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well and welcome to today's talk Friday

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the 8th of September now we want to look

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at excess deaths today that are just

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carrying on in a group of countries

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where they are remaining High

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but there's another group of countries

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where excess deaths are well below the

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average

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what is going on here

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now let's look at this graphic here to

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begin with and this is not related to

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the excess deaths of course this is

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related to vaccination status

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and this is share of people who

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completed the initial covid-19 vaccine

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protocol

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so we see we've got countries that are

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fairly highly vaccinated up here

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Australia Canada Island New Zealand

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Denmark United Kingdom United States

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Netherlands what we might call them or

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affluent countries up here

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and then we've got poorer European

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countries uh beneath who vaccinated at

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much lower rates so for example we see

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Moldova there vaccinated at what around

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about the 30 rate as opposed to

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Australia where it was well over the 80

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percent rate so difference between 30

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and 80 percent so really quite

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significant difference in in vaccination

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rates and just let's look at that here

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so we see countries that are

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um highly vaccinated up here

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and then we compare that to countries

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this group of countries where there's

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low amounts of vaccination

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here

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so that's interesting to note

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now we're not saying that

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there's one simple cause of the excess

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mortality it is going to be more than

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one factor it's going to be multiple

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factors

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but let's just remember those countries

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where the vaccination rates were higher

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or lower because it seems a Pity that

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countries that have spent a lot of money

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on vaccines aren't benefiting from lower

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rates of mortality overall

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it just seems a real pity that the more

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sophisticated contras

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are having the Richer countries are

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having more excess mortality compared to

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the poorer European countries

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um let's show you let me show you what I

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mean here so that was the vaccination

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rates now this is the United States so

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we see that the excess deaths in the

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United States are currently running

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about the eight percent mark

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this is still high

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and of course this is a time where I

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would expect it to be lower because the

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more vulnerable people

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we would expect to have died already

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here we see the United Kingdom and again

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we do see that the uh the excess deaths

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remain high in the United Kingdom round

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about this week's actually down to four

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and a half percent but this average here

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is looking around about this is from our

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world in data

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looking around about the 10 Mark for the

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excess deaths in the United Kingdom

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this is Australia now Australia it's

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particularly High I'm afraid we see

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Australia's around about the 18 Mark for

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excess deaths and it stayed High really

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for quite a long time now right from the

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beginning of a 20.

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21. so very high excess deaths in

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Australia Canada also remaining High

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unfortunately over the five percent Mark

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for excess deaths in Canada

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Netherlands

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not quite so bad in the Netherlands but

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we can see it's been in positive

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territory there's been some excess

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deaths again pretty well from uh well

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that's from about March 2022 they're all

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the way through to the present time

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not as bad as in some countries but

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still there Denmark again looking at

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this trend here we've got this overall

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trend of excess mortality in Denmark

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New Zealand it has been higher but New

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Zealand does seem a little bit lower at

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the moment but it has been high for some

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time and New Zealand can be a little bit slow

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with their data so let's hope that's a

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genuine

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a picture of New Zealand Ireland really

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quite high that figure there is about 11

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in Ireland

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so we see that the excess deaths in

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Ireland have really been quite uh

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really quite high for quite some time

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very sad to see that in Ireland and just

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reminding ourselves of the countries

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where the vaccination rates are higher

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so all this money spent on vaccinations

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and yet we still have the excess deaths

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in these countries

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now here we have countries where the

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vaccination rates are much lower

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generally poorer Eastern European

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countries with lower vaccination rates

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how how is that do how are they doing in

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terms of excess death so let's look at

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these countries now in terms of excess

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deaths

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and we see in Bulgaria first of all that

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deaths are about 20 percent less

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than we would expect based on the

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five-year average at the moment

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so pretty good news there in Bulgaria in

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terms of excess deaths and it's been

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down as we see they've been down for

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quite some time since March uh since

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March 2022 roughly

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uh Romania fairly similar position in

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Romania excess deaths let me just show

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you the whole graphic

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so we can see that uh we're well below

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the uh the average here and have been

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since

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March 2022 have been well down nicely

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below

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the uh

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excess deaths exactly as we would expect

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after a pandemic where

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um more vulnerable people have already

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left us sadly

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um Hungary

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again well below the average line of the

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previous five years

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so reduced excess deaths in Hungary not

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quite as long as some other European

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countries but they've been down for

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quite some time now certainly since all

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of 2023

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good news in Hungary Poland again we see

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fairly lowish there has been the odd

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blip but lower

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than average for most of 2023 I think

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that's fair to say some slight Peaks

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above average but certainly lower than

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the UK constantly higher or the United

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States constantly higher Azerbaijan

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going around about the zero Mark so

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that's the zero Mark there

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so Azerbaijan fairly low

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Kosovo also round about the zero Mark

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near what we would expect

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Slovakia

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um well quite a bit lower than the zero

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Mark again for pretty well all of 20 23.

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so um

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what are we there something like minus

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20 less deaths and will be expected for

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the five-year average

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from Slovakia poora Eastern towards the

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east European country

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doing very well Armenia

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well Armenia again well below the

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average for again pretty well since that

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time period since March 2022

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um and um

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going above one month there but lower

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for all of 2023

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very consistent Trend that we're seeing

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here

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Georgia this is the Georgia in Europe

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not the Georgia in the United States

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again Lower four let's just show the the

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whole thing there so the zero line so

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below for

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again since pretty well March 2022 lower

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than average

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expected deaths which is what we would

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expect because of all the vulnerable

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people who died in the

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Peaks

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associated with the uh pandemic

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Moldova again the same

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pattern since March 2022

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deaths have been mostly below what we

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would expect

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again just to look at the whole thing

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there see it's the

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few percent below but it has been what

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10 below for quite some of the time and

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and lower since

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strangely enough round about March 20 22

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which is exactly what we would expect

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because this is when Omicron had taken

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over from Delta

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much less pathogenic

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vulnerable people already died we would

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expect the deaths to be lower as we're

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seeing in all these multiple Eastern

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European and poorer or European

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countries that we are

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considering

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Bulgaria again

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very similar pattern in Bulgaria

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much lower deaths throughout

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well later in 2022 there but certainly

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for

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2023 we're seeing much lower

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mortality well below the zero line

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um which would be the uh the average the

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fight The Five-Year average

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um

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much much better news there much better

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news in uh in Bulgaria

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so that's good

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uh Bosnia Herzegovina

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again since March 2022 that familiar

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pattern

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uh basically lower and certainly lower

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for 2023 with some

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Peaks but the overall trend and the

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average is there

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well uh well down

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as we would expect

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now let's just remind ourselves of the

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uh

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graphic we looked at earlier on

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a share of people who've uh completed

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the initial covered vaccine protocols

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the country that has spent more on

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vaccination sadly

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not reaping the benefit

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of that and that these are the countries

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with higher deaths the countries with

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the lower vaccination rates

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as we've seen are the countries with

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lower death rates

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so it looks like it's better to live in

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a poorer country

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okay you don't get the high covered

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vaccination rates that we uh

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um benefited from here

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but you get less success deaths

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whereas we have

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excess deaths being maintained

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now the excess deaths in the UK and

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other Western countries are in all age

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groups

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this is not just older people

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so this is the data from office for

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health Improvement in the UK

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and we see that excess deaths in the age

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group

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this is the naught 24 have been higher

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sadly for uh some time on average

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and that's a bit of a blow up of that we

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see these uh increasing deaths anything

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in light above the line is excess deaths

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anything below the line in dark is less

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than we would expect but way more of the

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time at the not 24 year old age range

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we're seeing more deaths

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25 to 49 year old age group

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sadly the same pan

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more in this age group is dying

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compared to the five-year average

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again a bit of a blow up of that we can

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see positive territory where we do not

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want to be

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for most of the time

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this is the 50 to 64 year old age range

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again

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it's very

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positive territory where we do not want

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to be

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all age groups

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65 to 74

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similar pattern

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let's blow that one up and we see

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they're in positive territory where we

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don't want to be for

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much of the time this is affecting all

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age ranges

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now briefly I'm just going to look at

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some of the causes of death from the UK

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data actually is this England and Wales

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I'm not sure no this is just England

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just England but it's very fairly

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similar for the rest of the UK now this

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is ischemic heart disease

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so we see that more people are dying of

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ischemic heart disease

00:13:01

light blue more than we would expect

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dark blue below the line less than we

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would expect

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more deaths from ischemic heart disease

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a lot more deaths from heart failure

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than we would expect nearly always above

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average

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are fairly where the heart muscle is no

00:13:21

longer working for example heart failure

00:13:23

could be caused by myocardial infarction

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the disease of the coronary arteries

00:13:28

that causes the blood clot heart failure

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could be caused by myocarditis

00:13:33

it could be caused by failure of the

00:13:35

heart valves when the heart is unable to

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eject enough blood in a one minute

00:13:40

period the cardiac output Falls

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to the point where it's insufficient to

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meet the metabolic demands of the body

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and often associated with congestion as

00:13:49

well resulting in swelling in edema

00:13:54

so we're seeing that that is increased

00:13:57

now other respiratory diseases in

00:14:00

England

00:14:01

other respiratory diseases are low

00:14:04

much less deaths

00:14:07

so in covert you might expect more

00:14:10

long covered complications of covert you

00:14:12

might expect more deaths

00:14:14

from other respiratory diseases but

00:14:16

you're actually seeing less from other

00:14:18

the Classic this is a classification

00:14:20

other

00:14:21

respiratory disease is less deaths than

00:14:23

we would expect

00:14:26

um this one is Alzheimer's disease less

00:14:28

than we would expect

00:14:31

now this is not surprising because the

00:14:33

people that would have gone on to get

00:14:34

Alzheimer's disease are the elderly and

00:14:36

the more vulnerable and they've sadly

00:14:38

already left us in the past few years

00:14:40

so this is exactly what we would expect

00:14:42

in a pandemic

00:14:45

we wouldn't expect the other things

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and we no reason why we would expect the

00:14:50

great increase in in cirrhosis on other

00:14:53

liver diseases

00:14:54

so way more people here dying of liver

00:14:57

disease

00:14:58

so remember the dark below the line less

00:15:01

people dying the light blew above the

00:15:03

line

00:15:04

more people dying way more people dying

00:15:07

of liver disease than we would expect

00:15:11

cirrhosis of the liver being fibrous

00:15:13

scar tissue in the liver that can occur

00:15:15

as a result of a long-term uh ongoing

00:15:18

inflammatory process in the liver for

00:15:21

example

00:15:24

so it's uh

00:15:26

it's a Pity that the countries that

00:15:28

invested

00:15:29

so much in the covered vaccines aren't

00:15:32

reaping the benefit

00:15:33

in terms of um

00:15:35

reduce mortality quite the converse

00:15:37

they're seeing increase mortality

00:15:43

this is just a little bit from uh so

00:15:45

they're the references our world in data

00:15:47

the vaccination one offers for health

00:15:49

improvements this is just the latest

00:15:51

figure from figures from the UK

00:15:55

um ten thousand and eighty six deaths in

00:15:58

the week in England and Wales 203

00:16:00

mentioned novel coronavirus two percent

00:16:02

of all deaths

00:16:04

of course many of those were weird not

00:16:07

from covert

00:16:09

but again this last week so this is

00:16:11

remember this is week uh ending the 25th

00:16:14

of August

00:16:16

and in the 25th of August week 25

00:16:19

sadly 4.5 above the five-year average

00:16:24

for the UK

00:16:27

when will this trend end we are losing

00:16:33

so many people

00:16:37

and to be quite honest I'm one of the

00:16:38

few people talking about it

00:16:42

why isn't this a national International

00:16:43

scandal

00:16:45

why aren't

00:16:46

the investigative journalists from the

00:16:48

national

00:16:51

televised news agencies

00:16:55

crawling all over this story demanding

00:16:58

the truth

00:17:01

the silence remains deafening

00:17:06

the deaths remain

00:17:08

higher than we would

00:17:10

expect

00:17:11

consistently

00:17:13

with a strange pattern

00:17:15

that the uh the Western sophisticated

00:17:17

countries

00:17:20

have a

00:17:22

higher

00:17:24

rates of death countries like this that

00:17:27

have

00:17:28

coincidentally higher vaccination rates

00:17:30

higher rates of death in these countries

00:17:34

lower rates of death

00:17:38

the references are all they're looking

00:17:39

up for yourself

00:17:41

um

00:17:44

questions

00:17:47

need to be asked

00:17:50

more freedom to ask more questions would

00:17:52

be good

00:17:55

but anyway I've shown you some

00:17:58

instances in this video

00:18:02

believe it though

00:18:04

as always thank you for watching

Description:

Richer countries ongoing excess deaths Our world in data, excess mortality https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-average-baseline?country=~BIH Our world in data covid vaccination status https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus Office for health improvement https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending25august2023 Week ending 25 August 2023 (Week 34) England and Wales 10,086 deaths 203 mentioned novel coronavirus 2.0% of all deaths Of the 203 deaths 67.0% (136 deaths) recorded as underlying cause of death Deaths registered in the UK 11,522, (4.5% above five-year average)

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