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Download "Билл Вильямс взгляд на методику Часть 2"

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Билл Вильямс
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00:00:01
we want to
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sell myself a little about trading chaos that
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is, one piece is very interesting in
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trading good where
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let's say this book is modern in
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itself confidence one of the last
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here there is a second part let's say in this
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book there are some - the basics, that is,
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as it were, a continuation of the middle, the
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advanced second level begins, this
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advanced second level talks
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about very interesting things that are not
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always clear and interesting the first time,
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well, in general, it’s interesting
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in itself, as if I’d like to talk about it
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a little on the other hand On the other hand,
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when we began to study this book, we realized
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that in general the book was partially written, but
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as a collection of other authors, retold in
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good language,
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one of the authors whose name we
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found there inside is his name is Tom Joseph;
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Androsov will help here and
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why does this all have to do with Bill
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Williams at all will not accept anything
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in relation to him it
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all started a very very very long time ago
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once upon a time people started
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trading and they had charts and
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when people began to study these charts the
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first ones appeared trading strategies and
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one of the first strategies when
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mathematicians appeared, it was, in fact,
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graph paper and on this graph paper
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people manually
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drew graphs using a ruler, took a calculator,
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counted the score on them and drew indicators,
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if someone doesn’t seem to imagine
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it was exactly like that There
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were no computers, but mathematicians were already
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working to determine where
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the price would go, and at the same time, the
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first indicators had already appeared, the
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first interesting things had already appeared,
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and of course, the first thing that
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people began to be interested in was using it;
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this sadness did not close this use of the
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simplest indicators and
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of course, we have to, as always, immediately the
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average price for people, this is the first indicator
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that usually comes to mind what is a
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set to earned average price and here
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there is a special average price indicator
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you can find it called mumin k vich and
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if you draw it as in general, then it is
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customary to draw but I’ll draw with
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parameters like these, the first thought
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was, as always, people had: if the average
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price falls, you need to actually trade
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down, or if the current price is
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below the average, you need to trade down, these
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were the first trading ideas in general in
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the market related to exactly
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what - using the indicator
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gradually people say what am I looking at
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one moving average, other
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moving averages appeared, they began to be added and now
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two moving averages appeared when people
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began to use two moving averages
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they encountered a certain
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difficulty, but the first thought that
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mostly came to everyone was new when they didn’t
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see two moving averages of course, everyone
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begins to see the intersection right away, well, the
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main idea that exists when
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trading is
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called the basic trading
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strategy, it was usually very simple,
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that if we have some kind of intersection,
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there is a certain trend that is called
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fast trends,
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there are some this year that are
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called slow and trends and if the
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fast trend is below
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the slow one, it is clearly definitely all this
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below, then it is advisable to trade as if downwards,
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this is the main idea that generally
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lays down such a strategy, but there is one
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difficulty, the most difficult moments, as
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always, they were faced with all of them
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at once, this is when on the market nothing is observed
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because here there is an
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intersection in one direction, then there is a fault
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and an intersection in the other direction, which means
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here we have an intersection again down to
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here we have an intersection up there, that is, there is a
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continuous back and forth
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intersection, that is, people began to think
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how best to use this and therefore the
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first thing new that came to
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mind in trading was that it is still
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advisable to trade in such a way that
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when you have an intersection they usually
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say I should not immediately enter the
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market as is usually customary, but still
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wait for that moment when a nicat occurs in the market,
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only after it
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comes the thought that in general it’s good
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initially, this is usually called the
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basic trading strategy, that is, when a
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person initially determined that there is
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some kind of intersection and he usually does not immediately
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enter the market but waits for someone to
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move into patterns in the opposite
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direction and at this moment it enters the market and
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then follows the main trends,
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in general, the idea smelled like this, let’s say workers,
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it is still well used by
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people,
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but as always, such places do not give
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people peace, they do not give rest, and still,
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when such places are sprayed
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happening,
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I would like to buy it somehow
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here, well, I want to buy it here, I wanted to buy it here
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for some reason, I
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want to buy it here, I would like to buy it
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here, that is, let’s say there
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was never an intersection, that is, here it is here, here
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we have an
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intersection then there is, if we
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look at the nearest chart, that is,
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we have an intersection here, but
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still somewhere, well, a little
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earlier so that this was the first thought
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that began to come to people about what they
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can buy here only usually in
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one case: there is if this is the
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distance between the moving averages that we
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see, that is, if it narrows and
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decreases, and accordingly we needed an
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indicator that does not show the places of
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intersection, let’s say so, but
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rather shows the distance between these two
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moving averages so that here
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we can understand that they have begun to converge
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that is, that all of us here started a rapprochement
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between them and one of these first
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indicators is just an indicator
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showing rapprochement and the same
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indicator for the eruption of divergence, it
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also shows the distance, this is exactly the
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indicator that killed Williams
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is called a wonderful oscillator, this is a
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wonderful oscillator it usually does not have
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any parameters; they are not indicated here,
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but if we indulge in mathematics, we
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look at what is written in the book, then it will be
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clearly indicated that this indicator consists
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of two lines,
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one of them will be a simple moving
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average with parameters 5 for a period
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adjusted from the price which is called
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median price median price is what it
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looks like, that is, it takes the maximum
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plus the minimum and divides it in half,
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roughly speaking, into the middle with candles
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in the middle of each candle,
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and the second moving average is just a
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simple average with parameters of 34, in
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my opinion, the building is built from, that
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is, nothing special about there
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is no this indicator, this is the office oscillator, this is
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it and this and the scales of the oscillator have
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one line on which everyone pays
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attention, this is, accordingly, line 0, and
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if here we have a certain
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distance between the moving ones, here
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you can draw it vertically from it,
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accordingly corresponds with
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this column if it is below the
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green line before then accordingly it
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corresponds with this column which
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is below that is, the very place of
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intersection it is usually located between the
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candles and accordingly it will
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fall somewhere here, that is,
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at the moment when we we will see
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the intersection of the moving averages, we will see
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that the bars have generally changed their
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position relative to zero, there is
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nothing particularly complicated or scary about this,
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this was the first thought that came to
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people in order to implement this
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idea, all that remains is to understand what to do with it
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and the next thought is sounds in
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general, it turns out that it
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happened at the intersection as such, the
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standard entrance to the market will usually be
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somewhere here, and you have this, that
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is, in the direction from
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and our task is to buy here,
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somewhere in these places, to start
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buy something in general, it will
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correspond to these places on
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the indicator, this is the general idea, that is, we
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will buy, we will never buy,
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we have never had an intersection that will
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correspond to this place, but
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still a little earlier so that our
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profit in itself will be, well, if
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we compare the size of the profit
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that we have here is formed
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potential with this size of profit that
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looks much larger in
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itself, that is, the general task of this
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indicator itself is to help us buy
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in this place, as if initially everything
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was planned here, but again there is
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great complexity
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this complexity of it is immediately visible, it is immediately
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clear and they will immediately talk in
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general, this is the place where our market
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is growing and corresponds to this place
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before
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and this is the place where in our general market is
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falling
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purely formally visually they are no
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different only in one case, for some reason we
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want to maintain our position of
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debt for some reason, and in the other
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case we say no no it won’t fall,
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on the contrary, we
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will buy here for some
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reason, for some reason we should do this and
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in general- then the idea is quite simple and
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somehow it was necessary to solve this complexity
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initially of any technical
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difference from the idea of ​​buying here and
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holding it while it grows, and then
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selling here here to
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outsiders is visually very difficult to find
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and that’s why people took the path that
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they were able to find as much as possible which they
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were able to notice as much as possible they began to
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try to connect and find places,
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well, in some other way, basically
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there was a connection between the
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indicator chart itself and this
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approach which, in general, not everyone
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supports and many laugh and
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mock them, called ice waves
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because there is such a joke if two
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two Elliott wave researchers met,
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then there are 24 ideas about
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how the market is going and where it will go
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next, and
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they all exist at the same time,
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none of them is sure what will happen next
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and what will happen next with this in general
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with the market will be happen, but there is a very
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interesting thing in itself,
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when they began to apply this indicator to the analysis of Elliott waves,
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interesting thoughts and
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interesting ideas began to appear on their own, and now this happened
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so that you could find them together and because
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these are the thoughts that mainly lie
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in the analysis in the second part, that is, the
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second part is basically how
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to connect this indicator with the analysis of
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Elliott waves. What we were interested in is
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generally understanding what to do with this and why
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when,
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if for example you start looking at the
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general layout of the waves or look
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attention here, in general, for
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some reason this same indicator is drawn,
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that is, I can look at
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various charts, actually,
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pay attention here, for some reason,
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this indicator is drawn again;
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to catch the wave, that's
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who is subscribed to the service, and in this
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service, in general, it's interesting that it's
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Makarov, it's me, and in general, it's
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actually me, that's who we have, that's where the
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support service comes from, let's catch the wave,
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who's subscribed to this service
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comes to them here is such a newsletter and in this
00:14:03
newsletter there are pictures, accordingly,
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some signals are indicated, but dots is an
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interesting thing in general, why is
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this part here and why is it there
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because this is the first thing
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that actually began to turn at least
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somehow the analysis into scrap let off is nothing that
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you can at least start to
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think about somehow, that is, purely technically, that
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James is, in general, a
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big plus, but let’s go back, here’s
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the indicator itself,
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respectively, the most interesting places on
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this indicator highlight them very simply, that
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is, if it let's take a closer look at it,
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that is, the most interesting places from the point
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of view is the intersection of 0 as such,
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this is the place where the bars change color, in
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general, all the interesting places that
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should be followed, that is, it happens
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that from red to zil, this is when
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it turns red, this is actually a
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fall when the bars they are growing, in
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general, the beginning of growth, these are the main
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signals, there are no more such signals
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here because you, in general,
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except for the intersection, there is nothing else,
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although there is one more signal, we will get to it,
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which initially it is
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not visible here, it needs to be done
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intellectually but to the waves ice and why do
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we need all this, although initially
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when the Elliott wave theory was created
00:15:33
everything looks quite simple, that is,
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there is a certain state of the market when there
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is nothing no one knows anything and there is a
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certain event number 1 minute there is something
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happened why who knows the score
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happened
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some news news
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events happened and at that moment there is
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a certain first breakthrough in the market in general then
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if you have ever met
00:16:04
in trading there is some kind of professional
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approach when you don’t know which way
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leads these in general you take it like this in
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general, the description of trading1 of the hedge
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fund we before we took we don’t know
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which way the market is going and sold
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a billion from bought back the market fell by
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a thousand points there they took bought a billion the
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market grew by 2000 points in which
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direction to trade this is generally the
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same beginning this they say that this wave
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number one, the sign of wave number one
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is that, in general, after this
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the market does not fall below the place from where
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it started now they pass interestingly
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further more interestingly because then to
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[ __ ] Fung says owls and a billion
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somehow a little give me I’ll buy for 20
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billion and in total we
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lay down the market for 20 billion. It’s clear when the market
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has grown strongly by, in general, we need to
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start fixing our profits and the
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market begins to teach this part,
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it’s called wave 3,
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it’s the most interesting from the point of view of
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trading and the best place after that as
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always, you know, they started selling everything, which
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means it fell somehow, and the problem
00:17:30
is that usually, in
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order to make money, we bought
00:17:33
something here, he doesn’t know for 10 rubles before
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we need to sell here, he doesn’t know for a
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thousand rubles, to sell for a thousand
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rubles as if you won’t sell it right away, still
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remember a little bit that it cost 10
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so you don’t need anything like this is the
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last breath
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it’s usually called wave 5 that is the
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most interesting thing here is one actually this is
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in the opposite direction this is
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two these are three of
00:18:02
this 4 yes here this is 5 this is some kind of
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beautiful last breath at which, in
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general, it is advisable to sell off everything
00:18:11
you have, even if it goes even further later
00:18:14
because some happy people
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waiting to buy a thousand rubles should
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rejoice, but they rejoice only in one
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case, they are you were bought and the market
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continues to grow for some time,
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it’s natural that when you take your twenty
00:18:34
miles already 40 billion from the market,
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I don’t know there, well, the market needs to fall, they
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call it a wave a pc, this is the
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picture that is usually drawn
00:18:50
to tell how this
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happens from a point of view speculator sky
00:18:55
this is in general it looks like 10 we are like this I would
00:18:57
behave the same way in general I
00:18:59
would also need this wave in order to
00:19:01
completely disintegrate in general and the fact is
00:19:04
that after that those who bought for 1000
00:19:06
rubles want to sell it all in general -
00:19:08
back to us rubles, we are 10 coupes each, when
00:19:12
30 rubles are also already happy, we will be happy to
00:19:15
buy from them, in general, this is the general
00:19:18
technology,
00:19:19
our task is to apply to this something
00:19:25
that we initially call
00:19:31
the indicator described
00:19:34
well, the first thought that usually
00:19:36
comes to mind well, how to put it all
00:19:42
together, it’s
00:19:44
natural that since these are Elliott waves,
00:19:47
there is a general principle that inside
00:19:50
each element, if the views go
00:19:52
inside, then there will be
00:19:54
three waves here, two waves here,
00:19:58
ideally, this is an ideal picture, let’s say,
00:20:00
and therefore the first thought that comes
00:20:05
to mind looking at this, everything that everyone is
00:20:08
faced with at once, trying to do an
00:20:10
analysis of Elliott waves,
00:20:14
pay attention to this, this is a movement
00:20:20
up or not, and here, then
00:20:22
down, or not, here, this one is down, or not
00:20:27
down, or here, there are 3 of them, or not
00:20:30
travel
00:20:31
as long as I’ve been here, that is, the first thought that
00:20:36
everyone who
00:20:39
starts trading will encounter is the first thought
00:20:42
that exists
00:20:44
looking here, first of all you
00:20:47
will be interested in places
00:20:50
called reversals, these are
00:20:54
big places, some beautiful places of
00:20:57
reversals, and the first thought that What
00:20:59
comes to most people’s minds is that it is
00:21:01
necessary to somehow coordinate these places
00:21:05
and these places as places where, in general,
00:21:08
the market
00:21:09
had the opportunity to turn around, that is,
00:21:12
if we see a place where one indicator
00:21:14
actually changes its color from
00:21:17
one to another, it is possible that this
00:21:19
is the place where there was a turn,
00:21:22
maybe this will also be a place, but
00:21:24
usually there is no one arguing about such places,
00:21:27
that is, you can add some
00:21:29
additional places,
00:21:30
but there will definitely be no disputes regarding this place
00:21:33
because here indicate
00:21:35
change the color in relation to this There
00:21:38
will definitely be no room for dispute because here the
00:21:39
indicator changed the circuit,
00:21:42
this is the first thought and the next thought
00:21:48
that will be if we see some
00:21:52
movement upward and it is strong and fast and
00:21:55
large and we look a little inside the
00:21:57
depth of this movement in it will also be
00:22:00
in general then three such good ones fluctuations
00:22:03
if you saw three such good
00:22:05
fluctuations upward so that you begin to think
00:22:08
what will happen next or not, so the
00:22:12
number one thought that most people come to
00:22:15
immediately looking at this indicator is something like
00:22:16
this,
00:22:18
let’s first
00:22:21
take a closer look at the first place where
00:22:24
the indicator turned, the second place where
00:22:27
it turned around the third place where
00:22:29
to turn around and rollback, well, that
00:22:38
is, the first time is here the second
00:22:41
time is here the third time is here that
00:22:43
is, formally, if we looked at
00:22:46
all this, we can completely paint
00:22:49
such an even uneven, well, zigzag
00:22:52
wave, you can look a little earlier, this is a
00:22:57
good place
00:23:00
but beauty
00:23:04
yy yy yt
00:23:08
one-two-three very beautiful movement
00:23:14
in itself, that is, people who trade, they
00:23:18
don’t have the idea that this will
00:23:20
grow for a long time to infinity, well, that is, there is
00:23:25
some kind of impulse and it
00:23:27
started somewhere and you can look for places where they
00:23:35
even coincide with each other, that is,
00:23:40
just the general idea that an
00:23:43
impulse consists of three waves, it is
00:23:46
very good in itself, and those who
00:23:50
use this indicator have actually
00:23:51
encountered one, as if with one
00:23:53
thought, now I’ll give it to you I kind of want to
00:23:57
translate it so that it’s clear to you
00:24:00
if you look at the indicator itself and
00:24:04
the scales there are places that are still
00:24:07
considered controversial,
00:24:10
you can kind of accept them or not, it
00:24:14
kind of depends on you, but the main
00:24:17
idea that usually exists is sometimes
00:24:20
considered so
00:24:21
this is common especially when searching
00:24:23
by divergence, that if we see that there are
00:24:28
two falling bars, in fact,
00:24:29
the bars are needed in order to understand the
00:24:32
completion of waves or not, but if we
00:24:35
see at least 2 of them,
00:24:36
this is considered a good place, but if
00:24:40
we see only one column, then some
00:24:43
such places do not include and they say from the
00:24:45
wrong place, this is bad, that is, because
00:24:50
there is a short-term movement,
00:24:52
respectively, but does not coincide with the main
00:24:54
idea, it seems to introduce noise into our
00:24:57
trading, that is, some people include
00:25:00
such places, some do not, that is,
00:25:04
if at after the color change,
00:25:09
at least two were formed, everything
00:25:12
is fine, that is, it is considered that if
00:25:15
during the change we have
00:25:16
one formed, and somewhere in
00:25:19
the middle, then not at the end,
00:25:27
this corresponds to this place, but this
00:25:30
corresponds to this place, and this is
00:25:35
the fall, look here what kind of impulse
00:25:37
movement look how beautifully it will drive out
00:25:38
this corresponds to this place this
00:25:41
corresponds to this place well and
00:25:45
this is the place it would be good to
00:25:48
close
00:25:49
this is that after that the market
00:25:52
got a little more in general, in fact this is a
00:25:55
good sign this means that you
00:25:57
were able to close and you had another
00:26:00
chance to do it, that is, this is like a
00:26:04
good sign, that is, the first thought was
00:26:07
where they began to shift the prize to this
00:26:09
indicator, initially it was just
00:26:13
in order to catch this place on the market,
00:26:16
that is, try to to
00:26:19
collect as much as possible and since there
00:26:21
should be three such fluctuations, in general, we
00:26:24
began to look for such places and there are 3 of them, and
00:26:28
here the idea will arise
00:26:30
to count this column or not,
00:26:33
that is, it depends on each
00:26:35
individual trader, you can try
00:26:37
how to do it in different ways because
00:26:39
whether you count
00:26:41
or not, plus or minus there will be a slight
00:26:43
difference in fact, because this
00:26:46
corresponds to this place,
00:26:47
this corresponds to this place, but this
00:26:50
corresponds
00:26:52
to this place, in any case, this is good,
00:26:58
especially considering that you started your
00:27:00
transaction somewhere here in the direction you can
00:27:02
claim, you can even look, if not
00:27:06
closer to the current chart, look at
00:27:09
something falling here, very large
00:27:14
falling movements, especially if vodka
00:27:16
is at the beginning, we have our own trend here, that
00:27:19
is, it now depends on that,
00:27:22
take into account you are so small
00:27:24
columns or not it already depends on you
00:27:26
in one case people take into account in the other no
00:27:29
we will go the most strict way means
00:27:32
this one no we will
00:27:34
skip it it turns out here this is the
00:27:37
second place and this will be the third
00:27:40
place one it will be like this if we go the
00:27:44
other way and start consider these
00:27:46
small very green bars as
00:27:48
acceptable, we will stop somewhere in the middle
00:27:50
and this will also be good, in
00:27:53
fact,
00:27:54
let the profit not be as huge as
00:27:57
in the second case, it
00:27:58
will still be good, these will be good
00:28:00
normal transactions with normal closings,
00:28:04
it’s clear the same logic, that is, the first thing that
00:28:07
immediately catches the eye is
00:28:10
its application to this place because there are
00:28:14
three waves
00:28:15
and they meet in different places
00:28:17
because there are three waves of them 1
00:28:20
here here three waves happen here and
00:28:25
sometimes it even happens here here therefore,
00:28:30
wherever you apply it, if you
00:28:31
assume that this will be some kind of
00:28:33
impulse movement,
00:28:36
the indicator itself will align itself in exactly this
00:28:38
way, that is, you are interested in the places
00:28:40
where the indicator will change its color, that
00:28:43
is, and so that it corresponds to
00:28:45
some place like this on the chart
00:28:48
very interesting in itself, this is why
00:28:51
this indicator
00:28:53
was originally called the
00:28:54
decade indicator of Elliott waves,
00:28:58
this one with parameters 534 is
00:29:03
generally not indicated, but this is
00:29:07
quite interesting in itself, the next place
00:29:10
where they began to use the indicator is one here is
00:29:14
where it needs to be here such a place is
00:29:19
very funny and very
00:29:21
interesting in itself, this is the fall, the
00:29:25
big fall that exists here
00:29:28
and this same fall, if we take it on a
00:29:33
small scale, it corresponds to
00:29:35
these can places, this is wave 4, it
00:29:40
interests a lot of people because,
00:29:44
well, how many people have such a desire
00:29:46
to get into this final
00:29:48
movement, it’s like horror, I already missed it inside,
00:29:50
at least in the fourth I’ll go, well, at least I
00:29:53
was to the chick, I’ll collect
00:29:56
this
00:29:57
impulse that remains, well, how is it that not
00:30:01
everyone goes to hell in the main movements
00:30:03
but what to do this happens and in this
00:30:08
case there is just one such
00:30:11
principle, the fact is that wave 4
00:30:15
itself is usually
00:30:17
how it is found using indicators and
00:30:20
how it is found and checked using an
00:30:22
indicator, and it
00:30:24
has one sign that is
00:30:26
initially on it doesn’t seem to catch the eye,
00:30:30
but in itself this is a wave of
00:30:34
four, it implies the presence of
00:30:36
some fairly significant
00:30:38
rollback against the main against the main
00:30:41
trends, that is, if we have a
00:30:44
movement of some kind, so
00:30:49
I’m probably a restaurant in itself, then
00:30:54
all of Odessa has an impulse, here are the rollbacks
00:30:56
then this wave 4 is quite a
00:30:59
significant movement against the third
00:31:01
wave, that is, significant enough movement
00:31:04
in the opposite direction
00:31:06
of the word significant movement in the
00:31:08
wrong direction because there are small
00:31:11
fluctuations
00:31:12
wave 4 imagine yourself as a significant
00:31:15
movement when we take the indicators we begin
00:31:17
to think about the word significant if
00:31:23
anything to argue, as it were, what wave
00:31:26
we are in here, as if we would accept that
00:31:28
this is so, roughly speaking, only for the purpose of
00:31:30
teaching understanding, that is, if we
00:31:34
believe that this, let’s say, is a kind of
00:31:37
manifestation of wave 3, which is
00:31:40
very similar in itself, then wave 4 is excellent
00:31:43
significant movement in the opposite
00:31:45
direction, significance is determined
00:31:48
as follows,
00:31:50
pay attention to how much
00:31:52
the indicator went in the opposite direction,
00:31:55
that is, if the price went in the
00:31:58
opposite direction by at least
00:32:05
90 percent, but only from the
00:32:09
size that it was, and better
00:32:12
if it also crossed the zero line there and
00:32:16
somewhere we are definitely in wave 4, that is,
00:32:19
wave 4 has a clear indication
00:32:22
of the indicator, but it goes in the opposite
00:32:25
direction quite far, that is, it
00:32:27
almost completely falls and in the best
00:32:30
cases even crosses everything in the
00:32:32
opposite direction;
00:32:34
somewhere we will find some good
00:32:37
place to it’s clear, well, to
00:32:42
make it completely clear, as if for
00:32:44
beauty and understanding, that is, if for
00:32:47
some reason we consider the blockage
00:32:50
inside
00:32:53
as one of the options, let’s say this because
00:32:55
there are thousands of layouts, at
00:32:58
least we have some kind of
00:33:00
confirmation option because this
00:33:02
corresponds to these places, that
00:33:05
is, everything is clearly very clear here and here
00:33:07
it is and an impulse of 3 impulses in
00:33:10
our direction and this is a sign that this
00:33:13
will be a wave or potentially
00:33:16
wave 4 will be just that we not
00:33:19
only fell practically to zero, and
00:33:22
even worse, they crossed in the opposite
00:33:24
direction, and here comes the
00:33:27
moment for which, in general,
00:33:29
most traders try to
00:33:31
do all this because if we understand that
00:33:33
this will potentially be some kind of wave of 5,
00:33:36
it in general should consist out of 3 x 3
00:33:39
main impulses in our direction, the beginning
00:33:43
of movement will still not be the moment of
00:33:47
intersection of the indicator, but still at
00:33:50
the moment when this indicator begins to
00:33:52
unfold,
00:33:53
this is exactly the same case when
00:33:56
the intersection of
00:33:57
the box happened here and our
00:34:01
task was catching the end of wave 4
00:34:04
is, in general, a reversal of the
00:34:06
indicator itself, and even if it had been there for
00:34:10
a while, please note that this
00:34:12
movement is very similar to a zigzag, and it is
00:34:14
here that people will already
00:34:17
try to start buying precisely in order to
00:34:20
get into the final chapter, which
00:34:22
will be called 5 if we just
00:34:27
try to do this, without counting
00:34:30
the waves we won’t have an understanding of why we
00:34:34
have to buy here where there will be such a conclusion;
00:34:38
in general, it won’t be; of course it
00:34:41
would be nice to have such a conclusion; of course, there are
00:34:45
simpler options, but if we are concerned
00:34:48
specifically wave analysis
00:34:49
this will be the main element, in general,
00:34:58
with my eyes, I want to point out that there was
00:35:01
one more place here, at least three don’t
00:35:05
quite coincide here, here there’s just
00:35:07
one small table like this, that’s why
00:35:11
the question with the columns always
00:35:13
remains open, is it
00:35:15
worth taking them into account or not, that’s why
00:35:18
when it’s not completely clear if
00:35:20
you look at the analysis again, they don’t
00:35:23
add some other
00:35:24
oscillator to help you understand
00:35:26
this is still the movement of legends, roughly
00:35:29
speaking, but if I have doubts, I’ll
00:35:31
take another healer, and so on
00:35:33
I understand whether this place was here or not,
00:35:35
roughly speaking, in this case,
00:35:37
stochastics are used, but this is, as it were, at the
00:35:39
discretion of the person who
00:35:41
does such an analysis, that is, it looks like
00:35:46
this, there is nothing particularly
00:35:48
complicated about it, and this is what is always interesting
00:35:52
look at everything on
00:35:55
some live graphs because but
00:35:58
it’s always very interesting look at
00:36:02
what’s happening and where everything is moving as
00:36:06
always, well, basically, because we have the
00:36:11
euro dollar here for fun, the current analysis
00:36:17
looks like and now gas we see the main
00:36:21
question is whether it’s all up or down it goes
00:36:28
logical that bye bye while the
00:36:32
first wave is falling now the most
00:36:44
interesting thing is usually usually everyone is interested in
00:36:48
wave number one somewhere it started where to
00:36:53
immediately start in order to understand
00:36:56
where wave 1 is you
00:36:58
need to understand the following this is the main idea
00:37:07
something should happen before listen to the
00:37:13
radio read the news, watch it all
00:37:16
live, for example, when the events
00:37:19
took place on the euro dollar, pay
00:37:21
attention to how this happened on the market, that
00:37:24
is, this movement is very many
00:37:29
and almost unanimously believed to have forgotten the
00:37:31
login,
00:37:32
and at that moment several
00:37:37
events happened specifically on the 8th plan, and one of them
00:37:41
was completion qe3 and a discussion of what is happening in
00:37:47
Europe,
00:37:49
quantitative easing is what
00:37:52
this means: they stop printing money
00:37:55
in the United States, this
00:37:56
was stated and they seem to want to start doing this in
00:37:58
Europe, this movement, pay
00:38:02
attention here, it caused you to pay
00:38:04
attention to how quickly the market began to move
00:38:06
at this moment, you can go there to start
00:38:09
counting what you are doing here, even here it doesn’t
00:38:11
always coincide, well, what should you do? The indicator is
00:38:15
just to help, and this is this,
00:38:19
this will be wave 2. For the majority, there is
00:38:23
no other idea of
00:38:27
what it is like to find wave
00:38:29
one, in general, there is no other idea
00:38:32
there is usually people looking for it formally
00:38:35
because wave 1 simply has a
00:38:39
sign that we had a certain minimum and
00:38:41
when we have a movement in the
00:38:43
opposite direction, this minimum is
00:38:45
still located
00:38:48
above this place and most
00:38:54
people begin to catch wave 3, which is
00:38:57
here what happens usually begins
00:38:59
to display it somewhere here, from a
00:39:02
trading point of view, well, it’s not
00:39:05
entirely good, since this can be
00:39:08
considered all our losses as lost
00:39:11
profits, at least as
00:39:13
has been the custom lately, we’ll write it down right away,
00:39:15
so from this point of view,
00:39:20
if we we trade here like this and
00:39:22
define this place as a sign,
00:39:25
usually this place is called a breakthrough, then in
00:39:32
case of a breakthrough it is unprofitable and the technology would still be
00:39:36
somehow better to buy
00:39:38
somewhere here right at the very beginning
00:39:39
when it all begins if we know that
00:39:48
this is wave 1, potentially something
00:39:50
happened here, then a movement in the opposite
00:39:54
direction on the indicator is also as if
00:39:57
4 will be a control sign for us,
00:40:00
that is, the movement in the
00:40:02
opposite direction should be
00:40:04
large enough to practically
00:40:07
approach the zero line and, best
00:40:08
of all, also cross and when the market
00:40:11
resumes its movement further, that is,
00:40:13
these places will coincide
00:40:15
exactly at this moment and people will
00:40:17
enter the third wave
00:40:19
precisely in the task of getting in the direction of the
00:40:22
general large directional movement,
00:40:25
again in this case, the first key
00:40:29
element that interests us is in general
00:40:31
for something to happen here and here
00:40:34
when wave 3 begins, this
00:40:36
news background continues to be maintained,
00:40:39
this is a character so that we can
00:40:43
get into this long, long
00:40:46
beautiful movement, a very characteristic
00:40:48
sign, that is, if we did everything
00:40:52
correctly and
00:40:53
adhered to this then our income is
00:40:57
somewhere here, in the direction of the main
00:40:59
movements, they would be very good,
00:41:02
the only thing you need to monitor is the news,
00:41:06
for example, the statements of the Prime Minister of
00:41:09
France who says not to print
00:41:12
or they will distribute 200 billion euros to us
00:41:16
or we will all have money here, in
00:41:18
general this is very good statements
00:41:22
that should probably be
00:41:23
followed because it will always be
00:41:27
more interesting with them, but with all this, it’s still
00:41:33
quite difficult at first
00:41:36
to try to discern three
00:41:39
impulses here because it seems that there are 4 of them here.
00:41:41
I also don’t think it’s a braid out of 4 and count
00:41:46
it wave there, which is a
00:41:49
rollback, but in general, it really
00:41:50
is a refusal so that when
00:41:54
we have such a sign, we
00:41:55
still start buying here and
00:41:57
trying to get into this movement,
00:42:00
at least get a piece and when this
00:42:03
movement does not work out for some reason -these are the
00:42:05
reasons to close it, at
00:42:09
least somewhere here, when we already see that
00:42:12
we are definitely mistaken
00:42:14
in the direction of the main movement, that
00:42:17
is, this is such a classic simple
00:42:19
approach, in general, then this part, which is
00:42:22
here is the second one, in
00:42:24
general, then this part is exactly this
00:42:27
an attempt to connect the
00:42:29
AO indicator itself with a chart and
00:42:34
with an understanding of whether we should
00:42:39
hold with this
00:42:42
or should we enter the market
00:42:47
with this,
00:42:49
since this does
00:42:52
not always follow from the indicator itself, that is, we
00:42:55
certainly need to understand what is happening in the market
00:42:57
and what picture does
00:42:59
it paint now,
00:43:00
for example, if we look at
00:43:03
the market now and we certainly understand that
00:43:06
something is happening on the market now
00:43:09
and something is happening on the Greek market,
00:43:12
we have something else going on here and
00:43:16
many will begin to look at it in this case
00:43:20
Is this place, in general,
00:43:23
some kind of manifestation of wave number one? It
00:43:28
will be very funny. Isn’t
00:43:31
this place some kind of
00:43:33
manifestation? Wasn’t number 2? And whether
00:43:40
this or the soul will begin here, I do
00:43:49
n’t know what period, if
00:43:59
everything is done completely well then until what period
00:44:03
follows from here as always as this is a very
00:44:10
good sign recently I was in China in
00:44:17
China there was a sign if anyone knows until
00:44:19
recently there was a fall in the
00:44:23
stock market maybe someone
00:44:24
came across these they have a
00:44:26
wonderful index which is
00:44:28
called with with i the composite is an index of the
00:44:34
Shanghai stock exchange, so we can go and have
00:44:36
a look, here you can see what’s going on there on
00:44:42
the stock exchange, pay attention to this
00:44:46
stock exchange, we had a market,
00:44:48
it grew, and now it fell a lot, and
00:44:54
pay attention, this is a fall happening
00:44:55
right now, and this fall
00:45:01
coincided with the events in Greece. it was
00:45:06
clear and therefore, when in the near
00:45:10
future such gaps occurred in the market,
00:45:12
pay attention to the closing and
00:45:17
opening of the candle, see at what
00:45:20
distance the closing
00:45:23
and opening of the candle, many thought that
00:45:27
this was connected with Greece,
00:45:30
but formally, if you look, most
00:45:33
of such events were connected with
00:45:37
China, that is, two events happened at the same time: the
00:45:39
fall of the Chinese stock market, a
00:45:42
very
00:45:43
very large market fell almost
00:45:46
there at times, about 20 percent in the idea,
00:45:49
this is a common disaster for the majority, that
00:45:53
is, here, here, 5,000, here, here,
00:45:55
3,500, to make it clear, this is a very
00:45:57
significant drop and how there was an
00:46:00
overlap
00:46:01
and some nowhere I don’t know why it was
00:46:03
because events happened immediately
00:46:06
after the opening the market for
00:46:09
reasons unknown to most began to grow as it
00:46:12
will and will happen so that’s why I
00:46:19
wanted to say and I remember where collonil
00:46:26
now this is all happening very
00:46:27
interesting I remembered in my mind that I was
00:46:31
leading
00:46:32
here on the market and especially recently there were
00:46:39
very interesting
00:46:43
events happening, why we always recommend
00:46:45
following the news at this moment the
00:46:52
largest number of brokerage
00:46:55
accounts were opened on the Chinese market, that is, everyone in the market spoke
00:47:04
clearly and even will grow will grow and
00:47:08
infinity come everything will be
00:47:11
very good everything will happen doesn’t
00:47:14
remember this is a classic sign
00:47:18
we need to sell off and exactly a very
00:47:22
similar situation happened on the
00:47:25
euro-dollar when the euro dollar
00:47:28
paddock for a very long time
00:47:34
here all the analysts gathered
00:47:36
together began to say that there will be a one-to
00:47:46
-one
00:47:50
sure sign, yes, that is, if everyone
00:47:54
suddenly agrees at the same time for some
00:47:57
reason, they say that everything will certainly be
00:48:01
different, there will be no option, well,
00:48:08
most likely you are already somewhere here,
00:48:10
somewhere already in the final
00:48:14
phase and therefore it costs a little shepherd
00:48:17
fight after all, the most wonderful
00:48:20
place is here he is and there is no
00:48:23
other option except to clearly follow
00:48:30
the news and in general there is no
00:48:33
what you need to do after that
00:48:36
is any technical analysis that
00:48:39
suits you, today it would be Bill
00:48:42
Williams and plus the fact that we also had
00:48:45
both and they will heal quite well on their own,
00:48:48
you can deal with them very easily, in general
00:48:50
there is nothing special about it anymore if
00:48:54
you don’t know the news it will be a little more
00:48:58
difficult for you to do this because
00:49:01
from the point of view of trading everything is exactly like that and
00:49:04
the thing is
00:49:05
that the market, as it were, constantly
00:49:08
checks itself whether I’m going in the right direction,
00:49:10
if the main news pushes the market
00:49:13
up for some reason, for some reason the
00:49:17
fact that we had a movement in the opposite
00:49:19
direction was, in short, a
00:49:20
kind of control trigger for us
00:49:23
which indeed the
00:49:25
correct analysis did and we are going in
00:49:27
our direction, and in this case, if
00:49:30
the market turns for us, this will
00:49:32
be the moment of entry, a vivid example
00:49:38
that crushed a lot of people who
00:49:41
trade in a trending market, this
00:49:43
was just recently, this is this place,
00:49:48
news that acted in this
00:49:50
case, it was very simple,
00:49:53
it’s these easy qe3 so-called,
00:50:01
maybe someone came across the forge, this
00:50:04
means very simple, we print money,
00:50:06
and the money we print
00:50:09
looks like this and is located
00:50:14
here on the right side,
00:50:19
we will buy sooner in total, and from this
00:50:23
point of view, these places for
00:50:28
trading will not be places where you
00:50:32
should trade
00:50:33
down because you know that in general,
00:50:38
all this is directed from there, everything goes
00:50:44
up and therefore for you any
00:50:49
upward impulse will be a good sign
00:50:52
that you are doing everything correctly, any
00:50:55
fall in the opposite direction while
00:50:58
maintaining general news will mean that it’s
00:51:00
time to enter here, and in this
00:51:02
case, here is a specific signal where it’s
00:51:05
worth doing, you can say a little of course
00:51:10
here that you’re
00:51:13
throwing back the main ideas a little ce sa
00:51:16
poured it
00:51:18
but who knows because you can how
00:51:24
to count them differently in general, in this
00:51:27
case, if you start to look closely you
00:51:29
can really see that there
00:51:30
are some very beautiful movements here,
00:51:36
and where else it ends, you can
00:51:40
even somehow hesitate to see
00:51:42
something else to do with all this, that is, by
00:51:44
start looking at where it all
00:51:47
is,
00:51:48
but still the main idea you should
00:51:50
have is exactly the same as cocaine and it was
00:51:52
always something that should happen first and
00:51:56
then you will know that this wave is 1,
00:51:59
then you take any indicators, that
00:52:03
is, Bill Williams, and accordingly
00:52:09
when you close, it will
00:52:12
again be some combination of these two
00:52:14
moments in itself, because either
00:52:17
the news may stop working as
00:52:19
such, it may end, or the
00:52:22
movement will already be sufficient in
00:52:25
itself, not purely technically, some
00:52:28
traders will begin to close on their own
00:52:29
because there is enough profit and no one
00:52:32
believes how fast the ethers are that it can
00:52:34
be indefinitely large, that is,
00:52:37
when sufficient profit arises, people are
00:52:40
already starting to close and if this
00:52:42
is swapped, if it does
00:52:52
not quite correspond, let’s say, to
00:53:00
the maximum point and boxing is not because
00:53:04
and in this case, the profit
00:53:06
will still be sufficient because you
00:53:09
started in a good place, that is, if you did
00:53:11
n’t start here, well, it will simply mean
00:53:13
that you received a stop loss and when the
00:53:16
next movement occurs in your ears, you again
00:53:18
hit the direction of the market and you
00:53:20
began to earn it this movement is not
00:53:23
where everyone began to earn it, that is,
00:53:26
from here, or worse, from here, but
00:53:30
still somewhere closer to the very
00:53:33
beginning and therefore the potential profit
00:53:35
that you can extract from it
00:53:38
will be, well, an order of magnitude larger in size in itself
00:53:40
and in our business in trading,
00:53:43
that is, if you risk less,
00:53:45
you will make more profit, it will be
00:53:50
easier to live in our business, the more
00:53:53
you earn, the better, the less
00:53:56
you risk, even better, so
00:54:03
in general, this is the main
00:54:05
idea that we wanted to tell
00:54:08
today

Description:

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