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Russian
00:00:00
The attack, as claimed by sources in the00:00:02
Ukrainian media, was carried out by the main00:00:05
intelligence department of the airfield with00:00:07
the base of the strategic Russian00:00:09
aviation00:00:10
Ngels-2 in the Saratov region. So,00:00:13
Oleksandr, this airfield was already00:00:15
attacked in December 22nd, then we00:00:17
recall that there were also attacks there now00:00:19
again. is it00:00:23
somehow connected or can we talk about some kind of00:00:25
general strategy? Well, like, first00:00:27
there are strikes on the oil refinery, then00:00:29
the decision is made there, and we heard that decision00:00:31
two days ago, to00:00:33
additionally protect the oil refinery, to redirect some00:00:35
anti-aircraft systems of the pncrs1 type00:00:39
there.00:00:41
the corridors have opened, which means they flew to00:00:43
strategic airfields, they will be redirected00:00:45
back to strategic airfields, the00:00:46
window of opportunity will open again at the00:00:48
refinery or, for example, at the Russian defense plants, here it is,00:00:50
this is approximately such a00:00:51
convi Or it00:00:53
could be somehow different, but in fact, I00:00:57
think that it is simply not limited exclusively by the refinery00:01:01
In what sense so that the enemy does not00:01:04
get the impression And illusions are not created00:01:06
that there can only be targets under00:01:09
these objects, there are a lot of objects on the00:01:12
territory of Russia, you will not protect everything, that is,00:01:15
they will not protect everything, it seems00:01:17
obvious to me. Let's see what kind of protection they00:01:20
will come up with for the refinery this will help,00:01:23
that is, we will see if the tanks00:01:26
will come at all, I assume that some oil refineries will00:01:28
continue to be guarded by the00:01:31
Rosguard and Vokhrom, this paramilitary00:01:34
guard with small arms and they00:01:37
will try to shoot down the drones.00:01:45
that there is an explanation in the fact that00:01:49
Russia began to use it again,00:01:51
in principle, in order to base its00:01:54
strategic aviation permanently. That is,00:01:57
certain actions took place there from time to time, and00:02:00
Russia overthrew these planes, if they00:02:03
flew to Engels, then as part of00:02:05
training flights and not there for a long time00:02:07
were delayed, stayed and flew back00:02:09
to Aleniya somewhere, for example. A There00:02:11
were mainly planes that are under00:02:14
repair and there were not so00:02:17
many of them. Apparently,00:02:19
now Ukrainian intelligence00:02:21
has information about00:02:23
what is there. A large number of00:02:26
planes. Well, how big, I mean about00:02:28
10 of these, well, this is not enough for strategic00:02:32
aviation, and they are there and00:02:36
will be there for the next00:02:38
few days, for example, and maybe more, and it was00:02:41
decided that it is necessary to strike and00:02:45
try to hit precisely strategic00:02:47
bombers. And that does not exclude the00:02:50
fact that there may be a strategy00:02:53
including the one about which you say that it is00:02:55
necessary00:02:57
to change the targets from time to time in order to00:03:00
force the enemy to redeploy, but00:03:02
here is the question. Otherwise, in fact, nothing00:03:05
should be redeployed. Such00:03:07
an air base as Engels is supposed to cover, and00:03:11
what is called object air defense. That is, it is00:03:14
not what the question is that Engels will be removed00:03:16
to some refinery, here is the question, that is,00:03:19
Engels in itself is a strategic aircraft00:03:22
for Russia - it is a great value, well, that is,00:03:25
Putin, he flew on that on that-160,00:03:28
he said that it was modernized, he said that it was almost a00:03:30
new plane, so this is great,00:03:33
great value for them. So, I think that00:03:37
their00:03:40
air defense means that cover the airbase did not cope here. By the00:03:43
way, this is not the first time, and in general, the trend. If00:03:46
before I constantly thought and observed that,00:03:49
in principle, Russia has an air defense system. Well, because00:03:53
it is, after all, it is. it works and the00:03:57
guys are working, and in order to hit somewhere, you00:04:01
have to try, of course, because there00:04:03
may be cases of being shot down, and so on and so00:04:05
on.00:04:13
why A everything is very simple, there are a00:04:17
lot of objects because it is not00:04:19
only military, but for example airfields A And00:04:24
it is also00:04:26
the refinery, it is also other objects of the military00:04:29
industrial complex, there are a lot of industrial00:04:31
objects and00:04:34
they cannot protect everything at the same time they won't be able to. Well, they won't be00:04:37
able to. It's physically impossible, so00:04:40
Ukraine has a chance to advance. In this regard, it00:04:44
seems to me to inflict00:04:46
quite such serious losses and00:04:48
damage on the enemy.00:04:57
such a00:05:00
powerful week. And all the while I was monitoring00:05:04
the reactions. For some reason, someone decided that00:05:06
the collapse of the Russian troops would immediately occur, they would not00:05:08
be able to move, that they would not have00:05:10
fuel or something else.00:05:21
and consequences, it should be a00:05:24
systematic work somewhere within a few00:05:26
months, then it will become tangible. I think it00:05:30
will00:05:31
happen, Oleksandr. And if we00:05:34
are talking about these strikes that are taking place00:05:36
on the territory of Russia, it seemed to00:05:37
you.00:05:43
demographic, maybe00:05:45
socio-political, maybe some00:05:47
interesting markers appeared as a result of these00:05:49
strikes, including on the refinery, because yes, as a00:05:52
result of these strikes on the00:05:54
refinery, there was also information, for example, from the00:05:57
Blomberg agency that at least00:05:59
nine more large refineries00:06:01
11% of all Russian00:06:04
oil production facilities were attacked and disabled, well, I wonder if they00:06:08
resorted to such analytics.00:06:10
Well, I will now talk about analytics, so00:06:13
first I will ironically say that I have one00:06:17
subscriber to the channel who watches from Russia.00:06:20
Well, he is so opposed to Putin,00:06:22
judging by his posts nebot wrote about the fact00:06:25
that he has already stocked up with gasoline canisters just in00:06:27
case, or from what is00:06:30
happening, this is also a reaction, by the way,00:06:32
but in general, I have to say that00:06:35
And the consequences are, firstly, that00:06:38
the export of oil products from Russia is temporarily limited,00:06:41
this is already a consequence, the second consequence which one is there, do00:06:44
you mean gasoline and diesel fuel, yes00:06:46
diesel fuel, yes, yes, the second point, and the fact00:06:51
that you can already00:06:52
count the losses is that each00:06:55
oil depot, I'm sorry, the refinery needs repairs,00:06:58
say00:07:00
how much it needs.00:07:07
oil, first of all, they hit the00:07:10
installations very specifically, which are00:07:12
responsible for processing, and you can00:07:15
roughly add up the amount, but it does not only00:07:17
consist of this, it consists00:07:19
of a simple AA00:07:22
refinery, it consists of the fact that the refinery00:07:26
loses the market for a certain time because right here00:07:29
Another question is that they will work00:07:31
at a lower capacity, then why? Because00:07:34
if there is no foreign market, what are they00:07:37
working for? They are designed to00:07:39
sell to the domestic market.00:07:47
- this is00:07:50
risk insurance, now this is an important economic00:07:52
component. Well, for example, some00:07:55
country has a contract with Lukoil for00:08:00
gasoline, for example, until recently,00:08:03
until recently, Russian gasoline went to Europe00:08:09
through Bulgaria.00:08:15
they left either from00:08:18
Novorossiysk, they were transported by00:08:20
tankers or they were transported from the occupied Crimea.00:08:24
Bulgaria closed it. And this is not00:08:27
possible, but what about the remaining Lukoil customers.00:08:31
They are waiting for00:08:33
something to be delivered to them. And what does this mean that if it is00:08:36
not delivered on time, any00:08:38
contract will provide penal00:08:40
sanctions due to whose fault it is provided due to00:08:43
whose00:08:45
fault the non-delivery00:08:48
force majeure war Well, war is not00:08:50
insured, that is, on the territory of Russia There is00:08:53
no war Well, what happened? There00:08:57
is no war on the territory of Russia. They have a so-00:09:00
called regime of special military00:09:02
operations that they conduct00:09:05
accordingly, accordingly, this is again a simple00:09:08
fault of the supplier, so I think that it is00:09:11
already in00:09:13
total,00:09:16
well,00:09:17
exactly over a billion. This is exactly for the00:09:20
oil and gas industry, for Russian refineries.00:09:24
This is exactly dollars.00:09:31
there are00:09:32
losses. I saw that we, in our turn, are already00:09:35
losing a lot, and this is the next topic of00:09:37
our00:09:38
conversation, because of the reasons for the blockade by the Poles, here we are00:09:42
not only talking about the00:09:44
border, well, the border is already an old00:09:47
story. Unfortunately, it is difficult to say that we00:09:49
have already gotten used to it, but Today in00:09:51
Poland, well, it’s just some kind of bacchanalia,00:09:52
there is a continuous total00:09:55
blocking of all possible00:09:57
ways by the same mayors, I will say Yes, I00:10:01
tried to understand this issue,00:10:03
everything there looks very banal,00:10:07
Polish Polish farmers, like00:10:09
all European farmers in principle, it is mostly a00:10:11
loss-making business, it is subsidized, not00:10:13
unprofitable it is subsidized, so it00:10:16
is supported by the state due to the fact that there are a00:10:18
lot of them, they are the basis of the00:10:21
electoral process in many regions of many countries.00:10:27
Politicians constantly play with them, giving them a lot of subsidies00:10:30
all the time, but two years ago, when00:10:33
the full-scale war began in Ukraine, these00:10:35
subsidies began to decrease, and why is it00:10:37
banal, simply because00:10:39
subsidies for the agricultural sector00:10:41
began to be taken out of one pocket and these subsidies were put in another pocket for the00:10:44
defense sector. Well, of course, in00:10:47
addition to this, agricultural products became cheaper in principle,00:10:51
inflation, the lack of a00:10:54
sufficient number of subsidies, and farmers all over00:10:57
Europe made their00:10:58
debut00:10:59
Well, but the Polish farmers, well, it’s just00:11:01
something00:11:02
terrible they are doing. There is no such thing anywhere in00:11:04
Europe. What are the Poles doing, and the00:11:08
analytical community actually says that, well,00:11:10
it significantly distances Poland from the00:11:12
positions of a leader or a projected leader,00:11:15
whatever it might be. We even thought that you00:11:18
remember at the beginning of the00:11:19
full-scale invasion, when she00:11:21
showed leadership in relation to Ukraine, they were00:11:23
saying that now the centers are shifting from00:11:25
Brussels, Berlin and Paris to Warsaw, but00:11:29
somehow something went wrong, something00:11:31
went wrong, in a word, how far00:11:33
can it go in Poland? Well, it I00:11:37
think that this activity will decline because00:11:40
in any case the European Commission will find a solution00:11:43
and in any case it is all00:11:46
about money, there will be money, there will be subsidies, it is00:11:49
absolutely correct, we have00:11:52
repeatedly said that this is a war for money for00:11:55
subsidies and this by the way, by the way, this is also00:11:59
an indicator of the fact that Polish goods are00:12:02
in demand. Sometimes they can be00:12:04
cheaper. Well, actually, this is also due to the fact00:12:06
that the subsidy goes to the subsidy and it is00:12:09
actually subsidized than there. For example,00:12:12
some Ukrainian such cases00:12:14
happen, as far as we know. Therefore, this is a00:12:17
question about money. I think that it will be00:12:19
resolved in the end because now it00:12:22
has reached such a scale that there is already a00:12:24
blockade of Warsaw and people cannot00:12:27
get to work. It has already reached the00:12:29
scale of such blockades of large cities and00:12:31
highways, and it is blocking. It is not just the00:12:34
Ukrainian-Polish border that is blocking00:12:36
Poland that's why And as soon as the00:12:39
financial component is closed And00:12:42
it will be because, again, well, here again,00:12:46
here again, what is the question00:12:49
of the question? It's because Europe is switching00:12:52
to a green course. They are there until00:12:56
2025 and then until 2030 depending on00:13:00
production, it is necessary to reduce emissions into00:13:03
the atmosphere, and accordingly, farmers00:13:06
should also reorient themselves to this,00:13:07
and there are certificates,00:13:10
standards in the European Union, well, these things00:13:13
work, and accordingly, not everyone00:13:16
likes it, and they say that there will be00:13:18
additional losses, so they say this not00:13:21
only to the Poles are there and the French are the00:13:24
others, listen, give us money so00:13:27
that we can get used to it00:13:29
and we will leave you alone. Well,00:13:32
actually, this is the goal that is being set. I00:13:35
think that it will last a long time. It simply cannot continue in this00:13:37
mode, it seems to me. that00:13:41
in the coming month this situation00:13:44
will begin to decline gradually Well, because,00:13:48
in00:13:50
principle, it is noticeable that no matter what,00:13:54
but now it is already blocking and collapsing00:13:57
Poland, and here already Well, the government, why, and the Polish government?00:14:04
the situation and now ask for00:14:08
funds from Brussels in order to appease the00:14:12
farmers Well,00:14:14
they will do it not only at the expense of the Polish budget, but that’s00:14:16
what all this is about. Actually, it is reflected in Hungary, which used to receive00:14:23
subsidies, let’s say, so actively,00:14:27
but after all, it was in Hungary00:14:29
due to the fact that Orbán could put Brussels in a certain00:14:33
position from time to time and00:14:37
he actually bargained for himself for the fact00:14:39
that Hungary does not block or support00:14:41
certain decisions, these subsidies are his00:14:44
base voter in Hungary, in Poland as00:14:48
well, especially for the party of law and00:14:51
justice after all, these are the basic voters,00:14:55
or for the party, which in them00:14:58
went the same way as the Federation, which takes care of the interests there. That's why everything00:15:03
came together naturally, and00:15:06
that's why I think that for some reason, watching00:15:10
all this, it's been a month and a half and00:15:13
the situation will start to change, it will start to00:15:16
improve there later00:15:18
in general, in general, in general, in general, in general, in general, there are a00:15:21
lot of aspects, now there00:15:23
is a lot to do as an agriculturist. Well, yes, and00:15:26
not to bring out tractors. Of course.00:15:37
sow too, well, well, blows, now, by the00:15:41
way, it will be important to observe00:15:44
how much this will affect us, in general, it should be00:15:47
that Russia collapses, and there should be a00:15:50
shortage of fuel, so that there00:15:54
will be not enough for agrarians and the00:15:57
military, then it will be possible to say00:15:59
that they have a collapse on the market. That's why it's also00:16:01
about sowing, it's also about the economy,00:16:05
so I think, evaluating everything that's00:16:08
happening, that's my forecast for a00:16:10
month and a half and it will go down and00:16:14
I think that the border with Ukraine will start to be00:16:18
unblocked, you know me about this in00:16:21
the context of what I was talking about, that00:16:23
now they began to take out of the pockets of farmers00:16:25
and transfer them to the pockets of00:16:27
security, forgive me for the tautology for Well,00:16:30
let's say security issues, in00:16:32
this context, I extremely like00:16:34
the position of our other neighbors, the Romanians,00:16:37
who obviously understood this Well, we will00:16:41
talk in to some extent even a00:16:44
golden chest and they are literally Klaus00:16:47
Yoganis, this is the president of Romania whom I am00:16:52
showing on the screen, he made a decision two days ago to00:16:54
allow the official00:16:57
permission for the transit of weapons through his00:16:59
country through Romania to Ukraine and Well, it is not to00:17:04
say that there was no such permission maybe00:17:06
he was so behind the scenes, but now Romania,00:17:08
gaining courage, is clearly00:17:10
speaking officially, we allow00:17:12
weapons to be transited through us. We are building the largest00:17:14
NATO base, they already have two00:17:16
rmeal factories, one for repair of equipment,00:17:19
the other00:17:21
for the production of gunpowder, a very important00:17:25
chemical element that is00:17:26
needed now Romanians are also fighting for creation.00:17:30
Well, here there are not really any00:17:32
friends in these stories, there is pure00:17:36
politics. It seems to me that the Romanians00:17:38
have understood that it is beneficial to help Ukraine, it is beneficial for00:17:41
Ukraine to become a shield for the00:17:44
same Romania and Moldova, which is friendly to them, it00:17:46
is beneficial to receive subsidies are already now from the00:17:49
agrarian pocket to the defense pocket, and it is00:17:52
profitable to do all this. That is, it is all00:17:54
about profit, but do you agree00:17:56
with such opinions?00:17:59
The fact is that Romania is generally00:18:03
spoken less in our country, but I can say that00:18:07
Romania has quite good special00:18:10
intelligence services they are quite good because00:18:13
they assess the risks and challenges correctly00:18:17
and, well, quite so powerfully,00:18:20
secondly, I can say that I once, by00:18:23
the way, had the opportunity to00:18:25
talk to why I am talking about intelligence00:18:27
with Ek Stupnik of the intelligence service of00:18:31
Romania and he told me and00:18:34
showed how00:18:35
they were preparing for the00:18:39
Russian aggression against Crimea and so00:18:42
on. It was 2007-8, that is, they00:18:45
predicted it, and even then, by the way, Romania00:18:48
talked about the need to increase00:18:51
NATO's presence in the Black Sea, well,00:18:55
let's say NATO At00:18:59
first, the interests of the United States and the00:19:03
countries of the West did not all include the development of00:19:06
large infrastructural military00:19:08
capabilities in the Black Sea, but this is00:19:10
simply due to the fact that they very well00:19:12
analyze what is happening and what they need to00:19:14
do, then Romania over the past years00:19:18
quietly became more or less00:19:21
the main a partner of the United States, it00:19:24
was also under Obama, it was also for Trump, it was also00:19:28
for Biden in the sense of, let’s say, the00:19:32
organization and deployment of00:19:35
NATO capabilities and the purchase of American weapons, what are00:19:37
they doing00:19:38
rearming quite a lot, well, they have attacks,00:19:41
for example, I can say00:19:43
attacks. They have 16 No, there is no,00:19:46
but it’s a matter of time, in the end, it’s the same, it’s the00:19:50
same, it’s going to be the same. And by the way, there’s a00:19:55
large training center there, just like00:19:58
50 years ago.00:20:06
Dutch planes and Romania made a00:20:10
certain economic leap, I have to say that I00:20:13
watched and analyzed and I have to say00:20:16
that, you know, it is quite good from what00:20:19
I saw. Of course, they still have many00:20:22
economic problems, of course there are still00:20:25
issues, as well as the fight against00:20:26
corruption and many other factors, but00:20:29
Romania was able to become attractive for00:20:32
Western investors. Europe began to00:20:34
invest there, including Rymel, and this,00:20:37
of course, boosted the economy and Romania. That's how00:20:41
you gradually, without00:20:44
any loud statements, and calmly00:20:47
monotonously, it turned out that now it00:20:50
has become in the region, just like that it can be said that00:20:54
Southeastern Europe is an extremely00:20:57
important and necessary player country and the00:21:00
United States and Britain and France. It is the00:21:03
French contingent as part of00:21:06
supporting the eastern flank of NATO that00:21:08
is located in Romania, and that is why it00:21:12
performs tasks there in00:21:14
AA protection and so on. And that's00:21:18
how they were able to and the money was able to be brought and the00:21:23
partners became serious about it, of00:21:25
course there is a certain benefit because the00:21:27
investments left because the00:21:29
defense-industrial complex left because the00:21:32
rearmament is gradually continuing because the00:21:35
security of the base is increasing00:21:39
- This is quite an ambitious project, which is00:21:41
obviously also profitable because it00:21:44
will entail the provision of a large00:21:46
number of jobs and investments in the00:21:49
same place. They are generally such a project, of course.00:21:52
Well, it is quite ambitious. It is extremely large. Therefore, it is00:21:57
designed for the servicemen together with their families.00:22:07
yoganis he announced that his00:22:09
presidential term is coming to an end and he00:22:11
will submit his candidacy for the00:22:13
secretary general of NATO. Ugh, he is00:22:17
interesting, although there is also the current00:22:19
deputy of Stoltenberg of the NATO NATO. He is00:22:22
also the representative of Romania, Mircea Ioana.00:22:25
Well, what if yoganes if00:22:29
someone was elected, well, probably his deputy00:22:31
would have to resign, because the00:22:34
quotas would not be respected, that the two leaders,00:22:37
in fact, the leader and the deputy are from00:22:39
Romania. Well, that's all about Romania, about how the00:22:44
country is, so to speak,00:22:46
gradually, but it's an interesting country in general,00:22:50
because Romania is not the only country that00:22:53
came out of the Second World War without losses.00:22:56
And it was in the camp of the losers,00:22:58
because it supported Nazi00:23:00
Germany, there was such an Ion Antonescu and00:23:03
others, but it did not lose00:23:05
territories. It also gained00:23:08
additional territories in that including southern00:23:11
Bukovyna. By the way,00:23:13
I will say that if we observe00:23:17
this country in this way, there are some interesting things and00:23:20
perhaps even some lessons for us, so that from00:23:23
this experience I00:23:25
wanted to focus on this, that we should take something reasonable00:23:29
from this certain policy and draw your own00:23:31
conclusions because I remember00:23:32
even in our stream with you, when the00:23:34
Polish farmers' protests first started,00:23:36
you mentioned that in00:23:37
Romania they also started only when00:23:39
they, well, forgive me, arrived there on wheels, on a00:23:42
Mercedes, on a BMW, everyone00:23:44
looked like that, even the Government she herself ridiculed them00:23:46
and said listen Go back home00:23:48
to work on the land and not to00:23:49
do00:23:50
stupid things like that Well, because Well, there is something00:23:54
different there and in principle I I I remember how a00:24:00
stereotype was formed there many00:24:03
years ago about Romania what is it like not00:24:05
quite a prosperous country and they have00:24:07
big problems. Well, in principle, we00:24:09
can't say that everything is perfect there and it's00:24:12
not worth exaggerating either, but there are many00:24:15
problems. They really solve them and they00:24:17
work quite well, and I can say that00:24:21
Romania00:24:25
was not a half-publicist with the support of Ukraine posted Although they00:24:27
help and helped constantly, but00:24:30
you will never see that they are there in an00:24:33
extraordinary way. Well, directly, I don't know,00:24:35
they ran ahead and shouted, and we00:24:39
supported them in everything, provided them there, yes, we are00:24:41
for Ukraine. It happened in absolutely00:24:43
normal working mode and the help00:24:47
went, I agree with you. That's how it is. And this is00:24:50
very much the aspect that should be00:24:54
seasoned with a sauce for understanding and for00:24:56
generally perceiving the breadth of what is00:24:58
happening around00:25:00
[music]00:25:18
us.Description:
🔴 Підписуйтесь на наш канал https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMp5Buw-6LpbbV9r9Sl_5yg?sub_confirmation=1 Військово-політичний експерт Олександр Мусієнко розповів, що у ГУР могла з’явитися інформація про появу на Енгельсі великої кількості стратегічної авіації. Вирішили нанести удар по ним. ППО росіян все проморгало. В інтерв’ю Василю Пехньо він назвав мільярдні втрати росіян через удари по НПЗ. Дав оптимістичний прогноз - скоро Польща зніме блокаду кордону. 00:00 Атака на аеродром - що було на Енгельсі? 05:33 Які наслідки ударів по НПЗ 09:31 Польщу накрила масштабна блокада 16:20 Румунія здивувала всіх ❗️Станьте спонсором цього каналу: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMp5Buw-6LpbbV9r9Sl_5yg/join 🔸Підписуйтесь на "Фабрику новин" в Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fabrykanovyn 🔸Сайт "Фабрика новин" - https://fabryka.news/ 🔴 Підписуйтесь на ТГ-канал Василя Пехня: https://t.me/pekhno_news ❓ Рекламні розміщення (натив, продаж інвентаря) та інші питання: [email protected] 💙💛ЗБИРАЙМО ДОНАТИ на медичне обладнання та ліки шпиталям, гуманітарну допомогу вимушеним переселенцям - https://aaf.org.ua/donate ❌І пам'ятайте, "Фабрика новин" не веде жоден Telegram канал чи ТікТок під власним брендом!
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