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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:04
Ms. Duntsova and Mr. Nadezhdin—were disqualified
from the ballot, we still got one anti-war candidate left.00:00:10
So we can still air our anti-war
views through the voting process.00:00:15
The guy’s name is Vladislav
Davankov, the New People party.00:00:20
He’s now campaigning on a manifestly
anti-war or even anti-Putin platform.00:00:27
Davankov’s campaign talking points are antithetical
to what’s being sold as the new norm, namely,00:00:33
an aggressive and out-of-whack foreign
policy plus repressive legislation.00:00:39
In short, they oppose this disgusting
“beat or get beaten” zero-sum game.00:00:45
Plenty of people are mulling over his
candidacy as that of a Kremlin puppet.00:00:49
Importantly, though, the Kremlin’s plans and
implementation thereof aren’t the same thing.00:00:58
The internet is awash with talk
of a deal each candidate has struck 00:01:03
with the president’s office to follow their script,
fill a specific niche, and target a specific audience.00:01:10
Like, they may not derail the campaign’s overarching
narrative, let alone outshine the protagonist.00:01:16
Except those who are saying it
seem to have spent the previous 25 years00:01:20
in a different country and under a different government.00:01:22
This spurious regime has always observed
its obligations, played by the rules,00:01:27
respected its counterparties,
and held its promises in high regard.00:01:30
If Putin takes on someone in a game of chess,
the opponent will have some security assurances.00:01:40
In the real world, though, a public deal with
Putin can be illustrated by the charred debris00:01:46
of the Embraer jet that carried
the Wagner Group leaders.00:01:50
In Prigozhin’s case, it wasn’t a behind-the-scenes
negotiation that would’ve been anyone’s guess.00:01:56
Far from it, Putin went public to
offer him security assurances.00:02:00
There are more examples that are far less violent.00:02:03
In the 2018 election, presidential hopeful
Pavel Grudinin ran on the Communist Party ticket,00:02:09
as mainstream as it gets.00:02:11
He’d only been nominated because the party’s
chairman Gennady Zyuganov already had00:02:14
a hard time cobbling together a decipherable sentence.00:02:18
The guy could no longer handle the
target audience he was assigned.00:02:23
Pavel Grudinin didn’t stage a memorable campaign.00:02:26
Instead, he was a textbook Communist
Party candidate who lived up to the billing.00:02:31
He breached social inequality and the retirees’
plight, berated the crazy officials and MPs,00:02:36
advocated for the workers, and exposed
regional violations of the socialist world order.00:02:43
He was a spitting image of Gennady
Zyuganov and followed the script to the letter.00:02:48
But in the end, something went wrong.00:02:50
Maybe it was his charisma and his vibe of a
tough agrarian who didn’t mince his words.00:02:54
Maybe it was the effect of a fresh candidate
who replaced the old robotic Commie candidate.00:02:59
Anyway, the president’s office must’ve seen
Grudinin’s numbers soaring, and went,00:03:05
“Whoa! That’s not the way it’s supposed to be.”00:03:07
He was expected to be a Kremlin
stooge, not an active player.00:03:12
Remarkably, the same clique of talking heads
who had been previously attacking Navalny turned00:03:17
their sights toward Grudinin and unleashed
a smear campaign like there was no tomorrow.00:03:21
It looked as though he hadn’t been pushed
onto the ballot by the president’s office00:03:24
to entertain the crowd and
ramp up voter turnout numbers.00:03:27
It looked as though he’d been a random
extremist who’d slithered his way onto the ballot.00:03:31
They didn’t stop there. Following the election, Grudinin
was bashed further and kicked out of the public eye.00:03:40
Six years on, he’s barely made a
single public appearance ever since.00:03:45
Mind you, he finished runner-up in what looked
like a landslide over the third-place Zhirinovsky.00:03:50
The guy was publicly obliterated.
Thank goodness, he stayed out of jail.00:03:55
Needless to say, no one could make it onto the
2024 ballot without the president’s office’s approval,00:04:00
without a script, or without a pair
of cramping shoes they were to fill.00:04:06
Seeing as Yekaterina Duntsova
was deemed a threat and barred00:04:10
from gathering the signatures and
Boris Nadezhdin was kicked off the ballot,00:04:14
it looks like the system
can no longer afford an experiment.00:04:19
But their approval and their deals aside,
it’s still not going to be a slamdunk.00:04:24
Chances are, you can only negotiate
with the system looking for reciprocity00:04:28
if your battle tanks are within striking
distance of Moscow and as long as they are there.00:04:33
There appears to be no other way to have your
counterparty hold up their end of the bargain.00:04:39
VLADISLAV DAVANKOV’S ROLE00:04:43
Davankov was assigned the
same role his political party was.00:04:47
His job is to target urban middle-class citizens who
mostly oppose the war and all of the current policies.00:04:54
Overall, everything he says
seems to fit his predetermined role.00:04:59
However, those who ushered him onto the
ballot may easily change their minds in a heartbeat.00:05:05
They may conclude he’s gone too
far and begun doing his own thing.00:05:11
And if things go south, he won’t be able to cite
his heart-to-hearts with the president’s office in court.00:05:15
That’s you never underestimate a
presidential hopeful with an anti-war agenda.00:05:19
It doesn’t matter if he’s dancing
around it. It’s still a high-risk situation.00:05:24
As long as the system believes there’s total
public support of this war against a precious00:05:30
few anti-war voters, Davankov may feel safe.00:05:35
But the system won’t indulge in
wishful thinking for too long.00:05:38
There’ll come a point where they’ll
figure out that Davankov’s stance strikes00:05:43
a chord with millions of people,
and not just with a handful of Moscow hipsters.00:05:47
Davankov’s track record in politics is in no way spotless.00:05:51
He’s a current MP, and the Kremlin
spin doctors are keeping a watchful eye00:05:56
on all of the 450 occupants of the State
Duma quarters to make sure none of them has00:06:00
a side gig on their own terms.00:06:02
They make sure no one with a pinch of legitimacy
and formal power under their belt could one day00:06:08
distance themselves from the rest of
the pack and go, “I was only proposing bills00:06:13
on children’s healthcare.
The rest of it was forced upon me.”00:06:17
Anyone with a fair track record and a formal
job title is a shoo-in for an interim government role00:06:22
in the event of a coup.00:06:24
They can go on the record, saying, “Listen up, folks!00:06:27
Just do what I say because I
was an elected representative and used00:06:30
the power I had to effect change.”00:06:32
From the system’s perspective, there’s
no one more dangerous than people00:06:36
who somehow think they
depend on their voters, work for them,00:06:39
and do their job because they were
voted in, and not on the big bosses’ whim.00:06:46
These guys typically face the fate of Governor Furgal.00:06:50
Over the past 25 years, the State Duma has been
super-proficient at implicating every single member00:06:56
in its dirty deeds.00:06:58
They even use the term “mass grave” to denote a
particularly unsavory bill everyone must sign.00:07:06
Mind you, not just vote for it but support the proposal.00:07:10
The most conspicuous example
was the Dima Yakovlev anti-adoption bill00:07:14
where the proponents’ list almost
equaled the total number of MPs.00:07:16
Whenever they’re reviewing an
arcane industry-specific bill,00:07:18
like changes to the excise tax rates or to the
umpteenth clause of the oil production regulations,00:07:24
United Russia uses its constitutional majority to pass it.00:07:30
They don’t need anyone
else. It’s just about the procedure.00:07:35
But when it comes to the annexation
of the occupied provinces,00:07:38
the ban on the gender transition, or a
suite of the most wicked repressive bills,00:07:42
it goes beyond the formal procedure.00:07:45
The laundry list of abominations
must be part of every MP’s resume.00:07:51
I’m not saying we should empathize with these
poor legislative sufferers eroding the fundamentals00:07:56
of law and human rights and
wrecking millions of people’s lives.00:08:00
It’s the State Duma’s eighth
convocation, six of them on Putin’s watch.00:08:03
The present-day MPs didn’t
suddenly find themselves screwed.00:08:08
They knew what they were doing all along.00:08:10
They knew their higher-ups and the
duties they’d be performing in exchange00:08:14
for hefty paychecks, privileges,
benefits, status, and corruption avenues.00:08:18
What I’m saying is, there’s no point
scrutinizing Davankov’s stint as an MP.00:08:24
Just get this: there’s no Vladislav
Davankov as a standalone figure.00:08:30
WHAT ARE WE ENDORSING?00:08:35
It’s not about electing a State Duma
time-server as Russia’s president or changing00:08:39
the leadership following this vote.00:08:43
We’ve just got a candidate with an anti-war agenda.00:08:49
It’s just the name on the ballot
encapsulating a clear political statement.00:08:54
All we need to know about Davankov
can be found in his campaign materials.00:08:59
We’re voting for peace, the revocation of the
repressive laws, and the renormalization of our country.00:09:05
The mass voting for these simple
slogans is going to put a major strain on the system00:09:10
that convinced itself all of
Putin’s rivals were jailed, ousted, or killed.00:09:16
Putting a strain on it is exactly what we’re striving for.00:09:21
There’s a reason Putin keeps trotting
out his self-empowering affirmations00:09:25
whereby the “absolute majority” of Russians
support the war and himself personally,00:09:29
which is, at this point, pretty much the same.00:09:30
Why would he be yakking on about it if everyone
indeed backed him? Who’s the target audience?00:09:35
Is it the tiny minority?00:09:38
Clearly, he’s talking to the elites.00:09:41
It’s these guys who are constantly looking
for a time where treason equals foresight.00:09:48
It’s these guys who should be convinced Putin’s in
control, there’s no dithering, and he won’t be dethroned.00:09:57
The repression campaign against
the celebs had the same purpose.00:10:00
Prior to that, they were just
expected to stay on the sidelines.00:10:04
Now, they must start applauding
the regime and rooting for it.00:10:07
Anyone who could’ve been infected with dissenting
ideas, especially those who have the money,00:10:12
control law enforcement, or wield some power,
is supposed to realize they’re the outsiders.00:10:20
They won’t have allies, and any plot is doomed.00:10:25
I’m not saying the official results of the election
will have anything to do with the real outcome.00:10:30
The system did its utmost to ensure
the virtual vote of the virtual voters,00:10:35
taking advantage of e-voting and the occupied
provinces with lists of millions of fictional voters.00:10:42
But don’t make a mistake thinking the
paper-based ballots cast by the real people00:10:47
in favor of the anti-war candidate can’t be counted.00:10:50
It won’t be feasible nationwide.00:10:52
But the major cities tend to have more
election monitors and less electoral fraud,00:10:58
and that’s where we’ll find
out about the way things stand.00:11:02
Clearly, Putin will rack up his
99.9% of the vote in Chechnya.00:11:06
Of course, the entire fictional
population of Kherson that’s still registered00:11:11
as a Russian city will vote for Putin. But it’s immaterial.00:11:18
Past elections show us that the real results
become public knowledge, like it or lump it.00:11:23
In the 2020 Belarusian election, the vote
count records were physically destroyed.00:11:29
But everyone knew for a fact that Lukashenko
hadn’t come close to winning 80% of the vote.00:11:34
They knew Tsikhanouskaya was the winner.00:11:37
We're still a country mile away from
racking up Tsikhanouskaya’s numbers.00:11:42
What we’re capable of, though, is ramping up the
numbers for the Anti-War Candidate who happens00:11:47
to be Vladislav Davankov so that
it’ll be clear that there’s no public consensus.00:11:55
The system knows we can do it. If they didn’t, they
wouldn’t have shoved away the potential hopefuls.00:12:08
They wouldn’t have feared that a journalist from
Russia’s heartland could gather 300,000 signatures.00:12:12
or that a boring liberal with 30 years of
experience in politics would be a serious challenger.00:12:18
Sergei Mironov has already called for
Davankov to be kicked off the ballot:00:12:23
“Davankov seeks to be a ‘peace-maker.’00:12:26
He wants the sons, the fathers, and the
husbands to reunite with their families.00:12:30
He’s alone in his fight against the dimwitted
hawks, some ‘politicians from the past.’00:12:35
That’s not what the country needs now.”
And he got a quick rebuttal:00:12:40
“The trouble with Russian politics is
the willingness to go with the flow.”00:12:45
The system knows it’s faking the
consensus that doesn’t exist.00:12:50
They realize the truth may
start gushing out at any moment,00:12:54
and that’s where the regime may at least take a hit.00:12:57
The worst thing we can do now
is start scrutinizing Davankov’s past.00:13:04
People will be frowning upon our choice and going,
“Why the hell are you voting for this SOB?”00:13:10
They’ll employ the same technique that was
used to question the Smart Voting system00:13:14
where they went, “How come you’re voting for
Stalin fans and murderers in a bid to oppose00:13:20
United Russia and thieves?
Are you nuts? Do you want another Great Purge?”00:13:25
This discourse only seeks to
divide the opposition and make us forget00:13:30
what we were looking for in the first place.00:13:33
Our job is to show how many people
are poised to rail against Putin and the war00:13:40
and how many want the country to get back to normal.
We must show that “normal” is a thing.00:13:47
It’s important to realize that Davankov
only exists as a name on the ballot.00:13:51
His platform says no to the war, the repressive
laws, and the government snitches like Mizulina.00:13:57
It claims we need to be a normal country again. That’s
what we’re saying, too. And that’s what we’re voting for.00:14:06
I know a lot of people are worried.00:14:07
Like, we’ll bring him plenty of votes, but then he’ll
turn against the liberals and seek war with Europe.00:14:15
That’s a possibility. The system has an ample toolset
to make any individual look like a public disgrace.00:14:22
Too bad. We’ll be sorry for Davankov, but how is
it going to change anything for us politics-wise?00:14:28
We aren’t voting for Davankov as a human being.00:14:30
We aren’t putting our trust in him, hoping that
from there on out, he’ll be representing us.00:14:35
We’re voting for his platform. We’re
voting for peace and for renormalization.00:14:41
Is Vladislav Davankov a product
of the president’s office? Absolutely.00:14:46
There’s no two ways about it. But our activity
of the past 12 years has always succeeded00:14:55
in turning the tables on the Kremlin strategists’ fantasies.00:14:59
The officials were anxious to ban everyone they deemed
to be the anti-establishment and anti-war candidates.00:15:05
So, let’s vote for the establishment guy then and make
this government machine trip over its own product.00:15:13
Is it possible he’ll then be ordered to go to the
Donbas with an apology tour? It is.00:15:18
But we aren’t committing to him. He’s not even our
candidate. He’s not looking to win the presidency.00:15:26
He’s merely a name next to a box on the
ballot, standing for some reasonable things.00:15:31
So, Davankov is a good option for a “f__k you” vote
addressed to Putin and the current state of his system.00:15:41
To some, it may seem gullible, but that’s effectively what
we’ve been doing over the years. And we had success.00:15:49
Let’s try one more time.00:15:51
I’ll vote for Davankov, and I want you to do the same. 00:15:54
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