinese, there are also Western companies00:07:46
because Chinese companies produce a lot of oil in Kazakhstan.00:07:48
They have to00:07:50
export it. And when they are told,00:07:52
Sorry, you can't export00:07:54
yours, no, because Russia interfered,00:07:57
then the chairman will probably00:07:59
intervene will call the Russian00:08:01
president and say that it was you who00:08:06
started a fight against Chinese companies in Kazakhstan at home thanks to such00:08:08
interference or the fact that Putin was00:08:10
warned not to play with the00:08:13
Caspian pipeline consortium, in00:08:15
the end, at the end of the year everything settled down,00:08:18
no one is announcing that there are mines there since the00:08:21
Second World War wars have found00:08:23
some or cracks in the00:08:26
berthing structures Well, let's see what00:08:29
happens next.00:08:31
I now remember Transneft's statement00:08:34
that they are ready to begin00:08:37
transporting oil through the friendship of00:08:40
Kazakh oil to Germany and just in00:08:42
my opinion the date was called from February 1, do00:08:44
n't you have information has begun,00:08:48
now this pumping is not yet visible, I have00:08:51
not received such messages, I will have to00:08:53
trace it. If oil really went00:08:55
somewhere to Germany through this00:08:57
route. Well, I think that00:09:00
Kazakhstan is very good. There is an opportunity00:09:01
to transport at least part of the oil along an00:09:04
alternative route and the Kazakhs were00:09:07
not allowed to pump oil somewhere for a very long time,00:09:10
they agreed to pump it through Lithuania00:09:13
for export through Germany to pump it00:09:16
for export through Poland through00:09:19
Gdansk, but nothing worked for00:09:22
them. Well, we also have a00:09:25
lot of shelling, we have shelling today,00:09:29
another incident in the evening On January 28,00:09:32
several drones attacked00:09:35
military infrastructure facilities in the00:09:38
Islamic Republic of Iran. In your00:09:41
opinion, what is the likelihood that00:09:44
this attack will develop into a permanent00:09:47
conflict and how does this affect the situation00:09:52
on the oil market? It is00:09:54
already obvious that00:09:57
numerous messages with lists of00:10:00
objects that were attacked in00:10:03
Iran they turned out to be a strong00:10:05
exaggeration, the00:10:06
Iranians themselves said that well,00:10:09
one plant was slightly damaged,00:10:11
another military facility was slightly damaged,00:10:13
another military facility. But in00:10:16
fact,00:10:18
the damage turned out to be minimal, it was an00:10:22
isolated action. Apparently, it has nothing to00:10:25
do with the fact that Iran supplies00:10:27
Russia drones00:10:30
satellite images of a00:10:32
drone manufacturing plant before the raid and00:10:35
after the raid they are absolutely no00:10:37
different and this incident will00:10:43
not outgrow the war in the Persian Gulf least of00:10:46
all the war there is needed by Iran Iran which is00:10:50
very dependent on oil supplies00:10:54
page That is, in fact,00:10:55
smuggled supplies00:10:57
and if suddenly the movement of tankers00:11:01
from the Persian Gulf to the outside world will be disrupted,00:11:04
Iran will be the first to suffer, and I00:11:08
think it was worth looking right away.00:11:12
Yes, on Monday after this raid, how the00:11:15
oil market would react to this. Well,00:11:18
if oil prices suddenly suddenly00:11:21
soared up. This means that the market00:11:23
will decide that there is a serious danger here of00:11:26
some kind of expansion of military actions in the00:11:29
Persian Gulf region Iran will begin to take00:11:32
revenge either on Israel or Saudi00:11:35
Arabia or someone else and after that00:11:38
the price of oil should soar Well, up to 200,30000:11:41
dollars per barrel and something else even00:11:44
higher, no, the price took it and at that moment00:11:47
it went down the day instead of going00:11:49
up, so the market also correctly00:11:51
calculated the damage, minimal,00:11:54
low, the fact that all this will develop into a00:11:57
big war in the Middle East is not yet00:11:59
visible, no, well, let’s forget about this incident, the00:12:03
market decided00:12:05
Mikhail Ivanovich The market doesn’t see the00:12:08
threat of war in the Middle East, good.00:12:12
Why don’t you see this threat, here are00:12:15
some signs that are missing.00:12:17
Well, they say a lot that Iran is a00:12:21
sponsor of terrorism, that it’s there a lot,00:12:23
what are you doing, what’s doing00:12:25
first, I may not be doing something such an00:12:28
incorrect non-standard I will say but00:12:31
I do00:12:32
n’t have such information and there is no00:12:36
data that Iran is really00:12:38
some kind of sponsor of terrorism Yes Iran is00:12:43
trying to create such a00:12:46
political belt of its supporters00:12:49
in Iraq there are Shiites many of whom feed00:12:54
from Iran are supported by Iran and in the00:12:56
government Choose there are also many00:12:58
supporters of Iran now, this is not Saddam00:13:01
Hussein, who started two wars against and00:13:03
then goes on where the00:13:07
Iranians also have very,00:13:10
very close cooperation with the Syrian regime, and00:13:13
Lebanon, that is, right up to the Mediterranean00:13:16
Sea, such a strip stretches from east to west00:13:19
And in Livanikha it called about the00:13:22
Iranian forces, they are also very strong, they are00:13:24
part of the Government. Well, yes, but from the00:13:27
point of view of the fact that this is a sponsor00:13:29
of terrorism, here there is already a big00:13:32
question mark, by the00:13:33
way, it started even earlier because I00:13:36
remember when00:13:37
suddenly, after the collapse of the00:13:41
monarchical regime in Iran, Tehran00:13:44
suddenly Arafat arrived in the hope that00:13:47
now our cooperation with the00:13:50
new regime will develop and we will show everyone here.00:13:53
Yes, he was received by the Khomyanin; no00:13:58
enthusiasm was shown to support the Palestinian00:14:01
militants or their actions against Israel,00:14:05
and no serious assistance00:14:08
was provided to the Palestinians either00:14:11
because Well, they decided that this is not our00:14:13
war, the Iranians decided so and now the Iranians are00:14:16
not at all interested in any kind of war00:14:19
when we look at the00:14:23
same movements, like the Taliban or the00:14:26
Islamic state or someone else, but there are00:14:29
no Iranian roots, it’s all not00:14:32
the Iranians are working and now, in general, we00:14:36
can say despite all the00:14:37
anti-Iranian Propaganda that the00:14:39
Iranians are very much not interested in any war now,00:14:42
especially in disrupting00:14:45
shipping in the Persian Gulf, there is no00:14:49
such passionate desire to fight with00:14:51
someone Yes, in the Iranian press they can00:14:53
condemn Saudi Arabia There are constantly00:14:56
calls to destroy the word00:15:00
Israel, there is no such thing in the lexicon of00:15:02
propagandists,00:15:05
then it is necessary to destroy it, but this is00:15:08
all polemics00:15:10
with some00:15:12
opponents in the press.00:15:15
Well, but Iran’s serious military efforts,00:15:19
at least in order to turn into00:15:21
some kind of regional military power,00:15:24
too it’s not visible, no,00:15:27
but what about military cooperation with00:15:30
Russia, which is strengthening day by day?00:15:33
Well, what kind of military cooperation are these00:15:36
drones? But apparently, before00:15:39
the drones. And what else, I can’t00:15:43
imagine that Iran would strongly00:15:45
cooperate with Russia in the war00:15:48
unleashed on Ukrainian soil.00:15:51
Well yes, they sell drones. Why shouldn’t00:15:55
it be someone else to sell them to the Iranians if00:15:58
they riveted these so-called mopeds,00:16:02
but it’s not serious, it’s not a military bloc,00:16:06
there’s no bloc, the Iranians are00:16:09
probably in my opinion. They behave the same way00:16:11
as other countries of the Persian00:16:13
Gulf and the Middle East in general. In the East, as soon as00:16:16
we talk about Russia,00:16:18
it turns out that on the part of Russia there are00:16:21
continuous efforts to00:16:23
kiss the00:16:27
Great Friendship and form some kind of00:16:30
unions of associations,00:16:33
but when, as before, they said00:16:35
anti-imperialist and so on, but the00:16:38
possibility of creating some kind of Union with00:16:41
Russia is used for what is it like a00:16:42
bogeyman for the United States for the West00:16:46
as a whole. Look, if you don’t00:16:48
cooperate with us or fulfill00:16:51
some of our wishes. We can00:16:54
start being friends with Russia. That is, Russia00:16:57
is used by everyone in the Middle00:17:00
East. Here she flies with her love00:17:03
for absolutely everyone.00:17:06
good domestic Russian news00:17:08
Vladimir Putin instructed the Cabinet of Ministers to00:17:12
develop an updated methodology for00:17:14
determining oil prices, with the help of00:17:16
which the Ministry of Finance00:17:19
calculates the amount of the mineral extraction tax,00:17:23
so we discussed this00:17:26
topic with Vladislav Inozemtsev in the00:17:28
rules of the game program, he believes that, well,00:17:32
oil companies will have to00:17:34
fork out, so the Kremlin has decided,00:17:36
what do you think you and how big00:17:40
this burden will be on these companies. This is00:17:44
absolutely true because, well, the00:17:46
only reason to00:17:48
revise the basic formula for00:17:51
determining the mineral extraction tax,00:17:54
that is, the So-called is to00:17:57
somehow increase00:17:59
taxes on oil companies before,00:18:03
as was done,00:18:05
the principle was such Let's gradually00:18:07
abolish the export duty but00:18:12
increase this mineral extraction tax on00:18:15
mineral extraction And now, apparently, we have00:18:18
decided What is it and from00:18:20
what price is all this calculated? The tax is00:18:22
calculated from the so-called00:18:24
customs price of oil and very often the00:18:26
customs price of oil is FOB that is, at the00:18:30
port they loaded it onto a tanker, and the price of00:18:32
oil is there. And that means we00:18:34
need to count it from this customs price, and00:18:38
the proposal, apparently, is00:18:41
that let’s count it from the price of the buffalo,00:18:44
that is, from the price of oil,00:18:45
which has already been finally implemented in the00:18:48
port where they received this oil00:18:51
Or something even worse, that is,00:18:54
they will take some00:18:56
futures, they will start counting next00:18:59
month or two months in advance at the Russian price, the00:19:05
tax time for oil companies00:19:07
will increase in one way or another, they will come up with a00:19:11
new formula because they are00:19:14
already behaving absolutely impudently, that’s how00:19:17
they told Gazprom last year, you know, something’s00:19:19
not enough, we received a tax on the extraction of00:19:22
minerals. And let’s pay Gazprom one-time to00:19:25
us one trillion 20000:19:29
billion rubles to the treasury as a00:19:32
special kind of tax on extraction00:19:37
and Gazprom paid and then the Russian00:19:39
city government began to Announce And00:19:41
here we have such a profit from00:19:43
oil and gas, more than two trillion rubles,00:19:46
most of this is that same00:19:48
unexpected extortion that can hardly even be called a tax00:19:51
and the same will happen with oil00:19:53
companies, they have accumulated for00:19:56
themselves in the opinion of the management a lot of money00:19:59
needs to be shared00:20:00
a lot of money one has accumulated, but it now00:20:03
exists under the conditions of an oil embargo,00:20:07
from February 5 an embargo on petroleum products will be added,00:20:08
this is a situation where, on the00:20:12
one hand, there is a decrease in profitability00:20:13
due to the embargo, on the other hand, an00:20:15
increase in the increase in the tax burden,00:20:17
how great is the margin of safety for Russian00:20:21
oil companies companies, how will they cope with this00:20:23
and will they cope? Well, there is still a00:20:26
reserve, so when I talk00:20:28
now with managers of Russian companies,00:20:30
they say, we are waiting for February 5th When00:20:33
the embargo on the supply of00:20:35
petroleum products begins. This means that we00:20:38
at the oil refineries00:20:41
will give us a signal, we will give it that much we can’t00:20:44
process crude oil because no00:20:46
one will buy these petroleum products.00:20:51
Moreover, this means that oil00:20:55
companies now have00:20:56
a choice. The first thing is to close them,00:21:01
close some fields, fire00:21:04
employees, dissolve some villages,00:21:07
leave them without any means of00:21:09
subsistence, maybe even entire ones. cities and the00:21:12
second is to continue to00:21:16
produce this oil for some time, at least partially, without00:21:19
greatly reducing production, but try to00:21:22
sell it in its raw form, that is, to00:21:25
increase the export of crude oil from Russia00:21:28
since it is impossible to sell00:21:30
petroleum products, there are restrictions here,00:21:32
firstly, we are looking at these markets But00:21:35
besides India, which is increasing purchases,00:21:38
there are no serious large buyers for00:21:41
Russian crude oil,00:21:43
but China, a little bit. It00:21:46
had a record value of 83 million tons per year.00:21:49
China once had such a record.00:21:51
And now last year, 86300:21:54
million tons in total, it just increased00:21:57
China consumption of Russian crude oil00:21:59
and it is impossible to count on the fact that they will00:22:01
take anything else there, so they00:22:04
will partially reduce production00:22:07
and increase it, try to increase the export of00:22:11
crude oil instead of petroleum products and00:22:13
reduce production, but the point of increasing00:22:16
exports is again lost because00:22:20
exports are going down a price that does not always00:22:23
justify00:22:24
the cost of this oil, if you take00:22:29
a look since the oil goes00:22:32
abroad, you need to subtract from this the00:22:34
mineral extraction tax,00:22:36
export duty, the cost of production,00:22:40
the cost of transportation, etc., and00:22:42
other expenses, it turns out that very00:22:45
often, before some kind of omission, oil00:22:47
companies simply have nothing at all there is00:22:48
also no profit margin left there,00:22:51
just nothing at all and they work00:22:54
only because if they stop now,00:22:56
if they plug the wells, then firstly they will00:22:59
not be restored later, secondly, they need to00:23:02
spend money on liquidating the industries And00:23:06
thirdly, they need to drive people out onto the00:23:08
streets, which is the same completely and00:23:11
even now some companies are operating00:23:13
at a loss. One example of this is how00:23:17
oil workers act. This is Tatarstan, there00:23:20
was an office that exercised00:23:22
centralized management over00:23:24
numerous small oil00:23:26
companies, and there, as an00:23:28
exception to our industry, there are a00:23:31
lot of small oil companies in Tatarstan00:23:33
that are engaged in00:23:35
as if such a risky business, they are00:23:41
trying to introduce some kind of technological innovation,00:23:43
they get capital somewhere unexpectedly00:23:46
or something else, and now this company00:23:49
that was centralized helped them and00:23:52
organized their work, it disappears and00:23:54
these companies are actually facing stoppage00:23:57
or bankruptcy in Tatarstan has a very00:24:00
serious situation with this. I think that the00:24:02
situation is no less serious in the Ugra, that00:24:05
is, in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous00:24:07
Okrug, where the bulk of our oil00:24:09
is produced, that is, there, too, we will have to00:24:11
close something, give up something,00:24:14
but try with all our might -00:24:18
to maintain the export of crude oil if not a00:24:21
support for Russian refineries, but the00:24:25
blow to the industry will be more than a00:24:29
blow to the00:24:31
blow in the form of a ban on the export of crude00:24:34
oil December 5,00:24:37
Mikhail Ivanovich That’s exactly what came out about the export of00:24:40
crude oil and the work of Russian oil companies00:24:44
in these conditions00:24:45
many publications Investigation of00:24:49
investors-report from United and Medusa00:24:52
regarding the fact that in fact, after the00:24:55
oil00:24:58
embargo came into force, neither the volume nor the income from the00:25:01
sale of Russian oil fell at the rate00:25:05
European tankers carry it to the EU00:25:08
thanks to CRM schemes In addition, there is a00:25:11
scheme the work of the00:25:13
state Sovcomflot, which00:25:15
established a subsidiary in the00:25:19
United Arab Emirates,00:25:21
the publication writes in icons About the fact that, in00:25:25
general, thanks to gray schemes,00:25:30
the efficiency, so to speak, the efficiency and00:25:33
rumors about the00:25:34
collapse of the Russian oil industry inside are00:25:37
extremely exaggerated, what do you00:25:40
think about these investigations and00:25:42
publications00:25:43
I saw such a wonderful absolutely00:25:47
articles, even here are two articles I remember00:25:49
the last ones Here is Sergei Stankevich and00:25:51
an article came out that repeats previous00:25:55
publications. And the point is that we don’t00:25:58
see the price at which00:26:00
Russian oil is bought, and in fact, this is how00:26:03
one of the publications said: This00:26:05
price can be 90 dollars for00:26:07
a Barrel and I imagined a buyer in00:26:11
India, for example. Well, since now everyone00:26:14
about India is talking about India, most of00:26:15
this additional oil is00:26:18
passing by the boycott, and it goes there and00:26:21
suddenly, instead of buying00:26:23
oil at 42 dollars, it will pay 90 for it,00:26:26
why is this Our market doesn’t work at all,00:26:28
or is it charity on the00:26:31
part of India or something else, then00:26:34
speculation arose that Russia00:26:37
receives additional income, why00:26:40
are these Russian tankers,00:26:43
shipowners, the second is Russian00:26:46
insurance companies, that is, because of freight,00:26:49
because of insurance, anyway in Russian00:26:51
companies, all this settles, firstly, this is00:26:54
not a state company, these are some00:26:56
fake guys who are parasitizing00:26:59
on this situation, this time, and secondly, it’s00:27:03
all the same in the end00:27:05
Yes, Western00:27:08
insurers, Western companies also00:27:10
carry Russian no, but only00:27:13
if the price is Her less than 60 dollars and00:27:17
when now we suddenly see that they announced00:27:20
how much there was, our last one was almost00:27:23
47 or 48 dollars. Over the last00:27:26
month, we calculated the average price of00:27:30
oil at which Russia sold it. But00:27:33
what’s the point of00:27:36
paying more for it when there is an00:27:39
opportunity to buy it cheap This is what00:27:43
eludes me. I assume that00:27:46
all these publications either greatly00:27:49
exaggerate isolated cases. It’s00:27:51
smuggling00:27:53
or it’s just00:27:56
comrades sent by Cossack women. But00:28:00
as for the cases, yes please, I00:28:04
already know two cases when00:28:06
the Chinese bought Russian oil, it was00:28:10
exported from00:28:11
Baltic Russian ports in small00:28:14
tankers because our Ocean tanker00:28:16
will not go into the Baltic Sea and then00:28:21
somewhere00:28:22
they reloaded it all into a big big00:28:24
tanker that was not mixed by someone, the same00:28:28
Russian oil was reloaded and then00:28:30
under the new00:28:33
banner of the new owner who bought it00:28:36
all went into this Oil further to its intended purpose,00:28:38
but the difference still didn’t00:28:41
go to Russia; it’s the Chinese who00:28:44
buy it cheap, then dump it into a00:28:46
separate ocean tanker with a00:28:48
large, large00:28:49
capacity of 2 million barrels and then00:28:53
sell it for themselves with a big00:28:55
big profit, yes, there are such schemes too,00:28:59
but they isolated so far and Russia as a whole, that’s00:29:02
how she announced that she was getting how much00:29:04
47 48 dollars for her Barrel00:29:07
now, that’s how she will get yesterday00:29:10
or the day before yesterday, a wonderful scheme was00:29:13
published according to the s00:29:15
&p Global standard, they published this00:29:19
at what price the00:29:24
budget of some countries for Russia will be reduced00:29:28
it turned out that in order for the Russian00:29:30
budget to be brought together, Russia must00:29:32
sell its oil at a price of 148 to00:29:36
dollars per barrel, it turns out that00:29:38
when it is higher than what is currently00:29:42
budgeted, the budget was budgeted. So there00:29:46
is a deficit there, there is a00:29:48
planned deficit in the budget if00:29:51
it is not sold at 148 but 48 then you can00:29:56
imagine what the budget deficit will be.00:29:58
This is not what is planned there.00:30:00
Well, at least twice as high, or even00:30:04
twice as high, these are the calculations, yes. And00:30:08
when we talk about isolated00:30:10
cases of oil shipments through some00:30:13
gray schemes, then Russia still00:30:16
gets this money, it’s a00:30:19
schemer00:30:20
under the Russian government where their00:30:23
officials are distributing all this margin that is00:30:27
obtained when reloading oil under00:30:29
fraudulent schemes with some incomprehensibly00:30:32
Russian insurance companies and the00:30:36
cost of the fractions that someone else00:30:39
there receives is not received by Russia.00:30:42
more than00:30:45
those same 4800:30:49
Russian oil companies have another problem Kommersant found out about00:30:52
this The fact is that they are sounding00:30:55
the alarm Russian Railways refuses them en masse to00:30:58
transport00:30:59
petroleum products to the east of the country00:31:03
How acute do you think this00:31:05
problem is for oil companies in the00:31:09
context of the oil embargo which is00:31:11
waiting soon, is about to come, no, the00:31:15
current conflict, I’m not commenting00:31:18
because this is already Russian Railways. This is a completely00:31:20
special world because they have00:31:23
the capacity of roads, there is very00:31:26
serious competition there, for example,00:31:28
to pass coal to the east, which is still00:31:30
in China -somehow it gets in. And if you00:31:33
don’t let it pass, then in general the Russian00:31:36
coal industry,00:31:40
oil products in the east of the country have the00:31:43
opportunity to make other oil-00:31:45
producing enterprises that00:31:47
operate there and operate successfully, this is00:31:50
Angarsk Achinsk, this is in the Far East,00:31:53
Komsomolsk-on-Amur, this is Khabarovsk That00:31:55
is, even the Omsk plant That is, there is a00:31:59
shortage of petroleum products there. As such, there is no00:32:03
critical direction there for coal and00:32:08
therefore the logic of the railway00:32:10
can be understood, but now When00:32:13
we have an embargo on the export of00:32:16
Russian petroleum products, they will try to00:32:22
accommodate these petroleum products as much as possible within the country. But firstly, a00:32:25
railway will be needed00:32:27
negotiating is not a priority for her.00:32:30
And secondly, it is very difficult to arrange it00:32:32
within the country because it can be accommodated.00:32:34
You can, for example, diesel fuel, gasoline,00:32:37
aviation kerosene. And if your00:32:40
oil refinery has 4800:32:43
percent of your oil, you produce fuel oil, then who00:32:47
needs this fuel oil in Russia?00:32:49
But this will arise big problem I00:32:54
immediately looked at the00:32:58
average Indian oil00:33:00
refinery recently and how much fuel oil it produces, it00:33:03
turned out to be two and a half percent. And00:33:05
when the Russian plant of this00:33:07
Black Mud produces almost half of00:33:10
everything that comes out of it.00:33:20
it would00:33:23
be even from the point of view of the domestic00:33:25
market to add something to the domestic00:33:27
market, this would be a00:33:28
gigantic problem Yes, some of the00:33:32
factories will have to be closed or some of the production00:33:34
at the factories will have to be closed well on the topic on the00:33:37
topic of gas Gazprom has launched a complex for the00:33:41
production of liquefied natural gas00:33:44
in the area of the compressor station A port00:33:47
on the Gulf of Finland and that’s what’s interesting.00:33:50
He did this without the technical support of00:33:54
equipment manufacturers and without the00:33:57
approval of the license holder00:33:59
for the gas liquefaction technology itself, and I00:34:04
wanted to ask you whether this is fraught with00:34:07
man-made disasters in the00:34:10
Gulf of Finland or whether Gazprom will still cope and00:34:12
do everything as it should be even without00:34:14
licensees and without technical support.00:34:18
Well, I’m very afraid that this00:34:22
was not a justified decision because it00:34:24
was still necessary to ask the same company00:34:26
Linda,00:34:28
we will use your technology here, use the00:34:32
necessary technical maintenance, you need00:34:35
constant monitoring,00:34:36
if this does not happen, then I I assume that there00:34:41
may be disasters, but this is the same00:34:45
system, the same principle that the00:34:48
president once announced. Let them00:34:51
invent everything there and then we scratch00:34:53
Well, this is theft, of course. This is a completely00:34:56
illegal action and an action00:35:00
that is fraught with serious danger00:35:03
for people and for the surrounding nature00:35:07
and for many things, catastrophes may00:35:10
not be a very big enterprise, but00:35:12
let’s remember, she has already distinguished herself,00:35:14
remember when not so long ago there were concerns00:35:18
about the flaring of Russian gas00:35:21
and where it was, they thought that it was at the00:35:24
entry point into the northern streams, here is00:35:26
the Northern stream 2 is there And this was00:35:29
just at the Portovaya plant While it was00:35:33
being regulated while they were preparing to put it into00:35:35
operation00:35:36
to ensure an uninterrupted00:35:39
supply of gas from the Yamal Peninsula00:35:42
along a 3000-kilometer long corridor00:35:44
to this small plant so that00:35:46
all this would receive exactly00:35:49
as much gas as he needs a little,00:35:51
no more, no less, it was extremely00:35:53
difficult to ensure00:35:56
uniform pressure throughout the entire route per00:35:59
tiny plant,00:36:01
and so on, excess gas was00:36:04
simply burned at this plant and all over the00:36:07
world, starting from Finland and the Baltic countries,00:36:10
it was scary and worrying00:36:12
look what is going on there, they are burning00:36:14
Russian gas, they are poisoning the atmosphere, yes, that00:36:17
is, this plant has already become famous. And if00:36:20
further, without control from the00:36:22
owners00:36:24
of technology licenses,00:36:27
some technical problems begin, then00:36:29
we will again see the burning of gas and And00:36:33
maybe even these technical accidents00:36:37
will be quite serious. We will hope that in the Gulf of Finland00:36:39
everything will work out without an accident in this00:36:41
LNG production complex and00:36:44
continuing the theme of liquefied natural00:36:46
gas, Germany, according to Bloomberg,00:36:51
will limit the import of LNG from Russia,00:36:56
previously the UK did the same,00:36:59
as far as they led that the00:37:04
example of Germany and the UK00:37:07
will be followed by other European countries of the00:37:09
European Union00:37:12
Now even the00:37:14
main volume of gas from such a project as00:37:20
Yamal LNG is in this direction, the00:37:23
Yamal LNG project works the most; it produces more than00:37:26
20 million tons per year of00:37:29
natural gas and the main00:37:31
buyers are not in Asia somewhere. Although00:37:33
they expected that there would be a lot going to Asia00:37:35
send and this is Europe and the main00:37:37
buyer now, by the way, Spain is00:37:39
completely unexpected,00:37:41
but here there is one peculiarity in00:37:44
trade in the Russian year Russian with00:37:47
natural Russian wet gas00:37:49
Russian LNG And where are they Russian?00:37:52
Here they go there,00:37:54
they produce gas international console00:37:59
Novatek which is not quite a Russian00:38:01
company There are two Chinese companies and the00:38:05
French,00:38:09
and this liquefied gas00:38:12
belongs to the partners. They have divided00:38:15
this production, and a third00:38:18
belongs to the Chinese. You have a00:38:21
gas carrier vessel that was chartered in order for00:38:23
liquefied gas belonging to00:38:26
Chinese companies or one00:38:28
of them to be delivered to the market and when this00:38:32
gas comes somewhere to the end00:38:35
consumer at a terminal where it will be00:38:37
loaded, this gas is not Russian, this is00:38:41
gas owned by the Chinese or something like00:38:45
this, well, what does Russian gas mean? And if00:38:48
you consider that these Russian companies did00:38:51
not pay anything for it, they are under00:38:54
special orders of Putin they00:38:57
have a special tax regime What does it00:39:00
mean 000:39:02
export, you know, customs duty 000:39:06
tax on the extraction of useful limes 0 on00:39:10
company profits 0 on import of00:39:13
equipment, that is, they received00:39:15
this gas as a gift, it is their gas, it is no longer00:39:19
Russian, but Russia is nothing, the hotel does00:39:22
not export this gas gets00:39:25
absolutely nothing, so to say that the00:39:27
purchase of such gas finances the war in00:39:30
Ukraine I think that is wrong. Why00:39:33
then should Germany make this decision and the00:39:35
UK? Why limit the import of00:39:37
LNG if this is in fact a00:39:40
Chinese confession? Try this,00:39:42
what I just explained to explain00:39:46
to the average person Germany Great Britain00:39:49
this ship with gas is coming from Russia or00:39:52
where it comes from Yes from Russia Russian00:39:55
field00:39:57
Russian field and the fact that the00:40:00
sovereign foreigners would00:40:02
not receive anything Russia needs to explain for a long time and00:40:05
therefore Yes there is an audience on00:40:08
which such statements are addressed00:40:12
You mentioned the Total company00:40:16
Energy head of the company Patrick PN, he00:40:19
recently said in an interview that it is too early00:40:23
for Europe to relax in general, that a00:40:28
difficult situation on the European natural gas market may arise again00:40:31
in 23, since we will just have to00:40:34
compete for LNG with Asia, and so we00:40:40
periodically raise this topic, but00:40:42
however, in the context of such00:40:45
statements in the context of these expectations of00:40:47
competition with Asia, Germany00:40:49
nevertheless refuses LNG and so00:40:53
I will make quotation marks from Russia here is your00:40:56
comment on this matter00:40:58
no, but00:41:00
forecasts regarding competition between00:41:04
Europe and Asian consumers for00:41:07
liquefied gas they00:41:09
the forecasts have long been absolutely correct if00:41:12
you imagine, but they are still weak, but there is00:41:14
an assumption that the00:41:15
economic situation in China is improving; it00:41:17
will be in greater need of the same00:41:20
imported gas, but as was the case in the00:41:23
fall of the year before, Europe realized that this gas00:41:27
could be intercepted from it by the Asians and suddenly in00:41:31
Europe they raised prices That is, it will00:41:34
not be a shortage of some kind of gas, but it will simply00:41:36
be a price competition, this is the first thing, that00:41:41
is, yes, Europe will start again now00:41:43
gas prices have fallen very much. Again they00:41:46
will rise in order to outbid the00:41:50
Asians who are ready to pay for it, and00:41:54
then Well It must be taken into account that in addition to the00:41:58
increase in demand for LNG, there is also an00:42:02
increase in its supply. Right now, a00:42:05
plant in Freport in America is coming into full operation after an00:42:09
accident after a rather long shutdown. Other00:42:14
capacities for new00:42:17
liquefied natural gas are on the way. That is,00:42:20
I don’t see a crisis. Well, maybe it will take00:42:24
a little overpay to00:42:26
outbid this gas Asians, but so00:42:29
that suddenly Europe begins to freeze, we00:42:33
saw monstrously high prices, I don’t think that00:42:36
this situation will repeat itself because00:42:38
such a shortage is00:42:40
not expected yet, a00:42:42
small scandal in the Baltic countries will no00:42:46
longer be about liquefied natural00:42:50
gas, but about liquefied hydrocarbon gas,00:42:54
Russian exporters more than doubled00:42:57
its sales to the00:43:01
Baltic countries over the previous year, Reuters reported, in00:43:04
particular, Lithuania began to purchase it, I00:43:08
think 8.5 times more, respectively,00:43:12
the head of the00:43:14
representative of the Ministry of Energy00:43:16
commented that00:43:19
this gas is not purchased through official channels,00:43:22
it is purchased by private companies00:43:24
forwarded questions to these private00:43:26
companies, I wanted to ask you, they were talking00:43:29
about 60 and a half thousand tons of this00:43:34
gas, how large are these volumes, if this is a00:43:36
reason for a scandal, then in general00:43:39
Well, there are several trains00:43:41
there, well, it’s funny to even say00:43:43
This gas is a mixture of butane and propane00:43:47
which are in the kitchens This is gas in cylinders00:43:51
which is in cylinders00:43:53
in cars with a gas engine so-00:43:56
called engine this is household gas00:43:58
very often this is not just household gas But00:44:01
this is the raw material for00:44:02
petrochemicals for gas chemicals00:44:05
and00:44:06
trade firstly there is no00:44:08
restriction no embargo on this00:44:13
butane propane there is absolutely no mixture anywhere,00:44:16
you trade as you want and therefore Yes00:44:19
Russian companies, including00:44:20
small private companies and00:44:23
transport companies, quite00:44:25
calmly continue to trade this gas00:44:27
from the Black Sea, for example,00:44:30
gas carriers that carry this liquefied00:44:32
gas come here somewhere, this is trade with the00:44:36
countries of Central Asia A why not00:44:38
sell this gas to the Baltic countries? That00:44:42
is, I don’t see any crimes here00:44:45
against the sanctions. I don’t see00:44:48
anything to worry about at all because, well, as a00:44:52
normal product not under sanctions,00:44:55
let them trade it quietly00:44:58
Well, not in such large volumes in00:45:00
general volumes Of course they will not cause00:45:05
disappearances and will cause no damage to00:45:08
any economy and the increase will also not00:45:11
cause any reasons for00:45:15
someone else’s economy to take off No, this00:45:18
[music]00:45:19
returning to00:45:21
traditional natural gas00:45:24
the news appeared the day before on tapes00:45:30
that gas supplies from the European Union to00:45:34
Ukraine via virtual reverse00:45:38
were tested through Moldova. So I00:45:41
think that when yesterday many people saw00:45:44
such headlines in the news, many did not00:45:47
understand what we were talking about. What does this mean00:45:50
for Ukraine00:45:52
and for its energy sector, but so far only00:45:56
tested because actually Nish00:45:59
no gas No, but it was received But from00:46:02
non-commercial volumes What does this mean? This00:46:05
means there is such a route, it00:46:07
was called the trans-Balkan gas pipeline from00:46:10
Russia, gas was supplied to Turkey along the00:46:13
route Ukraine Moldova Romania00:46:15
Bulgaria then this gas pipeline00:46:18
actually stopped working when00:46:20
Gazprom was connected its Turkish stream and00:46:24
Turkey receives gas through the Turkish stream00:46:26
and the gas pipeline is free, it can be00:46:29
used in some way and therefore00:46:31
there was an agreement with Azerbaijan with the00:46:36
Azerbaijani company Socar to00:46:39
supply some volumes of gas into00:46:43
this pipe and see how it will00:46:45
pass through this the route is completely00:46:47
calm through Bulgaria, Romania to00:46:49
Moldova and all this came00:46:52
back to Ukraine through this pipe that used00:46:54
to pump gas in the southern direction and therefore it is00:46:57
now possible to conclude contracts with00:47:00
Azerbaijan for the supply of Gas. That is why00:47:06
I have not yet seen such a route, including for Ukrainian consumers00:47:09
contracts, Azerbaijan is threatening00:47:13
that by 27 it will double00:47:16
gas supplies to Europe. But let’s see how well it will00:47:18
succeed. But in general, there is a prospect for00:47:21
such a direction for both00:47:24
Ukraine and Moldova, that is,00:47:27
somehow becoming00:47:29
independent from Gazprom because00:47:32
gas comes from Turkey it may turn out00:47:35
that Turkey00:47:37
buys in00:47:39
liquefied form; it has good terminals,00:47:42
even more sales are00:47:44
expanding. Turkey is going to soon00:47:47
begin gas production to the Black Sea from its new00:47:51
offshore fields. Turkey00:47:56
may someday in the future begin to00:47:59
receive gas right from Turkmenistan if00:48:02
they lay a pipe through the Caspian Sea.00:48:05
there are some prospects there, for now00:48:08
these are distant prospects, but the pipe is already00:48:11
ready, it can supply gas. By the way,00:48:14
regarding Turkey, a00:48:16
large meeting was announced in Turkey in February,00:48:19
as far as I remember, regarding the00:48:21
gas hub project that was proposed by00:48:24
Vladimir Putin, you said that00:48:26
this project in general this is one big00:48:29
fiction invented somewhere on the knees in the00:48:32
presidential administration,00:48:35
but now we see a meeting is even being00:48:37
organized in Istanbul,00:48:38
how can this be commented on,00:48:40
there really is something so serious00:48:42
planned with this hub, no, but we00:48:45
definitely need to have a meeting and discuss00:48:47
all this But hubli yes, you can, of course,00:48:50
call that one pipe00:48:52
with a capacity of 16 billion cubic meters per year of the00:48:55
Turkish flow that crosses the00:48:57
Turkish-Bulgarian border and it’s only00:49:01
through this pipe that Russian gas enters the European Union from that00:49:04
direction. That00:49:07
is, if Turkey builds00:49:09
some kind of hub there then it will not be for00:49:11
Russian Gas. Here's how Russian gas00:49:14
gets there and it goes00:49:16
to Serbia, Hungary mainly,00:49:20
and there could be a hub. Here's Azerbaijani gas, there00:49:25
could be gas from Iran, which00:49:28
Turkey also receives. Turkey is counting00:49:31
on Israel to build a pipeline and there will be gas00:49:34
through Turkey too there are a lot of00:49:37
such assumptions, but in principle the00:49:41
Turkish hub will not be a hub00:49:45
because the Europeans have already said that, excuse00:49:47
me, outside the European Union we have00:49:50
some kind of hub, a trading platform that00:49:52
we cannot regulate in the interests of00:49:54
the European Union, we don’t need it at all and00:49:57
a hub with of which But one pipe crosses00:50:00
the border of the European Union, but this is not a hub, and for00:50:04
Turkey it is very important to exaggerate00:50:07
all this news in every possible way and00:50:09
encourage the expectations of the Russian president00:50:12
because the price for this is very high, the00:50:15
Turks demanded large discounts on the gas00:50:18
they buy in Russia and the second00:50:20
is the deferment of payments until 24 Of course, the00:50:24
Turks can’t predict what will happen in Russia in 24,00:50:26
but there is00:50:28
hope that maybe they won’t have to pay at all,00:50:30
and that’s why their rates are00:50:32
high, they can00:50:35
suck up and shout, watch it00:50:37
wonderfully You have an idea for this hub, we are00:50:40
now all with our hands and feet for Yes and Meetings00:50:43
there will be and everything will be as it should and00:50:45
agreements and some kind of road map00:50:48
will be drawn or something else will be announced00:50:51
but this is not a hub Well, the Turks have been waiting for 24 years00:50:57
because something will happen in 24 either00:50:59
the donkey will die or Emir00:51:03
Mikhail Ivanovich Thank you very much for00:51:06
your comment we say goodbye until Thursday00:51:08
when we will again analyze the00:51:10
main events of Russian and world00:51:13
oil and gas00:51:14
Thank you thank you All the best00:51:19
[music]00:51:25
It was the legendary Mikhail Krutikhin on the00:51:29
Khodorkovsky Life channel like00:51:32
Mikhail Ivanovich Subscribe to our00:51:35
channel so as not to miss new episodes of the00:51:38
pipe my name is Kirill Sedov, right00:51:42
after us in a few minutes the air00:51:45
news program will start on the channel,00:51:47
be sure to watch it today it00:51:50
will be interesting I will see you on00:51:53
Tuesday in the program rules of the game with00:51:56
Vladislav Inozemtsev see you bye00:52:01
[music]Description:
— «Транснефть» сообщила о попытке обстрела нефтеперекачивающей станции в Брянской области — ждет ли нефтепровод «Дружба» судьба «Северного потока»? — «Газпром» запустил на Финском заливе производство СПГ без нужных лицензий и техподдержки — почему это грозит катастрофой? — Чем обернется для нефтяного рынка атака на Иран и ждать ли войны на Ближнем Востоке? — Литва увеличила импорт сжиженного нефтяного газа из России в 8,5 раз — почему это никак не противоречит санкционному режиму? — Поставки газа из ЕС в Украину по виртуальному реверсу протестированы через Молдавию — что это значит для Украины? На эти вопросы в эфире программы «Труба» отвечает аналитик нефтегазового рынка Михаил Крутихин. Ведущий: Кирилл Седов. 00:00 Начало 00:52 «Дружбу» выведут из строя? 04:15 «Нефть из Казахстана могут не пустить в Германию» 09:56 Ирану не нужна война в Персидском заливе 16:10 «Россию используют все кому не лень на Ближнем Востоке» 17:01 Путин ударит по нефтяникам налогами 24:38 Проблема обхода эмбарго сильно преувеличена 30:47 РЖД «не вывозит» 33:37 «Газпром» принял угрожающее решение 36:37 Продажа СПГ из России не финансирует войну в Украине 43:40 Страны Балтии покупают пропан-бутан из России — это нормально 45:31 Про виртуальный реверс газа из ЕС в Украину 48:10 Про газовый хаб Турции 51:25 Финал Предыдущий выпуск: «Газпром» прихватил чужие миллиарды. Спасут ли саудовцы Россию? Нефть для Пакистана / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kHiAxb2eOQ0 ИНОЗЕМЦЕВ: Путин живет в XVII веке. Набиуллина рассекретит статистику. Шокирующий прогноз МВФ / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bX9sAL-QepA ПАСТУХОВ: Начинается третья фаза войны. Путин продолжает мобилизацию. Истребители Киеву? / https://www.youtube.com/live/X5jKbR_qh2A АЛЕКСАШЕНКО: Банковский кризис в России, пузырь на рынке недвижимости? Санкции Абрамовича / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yEM4MS7vpFs Программа «ИЗНАНКА»: Импотенция пропаганды: от Шамана до ЧВКашки / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9XPnTxYTcCw АСЛАНЯН: Лада-селекшн. Тойота и санкции. Закон о навозе. Джихад-мобиль. Северная Корея на горизонте / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35HL5ZxkiRI ШЕНДЕРОВИЧ: Путин боится девочку Катю. Дудь с Кучерой. Солженицын. Навальный как обменный фонд / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-UjZ4PDcQc Дмитрий БЫКОВ: Заколдованная Россия, Высоцкий и почему нужно запретить Солженицына / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oossExcjoog ХОДОРКОВСКИЙ и ПАСТУХОВ: Путин испугался Украины. Вечная война для вечной власти. Победа не важна? / https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cv0oerKDi3c Блог Михаила Ходорковского: https://www.youtube.com/user/khodorkovskyru ============================= Плейлисты: ► Блог Ходорковского: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7kI1pJUZbs&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl4Grv-wza2qAaE322NcoK0c ► Ответы на вопросы: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asGc56bUvs8&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl7VIGZSi0O6vmqGTNKnqb9Y ► Интервью с Ходорковским: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLUpN6Si0hGl6NhQa9nhFk3E6bwAgml7yM ► Правозащита: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4WjEvgt0tg&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl7aRDjrl1vICk3jXAjFtNtG Социальные сети: ► Twitter: http://bit.ly/MBK-Twitter ► Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser ► Telegram: https://t.me/khodorkovski ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser ► ВКонтакте: http://bit.ly/MBK-VKontakte =============================
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