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Russian
00:00:01
Polytek channel Thank you for being00:00:03
with us for watching and supporting00:00:05
and also do not forget to like this video,00:00:06
subscribe to our00:00:09
channel if you have not already done so and00:00:10
write a question or comment under00:00:12
this video For us this is very important and00:00:14
of course we select the most interesting question00:00:16
and ask it in the following broadcasts00:00:17
to our respected experts today in my00:00:21
virtual studio Ruslan Bortnik Rustam00:00:22
Greetings Yes Hello dears,00:00:27
Putin’s message to the00:00:29
Federal Assembly has ended, it lasted but 1 hour00:00:32
45 minutes and as already in the media00:00:36
information, namely,00:00:38
RIA Novosti reports that the audience applauded00:00:40
Putin during the address 53 times, that I00:00:43
four times, well, Putin, opening00:00:47
the speech What was expected, began to00:00:49
blame Western countries for all the troubles, and00:00:51
of course the Kiev regime was00:00:53
banned, insidious, he deceived us. We00:00:56
didn’t start this, Ukraine, Ukraine was created and00:00:58
Australia doesn’t have enough money and so on,00:01:01
based on what he heard, Putin took a pause00:01:04
to think, or perhaps you00:01:06
heard something new in his rhetoric00:01:12
because it’s not very easy to be honest.00:01:15
Because it seems to me that00:01:19
expectations in Ukraine were inflated, including those00:01:21
formed by the00:01:23
information policy including00:01:25
Russian such hints and our00:01:27
hysterics or inflated00:01:30
expectations, now I’m getting00:01:32
a message from one of the people’s deputies00:01:34
from the Party in power writes you won00:01:37
because yesterday he predicted a00:01:39
declaration of war and in this speech there are00:01:42
some other radical actions on the00:01:44
part of In Russia00:01:45
this speech passed without a sensation at the00:01:49
same time it was very very interesting while00:01:52
everyone expected that you know it will pass00:01:57
wrote page 10 you understood so far00:01:59
Listen Everyone was waiting for him to come under00:02:02
the slogan everything for the front all this is a victory00:02:04
in fact it was limited00:02:08
Putin tried to reassure00:02:12
probably in The Kremlin decided that00:02:15
forcing some additional00:02:17
mobilizations today00:02:20
could play against the Kremlin itself00:02:23
against the stability of power in Russia,00:02:25
it could be used by opponents of the00:02:28
information geopolitical struggle. And00:02:30
we see that that’s why we see that the whole00:02:32
speech is about 80% of the speech. This is00:02:35
socio-economic the question is00:02:37
socio-economic Questions,00:02:39
moreover, it is very interesting in terms of00:02:41
implementation technology, Putin, in fact, we will00:02:44
now tell the technology then00:02:45
put it in. I counted at least three00:02:48
circles. When he walked along the images,00:02:54
care,00:02:56
defense, creation, according to these models,00:02:59
relatively speaking, my Father is my creator,00:03:04
he walked three times he changed three times you don’t00:03:08
I think that the audience can notice how the00:03:11
same question of war, for example, arose in00:03:13
his speech at the beginning in the middle and at00:03:17
the end of the West’s opposition to the war in00:03:19
Ukraine, just socio-economic00:03:21
security also arose at the beginning00:03:23
among them at the end, so he walked in a circle00:03:26
in this way stood00:03:28
technologically in turn puts00:03:32
pressure on the key groups at the key00:03:34
addresses to which this speech was addressed.00:03:36
But the external public on00:03:40
one part of Russian society there are00:03:43
veterans volunteers on families uh00:03:47
The key00:03:50
Russian students for some reason were00:03:54
three times going to groups on these00:03:58
social groups and changing their image00:04:00
such a technological nature of this00:04:03
speech now as for the essence of the00:04:06
way I wanted to demonstrate00:04:08
that the state remains stable00:04:12
despite the hostilities the00:04:14
social nature of the state does not00:04:16
change the social contract the00:04:18
socio-economic contract between00:04:20
Russian and elites and Russian00:04:22
society is not canceled by the state00:04:25
will increase pensions wages00:04:28
minimum wage e00:04:31
develop various types of00:04:35
social services payments for everything00:04:37
else construction the00:04:39
state00:04:42
preserves and political elites00:04:45
maintain stability00:04:48
First of all, socio-economic00:04:50
goals,00:04:52
moreover, Putin not only wanted00:04:55
to show that the contract is preserved with00:04:57
society but is preserved contract within00:04:58
between the elites a statement that all00:05:01
elections all elections nothing will00:05:04
change will be transferred just an appeal00:05:06
to the Kremlin to the regional elites or there the00:05:09
second third level regarding the fact00:05:11
that political competition is limited00:05:13
political competition in the Russian00:05:15
state is to understand the00:05:18
technological nature of the address we00:05:21
discussed there two contracts between the elite00:05:24
and within the social, we discussed a00:05:26
lot, a lot of elements of00:05:30
synchronization with China, especially if we00:05:33
take into account We today00:05:34
published an analysis of the new doctrine of00:05:37
Chinese global security, and00:05:41
yesterday a programmatic article by a psychoanaic00:05:44
regarding US relations, I found at00:05:47
least 10 synchronous Aegean is00:05:50
Chinese e00:05:52
with the Chinese approach which concerns00:05:56
the characteristics of a unipolar world and its00:05:59
future and the need to respect the00:06:03
sovereignty of00:06:05
individual countries and the indivisibility00:06:08
of security00:06:09
and the fact that the United States is breaking international00:06:11
architecture this is an apology for China going on00:06:14
further like this It seems to me that00:06:15
the synchronization of the Chinese approach Well,00:06:18
what’s interesting00:06:20
in our context, let's move on to our00:06:23
context, we won't analyze the00:06:24
specific numbers that Putin says, I00:06:28
draw your attention to several00:06:29
things. Of course, everyone will now talk00:06:31
about the fact that Russia has suspended its00:06:34
participation, s2-3, who say00:06:38
limiting strategic00:06:40
offensive00:06:42
remember that the audience did not limit this treaty to the00:06:44
United States and the Soviet Union and then the00:06:47
USA and Russia, parts of deployed warheads00:06:50
up to 155000:06:54
and carriers of uh submarines uh and heavy00:06:58
bombers in the amount of 70000:07:00
today Russia announced that it is00:07:03
withdrawing and suspending incorrectly00:07:05
suspending participation in this treaty00:07:06
uh because Russia does not want to allow00:07:11
its nuclear facility and the conditions for00:07:14
the modernization of its nuclear Triad of00:07:16
third-party observers observers of00:07:19
the commission since Russia believes that it is00:07:21
necessary to include other countries in this treaty,00:07:22
he spoke about Britain and France, but we are00:07:26
not only talking about them, we are talking about China,00:07:28
which is not connected, and other countries00:07:31
that are not bound today by this00:07:33
treaty why is this being done,00:07:36
firstly, Russia is modernizing its00:07:38
nuclear forces, and secondly, Russia has a00:07:43
larger stock of warheads, in principle,00:07:45
it can potentially deploy00:07:47
a lot more warheads below and the United States00:07:49
because Russia received everything Soviet,00:07:51
including in Ukraine, Kazakhstan,00:07:54
and this the beginning of a new Round of nuclear00:07:57
pressure, nuclear blackmail.00:08:00
Thirdly, is it possible to say00:08:02
this? Thirdly, it’s possible, in00:08:06
this way, Russia tried to00:08:10
create new nuclear beams, including00:08:13
in the occupied territories,00:08:15
and signs of territory, uh, from the point of view of00:08:19
international law, which today is00:08:21
controlled by Russia.00:08:24
Well, some kind of attempt... to the extent that the00:08:27
nuclear factor can be used as a tool of pressure00:08:30
on Western tools for creating00:08:32
panic there, a tool for preparing for00:08:35
possible new nuclear tests,00:08:37
although Russia has stated that only00:08:39
after this is done by the United States00:08:41
as an instrument for00:08:43
transferring the global confrontation to00:08:45
the sphere of conventional weapons and Russia00:08:48
will not win in the00:08:49
sphere of nuclear weapons weapons Where in Russia00:08:52
Perhaps there are even certain00:08:54
advantages Well, as for Ukraine,00:08:57
the conquest of all the old rhetoric that00:08:59
Occupy Ukraine, we are not at war with the Ukrainian00:09:02
people, mentioning what is noteworthy00:09:05
this time is not only Donbass, but also the00:09:06
heap twice, Putin remembered Novoros,00:09:09
that is, perhaps this is an element some00:09:12
new Russian plan that00:09:14
provides for the creation of a00:09:17
formation on the territory of Ukraine; a00:09:21
direct optical statement regarding the fact00:09:23
that Russia will continue its offensive;00:09:26
Ukraine will continue its so-called offensive,00:09:31
including in territories that00:09:33
formally Russia did not include in its00:09:35
constitution of00:09:40
long-range weapons. Well, in general, everything is an00:09:46
attempt to calm It’s positive to say that00:09:49
the war is important but not fundamentally for the00:09:51
Russian state to remove this00:09:53
element of nutrition and hypermobilization00:09:56
that was observed from Russian00:09:58
society and which made00:10:01
Russian society00:10:02
good for objects for uh manipulation,00:10:05
now we can discuss some details00:10:07
So thank you very much for giving us the00:10:09
opportunity to do a little offensive00:10:11
introduction to be comprehensively described of course00:10:15
Ruslan I would perfectly understand and know00:10:17
your capabilities, which is why I provided00:10:20
this opportunity for you to00:10:22
hear such a complete analysis. That is, as I00:10:25
understand it when Putin says00:10:27
that Russia will respond to any challenges00:10:29
because we are all one country one00:10:30
united people and we are confident in our00:10:33
abilities, the truth is behind us,00:10:34
if we remove all this water and leave the essence, it00:10:38
turns out that the main decision based on the00:10:40
results of today is only a00:10:42
sharp increase in uh minimum uh00:10:46
minimum wage Well, if00:10:48
so, that is, on the other hand it as if00:10:50
such a crude attempt to buy00:10:53
people’s loyalty,00:10:55
perhaps Putin says something else, he says we’re00:10:57
all on the same submarine if she’s talking about00:11:00
sinking, it’s a submarine Well, we’ll drown or00:11:03
I’ll drown all together since I took00:11:07
the main thing, it still seemed to me that she00:11:11
understands why such a long speech00:11:13
boring moments speech to me there people write00:11:16
nothing at all, watch nothing new,00:11:17
nothing interesting in this speech, this is00:11:20
technology, the purpose of such logic was to00:11:22
tell Russian to Russians that the main thing is00:11:25
Our task is to increase00:11:26
your standard of living in order to live better, but00:11:29
the war is everything else. Leave it to us to00:11:32
figure it out.00:11:34
Those who with us, the professional part00:11:36
wants to do this, we00:11:38
support them, we support them peacefully in different00:11:41
ways through the funds of their family, everything00:11:43
will support Well, the main thing is the00:11:46
social economy, it’s so necessary and00:11:48
boring, you can take a nap and00:11:50
don’t worry about anything about the future, it was00:11:51
the technology, it’s not that bad you know,00:11:54
being inundated with a huge amount of this00:11:58
social economic information, which00:12:00
looked like a government report, they were a00:12:02
presidential report00:12:03
at a certain moment. Well, we must00:12:06
understand that this is a technology from a00:12:09
political point of view, this is, of course, a00:12:11
suspension of Russia’s participation in the CIS. Well, and the00:12:15
fact that Russia does not abandon00:12:17
any of its goals00:12:19
I spoke with people now from our00:12:22
leadership, some believed that Putin00:12:25
would declare peace00:12:26
until he was ready to uh negotiate uh00:12:31
make some proposals but the path00:12:34
today didn’t even remember00:12:36
Russia’s readiness, that is, they simply stated the goal of00:12:38
continuing to demonstrate stubborn00:12:41
stubbornness for their own geopolitical purposes Well,00:12:44
and an attempt to calm down Russian society,00:12:47
by the way, they said it in earnest. We have00:12:49
already seen such photographs being distributed on social networks00:12:52
that the bears in the00:12:54
boqueria and Slutsky fell asleep at this00:12:57
performance,00:13:00
it was the task of everyone to make everyone sleepy,00:13:04
to remove this fear of hysterics Uncertainty in00:13:07
the future which the00:13:10
majority of Russian society lives today shows to drive them away00:13:12
Their dream you know, I listened to00:13:15
the president because of which this is probably00:13:17
good and the authorities continue to do their job,00:13:20
continue to deal with their issues00:13:25
very very much like that I would say suffocating00:13:35
How like a mantra will come00:13:38
you know when people meditate00:13:41
certain mantras music, it00:13:43
lulls a person to sleep, does not pay attention00:13:46
to external stimuli, this was the purpose00:13:48
of this speech, by the way, last year00:13:50
Putin’s speech was not00:13:52
recognition of the LPR, there00:13:55
was no appeal to the Federal Assembly, but in the year before last, and00:13:58
we analyze them every year, 202100:14:00
this speech was If00:14:03
it exists, by the way, on on our website, there, there00:14:06
was even more socioconomy, there were 95% of00:14:09
these socio-economic00:14:11
issues,00:14:13
but you see, by the way, Girkin’s reaction00:14:16
said that not a word about failures and00:14:18
defeats in general blah blah blah and there00:14:20
is no point in listening further, but this is so in so00:14:22
briefly, I’ll tell you even successes, only00:14:26
successes in quotes, of course, yes, it was00:14:30
said that we have a land bridge00:14:32
to the Crimea and the Sea of Azov has become internal,00:14:34
and all00:14:36
if it00:14:37
seems that they didn’t talk about this topic,00:14:40
although it was deliberately00:14:42
pushed back a little, you know00:14:45
so as not to irritate Russian society00:14:48
Well, by the way, from the interesting thing, in principle, these00:14:52
positions were already announced and they themselves were00:14:53
not present at Putin’s message00:14:55
E Kadyrov Prigozhin Surovikino e00:14:59
board of the head of Chechnya again they seem to say00:15:02
he flew to Dubai Sobyanin was not present00:15:06
Well because they were probably not asked00:15:09
don’t come so that with your presence do00:15:11
n’t even excite some kind of him00:15:15
don’t bring with you the Spirit of war and crisis00:15:19
the message00:15:21
or They knew those who the message is00:15:26
political a huge great place00:15:29
for the Elites to communicate most likely most00:15:31
likely you asked them not to00:15:34
come or not to invite00:15:36
but you see a brief conclusion said00:15:39
Matvienko,00:15:41
the legislation00:15:43
will need to be changed after the message of the President of the Russian Federation.00:15:51
Please note that until now Putin00:15:54
had little military at all and the military was00:15:58
not like Putin used to be in a green00:16:02
uniform, you know, without blue ones with the military00:16:05
to shoot these videos, all this was done to00:16:07
say that the war is important00:16:09
the question is even the question of the existence00:16:10
of the state, but we are now more occupied with00:16:12
ours00:16:13
And we are all worried about the external things about00:16:16
the economy, everything is fine, as if it would be00:16:18
better to talk Let’s develop00:16:21
libraries, uh, there is income for citizens,00:16:25
some kind of social funds and everything else, that’s why the00:16:28
point Probably was uh- uh, this00:16:31
appeal is also an attempt to show00:16:33
the world that they are trying to create a crisis for us00:16:35
to talk about it directly And you have failed to do anything,00:16:38
we continue to live calmly and00:16:40
peacefully,00:16:41
the militarization of Russia is not happening In00:16:43
hysterics, she is low-key trying00:16:46
to give these kinds of signals,00:16:48
therefore this is the civil nature of00:16:51
this whole event which, for example, in00:16:54
our country today is impossible to imagine.00:16:55
In our country, this form of the00:16:59
president’s address to society would be00:17:02
simply milk because, well,00:17:05
society lives in a completely different reality00:17:07
and in a different set of values in the struggle for00:17:11
the liberation of occupied territories with00:17:13
Well, just simply in a competition for life00:17:18
I want to remind and indicate to our viewers00:17:21
that we are writing this program on00:17:24
February 21, as of 132800:17:27
Kiev time, and of course, after00:17:30
Putin’s message, I now want to hear00:17:32
Biden’s message, which will be in00:17:36
Poland, how will they respond? But if we00:17:39
take Ruzan in general uh, somehow00:17:42
recently events are rapidly starting to00:17:43
develop like this, then China00:17:46
announces the Peace Plan for Ukraine, then00:17:48
Biden, who was not going to Ukraine,00:17:50
suddenly arrives by train at 1000:17:53
o’clock and at the same time promising 700 tanks in00:17:57
support and leaves for Poland announces a00:17:59
message for the people at this time, Wang and in00:18:03
Moscow conveys to the Kremlin a Peace Plan00:18:04
that includes the territorial00:18:06
integrity of Ukraine and the borders00:18:08
recognized by the UN. And as I understand it, this is00:18:10
also the caviar. Hmm It seems that a new consensus is emerging in the world00:18:14
on the war in Ukraine with the00:18:16
participation of the United States and00:18:18
China and the Russian Federation00:18:21
Vani conveyed a little differently there00:18:24
the principle of respect for00:18:27
territoriality. You understand in diplomacy, each every00:18:29
verb has a decisive00:18:32
non-compliance with territorial value00:18:35
and respect, moreover,00:18:38
the principle of territorial integrity is00:18:41
historically conditioned, why is he00:18:44
saying that territorial integrity in the00:18:46
17th century in the 20-21st century is a00:18:49
different concept00:18:52
maybe it’s a play on words so that we don’t get00:18:55
too carried away with this,00:18:59
what’s happening?00:19:01
We are entering a00:19:05
certain straight00:19:07
home stretch of the American00:19:09
presidential00:19:12
and which the factor of the Russian-Ukrainian00:19:15
war in general, the global confrontation00:19:17
between Russia,00:19:20
its partners, and the United States, its partners, can00:19:24
play a key role00:19:25
if the policy of a sick attitude towards Ukraine00:19:28
turns out to be a failure00:19:30
or because of a00:19:33
difficult war in a huge sacrifice and the00:19:36
lack of result or because of a00:19:38
military defeat,00:19:40
not only the Democrats will lose the next00:19:43
Vienna elections, which will be won, if not by00:19:46
Trump, then by any of the Republicans.00:19:50
Please note that when in Ukraine00:19:54
Trump went to the site of an environmental00:19:56
disaster, And Santos himself made a00:20:00
statement too which was directed00:20:01
against, in principle, large military00:20:05
assistance for Ukraine against the allocation of00:20:07
assistance from the United States, everyone00:20:08
understands this very well,00:20:12
and in China they are00:20:16
actually00:20:18
using the current moment to put00:20:21
pressure on the United States, to put it as00:20:24
simply as possible, if we can intervene in00:20:28
this war00:20:29
directly or indirectly the form is00:20:32
support for Russia, not the direct form, it is00:20:34
the generation of a peace plan that will00:20:36
contradict the approach of the United States and Ukraine00:20:40
and inflict its political defeat within the00:20:44
framework of what is happening, which led to00:20:46
your defeat in the elections of the internal00:20:48
United States.00:20:50
Ukraine and the United States in the coming months00:20:52
have planned and are planning to vote for00:20:55
the General Complied UN Peace plan00:20:58
based on 10 steps of our President00:21:01
Vladimir Aleksandrovich Zelensky A00:21:02
peace plan that provides for, let me00:21:05
remind you, where the occupation of all territories00:21:07
punishment of war criminals reparations00:21:10
security guarantees That is, it actually00:21:12
provides for the surrender of Russia00:21:15
Under this measured plan,00:21:17
votes were and are being collected at the General Assembly,00:21:20
potentially there was hope that00:21:22
it would be possible to win over some of the00:21:25
countries of Latin America and Asia,00:21:28
maybe even a little more, maybe it would be00:21:31
possible to support getting00:21:34
the General Assembly. And if00:21:36
such a vote happened, it would00:21:38
mean that any other Russian Peace Plan00:21:40
or any other approach would00:21:43
immediately be blocked in this approved00:21:45
General snot and he documents00:21:49
what China is doing today with this peace00:21:51
plan he is carrying out a political attack00:21:55
first of all the sight signed this00:21:57
political attack is Latin00:22:00
America Africa and Asia he says Yes there is a00:22:04
Russian approach to the world they say signs00:22:06
all the occupied territories are00:22:08
Ukrainian Russia is capitulating there00:22:12
he is average, he is a compromise Let's all00:22:16
vote for ours, that is, don't vote for the00:22:19
American Ukrainian, you understand, taking into account the00:22:21
influence of China in Africa, Latin America00:22:24
in Asia00:22:27
perceives the USA as a non-versus,00:22:31
as a political sabotage, let's see what00:22:34
the basis of this plan will be there,00:22:36
as far as I see now with publications00:22:39
in Chinese Media then he will be so00:22:43
ambivalent on the one hand there will be00:22:45
respect for the territorial goal of the body of00:22:47
integrity and sovereignty, which China00:22:49
interprets in an extremely specific way, read00:22:52
our telegram channel their00:22:54
national security doctrine,00:22:55
this means de globalization00:22:57
political China, not interference of the United States00:23:00
and allies, they interpret the affairs of other countries like00:23:02
this sovereignty is completely different,00:23:05
and on the other hand, it will provide for00:23:07
the concept of then security. How00:23:09
can we understand when they leave to00:23:12
expand military structures, ignoring the00:23:14
security of other Russian countries?00:23:18
Something like this. In addition, there is already00:23:21
a theme that there will be demetrization of00:23:24
weapons in the conflict region;00:23:27
China is not supplied nominal00:23:29
weapons,00:23:30
Ukraine today is extremely dependent on the00:23:33
supply of Western weapons, interesting00:23:38
which are the positions of third countries during the00:23:40
voting LLC00:23:43
to weaken00:23:44
the position of the United States and Ukraine today00:23:47
regarding the fact that we want peace. That's00:23:50
what they are doing. And of course, at00:23:54
gunpoint today,00:23:57
not only the fate of of the Ukrainian people and00:23:59
state and that this is the fate of the00:24:00
American elections as and as a result00:24:03
as a consequence of the American elections the00:24:04
fate of globalization of globalization models is being decided.00:24:07
Will it be economic00:24:09
globalization according to the Chinese or will it be00:24:11
liberal or political military00:24:13
political globalization according to the American?00:24:16
Because if Trump or00:24:18
Trumpian or representatives come00:24:19
republican We remember what they are doing00:24:21
in the morning,00:24:22
preserving globalization only00:24:25
as an economic expression, but00:24:27
if we take a broad look at this process in general,00:24:29
unfortunately we are losing the00:24:31
position of China. The message is still00:24:34
communication of 2021 cook. Despite00:24:38
the good initial attempts, the starting00:24:40
positions that the President's Team had for00:24:45
effective dialogue between us no,00:24:48
the bandits were in Europe, but unfortunately this is how00:24:51
our leadership carried out the effectiveness of the meetings.00:24:52
Although he met with00:24:54
anyone, he met with the Hungarians, but did not meet with us.00:24:57
Despite the fact that this is00:25:00
how I can00:25:03
assess this situation in broad strokes. Yes, in parallel, the00:25:06
United States has not yet made a decision in relation to00:25:08
what kind of victory in Ukraine they will00:25:11
give to the American society00:25:13
since for coming to Ukraine this was a00:25:15
very important political step, this is also00:25:18
Zelensky’s support for his team after00:25:20
all these corruption stories, uh, the hand of not00:25:24
only Zelensky but also the slaughterer there and00:25:26
everyone else. Please note this and00:25:29
of course, such a demonstration of this Russia is00:25:31
not yet simple lines. But the main thing for the00:25:32
right thing was that Biden showed00:25:34
himself to be a bold, strong leader for the00:25:36
American voter who came00:25:38
to the fund line. Well, the format of the Victory00:25:40
is uncertain and we see the statement of00:25:42
everyone else that there will be a victory for America00:25:45
in the Ukrainian Victory for Russia it will be uh,00:25:48
relatively speaking, freezing the conflict and00:25:50
uh, the liberation of Yukopa from Ukraine and00:25:54
the exercises of Crimea, because there is no such00:25:58
format; moreover,00:25:59
there are certain frictions between Ukraine and American diplomacy00:26:04
regarding the fact that there will be a victory. We see00:26:06
such games around the supply of weapons00:26:08
when we give, but tomorrow and less, but this00:26:11
we won’t give at all, for example, an airplane or00:26:13
long-range missiles. This is the whole story00:26:16
behind the scenes. By the00:26:19
way, I’ll also add about this: attack,00:26:23
but we won’t give weapons for the offensive.00:26:25
If you lose this offensive,00:26:28
you get defeated in this offensive,00:26:29
that will be your problem. Well, these are the00:26:32
things we will give aircraft, but after00:26:34
the war When the war will end, a00:26:37
security guarantee Oh, good question, but where are the00:26:39
security guarantees? God, China,00:26:42
Japan, South Korea, even the Philippines has a00:26:46
direct US defense agreement. What is00:26:49
preventing us from concluding it today,00:26:53
recently a new example of Moldova stated that it is00:26:56
not necessary to detail the00:26:58
expulsion of Russian troops from there, after00:27:00
which it will be necessary economic and00:27:02
social integration of citizens, that is,00:27:07
no one intends to play hybrid games from the Kremlin. As I understand it, and00:27:09
by the way, Vladimir Zelensky recently00:27:11
announced his readiness to help in Moldova with00:27:14
Transnistria. He is sure that Russia wants to00:27:16
open a Second Front. How will00:27:19
events develop here in your opinion?00:27:21
By the way I said on your air every week00:27:23
ago that it was more likely when00:27:27
everyone still didn’t believe it was more likely that Ukraine and00:27:29
Moldova would plan a joint00:27:31
operation against the Nistroy,00:27:34
see moreover, the Verkhovna Rada of00:27:36
Ukraine has introduced a bill, the00:27:40
adoption of which will allow00:27:43
the use of Ukrainian troops of security00:27:46
forces abroad, not only during00:27:49
exercises for other purposes I used to think that00:27:53
this applies to the border areas of00:27:56
Belarus and Russia, there are hostilities,00:27:58
especially limited to the territory of Russia, but it is00:28:01
likely that it may concern just00:28:03
Moldova, the00:28:05
government has changed in a wave, the00:28:07
government of the security forces has arrived, the00:28:09
former minister of the Ministry of Internal Affairs,00:28:12
taking into account the fact that Russia today, all00:28:15
Russian resources are00:28:18
concentrated in Ukraine and simply there is enough00:28:20
banality for Moldova, it seems to me00:28:22
that the leadership of Moldova decided to00:28:26
use this situation for integration00:28:30
or at least to exert serious00:28:32
pressure on Russia during their bidding for00:28:36
gas in relation to other political00:28:38
and Yes, of course, if the government of Moldova00:28:40
Moldova invites Ukraine, then Ukraine with00:28:43
resin can potentially jointly00:28:46
solve the problem Transnistria by force to00:28:49
restore it as part of this00:28:52
state for Ukraine, this operation00:28:54
is important from two points of view, firstly, it is the00:28:58
liquidation of such a Russian00:28:59
enclave. In the rear, although the number of00:29:04
Russian troops in these territories is00:29:05
insignificant and it does not pose a threat to part of the offensive00:29:07
for Ukraine exclusively,00:29:09
but it connects our definite00:29:11
Armed forces and the second most important thing00:29:13
on the territory of Moldova there are huge00:29:16
warehouses of00:29:17
ammunition of Soviet Soviet calibers00:29:20
of those that we are critically lacking. And00:29:23
if we managed to get hold of them,00:29:25
although Russia constantly threatens to blow them up,00:29:28
this is ammunition then for a00:29:31
long time for a month and possibly for00:29:34
six months would have been solved the problem of00:29:36
supplying ammunition and shells00:29:40
for Ukraine00:29:41
Moldova itself understands this is a great00:29:44
moment To solve the problem of Transnistria and the pressure of Georgia,00:29:47
squeezing Russian influences out of00:29:49
Moldova to suppress the pro-Russian and00:29:52
anti-Western opposition is also actively00:29:54
raising and shaking up this topic, I would not be00:29:57
surprised if this is an operation00:30:01
Gagauzia is still knocking by the end of this year,00:30:04
especially these situations on the skirt of00:30:06
Ukraine will escalate.00:30:09
Well, on the other hand, if I understand that00:30:12
this will not happen right now, this is first of00:30:17
all. We need to deal with our enemy, or does this still need to be00:30:19
done in parallel?00:30:21
Well, you know,00:30:24
Russian troops are on the00:30:25
territory of Transnistria between Ukraine and00:30:28
Russia there is a war going on,00:30:30
the enemy is already behind us. Therefore, I00:30:34
think that Ukraine will have enough strength to calmly carry out an00:30:37
operation against Transnistria00:30:39
together with Moldova if00:30:44
the situation arises. Since today almost00:30:47
all the forces of Transnistria are about a00:30:50
battalion of Russian troops. Well, there are also00:30:52
10-15 thousand uh the00:30:54
army of Transnistria itself which is weakly00:30:57
armed Slava is prepared uh Hmm does not00:31:01
have serious military equipment That is, I00:31:04
think that such a joint operation of00:31:05
Ukraine will generally last for a week, it’s00:31:08
just that Russian troops and00:31:10
Transnistrian troops will not be able00:31:12
to resist the risk of another that their00:31:14
warehouses may be blown up the amount of00:31:16
ammunition huge, that is, a00:31:19
catastrophe of another level could happen there, and00:31:22
it seems to me that this pressure today from00:31:25
political statements is00:31:27
also part of the pressure on the00:31:28
Transnistrian leadership in order to come to an00:31:30
agreement00:31:32
in an amicable way. In addition, this may be00:31:34
an attempt to change the negotiation format; the00:31:36
nominally old00:31:38
five plus negotiation format is now functioning two Where Russia00:31:41
enters as intermediaries in Ukraine00:31:45
Ruslan the last topic for you It consists00:31:48
of three parts, you can briefly Belarus00:31:51
mobilizes 150 thousand under the guise of the Militia00:31:54
while Vladimir Putin was preparing for the00:31:57
invasion of Ukraine, also the00:31:58
presidential administration also developed a00:32:00
strategy for absorbing Belarus by00:32:02
2030 The Kremlin hopes to take00:32:05
full control of the politics, economy and00:32:07
military potential of the country, we learned about this00:32:09
from the Closed Strategy, which was received by00:32:11
international journalists, and the00:32:14
third part is that on the night of00:32:17
February 21 in Belarus, four columns00:32:19
moved forward in the direction of the00:32:21
border with Lithuania, this is the first00:32:24
about 150,000 mobilized, mmm, under the00:32:27
guise of the Militia, what is Belarus preparing for00:32:30
or Muscles Again?00:32:33
Belarus understands that it will00:32:35
not be able to count on Russia all the time either.00:32:37
Most likely And this may be a00:32:40
game of the Belarusian leadership00:32:41
aimed at creating and increasing00:32:44
its military and power potential in00:32:46
provided that the Belarusian Russian00:32:49
army today they are united and the00:32:52
professional Belarusian army00:32:53
has a very serious influence and00:32:56
management of the Russian00:32:58
economy, I also do not rule out that00:33:01
absorption plans may well take place00:33:03
and most likely Belarus will be absorbed00:33:06
after Lukashenko leaves. That is, today00:33:09
only the figure of Lukashenko is his attitude00:33:12
For Putin, in fact, this is the00:33:14
last obstacle to the complete00:33:16
absorption of these territories. In addition, it00:33:19
cannot be ruled out that00:33:21
Belarus is preparing for a large-scale00:33:24
war here, and we understand that this00:33:28
mobilized amount00:33:29
can somehow be prepared no earlier than in00:33:31
six months under Russian conditions. That is, this is not00:33:34
fast and In any case, the territory of00:33:37
Belarus remains the territory from00:33:39
which various kinds of military00:33:42
provocations against Ukraine are possible00:33:45
linking strikes diversionary strikes00:33:48
distracting Ukrainian reserves strikes in00:33:50
order to simplify00:33:52
Russia’s offensive in the Donbass00:33:55
look at this carefully what00:33:58
happens next therefore because there are 150,00000:34:01
people uh there maybe How, how, as00:34:04
an attempt to covertly mobilize and support00:34:06
Russia, such an00:34:08
individual game of the Belarusian00:34:10
leadership aimed precisely at00:34:13
strengthening its own power00:34:15
Independence in this part00:34:17
and due to the fact that columns with military00:34:21
equipment have moved towards the border00:34:23
with Lithuania,00:34:26
you understand00:34:28
the war is going through a crisis today.00:34:31
the war in Ukraine is going through a crisis; the war00:34:34
as a policy tool for achieving00:34:36
political goals is00:34:38
ineffective today; in the near future,00:34:41
no cardinal changes or breakthroughs should be00:34:44
expected; and in order for the military war to00:34:48
be effective, it is necessary to either change00:34:50
goals or have locations;00:34:53
and there is a risk that Russia may00:34:56
to scale up the00:34:58
confrontation namely the military00:35:00
confrontation between the West and other regions00:35:02
along the borders of the territory from Belarus in00:35:06
order to transfer the war00:35:07
directly to the border on the border of the00:35:09
European Union in the Middle East00:35:12
Latin America in the Balkans, many places where00:35:16
this is possible. In00:35:17
addition, border relations between00:35:20
Belarus and the strange beam of Belarus00:35:23
Poland continue to deteriorate00:35:26
and all sorts of provocations are possible;00:35:29
incidents are00:35:31
still possible. I think that one of the stages of a00:35:34
possible war, one of the possible00:35:36
stages of the war, is breaking through the so-00:35:40
called Suwalki corridor,00:35:41
creating a Kaliningrad corridor. It00:35:45
sells across the territory of Poland, but00:35:46
potentially you can try to do it00:35:49
through the territory,00:35:53
all these are factors that should be00:35:55
taken away create tension Yes,00:35:57
because a feeling of fear and00:36:00
steal NATO resources resources of00:36:03
Ukrainian unions00:36:06
Ruzan Thank you very much for participating in00:36:09
our program for00:36:11
explaining all these topics a little, of course for00:36:13
your analysis And of course, I will00:36:16
remind our viewers that be sure to Do not00:36:19
forget to subscribe to our channel and00:36:21
channel Ruslan of the worker on YouTube If I’m not00:36:23
mistaken, Maybe this is how you can find him in the00:36:25
search bar and be sure to00:36:26
subscribe and like the work00:36:29
that Ruslan does for you and of00:36:32
course Ruslan, already in Ukrainian, I want to00:36:36
invite you to the studio when I get a00:36:38
chance to see you and talk00:36:40
Ruslan Thank you very much again. Take care of00:36:42
yourself, goodbye00:36:43
[music]Description:
Руслан Бортник, политолог, в новом выпуске на #политека_онлайн. Ведущий - Эдуард Глёза Поделитесь этим видео - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n_1rHbGqhRI Подписывайтесь на наш канал Политека Онлайн, жмите на 🔔 и выбирайте "все уведомления", чтобы не пропустить новые видео https://www.youtube.com/c/PolitekaOnline?sub_confirmation=1 В студии Politeka Online Бортник Руслан, политолог 21.2.2023 Таймкоды: 00:00 Итог выступления путина 10:24 путин пытается успокоить население рф 17:18 Анализ мирного плана от Китая 26:50 Украина и Молдова готовят план по Приднестровью 31:46 К чему готовится Беларусь? 34:18 Беларусь стягивает армию к Литве Вы можете поддержать канал ПОЛИТЕКА, сделав перевод на карту 5168745301518087 (Назначение платежа: пополнение карточки) Станьте спонсором канала Politeka Online, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHgiqmsIHN2PlQnBIRFRGGg/join Политека в твиттере https://twitter.com/PolitekaO Все актуальные новости Украины и мира в одном приложении MY.UA: Google Play - https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.myua.news App Stope - https://apps.apple.com/ua/app/my-ua-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE-%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%83-%D1%82%D0%B0-%D1%81%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%82/id1437521768?l=uk Подписывайтесь также на каналы: People Life - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLlUjg4ipS_SgwhLgg0yQRA?sub_confirmation=1 PolitБюро –самые актуальные новости https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCas2_yXFXTsAiYxY4WfenqQ?sub_confirmation=1 Мнение гостя не всегда совпадает с нашим, но мы считаем нужным предоставлять зрителям разные точки зрения.
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