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Украина не имеет права в войну разбазарить страну – Николай Давидюк

Украина не имеет права в войну разбазарить страну – Николай Давидюк

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Корупція. Це ми ще не чули про митницю та прикордонну службу – Олексій Кошель

Корупція. Це ми ще не чули про митницю та прикордонну службу – Олексій Кошель

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В оточення президента Тищенко ніколи не входив – Володимир Фесенко

В оточення президента Тищенко ніколи не входив – Володимир Фесенко

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Навчання ядерних сил РФ. Чого очікувати? – Сергій Грабський

Навчання ядерних сил РФ. Чого очікувати? – Сергій Грабський

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Ми переходимо в атаку. Нам потрібен броньований кулак – Вадим Пристайко

Ми переходимо в атаку. Нам потрібен броньований кулак – Вадим Пристайко

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pharmadol forget about headache

00:00:05

continues special company radio nv My

00:00:07

name is Oleksiy Tarasov on Wednesday, January 11, the

00:00:10

Russian Ministry of Defense announced the

00:00:13

change of the commander of the Russian army in

00:00:15

Ukraine, the place of Survikin in this general,

00:00:19

Armageddon, as they called it, was taken by the

00:00:22

Chief of the General Staff, Gerasimov. We have already

00:00:24

seen him many times,

00:00:26

Surovitin became as Gerasimov's deputy,

00:00:28

other deputies have appointed such a

00:00:31

Salyukov, there is also such an Oleksiy, it does

00:00:34

n't matter who it is, it doesn't matter what the

00:00:36

names are, and in the Russian

00:00:39

Ministry of Defense, the reshuffle was explained by the

00:00:41

increase in the level of leadership of a

00:00:44

special military operation,

00:00:46

we understand that the war against Ukraine is called a special military

00:00:48

operation in the Russian Federation. About

00:00:51

what

00:00:53

this can mean And in general about such

00:00:55

internal changes in Russia in the Kremlin,

00:00:58

let's talk now with our next

00:01:00

speaker, Volodymyr

00:01:02

Fesenko, political scientist, Mr. Volodymyr Dobry,

00:01:05

welcome to the broadcast. they

00:01:14

drowned for Surovikin If

00:01:18

you can say that, Prigozhin and Kadyrov

00:01:20

Kadyrov, the head of Chechnya, Prigozhin, the head of the

00:01:23

so-called private military campaign,

00:01:25

Wagner, the Wagnerites themselves turned

00:01:28

to Gerasimov, and now Gerasimov leads the

00:01:31

troops, how do you understand this situation?

00:01:38

- and the military

00:01:41

leadership of Russia returned, General

00:01:43

Lapin, who was removed from all his

00:01:46

previous positions in a scandal, just at the request of

00:01:48

Kadyrov and Prigozhin, and here he was

00:01:51

appointed to a high position for

00:01:54

promotion, he became the head of the staff of the

00:01:57

high-altitude forces of Russia,

00:01:59

of course, Russia itself perceives this

00:02:03

as a certain signal that they say that not

00:02:07

Prigozhin in Kadyrov influence the

00:02:10

personnel policy in the Russian army,

00:02:14

they do not decide, they are not the main ones. I

00:02:17

think it did not happen by chance, because

00:02:20

judging by various data and sources,

00:02:23

even those around Putin began to fear the

00:02:27

parishioners. He has large military

00:02:31

resources, he

00:02:33

threatens specific people, and I, that there were

00:02:37

many complaints to Putin personally, that they say that

00:02:41

when everyone explodes, it is necessary to somehow

00:02:43

put them in their place, it

00:02:48

also remains for historians, but at the

00:02:51

same time, he later demonstrated that he

00:02:53

allegedly maintains trust in the military

00:02:57

leadership, in particular, in Gerasimov, and

00:03:00

thus there is a certain

00:03:05

reduction in status surovikina, but

00:03:08

it looks like a humiliation, a certain

00:03:11

and a certain mistrust, there is no progress, that’s why

00:03:15

such a demotion and at the same time for

00:03:19

Gerasinov, well, it’s not a promotion. It’s

00:03:23

more like, you know, such an electric

00:03:26

chair, a new additional function, er,

00:03:30

additional responsibility, who knows, maybe there

00:03:33

will be the same problem somehow Surovikina

00:03:37

will not be reprimanded later, some kind of demotion

00:03:41

or some other problems, new attacks from

00:03:45

not only Prigozhin, but for

00:03:48

Gerasim, these are additional risks, but at the

00:03:51

same time, it is obvious that if the head of the

00:03:55

war against Ukraine is

00:03:57

appointed directly by

00:04:00

the day of the main military leader in Russia of the

00:04:02

General Staff, this means that the rate is

00:04:05

increasing. In fact, this is a course for total

00:04:08

war, it is no longer an IED, not a special operation,

00:04:12

because the head of the General Staff is not responsible

00:04:15

for resource provision.

00:04:24

the head of the general staff

00:04:27

plus mobilization is again

00:04:31

the responsibility of the mineral staff

00:04:33

Russia needs to recruit new soldiers, new

00:04:38

meat as they say for the war in Ukraine

00:04:40

because the losses are great so that raising

00:04:43

rates is the course for total war, but at the

00:04:46

same time, Putin is nobody's business does not trust and

00:04:51

demonstrates that everyone can suffer,

00:04:54

everyone can be responsible for one or

00:04:57

another failure, Putin's paranoia is

00:04:59

intensifying and no longer works, and the

00:05:02

classic system of Putin's hierarchy that

00:05:06

existed before, Putin is constantly

00:05:08

changing some generals for

00:05:11

others, but the result was not there and is

00:05:13

not Well, more than that, here it means

00:05:17

researchers who collected all the different versions of

00:05:20

why this could have happened in this eye, such

00:05:23

changes, they quote such a political scientist,

00:05:26

Abbas Galyamov, and in his opinion it is more

00:05:28

like aimless use in search of a

00:05:31

way out.

00:05:34

he

00:05:36

changed prime ministers, this is for our

00:05:38

audience. the

00:05:50

eternal war in Ukraine

00:05:52

when he

00:05:53

announced these illegal annexations of our

00:05:56

regions and even more so wrote it

00:05:59

into the Constitution, that is, every time when, well,

00:06:02

let's imagine that something like that

00:06:04

happened, they retreated somewhere, then

00:06:07

every time Russia can now legitimately

00:06:11

explain to its population why it

00:06:13

returns with weapons on the territory of

00:06:16

Ukraine because in the Constitution it is

00:06:18

already Russia Kherson Zaporizhia Donetsk

00:06:21

Luhansk Oblast Do you agree with

00:06:23

this?

00:06:24

Well, I think that the situation is

00:06:26

more complicated here, the only thesis with which I

00:06:28

agree

00:06:29

with the opinion of my Russian colleague is one of

00:06:33

former comrades who worked in the

00:06:35

administration of the President of Russia. Well,

00:06:37

then he left the opposition. Yes, he does

00:06:53

n’t have new generals or victorious generals. He doesn’t have new Zhukovs. And

00:06:56

who is he looking for? And who is the school of these

00:07:00

generals limited plus the same

00:07:03

Putin's paranoia, I think he does

00:07:07

n't trust anyone now, because this guy really broke down

00:07:10

and is already trying to

00:07:13

interfere in personnel policy. Putin

00:07:15

had to put him in his place, but even

00:07:18

with everyone else, you have to have someone there to

00:07:23

fight and lead the troops. Putin doesn't

00:07:25

want to take on himself personally

00:07:27

responsible He wants to be

00:07:33

the only certain Let's say certain signals

00:07:36

to lower the status of the adventure that

00:07:39

they say he does not influence

00:07:46

but everything

00:07:47

in the Donbass What is it that he is the most

00:07:50

effective and from the point of view of the logic of the

00:07:53

Putin regime there can only be one and

00:07:54

that is Putin himself but there is no way to win, but there are

00:07:58

many defeats, but you should be responsible for the defeats,

00:08:03

because then it will be

00:08:05

the strengthening of another group, and he is

00:08:09

trying to preserve only in an updated

00:08:11

form some system of restraining the

00:08:13

counterbalances

00:08:15

that lay from him, so they rather

00:08:17

dominate here, after all, this

00:08:19

internal political logic is the

00:08:21

logic of struggle to Putin's entourage, the

00:08:24

logic of restraining individual groups

00:08:27

so that no one is in a monopoly is strong,

00:08:30

so that control remains only with Putin,

00:08:33

but everything is the same.

00:08:46

Gradually, the Putin

00:08:48

regime begins to crumble, particularly in the

00:08:52

situation with the military leadership, but

00:08:54

we still understand that Putin is leaving

00:08:57

behind such an image without an alternative

00:08:59

candidate. They will have elections in the 24th year,

00:09:03

and there have already been reports that the

00:09:05

Kremlin is preparing for these elections.

00:09:07

Of course, I don't know what the difference is,

00:09:11

how they will pass. Of course,

00:09:13

Putin will win, but this

00:09:16

unalternative candidate works

00:09:18

not only inside Russia, not only on the

00:09:21

elites, so Russian on the Kremlin

00:09:23

elite, and also outside.

00:09:26

What do you think, is it really ours? Western

00:09:29

partners perceive Putin in this way. Well,

00:09:31

there is no one to replace him, so only

00:09:34

he can keep this balance, so now

00:09:36

we have seen the representative of this handsome man. I am

00:09:38

sure that he

00:09:41

also scared Europeans with his sledgehammers,

00:09:43

mercenaries, convicts, and so on. So what do you

00:09:46

think, whether Europe and America also

00:09:47

perceives Putin as without an alternative

00:09:49

candidate,

00:09:50

well, unfortunately, some people perceive it as such, and this

00:09:54

is evident from some publications, from some

00:09:57

statements or predictive assessments, not only by

00:10:01

individual political or

00:10:04

military analysts, but also by some

00:10:06

high-ranking officials of Western countries,

00:10:09

the opinion that one way or another it will be necessary to

00:10:12

negotiate precisely with

00:10:14

and it is better there with Putin than with Prigozhin, yes,

00:10:18

there is such an opinion, and some

00:10:22

observers, for example, believe that the fluctuations of the

00:10:25

sixth chancellor in Germany or not is not just a

00:10:27

tribute to the traditional

00:10:31

specificity of the German social democrats.

00:10:34

Well, there are also certain connections relations with

00:10:36

Russia, but there is also the opinion that

00:10:40

everything will have to be negotiated with

00:10:42

Putin, so let's not escalate

00:10:45

this war. So, unfortunately, such an opinion

00:10:48

exists, but compared to

00:10:51

last year, especially in the first months of

00:10:54

the war, there are more and more Western politicians

00:10:57

Now they understand that a decisive victory is needed, a

00:11:01

victory not only for the military sense of

00:11:04

Russia on the fields of Ukraine, the liberation of all

00:11:08

occupied Ukrainian territories,

00:11:09

such a victory is needed that would cause

00:11:14

such

00:11:16

cardinal tectonic upheavals in Russian

00:11:19

politics that could eliminate the

00:11:23

Putin regime itself, or for this a

00:11:26

really decisive decisive victory over

00:11:30

Putin's Russia, precisely in Ukraine in the

00:11:33

current war, so that this opinion is

00:11:36

more and more supporters of the

00:11:39

Dnipro's portulism. I would say that

00:11:42

some kind of doom in front of Putin, it is

00:11:45

inertial, still exists.

00:11:51

in favor of Putin.

00:11:54

But all the same, this once again shows that

00:11:57

the problem is

00:12:01

not only in the appeasement, but in the

00:12:03

aggressive nature of Putin's

00:12:05

regime itself, so we really need

00:12:09

all the

00:12:13

expository systems of Russia. In

00:12:20

Russia, a very clear example is

00:12:24

exactly what is happening now in Soledar,

00:12:27

so in the Donetsk region we remember that

00:12:30

there is a constant long-term assault.

00:12:33

Now, according to the reports we

00:12:36

have, unfortunately, most of Soledar was

00:12:38

captured by the occupiers. So they occupied

00:12:42

most of it. of this city and we saw

00:12:44

how it was communicated by the Russians

00:12:48

precisely in their media space, and

00:12:52

Prigozhin himself constantly said that

00:12:53

only the units of this Wagner of mine should listen there,

00:12:56

that we have already captured everything

00:12:59

there, surrounded it and so on And so on and so

00:13:02

then the Ministry of Defense of Russia

00:13:04

denied this, saying that the city was not

00:13:07

captured, and we see that, in the

00:13:10

end, it all ended with the fact that

00:13:12

in general, the changes of Surovikin, then you

00:13:15

said that Prigozhyn is needed by

00:13:17

Putin and his mercenaries, they are needed for

00:13:21

this war, so this Russian aggression But

00:13:25

what do you think? And what will happen next with the

00:13:27

handsome Well, now that he, I'm sorry,

00:13:29

was left out live in the

00:13:32

Russian media

00:13:39

[music]

00:13:40

we can, I would, you know, Zombie warriors.

00:13:46

only meat in this

00:13:51

war is needed in this function,

00:13:55

but the problem is that it got out of

00:13:58

control and that is why it was necessary to

00:14:00

demonstrate now that no,

00:14:03

Putin leaves everything under control, that it is not

00:14:06

beautiful, he decides everything. So this

00:14:09

was a really demonstrative action in order to

00:14:11

appease Putin's entourage and the

00:14:14

Russian elites, but a very

00:14:17

revealing trend has already taken place, a fashion has actually emerged

00:14:20

in Russia, and even not only in Russia,

00:14:22

even in Belarus, private military companies have already been created in these

00:14:25

same pvk. And

00:14:28

here it seems to me that a company is being created

00:14:30

not only and not only for

00:14:33

the war in Ukraine, because there is also a personnel

00:14:36

army, and they are creating for the future so

00:14:39

that every influential figure in Russia

00:14:41

has his own military resource, his

00:14:45

own army, so that not only handsome men, not

00:14:48

Kadyrov, have their own armies, well, there is also Putin's

00:14:51

fsu.

00:14:53

So, in particular, and They say

00:14:57

that the leaders of Russian state

00:14:59

corporations are already creating their own private military companies. Lukashenka is

00:15:02

creating them for himself.

00:15:04

And this means that they are preparing for the future

00:15:07

struggle for power. They

00:15:11

will have their own military resources and

00:15:13

insure themselves.

00:15:18

in the end, they will become nins under

00:15:21

Russia itself, now they are fighting in Ukraine and

00:15:24

against Ukraine, and then they will fight among

00:15:27

themselves in Russia itself, this is simply an inevitable

00:15:30

trend, because this is what they are being

00:15:32

created for now. Well, they

00:15:34

claim here that it is allegedly in order to

00:15:36

kill Ukrainians but we understand how

00:15:39

they can be used further. I

00:15:41

want to discuss one topic with you that is so

00:15:43

interesting. I think we remember

00:15:46

that the so-called yurts of invincibility were opened in Buchi and in Kyiv, they

00:15:48

did it on the

00:15:53

initiative of Kazakh businessmen,

00:15:54

but we saw such a crazy reaction on

00:15:58

the part of the Russians, the crazy reaction on the part of the

00:16:01

Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, this is their spokeswoman, or as

00:16:04

the press calls her, a drunkard, Maria

00:16:05

Zakharova. She said a lot about

00:16:08

Kazakhstan, it seems that the ambassador of Kazakhstan in

00:16:11

Russia was summoned to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, how do you understand

00:16:15

this situation, why are they reacting so aggressively

00:16:19

even just to

00:16:23

you know the word yurt here, the main important thing is that

00:16:26

Kazakhstan, which is also a member of the so-called

00:16:30

Jewish Union, as well as other

00:16:33

post-Soviet organizations led by Russia, and the

00:16:37

measures do not hide their sympathy for Ukraine, this is

00:16:41

not some kind of

00:16:48

reaction to threats from Russia

00:16:51

before, as far as I know just from

00:16:53

my own communication, I

00:16:55

have been to Kazakhstan several times at a conference, and

00:16:57

outside of Kazakhstan, in particular, and in

00:17:00

Ukraine, I talked with representatives of

00:17:01

this country, and they have fears that

00:17:05

Russia may eventually go after them, well,

00:17:08

they don't even hide Nikons there

00:17:12

and the

00:17:14

current head of the State Duma, Volodina, well, they

00:17:18

openly talk about claims to

00:17:20

Northern Kazakhstan, just as they

00:17:23

say in Ukraine that these are Russian lands,

00:17:25

they say the same thing, like Kazakhstan, and they do

00:17:28

n't care if an ally is not an ally there, that's why they

00:17:31

understand in Kazakhstan, they can't

00:17:34

talk about it openly But they understand that

00:17:36

Ukraine is now fighting not only for

00:17:40

its own future, not only for its own

00:17:41

sovereignty,

00:17:44

it protects not only Europe and democracy, it also protects

00:17:47

some Soviet countries from possible

00:17:49

Russian aggression, this is the main thing, and in Russia they

00:17:52

also began to understand this, and they are

00:17:55

used to it that everyone

00:17:56

post-Soviet countries, you

00:17:59

can say that the book is doing what is

00:18:04

needed, and they are not doing it, they are

00:18:06

demonstrating their independence from the president

00:18:08

Kaif has demonstrated this several times.

00:18:20

begins

00:18:23

to pour down not only inside Russia,

00:18:25

it is even more noticeable in the post-Soviet

00:18:27

space, and

00:18:29

in the end it causes hysteria in

00:18:32

the sugar industry, not only because they

00:18:35

cannot restrain this trend in any way, but

00:18:39

definitely

00:18:40

It causes negative emotions in them, but

00:18:42

it is an objective trend They do

00:18:45

not like I like

00:18:46

it, Putin liked to say I like it, I don't

00:18:49

like it, but now it concerns Russia itself,

00:18:52

and I want to talk a little about

00:18:54

Kazakhstan. Well, a few days

00:18:57

ago, we had a diplomat, the former head of the

00:19:00

Ukrainian Foreign Ministry, Pavlo Klimkin, on the air, and we

00:19:02

also discussed Kazakhstan and its

00:19:04

position, that is, from one On the one hand, we supposedly

00:19:07

have the support of civil

00:19:09

society, a citizen of Kazakhstan, on the

00:19:12

other hand, Kasym Zhumard Tokayev has already been re

00:19:16

-elected as the president of Kazakhstan.

00:19:19

First of all, what is he doing? He flies to Putin. On the

00:19:22

one hand, Kazakhstan provides there.

00:19:29

Ukrainian hospitals, and on the other hand, Tokariv

00:19:33

accepts from Putin, that is, from Putin, who

00:19:36

himself bombs Ukraine, yes, that is, he

00:19:38

destroys our infrastructure, accepts some

00:19:41

rings. And then Mr. Klimkin told us that,

00:19:45

in his opinion, Kazakhstan is still not a

00:19:49

jackal of Russia. He used

00:19:51

a metaphor here, you know Mowgli. How are you? do you think

00:19:55

Kazakhstan can still

00:19:59

move away from Russia or is it possible Well,

00:20:02

taking into account all the circumstances there, taking into account

00:20:04

such a large, large common border, the

00:20:07

dependence of the economy and so on,

00:20:11

and I think that What is the objective

00:20:13

interest in Kazakhstan, I see from past

00:20:15

visits Kazakhstan and had discussions

00:20:18

with these colleagues even before the 14th of the year and until

00:20:22

February 24. Last year, I generally clearly

00:20:26

realized that they, first of all, even within the

00:20:29

framework of European integration, and I will remind you that

00:20:32

one of the fathers of this integration was the

00:20:34

former president of Kazakhstan, Nazarba,

00:20:38

who was such the ideologist of the Eurasian

00:20:40

Eurasian and Eurasian integration,

00:20:42

but the Kazakhs really did not want political

00:20:45

integration, and then when

00:20:47

this Eurasian Union was created, they realized that,

00:20:50

unlike Russia, Belarus, they did not gain anything

00:20:52

from economic integration with

00:20:55

Russia. Now,

00:20:59

how about this Russia

00:21:02

plus a large economic and

00:21:05

military-political Dependence on Russia

00:21:06

was considered about a common border, yes, this is

00:21:10

also a problem and a challenge.

00:21:12

I think that

00:21:15

they will really

00:21:17

bother Ukraine to some extent because Ukraine

00:21:20

has gained military experience and

00:21:23

prepared its army, which proved to be

00:21:26

able to

00:21:27

stop the Russian invasion of

00:21:30

Kazakhstan it still needs to be done, and they

00:21:33

should carefully step by step

00:21:36

distance themselves from Russia, but so that

00:21:40

everything is not noticeable, so that it does not cause

00:21:42

conflicts, some kind of aggressive reaction on the

00:21:44

part of Russia, it is purely like this. I would

00:21:47

say that

00:21:48

Asian tactics and they have no other

00:21:51

exit, but the trend is already visible, so

00:21:55

I think it is only a matter of time, and if it

00:22:00

continues to accelerate in Ukraine,

00:22:02

then

00:22:04

all the pace of distancing Kazakhstan and

00:22:08

other CIS countries from Russia will accelerate,

00:22:11

Vladimir Thank you very much for this conversation

00:22:13

Thank you for your analysis Volodymyr

00:22:15

Fesenko a political scientist was in touch with us,

00:22:17

subscribe to the channel of radio nv here

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