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Subtitles
Russian
00:00:01
you, as always, I am Olesya Medvedeva and00:00:03
right now we will sum up the results of this00:00:07
let’s say00:00:08
busy day, and today we have Saturday,00:00:12
June 24, in Russia there is an00:00:15
unprecedented event for more than 100 years,00:00:18
sweeping right into the midst of a00:00:21
full-scale war that Russia00:00:24
unleashed against Ukraine for the first time00:00:27
during Putin’s reign, this threatens00:00:29
Russian statehood itself and00:00:32
could have a direct impact on the course of00:00:35
hostilities in Ukraine. The two previous00:00:38
blogs were also devoted to this topic.00:00:42
Therefore, if you haven’t watched them, be sure to00:00:45
watch them. Well, now let’s continue; at00:00:49
the time of recording this video, it seems like00:00:51
temporary time has been reached Truce in the late00:00:55
afternoon, President of Belarus Alexander00:00:58
Lukashenko said that by education with00:01:01
Putin, he had been00:01:03
negotiating with Prigozhin all day today and, in general, they had00:01:07
come to something, there were certain00:01:10
agreements, they had been reached and00:01:13
the Wagnerites were stopping their columns00:01:16
that were marching towards Moscow And now we00:01:20
we will try to give an answer to the question that00:01:22
interests absolutely everyone today: what00:01:25
it was, what will happen next and how00:01:29
what happened will affect the course of the war in00:01:33
Ukraine for those who are too00:01:35
lazy or do not have the opportunity to view all00:01:38
previous blogs. Yes, and blogs for May, there00:01:42
for April. Even some for last year00:01:44
I will now briefly repeat the prerequisites for00:01:49
this rebellion Prigozhin is actually the00:01:52
dude’s curator, the watchman, since last00:01:54
fall 2022 he began to criticize the00:01:57
military leadership of Russia And against the backdrop of the00:02:00
failures of the army of the Russian Federation00:02:02
when they fled there in the Kharkov00:02:04
region when they retreated from the right00:02:06
bank is wrong In the Kherson region,00:02:10
Prigozhin began to push the role of VK Wagner, saying that00:02:15
only they are completely coping with it. And in general,00:02:18
wherever they go, all their00:02:21
goals are fulfilled. The moment of truth here00:02:24
was the bakhmut, which the Russians systematically00:02:27
seized since last fall and which00:02:30
became the only relatively successful00:02:33
case of the Russians. Well, around July last00:02:36
year this spring, that is, in 2023, the00:02:40
Wagnerites in Russia simply reached the peak of00:02:43
popularity before this, documentaries were made about them00:02:46
all over Russia,00:02:49
there were posters hanging up to join the PMC00:02:53
Wagner, it was at this moment that00:02:56
Prigozhin began to extremely actively criticize the00:02:59
pasta of the Russian Federation and, if00:03:02
you remember, he began to blame and the fact that they00:03:06
specifically do not directly give00:03:10
shells to the Wagnerites, but not only this, Prigozhin00:03:13
was looking for any suitable reason to00:03:16
accuse Shoigu Gerasimov of something,00:03:21
then some other generals, the00:03:24
military command of the Russian00:03:25
Federation denied this, but publicly with00:03:29
Prigozhin they are in did not enter into a skirmish,00:03:32
however, not publicly, they still waged00:03:35
their war with him, for example, since February,00:03:39
Prigozhin was prohibited from recruiting prisoners. Wagner was00:03:42
no longer just disagreements, but00:03:44
a split appeared00:03:46
on the eve of the almost complete capture of Bakhmut,00:03:49
when Prigozhin first said that the00:03:52
Wagnerites would leave the city. Although then00:03:55
they still did not fully they didn’t take it then,00:03:58
it was possible to extinguish this conflict. On May 20,00:04:00
Prigozhin said that Bakhmud had been completely00:04:03
taken. Although then a little later, he said something00:04:07
completely different, that in fact it was00:04:10
not yet completed, and then Prigozhin began to00:04:12
demonstratively withdraw the Wagnerites from the00:04:15
Bakhmut rear camps and, in parallel with00:04:18
this, stated that Look, the00:04:20
Russian Ministry of Defense, the Russian00:04:22
regular troops, they can’t00:04:25
hold positions there. In general, they can’t do anything without00:04:28
the Wagnerites, and in general, since May,00:04:31
Prigozhin has gone straight into disrepute; he began to00:04:34
criticize not only the Russian military00:04:37
authorities. Well, he began to00:04:39
actually broadcast the Ukrainian point of view on00:04:42
this conflict, stating that Russia00:04:44
failed all the goals of its invasion, and00:04:47
this time he criticized not just00:04:49
corruption in the Ministry of Defense, but everything that he had previously00:04:54
voiced regarding the goals of what in Russia00:04:57
is called a special operation by Putin. Although he00:05:00
personally did not name Putin, of course, and00:05:04
said that Putin Putin has been the president00:05:06
of many people before. At this point,00:05:08
the question arose: Why is Prigozhin00:05:11
allowed to do this? It’s absolutely obvious that00:05:14
Wagner is not just some kind of private00:05:18
military company doing what they want, but00:05:21
this is a military group created by the Kremlin to00:05:24
carry out, well, let’s say very00:05:26
specific tasks, Prigozhin’s action was00:05:29
also explained by competition around the00:05:31
Kremlin groups of influences That they say they00:05:34
are fighting for the cash flows that are there00:05:39
in the Ministry of Defense and also with the desire00:05:41
to remove the military elite and put them00:05:44
there Well, as Prigozhin used to say,00:05:47
Who is better than General Surikin, or for00:05:50
Prigozhin himself to be in the Ministry of Defense At the same time and00:05:54
on the flows Although it is already clear that00:05:57
we are actually talking about an attempt to00:06:00
completely seize power in Russia, the00:06:02
trigger here seems to be two00:06:04
points: firstly,00:06:06
Prigozhin’s unfulfilled expectations that the00:06:09
Russian army, regular troops, I00:06:12
mean, without PMCs Wagner will not be able to cope00:06:15
and they will come to Prigozhin and they will say Zhenya,00:06:18
help and the second point This is most likely00:06:21
that Putin supported Shoigu’s order00:06:24
according to which all volunteer00:06:27
formations and also PMCs must00:06:29
conclude a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense00:06:31
before July 1 Prigozhin did not want to do this;00:06:35
if he had not signed00:06:37
the contract, he would have lost financing00:06:40
Therefore, he had two options. The first00:06:43
is to agree with the current realities to sign00:06:46
this contract and do what he is00:06:50
told, and the second option is to go for a00:06:54
rebellion. These are the options that we, by the way, have00:06:56
already00:06:59
talked about more than once, and As we see, Prigozhin00:07:02
chose the second and at the beginning of May,00:07:05
when Prigozhin said that the Wagnerites00:07:09
would come out of Bakhmut, we assumed this00:07:12
scenario for the development of events, of course, it00:07:14
looks very strange that the00:07:17
Russian authorities did00:07:19
absolutely nothing about this, there were no00:07:22
preventive measures, and the Russian00:07:24
federal media continued to actively00:07:27
promote the Wagnerians, well, let’s say not like that00:07:31
earlier, but still continued, this00:07:34
gives rise to the assumption that someone very00:07:36
influential was pushing the topic of Wagner and00:07:40
lobbied for the strengthening of this group and00:07:43
Prigozhin personally, despite the obvious00:07:46
threat that came from them, whether00:07:50
it was Putin himself, who at a certain00:07:53
moment simply lost control over the PMC00:07:55
or one of the Kremlin towers are not00:07:59
interesting yet. But it depends on this question00:08:01
if Wagner now has00:08:05
active supporters in the Russian00:08:08
government and how involved they are in the00:08:11
process of its current overthrow one way or00:08:15
another, but the obvious reason for what happened is00:08:17
that the Kremlin has lost control over the00:08:20
military structure that it itself created00:08:23
But who exactly took advantage of it or She00:08:27
independently decided to play her00:08:29
game is not yet clear, although Judging by00:08:33
Prigozhin’s rhetoric, she is now little00:08:35
different from the Russian opposition or00:08:39
from the rhetoric of the Ukrainian authorities,00:08:42
for example, Prigozhin today was very actively00:08:44
supported by one of the leaders of the Russian00:08:46
opposition, Mikhail Khodorkovsky, Great00:08:48
Expectations in connection with Prigozhin’s actions,00:08:51
they were expressed in Ukraine and in the West,00:08:53
so today there was a popular version00:08:55
that Prigozhin is actually acting in00:08:59
conjunction with Ukraine and the West. Although there00:09:02
is no direct evidence of this,00:09:05
except that this rebellion certainly00:09:07
undermines the ability of the Russian00:09:10
Federation to continue the war in Ukraine00:09:12
now about what00:09:14
the rebels achieved today in general, this section of the video00:09:18
will probably be all in pictures and videos00:09:23
from the network there were a lot of them today,00:09:25
this morning it became known that00:09:28
Rostov-on-Don was partially captured by the00:09:30
Wagnerites, that Prigozhin appeared at the00:09:32
headquarters of the Southern Military District, which00:09:34
commands that in Russia is called00:09:36
a special operation in Ukraine and there he outlined00:09:39
his conditions; this video, by the way, we00:09:42
discussed in a previous blog. In general, either the00:09:44
Minister of Defense Shoigu and the00:09:47
head of the gel staff Gerasimov will be handed over to him, or he00:09:50
will go to Moscow, so he threatened.00:09:54
Putin spoke further and called what was happening00:09:56
military ball called to lay down their arms,00:09:58
declared the rebellion would be harshly suppressed, to00:10:02
which Prigozhin refused, after which a00:10:05
large number of videos began to appear00:10:07
about the movement of the rebels to the north, they00:10:10
moved along the roads to the Rostov,00:10:11
Voronezh, Lipetsk, Tula region and00:10:14
even to Moscow. And by the time00:10:17
this video was published, it is known that they are entering to00:10:20
the Moscow region And along the Oka River in the00:10:24
Kolomna area, Russian troops are00:10:26
trying to organize a New Line of00:10:27
Defense. As for Rostov itself, it seems00:10:30
like00:10:32
Kadyrov’s men were moving there. Well, they00:10:34
drove for so long and no one knows whether00:10:37
they actually got anywhere at all or not00:10:39
that is, at the end of the day, the military disposition00:10:42
looked something like this:00:10:44
there are two detachments of rebels, one of them is in00:10:48
Rostov-on-Don, they are there in this Southern00:10:50
headquarters and Apparently, that’s where00:10:53
Evgeniy Prigozhin was. As for the second00:10:55
detachment, Russian publics wrote that00:10:57
there were about 4 -5 thousand people that this00:11:00
detachment is personally led by Utkin And that these are00:11:03
generally the most combat-ready fighters, they00:11:07
are moving towards Moscow, all those were videos and00:11:10
messages that they there periodically00:11:11
engage in clashes with the Russian00:11:14
army, including that they shoot down planes using man-portable air defense systems and air defense systems00:11:17
information that00:11:20
they are being consolidated at some points along the00:11:23
route is not their goal Apparently, to00:11:25
come to Moscow as quickly as possible00:11:27
until the authorities gather00:11:29
troops to stop them and blockade00:11:31
some Russian regions and have introduced a00:11:34
regime of counter-terrorist operations,00:11:37
including and in Moscow and Sobyanin is the mayor of00:11:40
Moscow He said that Monday00:11:44
would be a day off by the end of the day with the ball, a00:11:48
contradictory picture arose, both sides of00:11:50
the confrontation were in a difficult00:11:53
situation, on the one hand, politically, the00:11:55
Prigozhinsky rebellion seemed to hang00:11:58
in the air No, none of the public figures I00:12:02
mean there, politicians, officials,00:12:04
security forces or just some famous00:12:08
personalities, with the exception of a few of00:12:11
these Z bloggers, Prigozhin did not00:12:14
support most of them condemned00:12:17
the rebellion and supported Putin,00:12:19
relevant statements were made by00:12:22
all the leaders of the state,00:12:24
Patriarch Kirill recorded video messages to00:12:29
Surikin, who was considered kind of a00:12:32
friend of Prigozhin, many bloggers, military correspondents,00:12:35
opinion leaders who previously warmly00:12:38
supported Prigozhin called him a00:12:41
rebel and said that what he00:12:44
was doing was in the interests of the enemy, on the other00:12:48
hand, in military terms, the rebellion developed00:12:50
during the day, the rebels were heading to00:12:53
Moscow and the main problem for Putin00:12:55
was which I voiced in in the previous00:12:57
blog, this is the need to find a00:13:01
sufficiently large number of combat-00:13:04
ready, well-trained military personnel00:13:07
in order to stop the rebels, and00:13:11
during the day the Russian00:13:12
military-political leadership00:13:14
somehow tried to solve this problem since the00:13:16
bulk of the Russian00:13:18
army is at the front, fighting in00:13:21
Ukraine. But they collected a certain amount in the00:13:24
Moscow region, but00:13:27
this amount would be enough and the weapons they had to00:13:29
suppress the rebellion are unclear. In addition, in the00:13:33
hands of Prigozhin there was even the main00:13:35
headquarters for managing the military operations of the00:13:38
Russians in Ukraine in Rostov-on-Don, which00:13:41
naturally for the Russian military00:13:43
leadership created large the problem of00:13:45
what a somewhat stalemate situation for both sides00:13:48
when the rebels do not have00:13:51
political and sufficient public00:13:54
support And the Russian00:13:57
military-political authorities00:13:59
do not have enough reserves at hand right now00:14:02
to00:14:04
defend themselves and in the evening very00:14:08
unexpected news appeared from Lukashenko00:14:11
that he had agreed with Prigozhin00:14:13
to stop the movement of the columns, I will give you00:14:15
this message in full, the President of00:14:17
Belarus, in agreement with the President of00:14:19
Russia, held verdicts with the head of the00:14:21
Wagner PMC, Evgeniy Prigozhin,00:14:23
the negotiations lasted throughout the whole day, as00:14:25
a result of which they came to agreements00:14:27
on the inadmissibility of unleashing a00:14:30
bloodbath on the territory of Russia. Evgeniy00:14:32
Prigozhin accepted the proposal of the President of00:14:34
Belarus Alexander Lukashenko on00:14:36
stopping the movement of armed personnel of the00:14:38
Wagner company on the territory of Russia and00:14:41
further steps under the escalation of00:14:43
tension, at the moment on the table is an00:14:45
absolutely beneficial and acceptable option for00:14:48
resolving the situation with00:14:49
security guarantees for the fighters of the Wagner PMC later00:14:52
made a statement and Prigozhin did not00:14:55
say anything about negotiations with Lukashenko but00:14:57
stated that00:14:59
the patterns are turning around, the00:15:01
Wagnerites are leaving for the rear camps, he00:15:04
said now the moment has come when00:15:06
blood can be shed, so understanding00:15:09
all the responsibility, we are00:15:11
turning around our columns and leaving in the00:15:13
opposite direction to the field camps00:15:15
according to the plan, however, Prigozhin, as00:15:18
he often did, and earlier, to put it mildly, with cunning, the00:15:22
Wagnerians shot down planes and00:15:26
helicopters, most likely one of the00:15:29
Russian military died after all. And00:15:31
now let’s move on to the main thing, what does this all00:15:34
mean, Prigozhin As you can see,00:15:36
she didn’t say anything about the fact that the Russian authorities00:15:38
agreed to fulfill his conditions. And I’ll00:15:41
remind you that this is to dismiss Shoigu00:15:45
Gerasimov and also leave a person to00:15:48
separate structures so that they do not00:15:50
sign an agreement with the EMU of the Russian Federation Prigozhin is00:15:53
just like that, well, we are leaving there Where did we00:15:56
all come from, therefore, here are several00:16:00
versions, several options, the first thing that00:16:04
happened in the late afternoon is the pure00:16:06
capitulation of Prigozhin, who was00:16:08
faced with virtually no00:16:11
political and public support and00:16:14
also, in the conditions of unclear prospects for the00:16:18
success of this rebellion, he was generally forced to back down00:16:21
in exchange for guarantees00:16:25
most likely of his own security and also of the00:16:28
Wagnerites; in the event that military units went over00:16:31
to the side of Prigozhin and the00:16:33
Wagnerites, it was not recorded. Well,00:16:37
plus there was information that not all00:16:39
The Wagnerites even supported Prigozhin and00:16:42
Putin, in principle, too. This was beneficial00:16:45
since the rebellion was suppressed without the use of00:16:48
force. The second option is a compromise, taking into00:16:52
account the stalemate of the situation for both00:16:54
sides, which I said earlier, that is,00:16:57
Prigozhin can00:17:00
get something in return besides a security guarantee. The00:17:02
third option is a compromise. but a00:17:05
temporary one is just a pause in the confrontation,00:17:08
although this pause is of course more beneficial for00:17:11
Putin, since he will have time to00:17:13
gather his strength to00:17:16
then deliver a new, more powerful blow to00:17:20
Prigozhin and the Wagnerites, but in any00:17:23
case, such a shock00:17:26
for Russia will not remain without consequences, depending on00:17:29
which of these three options00:17:32
turns out to be correct, the consequences could be in the00:17:36
form of maximum tightening of the screws00:17:38
by Putin or in the form of expanding the influence of00:17:41
some representatives of his entourage00:17:44
tied to the story with Prigogine. But00:17:48
if the confrontation continues, it will00:17:51
continue. And the destabilizing00:17:54
processes in Russian society, by the way, are00:17:56
quite remarkable and the role of Lu is only00:17:59
as a mediator, such a choice, you know, is00:18:03
not accidental, after it became00:18:06
known about the rebellion, the Belarusian opposition very actively made00:18:09
itself known, and the Belarusian opposition,00:18:11
having recorded several appeals on the topic,00:18:15
changes are coming soon in Belarus, so00:18:17
Lukashenko himself was extremely interested in the00:18:20
situation in Russia stabilizing as soon as possible00:18:23
because00:18:25
his00:18:26
own fate depends on this. In general, this is the day,00:18:30
my dear friends. What do you think00:18:32
about this, be sure to write in00:18:35
the comments, but we continue to monitor the00:18:37
developments of events, analyze and00:18:40
tell you about everything, do not forget00:18:43
to subscribe to our channels and also to00:18:46
my telegram channel where I publish all the00:18:48
links to new episodes so that you do00:18:51
n’t miss anything since our channels are00:18:53
blocked for viewing in Ukraine,00:18:56
you can watch them from there only if you00:18:59
change your country of00:19:01
location from Ukraine to any00:19:03
other in the settings.00:19:05
See you bye-byeDescription:
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How can I download "Закончился ли мятеж Пригожина? Что означают договоренности, о которых объявил Лукашенко" video to my phone?
You can download a video to your smartphone using the website or the PWA application UDL Lite. It is also possible to send a download link via QR code using the UDL Helper extension.
How can I download an audio track (music) to MP3 "Закончился ли мятеж Пригожина? Что означают договоренности, о которых объявил Лукашенко"?
The most convenient way is to use the UDL Client program, which supports converting video to MP3 format. In some cases, MP3 can also be downloaded through the UDL Helper extension.
How can I save a frame from a video "Закончился ли мятеж Пригожина? Что означают договоренности, о которых объявил Лукашенко"?
This feature is available in the UDL Helper extension. Make sure that "Show the video snapshot button" is checked in the settings. A camera icon should appear in the lower right corner of the player to the left of the "Settings" icon. When you click on it, the current frame from the video will be saved to your computer in JPEG format.
What's the price of all this stuff?
It costs nothing. Our services are absolutely free for all users. There are no PRO subscriptions, no restrictions on the number or maximum length of downloaded videos.