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00:00:00
if already about the finale of the war, General Shan
00:00:02
Hodges predicted that Ukraine
00:00:04
would liberate Crimea before next summer,
00:00:07
explained this scenario, he also said
00:00:08
that by the end of the year Ukraine could return
00:00:11
the borders that were before February 24. Well,
00:00:14
our Budanov head
00:00:18
said Ln
00:00:21
Hodges, Well, we coincide with him
00:00:23
I,
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too, made the first forecast taking into account the
00:00:29
absence
00:00:31
for April, maximum there until
00:00:34
May, but when mobilization took place,
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Putin threw new forces into battle, and they need to
00:00:41
be ground and crushed, that is, they are not
00:00:44
just dummies standing under Fire and being
00:00:47
mowed down, so to speak, like a scythe They are
00:00:51
fighting, running, moving, shooting, I suppose
00:00:58
this will drag on, it may drag on until the end of the
00:01:02
year. Well, at least until late autumn in the
00:01:04
third year, what the general says is about the
00:01:06
same thing. Yes, he said that by the end of
00:01:10
this year, Ukraine can return the borders on
00:01:12
February 24, and here is our head of the GUR Budanova
00:01:17
He said that now is the decisive period of
00:01:22
the war. Well, it seems to me that I would
00:01:27
like to, but it seems to me that this
00:01:29
will not happen because a lot of force has been deployed and
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I think that the war will drag on for almost
00:01:36
a year, but this is my forecast, it is a
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pessimistic realistically
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pessimistic forecast, it is better to
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prepare for the worst and hope for
00:01:44
the best rather than, on the contrary, being disappointed
00:01:47
in one’s expectations.
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I’m just looking at the pace of grinding.
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Well, now there, according to the data of the
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Ukrainian country, there are about 80,000
00:01:58
grinding, British intelligence there,
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more than 50,000
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grinding, took and threw 80,000 new ones,
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so they need to be grinded too. Well relatively
00:02:10
speaking, or by some kind of
00:02:12
large-scale offensive actions,
00:02:14
cut off large military formations
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Take them into the cauldron catch them force
00:02:20
them to surrender in tens of thousands
00:02:22
then somehow it’s
00:02:23
possible I don’t know I’m not again a
00:02:26
military specialist I don’t know what the
00:02:28
Armed Forces are capable of now Ukraine has such
00:02:31
serious military operations, like
00:02:34
dissecting the defense there, going far into the
00:02:37
depths of the defense, taking some
00:02:40
large Russian military formations into the cauldron, I
00:02:43
just don’t know how capable the
00:02:44
Ukrainian rune forces are now for such difficult,
00:02:47
serious operations. Except they
00:02:50
can speed up the end of the war. Because
00:02:53
if this will be an economic position
00:02:57
and absolutely correct, but the war will
00:03:02
drag on. Unfortunately, this is exactly what Putin
00:03:04
is counting on, and this is what he
00:03:06
is counting on, that something will happen, that
00:03:08
some events, some cataclysms in the
00:03:11
world that will reduce attention to this
00:03:14
war in Europe is the number one topic in
00:03:17
the States, for example, among the people there it is not the
00:03:19
number one topic, but in Europe it is very close to
00:03:22
this topic and he hopes that
00:03:25
something will happen there that will shift
00:03:26
attention and reduce the amount of assistance.
00:03:30
This is all he hopes for I hope
00:03:33
that this will not happen after all, the world
00:03:36
understands that it is necessary to give Putin and the
00:03:38
Putin regime cannot be left in
00:03:41
such a wounded state, but the ability
00:03:43
to recover and
00:03:45
strengthen one’s aggressive forces, so to speak,
00:03:48
Well, let’s see, I think
00:03:52
that we need to
00:03:58
prepare,
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I will be the first to rejoice at this
00:04:02
Well maybe not the first, but among the first who
00:04:03
will rejoice at such victories of the
00:04:05
Ukrainian Armed Forces because
00:04:07
the sooner the Putin regime ends, the
00:04:10
sooner, for example, we will exchange our country with
00:04:13
which we were deprived there, who like
00:04:16
what years, I haven’t been home for 4 years. in
00:04:19
general about the mood in Russia,
00:04:23
like an air raid alert in the city,
00:04:28
they felt anxious, then Putin,
00:04:31
who wanted to play as a soldier,
00:04:33
he went to Red Square, looked at
00:04:36
the props Tanga, listened to the holy war, I
00:04:39
understand that this is more of a question, probably for
00:04:41
some psychotherapist, but Putin is already in
00:04:44
his mental health It’s getting so
00:04:46
bad that he’s now
00:04:49
keeping his entire country in fear, how to
00:04:52
understand this now, it seems to me that it’s not the topic
00:04:54
to display Tanks on Red Square, to
00:04:56
show something when people understand
00:04:58
that their relatives are dying and they bring
00:05:00
people to them or don’t bring them at all, it’s completely
00:05:05
bad Well, I would like to understand that he’s been in a
00:05:10
bad head for a long time, if that’s the
00:05:13
question, then he’s
00:05:14
been in a bad head for a long time and it will get even worse, but that’s not the question, the
00:05:18
question is that Russia is not yet
00:05:20
sensitive to losses, so we should With
00:05:23
you to be frank and honest Russia is
00:05:27
not yet sensitive to its own
00:05:28
losses
00:05:30
and this is the problem, let’s
00:05:33
say there are 70 dead, let’s say there are
00:05:36
80 seriously wounded, crippled
00:05:40
dead Well, that is, completely
00:05:42
irreparable losses,
00:05:47
the population doesn’t care and this is a
00:05:51
big problem because
00:05:58
Come on, let’s go so I sent one,
00:06:01
remember there is some kind of recording there, this is a
00:06:04
stupid mother who says I
00:06:06
lost one son, now the second one is coming.
00:06:08
Let this part of the population fight,
00:06:12
she is not sensitive, she thinks she is
00:06:16
in this frenzy,
00:06:19
they are still in this frenzy for some reason they believe that their children
00:06:21
perform heroic deeds there, although the children do
00:06:28
terrible things, but
00:06:32
practically none, still
00:06:36
mostly.
00:06:49
small towns, urban settlements,
00:06:58
that is, there were no such serious raids
00:07:01
there in Moscow, first of all, Moscow
00:07:05
would have been stopped or
00:07:09
suspended suspended under frozen at any
00:07:11
moment, it can resume
00:07:20
What are the limits of sensitivity
00:07:22
to these
00:07:28
losses? Of the children who went to the front,
00:07:31
one or two returned. I have the Second World War, the
00:07:34
losses were monstrously huge, this is a
00:07:36
genetic memory, a habit of
00:07:39
coffins; excuse the cynicism, but I say
00:07:42
it doesn’t work yet from the point of view of
00:07:46
anti-war sentiments there or almost
00:07:47
doesn’t work or
00:07:50
doesn’t work much, this is also something we unfortunately
00:07:52
have as a sad factor in the current
00:07:54
situation, maybe when, as they
00:07:57
say, the law of philosophy turns
00:08:00
into
00:08:02
quality, maybe there will be a
00:08:04
moment of some kind of leap in consciousness when
00:08:07
quantity moves into the quality of consciousness, but
00:08:09
for now this is not my opinion is not happening,
00:08:11
I could be wrong, but I need to
00:08:13
call you specifically. Maybe my referent will be there for
00:08:15
people in Russia and
00:08:19
see what the reaction is, how
00:08:21
many coffins are there, I’ll
00:08:28
tell you about attention on your
00:08:32
broadcast. From time to time I write on Twitter
00:08:36
asking my readers to study the situation around me.
00:08:39
and my
00:08:42
readers, well, subscribers, they have already been
00:08:45
conducting their own research four or five times
00:08:47
in their environment. I’m just
00:08:49
writing. Guys, please give me the social
00:08:51
environment of the region and your assessment of the level of
00:08:55
support for the war. Here is my latest survey, it’s
00:09:01
some kind of crazy graph, that is, from zero
00:09:04
support to 100 % here is the horse, that is, people
00:09:09
write in my environment there is only one freak out
00:09:11
of 30 there out of 4 out of n there members of
00:09:14
the team only one will support the war the
00:09:16
other writes it is generally impossible
00:09:20
to understand anything, or rather it is generally impossible
00:09:22
to do anything in the class Two sons two boys
00:09:26
from Seme against the war 28 for here is
00:09:29
the result, well, families and here is some
00:09:33
completely ragged graph at the peaks of
00:09:38
this I have never had an answer to
00:09:40
what is happening. I can’t understand. That is,
00:09:42
apparently now the
00:09:44
gap between opponents and supporters of
00:09:47
the war is growing and it is becoming absolutely
00:09:49
diametrical polarization is happening creepy
00:09:53
[music]
00:09:55
their
00:09:58
conn growing mutual degree of
00:10:00
hatred of these two large
00:10:03
relative groups of the population which
00:10:06
some are
00:10:07
completely enemies of the war and others are its
00:10:10
ardent supporters, that is, here it comes in
00:10:13
my opinion Maybe I’m wrong nya
00:10:15
corrected experts there is some kind of
00:10:20
polarization going on with rejection other points
00:10:23
of view e Gru
00:10:28
closed
00:10:29
there Noble rage is boiling there and this
00:10:32
situation is quite dangerous for Russia
00:10:35
because there is a civil war there for years
00:10:37
now It will definitely not bring
00:10:41
peace to anyone Well, in fact, I was
00:10:43
surprised by the results of my last
00:10:45
logical survey of answers from me -
00:10:48
for me there are already 10,000 or 1,700, that is, people
00:10:54
1,700 interviewers, this is not
00:10:58
a survey, but 1,500 interviewers who give the
00:11:01
situation from the spot their point of view. This is the
00:11:04
first time I’ve seen such a picture when there are
00:11:07
simply completely polar assessments of the level of
00:11:11
support or the level of
00:11:13
opposition to war, in fact,
00:11:16
this really surprises me
00:11:36
A

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Війна в Україні затягнеться ще щонайменше на рік. Таку думку висловив опозиціонер, полковник ФСБ у відставці Геннадій Гудков в інтерв'ю Анастасії Федір. 🔴 Підписуйтесь на наш канал https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMp5Buw-6LpbbV9r9Sl_5yg?sub_confirmation=1 ❓ Рекламні розміщення (натив, продаж інвентаря) та інші питання: [email protected]

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