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Russian
00:00:02
wonderful Soviet film, were going to live a long time,00:00:03
does this mean that you can00:00:05
exhale already blind, not crazy,00:00:08
didn’t serve in the series, not a man, literally already in00:00:10
Tim Burke’s bed, Monica Bellucci00:00:11
is Prigozhinsky, the old man Biden00:00:13
looked very dignified in the Kremlin, they00:00:15
envy him Yes especially youth beauty00:00:18
of course guys everything is fine Everything00:00:19
is fine everything is according to plan there is nothing more00:00:21
confident in yourself than it seems driven into a00:00:23
corner And if not then what is tactical00:00:25
nuclear00:00:28
[music]00:00:31
[applause]00:00:34
[music]00:00:36
Hello You are Maryana Minsk ra You00:00:38
are in direct contact with me from00:00:40
Italy Stanislav Belkovsky Stas hello00:00:42
very glad to see you Hello You00:00:45
Take you and everyone who is00:00:47
watching and listening to us now Well, look here the other day00:00:49
Putin spoke in what one word00:00:51
or one phrase could you describe this00:00:54
speech in one word it would be too much00:00:56
Lapidly in one phrase,00:01:00
he was able to formulate the whole life of Vladimir Putin’s special operation00:01:03
only at the current stage of his life00:01:05
through creativity. What can you say about00:01:07
Putin himself, that’s how confident and decisive he seemed to you,00:01:10
or did you see00:01:13
the weakness of doubt00:01:16
in him back in 2000 in a book of conversations00:01:36
from the point of view of Vladimir Vladimirovich00:01:38
since only such a position allows one00:01:40
to make one of the possible decisions, one00:01:42
of one, this is the position it is in.00:01:44
Therefore, on the one hand,00:01:46
it is difficult for him because in front of him there is a stent, the so-00:01:49
called selfish lines, which the00:01:51
insidious Enemy in the person of the collective00:01:53
West constantly crosses on the other00:01:55
side, he must not hesitate Vladimir00:01:57
Vladimirovich already according to the horoscope Libra and00:01:59
therefore likes to hesitate this00:02:01
balances his love for the dragon00:02:03
was born in the year of the dragon00:02:04
952 by the way,00:02:07
Alexey Anatolyevich Navalny is exactly the same dragon,00:02:08
therefore, too This is only00:02:10
respectively 24 years later in 1976,00:02:13
so he is also very shot and that is00:02:15
why he causes such irritation of the00:02:17
elder dragon, here you can still00:02:20
do any well-known plays by Shvarts00:02:26
two, as00:02:28
cyclic shows on this topic would be called,00:02:31
while which of the two dragons is now00:02:33
easier, it’s still difficult to say because what is00:02:35
better is a bulk prison or Putin’s00:02:37
bunker is a separate philosophical the question is00:02:39
so yes, on the one hand it is very00:02:42
difficult for him, on the other hand this heaviness is to a00:02:44
certain extent comfortable for him00:02:46
because it eliminates doubts and00:02:48
hesitations that he does not like for himself, but00:02:51
how do you like the reaction of the audience, look at the stormy00:02:53
long applause 53 times00:02:55
worth four times but at this, you know,00:02:57
such adoration as usually happens with00:03:00
world leaders during wars Well,00:03:02
somehow it wasn’t felt00:03:04
Well, firstly, the special operation does not00:03:06
cause00:03:07
genuine and reliable delight in anyone, and00:03:09
secondly, Vladimir Putin has never been a00:03:12
charismatic leader capable of00:03:13
igniting the masses, that’s why here sincerely00:03:16
and sincerely such a reaction00:03:19
cannot be adoration and admiration for what people see00:03:21
and hear; moreover, the entire audience is00:03:23
generally afraid of sincere reactions; they were taught to00:03:26
always live and act according to instructions,00:03:27
and any sincerity that contradicts00:03:29
the instructions can be misinterpreted00:03:31
by those who are called upon to00:03:32
carry out the instructions monitor from the00:03:35
presidential administration to the Federal00:03:37
Security Service,00:03:38
as for the number of rises, everything00:03:40
else, these are instructions, everything is written, everything is00:03:42
according to the script, I saw it with my own eyes back in the00:03:44
early eighties, I’m not sure00:03:46
that this was a congress of the CPSU, it must have been an important00:03:48
public event of the Communist00:03:50
Party of the Soviet Union at which00:03:52
I spoke General Secretary00:03:53
Leonidovich Brezhnev and his papers were00:03:55
written stormy long00:03:57
Applause And so he gets to this00:03:58
point and the hall is silent and then Leonid endures too much00:04:01
and asks Why don’t00:04:03
you applaud this With your own eyes, in00:04:05
fact, this is not an anecdote, or rather an anecdote, but00:04:09
there were historical apocalyps that’s why, in00:04:12
order not to put Vladimir Vladimirovich00:04:13
in such an uncomfortable position,00:04:14
everything here was rigged down to the smallest detail00:04:17
and to the marrow of the bones. Why was Elvira00:04:19
Nabiullina so gloomy sitting in00:04:21
telegram channels, joking, the head of the Central Bank showed with her eyes00:04:24
where the Russian economy will grow00:04:26
Well, I don’t presume to evaluate00:04:29
the emotional nabiulnaya’s state00:04:31
Moreover, at such a distance, after all, I’m not00:04:33
mediums, I didn’t bromine00:04:38
favorites, she was usually wearing00:04:39
brooches, she’s broadcasting some kind of basic00:04:42
message that she wants to send, but I00:04:44
think that the economic authorities00:04:46
understand perfectly well what state she’s in Of00:04:48
the Russian Federation, no matter what00:04:50
Vladimir Vladimirovich says, to whom the00:04:52
Rosstat service actually adjusted the figure for00:04:53
its fall by00:04:55
2.1%, which is less than any even00:04:59
optimistic forecasts of recent times,00:05:01
but the budget deficit is $125 billion in00:05:04
January,00:05:05
budget revenues fell by 38 percent,00:05:08
expenses increased by 59 this this means that without the00:05:11
exception of the printing press, apparently00:05:12
soon it will no longer be possible to get by here, I00:05:14
can remember a vulgar joke, but00:05:16
still it is within reason, so00:05:18
you can present it on the air. Which means00:05:22
Rabinovich asks Khaimovich Khaimovich00:05:25
how would I like to tell my wife00:05:27
what’s in our family the budget is a complete00:05:30
ass, how would I do this Delicately00:05:33
do it so as to say so, don’t shock her right away,00:05:34
to which highmorite replies Well,00:05:37
you can approach her so let her down00:05:39
smoothly say Eh, dear, have you ever00:05:42
seen Kim Kardashya, in00:05:45
fairness, as for00:05:46
these figures on consumption budget there00:05:49
they say this is because of taxes and They00:05:51
will change Well, anyway, the trend00:05:53
is clear There’s not even anything00:05:56
Russian oil is trading significantly00:05:58
below the price corridor00:06:04
at a price below the price corridor because there are00:06:06
fools No, no one wants to buy it00:06:08
at a price higher and the gap with the brand is already00:06:11
is, in my opinion, 35 percent,00:06:13
this can hardly be judged as a source of00:06:15
optimism for the economic authorities, the vivid00:06:18
embodiment of which is Elvira00:06:19
dry ass Nabiullin Look, before00:06:22
this message from Putin there was a lot of00:06:24
talk about the fact that this speech,00:06:27
this speech is being prepared in the strictest confidence,00:06:29
that almost Putin himself personally wrote everything,00:06:32
but I don’t understand what is there to hide.00:06:36
Well, in the past weeks I had the opportunity to00:06:40
answer questions about how I see the00:06:42
President’s Message. I almost guessed.00:06:45
First he will say that it is not00:06:47
Russia that special operations against Russia have not begun,00:06:50
the United States has started and we are forced were on the00:06:54
defensive and therefore00:06:55
started a special operation. We began as a00:06:58
defensive action. They are00:06:59
offensive and the fact that today it is not00:07:02
American troops that are located near00:07:03
Moscow but Russian ones somewhere deep in00:07:05
foreign territory is already a second victory,00:07:08
he will say that00:07:10
the sanctions, the paralyzing sanctions of the West, the destroying ones, did00:07:13
not work, the Russian00:07:15
economy was standing from the skepticism of the epic and00:07:17
the third he will exalt the heroes00:07:19
of special operation Z they will announce a large-scale00:07:21
program of social support00:07:25
and this is a standard Kremlin scenario of00:07:28
raising expectations before some kind of00:07:30
presidential speech and it is00:07:31
reproduced every year00:07:34
every year it scares us that we will hear00:07:36
something that we have never heard before00:07:37
life then happens, but since00:07:39
our memory is short And now we are gone even00:07:42
shorter due to the fact that00:07:43
imported00:07:46
nootropic drugs for maintaining memory have stopped being supplied to Russia, we forgot00:07:48
that the year was the same, last year there00:07:50
was no message at all, and the last year was the00:07:53
same thing coming escalation that now00:07:54
either Belarus is annexing or, so00:07:57
to speak, the objects of creating a Union of00:07:58
the state with China, or vice versa, they will00:08:00
scatter 100 billion dollars from helicopters00:08:03
and who will catch the kings Yes, and then00:08:06
nothing happens, it happens00:08:07
quite usually ritual00:08:09
predictable actions where there is always00:08:11
some kind of00:08:12
cherry on the cake uh when a certain zest is00:08:16
another one according to the joke he but he00:08:19
Absolutely to the point this is a riddle, a00:08:21
small black wrinkled one, not00:08:23
every woman has a solution from the zest00:08:26
in this case it’s a small black00:08:28
wrinkled one it was the suspension of the00:08:30
part of Russia in the treaty on00:08:32
strategic offensive arms You00:08:33
and I will discuss this separately, wait,00:08:36
look, in general, in fact,00:08:38
there were a lot of rumors from expectations of general00:08:41
mobilization to almost announcements of00:08:43
nuclear strikes, thank God,00:08:45
we didn’t hear any of this, does this mean that we00:08:47
can exhale and, in general, a nuclear war is00:08:51
not in the near future00:08:52
The main thing in the plans was that there was no need to inhale and also00:08:55
smoke this type of case. Yes,00:08:58
because total mobilization cannot happen00:08:59
because the Kremlin’s interaction with the equally given people was very unsuccessful from the point of view of00:09:01
politics and psychology; are00:09:10
not needed in principle since the Decree of the00:09:12
President of the Russian Federation of September 21, 2022 is00:09:15
fully in force, so you can00:09:17
start mobilization even tomorrow without00:09:18
announcing it and it continues quietly. In00:09:21
addition, as far as one can understand,00:09:23
including from the rhetoric of Kremlin00:09:24
propagandists, types of level beyond00:09:26
Solovyov himself, the father of the conscript’s sons00:09:29
I would say age, if we put00:09:31
the emphasis correctly in this word, then the00:09:34
emphasis is on00:09:36
conscripts who can now be00:09:37
sent to places of00:09:39
hostilities under the guise of a peacekeeping00:09:41
mission and also under the pretext that the 400:09:43
regions of Ukraine where this is happening00:09:45
are a formal part of the Russian Federation. Therefore,00:09:47
they can be sent there any number of00:09:50
about 200 thousand additional people00:09:53
can be obtained in this way from three00:09:54
streams of graduates, let’s call them that of the00:09:57
spring conscription of last year, the autumn conscription00:09:59
brought last year, it is no coincidence that00:10:00
Mr. Solovyov and his like-minded people00:10:02
and like-minded technicians, I would say, emphasize all the time00:10:05
that in six months it is quite00:10:06
enough to get a professional00:10:08
warrior not only ready to fight on the00:10:10
Ukrainian fronts, but also willing to do so,00:10:12
absolutely thirsty, and finally, the spring00:10:16
conscription of this year also wanted.00:10:18
In a few months, the ready fighters,00:10:19
so there is no need for any00:10:21
dramatic actions,00:10:22
will not go to a major nuclear war either, and00:10:24
is not going to.00:10:25
Well, besides, the Chinese factor is important here00:10:27
among other things, understand the00:10:29
obvious factors are already known because Beijing is00:10:31
categorically against any use of00:10:34
nuclear weapons and Vladimirovich Putin is00:10:36
very hopeful about Chairman Xi as a00:10:39
person who is getting a divorce, he00:10:40
will allow Vladimir Vladimirovich to00:10:42
save face, the announcement of the00:10:43
suspension of the CIS and these words of00:10:46
possible nuclear weapons tests, what is that00:10:49
anyway? this and this is this kind of00:10:51
rattling of nuclear weapons, this is what the00:10:55
last Trump is, is it an attempt to00:10:57
intimidate, or is this a Step to negotiations,00:10:59
an invitation to negotiations, of course this is the00:11:02
last argument nuclear weapons And what00:11:04
does leaving the CIS change in general if,00:11:06
translated into human language today,00:11:08
you asked for human language at the beginning00:11:10
in one word the message is the way the beginning I00:11:13
couldn’t do it here I can answer in one word00:11:14
nothing This doesn’t say anything00:11:16
No it doesn’t actually change anything00:11:20
maybe nuclear weapons by the way00:11:22
the test of the Sarmat missile is00:11:26
already legendary although00:11:28
no one has seen it in action it was just carried out on the00:11:30
day of Joseph Biden's visit to Kiev and it00:11:32
turned out to be unsuccessful, as Sven told us. That is why00:11:33
it was never00:11:35
mentioned in the message of February 21, yes Well,00:11:38
listen, these are guesses Because00:11:40
if it had been successful, Putin would have00:11:42
announced it, but we don’t know for sure00:11:44
correctly as you know, they won’t be in the newspapers00:11:48
because such attempts were made00:11:50
specifically to intimidate Joseph Biden to00:11:52
additionally emphasize that our Sarmatian00:11:53
will reach anywhere in the world if anything. They00:11:56
just wrote that this is the cancellation of00:11:59
the suspension, more precisely the START, this is such an00:12:01
informal dig at Medvedev00:12:04
because that’s what he was signed with00:12:06
nv3 and under him, as we know, there was a00:12:08
warming of relations with the states. It seems to me that00:12:12
no one thought about Medvedev about this complication; he00:12:15
is no participant in these things.00:12:17
In addition, he himself is a great telegrammer; today00:12:21
there is political life after death. I00:12:23
would urge you to treat him with respect We even00:12:26
have compassion for him Everything is in the past, as in the00:12:28
famous painting of a Russian classic00:12:30
What can he do other than squirm in a00:12:32
telegram Well, certainly in no dialogue with him00:12:34
in this sense and plan,00:12:36
Vladimirovich Putin is not his00:12:38
dialogue partner Joseph Biden and all00:12:40
that Putin makes the direction necessary00:12:41
to attract the attention of a senior comrade in all00:12:43
senses, therefore, to the question of an00:12:46
invitation to negotiations Yes, of course,00:12:47
the invitation is just somehow worth it Biden00:12:50
now doesn’t hear or there are only problems with the00:12:52
outer part of the auditory analyzer in00:12:54
his full age, so much00:12:55
because he doesn’t want to hear, however Vladimir doesn’t00:12:58
understand this state when00:13:00
some sounds reach you, you do00:13:01
n’t want to hear them, and therefore, as the Great00:13:04
Soviet Writer said, everything you said00:13:07
doesn’t matter at all because I00:13:08
forgot to put on a hearing aid00:13:11
about the old man canoe on a separate one I don’t know00:13:14
if it’s too early are you burying Medvedev or or00:13:18
going to keep him? He’s just00:13:21
after his death.00:13:26
I wish him until 120. It’s clear. Immediately after00:13:29
Putin’s appeal, the Foreign Ministry called the US ambassador00:13:32
and said that means they demanded to remove00:13:36
foreign military personnel and weapons from Ukraine.00:13:38
The question is, and if not, then what is tactical00:13:42
nuclear? Well, as we know joke, again00:13:45
at the Belorussky station, people start screaming,00:13:48
just put my super suitcases00:13:51
in their place immediately, otherwise it will be00:13:53
like last time,00:13:58
nothing will happen, I told Daniil, one,00:14:02
two, three, nothing happened, on the contrary, the USA00:14:04
and allies will increase00:14:05
arms supplies to Ukraine as they are00:14:07
considering the military successes of Ukraine00:14:09
confrontation with Russia as an important prologue00:14:12
to any conversation with00:14:14
Russia About anything now this00:14:16
conversation is considered premature until00:14:17
the situation on the fronts is explained if the00:14:19
first part of the message is such a minute00:14:21
Hatred of the West then everything else is about00:14:24
the economy and business is such a00:14:26
heterogeneity, so I don’t know, clectic00:14:29
Is this a signal of what, a signal that the Kremlin does00:14:32
n’t really understand the situation or, on the contrary,00:14:34
is it a signal to society or that the guys are all00:14:36
right Everything is fine, everything is according to plan,00:14:38
of course, always Vladimir Putin communicates in such00:14:42
situations not least of all00:14:43
I would say this to myself if00:14:46
they were with someone they would flow with00:14:49
themselves, so they still have to kill themselves so00:14:51
that the economy simply cannot be any other way00:14:53
while he remains president,00:14:55
and the signals from business are that you see00:14:57
everyone who is in capital As a result, they suffered00:15:00
only those who held00:15:02
them in the Russian Federation were subject to sanctions, but the key word00:15:05
was recognition Putin addressed00:15:07
business, saying that you need not00:15:09
only income but also recognition, I00:15:11
completely agree with him, because when00:15:12
another businessman is arrested under00:15:14
Article 159, then his Recognition as a result of00:15:17
the confession, he receives 5-7 years in prison in00:15:20
a common way, he remade the00:15:22
property and financial flows of the00:15:23
modern Russian Federation. And just recently, Vladimir00:15:25
Vladimirovich, within the framework of the system of00:15:27
Freudian clauses, suddenly unexpectedly began00:15:29
to say that it is necessary to protect domestic00:15:31
business and therefore not apply to it after the00:15:33
expiration of the agency’s video only00:15:35
house arrest from this speech00:15:37
immediately gives the impression that the fact that the00:15:39
business is at large is not even a question, it’s00:15:40
just that all businessmen need to be arrested00:15:43
at once, half under house00:15:45
arrest, half on bail, send a00:15:47
signal to large businessmen00:15:49
who left, which means return to00:15:52
your homeland, but he clearly gave understand I even want to00:15:55
quote everyone has the opportunity to00:15:57
choose, someone will want to live out their life00:16:00
in an arrested mansion with blocked00:16:02
accounts, but it’s time to understand that in the West00:16:04
such people are second class and money from connections and00:16:07
purchased titles of counts of mayors will not help00:16:10
who exactly this is addressed to Fridman00:16:13
Abramovich Tinkov00:16:17
arrested apart00:16:20
This is Alexander,00:16:22
as we know Yevgeny Lebedev became the00:16:25
Roman of England00:16:27
By the way, this is generally a threatening fact, then00:16:30
on this basis he can lay claim to the00:16:31
Russian throne or at least00:16:33
control over Siberia, he is also Baron00:16:34
of Siberia, so the Anglo-Saxons may00:16:36
well nominate him in this capacity But00:16:39
Romanchu is definitely not addressed because he00:16:42
remains Vladimirovich’s closest friend00:16:43
and, in my opinion, a person whom00:16:45
Putin still still counts on00:16:47
as a channel for a certain delicate00:16:49
communication with Western elites, and this is exactly how he00:16:51
brings you and the novel of the acac who00:16:53
wants to get out of sanctions in this way00:16:55
by showing that it is he is also capable of00:16:57
stopping00:16:59
But at least his efforts already00:17:02
mattered to him since He00:17:03
escaped American sanctions at the request of00:17:06
the leadership of Ukraine and personally President00:17:08
Vladimir Aleksandrovich Zelensky And00:17:09
now it is possible that almost00:17:12
3 billion dollars he received from the sale of the00:17:14
Chelsea football club will be released under sanctions00:17:17
sent to a certain fund for the restoration of00:17:18
Ukraine to help victims. I have no00:17:21
doubt at all that my own children will not be among the first, at00:17:23
least psychological victims, they00:17:27
suffered terribly from everything that00:17:29
was happening, they were scared that they00:17:31
might not get their father’s capital,00:17:33
so it’s clear that they need to be00:17:34
consoled first of all and how does the Kremlin00:17:36
feel about the fact that the money will be00:17:38
sent to help Ukraine money from the00:17:40
sale of Chelsea Well, this is based on the00:17:42
production principle, he is the leg00:17:44
who needs the leg in general This is of course very00:17:46
bad, but Roman Akach Abramovich is00:17:48
also allowed because he00:17:50
really forgets him, perhaps00:17:52
the video will someday convey a letter or a00:17:55
match to some Western elites,00:17:57
so to speak. In my opinion, all this00:17:59
cannot work, no one in the other00:18:01
direction, since the Western elites are not00:18:03
receptive to such messages,00:18:04
again according to the principles, and Vladimirovich Putin00:18:07
will not stop the special operation.00:18:08
happened in the best case, he can00:18:10
sell refusal of a nuclear strike But00:18:12
since according to the old joke about Leonid00:18:15
Ilyich Brezhnev, I will now quickly00:18:16
tell him how Leonid Ilyich assembles00:18:18
the Politburo And since Joseph byte, he is00:18:20
very similar to Leonichal in many senses,00:18:21
including the fact that he00:18:23
satisfied somehow, so to speak, but00:18:26
he was not a very political figure like00:18:28
Leonid Ilyich was Leonid Ilyich gathers the00:18:30
Politburo and says comrade, the00:18:33
American astronauts have already been on the moon00:18:35
so that we don’t send our Cosmonauts00:18:36
to the sun, why are they burning out Leonid to00:18:40
lie down Well, I’ll forgive you they are not fools, but00:18:42
about them at night they are00:18:44
quite expensive and everyone00:18:46
understands perfectly well that there are many factors that00:18:48
do not allow the Kremlin to start a00:18:50
nuclear war. True, one of these00:18:52
factors has suddenly now begun00:18:54
to dissolve and even some of it goes00:18:56
underground; this is an import that00:18:59
had everything very good and even 11 countries00:19:00
nominated him for the Nobel Peace Prize,00:19:02
allegedly for Ukrainian regulation of00:19:04
which there is no and is not expected, and then a00:19:06
terrible earthquake happened which00:19:08
you slightly distracted the creative mission00:19:10
abroad and even the Minister of Internal00:19:12
Affairs of Turkey Suleiman Soglu stopped00:19:14
talking about the fact that the US Embassy must00:19:16
remove dirty hands from Turkey, since00:19:18
these dirty American hands were very00:19:19
necessary to eliminate the consequences of00:19:21
the earthquake together with other00:19:23
partners. Therefore, here, against this background, a00:19:25
gigantic representative grows and ages,00:19:27
who can now00:19:29
claim the Nobel Prize00:19:31
instead of Erdogan, because he presents himself to the00:19:34
world as a person who is regulating00:19:35
the situation and now it seems that the other day00:19:39
he either announced or will announce his Peace Plan, while00:19:42
this was somehow nothing, many were afraid00:19:44
that Representative Xi would actually00:19:47
negotiate with the United States at the expense of Russia. He00:19:49
again sends this00:19:51
appeal to the United States and says00:19:53
You don’t offend me because I can00:19:55
be a great peacemaker, we may not00:19:56
be one, regarding Abramovich, I’ll return to the00:19:59
telegram channels, political scientists consider him00:20:02
already a candidate for membership in the Kremlin00:20:05
bureau, I agree, well, I don’t know what00:20:07
the Kremlin bureau is, since the CPSU00:20:09
was quite understandable an institution of power with a00:20:12
fixed composition and powers00:20:14
of participants, of course, these powers00:20:16
were adjusted for the factor of proximity to the00:20:18
leader’s body, such as whoever the leader was00:20:21
Leonid Ilyich or Mikhail Sergeevich00:20:23
But it was clear that picnics00:20:25
fixed in this sense The pool of people00:20:27
making important decisions in the00:20:29
Russian Federation does not exist00:20:30
Roman Katic has always been and remains a00:20:32
close friend of Vladimir Vladimirovich,00:20:34
who is allowed what is not allowed to00:20:36
many others, and this cannot be, he is not00:20:38
as close in recent years as the00:20:40
Kovalchuks or the00:20:42
Rotenbergs, but nevertheless, you ca00:20:45
n’t drink away this Friendship and let’s not forget00:20:47
that when Kovalchuk some00:20:49
key players in the Russian00:20:51
political-economic arena We have never even00:20:53
heard of the novel again was already a00:20:55
person who greatly00:20:56
contributed to the reign of Vladimir00:20:58
Vladimirovich Upon the rise to power00:20:59
of the decider, you are naturally members of the family of00:21:02
Boris Nikolayevich Yeltsin, consisting of00:21:04
Valentina Borisovich Yumasheva and Tatyana00:21:06
Borisov, and so on further Dyachenko and now00:21:08
Yumasheva But the novel about quality was already00:21:10
in the wings as the treasurer of the family and this does not00:21:13
forget00:21:16
Yes, to whom Putin’s signal is addressed, you00:21:19
are returning to Russia, what do you00:21:22
think will happen to them if they return00:21:25
and what will happen to them if they do not00:21:27
listen to the words of the president and00:21:29
will not return to Russia, which will nationalize their00:21:31
Russian property, real estate.00:21:34
Here one cannot help but recall the canonical00:21:37
anecdote on this topic, how Rabinovich00:21:38
comes to the aviary and says And you also know,00:21:42
my brother is blind in Israel, can he be given00:21:45
permission to leave so that I can look after00:21:47
his brother00:21:48
asks him and you don’t want to make it00:21:50
so that your marriage came to the Soviet00:21:51
Union here to court, well, excuse me,00:21:54
comrades, he answers, he’s blindly not crazy,00:21:57
so the people mentioned will not return to the00:21:59
Russian Federation, and the risks associated with00:22:01
the confiscation of their assets here they have already00:22:03
calculated are much more important for them00:22:05
unlock their Western assets than to00:22:06
hope that00:22:08
Russian assets will be safe for now. However,00:22:10
I don’t foresee any total nationalization00:22:12
now that the message clearly00:22:14
showed the idea that those who fought in00:22:17
Donbass will be the new personnel reserve.00:22:19
Well, it’s not a man from the series who served. That’s how00:22:22
you count the old ones the elites are tense00:22:24
about the fact that they will be diluted with new,00:22:26
handsome, hefty military men, as00:22:28
you know,00:22:31
which is located in the West and pursues the00:22:34
priority goal of getting rid of Western00:22:36
sanctions, generally lives according to its own agenda, the00:22:37
text remains in Russia, they do not perceive00:22:41
some kind of threat here, because from the00:22:44
Veterans of Special Operation Z they can00:22:46
new organized00:22:47
criminal groups will form, as was the case with the00:22:50
veteran in Afghanistan in the late00:22:52
eighties and early nineties of the00:22:53
20th century,00:22:56
civilization is not strong in this situation, but the00:23:03
veterans will not have any large space for political or social maneuver; perhaps Putin has00:23:05
plans to cleanse the ranks with the help00:23:07
these new Elites No, I think that the old00:23:10
liter will remain there alone where they are00:23:12
because Putin fears the00:23:14
uncontrolled revelry of this type of00:23:16
people who have gone through combat operations. Let's00:23:18
look at what happened to the00:23:20
military-political assets of the most00:23:22
proclaimed DPR LPR acted in00:23:25
2014 twenty-second many00:23:27
commanders00:23:29
others died, like our Russian00:23:32
colonel of riflemen, he gall gerkin00:23:34
fortunately survived, but he is not allowed to00:23:36
return to the operational spaces of00:23:38
certain powers and the opportunity00:23:39
to realize himself in them, and he is not given00:23:41
because the Kremlin does not need such heroes at all,00:23:43
so the veterans are special, and00:23:45
now we We even know that the people’s00:23:47
militia of the DPR LPR is annexed by the Ministry00:23:49
of Defense Officially from January 1, 2023,00:23:51
but their members are already subjected to obvious00:23:55
discrimination; their00:23:56
length of service is taken into account; many are fired,00:23:59
such as the memorable Eduard00:24:03
Basugin, the deputy of the team of the people’s00:24:05
militia of the DPR, which in fact was the00:24:06
speaker of this de facto Donetsk People’s Republic00:24:10
Republics, that is, in general, show in every possible way00:24:13
that these merits do not00:24:14
matter at all, as his less lemons,00:24:16
his services to the party are reset to zero, in full00:24:18
I can say Vladimir Ivanovich00:24:19
Putin, but there are no merits to the Kremlin for all those00:24:21
people, so there will be no real influence of these00:24:23
people except me I already said the00:24:25
possibility of becoming some kind of organized crime group and00:24:27
attacking a00:24:28
small business there, the hope is that this is00:24:31
not a big business, fascinated by00:24:32
television and the glorification of the heroes00:24:34
of special operation Z will be afraid and that they are00:24:36
unfastening something there, as it was for00:24:37
veterans of the war in Afghanistan in the late00:24:39
Eighties at the beginning nineties of the00:24:41
twentieth century But of course, the00:24:44
hero of a special operation00:24:46
from somewhere else can become deputies. But the most important thing is, of course, there00:24:48
was no real00:24:49
political influence; they will not have00:24:50
any opportunity to become some kind of00:24:53
organized Corporation capable of00:24:55
influencing the decision of the Kremlin,00:24:56
public opinion nationwide, the Russian Federation00:24:59
scaled up the program social assistance for00:25:00
these people here you can have a very good00:25:02
time And this was already announced by00:25:04
Mr. Putin in his message on00:25:06
February 21 that a00:25:07
special support fund will be created,00:25:09
it will of course be state-owned00:25:11
in fact from the Ministry of Support Yes00:25:12
heroes Why do you think he00:25:14
mentioned the headlights many times Putin did not say anything about a00:25:17
separate address dude Wagner or the00:25:19
Kadyrovites, their influence on the authorities is00:25:20
exaggerated, the00:25:22
influence remains, although they are in a00:25:25
systemic conflict with the federal00:25:26
security forces, in particular the Ministry of00:25:28
Defense and the General Staff, and for00:25:30
Vladimir now it is important not to let00:25:31
any owls out of public view and he said00:25:34
that it is necessary to overcome interdepartmental barriers and all sorts of nonsense,00:25:36
as he said, that’s why the disagreements00:25:39
between the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff on the one00:25:40
hand are Wagner with the second personnel on the00:25:43
third, this is exactly the same nonsense that I00:25:45
couldn’t allow in the message right now00:25:46
because the main thing is that he emphasizes the00:25:48
need for the monolithic total00:25:50
unity of the country of the nation of all its links in00:25:53
confronting the enemy and the enemy is00:25:55
the collective West, which wants us00:25:57
to sit on the political map of the world and generally00:25:59
destroy the uh civilizational00:26:01
fighter, ethnic, because uh, in00:26:03
recent months it has become a version00:26:06
that the West will not hit us with nuclear weapons.00:26:08
And as corresponding member of the00:26:10
Russian Academy of Sciences Mikhail00:26:11
Kovalchuk said, the most influential and formal00:26:13
scientist of the modern Russian Federation biological00:26:15
weapons will be used some00:26:16
super-powerful viruses brought into00:26:18
Russian territory beat up laboratories00:26:21
in the post-Soviet space with the help of00:26:23
fighting mosquitoes in aspects to representatives of00:26:25
the Russian Federation and he is the master of non-benzenium or00:26:28
some other animals this is this this is the00:26:31
most terrible that Putin is ready for us00:26:33
and only total unity,00:26:34
absolute consolidation around the task of a00:26:38
special operation from this personal00:26:39
direct leader can save the00:26:41
Russian Federation in this situation,00:26:42
the message did not say anything about00:26:45
any punishments by a traitor to enemies of00:26:47
peoples, traitors, but also any other00:26:50
terms so beloved by Russian00:26:52
propaganda That is this means that we can00:26:54
again exhale. The thirty-seventh00:26:56
year we are not in danger if the traitor00:26:58
is outside the Motherland, then they00:27:00
cannot exhale. Although the sledgehammer named00:27:02
Evgeniy Viktorovich Prigozhin is omnipresent00:27:04
as we know, and moreover, Evgeniy00:27:06
Viktorovich has already become an international00:27:07
pop star because that is the most the latest00:27:09
issue of a French magazine died in a match00:27:12
on the cover there are really00:27:14
heartbreaking amazing stories about00:27:16
Tim Burton's romance with Monica Bellucci I00:27:19
really love Tim Burke how the director00:27:21
didn't buy him a very beautiful woman not as00:27:24
beautiful as you of course nothing either but the00:27:26
raccoon is right there on the cover Eugene00:27:28
Aleksandrovich Gorzhinsky It was a joke00:27:31
This is such a well-known joke of the St. Petersburg00:27:33
Leningrad kindergarten famous in the00:27:35
eighties of the last century by00:27:36
Konstantin Melikhan because the main00:27:39
main character of Picasso’s painting,00:27:40
our girl, is a man in Cuba,00:27:42
literally already in Tim Burke’s bed00:27:44
Monica Bellucci is Prigozhin’s00:27:46
hammer and this sledgehammer apparently threatens not00:27:49
all traitors if they00:27:50
lead incorrectly, including outside the Motherland,00:27:51
because as you know, it is not necessary00:27:53
to receive any formal orders from the00:27:55
federal law enforcement agencies in order to00:27:57
bring traitors here, of course, with00:27:59
unique experience, as they say, I cannot neither00:28:01
confirm nor deny this,00:28:02
Ramzan has at his disposal Kadyrov watched matches on the00:28:05
occasion of the thirty-seventh year in00:28:07
Belarus. They recently introduced the death00:28:08
penalty for treason against a guest by a military official of00:28:10
Russia. As you know, it often follows00:28:13
Belarus when you expect conversations00:28:17
or the introduction of the death penalty in Russia,00:28:19
see everything And for this there are repressive00:28:22
apparatuses there Propaganda will work00:28:23
out that good Putin is still00:28:25
protecting00:28:27
liberals from reprisals Well, not only00:28:30
liberals in general, chips from mortals Katya00:28:33
is important for Putin, he doesn’t want to be the00:28:36
person who brought back the death penalty,00:28:37
this is long ago and understandable. Besides, there is no00:28:39
practical sense in this, because you can00:28:42
outsource the death penalty, which is what happened00:28:43
done When we were all shown a00:28:45
video with the Lord we need a former fighter00:28:48
dude Wagner killed with a sledgehammer what is it00:28:49
like a non-privatized death penalty00:28:51
Well, it exists, why00:28:53
return the state And thereby ruins your karma00:28:57
real estate, for example, they will take away those00:29:00
who left criticize the country en masse en00:29:03
masse no, targeted Yes if00:29:06
someone covets large real estate,00:29:12
it can be used for this, first of all, it is necessary to00:29:16
amend the criminal00:29:17
law of confiscation of property,00:29:19
the article on discrediting the armed forces,00:29:20
but this can be done00:29:23
in fact by one of the most influential00:29:25
informal lawyers of the Russian00:29:27
Federation, Andrei Aleksandrovich cliche,00:29:29
considered the key author of the current00:29:33
The editors of the Russian Constitution have already00:29:34
spoken about this, that it can be confiscated, but you just00:29:37
need to say it should be written into the Criminal Code.00:29:38
I think that if something happens, the00:29:40
state thinks from the Federation in00:29:42
a week,00:29:43
you don’t expect mass mobilization, but00:29:45
you don’t expect the closure of borders. Because00:29:49
those people who should the00:29:50
majority of them cannot avoid going to the fronts from the Russian Federation. It’s00:29:53
just that physically and technically they00:29:55
have neither money nor connections, nor the00:29:57
ability to get to00:29:59
foreign empires. And those who can00:30:02
get there are not of great00:30:04
value from the point of view of mobilization, there is no00:30:06
point in00:30:08
another 200-300,000 people in Russia00:30:10
will be scraped together without closing the borders00:30:12
and without thereby creating unnecessary problems,00:30:14
but on the contrary, he always emphasized that if00:30:17
anyone does not agree with his course,00:30:22
do not stay here and not spoil the air,00:30:24
so why close the borders, then from the00:30:27
point of view of this priority? Is it really worth00:30:29
waiting for any now? then sharp actions from00:30:31
the Kremlin, there is talk that supposedly00:30:37
Transnistria is next in line for inclusion in the Russian Federation, almost all of Moldova,00:30:40
but the truth is that Transnistria is a00:30:41
candidate for full inclusion in Moldova,00:30:43
because in recent days00:30:44
rumors have been growing that Moldova and00:30:47
Ukraine can carry out there is their own00:30:49
special operation and military capabilities with the00:30:51
support of Romania. That is, as a member of00:30:53
NATO, there00:30:56
will be no official formal support since NATO countries00:30:59
clearly take the position that they do not enter into any00:31:00
official conflict, official00:31:02
armed conflict with the Russian00:31:03
Federation, but00:31:06
informal support indirectly,00:31:07
just like NATO supports Ukraine00:31:09
with weapons is quite possible and now00:31:12
Russia has the Russian army, the former second00:31:14
army of the world does not have the troops that00:31:16
were previously known as the second army of the world00:31:17
to protect Transnistria, there is no possibility on the00:31:20
other hand, Moldova says that00:31:22
there is a certain one and here it relies on00:31:24
this intelligence service not only its own00:31:26
Ukrainian and even possibly00:31:27
American that there is some kind of cunning00:31:28
plan to land the Landing Forces in00:31:30
Chisinau and show Kuzka’s mother to the00:31:32
Moldovan authorities, this was officially00:31:34
stated by the newly appointed Prime Minister of00:31:36
Moldova Chan, the former Minister of Internal00:31:38
Affairs, who had just been appointed00:31:40
Minister of Prime Minister so that he00:31:42
placed emphasis on preventing a coup in00:31:45
Moldova, in fact, on managing a power00:31:47
scenario. But if one happens,00:31:49
then Transnistria may be a hot00:31:50
spot. It’s just not clear in which direction,00:31:52
but for some reason it seems to me that they00:31:54
will not formally annex it and00:31:56
certainly will not formally annex00:31:57
Southern Abkhazia Ossetia, if only00:31:59
because For Vladimir Putin,00:32:01
loyalty to Georgia is much more important today, and00:32:04
this loyalty is ensured, among other00:32:06
things, by the actual ruler of this country,00:32:07
gasoline Glegovich, you didn’t move him,00:32:09
previously known as Boris What else is his00:32:11
former ex? Vaughn, as is known, is the00:32:13
owner of the Russian Credit bank and00:32:14
other large assets, including00:32:16
methodological ones, on the territory of Russia,00:32:18
by selling which he provided00:32:20
billions with the opportunity to come to power in Georgia,00:32:21
and now Georgia is00:32:23
informally the most important hub for circumventing00:32:24
sanctions, on the one hand, and generally00:32:27
behaves quite correctly towards the Kremlin,00:32:28
because it does not allow00:32:29
Russian oppositionists and branding00:32:32
journalists on their territory, so00:32:34
now it’s definitely not going to create such an uncomfortable00:32:36
situation for Mr. Putin’s close partner,00:32:38
but the journalist00:32:41
found a document according to which by the00:32:43
year 30 Russia allegedly plans to seize00:32:46
control of Belarus, how does this look like00:32:49
the truth? Well, as he said in a famous00:32:52
Soviet film We are going to live for a long time, we00:32:55
don’t know what will happen in 2023 a little00:32:57
later, so planning until 203000:32:59
seems to me to be a rather00:33:01
scholastic task. So, in general, there are plans00:33:03
to annex always the late 90s00:33:06
when I proposed Boris Nikolayevich00:33:08
Yeltsin as one of the possible scenarios for00:33:10
prolonging his presidential powers00:33:12
here you just don’t need to confuse the content of the00:33:16
analytical note with the possibility of00:33:17
implementing this content. Putin here in00:33:20
his message said a phrase that I often00:33:22
say in this program in the program00:33:24
You stick to guns instead of butter says00:33:26
that the war economy will not ruin00:33:29
life much, we believe00:33:32
Well, we believe in the sense that there will be00:33:34
no total mobilization of the economy00:33:35
and with it on a war footing this00:33:37
will not happen since neither Putin set What00:33:39
is called absolutely But the fact that00:33:42
all kinds of sanctions will cause00:33:43
significant damage to the Russian economy and00:33:45
in real time is undoubtedly00:33:47
the most terrible in this sense00:33:49
technological sanctions since the00:33:51
Russian economy is 670 percent00:33:54
depending on imported technologies and00:33:56
components, and here the growth of technology,00:33:58
nothing supernatural has been00:33:59
presented to us over the long years of its00:34:01
existence. Now, by the way, in00:34:03
Krasnoyarsk the other day the00:34:05
Biryusa refrigerator factory, version two, burned down, or00:34:09
did they do sabotage00:34:10
reconnaissance on Ukrainian groups because the00:34:12
chips could come from themselves be used00:34:14
for new Russian drones00:34:16
that will be produced under an Iranian00:34:18
license in Tatarstan, since00:34:21
Marina Ivanovna Tsvetaeva hanged herself in Yelabuga,00:34:22
then perhaps the drone will be00:34:23
called Marina00:34:25
We are also submarines, the Marinad infantry,00:34:29
so that there are a lot of all sorts of00:34:31
associations with this case, another version is00:34:33
that it was simply impossible to organize sales in any other way00:34:34
from the Biryusa refrigerator,00:34:36
except by completely destroying the warehouse with00:34:39
it, to show that00:34:40
someone needs these refrigerators for something,00:34:42
but financial sanctions, sanctions in the00:34:45
energy market matter, we have00:34:46
already said, first of all, in our conversation00:34:48
that00:34:49
Russian oil today costs00:34:51
significantly significantly cheaper than00:34:53
the brand and than it was just recently, and this00:34:55
certainly cannot but cause00:34:56
significant damage to the Russian budget, I00:34:58
didn’t talk about gas because the Russian Federation00:35:00
has actually lost its most marginal00:35:02
and stable European gas market, and00:35:04
Dear Chinese partners will not00:35:05
buy gas at the European price rate00:35:07
especially to consumers, especially00:35:09
considering that the output capacity of00:35:11
gas pipelines going to China does not00:35:13
allow redirecting there volumes00:35:15
comparable to yesterday's European00:35:17
exports Gazprom Why do you think that there00:35:19
will be no transition to a war footing? But00:35:21
what about this scheme: everything for the front, everything00:35:23
for Victory because it mass00:35:25
dissatisfaction like we saw the00:35:27
pension reform when there was an attempt to00:35:29
introduce QR codes because of this, the00:35:31
rails because they were already stolen, you ca00:35:34
n’t transfer anything to them, besides, the00:35:36
multinational Russian Federation, people 80%00:35:39
consisting of Russians like you and me,00:35:40
are in in a state of deep00:35:42
psychological demobilization,00:35:44
he does not want any mobilization, that00:35:47
is, he is ready to provide passive support to00:35:48
special operations Z, but not at the price of the00:35:51
bottom of the sofa00:35:52
and since it was not possible and will not be possible to turn the special operation for00:35:55
this people’s war at the level of the psychological00:35:57
perception of the Russian Federation people,00:35:59
no one actually understands00:36:01
by and large, why is it so necessary and00:36:03
even the mythology that it00:36:05
would have occupied us tomorrow too00:36:06
if it weren’t for the decision made in February00:36:09
last year, no one believes either,00:36:10
especially how in such a situation is something00:36:12
mobilized, no one will simply00:36:14
evade from mobilization, as I said in a00:36:16
famous Soviet comedy film,00:36:18
I ask for a00:36:20
liter of technical success for temporary use. This is approximately00:36:22
how people react to mobilization00:36:25
measures. Let's talk about00:36:26
Biden's reaction, he turned to the Russians after00:36:29
Putin, does this mean that the West00:36:31
will no longer talk to the current00:36:33
elite Russian authorities and do not seriously00:36:37
count on a regime change in Russia00:36:39
The West does not seriously count on a00:36:42
regime change in Russia in Russia in a short00:36:44
historical perspective and therefore will00:36:46
talk to Putin only on its own00:36:48
terms and not in the format in which00:36:49
Vladimir Putin wants in this sense, that00:36:52
is, it is necessary still clarify from the point of view of00:36:54
Joseph byte On the situation on the fronts as00:36:56
we have already said And what will happen there,00:36:57
what successes will the Russian00:37:00
Federation achieve or vice versa What defeats will00:37:01
they suffer in the next month by the end of spring00:37:04
early summer In my opinion, this will become00:37:05
completely clear before this, no00:37:07
clear negotiations the Western position00:37:09
regarding the termination of the special operation Z No,00:37:12
you can’t here naturally Vladimir00:37:14
Putin is counting on China so that00:37:15
the writer can somehow persuade the00:37:17
Western partners to negotiate, but00:37:19
let’s not forget that the publisher is sitting doing00:37:21
this solely in his own interests, then00:37:23
enter the US conversation on a variety of00:37:25
issues ranging from Anti-Chinese00:37:27
sanctions, including in the technological00:37:28
sphere, which are seriously slowing down the00:37:30
development of China because they spoke00:37:33
before the problem in Taiwan. That is, at the expense of the Russian Federation and00:37:35
through a special operation from this Kremlin00:37:37
bottle, China will resolve its issues00:37:39
primarily00:37:41
while the West one of China is not running around alive to00:37:43
discuss this, so the next00:37:45
month will be marked by deep00:37:47
mutual misunderstanding and the absence of00:37:48
any creative00:37:50
meaningful dialogue, as00:37:52
Putin likes to say, you know, there will be no substantive00:37:53
dialogue, however, soon he will not speak either,00:37:55
since borrowed words are00:37:57
prohibited in official rhetoric.00:37:59
this assumption is that the United States will not00:38:01
stop until the regime in00:38:03
Russia changes, it has no basis,00:38:05
you think the00:38:07
regime in Russia00:38:09
is beneficial, the isolation and marginalization of the00:38:12
Russian Federation is coping with these tasks00:38:16
independently with the hands of the current regime,00:38:18
we know that last year 2022 the United States00:38:21
prevented destruction Chief of the00:38:23
General Staff of the Armed00:38:29
Generals, when she found out that he was00:38:31
somewhere in the Kharkov region, the United States said00:38:33
no need, as a person of the level of Igor Ivanovich Strelkov would have sarcastically remarked on this,00:38:40
he did not say this, but he could have said it00:38:42
as he said in a famous film about a poor00:38:44
hussar, keeping silent, maybe Kozma00:38:46
Prutkov didn’t say this, but he could say00:38:47
that, of course, the United States is very beneficial. Gerasimov00:38:50
at the head of the Russian troops is why they00:38:51
saved the United States. The regime is beneficial. He leads00:38:54
where he would like, why else?00:38:57
Moreover, there can be no specific scenario for a00:38:59
change of power in the Russian Federation; this is the00:39:02
government too well eliminated all00:39:03
potential competitors and any00:39:05
mechanisms for its own replacement00:39:08
regarding Biden, by the way, it seems to me00:39:10
that old Biden looked very dignified and was00:39:12
not afraid to come to Kiev. I do00:39:14
n’t know if there were security guarantees there00:39:15
or not, which caused the00:39:17
irritation of our propagandists and the00:39:20
admiration of the people other people let's say00:39:22
as you think in the Kremlin they envy him Well,00:39:26
somewhere deep down, yes That is why a00:39:30
furious reaction is caused by all sorts of00:39:32
reservations to gain the appearance of experience,00:39:35
cognitive instability00:39:38
really affects some ailments of the00:39:41
American president, but also how,00:39:43
despite them, he is in a completely wonderful00:39:46
political form that he shows and00:39:48
it must be said that it is to Joseph Biden that the00:39:49
United States and the West owe00:39:51
consolidation the limits that have now00:39:53
been reached, it is unknown whether00:39:55
any other President00:39:57
Donald Trump would have coped with this task, therefore he coped with00:39:59
his missions Visit to Kiev speech in00:40:01
Warsaw this is the top public top00:40:05
this iceberg which Biden certainly00:40:08
created the ice of numerous everyone from childhood00:40:12
you perceive America with distrust in the00:40:14
era of the existing all sorts of proverbs from00:40:16
the European Union are not there therefore he very successfully00:40:19
coped with the task of uniting the West in00:40:20
this difficult situation00:40:23
they envy his popularity in the West00:40:28
Zelensky has practically turned into a00:40:30
modern Churchill00:40:32
Why him again made this way by the00:40:34
Russian Federation and special operation Z00:40:36
state on February 23, 2022 at 1100:40:39
Zelensky was a political leader00:40:41
rapidly losing popularity and in00:40:44
Ukraine there was already a lot of talk about00:40:45
who would replace him and the number of00:40:47
potential candidates was much00:40:49
more than one, and already every second a00:40:51
serious political representative00:40:53
not even a political Lithuanian And I read I00:40:55
saw myself in Zelensky’s place a year00:40:58
later it’s funny to talk about this00:40:59
Zelensky’s rating is 91% and there is no real alternative00:41:02
to him there are no actual political figures00:41:04
left only two are he and the00:41:05
commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian troops00:41:07
Valery but Zelensky’s competitor in00:41:09
real time is not it00:41:10
What do you think, where when and on what00:41:15
conditions can00:41:17
this conflict stop? Russia Ukraine China,00:41:19
which is now coming to the00:41:21
fore as a mediator after Turkey00:41:24
was concentrating on problems of a00:41:25
completely different level of order,00:41:27
will offer a certain Korean scenario, and that00:41:29
is, actual restoration00:41:31
peace with this, on the basis of the line of00:41:34
contact, the00:41:36
38th parallel, this is the actual00:41:39
informal but actual recognition of00:41:41
at least temporary control on the00:41:43
part of the Russian Federation over 1600:41:44
percent of Ukrainian territory,00:41:46
thereby with the hood corridor to Crimea Ukraine00:41:49
and the West will not agree with this, but the whole00:41:51
question is how the fighting will end00:41:52
this spring00:41:54
closer to World Children's Day on June 1, we00:41:58
will understand in what world if these00:42:00
military operations are relatively00:42:01
successful for Russia, this Korean00:42:03
scenario will become more or less00:42:05
realistic if they are more00:42:06
successful for Ukraine it will become less00:42:07
selfish so or else everything will be decided.00:42:10
It all depends on the situation on the fronts and00:42:12
we have a little over three months to00:42:14
clarify it before achieving the concept of00:42:16
peaceful regulation. And if00:42:18
attacks begin on Russian territory, then how will00:42:21
Moscow respond?00:42:25
Well, I don’t know, they will be more massive00:42:28
in Crimea, which they consider theirs they are00:42:31
walking through the Belgorod Kursk region, but00:42:33
not to mention the fact that the Ukrainian00:42:34
drones, and not some00:42:36
modern ones, but the old Soviet Swifts,00:42:38
flew to the Russian strategic aviation base of the00:42:41
airfields of the00:42:42
Saratov region in the Ryazan region,00:42:44
which are clearly not near the Ukrainian border00:42:46
and nothing terrible happened00:42:49
again about the anecdote of Probiovich and the00:42:51
suitcases at the Belorussky station Yes, that’s why,00:42:53
so to speak, these wheel00:42:54
lines have clearly not been passed, well, not to mention the00:42:56
fact that from the point of view of Russia, the00:42:57
Russian Federation of the Kremlin is walking through00:43:00
Russian territory, that is, Russian00:43:03
Kherson and Zaporozhye for some reason are occupied by00:43:05
Ukrainian troops Therefore, here, in00:43:09
my opinion, a qualitative increase in00:43:10
escalation is not yet close00:43:12
and what is recognized as a victory00:43:15
with the goal is considered the collapse00:43:17
of the American-centric world. And thus, a00:43:18
revision of the results of the Cold War will be00:43:21
expressed through self-isolation of Russia,00:43:24
which is already being carried out in Russia;00:43:26
resigning as a member of the00:43:28
American world is not necessary for this00:43:31
military successes just need to00:43:33
ruin everything, the Russian Federation has00:43:34
already coped with this to a large extent, if00:43:36
not completely, and victory will be considered00:43:38
any result since00:43:40
Vladimir Putin already explained to us in a message00:43:42
what was explained through the lips of his00:43:43
propagandists over the00:43:45
past few months that the United States wanted to destroy us00:43:49
as he said in a famous film00:43:54
when they ask him Where is the00:43:56
evidence that they pulled themselves out of00:43:58
the gate by the hair I’m alive to answer Baron00:44:00
Munchaus and here he really likes the phrase00:44:03
that is attributed to Trotsky, although in00:44:05
fact it was said by the00:44:07
social democrat Bergenstern And according to another00:44:09
version, the author of this phrases The great prophet of the00:44:12
teacher of the Jewish people Moses00:44:14
because Moses chalked as you know the00:44:17
Jewish people from the house of slavery to the house00:44:18
of Freedom for 40 years and the Roman people came00:44:21
to a land where rivers flow with milk and honey00:44:23
but Moses was not allowed there The Lord God00:44:26
showed him the holy land absolutely mountains the00:44:29
sky or the sky which is located in the00:44:31
Lower Territory of Jordan died and00:44:33
was buried right somewhere next to this00:44:35
mountain or even right on it. By the way, this00:44:37
mountain is also one of the most important00:44:39
figures in the social life of the late 20th century,00:44:42
since it is on this mountain that George00:44:44
Soros, known to everyone,00:44:45
is promoted as enemy00:44:47
of humanity number one department marriage00:44:49
proposal in the approaching00:44:51
Queen of Jordan is normal and almost everything has already stuck00:44:54
together but where their Hochimite family the00:44:56
royal of Jordan00:44:58
was categorically against the Muslim widow of00:45:00
King Hussein marrying a00:45:03
controversial Jew everything went wrong cats00:45:06
when Moses reached the mountain not his and00:45:09
realized that he would not fall into this land,00:45:10
unlike his people, he told the goal00:45:12
not that the movement is all very fond of this phrase on00:45:15
display Putin and perhaps he00:45:16
could declare it with the official slogan00:45:19
the slogan of the special operation. I apologize,00:45:20
there is no slogan because the00:45:22
words are borrowed; the slogan is also the motto, also00:45:24
borrowed Therefore, we still need to think about00:45:26
which one to return here, but there is a00:45:30
Ukrainian word Oslo, here it is, this is a00:45:32
very Slavic word, this is exactly what it00:45:34
means in Ukrainian, a slogan00:45:36
or a slogan, and besides, it has almost the00:45:38
same letters as the word Yes, a slogan is a00:45:41
special operation that the movement is all on February 2400:45:44
anniversary is not something you call it What do you00:45:47
think we will see Russia00:45:49
in another year the same only even more00:45:52
isolated in the coming year nothing00:45:54
qualitative will change due to inertia the00:45:57
same processes will develop00:46:00
everything will be nothing from his own00:46:02
point of view Well, the bunkerization of00:46:04
Russia will intensify in every sense and something to say for00:46:07
several years, at least we have00:46:08
to live with this, but if it weren’t for special operation Z, we00:46:11
would have to live with this for a decade,00:46:12
and therefore, after all, special operation Z00:46:15
accelerated the process of erosion of this type of00:46:16
statehood, which is built00:46:18
largely on a monetocracy of power money and00:46:21
many external internal experts00:46:23
complain that in Russia there are no00:46:24
state institutions in the usual00:46:26
sense of the word, that is, what is00:46:28
called a statute of political sciences,00:46:30
this is really so since the00:46:31
Russian Federation is00:46:33
not a modern state and such an00:46:34
analogue of an organized political00:46:37
group probably would know this word00:46:39
everything else, but with, uh, the apparatus of00:46:42
legitimate violence in their own hands,00:46:44
which a traditional organized00:46:46
criminal group, as a rule, does not00:46:48
possess,00:46:49
you say that if this were a decade,00:46:52
we would have to live with it, but now, how many00:46:56
years do I estimate,00:47:02
Belkovsky00:47:13
[music]00:47:14
[applause]Description:
Подписывайтесь на телеграм-канал RTVI: https://t.me/rtvimain На RTVI Марианна Минскер и политтехнолог и публицист Станислав Белковский обсудили недавнее послание Владимира Путина к Федеральному Собранию. Какой сигнал президент транслировал бизнесу и олигархам? Приостановка участия России в ДНСВ это «последний аргумент» или приглашение к переговорам? Как в России формируется новая военная элита? Зачем Си пытается сменить Эрдогана в миротворческой миссии? И может ли Приднестровье стать новой горячей точкой? Новый мир уже тут: @RTVIchronicles Подписывайтесь на @RTVINews и ставьте лайки! Если хотите отвлечься от новостей, подписывайтесь на наш канал @RTVItainment 00:00 «Вы держитесь». Станислав Белковский 00:53 «Вся жизнь — спецоперация» — о послании Путина 02:54 О реакции зала на выступление президента 05:12 «Без включения печатного станка обойтись не получится» 07:12 Почему выступление Путина держалось в строжайшем секрете? 10:30 Путин надеется на Китай? 10:48 Приостановка участия России в ДНСВ: последний аргумент или приглашение к переговорам? 14:30 Какой сигнал Путин транслировал бизнесу и крупным бизнесменам? 19:01 Как Си заменит Эрдогана в миротворческой миссии? 20:07 Куда метит Абрамович? 21:24 Что будет с Фридманом и Лебедевым, если они вернутся? 22:15 О создании новой военной элиты 25:20 Почему перестали выделять ЧГК «Вагнер» и Кадырова? 26:59 О «предателях» родины и возвращении в 1937 год 28:19 Могут ли ввести смертную казнь в России военным и чиновникам? 30:45 Может ли Приднестровье стать новой горячей точкой? 32:53 «Планы присоединить Беларусь существовали всегда» 33:55 «Самое страшное — технологические санкции» 36:31 Об обращении Байдена к россиянам 40:27 Завидует ли Кремль популярности Зеленского? 41:15 Где и когда может прекратиться конфликт России и Украины? 43:27 О самоизоляции России 45:49 Прогноз Белковского на следующий год
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