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00:00:00
while the luckiest among
00:00:01
us sleep in the Summer body in the sun
00:00:03
the planet finance continues to be
00:00:06
talked about American economic news
00:00:08
does not take a vacation and
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since the beginning of summer it has not stopped
00:00:11
so that the Americans managed
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in extremism to resolve the problem of the
00:00:16
ceiling of their colossal date,
00:00:17
underlying inflation is still in
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great shape and the regional bank network
00:00:21
which faltered in March has
00:00:23
since shown signs of weakness as
00:00:25
a result the country has lost its precious
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triple hfitch last August 1 and
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August 8 second salvo 11
00:00:33
regional banks suffered the same fate and
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saw their rating degraded this time by
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moodies the American agency
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also announced the same treatment for
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several large banks while at the
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same at the moment they must respond to
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new regulatory requirements
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issued by the Fed following the bankruptcy of
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the bec series
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at the origin of all stirring up a new
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tax on Italian banks which
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threatens to weigh heavily on their
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profitability and which disrupts
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global banking markets but also the
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economic context between inflation
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rate increase diplomatic tension
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recession and the emergence of new
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competition to the dollar why
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have the rating agencies revised their
00:01:08
rating and what does that mean while
00:01:10
the use of the debt to finance
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the debt will become a luxury for the
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federal government what will
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happen now and what will be
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the consequences on other regions
00:01:19
of the world and on the monetary plans of the
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BRICS for example,
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help yourself to a little something to drink
00:01:24
while I explain all that to you but
00:01:25
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00:01:27
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00:01:29
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00:02:32
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description via our link welcome to
00:02:37
all come
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boom radar after a mixed start to the year
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the summer is particularly hectic
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first last August 1 while
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France mourned the loss of
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the elegance Geneviève de Fontenay the
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Americans woke up with a
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little something less a
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lost letter one replaced by a plus in
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their credit note at home
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there a few months ago last April 30
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it was our turn and France went
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from double a to double a less good
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what does all that mean the
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three most famous rating agencies
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in the world are called sternud and
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powers Fitch emodies and are American L3
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it shares 95% of the publications
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their job of constantly analyzing
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millions of macro and
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microeconomic financial and social years
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to produce a solvency ratio
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the equivalent of the score which allows
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investors to be informed of 'a single
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glance at the quality of a
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borrower among these borrowers the
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States but also the large companies and
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any other bond issuer the
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best rating the supreme Grail
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the number one objective of the countries whose
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economy is based on and of course the
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triple A gold medal as a mine for
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all rating agencies and which
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guarantees easy and cheaper access
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to the financial market and borrowing, this is
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the case of Denmark, Luxembourg, the
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Netherlands or of Canada conversely the
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red lantern which is the worst score will have
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a lot of difficulty in mobilizing capital
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this relentless die is terrifying
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sanctions all payment errors
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and is equivalent to a banking ban
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for an individual it means that everything
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will become very complicated for the
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entities concerned such as Ghana,
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Suriname, Venezuela or even Lebanon
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between the two there is a whole range of
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letters and numbers depending on the agency
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which allow the judgments to be qualified
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to give you a concrete example of
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their effects on the he real economy
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let's take France and its double upstream
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which currently borrows at 3.14% over
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two years and 3.0 8% over 10 years while the
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Netherlands a triple A is
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respectively 3 and
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2.92%. the difference is a risk premium
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but after France
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last April, the United States, the
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world's leading power,
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may also succumb under the onslaught of a
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detestable economic situation and suddenly lose
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a little of their luster with what is
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taking off causes are already well
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identified even by those who are
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not particularly interested in the subject
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it is first of all the debt ceiling crisis
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whose outcome leaves
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many observers confused the
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United States has incontestably lost
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credibility last July when
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the amount of the federal debt again
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exceeded the legal ceiling without limiting
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recourse to borrowing to resolve the
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problem, the ceiling was suspended at the
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last minute and America was able to pay
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its debts but it is a bad
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signal which clearly indicates that the
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government does not intend to
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reduce its debt especially since
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budgetary resources will fall with
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the latest tax cuts decided
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by the government the problem of the
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ceiling of 31.4 trillion dollars
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having been set aside the government of
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Joe Biden immediately launched a
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new loan of an additional 1000 billion
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dollars America has no
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more money there is only 40
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billion dollars left in the
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Treasury bank accounts and to schematize
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these 10 times less than when everything is going well
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a new suspension of pensions and
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salaries of civil servants is too
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risky for the American economy which is
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trying not to fall into
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recession this has already happened several
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times the last time it was in
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December 2018 under the mandate of
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Donald Trump and knew provoked a cat
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from Down the closure of establishments
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and public administrations emptied of
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their staff and plunge 800,000
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Americans into precariousness obviously
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such a decision implies printing
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money once again
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what these forces are precisely
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not celebrating since
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last year already when it had just
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released 25 billion dollars to
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support the banking system not easy
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to stabilize prices in such
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conditions
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but no panic the ceiling of the
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debt was only suspended until
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January 2025 by then the
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federal government hopes to have returned below the
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initial ceiling of 31.4 trillion
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dollars the whole world, including me, is
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already wondering how it intends to
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go about beyond that of this debt crisis
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other factors influenced
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faitsch's decision such as for example the
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cost of implementing new
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health insurance programs estimated at
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the end of June at almost 9% of American GDP
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or the threats of recession in
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the fall and the tightening of
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credit conditions the information
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coming from the rest of the world does
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not encourage confidence either as the
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Chinese economic recovery is insufficient
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to take the world economy with
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it or the recent decision of the
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Italian government to tax the
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banks according to American analysts
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its tax could represent an
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overcharge estimated between two and 9% of the
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profits of Italian banks and
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above all there is the fear that other
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governments in Europe will decide to
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do the same thing on Euronext for
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a week all banking stocks
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fell by 5 to 7% for the Italians and
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minus 1.81% for the Bank 600 restock and
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the French stocks followed the
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movement before rebounding a few
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days later in the United States, the most
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important of the consequences linked to the
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deterioration of the rating and of
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course the increase in the cost of
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credit for future loans but
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also in the current debt burden
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last Christmas the amount of
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annual interest paid by the American federal government
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already exceeded 1000
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billion dollars i.e. more or less
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a third of the country's fiscal resources
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compared to 500 in 2015
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after the announcement of the
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rating revision the price of federal bonds
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fell by one point 3% in just a few days
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and inevitably the yields
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increased and the burden
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repayments with them
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investments are disrupted
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America now borrows at 5.50%
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over 6 months when treagers were
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put at 0% barely 2 years ago and the
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party has still not clearly indicated
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that the tightening monetary will
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end soon because inflation is
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still rampant and the government is in a
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bad situation. Inflation has been talked about
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since March 2022 in the United States. It is
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also weighing heavily on the balance sheets
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of regional banks, particularly
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on their bond holdings. which
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lose a little more value every day,
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it is still at
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the origin of the policy of increasing
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water levels which eat away
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a little more every day at their margin and their
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commission, in short, inflation is not
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only the nightmare of the
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central bankers they are all concerned and
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that is why a week after
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the stunning announcement of feating it is
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modies who carry the second attack
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by downgrading this time the ratings of 11
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regional banks with among them
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the ingripes
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or even capital of establishments
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valued on the stock market between 20 and 50
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billion dollars each
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weak equity exposure to
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commercial real estate which is collapsing
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with new work habits
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borrowers in default of payment we are
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talking about 19 billion dollars of a
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country at the start of summer and the icing on a
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very bitter cake of the
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disappointing results which have just been published and
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which all show a significant increase
00:09:19
in financing costs and the impact of the
00:09:21
rise in rates on
00:09:24
stock market profitability the securities of the screws all after
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the announcement of the revision and they are
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not the only ones of the largest
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establishments like the bank avenue
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work Merlin state sweet Corporation
00:09:34
trust final and USB in all 165 billion
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dollars in valuation also drops
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with the announcement of an upcoming review
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of their file at maudits the
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bad grades have not stopped
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raining so what do we think of all this
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to find out let's first take the
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temperature of the markets the
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girls index or index of fear that
00:09:54
its index vix and fear engreed on the
00:09:56
movement the Vicks is an index which
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measures the volatility of the markets which
00:10:00
increases when prices fall and
00:10:02
vice versa and this is clearly evident when
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observing its historical curve
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during bullish periods the Vicks
00:10:07
evolves between 10 and 25 points but it
00:10:09
explodes with each crisis in 2007 it
00:10:12
jumped from 21 to 79 points and it went
00:10:15
from 12 to 65 points during the crash which
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followed the appearance of the
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covid-19 pandemic it has increased by 20% since the
00:10:21
beginning of the month which means that in the
00:10:23
United States the stock market is engaging in a
00:10:25
downward movement for its part the
00:10:28
greed CNN index seems to confirm the trend
00:10:30
it measures the appetite of the markets for
00:10:33
transactions and whether the recovery of
00:10:35
colors after the first bankruptcy
00:10:36
of regional banks last March
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it is now bending under the weight of the
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economic situation
00:10:41
at the time we are making this film it returns
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21.6% since its historic high
00:10:46
last July 18 when
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euphoric investors were
00:10:49
already imagining the return of the world before when
00:10:51
rates were closer to zero, no
00:10:54
doubt the markets have understood what is
00:10:55
going to happen and they do not like the idea
00:10:57
that massive recourse to borrowing to
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replenish federal reserves
00:10:59
will lead the Fed to resume the
00:11:02
rate increases the profitability of the banks
00:11:04
should therefore fall further and
00:11:06
investors could refuse to
00:11:07
finance the needs of institutions in
00:11:09
difficulty including the federal state this is
00:11:12
what we conclude at the Canadian Tilly
00:11:14
secures at us globalsters we remain
00:11:17
positive the American economy is strong
00:11:20
diversified and resilient and it
00:11:22
relies on a powerful greenback
00:11:23
still the first reserve currency and
00:11:25
main vice of world trade
00:11:27
and the dollar has lost ground and is preparing
00:11:29
to face a new competitor the
00:11:31
currency common of Brix the alliance
00:11:33
China Brazil India Russia South Africa
00:11:36
40% of the world population which
00:11:38
inspires zoltar posed of Credit Suisse
00:11:40
the following reflection in its analysis
00:11:43
of last December 27 I quote it is
00:11:46
dawn for the petrowan and the twilight
00:11:48
for the dollar the Chinese yen
00:11:51
also puts the dollar on the sidelines with
00:11:52
regard to world reserves its
00:11:54
share has doubled since 2016 to the detriment
00:11:55
of the American currency victim of a
00:11:57
crisis of confidence unlike the
00:12:00
greenbacks the future will lead to bricks
00:12:01
will be backed by tangible assets
00:12:03
mainly gold but also
00:12:05
oil, gas or other mining resources
00:12:08
the launch of this new currency
00:12:10
will be announced at the next summit which will be
00:12:11
held in Johannesburg between August 22 and 24
00:12:14
but the movement
00:12:15
global dolarization has already
00:12:17
begun when several major markets
00:12:19
in the world decided to list
00:12:21
oil in Chinese June like
00:12:23
Shanghai or Riah in Saudi Arabia
00:12:24
in 2017 and 2022 respectively
00:12:29
to challenge the hegemony of the dollar over
00:12:31
world trade. is a classic plan that
00:12:32
has been mulling over for at least a quarter of a
00:12:34
century but the recent sanctions
00:12:36
imposed on the streets are required the
00:12:37
rapid implementation of an emergency solution
00:12:38
there was no better
00:12:41
opportunity in normal times the launch
00:12:43
then the cohabitation of two currencies
00:12:45
could have developed gradually
00:12:46
but in the current context the
00:12:48
greenback promises to have difficulty defending itself
00:12:49
against a monetary unit which offers
00:12:51
so many guarantees the problem is
00:12:54
that with it many other currencies
00:12:56
could also be devalued when
00:12:57
investors around the world and
00:12:59
central banks begin to
00:13:00
arbitrage their assets towards the future
00:13:01
bricks coin yes the euro also for the
00:13:05
moment the United States is still the
00:13:07
number 1 destination for
00:13:08
global investments no wonder when Europe
00:13:10
displays such a sad face but it is
00:13:12
fundamentally redder than red
00:13:13
reaching worrying floors which
00:13:15
only confirm the market mood the
00:13:17
situation is problematic in many
00:13:19
ways between an abysmal debt a
00:13:21
severe and chronic budget deficit
00:13:22
and bank accounts dry, the
00:13:25
American Federal Bank will probably have
00:13:27
to resume and perhaps
00:13:29
further tighten monetary tightening policy
00:13:30
and we all now know
00:13:32
that they have done this can have good
00:13:34
the advantage in all this is that we
00:13:36
will not have we don't have to wait very long
00:13:37
to know how things will evolve, we
00:13:39
will be set for the start of the school year, count on
00:13:41
us continuing the rest of all these
00:13:42
events and particularly the
00:13:44
next brick summit and to
00:13:45
give you a circumstantial report, you
00:13:47
prefer a special video and so as
00:13:49
not to miss it remember to subscribe to the
00:13:50
channel it's free in the meantime we
00:13:53
remain positive because every crisis brings
00:13:54
its share of good deals it's not
00:13:56
me who says it but all our
00:13:57
Wall Street billionaires who
00:13:58
repeat like a mantra every
00:14:00
interview chopped when its decline and
00:14:02
sold when it rises an
00:14:03
intelligent investor acts against the tide
00:14:06
dixitoine buchette and to meditate but
00:14:08
be careful the markets will
00:14:10
probably be shaken quite hard if the
00:14:12
brick square a sail day as planned
00:14:14
this year in the meantime if you
00:14:16
want to invest in reaction to these
00:14:17
major macroeconomic changes
00:14:19
take a look at the XTB platform
00:14:21
to do your shopping without any
00:14:22
fees
00:14:30
is
00:14:32
undoubtedly one of the best
00:14:33
brokers on the market in terms of reliability.
00:14:41
the
00:14:42
platform and Good News you can
00:14:44
test the platform for free thanks
00:14:46
to the demo account if you liked this video
00:14:48
remember to leave us a like before
00:14:49
leaving and to share it around you
00:14:51
finally ask us all your questions and
00:14:53
tell us what May it inspire you in
00:14:54
the comments we can't wait to read you
00:14:56
thank you for your loyalty take care of
00:14:58
yourself and I'll see you very soon on

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🤩 Notre broker XTB : https://fr.xtb.com/actions-zero-commission-cmg?campaignId=117&partnerId=11207&refType=1&_etfs= Disclaimer : Le trading est risqué et vous pouvez perdre tout ou partie de votre capital. Les informations fournies ne constituent en aucun cas un conseil financier et/ou une recommandation d’investissement. 78% des comptes d’investisseurs particuliers perdent de l’argent en négociant des CFD avec ce fournisseur. Vous devez vous demander si vous comprenez le fonctionnement des CFD et si vous pouvez vous permettre de prendre le risque élevé de perdre de l’argent. La guerre des semi-conducteurs : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haNqGVkYB-k 🔔 NEWSLETTER : https://moneyradar.substack.com/ 🎧 Podcast : https://podcast.ausha.co/moneyradar-podcast 👀 Notre chaîne Crypto : https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEbtnDUf5fFJtpOkkUW_TzA?sub_confirmation=1 Nos sources: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1d3BnVIBbjTigdqkMmfkDq3qeUcjVgrhY2MaUtnY4vGY/edit?usp=sharing 👀 Rejoindre la communauté discord : https://discord.com/invite/kdK994MXrC ✉️ Nous suivre sur Telegram : https://t.me/moneyradar_canal ✉️ Nous suivre sur Twitter : https://twitter.com/MoneyRadar_FR Alors que les américains sont parvenus in extremis à régler le problème du plafond de leur dette colossale, l’inflation sous-jacente est toujours en pleine forme, et le réseau de banques régionales qui a vacillé en mars montre depuis des signes de faiblesse. Conséquence, le pays a perdu son précieux triple A chez Fitch le 1er août dernier, et le 8 août : 2ème salve, 11 banques régionales ont subi le même sort et ont vu leur note dégradée, cette fois par Moody’s. L’agence américaine annonce aussi réserver le même traitement à plusieurs grandes banques alors qu’au même moment, elles doivent répondre à de nouvelles exigences réglementaires émises par la FED, suite à la faillite de la Silicon Valley Bank. A l’origine de tout ce remue-ménage, une nouvelle taxe sur les banques italiennes qui menace de peser fortement sur leur rentabilité et qui perturbe les marchés bancaires mondiaux, mais aussi le contexte économique, entre inflation, hausses de taux, tensions diplomatiques, récession et l’émergence d’une nouvelle concurrence au dollar. Pourquoi les agences de notation ont-elles revu leurs notes et qu’est-ce que ça veut dire ? Alors que le recours à la dette pour financer la dette va devenir un luxe pour le gouvernement fédéral, que va-t'il se passer maintenant, et quelles vont être les conséquences sur les autres régions du monde, et sur les plans monétaires des BRICS par exemple ?

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