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Download "Ходорковский, Пастухов, Дымарский о войне на территории России в 2023 | Дорожная карта"

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Table of contents
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Table of contents

0:00
Тизер
0:35
Дымарский: Война оттенила экономику
3:59
Пастухов про новогоднее обращение Путина и Голубой огонек
10:05
Ходорковский: Россияне активно финансировали ВСУ
14:06
Ходорковский про погибших в Макеевке
18:08
Ходорковский: По экономике России нанесен колоссальный удар
24:45
Пастухов: Помогут ли санкции свергнуть Путина?
29:22
Пастухов: Война будет всё больше идти на территории России
35:25
Пастухов об опыте 1905-1917 годах и антипутинском патриотизме
41:40
Ходорковский: Сможет ли Путин арестовать Пригожина?
49:45
Конфликт Пригожина и Беглова
52:10
Ходорковский: Теперь есть две колонны оппозиции
55:58
Пастухов: Путин не может включать и отключать войну
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Video tags
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Video tags

Блог Ходорковского
Михаил Ходорковский
Ходорковский
МБХ
Экономика
Политика
Новости
Оппозиция
Россия
Москва
Кремль
Владимир Путин
Путин
дымарский
виталий дымарский
пастухов
владимир пастухов
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Subtitles

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  • ruRussian
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00:00:02
23, it
00:00:04
will happen more and more on the territory of
00:00:06
Russia Putin has dealt a mortal blow to the
00:00:10
future of our children, the regime will be measured by
00:00:13
its ability to give victory to the masses, the
00:00:17
real trouble will begin this year,
00:00:21
explosive growth outside of systemic patriotism
00:00:25
And these guys can just come kill
00:00:28
gloomy forecast you have
00:00:36
good afternoon Hello This is the program
00:00:38
road map Mikhail Khodorkovsky
00:00:41
Vladimir Pastukhov permanent experts of
00:00:43
the program I am constantly presenter of
00:00:45
the program Vitaly Dymarsky and today is the
00:00:49
1st of January days we will talk about
00:00:54
what we will talk about you see a Christmas tree in the back
00:00:56
at least somehow at least
00:00:58
hint at the fact that we have a new year and
00:01:02
apparently the new year will at least be the first
00:01:04
topic of our conversation today,
00:01:07
by the way,
00:01:10
regardless of the attitude towards this person
00:01:14
and the policy that he pursues, after
00:01:16
all,
00:01:17
Russian citizens listen to strangers on the New Year
00:01:21
the president will say,
00:01:24
and this time the
00:01:28
president
00:01:29
without a Christmas tree, by the way, was not like you and I
00:01:35
lived with a Christmas tree from military sources and Judging by the fact
00:01:40
that he, first of all, he didn’t
00:01:43
Summing up some results for 22 years, somehow
00:01:47
we didn’t hear anything positive Well, I
00:01:50
in any case, I didn’t hear But
00:01:52
as for 23, war is war war, that
00:01:57
is, exclude such military content for
00:01:59
23. Tell me please, this is
00:02:03
what I’m asking you
00:02:06
[music] do
00:02:07
you think
00:02:09
this forecast is
00:02:11
real and correct, nothing awaits us
00:02:14
except war in 23 and I would still
00:02:18
like to expand this conversation
00:02:21
at the expense of what else, at the expense of other
00:02:25
aspects of this whole situation,
00:02:30
first of all, even Mikhail Borisovich I
00:02:32
asked for some reason they stopped talking
00:02:34
about the economic situation, for example,
00:02:36
everyone all rushed to the front what there,
00:02:40
although they are going there As Judging because
00:02:43
they receive some information that
00:02:45
can be more or less believed, there are a lot of victims, a
00:02:48
lot of blood, a lot of
00:02:52
shooting, but little progress in
00:02:56
either direction,
00:03:00
but let’s do it then, after all, I
00:03:05
said a lot at once let's start with the
00:03:07
military content of 23 years,
00:03:12
there will be war
00:03:15
all year throughout the whole year, you shouldn't
00:03:19
wait, but at least some
00:03:23
hint of the end of this war that time I
00:03:26
started so now
00:03:31
I
00:03:32
started I have to do with such things every time
00:03:46
cases, there is an absolutely
00:03:49
objective explanation with which
00:03:51
it is possible to argue alphabetically,
00:03:55
so there are already two of you. Well, first of all, I want to
00:04:00
say that I am in my environment.
00:04:02
Here, even a small
00:04:06
Russian-speaking community in the south of Italy,
00:04:10
in my opinion, is the only person who
00:04:13
watched a significant part of the New Year's
00:04:15
light and
00:04:17
even how much we Awareness Putin’s
00:04:21
speech with congratulations did not turn off, they
00:04:26
told me everything that I was a masochist, said
00:04:29
that I simply chose a profession poorly
00:04:32
and I must say that what
00:04:35
impressed me was not at all
00:04:39
what impressed other people because I
00:04:42
then read them about this woman
00:04:44
who will be a buhtechitsa everywhere then the
00:04:48
military then the security guard it’s still not
00:04:51
clear who it’s all clear
00:04:54
two
00:04:55
things that sunk into the soul
00:05:00
the first static
00:05:02
faces that stood in the background were
00:05:05
so motionless that at some
00:05:08
point I thought it was just a
00:05:10
screensaver in the form of military men behind the screen then
00:05:14
one read his nose I I realized that after all,
00:05:16
something was moving there,
00:05:18
that is, to be honest, I’m not a big
00:05:21
supporter of the Lambrus theory, which can
00:05:23
determine the
00:05:25
criminal inclinations of a person by his
00:05:27
face, it always confused me because the
00:05:31
earlier era can be determined one hundred
00:05:33
percent, that is, to be honest, here’s
00:05:37
the picture these average
00:05:40
Russian faces on the screen are simply
00:05:42
impressive. That is, what stood behind
00:05:45
Putin made a much more impression on me
00:05:46
than, strictly speaking, what
00:05:50
enlivened this landscape; the
00:05:52
second is the
00:05:56
dynamic contrast. That is, if we ignore
00:06:00
this strange military show, it was
00:06:03
the most ordinary, very vulgar
00:06:07
s a very second-rate series of performers
00:06:12
in which Leps was really a
00:06:15
superstar, we find everyone else but
00:06:19
normal Blue Light, which is
00:06:21
not there at all, there was not just a war, there
00:06:24
was no hint of war, that is, it was
00:06:27
normal pop music that could have happened
00:06:29
in
00:06:30
2023 2002 to 2003
00:06:35
81 to 82
00:06:38
It was an absolute concert in which,
00:06:42
as a matter of fact, I didn’t
00:06:45
even hear a mention at all
00:06:47
and Here people are sitting relaxed cutting
00:06:51
their Olivier
00:06:55
literally for a second
00:06:57
Give some hint of war here in
00:07:01
the light
00:07:02
in that there was no Pugacheva there was no
00:07:08
method of exceptions This is clear to those who know
00:07:11
the rest
00:07:16
Now I’ll tell you, that is,
00:07:19
from the fact that it was so
00:07:21
relaxed and suddenly, against the backdrop of
00:07:25
this complete relaxation, where in general, that
00:07:28
is, it’s not clear that there are under a million
00:07:30
people, somewhere in the mud, something weighs,
00:07:32
listen, the remaining 139 million are
00:07:36
not at all concerns they live their lives They
00:07:39
listen to this tra-la
00:07:41
glucose there and everything else And suddenly a
00:07:47
break in the pattern appears, this is a terrible picture of a
00:07:50
distorted motionless face against the background of even
00:07:53
more motionless faces and begins to
00:07:55
talk about the war,
00:07:56
this is the most powerful cookie
00:07:59
because This speaks of that they are now in
00:08:02
transit time and I’m afraid that
00:08:06
2023 is the first prediction, this
00:08:10
will be the year of the end of the transit, this will be
00:08:13
the year of the end of the transit from, as it were, a war,
00:08:18
in fact, Well, yes, there
00:08:22
will be war everywhere, this year it will take
00:08:25
for the war became everywhere
00:08:28
because this is what it was until now,
00:08:32
this war was everywhere only for Ukraine
00:08:36
and for Russia it was like a war, so I
00:08:40
wrote somewhere it was a war like a TV
00:08:43
marathon
00:08:45
like this, as if on a sad topic,
00:08:47
funny
00:08:49
we are collecting money in the benefit of those who died there,
00:08:52
catastrophes, but at the same time, kind of funny
00:08:56
good songs,
00:08:58
this war is like a TV marathon from my
00:09:01
point of view. This kind of war in 2023
00:09:06
will end for Russia
00:09:08
and just a war will begin,
00:09:12
and as for everyone who left. Well, I’m
00:09:16
thinking about the fact that in general,
00:09:18
of course not I probably
00:09:21
don’t have any organizational resources or financial resources, but because
00:09:24
just like I left, I think that in 2024 we
00:09:28
need to prepare an
00:09:31
alternative country with a Blue Light
00:09:36
with a
00:09:38
different message from other people, that is,
00:09:42
we need to start living in an alternative
00:09:45
Russia,
00:09:46
this can’t be fixed.
00:09:49
And there will probably be much more important
00:09:53
interesting ones people are
00:09:55
just for starters, that is, here is my
00:09:58
forecast war Not foreva but war everywhere
00:10:03
evrila
00:10:06
I won’t believe that you watched Blue
00:10:09
Light
00:10:15
withstand Yes, I was not able to,
00:10:18
it should be noted that watching Putin’s all
00:10:23
speeches
00:10:24
I also was not able to, that is, so
00:10:28
I started watch then I saw that
00:10:31
it would last 15 minutes, but I was already watching
00:10:34
the recording and decided that I was
00:10:38
this endless chewing of the same
00:10:41
gum
00:10:42
about how we will defeat everyone and how
00:10:46
important it is and how all the other traitors
00:10:49
and enemies are. Damn, I’m already me this is no longer
00:10:53
able to listen. Well,
00:10:55
we see a person who, out of
00:10:59
nowhere, created
00:11:02
I don’t know,
00:11:05
out of nowhere,
00:11:10
today we can speak with full
00:11:13
confidence of hundreds of thousands of people,
00:11:15
and this man comes out on the screen,
00:11:18
surrounded by his guards, even on the screen
00:11:22
and begins mutter for 15 minutes on New Year's Eve
00:11:26
about how he correctly staged this
00:11:29
massacre. Damn, I don't know, I have some kind
00:11:32
of feeling like listening to Chikatilo's last word, I did
00:11:38
n't have the nerves, I
00:11:42
just decided not to spoil my
00:11:45
New Year's mood and passed out, I agree Why did
00:11:50
people in Russia very slowly
00:11:53
realize that there was actually a war going on,
00:11:57
of course not for everyone, a significant
00:11:59
number of people, a huge number of
00:12:01
people who understood this directly on the 24th were horrified and
00:12:05
began to take some steps to
00:12:10
protect themselves and their loved ones. And some
00:12:13
people They even began to take, in general, much
00:12:16
more serious steps to help
00:12:18
Ukraine. You and I should not
00:12:23
underestimate the fact that, in general, not small,
00:12:27
given the existing realities, the flow of
00:12:30
funds that went at that moment, while
00:12:33
it was still possible, in favor of the
00:12:37
armed forces of Ukraine from Russia.
00:12:39
They are just money.
00:12:42
people came later who began to leave people
00:12:46
who began to leave even before mobilization
00:12:50
or realizing that they personally were
00:12:53
not threatened by mobilization at all, they simply did not want to
00:12:56
work for this regime, this is very important, and
00:12:59
me and my colleagues
00:13:02
in our projects Here is the dawn and the Ark we
00:13:06
help these people simply because we
00:13:09
believe that, well, these are very worthy people,
00:13:13
that is,
00:13:14
it is clear that any person leaving
00:13:18
Russia loses a lot in at
00:13:21
least social status, not to mention the fact
00:13:24
that people also lose in
00:13:27
property status very many very
00:13:29
many people just they are leaving for nowhere,
00:13:32
but these are very worthy people and it’s an
00:13:35
honor for me personally to help them; another
00:13:39
thing is that
00:13:42
the opportunities are limited, but
00:13:46
let’s hope that over time
00:13:51
the diaspora of normal Russians outside
00:13:54
Russia will be more influential in this sense
00:13:59
and we will be able to provide broader assistance.
00:14:05
If we talk about these blue
00:14:09
lights and everything else, it’s clear that
00:14:13
some of them were recorded before December 31,
00:14:16
but some were broadcast live. Well, in
00:14:20
any case, of course, it all
00:14:22
looked absolutely terrible against the backdrop of the events in
00:14:27
which hundreds of mobilized people simply died, no matter how
00:14:31
we belonged to the
00:14:34
fact that these people
00:14:36
crossed the
00:14:40
border of the
00:14:42
independent
00:14:44
state of Ukraine with arms in their hands. Well, nevertheless, these are
00:14:47
citizens of Russia, these are nevertheless those people
00:14:50
who, in general, did not go there completely
00:14:54
voluntarily, and
00:14:57
so they simply died, they died and
00:15:00
died
00:15:02
not only because the
00:15:05
fact that
00:15:08
Ukraine effectively used
00:15:11
American weapons, but also because
00:15:15
their leadership simply
00:15:18
turned out to be stupid freaks, just stupid
00:15:22
freaks. Or maybe it’s good that they
00:15:26
turned out to be stupid freaks, fewer people will die who are
00:15:30
not involved, who
00:15:34
otherwise would have been killed in Ukraine more, but
00:15:38
we We must
00:15:40
also think about our fellow citizens,
00:15:44
and now we can
00:15:47
say for sure that if it weren’t for
00:15:51
Putin’s aggressive war against Ukraine.
00:15:54
And if
00:15:57
someone really attacked Russia, then with these stupid
00:16:00
freaks it would be possible, but I don’t know
00:16:05
the naval war because to fight is an
00:16:08
army that
00:16:10
has been fed for decades
00:16:15
by transferring it, in general. Well, it’s like there’s
00:16:19
absolutely no extra money that you
00:16:22
could go to us for the needs of
00:16:26
healthcare, education, and so on,
00:16:29
so the army can’t fight from
00:16:32
it is headed by stupid freaks So
00:16:37
[music]
00:16:41
and this is what we all watched and the
00:16:45
Ukrainians showed us this once again on New Year’s
00:16:50
Eve what will happen in 23 is that the
00:16:56
Awareness of
00:16:59
this war being waged at the
00:17:03
command of
00:17:05
one person who has become a maniac I’m
00:17:08
just like that
00:17:11
Unfortunately, I
00:17:13
have to say that the president of my
00:17:18
country has become just a bloody maniac,
00:17:21
it happens that these people
00:17:25
will realize this from the
00:17:29
death of their loved ones to the deterioration of the
00:17:33
lives of all Russians. Well, this is the price
00:17:37
that we will pay, we, our children,
00:17:43
our grandchildren will pay for the fact that at
00:17:46
one time we did not have enough
00:17:47
strength to stop all this,
00:17:53
now again the question is
00:17:58
in order to move from military
00:18:02
issues to them. Let’s return to
00:18:05
what I said at the beginning as
00:18:07
economic, among other things.
00:18:09
As we, in fact, and the Kremlin
00:18:12
declares, there is an economic war
00:18:14
in addition in addition to the war
00:18:20
directly on the battlefield
00:18:22
[music]
00:18:23
Well, maybe you know how it’s probably not very
00:18:27
noticeable to a resident of a large
00:18:30
Russian city.
00:18:32
But in this war it’s somehow
00:18:35
unexpected for me. I think that for
00:18:38
many, unexpectedly,
00:18:39
Russia somehow withstands these
00:18:43
sanctions, these, these, this pressure is that
00:18:46
due to the fact that
00:18:48
our economy is run not by freaks
00:18:52
like the army, but still by
00:18:54
professional people during the Second
00:18:58
World War, the
00:18:59
Soviet Union, the economy of the Soviet
00:19:02
Union continued to exist, having lost
00:19:06
approximately
00:19:09
half of its industrial potential by the end of forty-one,
00:19:12
that is, Russia is huge country and
00:19:17
when we talk about the economy,
00:19:19
size certainly matters here,
00:19:22
and I personally did not expect that any
00:19:25
sanctions would
00:19:28
have a dramatic immediate
00:19:32
impact on the situation. The situation in the country,
00:19:36
however, of course sanctions have an
00:19:38
impact on what is happening. We are already
00:19:41
now We see that there are
00:19:46
already problems with the production of high-precision weapons
00:19:49
and, in general, these problems will
00:19:51
grow. We understand that in
00:19:53
the medium term, of course, the
00:19:56
Russian economy has suffered a
00:19:59
catastrophic blow and those 25 or 30
00:20:04
million
00:20:06
high-paying jobs that
00:20:08
Putin said at the beginning of his
00:20:10
presidential career will never again
00:20:14
case during our lifetime
00:20:16
in Russia it simply never arose. There is
00:20:21
such a word when I say that they will
00:20:23
never arise in our lifetime, this
00:20:25
means that our children in Russia will never
00:20:29
in their lives be able to get
00:20:34
qualified, highly paid
00:20:38
professional work Well, simply
00:20:40
because by the time when God willing, this will
00:20:43
all end,
00:20:46
even our children will already be too
00:20:50
old for them to be able to
00:20:53
take advantage of this situation, grandchildren.
00:20:55
Maybe, but you understand, Putin
00:20:59
dealt a fatal blow to the future of our
00:21:03
children.
00:21:05
If we talk about the
00:21:08
immediate and rapid
00:21:11
sufficient impact of sanctions, then
00:21:14
as you remember in the end Last year,
00:21:17
several sanctions measures were taken
00:21:20
in relation to Russian oil;
00:21:23
firstly, it was the Blockade, that is, the refusal of the
00:21:27
West to purchase Russian oil;
00:21:30
secondly, it was the installation of a
00:21:34
price ceiling;
00:21:36
today we can
00:21:39
say with confidence that the
00:21:43
general situation on the market for Russian
00:21:47
oil unfavorable things have developed as a result of this, I
00:21:49
listen with surprise to
00:21:52
some
00:21:54
respected experts who say that the
00:21:57
price ceiling worked No, of course the
00:21:59
price ceiling didn’t work, it couldn’t
00:22:01
have worked, this is absolutely
00:22:03
socialist idiotic In my opinion, a
00:22:06
measure that only
00:22:09
socialist governments could
00:22:11
come up with, I don’t know what the reason for them
00:22:14
accepted
00:22:15
[music] by
00:22:17
fairly qualified specialists
00:22:22
and from
00:22:25
Western countries. Well, I just think that
00:22:28
maybe politicians didn’t hear them. But the fact
00:22:30
that the Blockade of the premium market
00:22:33
had a very serious impact on the
00:22:38
ability of Russian companies
00:22:40
to sell oil is without any doubt,
00:22:43
that is, the discounts that were on
00:22:45
Russian oil before that, at least they
00:22:51
have now remained the same, but against the
00:22:54
backdrop of a warm winter, against the backdrop of the fact that
00:22:57
energy consumption in the world in the
00:23:01
winter did not increase as it
00:23:03
could have increased if the winter had not been
00:23:05
warm, then as a result, oil prices
00:23:09
went down and during in any case, they are not growing
00:23:12
And the margin on
00:23:15
Russian discount on Russian oil
00:23:19
has remained quite high and as a
00:23:21
result it
00:23:22
turns out Well, firstly, it is lower
00:23:26
simply due to market conditions, lower than the
00:23:29
price ceiling that was established
00:23:31
And secondly, it in total as a result
00:23:34
turns out to be lower than the cost of
00:23:36
production of this oil in Russia, but that’s not
00:23:39
so
00:23:40
bad for the Russian economy, the
00:23:43
real trouble will begin this year.
00:23:47
When the
00:23:49
second element of the blockade comes into effect, this is a
00:23:54
refusal to purchase Russian
00:23:56
petroleum products; taking Russian
00:23:59
petroleum products outside the European
00:24:01
premium market is a damn disaster in general
00:24:05
from the point of view of transport costs,
00:24:07
I think that
00:24:15
extremely difficult times await the Russian oil industry and, accordingly, the Russian federal budgets
00:24:18
Vladimir Boris And you, as a person,
00:24:22
as I understand it, you are not a professional
00:24:25
economist, but you What do you expect from the economy,
00:24:27
if anything at all, it will begin now
00:24:31
and then I will return a little to the question of what I
00:24:34
expect in general from this year
00:24:39
from the point of view of the
00:24:41
military political situation,
00:24:44
but here there is one detail that everyone
00:24:48
must keep in mind for some reason
00:24:51
in the
00:24:54
mass consciousness the
00:24:56
goal of economic sanctions against
00:24:58
Russia is the
00:25:01
overthrow of the Putin regime,
00:25:04
everyone expects the goal of
00:25:08
economic sanctions should be a sharp
00:25:11
deterioration in the quality of life in Russia the
00:25:15
sacred masses of the people will rise up and
00:25:19
realize the destructiveness of the war and the regimes
00:25:22
that were unleashed and this regime is some
00:25:26
kind of strange mess in people’s heads
00:25:29
that has nothing to do with
00:25:31
reality
00:25:33
and sanctions are adopted from my point of
00:25:36
view for two reasons, the
00:25:40
first reason is reactive, they are
00:25:42
adopted simply because something
00:25:44
must be done
00:25:47
aimlessly because from the point of view of a
00:25:50
normal world order, if there is
00:25:55
some kind of criminal action and
00:25:58
declaring war on another state,
00:26:01
aggression is certainly an
00:26:03
international crime, then it must be
00:26:06
somehow responded to, punished, that is,
00:26:10
in this sense, as Pushkin wrote, the purpose of
00:26:13
poetry is poetry A the purpose of the sanction, the sanction of the
00:26:17
world, is rather moral, in this
00:26:20
way we demonstrate that we
00:26:23
can do at least something,
00:26:25
and secondly, if the rational component of the
00:26:28
actual purpose of the sanction is to restrain the
00:26:33
growth
00:26:36
and difficulty of this very ability
00:26:38
to wage an aggressive war
00:26:41
and this goal the sanctions achieve, that is,
00:26:45
they do not achieve that the goals that we
00:26:47
thought of there like But two more or three
00:26:51
sanctions and will begin in Russia have
00:26:56
never been set, but they achieve the goal of
00:26:59
making it difficult to maneuver
00:27:02
resources they suffer the goal of
00:27:05
freezing the technological
00:27:07
gap they achieve the goal of
00:27:13
increasing the rate of economic growth, which does
00:27:16
not make it possible
00:27:17
to re-adjust it first of all for military purposes, from a point of view,
00:27:22
sanctions are of a purely
00:27:24
utilitarian nature and
00:27:27
they achieve this utilitarian nature. They slow down the
00:27:29
development of Russia, complicate
00:27:31
maneuvers resources in the body of the war proposal,
00:27:34
and as for the Revolution, that is,
00:27:37
canonical from my point of view, the work of
00:27:38
Yuri Pivovarov, who showed that
00:27:42
even in general after such a difficult
00:27:45
ordeal as the
00:27:47
First World War, the
00:27:50
decline in production in Russia was not
00:27:53
so significant. As could be
00:27:54
expected, the
00:27:55
greatest uprising riots were in those
00:27:58
provinces in which the
00:28:02
relative profitability of peasant
00:28:04
farms fell by some insignificant
00:28:07
percentage.
00:28:08
But it was precisely where the decline itself
00:28:12
was the smallest that was greatest
00:28:13
the number of arson attacks on
00:28:15
noble estates is greater than such microbes.
00:28:18
This suggests that the revolution is
00:28:20
not happening because
00:28:23
someone is getting poorer, but because
00:28:27
some other
00:28:30
moral and political
00:28:32
gaps are working, that is, the level of accumulation of
00:28:34
hatred, let’s say, in society is growing and
00:28:37
goes beyond some limits beyond
00:28:40
which society cannot count
00:28:41
open civil war begins,
00:28:43
this happens in principle without any
00:28:47
connection with the economy. Of course there
00:28:49
is some kind of reduction
00:28:55
in life, it is necessary, but this is not a trigger,
00:28:58
only one of the conditions. Therefore, I think
00:29:00
that everything that will happen in Russia
00:29:03
It will happen outside of this
00:29:06
direct connection like from unemployment, so much so that
00:29:12
real wages have increased in percent, so they have
00:29:15
fallen, so we have laid down the whole formula, we have
00:29:17
calculated that there is a Russian Revolution, no,
00:29:19
this will not happen at all, so
00:29:20
here I believe that the
00:29:23
economy is going its own way, life is going
00:29:27
its own way way and it will depend most of
00:29:30
all on one factor, as I believe
00:29:33
this year this factor will be
00:29:38
and now from the next
00:29:42
public opinion the
00:29:44
mass perception of, let’s say,
00:29:47
the success or failure of this regime
00:29:50
in achieving its own stated
00:29:53
national goals, paradoxically,
00:29:56
the regime will be measured by its own the regime
00:30:00
will be measured by the yardstick, you mean for military
00:30:03
purposes,
00:30:04
the regime will be measured by its ability
00:30:08
to give victory to the masses, and here for
00:30:12
this year it is a very interesting year
00:30:16
of self-determination
00:30:18
because
00:30:20
for Putin now there is a very
00:30:23
difficult fork in the road
00:30:26
in terms of his comfort zone, as always it is
00:30:30
beneficial for him to stay at what he has achieved and
00:30:35
he doesn’t change anything at all, he’s the classic hero of this
00:30:39
Gogol fairy tale about two generals
00:30:43
who seemed to sit and always dream of
00:30:45
changing everything around him, it doesn’t
00:30:47
change anything at every stage where he
00:30:51
will stay, it’s good
00:30:52
to change everything like that, it doesn’t change anything That’s him now
00:30:55
is satisfied with an eternal war,
00:30:57
here is an eternal war, this is such an extremely
00:31:00
comfortable state for the Russian government
00:31:03
today, in fact, today
00:31:05
Surkov’s ideal has been realized
00:31:07
that while the war is going on, no one asks
00:31:10
any unnecessary questions, no one
00:31:13
asks who is pressing for military
00:31:15
contracts, no one asks how
00:31:19
rusty your state machine is, but I
00:31:22
asks how, firstly, it’s unsafe, and
00:31:25
secondly, how can one ask people
00:31:28
who are fighting
00:31:30
a war, this is a
00:31:33
war, he writes off everything, it’s very incredibly
00:31:36
comfortable, and he would have continued enough for a
00:31:39
year and two and thirty-six as long as God
00:31:42
allows us to fight forever. Well, listen, there are a
00:31:47
lot of people there, 100,000 there, 100,000 here.
00:31:50
Well, a problem is a problem, the people, it’s not
00:31:56
that they are not ready to bear the burden,
00:31:59
but at some point this People are already
00:32:02
inflamed by this propaganda, they
00:32:05
will say, well, how long
00:32:08
and why will they say how long, I’ll tell you
00:32:11
because I’m one of my
00:32:13
forecasts
00:32:15
Well, so simple for the 23rd year that it
00:32:19
will happen more and more on the
00:32:21
territory of Russia,
00:32:22
not figuratively in the sense of
00:32:24
feeling like this, this is what you
00:32:27
observed in Engels, what we are now
00:32:30
increasingly observing in the border
00:32:32
regions, but the
00:32:34
Ukrainians will not sit under a bench and
00:32:38
watch how it crumbles missiles bombs she and the
00:32:43
cities That is, when Putin in September
00:32:46
stepped onto this slippery,
00:32:48
harsh path when he picked up a
00:32:51
commander behind whom he would not rust, she
00:32:54
was selling the commander who was stupidly ready to
00:32:57
turn the war into a war,
00:33:02
in fact,
00:33:05
not everyone, not every general, No
00:33:09
matter what stupid boots they were, he he
00:33:13
will take it upon himself, so he found one
00:33:15
who is ready to take it, which he
00:33:16
proved before that he is ready to take it,
00:33:20
when they transferred the war to this
00:33:22
format, it
00:33:24
took some time, but we see
00:33:26
how Ukraine is waking up and there is also its own
00:33:29
pressure and they also say how long then
00:33:32
there is And an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth,
00:33:36
no one has canceled the eyes, that is, the war
00:33:40
will overlap, it’s inevitable when it
00:33:43
will overlap, it will be impossible
00:33:46
Because you can’t talk about it with No
00:33:49
Solovyov
00:33:50
and then it will arise until Give victory,
00:33:54
but to give victory you need Comfort to
00:33:59
go out again and all will put the country
00:34:01
on end and this is a problem that will be
00:34:04
solved throughout the year 23. That is,
00:34:07
I see the
00:34:08
problem of the forecast
00:34:13
and the complexity of the forecast in 23 is that there
00:34:16
is a basic forecast, obviously a
00:34:18
basic forecast is trench warfare
00:34:21
because, in principle, no one on the other
00:34:24
side has now the resource is ready
00:34:26
to turn the situation around
00:34:28
and at the same time there are no conditions
00:34:32
to agree on a truce
00:34:34
because the political price of a truce and
00:34:37
for Zelensky for Putin is higher than the
00:34:40
political price of continuing the war,
00:34:42
but at the same time Putin has a more
00:34:46
ridiculous situation than Zelensky. It’s
00:34:48
precisely Putin who has more vulnerable
00:34:51
because he may be faced with a demand from the
00:34:54
masses for Victory
00:34:56
and then he will have to open up, that
00:34:59
is, then he will have to take
00:35:00
active actions active actions this
00:35:03
means stirring up another no longer
00:35:06
partial And this is like a total
00:35:09
mobilization this means starting to shred
00:35:12
this economy now it exists so
00:35:15
well
00:35:17
it exists like this because it seems to be
00:35:21
waging a war on the residual principle. That
00:35:24
is, it functions as a
00:35:26
civil time economy with all its
00:35:29
market mechanisms due to which it was not
00:35:31
possible to mix the effect of sanctions in many ways,
00:35:33
but at the same time with a knife. But if you
00:35:37
now start to become active and work for A
00:35:40
rifle victory for Igor Ivanovich, then there are two
00:35:44
conditions for a universal
00:35:47
million and a half,
00:35:50
and then the transfer of the entire economy to
00:35:54
military flights. And this is a completely different
00:35:57
life. Another war and this is all, to
00:36:00
hit or not to hit. That’s the question. This
00:36:03
will be decided. 23 is another wave of
00:36:06
immigration I think that this time
00:36:10
the borders will be more fun, not a cheerful
00:36:13
forecast from you
00:36:15
As one of my colleague, a
00:36:18
lawyer who deals with the issue of migration, says at
00:36:32
least the regime will not raise a wave of
00:36:35
resistance for those
00:36:37
resistance it comes in
00:36:40
different forms let’s
00:36:42
take a dip in
00:36:43
that lake in which you and I both
00:36:47
love to splash around
00:36:49
this lake of historical memories And
00:36:52
who was the main
00:36:55
Glasung opponent of the regime
00:36:59
there sometime between 905-917 who was
00:37:05
heartbroken for Russian democracy
00:37:08
collectible democrats in extreme cases,
00:37:11
October
00:37:13
socialists, revolutionaries,
00:37:16
and somewhere there was such a small gang
00:37:20
that in April
00:37:23
1917, in my opinion, numbered 3,000
00:37:26
people
00:37:27
who were called Bolsheviks
00:37:32
and they were also opponents of the regime
00:37:36
and who defeated the regime,
00:37:40
constitutional democrats who
00:37:42
convened meetings throughout the country
00:37:43
who wrote treatises plans for
00:37:47
democratization no because from behind them a
00:37:50
small gang jumped out
00:37:53
which was already absolutely not
00:37:55
democratic, but they hated this regime
00:37:59
no less than all the constitutional democrats
00:38:01
out there and that’s why you say
00:38:06
patriotism
00:38:07
as loyal patriotism But a
00:38:11
completely new phenomenon may arise; it
00:38:14
actually exists. It just may
00:38:15
jump out because of the back this phenomenon will be
00:38:18
called anti-Putin patriotism
00:38:21
and there is also a must, these are not
00:38:24
necessarily people of the Stykov type, most
00:38:28
likely the direction and one of my
00:38:30
forecasts is that this will be a difficult
00:38:34
year for the shooters,
00:38:36
I was
00:38:38
going to write in this I think
00:38:41
that washing is closer than ever in
00:38:44
order to repeat the fate of Navalny,
00:38:45
whom he mostly remembers
00:38:48
because that’s why he was kept on the
00:38:52
surface, so with Navalny, too, the
00:38:54
time has expired,
00:38:56
now he does less harm than good,
00:38:59
and
00:39:00
from my point of view,
00:39:03
this is the phenomenon Here is another forecast for
00:39:06
this year this is an
00:39:07
explosive growth outside of the systemic patriotism of an
00:39:12
anti-regime patriotism that will
00:39:15
beat this government with its own card,
00:39:18
he will talk about the fact that now
00:39:21
Mikhail Borisovich has been
00:39:23
increasingly coinciding with the
00:39:26
rifleman in the unit they will say
00:39:30
These are freaks,
00:39:32
but only we say that they are freaks
00:39:34
because they are they started a war. They
00:39:36
say that they are freaks because they
00:39:37
can’t even wage it normally. It’s no coincidence that the
00:39:39
difference
00:39:42
in assessment coincides.
00:39:45
In recent days, I would even
00:39:48
say that lately there has been talk
00:39:51
that the Kremlin is also concerned about this
00:39:54
gang of
00:39:55
out-of-system, out-of-system patriotism
00:39:58
Yes. there you can add a lot more names
00:40:02
and that there seems to be a project
00:40:07
to create a political party, maybe
00:40:10
headed by Rogozin, which should
00:40:13
somehow
00:40:15
build this gang into the system, just like
00:40:19
the Communist Party is built into the system, like the built-in
00:40:21
LDPR system. There and so on they can
00:40:24
create
00:40:25
they can create 10 parties, nine of them,
00:40:29
put them in some very important
00:40:32
archival place,
00:40:34
you understand, they started a war
00:40:38
and the war is against
00:40:40
Surkovism, that’s all, war is the end of the game
00:40:45
of partisanship, that is, they seriously think
00:40:49
that they,
00:40:51
wounded by a pickled cucumber, know where
00:40:55
Rogozin will be made the head of some
00:40:59
pseudo-patriotic party, they
00:41:01
will portray
00:41:03
what -it’s very difficult to
00:41:06
portray Zhirinovsky, because at the same time he was a
00:41:07
talented provocateur, you know, but they do
00:41:11
n’t have any more provocateurs, they have a boring,
00:41:14
sad and pretentious one, they’re different. So they
00:41:18
think that they will create some kind of
00:41:21
pseudo-toy, this pseudo toy
00:41:24
will kill That’s already an animal feeling
00:41:29
hatred that was not awakened by the war.
00:41:31
No, well, it will find its
00:41:34
own incarnations and will
00:41:36
not fit into any party; this hatred is no longer
00:41:39
formatted.
00:41:42
What do you think about the political and
00:41:45
political prospects of this patriotic sheikh?
00:41:55
Vladimir Putin, a pseudo-patriotic person, said it herself. having started the war, he
00:41:59
began to cultivate, that is, he introduced them to a
00:42:03
nutritious broth in this nutritious
00:42:05
broth, they are now
00:42:08
increasing their
00:42:11
political potential, their
00:42:12
political weight is
00:42:17
already tens of thousands today and
00:42:21
there will be hundreds of thousands; among them there will be
00:42:24
many people
00:42:26
not just capable
00:42:29
and ready to shoot, but also people for
00:42:34
whom war has become the only meaning of life
00:42:38
and, in general, in this situation for
00:42:42
Putin this is a
00:42:44
much more serious threat than any
00:42:49
pieces of his
00:42:53
lazy
00:42:55
and ever-submissive electorate, well
00:42:59
[music]
00:43:01
his Putin electorate Well, maybe
00:43:04
grumble, maybe
00:43:06
start telling some jokes
00:43:08
And these guys are just they can
00:43:11
come to kill and
00:43:14
rely on the army that it will be this
00:43:18
national patriot in this
00:43:21
situation to resist. It can’t be better, I
00:43:25
think that when Prigozhin already
00:43:28
had about
00:43:32
40 thousand fighters at hand, and among these 40
00:43:37
thousand fighters there are about 4-6 thousand
00:43:42
professionals that is, the non-commissioned officers are
00:43:45
quite professional
00:43:50
criminals Despite the fact that Despite the
00:43:55
fact that the
00:43:58
supply of these people continues to go through the
00:44:02
line of the Ministry of Defense
00:44:05
nevertheless for Putin I think that this
00:44:08
should cause Putin This should
00:44:10
cause
00:44:11
serious concern because
00:44:14
there is no FSO from this will not protect and, in
00:44:19
general, at some point
00:44:21
the story with the fact that
00:44:25
I will give a command to Prigozhin,
00:44:29
relatively speaking, Putin thinks everything, so he
00:44:33
should already be thinking about whether Prigozhin will carry out
00:44:35
this command Yes, but then he
00:44:39
will call Prigozhin to the Kremlin and they
00:44:42
will try to arrest him, but will he be able to will he
00:44:45
arrest him, will they release him Then
00:44:48
today, after all, these people, these 40
00:44:52
thousand people, they
00:44:54
completely associate their well-being with
00:44:57
Mr. Prigozhin from whose hands
00:45:00
They receive, albeit
00:45:07
state money, but nevertheless
00:45:09
he receives money from the hands of Prigozhin
00:45:13
and in general this is everything and not a
00:45:17
joke at all. In general, I think that these are
00:45:21
these national patriots, they will
00:45:24
pose an
00:45:29
ever-increasing threat to the current regime. And in order to
00:45:32
minimize this threat to
00:45:35
Putin, in fact, there is only
00:45:38
one
00:45:40
possible way out: to continue to
00:45:44
increase
00:45:46
and military actions to dispose of these
00:45:50
people at the front,
00:45:52
at the same time increasing their
00:45:55
number. That is precisely why I believe
00:45:58
that no negotiations with this regime will
00:46:04
give peace today; the
00:46:06
same Putin
00:46:12
will be forced to use any suspension of military operations
00:46:14
only to strengthen
00:46:17
this these units
00:46:19
increase the production of weapons,
00:46:21
ammunition, create some reserves and
00:46:24
then start again,
00:46:26
it doesn’t even depend on what he wants
00:46:29
or doesn’t want. Although in general, as I
00:46:32
already said, I have serious doubts
00:46:36
that he adequately perceives
00:46:40
reality, but nevertheless it doesn’t even
00:46:42
depend on what he wants or doesn’t
00:46:43
want, there are tens of thousands, if not
00:46:47
hundreds of thousands of people who link
00:46:50
their high social status,
00:46:54
their prospects precisely with the continuation
00:46:57
of the war, and the number of such people, the
00:47:01
number of interested parties, their power and
00:47:04
influence will need to increase with each month of the war
00:47:09
understand, we are not dealing with a
00:47:12
socialist state, not with a
00:47:15
total state, after all, we are
00:47:17
dealing with a
00:47:19
cryptocratic state where
00:47:21
interests actually have enormous
00:47:25
hidden significance and today Putin
00:47:29
strengthens those people; this war strengthens
00:47:33
those people for whom it is the
00:47:35
source of the social status
00:47:38
of the well-being of the situation so
00:47:41
twisting you think you think
00:47:44
that the war itself
00:47:47
will collapse the
00:47:50
political system,
00:47:52
I can’t say that it will definitely collapse it,
00:47:55
I can say that if, uh,
00:48:01
if Putin tried to swim against
00:48:04
the tide, then
00:48:07
today it would no longer be
00:48:10
such an elementary exercise uh today
00:48:14
his
00:48:15
electoral rating today his
00:48:17
opportunities today his influence on the
00:48:19
political situation in the country is already
00:48:23
limited and then they will be limited
00:48:25
more and more and Putin as a person,
00:48:29
we see what he is essentially, this is within
00:48:31
himself, he is a very dependent person, very much the
00:48:34
kind of person
00:48:35
who doesn’t care it’s so difficult for him to
00:48:39
influence his inner circle, so I
00:48:44
expect that he can
00:48:47
respond to these wishes of
00:48:51
this growing
00:48:54
national-patriotic stratum, he
00:48:56
will feel to respond to their wishes as
00:49:00
far as he can. To where the
00:49:02
confrontation of the Ukrainians will give him this
00:49:05
opportunity, I don’t know whether
00:49:08
it’s true or not you know such Leagues Maybe it’s
00:49:11
a legend Maybe it’s reality they say that
00:49:14
everyone who gets to Putin’s office Everyone
00:49:17
comes out satisfied from there to everyone he
00:49:20
says Yes, the main thing is to get there to this
00:49:23
office, yes, that is, he promises everything to everyone
00:49:26
He can promise the whole question Yes, but
00:49:30
nevertheless everyone comes out happy
00:49:32
But this is his, these are his talents, these are his
00:49:36
skills, he will know how to do this well for people,
00:49:39
but interests, that is, there are already
00:49:43
specific interests and interests
00:49:46
to make yourself comfortable do not lie in the sphere of peaceful
00:49:49
life and churning icicles in
00:49:52
St. Petersburg,
00:49:54
icicles in St. Petersburg, an incomprehensible
00:49:56
story here there is such a simple openness
00:49:58
conflict public conflict Prigozhin
00:50:02
with the governor Beglov
00:50:04
already Lukashenko even stood up for Beglov
00:50:07
so casually remarking in St. Petersburg
00:50:11
during this recent meeting The
00:50:13
Lord of the Rings
00:50:15
about how well they clean up St. Petersburg for no reason
00:50:19
Lukashenko decided to
00:50:22
apparently support Beglov and therefore that
00:50:24
because because this is an open
00:50:28
struggle, there is a conflict and that and
00:50:31
for some reason, uh, the Supreme Arbiter does not
00:50:35
interfere, he allows his
00:50:38
subjects, that is, to fight publicly,
00:50:41
why is he still trying to
00:50:44
say the balance of power, so to speak, we perceive that the
00:50:47
reason why The bedlov of
00:50:50
today Prigozhin has not yet been able to
00:50:54
suffice because he was a fugitive from the same
00:50:56
GB-schnik like many other people from
00:51:00
Putin’s entourage and his
00:51:03
work colleagues in general do not really want to
00:51:05
hand him over because for them it is a weakening.
00:51:08
So Prigozhin thereby comes into
00:51:12
conflict with with one more
00:51:17
with one more element of the traditional
00:51:21
power elite of the state, but we see
00:51:26
with you that this conflict is
00:51:30
gradually becoming less and less obvious for the
00:51:33
traditional power elite,
00:51:41
that is, the result of this
00:51:44
conflict is becoming less and less
00:51:46
obvious, that is, relatively speaking, runaway
00:51:48
dash Patrushev there six months ago this it was a
00:51:54
one-goal game,
00:51:55
fuglov, this Prigozhin
00:52:00
Prigozhin Patrushev Prigozhin Shoigu six months
00:52:03
ago it would have been a one-goal game,
00:52:05
today it’s not at all
00:52:07
obvious What will happen tomorrow, we’ll see. You’re the
00:52:11
real opposition now, in fact, there’s only
00:52:12
one because everyone else is there, everyone
00:52:15
else is there, there are two of them. yes, three
00:52:17
parties they are not any opposition
00:52:22
if we are talking about the parliamentary
00:52:24
opposition then
00:52:27
Prigozhin is not the parliamentary
00:52:30
opposition if we are talking about the power
00:52:32
opposition Yes, today
00:52:35
Putin’s de facto two forces, one force is the
00:52:38
traditional force and the second is, so to
00:52:41
speak, these are
00:52:43
Prigozhin’s proxy groups not only Prigozhin’s,
00:52:45
that means if we are talking about the real
00:52:49
position, then Yes today there is
00:52:52
What is called two columns,
00:52:55
one column and danced Patriotic
00:52:58
position and the other column is the
00:53:01
Democratic position We are used to
00:53:03
talking about the opposition to mean only the
00:53:06
democratic opposition today this is not
00:53:08
sotoday it is
00:53:10
national-patriotic the opposition of the regime
00:53:12
is at least no less
00:53:15
influential. Another thing is that the
00:53:18
Communist opposition is de facto an
00:53:21
independent element. It has ceased to
00:53:24
exist. Thank you, sir, but
00:53:29
the salad is periodic, yes it does
00:53:32
exist, and in my opinion, Prigogine’s
00:53:35
intention is obvious to lead this very
00:53:38
national periodic opposition
00:53:41
by the way I wouldn’t discount the
00:53:46
democratic opposition either; I would
00:53:51
n’t at any point think that there are only
00:53:54
these
00:53:56
[music]
00:53:58
kids in pink pants. No, of
00:54:01
course not. The democratic position now,
00:54:03
in general, is also quite tough; it quite
00:54:04
accurately understands that any
00:54:08
solutions to issues are will lie in the
00:54:11
sphere of power and the Democratic Position
00:54:14
in my opinion. In general, being aware of it, it is
00:54:17
thinking through the options. How will
00:54:21
these power levers also end up in its hands, taking
00:54:23
into account the fact that in fact the
00:54:27
Democratic Position has such experience
00:54:29
in ninety-one and ninety-
00:54:31
three year ago is a guarantee and so to speak,
00:54:34
what happened in Ukraine during the
00:54:36
Maidan is a good
00:54:39
example. What is called a cross-border
00:54:41
example, a good example from neighbors in general,
00:54:46
all people are aware of themselves and all people in
00:54:49
general are serious people, in any case,
00:54:51
they think Today, already in these
00:54:54
power criteria
00:54:56
fundamental difference
00:54:57
[music] The
00:54:59
Patriotic position operates within
00:55:01
the country and the Democratic position is squeezed
00:55:03
out. The fact that
00:55:08
notable figures are squeezed out, that
00:55:14
public campaigning
00:55:17
is carried out from abroad, that public
00:55:21
campaigning is possible only from outside the
00:55:24
Russian Federation, this does not mean
00:55:27
that the democratic opposition does not
00:55:30
have enough forces inside, they are another
00:55:33
matter; today, not only absolutely irresponsible people can call on people to go out into the street
00:55:36
without weapons,
00:55:41
but simply
00:55:43
because it will lead to
00:55:46
absolutely necessary victims of repression, but
00:55:49
this does not mean that we do not understand who and
00:55:52
how to call on when from
00:55:56
Something will depend on this.
00:56:00
I wanted to say that the
00:56:03
struggle for the communist legacy
00:56:07
between two columns on the march is one
00:56:12
that is
00:56:16
interesting. The topic that I returned is
00:56:20
not the end of the program in the future because there is
00:56:24
really a very big question about
00:56:26
what the Democratic position can
00:56:30
oppose to a
00:56:33
patriotic colony and what
00:56:36
lessons it must learn from previous
00:56:39
mistakes in order to be able to
00:56:42
oppose something, they can
00:56:44
agree with themselves, yes And then there is no one
00:56:51
with those who are outside, that is, you understand, but
00:56:54
this is a separate topic I don’t want to
00:56:56
cut into this site now, we wo
00:56:58
n’t get out on time And I wanted
00:57:03
to say that there is such a strange
00:57:05
belief,
00:57:07
all of Putin’s series that he can
00:57:11
turn on the war, turns on the light in the room,
00:57:14
Putin came, turned on the light, put it on,
00:57:18
thought No, I don’t like it, left the room
00:57:21
and turned off the light, that’s
00:57:22
not what happens with war, that war is
00:57:26
such a semi-automatic device and you can turn it on
00:57:28
you can’t turn it off,
00:57:31
this is a serious problem
00:57:33
because people think naively Believes that
00:57:36
Putin can talk everything and why does
00:57:38
n’t Putin become an arbiter, that is,
00:57:42
it is assumed that Putin can be an
00:57:43
arbiter between these forces, but for
00:57:46
some reason they become
00:57:49
lazy,
00:57:50
cunning, let’s say nothing that’s
00:57:53
why he’s not an arbiter because he can’t
00:57:57
because if he puts his finger or hand between
00:58:01
these gears,
00:58:03
then these gears will work out
00:58:06
his hand to the police, in fact he’s
00:58:10
like that Well, yes, the Wizard of the Emerald City is a
00:58:15
small creature somewhere out there
00:58:17
hiding behind the
00:58:19
unsellable than only evil in
00:58:21
reality And
00:58:24
he cannot interfere in anything
00:58:27
because he created and initiated such a
00:58:30
system, introduced such a regime that he
00:58:34
can only be a wolf from episode 4. Well,
00:58:36
wait, if anyone remembers our childhood,
00:58:38
this is the episode where the wolf runs and the skating rink
00:58:42
he flared up from the mountain, took a roll
00:58:46
and the wolf is alive while he runs faster than a skating rink,
00:58:49
so the war with all these
00:58:52
gears is a skating rink and Putin is a wolf
00:58:55
who is running from him And will continue to run
00:58:57
As long as he has enough strength
00:58:59
and, in fact, one of the reasons
00:59:03
why everything is rolling like this And to the
00:59:06
next thing, in addition to this,
00:59:09
he said that if something Our task is to
00:59:13
study Who are they interested in because
00:59:18
for whom is the
00:59:20
war
00:59:22
of these here, for whom she, as a mother alone,
00:59:24
becomes as much as possible in a
00:59:28
critical state
00:59:30
But besides this, I would say a cancer corps has arisen here
00:59:36
it’s like this Circle of people
00:59:39
for whom the question is not making money,
00:59:43
for whom war is a condition for preserving
00:59:47
life
00:59:49
about this very
00:59:51
capacity seemed shooters about his
00:59:53
interview the day before yesterday, let’s go
00:59:57
what I’m talking about while we’re fighting,
01:00:01
the war will end for me in Gavu, they were looking for me, the
01:00:05
Ukrainians will give me or hang me
01:00:10
and these people and they represent the
01:00:13
most terrible threat today for Russia
01:00:16
and for the future of humanity and the number of
01:00:20
these people Why Because this is that cancer
01:00:23
this is Putin’s biggest support today
01:00:25
He breeds them these are those who are
01:00:28
surface
01:00:30
these are these Kobulov and
01:00:33
our Merkulov time, you know, who, in
01:00:37
the event of the fall of the regime, will face an execution
01:00:40
basement
01:00:41
and therefore these people have no way out,
01:00:44
they have no exit strategy. These people will
01:00:48
shoot back on the stairs because
01:00:51
while the war is going on, they are not alive, and the increase in the
01:00:55
number of this cancerous political
01:00:57
corps is also what scares me more
01:00:59
of all, and therefore the task for the future in
01:01:03
any position is to form broad
01:01:06
alliances precisely against this cancerous
01:01:09
corps against those for whom peace is
01:01:13
suicide beginning of January beginning of 23 This is
01:01:18
me now addressing our audience,
01:01:19
our respected experts have outlined
01:01:23
our prospects for you who will rejoice who there
01:01:28
was no mustard We will have the opportunity
01:01:30
to check your forecasts throughout the year,
01:01:34
Vladimir Borisovich, while we say goodbye for a
01:01:38
week in the road map program, and if
01:01:42
events do
01:01:44
not lead us astray from the true path, then
01:01:48
perhaps in a week we will actually
01:01:49
talk about the topic that you
01:01:51
touched upon today at the very end
01:01:53
these two uh opposition columns Yes and their
01:01:58
relationship with each other uh and
01:02:00
relationships with the authorities if you don’t
01:02:03
mind yes a Then see you in a
01:02:06
week All the best, the road map uh
01:02:09
continues to be with you All the best

Description:

Вижу, что зрители канала «Ходорковский Live» очень полюбили нашу с Владимиром Пастуховым и Виталием Дымарским еженедельную программу «Дорожная карта». Поэтому решил с нового года публиковать нашу беседу и на личном канале. В первом выпуске «Дорожной карты» в этом году поговорили о новогоднем обращении Владимира Путина, Голубом огоньке на пропагандистских телеканалах и о том, каким будет 2023 год. Почему ряженые сотрудники ФСО за спиной Путина выглядели еще ужаснее самого кровавого маньяка? Почему Владимир Пастухов ждёт взрывного роста антипутинского патриотизма? Готовы ли демократы на насильственное сопротивление и почему они теперь не главная оппозиция путинскому режиму? Что будет в 2023 году со Стрелковым, Пригожиным и их окружением? Почему Путин скорее всего будет обречен на тотальную мобилизацию? Обо всем этом — в новом выпуске «Дорожной карты». 00:00 Тизер 00:35 Дымарский: Война оттенила экономику 03:59 Пастухов про новогоднее обращение Путина и Голубой огонек 10:05 Ходорковский: Россияне активно финансировали ВСУ 14:06 Ходорковский про погибших в Макеевке 18:08 Ходорковский: По экономике России нанесен колоссальный удар 24:45 Пастухов: Помогут ли санкции свергнуть Путина? 29:22 Пастухов: Война будет всё больше идти на территории России 35:25 Пастухов об опыте 1905-1917 годах и антипутинском патриотизме 41:40 Ходорковский: Сможет ли Путин арестовать Пригожина? 49:45 Конфликт Пригожина и Беглова 52:10 Ходорковский: Теперь есть две колонны оппозиции 55:58 Пастухов: Путин не может включать и отключать войну ============================= Плейлисты: ► Блог Ходорковского: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7kI1pJUZbs&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl4Grv-wza2qAaE322NcoK0c ► Ответы на вопросы: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asGc56bUvs8&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl7VIGZSi0O6vmqGTNKnqb9Y ► Интервью с Ходорковским: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLUpN6Si0hGl6NhQa9nhFk3E6bwAgml7yM ► Правозащита Открытки: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4WjEvgt0tg&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl7aRDjrl1vICk3jXAjFtNtG ============================= Социальные сети: ► Twitter: http://bit.ly/MBK-Twitter ► Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser ► Telegram: https://t.me/khodorkovski ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser ► ВКонтакте: http://bit.ly/MBK-VKontakte

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