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00:00:06
But the US-China relationship is also the same.00:00:08
It has been said that the two sides00:00:09
hope that the two leaders can meet00:00:11
, but so far00:00:12
at least the G2000:00:14
has broken00:00:15
the situation. Now it00:00:17
is rumored that00:00:18
Xi Jinping00:00:19
will not attend00:00:20
the G20 summit.00:00:21
The attendance was announced00:00:23
, so Biden00:00:25
’s response to the media’s questions was that00:00:27
I would be very disappointed00:00:28
because the Biden administration00:00:29
has been seeking relations with Asia.00:00:31
On the 7th and 10th, he will00:00:32
go to India to attend this meeting00:00:34
and visit Vietnam.00:00:35
Since Li Qiang,00:00:37
the Chinese Premier, is here .00:00:38
If the representative attends,00:00:39
the two people will not be able to meet.00:00:41
He said that I am disappointed,00:00:42
but I will still go to see him00:00:45
. How and when will I see him00:00:46
? Of course, that is the next question.00:00:48
Biden will00:00:49
visit Hanoi, Vietnam soon.00:00:51
Do you think that00:00:52
the escalation of US-Vietnam relations00:00:55
will anger Beijing?00:00:57
Biden is going to visit00:00:58
Hanoi, the capital of Vietnam,00:00:59
so he00:01:00
will take this opportunity00:01:03
to raise diplomatic relations with00:01:04
Vietnam00:01:05
, his former enemy, to the highest level.00:01:08
Could it be00:01:09
after Biden's arrival00:01:10
or even shortly before Biden's arrival00:01:14
? Then Singapore-based Southeast Asian researcher Le Hong Xie analyzed that00:01:17
the risk of escalating relations with Washington00:01:19
will anger Beijing is very high00:01:21
. So in the future,00:01:23
the relationship between the leaders of the Communist Party of Vietnam and China and Vietnam may deteriorate.00:01:26
Of course it continues Observe00:01:28
that the ASEAN summit is being held now,00:01:30
including that00:01:33
neither Biden nor Xi Jinping will participate00:01:34
, but Li Qiang and He Jinli will represent it.00:01:36
From the past practice,00:01:37
neither the leaders of the United States and China00:01:39
will personally participate00:01:40
. This year is relatively rare,00:01:42
but this year00:01:43
What does it mean? It00:01:45
means that the biggest problem of ASEAN00:01:47
is that it has no real influence,00:01:49
so that the participating countries00:01:50
are forced to choose sides between the United States and China. Even if00:01:53
the two leaders do not go,00:01:55
everyone feels that00:01:56
there is no major conclusion.00:01:58
Can it happen?00:01:59
Well, of course, Raimondo,00:02:00
the US Secretary of Commerce00:02:01
just visited mainland China.00:02:03
What Raimondo is raising now is that00:02:04
many unexplained huge fines,00:02:06
raids, raids, and anti-espionage laws that00:02:08
American companies00:02:10
face in China are fading away00:02:12
. The patience of these companies00:02:15
requires anticipation00:02:17
of a long-term level playing field00:02:18
in order for China and the United States to00:02:20
have a stable and developing business relationship.00:02:23
She said that00:02:24
the mainland tour has made progress00:02:25
anyway , but it still needs to be observed to see if00:02:27
there is any trust00:02:29
at all. She also said that00:02:30
there is no The concept of decoupling00:02:32
the supply chain from mainland China00:02:34
will still sell chips to China.00:02:35
We try to00:02:36
suppress its military capabilities.00:02:38
So during her tenure, she will not sell00:02:40
the most advanced high-end chips to China00:02:43
, so they just want to00:02:45
use them. The concept00:02:47
of military-capable chips00:02:48
, so low-end ones can be sold,00:02:49
so00:02:51
the industry is selectively restricted.00:02:53
This is the position publicly expressed by the United States.00:02:55
Of course, Huawei chose to00:02:57
suddenly announce the release of new models00:02:59
during Raimondo's visit to China.00:03:01
It has aroused a lot of attention00:03:02
, whether it is aimed at Raimondo or not,00:03:03
but so far00:03:04
, the pre-sale00:03:07
has caused00:03:08
a lot of discussion.00:03:11
Although it00:03:12
is very popular, the number 156600:03:14
is Huawei's listing by the United States.00:03:16
The prohibited number on the Entity List00:03:19
is 1566 days after00:03:21
Huawei released a new phone , and00:03:23
the technological progress00:03:24
represented by this new phone is what00:03:26
everyone is looking forward to00:03:29
, but now it is said that more than 100 million units00:03:31
have been pre-ordered. Is00:03:33
the figure of 100 million units00:03:34
based on sales00:03:36
and actual technological growth00:03:37
? Doesn’t that mean00:03:39
that the Mate series00:03:41
has sold a total of 100 million00:03:44
pre-ordered Mate 60 ?00:03:49
There are only queues for the number00:03:52
, but it has not yet reached the 100 million mark.00:03:54
It means00:03:56
that it was last year. It has sold 30 million units,00:03:57
and it is expected to sell 40 million00:04:00
units this year. The Mate 60 Pro is 6 million units.00:04:03
Thank you, Brother Liang, for correcting me.00:04:05
So this number of hundreds of millions00:04:08
is the entire00:04:09
number of hundreds of millions00:04:11
. The announced 60 PRO00:04:13
caused the crowds to line up during Raimundo’s00:04:16
arrival in China. Everyone snapped up the pre-orders00:04:18
because the physical channel was launched.00:04:20
Let’s analyze00:04:21
the comparison between Apple and Huawei.00:04:23
Apple and Huawei were once described as00:04:24
the intersection of death in00:04:26
2019. During this period,00:04:28
there will be a number.00:04:29
Huawei and Apple00:04:31
seem to be close to00:04:33
or even ahead of this trend. However00:04:35
, after some restrictive measures00:04:36
were imposed in 2020,00:04:38
after being sanctioned,00:04:39
Huawei’s sales began to plummet00:04:41
and fell to the bottom.00:04:42
Apple’s market value is now 2.9 trillion US dollars00:04:45
. Apple Of course, the Kingdom00:04:46
is the seventh largest economy in the world,00:04:49
and it is higher than France00:04:51
in the relevant IMF rankings,00:04:52
so if there are no sanctions,00:04:54
it will certainly sweep the world even more.00:04:56
Therefore, Huawei Mobile announced that it emphasized that00:04:58
the Huawei Mate series has released 100 million units.00:05:01
The series is00:05:02
currently the most popular . Welcome to00:05:04
the Mate 60 Pro entity after it goes online.00:05:06
There is also a long queue. This crowd00:05:09
can cause everyone to discuss.00:05:11
We will wait to see00:05:13
if the mobile phone is so strong00:05:14
. Even Huawei's satellite mobile phone00:05:16
is really eyed by the United States. There is00:05:18
also a report in the Washington Post that00:05:20
the United States may be forced to make another move.00:05:21
If the capability of self-made chips00:05:24
is indeed beyond some imagination00:05:25
and00:05:26
how it can be linked with satellites00:05:28
, then the editorial of the Global Times00:05:29
quickly responded to it.00:05:30
It said that regardless of00:05:31
Huawei’s announcement What is the intention00:05:32
of the timing of the pre-sale00:05:33
? Many mainland netizens think that00:05:34
the deep meaning is that00:05:36
they can still rise00:05:37
under the pressure of the United States.00:05:39
Is it to show the United States that00:05:40
the trade war has failed?00:05:42
Therefore, if the United States makes a move,00:05:44
there will be further sanctions00:05:46
or containment .00:05:48
There are still other ways to do it ,00:05:49
but in the face of Biden,00:05:51
he said that he hopes to talk to China00:05:52
and wants to communicate with Xi Jinping.00:05:53
How do you see00:05:55
the development00:05:58
of the leaders of the two sides00:06:00
? We need to meet for a face-to00:06:03
-face00:06:05
and then discuss what the two sides00:06:07
want to talk about.00:06:09
The intersection of specific lists, right?00:06:11
You must have specific results.00:06:13
If you, like Biden, just want to meet and chat,00:06:16
who cares about you00:06:17
? You need to be more formal.00:06:19
So everyone originally expected00:06:21
that APEC in November00:06:22
is not too late for G2000:06:24
in September.00:06:26
Now Raimondo has just left and00:06:27
Wang Yi has not yet gone to the United States.00:06:29
How can you have00:06:31
a more specific intersection00:06:32
? I think Xi Jinping takes the meeting between the two00:06:35
more seriously00:06:37
, that is, it00:06:38
is meaningful only if there is concrete progress.00:06:40
So look at him this year.00:06:41
You should pay attention to00:06:44
the multilateral meetings00:06:45
he attended, right? Didn’t00:06:48
the meeting between China and Central Asia00:06:51
turn Xi’an00:06:52
into Chang’an again? Right,00:06:55
then there will be the BRICS meeting00:06:57
and then the 10th00:06:58
Xi Jinping will definitely go to00:07:00
the Belt and Road summit in January00:07:02
, so I think he is also there.00:07:03
He also thinks that if he goes,00:07:06
it will probably be of great significance00:07:08
before the top leader needs to make a decision.00:07:11
So with Biden,00:07:12
I think he should think the same way, that00:07:15
is to say, I If you want to go to Biden00:07:16
, it is00:07:17
probably00:07:20
meaningful to make some more important resolutions.00:07:21
This time, the G2000:07:22
has made it clear that there will be no such thing.00:07:25
The G20 is already a mess00:07:28
because Lavrov is also going.00:07:30
Then the G7 will follow . Lavrov is making a fuss00:07:33
because the war in Europe is getting hotter00:07:35
and hotter00:07:36
right now you00:07:38
have someone to list and someone to object00:07:42
to the third world debt issue00:07:43
is basically now00:07:45
you see this G20 has no consensus00:07:48
and what you have heard so far The thing is, maybe00:07:50
there is no joint statement00:07:52
, so you have to think about this kind of situation00:07:54
. Why did Xi Jinping go by himself?00:07:55
He just wanted to say that Li Qiang should go.00:07:57
So I think00:07:58
he should have thought it through.00:08:00
Absolutely not00:08:01
, and this news00:08:02
has been circulating for a while.00:08:03
It was only today that the decision was made00:08:05
and it was confirmed that Li Qiang would be sent there.00:08:07
In fact, Huawei00:08:09
had no way to obtain00:08:13
advanced chips00:08:14
before , so its sales00:08:17
dropped from more than 200 million units to00:08:19
30 million units00:08:21
in an instant00:08:23
. Look at the damage. That’s right, why00:08:26
this news has attracted attention00:08:28
is that China can make high-end chips by itself.00:08:30
Of course, this is great news.00:08:32
Of course, the United States now has two opinions.00:08:36
One is whether to lock SMIC00:08:37
or not.00:08:41
Some people think that00:08:42
if you still need to lock this DUV 14nm,00:08:45
it is equivalent to00:08:46
locking everyone else. Do00:08:48
some people also think00:08:49
that it is necessary to do this?00:08:51
Do00:08:53
you want to reflect on the United States and the United States, and the entire Chinese market should not be00:08:55
beneficial to the United States?00:08:57
So I think there is probably00:08:59
a debate between these two opinions00:09:00
in the United States. These entrepreneurs00:09:02
will protest if they want to sell to the mainland and their livelihood is blocked.00:09:04
Professor00:09:05
,00:09:07
what do you think? I think the first00:09:10
Biden will participate. This00:09:12
summit in India00:09:14
and then skip this ASEAN meeting00:09:16
, but your vice president is of Indian descent,00:09:19
why didn’t you00:09:21
let Kamala Harris go to00:09:24
India00:09:26
?00:09:28
Going to Vietnam00:09:29
, such an important asset,00:09:32
you don’t want her to have a good time.00:09:35
We say homecoming,00:09:38
you’d better let her go to have a good time00:09:41
, and she00:09:42
is not a second-generation Indian or something.00:09:44
She used to go back when she was young. In India00:09:47
, her grandfather is an Indian diplomat. In fact, she00:09:50
has many connections00:09:52
in India. As00:09:53
a result, you Biden traveled00:09:55
so far00:09:56
. Why didn’t you let He Jinli go00:09:59
and then you went to the ASEAN00:10:00
? I think this is very strange.00:10:02
Then you went to the East.00:10:03
It’s no wonder the Indonesian00:10:04
foreign minister said just now00:10:06
that Indonesia is balancing.00:10:07
I’m still00:10:08
reading a new piece of information today00:10:10
. Most of the ASEAN countries currently00:10:12
have a higher degree of favorability for the United States than China.00:10:15
Only Indonesia is the opposite00:10:17
. For the United States00:10:19
in the past 2 years00:10:20
, the first is that its favorability towards China00:10:24
is higher than that of the United States.00:10:25
The second is that the favorability of the United States00:10:27
has dropped a lot,00:10:29
so it means that00:10:30
you should run a business in the United States00:10:32
, although Indonesia is considered00:10:33
full of the United States. An important partner.00:10:35
Similarly, when you go to Vietnam today, you00:10:38
are also going to run a00:10:39
partnership.00:10:41
It may be better to improve00:10:43
the partnership . After all, these countries00:10:45
are still relatively close to China,00:10:47
and they will have some00:10:48
problems that must be considered.00:10:51
It is not so easy,00:10:52
so I have been00:10:53
I don’t think it’s enough00:10:55
when the United States is doing diplomacy today.00:10:57
You are a multi-racial country.00:10:59
You can use many of your00:11:01
people from different ethnic backgrounds00:11:03
to come back to this place00:11:05
to help you do a lot of things00:11:06
, but I don’t see it. This time,00:11:09
we are arranging the G2000:11:12
. Of course,00:11:15
Li Qiang attended00:11:16
the ASEAN summit . Would Biden think that00:11:18
if I go,00:11:21
he will be the opponent, the number two,00:11:22
and I will be the number one.00:11:25
I can’t go down to this place.00:11:27
This is the reason,00:11:28
but I still00:11:30
think that00:11:31
you should not go at all,00:11:32
but he seems to have a special purpose00:11:34
, which is to go to Vietnam to get it00:11:36
, but if you only go to Vietnam,00:11:38
it is impossible, and he will not stay overnight00:11:41
at this time. … It’s almost the same00:11:44
as our president’s visit to Haiti00:11:45
, but what I mean is that if you00:11:50
don’t want to go,00:11:51
I don’t think you00:11:52
need to concentrate on preparing for your APEC. If you00:11:55
hold it in the United States,00:11:56
you should first clean up San Francisco00:11:58
and organize an APEC00:12:00
. Inviting everyone to meet Xi Jinping,00:12:03
I think this is better.00:12:04
You let these ASEAN countries relax today.00:12:06
The G20 is very easy00:12:09
because the two big heads are not here.00:12:11
You don’t need to make a special statement00:12:13
or say something about the arrangement00:12:16
. We It’s called a side meeting.00:12:17
Did you meet with the United States today?00:12:19
Did you meet with China?00:12:21
I think everyone is so relieved.00:12:22
You know that sometimes00:12:24
when we have meetings, the big guy didn’t come.00:12:26
Everyone is so happy.00:12:27
So it’s actually happy. Anyway,00:12:30
there is no conclusion.00:12:32
1566 days now of course00:12:35
It is of great significance00:12:36
to the people in mainland China.00:12:37
The United States blocked and contained00:12:39
various chip restrictions,00:12:41
which made its sales00:12:42
almost bankrupt.00:12:43
Now a company has launched a new product00:12:45
and uses the chip developed by itself.00:12:47
I think what the teacher just said For00:12:48
Biden, at least before APEC,00:12:50
the zero-yuan purchase in San Francisco will be resolved.00:12:52
If the zero-yuan purchase is not resolved,00:12:53
the leaders of the world will00:12:55
be embarrassed00:12:56
. I think this00:12:57
Biden has to think about it00:12:59
. As for Huawei, it00:13:02
seems that 1566 days It’s like breaking through a predicament.00:13:05
In fact, I think00:13:07
it’s just getting started because it’s just a mobile phone after all,00:13:09
and its manufacturing process isn’t the most advanced.00:13:11
To be honest00:13:12
, that means at least00:13:14
you can’t stop me if you’re not using the most advanced manufacturing process.00:13:17
But00:13:18
They still need to work hard on00:13:19
the most advanced part00:13:21
, but I think Raimondo00:13:22
said a layman's word.00:13:23
She said that in order to limit00:13:25
the development of military power in mainland China,00:13:26
the highest-level chips are not sold,00:13:28
and everything else can be sold00:13:29
. Do you know that military power is00:13:30
fundamental? You don’t need the highest-level chip pair00:13:32
because it’s very simple. Military weapons00:13:35
require stability and00:13:37
low error rates00:13:40
, so you usually don’t use the most advanced00:13:42
ones, you just look for the most stable ones.00:13:44
So why00:13:46
? Then you say it like this, and00:13:48
you just keep selling that kind of thing. The mid-level chip00:13:50
continues to be used as a weapon,00:13:52
so I think Raimondo00:13:53
really doesn’t understand the situation00:13:54
, and she said that00:13:55
she has always used this as a reason00:13:59
, saying that mainland China has too many restrictions00:14:01
and is not friendly to American companies, etc.00:14:02
I have always wondered00:14:04
before Raimondo went, didn’t00:14:05
the attitude of the United States00:14:06
hope that their companies00:14:07
would not invest in China?00:14:09
Why are you going there now to complain that00:14:10
your environment is not good00:14:11
and I can’t invest00:14:13
? So what do you think of them? To invest00:14:14
or not to invest in them00:14:15
? I really don’t understand00:14:16
what your opinions are00:14:18
, but I think Huawei will make a breakthrough this time.00:14:22
After this breakthrough,00:14:24
will the United States increase its efforts?00:14:26
I think it will00:14:27
, but I personally think that00:14:29
its increase will be limited. Because the United States00:14:31
is using almost00:14:32
everything that can00:14:33
be used now , so00:14:34
what kind of strength00:14:35
can it increase00:14:36
under this situation?00:14:37
I think if it really wants to increase it,00:14:39
in the end it will directly cut off00:14:41
any contact with mainland China.00:14:42
Regarding the exchange of semiconductors00:14:44
, this is obviously00:14:45
unrealistic,00:14:46
so I think00:14:47
the United States is forcing China00:14:48
to produce its integrated semiconductor industry,00:14:51
and then in 5 years or 10 years,00:14:53
when China really becomes an independent00:14:55
semiconductor industry00:14:56
. When no one can catch it,00:14:58
maybe it is really invincible?00:15:00
Let’s take a look at the part of Japan’s nuclear wastewater.00:15:02
Now the international discussion00:15:04
has not really subsided.00:15:05
Among them, this nuclear wastewater00:15:07
is still subject to China’s strong countermeasures.00:15:09
China is still completely banned.00:15:11
Suspension of imports of Japanese aquatic products00:15:13
. Japan expressed00:15:15
its intention to appeal to the WTO.00:15:17
At the same time, it notified the WTO that00:15:19
this emergency measure is only00:15:21
effective in protecting public life and health, and00:15:24
thoroughly limiting risks.00:15:26
It shows that China00:15:27
still has no immediate intention00:15:29
to lift such a ban00:15:31
. Afterwards,00:15:32
Fumio Kishida of course proposed a00:15:33
20 billion yen00:15:34
to get rid of the dependence on China00:15:36
and let the fishery industry00:15:37
go to other places for sales.00:15:39
It is also a subsidy policy00:15:41
to prevent aquatic products00:15:43
from being greatly affected00:15:44
. But the United States00:15:46
and South Korea found it00:15:48
After working together at Camp David,00:15:50
we met00:15:51
and immediately announced that00:15:52
nuclear wastewater can be discharged into the sea.00:15:55
Does the United States really support it?00:15:57
Then the latest figures released by Japan’s agriculture, forestry and fisheries00:15:59
show00:16:01
that even the United States has reduced00:16:03
its purchases from Japan. The number of00:16:06
aquatic00:16:07
products imported from Japan00:16:09
has decreased by 7.9%00:16:11
and is still falling.00:16:12
The agricultural products imported from Japan00:16:13
have decreased significantly. After00:16:14
the first half of the year00:16:15
, the country with the largest decrease is the United States.00:16:18
Comparing00:16:19
Malaysia, Egypt and Thailand00:16:20
, Kishida has00:16:21
reduced purchases from the United States.00:16:25
There is no way to respond to this matter00:16:27
or even fight for it,00:16:28
but Japan’s nuclear sewage discharge00:16:31
has indeed hurt Sino-Japanese relations, and00:16:33
the impact has been very large00:16:34
, including related00:16:35
Japanese restaurants, not to mention00:16:36
the vice minister of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the mainland. He said that00:16:38
he summoned the Japanese stationed in Beijing. Then the ambassador00:16:42
lodged a stern representation , and00:16:43
the ambassador to Japan00:16:45
in the mainland also said that00:16:46
he lodged a stern protest with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan.00:16:48
The catering industry00:16:50
related to this brand00:16:51
or foreign cuisine00:16:52
has been greatly impacted.00:16:54
Most of the Japanese restaurants are Quickly00:16:56
respond to de-Japaneseization00:16:58
, including aquatic products.00:17:00
We have not used aquatic products from Japan00:17:02
to express that00:17:03
we can continue to survive.00:17:04
But South Korea,00:17:06
Seoul is actively mediating with Beijing and Tokyo00:17:08
to00:17:09
reach a summit between China, Japan and South Korea in 2023.00:17:11
There is a possibility. Are there any new opportunities for00:17:13
these three countries00:17:14
? Is it possible for China00:17:15
to let go of this issue00:17:17
? Well, Japan has lost00:17:18
40% of its export market .00:17:20
Of course, it is difficult for China to transfer to Europe.00:17:23
Various analyzes say that00:17:24
processing plants are year by year .00:17:26
569 rooms have been added , but of course, everyone knows that00:17:29
the relevant restrictions of European standards00:17:31
are the highest00:17:32
. Now there are only 110 rooms.00:17:34
If you want to export to Europe, which has strict restrictions on ESG00:17:36
-related sustainability,00:17:38
there must be some00:17:39
time and there is no way00:17:40
to catch up immediately. Therefore00:17:42
,00:17:43
Europe and the United States look at Japan's nuclear sewage with a cold eye,00:17:46
and the mainland's ban?00:17:47
This issue is obviously00:17:50
a factor under the geopolitical competition between the United States and China.00:17:52
For Japan, I am afraid that it must first save itself00:17:54
because, for example, South Korea is better.00:17:56
Originally, the relationship between China and Japan and South Korea00:17:57
may be somewhat00:17:59
In the process of tension00:18:00
and maintenance , now Chinese tourists don’t00:18:03
go to Japan, where do they go to South Korea,00:18:04
are they blocked by South Korea?00:18:06
South Korea fights for economy00:18:07
, waives visa fees for mainland tourists, and00:18:09
provides low-interest loans for exporters.00:18:12
Therefore, all the hot buying trends00:18:14
are said to have turned. South Korea? Well,00:18:17
some new policies related to this boom in buying00:18:18
have also been launched.00:18:21
Let tourists come here00:18:23
, but South Korea has also deployed00:18:24
the so-called THAAD missile system00:18:26
. From00:18:27
the introduction of the ban on South Korea in00:18:29
2017 to the present, it was originally an00:18:31
ideological00:18:32
resistance00:18:34
to South Korea.00:18:36
Now it has made a lot of rewards for00:18:38
relative profits.00:18:39
Has the tourism measure gone to South Korea?00:18:41
This is also the stage when00:18:43
the most Chinese groups have traveled to South Korea since 2017.00:18:45
At the same time, we saw that00:18:47
the leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, Lee Jae-myung,00:18:49
is still on a hunger strike.00:18:50
It is the 4th day,00:18:51
but he shouted it is infinite I00:18:53
don’t know how long00:18:55
it will take to shout. It will continue to discharge for 30 years.00:18:57
I don’t know how many days I will go on a hunger strike.00:18:58
But Yin Xiyue00:18:59
moved the bronze statue of the famous anti-Japanese general00:19:01
Moon Jae-in also scolded.00:19:02
Now the domestic polls00:19:03
are indeed very challenged.00:19:06
The treatment of nuclear sewage00:19:07
is obviously an issue in China. There00:19:09
is no way to get a good deal with00:19:11
Liang00:19:12
, this Japanese aquatic product00:19:15
should first ask the United States00:19:17
to expand the market00:19:18
, because the United States is the most supportive,00:19:20
Europe may not necessarily be, for example,00:19:23
because the current00:19:24
environment minister of Germany is the Green Party,00:19:26
he publicly opposes it,00:19:27
so you in Europe Under such circumstances,00:19:29
you want to let Japan’s aquatic products come in. I00:19:32
’m afraid it’s not decided by each country. I’m00:19:34
afraid it’s up to the European Union to decide00:19:36
Germany’s position00:19:37
. Can the European Union make a decision?00:19:39
So I think this is too naive,00:19:41
and it ’s rarely00:19:43
exported to Europe00:19:45
. The second is Hong Kong,00:19:47
the third is the United States,00:19:48
the fourth is us00:19:50
, so Japan should00:19:53
sell more to Taiwan for00:19:56
a discount...00:19:58
because I know that00:19:59
its Hokkaido scallops00:20:00
are all blocked now,00:20:02
and the Hokkaido scallops00:20:04
account for its export to China. Aquatic products00:20:07
account for half of00:20:08
them because they are all high-end products.00:20:10
Most of the seafood imported from China to Japan00:20:12
are high-end products00:20:14
, so the quantity is not much00:20:15
but the price is high.00:20:17
It also sells a lot to the United States.00:20:20
The United States00:20:21
is the third00:20:23
. 7.9%00:20:26
It00:20:27
was secretly reduced in00:20:28
the first half of this year , so let me put it bluntly.00:20:30
The United States buys the most in California00:20:32
because there are many Asians in California.00:20:34
You know00:20:37
it, right? Do you think00:20:39
California in the United States is really acceptable?00:20:42
Let me tell00:20:43
you. It’s just that it hasn’t drifted over there yet.00:20:45
The environmental movement in California00:20:46
, the United States is much stronger than Taiwan’s.00:20:51
In fact00:20:52
, the environmental protection groups in South Korea are also against it00:20:55
. They are already launching international connections00:20:58
because I received a letter from the00:21:00
Korean environmental protection groups00:21:03
yesterday. The relay hunger strike sent out00:21:05
to send out information to important international people00:21:09
has begun to be lost,00:21:11
not that I saw it on the Internet, I00:21:13
00:21:14
mean it has begun to call on00:21:15
environmental protection groups all over the world00:21:17
to relay the hunger strike.00:21:19
This must have an impact00:21:21
, because you too I know that many Koreans00:21:23
live in California,00:21:25
right? There are a lot of people in Canada00:21:26
and Australia, right?00:21:28
So Koreans, let me tell you,00:21:29
I think00:21:30
the most likely breach is South Korea00:21:32
, because Yoon Suk-yue00:21:34
didn’t win much, but00:21:36
he actually only won. Lee Jae-myung00:21:38
won 0.8% of the presidential election.00:21:40
Lee Jae-myung himself jumped off the hunger strike.00:21:43
Lee Jae-myung scolded Yoon Suk-yue directly,00:21:46
calling00:21:47
him a lackey of Japan00:21:48
, and then Moon Jae-in also jumped down.00:21:51
So now the entire opposition party in South Korea,00:21:53
I think it will be brewing00:21:55
. The National Assembly will definitely propose a resolution00:21:57
because they are the majority00:21:59
and Yoon Suk-yue has 300 seats00:22:00
and only 115 seats,00:22:03
so I think the South Korean National Assembly will00:22:05
definitely make00:22:06
a resolution , such as00:22:09
asking someone to go to Japan for on-site inspections00:22:12
. Tell Japan,00:22:14
you think about it,00:22:16
if Japan is forced to let South Korea to test,00:22:18
then China and00:22:20
other countries in Russia will follow up,00:22:22
so I think the breach will be South Korea,00:22:25
see how long Yin Xiyue can last00:22:27
even if Yin Xiyue grabs the fish from Fukushima00:22:28
and says This is very fresh and very good.00:22:30
He eats fish from Korea, not from Fukushima.00:22:33
He has specially caught fish from Fukushima00:22:35
to promote it.00:22:36
He ate it for 4 days in a row,00:22:37
so it’s only 1 day.00:22:39
Let’s take a break and come back soon.00:22:57
It caused the strongest reaction in China.00:22:59
It directly restricts all aquatic products.00:23:01
It seems that it is very good.00:23:03
The purchase volume of the United States is also declining.00:23:06
Is it really good?00:23:07
The attitude of the United States, the professor thinks00:23:09
I think we are in Taiwan00:23:10
because we are not sanctioning or protesting00:23:14
. Look at Korea and Japan.00:23:17
South Korea and the mainland just announced00:23:19
a lot of speeches.00:23:20
I don’t think it’s necessary to00:23:21
just secretly reduce the amount.00:23:23
Just follow the example of the United States. The United States, when it00:23:25
sanctioned00:23:26
Russia,00:23:27
asked everyone not to buy oil from Russia00:23:30
, but it still bought oil itself.00:23:32
I think The United States00:23:33
is a country that does a lot of things.00:23:36
Its double standards00:23:37
are very serious,00:23:39
so I always think that00:23:40
we should not follow the United States and shout.00:23:43
It seems that, for example, in Taiwan,00:23:45
it is good to say that it is better to stand with the United States.00:23:47
It is to support democracy. As00:23:49
a result, we are now like President Tsai00:23:52
going to visit Eswatini soon00:23:53
and calling for democracy.00:23:55
As a result, you went to the most undemocratic country in Africa.00:23:57
I think there is a little problem00:23:59
with your calling for democracy00:24:00
, so you really can’t follow the United States00:24:02
because of the United States.00:24:03
Say one thing and do another with double standards00:24:06
. I think our government is the same.00:24:08
But in this matter, the United States00:24:11
has never been soft00:24:13
on Japan. Let me give you an example.00:24:15
At that time00:24:16
, when Trump00:24:19
raised the steel and aluminum tariffs,00:24:21
Japan was hardcore. Brother, it’s still 10%00:24:24
of you00:24:26
, so it didn’t say that00:24:28
you and I are very good today,00:24:29
so I don’t think it00:24:30
will be beneficial for00:24:31
us to stand with Taiwan and the United States.00:24:33
Every time we encounter this problem,00:24:34
the United States will bring up something.00:24:35
It says that we attach great importance to both sides. Relationships00:24:38
, but we pay more attention to the basic principles00:24:40
called free trade.00:24:41
After a lot of talk about the results, it is true that when you00:24:44
see the final increase in tariffs00:24:46
, it thinks it is because00:24:48
you have some unfair situations,00:24:49
and the unfair situations are defined by00:24:51
you. The United States is against00:24:53
the United States . How much to subsidize agricultural subsidies by yourself00:24:56
is not a problem in the end00:24:58
, so I think we will start from this time00:25:01
Including that the United States00:25:02
itself is reducing the amount of fish in Japan00:25:04
and then expressing support to the outside world.00:25:06
We should take a good look at it.00:25:08
The Japanese government like the United States00:25:09
has not dared to ask to00:25:11
buy more00:25:12
Japan. It probably thinks that00:25:13
you just need to reduce it and don’t talk about it.00:25:15
I think this is00:25:16
probably the case. Just support.00:25:18
I think this may be00:25:19
the embarrassment of Japan00:25:20
because it always hopes that00:25:21
the United States will not openly oppose it.00:25:23
But this problem has always been a problem00:25:25
. I think what our small country has to do00:25:27
when facing the United States00:25:28
is that00:25:29
you must fight00:25:31
for you . It is in my own best interest00:25:33
to at least keep the United States00:25:34
from talking publicly about00:25:36
what principles you have violated,00:25:37
including in Taiwan,00:25:38
we may trade with the United States.00:25:41
You see, the United States insists on forcing us to open00:25:43
our government. It is also very strange00:25:45
that our government I think we00:25:46
did it in the 1980s. It’s very good.00:25:48
The United States asked us to open the turkey,00:25:50
and we were forced to open it later00:25:52
, but if everyone didn’t eat00:25:53
it00:25:54
, it didn’t make sense for the Americans,00:25:56
but we also maintained our00:25:57
free and open00:25:59
economy , and then00:26:01
we entered the WTO.00:26:03
There is no problem00:26:04
, so it should be our government. It00:26:06
can be said that we encourage everyone not to eat.00:26:10
It means that you don’t have to eat.00:26:11
We are just open and00:26:12
open, but we don’t have to go .00:26:15
The real thing is to let everyone eat00:26:17
and not encourage it.00:26:18
I think this is the case. The principle is the same.00:26:20
If we00:26:21
don’t impose sanctions on Japan’s fishery products00:26:22
today , but the government should encourage00:26:24
everyone to eat their own fishery products, it’s fine.00:26:26
You don’t have to say anything and00:26:27
eat Taiwan’s.00:26:29
Both of them have00:26:30
a good rest and come back00:26:47
to China immediately to respond. Of course it is the most intense00:26:49
, but it is also the same in Japan.00:26:51
The international response00:26:52
can00:26:53
be seen to be different,00:26:55
but in fact, everyone is worried.00:26:57
Everyone is worried about health issues.00:26:58
Of course, everyone is worried00:27:00
because00:27:01
no one is sure what will happen00:27:02
. Normally, let me tell you that00:27:04
even if you open it up,00:27:06
I think many consumers00:27:07
should at least take a break and00:27:09
observe for a while before talking00:27:10
about00:27:12
why you are in a hurry to eat00:27:13
or00:27:14
not00:27:17
. It’s useless enough00:27:18
, and our representative00:27:19
in Japan is still telling everyone00:27:20
to see the truth in adversity and eat hard00:27:22
What are you talking about?00:27:24
I really think Hsieh00:27:25
is really enough00:27:26
, but Japan00:27:28
I think it’s a bit hard to get off now00:27:29
because it’s diplomatic .00:27:32
He said he would protest solemnly, then he said he wanted00:27:34
Fumio Kishida, and he said he would00:27:36
go to China and South Korea to talk about00:27:38
it. Let me ask you what you want to talk about, what00:27:40
can you talk about,00:27:41
because unless you make concessions, if00:27:43
you don’t make concessions,00:27:44
basically there is nothing to talk about00:27:45
because of you . The water has been released all the time. If00:27:47
you keep releasing00:27:48
it, the possibility of pollution is getting higher and higher.00:27:49
How can you ask mainland China to back down?00:27:51
So I think you00:27:53
can’t solve00:27:54
this problem00:27:55
if you just want to use00:27:56
diplomatic mediation As far00:27:58
as Yin Xiyue is still dreaming about00:27:59
a China-Japan-Korea summit in 2023,00:28:01
if this issue is not resolved,00:28:03
I think it will not be held at all.00:28:15
The first00:28:16
guest to discuss international and domestic issues00:28:17
with us00:28:18
is ours . Sorry, our doctor00:28:21
Guo Zhengliang Brother Liang00:28:22
, everyone is safe00:28:23
. Sorry, I00:28:24
'm sorry, I'm sorry,00:28:26
I'm00:28:28
sorry, I00:28:30
'm sorry,00:28:31
Professor Yan00:28:33
Zhensheng,00:28:34
a part-00:28:35
time00:28:37
researcher00:28:38
at the National Relations Center of Zhengda University00:28:40
I'm sorry I still haven't pronounced00:28:42
the names of so many schools.00:28:44
Let's take a look at the latest poll numbers.00:28:46
In the previous section we were talking about00:28:47
the latest TVBS poll00:28:48
. This poll was sponsored by00:28:50
the Democratic Culture and Education Fund. What the00:28:52
association did was created by Guan Zhong,00:28:54
the former director of the Examination Institute,00:28:55
and commissioned by Aipro Marketing00:28:57
to conduct a survey report.00:28:59
Among them,00:29:01
we can roughly compare the poll of00:29:02
the Democratic Culture and Education Foundation00:29:03
with the previous TVBS poll.00:29:05
There is a little difference00:29:06
, but the order of the first, second00:29:07
and third is still the same.00:29:09
Lai Qingde 32.9%,00:29:11
Ke Wenzhe 20.5%, Hou Youyi is 17.5%00:29:14
, and the supporters00:29:17
of this pan-blue party00:29:18
were weakened by Ke and did not return.00:29:21
This is his 22.6%. Hou Youyi ranks third00:29:23
in the analysis index00:29:24
? Is it because of the chaos in the field?00:29:27
So the support of the Blue Army00:29:28
is only 61.9%,00:29:30
and there is no high percentage of them00:29:31
. Among the supporters of the Blue Army,00:29:33
is it considered as a00:29:34
main object of support?00:29:35
And is Guo Taiming recently00:29:37
Because it has been surrounded and suppressed by various people,00:29:39
the spokesperson is Huang Shixiu.00:29:41
Recently, some statements00:29:43
have caused controversy00:29:44
because when he talked about00:29:46
the confiscation of property,00:29:47
he said that he would resign as the chairman of Hon Hai.00:29:49
But Huang Shixiu00:29:51
helped to speak00:29:52
because he was afraid of being too elected. A good00:29:54
stock price will skyrocket,00:29:56
and even the signed letter00:29:57
of course involves personal capital, which00:29:58
is very important,00:30:00
but the main spokesperson00:30:03
actually said that the cash truck will be used to transport it00:30:06
. Of course, Guo Taiming00:30:08
denied it00:30:09
when he was interviewed by the media.00:30:10
Huang Shixiu made some apologies and some clarifications00:30:12
on this matter on Facebook.00:30:13
He said that the meaning00:30:15
is not precise. He meant to use the highest standard00:30:17
to protect your personal information00:30:20
, but it may not be a cash truck00:30:23
, but everyone said00:30:24
it was for the bank. In terms of specifications,00:30:26
the highest specification seems to be a cash transport vehicle00:30:28
, so this is very embarrassing,00:30:30
so Guo Dong did not ask for a cash transport vehicle. There is00:30:32
a misunderstanding in the wording,00:30:34
but Huang Shixiu also said that00:30:35
the deputy candidate has been found. Among them,00:30:37
various reports from the news media00:30:39
have everyone who is00:30:40
the brightest. The most eye-catching thing is that Lin Chiling00:30:42
said that she wanted Lin Chiling to be the most beautiful deputy00:30:45
Guo Taiming, and she was criticized00:30:46
for eating tofu.00:30:48
Lin Chiling's response was that00:30:49
her sister didn't understand politics00:30:51
and only hoped that everyone would be healthy and the world would be peaceful.00:30:53
If it was really her00:30:54
Then it will become00:30:57
the concept of Barbie land00:30:59
. Guo Taiming directly responded that00:31:01
this is a very serious topic.00:31:02
Don’t be joking.00:31:03
In fact, many people were named00:31:04
, including Sheng Zhiren00:31:06
who has already entered the tourism industry.00:31:07
Who are00:31:09
these people named00:31:10
? Of course, wait. He went further to make an announcement00:31:12
, and in some analysis, the media00:31:14
did have an atmosphere of encirclement and attack00:31:16
on Guo Taiming. Among00:31:18
them, the heavy news of00:31:20
the United00:31:21
Daily News directly analyzed that00:31:22
Guo Taiming could not drink integrated coffee00:31:25
and eat Zhiling tofu instead.00:31:26
He criticized Guo Taiming for00:31:29
doing everything he could00:31:30
to win the election for the president00:31:31
. Of course he is not sure00:31:32
whether he is a candidate or an Internet celebrity.00:31:34
He once again proved that00:31:35
he is a political layman.00:31:37
As a result, Guo Taiming’s editor left a message and00:31:40
he said that of course I am a political layman00:31:42
, so I No political baggage00:31:43
, no corruption00:31:44
, wholeheartedly00:31:45
working for the land of Taiwan,00:31:48
and adding some00:31:49
national flag concepts that00:31:51
we don’t have in the main visual of the National Day,00:31:52
so he is confronting00:31:54
criticism like this00:31:55
head-on . What about the young votes00:31:57
in our last00:31:58
poll00:31:59
just now?00:32:00
It’s still hard to see,00:32:02
but in00:32:03
the follow-up poll00:32:05
of the Formosa Electronic News,00:32:06
because it’s done every 3 days and released once a day, did00:32:09
this wave of polls actually change drastically in00:32:11
the support of 20- to 29-year-olds ? Originally, Ke Wenzhe00:32:12
has always been in this area.00:32:14
The 20- to 29-year-old who leads the most is00:32:15
actually 43.3% behind00:32:17
Lai Qingde. This percentage00:32:20
is 15.6% behind.00:32:21
The outside world is full of surprise.00:32:23
Is it true that some of the recent00:32:25
tricks have worked00:32:27
so that young people’s votes00:32:29
have changed and moved00:32:31
? We have seen that00:32:32
in various moves,00:32:33
related personnel have recently been blacked out,00:32:36
and various meme pictures00:32:37
have appeared00:32:38
, saying that Ke is Wen Zhe A,00:32:40
highlighting00:32:41
the news that the local party headquarters of the People's Party has been blackened,00:32:43
and even00:32:44
if the dark blue is split into several What00:32:46
will happen?00:32:47
Liu Jiachang00:32:49
said that as soon as 1225 arrives, he00:32:51
will launch a joint signature to recall Hou Youyi to00:32:54
be elected president. He said it is sacred.00:32:55
If Hou Youyi00:32:56
does not resign as the mayor of New Taipei City,00:32:57
he will now issue00:33:00
a joint signature to recall00:33:02
the DPP00:33:05
. Of course00:33:08
, is00:33:09
the Anti-China Protection Taiwan00:33:11
very delicate or instant response?00:33:13
Just look at the latest follow-up news of the Jiang Wanan Shuangcheng Forum00:33:17
, and you can probably make a little analysis00:33:19
. In the past, if there were military exercises00:33:22
or aircrafts in our00:33:24
cross-strait military exercises, the news00:33:26
would usually be released the next day.00:33:28
Have you forgotten that00:33:29
when Pelosi of the US House of Representatives visited Taiwan00:33:31
, we even had to wait unknowingly?00:33:32
I didn’t know until Japan announced it00:33:34
, but this time00:33:36
it’s different for00:33:37
Wan’an to go to the Shanghai Shuangcheng Forum00:33:39
. It’s almost an instant announcement on the same day that00:33:42
the other side is doing a military exercise,00:33:44
which plane has flown across the Taiwan Strait00:33:46
, and there’s even the concept of pushing newsletters,00:33:47
so he thinks This is because the Cai government00:33:49
asked Jiang Wanan to wear small shoes00:33:51
deliberately to Jiang Wanan’s00:33:52
central government’s narrow-mindedness towards local governments.00:33:56
Is this so?00:33:57
Of course, the Ministry of National Defense issued a clarification.00:33:58
He said that the national army’s timely publication of information00:34:00
such as the CCP’s implementation of joint combat readiness patrols00:34:03
and long-distance voyages to the sea00:34:05
is not aimed at00:34:06
specific political figures. As for the incident,00:34:08
everyone has their own judgment . So00:34:09
what does Lai Qingde say about cross-strait issues00:34:11
? He has always said that00:34:12
he wants peace.00:34:13
He also said that the cross-strait will continue in00:34:16
this00:34:17
way00:34:19
.00:34:20
Well-intentioned00:34:23
, he hopes that the mainland can understand00:34:24
that there is no need00:34:25
for the two00:34:27
sides of00:34:29
the strait. Taiwan can help the prosperity00:34:31
of the mainland. Taiwan will help the progress and stability of the mainland. He00:34:34
hopes00:34:35
that the two sides00:34:36
of the strait00:34:37
can communicate on an equal footing. The so-called peer00:34:39
-to-peer exchange space for dialogue00:34:40
, and especially the ECFA controversy00:34:42
is still unresolved.00:34:44
Obviously, the director of the research center00:34:45
of the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences00:34:47
said that if the DPP00:34:48
wants to maintain the framework,00:34:50
it is obvious that Taiwan00:34:51
may fall into economic difficulties.00:34:53
It is necessary to first00:34:55
adjust the trade barriers of the mainland,00:34:57
that is, to see00:34:58
what barriers we have made00:35:00
against the mainland of China00:35:02
, so that they00:35:03
can respond positively to00:35:05
the mainland of China00:35:06
. Obviously, scholars are very pessimistic00:35:08
during such exchanges , so what can the government do? I don’t know how to do it. I don’t know00:35:10
what00:35:11
Brother Liang00:35:12
thinks00:35:14
about00:35:15
the recent poll numbers. What is00:35:17
the impact of00:35:19
cross-strait issues00:35:21
on the poll numbers00:35:22
and the people ? Ge00:35:24
means that Ke and Hou combined00:35:26
are almost the same as Lai.00:35:27
In fact, if you look at other polls,00:35:29
this is just one of them. It is00:35:30
the poll of Mirror Media of00:35:32
Democracy Culture and Education a while ago00:35:33
, and there are many other polls. I have read a lot of polls00:35:36
combined by Ke and Hou.00:35:37
They are all 5% to 10% bigger than Lai Qingde,00:35:41
only Boulder Island is less00:35:44
than equal to almost equal to00:35:47
last time less than this time equal to00:35:48
right...then if you are less than or equal00:35:50
then of course Lai Qingde should00:35:52
win big in every age group That's right00:35:54
because you win so much00:35:56
but don't you think it's weird00:35:58
20 to 29 years old00:35:59
he wins Ke P and wins more than 15%00:36:04
then 30 to 39 loses to Ke P00:36:07
how does that happen00:36:09
then 40 to 49 At the age of00:36:11
13, Ke P won 13%.00:36:13
I haven’t seen any polls with this structure.00:36:16
Why is Ke P particularly attractive to00:36:18
those aged 30 to 39?00:36:20
The other two, we can say00:36:22
that people over 4000:36:24
should be more deeply involved in society.00:36:27
With social experience00:36:28
, it should be closer to 30 to 39 years old00:36:31
, so why00:36:33
did Lai Qingde win a big victory at the age of 20 to 2900:36:35
, then Lai Qingde won a big victory at the age of 40 to 4900:36:37
, and Ke P won a big victory at the age of 30 to 39,00:36:39
let alone a big victory00:36:41
How could Ke P Xiaoying00:36:42
be like this?00:36:44
I can’t think of this kind of logic00:36:46
unless Ke P happens to be in that age group,00:36:49
otherwise I really can’t think of00:36:52
the logic00:36:53
because I haven’t seen00:36:55
such an age group in other countries. The difference00:36:58
is that you can be number one at the age of 30 to 39,00:37:01
and then you lose like that00:37:03
at the age of 20 and 29,00:37:05
and you were winning, and suddenly you lose right00:37:07
and lose like this00:37:08
. I can’t understand00:37:10
if you say it’s00:37:11
gender discrimination Some of00:37:13
you said that you have hit him, and00:37:15
it is reasonable00:37:17
to say that 30 and 39 years old will also have feelings,00:37:20
why not feel right?00:37:23
So I think it is a bit strange,00:37:25
at least I can’t understand00:37:26
it. I think the analysis of this age group00:37:29
will be like this. The difference is00:37:31
quite strange.00:37:33
I think most of the polls now highlight00:37:36
Hou Youyi’s support for the Kuomintang.00:37:38
That is,00:37:40
if the three powers stand together,00:37:41
Hou Youyi’s support for the Kuomintang00:37:44
is probably only between 60% and 65%00:37:47
, and Ke Wenzhe00:37:48
has always maintained it. At around 20%,00:37:51
I think there is something wrong with00:37:54
Hou Youyi's campaign strategy00:37:56
, because if you think about it, the top three will stand together,00:37:59
but Hou Youyi gives people the impression00:38:01
that he is using one-on-one elections.00:38:03
What does this mean? That is,00:38:04
one-on-one you will go00:38:06
If you want to win the middle vote00:38:08
, for example,00:38:09
if you are one-on-one with Lai Qingde00:38:10
, then you don’t want to make some issues00:38:12
too clear,00:38:14
because if you speak too clearly,00:38:15
you are afraid of offending the middle. You00:38:17
know what I mean.00:38:18
For example, he is speaking today. Regarding the00:38:19
treatment of soldiers,00:38:21
Tsai Ing-wen’s position is very clear that00:38:23
next year it will be increased by 4%.00:38:25
Then Hou Youyi said that00:38:26
we advocate a salary increase for soldiers.00:38:29
Why don’t you say 10%?00:38:31
You know what I mean.00:38:33
Why is he unwilling00:38:35
to speak in that way00:38:36
, such as Said that he can also say that00:38:38
your year change for the military00:38:40
is completely wrong00:38:42
If I am elected00:38:43
I will change the year of the military back00:38:44
because the military is not the same as the civil servants00:38:47
You can also take this position00:38:49
But why doesn't he say that00:38:51
because he thinks00:38:53
he I thought he was choosing one-on-one.00:38:55
Let me give you another example, and00:38:57
you will know that there is a major difference.00:38:59
For example, Zhu00:39:02
Lilun was in 2016.00:39:03
In the end, Zhu Lilun only got a few percent.00:39:06
He only got 31%.00:39:08
James Soong got 12% %00:39:10
Then you will wonder00:39:12
why Zhu Lilun00:39:13
can't even get00:39:15
the basic disk of the Kuomintang00:39:17
because he offended Hong Xiuzhu's votes by changing the post,00:39:20
so do you want to00:39:21
pull back Hong Xiuzhu's votes in the appeal?00:39:23
Did you fight like this? No,00:39:25
but you can go and see In 2020, Han00:39:29
Kuo-yu got 38%00:39:31
and Soong Chu-yu only got 4.5%00:39:33
Han Kuo-yu basically00:39:34
got most of the votes from the Kuomintang00:39:37
, because Han Kuo00:39:38
-yu knew00:39:40
it was three people in the election00:39:41
, not one-on-one.00:39:42
If you use this one-on-one approach,00:39:44
your line will be blurred00:39:47
and the gap with the DPP will not be widened. What00:39:50
I am talking about is a clear-cut contrast.00:39:52
You must00:39:54
fight00:39:55
on pan-blue issues00:39:57
until00:39:58
you have00:39:59
a clear-cut banner.00:40:01
Only then can00:40:02
the KMT’s basic position be brought back,00:40:05
otherwise it will give people00:40:07
the feeling00:40:09
that its position00:40:10
is not in a continuous confrontation00:40:12
with the DPP00:40:14
He has scoring00:40:15
, but that kind of score is not00:40:18
the score of the pan-blue basic plate,00:40:19
so I think if you keep00:40:20
imagining that you are one-on-one, in00:40:22
fact you are not one-on-one,00:40:24
Ke Wenzhe is also talking about a lot of00:40:25
critics The matter of joining the party00:40:27
, so I think00:40:28
he might have to think clearly that00:40:30
playing with three people00:40:32
is different from playing one-on-one00:40:33
. Obviously,00:40:34
the dark blue part has not00:40:36
really brought back the support.00:40:37
According to the poll numbers, Ice In fact, I fully agree with Brother00:40:40
Liang’s point of view.00:40:43
I’ve always felt00:40:44
that Hou Youyi is very strange.00:40:45
He is now in a00:40:47
situation of three or even four voters. So for him00:40:49
, he doesn’t know whether the middle voters are strong on00:40:52
other issues.00:40:54
At least your own basic situation.00:40:55
You have to take care of it first00:40:56
, but since he ran for the election,00:40:58
he has been reluctant00:40:59
to take care of the basics.00:41:00
The 1992 Consensus00:41:01
was forced to speak out after more than a month00:41:03
, and Han Guoyu00:41:05
was also very reluctant to meet him00:41:06
, so I00:41:07
Candidates00:41:08
who don’t understand00:41:11
normal should00:41:12
look at their basics first00:41:14
and then see if00:41:16
they can00:41:17
open up00:41:18
other intermediate voters or even other light green votes00:41:19
. Go all out to grab the middle.00:41:20
I think this logic is quite strange,00:41:23
especially when you are most likely to show weakness00:41:26
when00:41:27
many people are running for the election.00:41:29
Now you00:41:31
can’t blame others00:41:33
because this is a poll conducted by Guanzhong00:41:34
. In the polls conducted in Guanzhong,00:41:35
you only have a support rate of 60%00:41:37
, and the Kuomintang still has 20% who00:41:39
will go to support Ke Wenzhe.00:41:41
Please note that this is still only00:41:43
for the third party00:41:45
and not for00:41:46
Guo Taiming00:41:48
. I think your base is what00:41:50
I have been saying.00:41:51
If Hou Youyi’s base00:41:53
is his Kuomintang supporters,00:41:55
if he can’t get more than 80%,00:41:56
how can he lose in this election?00:41:58
The Kuomintang’s supporters00:42:00
are already very few.00:42:01
You even have so few00:42:03
You can’t get more than 80% of your supporters.00:42:04
May I ask00:42:05
how you want to vote?00:42:06
I really don’t know00:42:07
, and there are not many.00:42:08
In fact,00:42:10
if you look at the vote rate of a political party last time, you00:42:13
know that the KMT is only 20%.00:42:15
So that’s it. In this way, if00:42:17
you have 20% or 80% of your support, you can’t get00:42:19
your support, it’s only 10%,00:42:22
isn’t it obvious?00:42:23
So I think00:42:25
Hou Youyi has00:42:27
to think about his strategy.00:42:29
When a famous mouth00:42:31
chokes a reporter too many times00:42:33
So I think it may00:42:35
take some time for00:42:36
him to adapt to this role change.00:42:37
It’s just that I think00:42:38
what the role of the spokesperson is. You00:42:40
may have to figure it out yourself.00:42:42
That is, you have to be responsible for helping Guo Dong to make up00:42:44
and to help him speak good words instead of00:42:46
being funny.00:42:47
Yes, it’s not for the sake of being funny,00:42:48
and then say some words that are not surprising. Yes,00:42:50
you can go to the news,00:42:52
but the problem is that these news00:42:54
may not be beneficial to Guo Dong. To be00:42:55
honest,00:42:56
I also have to help Guo Dong clarify that00:42:57
Guo Dong never said what00:42:58
his deputy is. Lin Chiling is right00:43:01
because what people say is00:43:02
that they want women, are enthusiastic about public welfare00:43:06
, and are well-known.00:43:07
This kind of person is a man in Taiwan.00:43:09
I just said that00:43:10
Bai Bingbing’s sister completely meets this condition00:43:12
in other programs today, right00:43:13
? Some people say that Shen Chunhua00:43:14
and Shen Chunhua are also fine. That’s right00:43:16
, Chen Wenqian can00:43:17
do it too, right or not, it’s too much,00:43:18
so I don’t think people told00:43:20
you not to force it into his mouth,00:43:22
but I think Guo Dong’s editor00:43:24
is Tu Tiao himself00:43:26
, because he will be so choked back, you know00:43:29
that .00:43:30
I don’t think00:43:31
it00:43:32
’s necessary to go back and choke so much.00:43:34
It’s meaningless.00:43:36
If you really want to00:43:38
choke00:43:39
, Guo Dong himself will choke00:43:40
. To be honest,00:43:41
I also think his logic is quite strange00:43:43
. If he has no political burden, he will not be corrupt.00:43:45
Who will tell you that if he has no political burden,00:43:46
he will not be corrupt00:43:47
? If he00:43:49
has a lot of money,00:43:50
he will not be corrupt00:43:53
. There will be more people. Is it00:43:55
because to be honest,00:43:57
what kind of people will be corrupt00:43:59
has nothing to do00:44:00
with his political burden00:44:01
or his political experience,00:44:02
so this logic is quite strange,00:44:04
but00:44:05
I just thought it was weird, that is,00:44:07
20 to 29 When you say Hou Youyi 9.9%,00:44:11
I might believe00:44:12
you say Ke Wenzhe 27.7%00:44:14
and then Lai Qingde 43.3%.00:44:16
If you think about it,00:44:18
it took Lai Qingde 3 months00:44:19
to accumulate 100,000 people00:44:20
on YouTube00:44:21
, and he also recruited Internet soldiers to operate00:44:23
young people . Is it too strange for00:44:24
a person with such a high support rate that00:44:26
so few people watch his YouTube00:44:28
? In fact, Lai Qingde’s support rate among young people00:44:30
is probably not as00:44:32
high as this poll shows.00:44:33
I don’t really believe it00:44:34
, so how did this poll work00:44:35
? I don’t know.00:44:36
As for Liu Jiachang, Director Liu,00:44:39
I really think00:44:40
you don’t have to worry about this matter.00:44:41
If you don’t dismiss him,00:44:42
someone else will dismiss him.00:44:44
Do n’t worry,00:44:45
it’s Hou Youyi this time,00:44:46
whether he wants to withdraw now or not, to be00:44:48
honest.00:44:50
Someone will depose him next year,00:44:51
I promise you 100%00:44:52
because many people are already gearing up00:44:54
to deal with him, so it is superfluous for00:44:56
you to say this.00:44:57
You know that00:44:59
there is nothing redundant,00:45:00
and it will not threaten Hou Youyi.00:45:02
I think that if everything is00:45:04
done If you must go to that kind of00:45:05
extreme thinking00:45:06
, in fact, in the end, in my opinion00:45:08
, it is not integrating the opposition party00:45:10
, it is splitting the opposition party.00:45:12
It seems that I always think that Guo Dong came out00:45:13
not for integration but to punish people.00:45:15
How do00:45:17
you think about Guo Dong? Talking about the deputy,00:45:20
talking about women00:45:21
, it means that even if you00:45:23
become00:45:25
the highest voter in the opposition major league00:45:28
today , Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi00:45:31
are probably not your00:45:34
candidates for the vice president.00:45:36
There are other people who00:45:39
are women00:45:41
in the Kuomintang camp00:45:42
, or in the popular party camp.00:45:44
Because you seem00:45:45
to be a woman today00:45:46
, I think you have been excluded00:45:48
from the Big Three00:45:50
because the joint signature registration00:45:51
must have a correct name00:45:52
. I think that00:45:54
you are talking about integration again.00:45:57
I think it is really difficult.00:45:58
Do you want to say that00:45:59
we first register a fake one00:46:00
and then change it when the integration is successful?00:46:02
It is impossible to change it again,00:46:03
so the whole process of00:46:06
this operation is full. Roughly speaking00:46:09
, I think you should not00:46:11
talk about the time for registration00:46:13
. If you really can’t integrate successfully00:46:14
in the end , I think it’s better to talk about this topic.00:46:17
I just want to00:46:19
talk about Lai Qingde’s remarks that00:46:21
Taiwan and the Taiwan Strait don’t have to be like this.00:46:23
Taiwan’s prosperity is helpful. It is stable in China00:46:25
and even mentioned that00:46:27
we may still want00:46:29
to continue to maintain this ECFA.00:46:32
I always thought that00:46:33
since we don’t want to deal with the other side,00:46:35
why should we00:46:36
not use sugar-coated poison?00:46:37
If everyone thinks that today’s ECFA00:46:40
will hurt Taiwan’s economy00:46:43
, but I think I live It doesn’t matter00:46:45
if you have dignity,00:46:46
I think we have to talk like this, you00:46:47
should talk like this00:46:48
, you can’t have both sides,00:46:50
that’s why we often say that you00:46:52
need to have dignity, and you need to maintain a relationship00:46:55
with the other side00:46:56
, since even the other side00:46:57
doesn’t have any good intentions,00:46:59
you just started I’m also against it00:47:00
, why don’t we simply stop it and00:47:02
let it go00:47:04
, and today Taiwan often says00:47:06
that our advocacy is00:47:08
the result of free trade. Today, in this place,00:47:10
it seems that00:47:11
there is no free trade game00:47:13
with the other side00:47:15
, so I think this is our00:47:16
own . Today, I want to review our attitude00:47:19
towards the other side00:47:20
. I think maybe the DPP government today00:47:23
, or Lai Qingde said00:47:24
that Taiwan seems to have always been00:47:26
very friendly to the other side.00:47:27
Then you should control your editor . Maybe00:47:31
your political party today may be now00:47:34
. There is no special mention00:47:37
on this policy00:47:38
, but your editor, your legislator,00:47:40
and your famous mouth00:47:41
are talking about hatred everywhere.00:47:43
How can you say that Taiwan00:47:45
is now friendly to the mainland? I do00:47:48
n’t think it’s friendly00:47:49
to me. I have always emphasized00:47:51
that we don't need to hate,00:47:52
we can be suspicious,00:47:54
just like Europe has Euroscepticism00:47:56
, we are also suspicious,00:47:58
and we don't trust them.00:47:59
I think this is all right.00:48:01
But when you talk about Qiu Zhong,00:48:02
look at what we say00:48:03
on the Internet00:48:04
now,00:48:05
Lai Qingde dares to say this today,00:48:06
I think it’s really00:48:07
a bit shameless,00:48:08
so00:48:10
everyone thinks it’s a bit far from the truthDescription:
主持人：#王淺秋 本集來賓：#郭正亮、#謝寒冰、#嚴震生 【快按讚】《新聞大白話》Facebook▶️https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser 【快訂閱】《新聞大白話》YouTube▶️https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5fkmrA5VDTr2IU7lPmpsHA?sub_confirmation=1 【快加入】《新聞大白話》會員▶️https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5fkmrA5VDTr2IU7lPmpsHA/join 加入《新聞大白話》會員教學▶️https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qYA2iAtgHL8 《#新聞大白話》TVBS 56台／YouTube頻道 每日下午2點 ●主持人：#錢怡君、#翟翾、#陳諺瑩、#王淺秋 ●由錢子、翟翾、陳諺瑩、王淺秋與大家一起4小時精彩新聞內容討論與解析 ●為觀眾帶來最新政治、時事評析 ●《新聞大白話》YouTube▶️https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5fkmrA5VDTr2IU7lPmpsHA?sub_confirmation=1 ●加入《新聞大白話》會員▶️https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5fkmrA5VDTr2IU7lPmpsHA/join #快來訂閱開啟小鈴鐺
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How can I download "[SUB]華為1566天麒麟恨 岸田水產崩拜捅刀？新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230904 (字幕版)" video?
http://unidownloader.com/ website is the best way to download a video or a separate audio track if you want to do without installing programs and extensions.
The UDL Helper extension is a convenient button that is seamlessly integrated into YouTube, Instagram and OK.ru sites for fast content download.
UDL Client program (for Windows) is the most powerful solution that supports more than 900 websites, social networks and video hosting sites, as well as any video quality that is available in the source.
UDL Lite is a really convenient way to access a website from your mobile device. With its help, you can easily download videos directly to your smartphone.
Which format of "[SUB]華為1566天麒麟恨 岸田水產崩拜捅刀？新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230904 (字幕版)" video should I choose?
The best quality formats are FullHD (1080p), 2K (1440p), 4K (2160p) and 8K (4320p). The higher the resolution of your screen, the higher the video quality should be. However, there are other factors to consider: download speed, amount of free space, and device performance during playback.
Why does my computer freeze when loading a "[SUB]華為1566天麒麟恨 岸田水產崩拜捅刀？新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230904 (字幕版)" video?
The browser/computer should not freeze completely! If this happens, please report it with a link to the video. Sometimes videos cannot be downloaded directly in a suitable format, so we have added the ability to convert the file to the desired format. In some cases, this process may actively use computer resources.
How can I download "[SUB]華為1566天麒麟恨 岸田水產崩拜捅刀？新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230904 (字幕版)" video to my phone?
You can download a video to your smartphone using the website or the PWA application UDL Lite. It is also possible to send a download link via QR code using the UDL Helper extension.
How can I download an audio track (music) to MP3 "[SUB]華為1566天麒麟恨 岸田水產崩拜捅刀？新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230904 (字幕版)"?
The most convenient way is to use the UDL Client program, which supports converting video to MP3 format. In some cases, MP3 can also be downloaded through the UDL Helper extension.
How can I save a frame from a video "[SUB]華為1566天麒麟恨 岸田水產崩拜捅刀？新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230904 (字幕版)"?
This feature is available in the UDL Helper extension. Make sure that "Show the video snapshot button" is checked in the settings. A camera icon should appear in the lower right corner of the player to the left of the "Settings" icon. When you click on it, the current frame from the video will be saved to your computer in JPEG format.
What's the price of all this stuff?
It costs nothing. Our services are absolutely free for all users. There are no PRO subscriptions, no restrictions on the number or maximum length of downloaded videos.