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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:01
Polytech’s youtube channel, my name is00:00:03
Evgeniy Okutnova, leave likes under00:00:05
this video, leave your comments.00:00:06
This is very important for us because we work00:00:08
for you. We are the interlocutor today, an00:00:10
Israeli army officer. Your rates are military. Expert00:00:12
Grigory Tamar Grigory is glad00:00:14
to welcome you to our broadcast.00:00:16
Good evening and friends, I’ll immediately ask you00:00:20
to subscribe to the author’s Youtube channel of00:00:21
Grigory Tamor, there is a lot of military00:00:24
analytics there, I encourage everyone to subscribe, in00:00:27
particular, we also get00:00:28
information there Grigory, I suggest we start00:00:30
our conversation today, of course,00:00:32
the situation at the front, namely the solidary, the00:00:34
Ukrainian defense forces are reporting that00:00:37
you the link continues to hold the solidar's defenses there00:00:39
on the outskirts,00:00:42
fierce battles are underway, the Financial Times00:00:45
writes that allegedly during these battles, the00:00:47
solidar and Bakhmud Wagner lost00:00:51
about 4,000 people killed and 10 thousand. There was also00:00:55
earlier information in Russian public pages00:00:57
that the army was squeezed on one side and the00:01:01
foreigners, on the other hand, what do you think? That’s00:01:03
why the occupiers are trying to hold00:01:06
such a small city at such a price.00:01:10
Well, firstly, I can’t hold it00:01:13
because it’s unlikely that it has completely come00:01:17
under the control of the Russian armed forces00:01:21
or other Russian formations.00:01:24
But that’s the whole situation. with00:01:27
[music]00:01:29
in this sector of the front it characterizes00:01:35
the management crisis that has developed00:01:37
now in the Russian Federation, it simply00:01:40
allows you to look with a magnifying glass00:01:42
at what the Russian00:01:45
Federation is doing, in fact, you can even say00:01:48
that Russia does not have a00:01:52
foreign policy agenda today, there is00:01:53
only a political one, that is, here This is the00:01:57
endless00:01:59
disrespect of the00:02:02
very base feelings and00:02:05
instincts of their electorate by the authorities of the Russian Federation, which has led00:02:08
to the fact that, in fact, as has happened00:02:11
many times in history in totalitarian00:02:13
states, the Putin regime has become a00:02:16
hostage of this mood of the00:02:19
very00:02:22
base layer of Russian00:02:25
society,00:02:26
what is happening and00:02:29
because for the fact that for a decade,00:02:32
in fact, your state, your people,00:02:35
where they were humanized by means of00:02:38
propaganda of the Russian federations, that is,00:02:41
your state turned into their media into00:02:44
a kind of happiness of hell and your people00:02:46
turned into00:02:50
being presented00:02:52
and accordingly, now00:02:55
the situation is developing that for almost a year the greatest00:02:57
Mighty army in the world has been fighting here these00:03:01
need to be able to do nothing, you understand00:03:03
what a managerial dialogic00:03:06
crisis has developed in a totalitarian country against the00:03:09
backdrop of the fact that you dared to00:03:12
resist And for a year00:03:14
practically00:03:15
over and over again covered with shame,00:03:23
therefore everything that has been happening in Russia in00:03:26
recent months has been exclusively00:03:28
internally critical, there is00:03:31
no military agenda expediency in this00:03:33
there is no geopolitical00:03:35
expediency in this there is no00:03:37
common sense of00:03:40
humanism conscience rationality in this00:03:44
there is exclusively an internal political00:03:47
trip of a totalitarian regime that00:03:49
seeks to hold on at all costs00:03:53
if you allow me to clarify even if the00:03:56
occupiers temporarily seize Solidarity00:03:59
for example, they will still fail, what do you think?00:04:02
Exactly in terms of tactically, this00:04:04
can somehow be reflected as a whole;00:04:09
this is a section of Chrome, like any section of00:04:13
the front. It is important to a certain extent.00:04:17
Solidarity has tactical importance;00:04:21
importance of tactical importance;00:04:23
bakhmut; this is a larger populated00:04:26
area; a larger transport hub;00:04:36
Naturally, you should try00:04:40
to avoid, but don’t exaggerate, I00:04:43
remember very well A few weeks00:04:45
after the start of the war And when the Russian00:04:48
army bought the raisins, Russian publics00:04:52
erupted All of us, that means we broke through the front,00:04:55
now the front will crumble, the Ukrainian army will00:04:58
crumble, we are there, this is the turning point,00:05:01
further and further there we will finish off Well and00:05:03
where now Well, who is going to finish off whom,00:05:08
you understand, that is, I emphasize once again there00:05:11
is a certain section of the front, it00:05:15
has a certain local significance,00:05:19
do not underestimate it, but this is not00:05:22
Stalingrad, this is not00:05:25
there, the Kursk Bulge, yes, that00:05:28
is, some significance is unconditional,00:05:30
but Russian propaganda by the Russian media by00:05:34
Russian journalists by Russian00:05:36
military politicians00:05:38
[music]00:05:41
this section of the front this settlement was00:05:45
home to 10 thousand inhabitants before the war.00:05:48
That is, it can’t even be called a city in the full sense, an00:05:50
urban-type settlement00:05:52
about the settlement named00:05:54
Solidarity, with the exception of its residents,00:05:56
no one knew the residents of the surrounding settlements00:05:58
before the tragic events began to occur,00:06:03
that is, it is clear that this is a situation completely00:06:07
inflated00:06:09
on all sides by00:06:11
Russian propaganda, but00:06:15
both sides suffered and continue to00:06:18
suffer significant losses, the loss of the00:06:20
Russian side is not comparable to00:06:22
higher, so I communicated with your00:06:26
military purely for myself.00:06:29
This is the picture in my head based on the00:06:32
information that is obtained by communicating with00:06:35
people00:06:36
in that area00:06:39
and various cities there that are also fighting within the framework of this00:06:43
army because00:06:47
no unfortunate company is a00:06:49
criminal structure armed with00:06:51
various types.00:06:52
Well, according to my assessments, I was not there00:06:56
what I hear from people is that about a00:06:58
company per day was lost in the Russian army, a00:07:00
company multiplied by three months. Here we00:07:03
come up with, for example, 10 thousand casualties00:07:07
killed and seriously wounded, which is exactly what00:07:10
the publics actually say, but I00:07:12
came a little from the other side, communicating00:07:16
with people, there are them the opportunity00:07:18
to communicate and,00:07:21
well, suffer such losses For the sake of such00:07:25
achievements of such goals, but again, there is00:07:28
no rationality, no logic of00:07:32
common sense, as there were no actions on February 2400:07:36
and no actions today. No,00:07:39
these are absolutely irrational,00:07:44
irrational00:07:46
actions that are carried out by the00:07:49
political leadership and they give00:07:51
orders to the army who carry them out in a00:07:54
rather unique way, too, we00:07:56
have witnessed many times how let’s say a00:07:59
commander on the spot who has a head00:08:02
on his shoulders understands that he is00:08:03
not able to carry out the order begins to00:08:05
sabotage in his own way, avoiding00:08:08
the need there from the opportunity.00:08:14
He also wants to stay alive, and so on00:08:16
I can cite a lot of such cases, I don’t want to00:08:19
waste your time,00:08:21
and in the end we end up in a situation where00:08:24
there is a collapse, a managerial collapse, but00:08:28
it can continue for quite a00:08:30
long period because this is the00:08:32
agony and00:08:34
the collapse of the Putin regime, it00:08:37
will not be fleeting, it00:08:40
will be protracted but in the end you will collapse00:08:43
because it is doomed like any00:08:45
totalitarian00:08:48
says that it is collapse What00:08:52
is it in principle if we speak00:08:55
Well, I give these examples many00:08:58
times in different interviews I said about this00:09:00
that Russian propagandists in general are Russian00:09:04
Propaganda, they are any totalitarian00:09:06
Propaganda is based on a lie and they00:09:09
put forward certain theses that have no00:09:12
historical confirmation and00:09:14
they build their Propaganda on these theses00:09:16
and their very favorite thesis is that the00:09:19
Russians never lose, this is a lie,00:09:22
any army that fights sometimes00:09:25
wins, sometimes it loses, that’s why it is a00:09:28
war just like in sports, for every00:09:30
winner there are always winners,00:09:33
so the Russian army knew glorious00:09:37
victories, knew monstrous defeats.00:09:39
I want now to go through the00:09:43
history of00:09:44
that which was not very long ago. I don’t want to00:09:46
say now that there was a00:09:47
Tatar-Mongol Invasion. Well,00:09:50
we had the Crimean war This is the middle of the 19th00:09:52
century, we had the Russian-Japanese War and00:09:54
we had the First World War, all these three00:09:56
wars were miserably lost by the Russian army.00:09:58
And each time the00:10:01
loss in this war was achieved by the00:10:06
opponents of the Russian Federation of Russia00:10:08
in such a way that the Russian army00:10:11
was brought to a state of incapacity00:10:14
that is, when00:10:16
the orders that come from the00:10:18
political leadership cannot be00:10:21
carried out because the mechanisms for00:10:23
carrying out these orders do not00:10:25
physically exist. Well, for example, the Japanese sank the00:10:29
Russian fleet completely and it could not00:10:31
continue hostilities. Because it00:10:33
no longer exists, well because, for example, in the00:10:36
First World War the Russian the army00:10:38
lost00:10:39
the ability to00:10:41
coordinate00:10:43
complex actions On a huge00:10:46
section of the front, that is, command and control of the00:10:47
troops was disrupted00:10:50
and the army was in a state of collapse, that is,00:10:53
it was unable to join the00:10:56
Crimean company, the resources were also exhausted, the00:11:00
fleet was destroyed because the00:11:03
technological00:11:05
dispersion, so to speak, was such that the00:11:07
British and French there was a steam fleet And00:11:10
Russia had a sailing fleet, respectively. I00:11:11
had to flood it and the fighting00:11:14
could not take place. The army was also drained of blood and00:11:18
had to sign. I give these00:11:21
examples. Well, what a clear illustration that the00:11:24
Russian army has miserably00:11:27
lost wars many times, like any other army00:11:29
that has00:11:31
actively fought a lot, respectively00:11:34
what your country needs to do in00:11:37
this confrontation is to bring the00:11:39
Russian army to a state of00:11:41
incapacity, that is, to cause such00:11:43
damage to the manpower of equipment, such damage to00:11:46
management mechanisms that it will00:11:48
no longer be able to carry out00:11:52
crazy orders that are00:11:56
impossible to receive. Have you seen or not What the00:11:59
leader of the dude is Wagner Prigozhin00:12:01
began issuing medals for taking in solidarity,00:12:04
why not for liberation, and00:12:07
there are my own experts with whom I00:12:10
talked, they say that in principle this is a00:12:11
very good sign because then,00:12:13
after the end of the war, our victories will be00:12:15
easily identified by those who00:12:17
killed Ukrainian soldiers And the most important thing00:12:21
is that they are fighting. Yes, and we understand perfectly well00:12:24
that these are00:12:25
state unicorns, just souvenirs, that00:12:28
is, we see how they00:12:29
can actually be openly laughed at,00:12:33
but here it is much more serious. If I were in the place of00:12:36
any person who is now fighting in the00:12:38
Wagner organized crime group, I would think very00:12:40
carefully in general, about how to save a life00:12:44
because it’s clear, but again, you don’t have to00:12:47
be a00:12:48
very wise person,00:12:50
just read historical00:12:52
literature. Well, with such structures, there are00:12:55
many stories of wars, then, in00:12:58
general, the conversation was short, it doesn’t matter00:12:59
How this war will end Any person00:13:02
who fights in within the framework of the World of Death,00:13:04
he will be killed either by your servicemen or by00:13:07
their own, that is, they will not be left alive. And it’s00:13:10
so funny to me when they say that they00:13:13
can bunnies earn their freedom there;00:13:16
they get a chance; they don’t get00:13:18
any chance. That is, they will be killed in any00:13:21
case that is, this is death00:13:24
and then, rather, even at least00:13:29
that is, the only chance00:13:32
for the Bagrovo man to stay alive is to be captured by00:13:34
you. This is the only scenario.00:13:36
Because if, after the end of00:13:39
hostilities, they find themselves on Russian00:13:41
territory, they will begin to destroy because00:13:43
they will simply pose a threat to the00:13:44
authorities,00:13:46
so many people who went00:13:49
through the war and have blood on their hands00:13:52
killed, they are completely unable00:13:55
to live in society, any government understands00:13:59
and will get rid of them,00:14:02
this is not a soldier under oath who went to00:14:04
defend his homeland and he is motivated very00:14:07
ideologically and morally00:14:09
morally this is a Butcher mercenary pizza00:14:13
who will also continue to00:14:15
behave after the war is over00:14:17
no power is needed It doesn’t matter what kind of00:14:19
power Democratic they will be elected from00:14:30
from a00:14:36
number of these worthy Gentlemen of Fortune,00:14:39
I urge them to00:14:42
surrender to00:14:44
Ukrainian military personnel as soon as possible; this is00:14:46
the only opportunity to save lives.00:14:50
Grigory Putin continues to actually00:14:52
say that everything is going according to00:14:54
plan for him and If we talk about00:14:56
what his plan is next, here is Andrey00:14:58
Larionov made a statement to you about00:15:01
Putin’s plan called big Stalingrad,00:15:03
which involves a triple strike on00:15:05
Ukraine From Belarus, Donbass and00:15:08
landing in the Odessa region, the task is to00:15:10
cut off Ukraine from the supply of Western00:15:12
weapons and ultimately force00:15:14
surrender What do you think about this, what do00:15:17
you think, how much exactly?00:15:18
really this plan is what Putin will do now.00:15:23
Putin is a person who is absolutely far from00:15:28
military affairs and the military art00:15:30
of war,00:15:32
and Putin is an00:15:35
operative of his special services, that’s why00:15:39
he calls war a military00:15:42
operation because only in such00:15:44
categories can one perceive the state00:15:48
when this war began, the Russian00:15:51
armies were committed all possible00:15:53
possible mistakes00:15:55
that if they had compiled a book on How00:15:58
not to fight, then the Russian army00:16:00
could have put all the actions into this book;00:16:05
one of the reasons why they behaved so stupidly is00:16:07
that the tasks00:16:10
that the political leadership set for them00:16:12
were00:16:14
unattainable with those resources with which they00:16:17
chose 9 operational directions in order to00:16:20
carry out strikes at the same time,00:16:25
this was completely impossible to do00:16:27
considering that the group was00:16:29
like 200 thousand people, count together00:16:36
now they are talking about three00:16:38
operational directions they will00:16:40
have everything by the beginning of the offensive they are planning with the00:16:43
same mouth in the thousands00:16:45
quality which it is no longer comparable;00:16:49
they simply cannot be compared; firstly,00:16:54
in general, in essence, those armed forces00:16:59
that were the00:17:00
most combat-ready00:17:03
today do not exist in that form00:17:05
because they were physically destroyed and those who were00:17:08
recruited00:17:09
2 3 set of mobilization in these00:17:12
states00:17:13
in terms of quality they cannot, the same thing00:17:18
happens in the Russian army, that is, the00:17:20
Elite is buried00:17:22
in the main time of a00:17:25
very limited successful00:17:28
summer offensive when Russia paid for tactical00:17:31
successes by burying your00:17:36
land with its officer corps, the elite of its00:17:39
army, and so on. This is from the point of view of00:17:41
human quality material00:17:44
and now let's look at the00:17:47
technical support if At first00:17:51
they were more or less armed,00:17:53
more or less Well, the level of technology00:17:56
corresponded to the concept of the beginning of the 21st century,00:18:00
relatively speaking Now they have the00:18:04
equipment that was in00:18:08
deep conservation there for a long time00:18:11
T-64 tanks and so on00:18:14
if at first they absolutely00:18:19
felt free in terms of using00:18:20
ammunition for guns of a wide variety of00:18:24
calibers, now they are all noticeable, they have00:18:29
completely the wrong resources. What00:18:33
kind of landing can be taken care of? If you00:18:37
keep nice control over the retreats to yours.00:18:42
What kind of breakthrough of the front line00:18:45
can be taken care of if After killing00:18:48
10 thousand people for three months, they cannot take a village00:18:50
with a population of 10 thousand before the war. I’m now00:18:54
saying there,00:18:56
the beginning of our conversation now.00:19:00
What yes? What yes? I’m sure that they, well, there’s no00:19:05
such stupidity about war. Therefore,00:19:09
I think that They will try to attack a second time.00:19:14
I think that they will not refuse such a00:19:16
pleasure because if successful,00:19:19
it will allow them to wash away all the shame00:19:21
that covered your Russian army,00:19:24
this00:19:26
time after time you inflicted00:19:31
significant defeats on them to a00:19:34
superior enemy who00:19:37
said anything about that before the start of the war,00:19:40
that in two weeks he will take over your00:19:42
State and they will lize it there,00:19:46
and so on,00:19:50
what happened is actually00:19:53
militarized to a significant extent.00:19:55
Russian we are00:19:56
talking about one hundred thousand approximately dead00:20:00
military personnel, the population of a large human city,00:20:08
but in the event of the capture of Kiev, this00:20:12
will wash away the shame00:20:15
for the Russian army, so they00:20:18
will try to storm it a second time, I think00:20:22
that they will not have success as well as the00:20:24
first time because you are ready for this00:20:26
today much better than 10 months00:20:29
ago, they are ready for this much worse.00:20:32
However, an attempt. I think this will happen and00:20:37
one of the reasons why00:20:40
it has not happened so far It’s time that00:20:42
Lukashenko understands what this can00:20:45
lead to and is trying in every possible00:20:47
way to00:20:51
avoid such a development of the situation in a frying pan. Well,00:20:53
either he will simply be forced to do this by blackmail and threats,00:20:57
so to speak, or simply the00:21:00
Russian army without a Belarusian part00:21:02
will accept such an offensive so that it00:21:04
will take place. I personally there is no doubt00:21:06
because you need to understand the psychology of00:21:08
Putin, whom you humiliated for the whole world,00:21:13
this is a humiliation that really00:21:15
cannot be washed away, that is, he will have to live with this00:21:18
humiliation. The only thing that00:21:19
can save him in his eyes, humiliation is00:21:24
the occupation,00:21:26
but I think I’m saying again that another thing awaits him00:21:30
inglorious defeat and It is quite00:21:33
possible that with two more such00:21:37
defeats00:21:39
the situation in Russia will begin to come out under the00:21:41
control of internal political00:21:44
Grigory, if you allow me to clarify, if00:21:47
they come from Belarus, then after all,00:21:50
according to your estimates, yes, that’s what you think,00:21:52
when this could still be because what do00:21:54
we know about what is ahead on February 23,00:21:57
February 24, Putin, all sorts of dates,00:21:59
our SBU secretary also Alexey00:22:02
Danilov spoke about this and if they leave Belarus, then00:22:05
what is the goal of capturing Kiev?00:22:12
in Zaporozhye because I am00:22:15
Zaporozhye Yes, they say to our general00:22:19
staff, that is, could it be, you know, some00:22:21
kind of attack? But it is precisely at the same time that some kind of00:22:23
counter attack Well, this is quite00:22:27
possible, but I have very little faith in their00:22:30
ability to coordinately carry out00:22:35
that they do not know how to do this which is00:22:39
actually no wonder because they00:22:40
never did this, the last time the00:22:44
army carried out such actions was in 1945, 1900, so00:22:49
they have no experience in relations with anyone. And it00:22:53
seemed to them that they knew how to fight because00:22:55
they were able to defeat little00:22:58
Georgia there. Yes, but now we are talking about a00:23:02
completely different war scale, this is a major00:23:06
continental war equal to which00:23:09
Europe did not know in the00:23:11
40s of the 20th century,00:23:15
they are very poor at coordinating00:23:17
efforts, they are very poor at00:23:19
coordinating the actions of the branches00:23:21
of units, this can be seen from the result,00:23:24
they can very poorly predict the00:23:28
result of their actions, they had the00:23:30
opportunity to predict something like this, they00:23:33
would not have hit in an anecdotal situation in the00:23:35
Kherson direction00:23:37
so that the military No one happened to them there00:23:41
But But I00:23:44
say again, there is no such stupidity00:23:46
that they themselves would not commit00:23:48
in this regard they can surprise us00:23:50
all I suspect that your intelligence and00:23:53
your general staff are considering these options00:23:56
and are preparing accordingly00:23:59
the reason The reason why you have so far00:24:01
failed to radically turn the situation around is that no matter00:24:03
how sad00:24:07
it is to admit, unfortunately the00:24:09
supply of heavy weapons by your00:24:12
Western partners is not enough,00:24:16
they are taking place, they are very important, they00:24:19
helped you win the00:24:21
Victories in this war that00:24:24
were achieved today, they helped you00:24:25
survive, but they are not enough00:24:28
to radically break the code of this00:24:31
war at this stage. I’ll tell you honestly,00:24:34
I didn’t expect that they would be so00:24:37
timid in these supplies.00:24:39
Well, I hope that I hope that the00:24:43
situation will change in the near future; in00:24:46
this case, I’m being00:24:48
delayed by the behavior of the politician which00:24:51
is being carried out by Great Britain00:24:54
because even a company of heavy tanks if00:24:57
you are provided with 4th generation heavy tanks00:25:00
is not at all small00:25:04
and a plus. This is a precedent plus this is a precedent00:25:07
and there is no00:25:08
shortage of 4th00:25:12
generation tanks in Europe today.00:25:14
If desired, these tanks can be00:25:22
mobilized, so to speak, from they are located in several countries at once,00:25:27
I’m now saying00:25:31
they are not only in Germany in service with00:25:34
many countries,00:25:36
more than 400 units of equipment are00:25:39
now in Continental Europe.00:25:42
So they can be immediately00:25:44
provided, you don’t need such an00:25:46
amount, you need00:25:50
less to00:25:53
reverse the outcome of the war Well, plus they can be00:25:57
produced, but Russia has nothing00:26:00
like it that could00:26:02
compete with tanks on the battlefield. 4 generations of such00:26:07
tanks are produced by only a few states.00:26:09
This is the American Abrams, this is the00:26:13
Leopard 2 German, this is the00:26:17
English Challenger, this is the Korean Tank00:26:20
and the South Korean one will not work. This is the00:26:23
Israeli Merkava00:26:24
4 which corresponds to the parameters of the00:26:27
standards of the concept of the00:26:30
T-72 tank Russian Soviet00:26:33
Russian which basically00:26:36
forms00:26:38
the basis of the tank fleet Or rather it was00:26:41
actually now they have left I00:26:45
think that only intelligence knows the information from me00:26:50
T72 it cannot fully00:26:54
compete on the battlefield with a 4th00:26:58
generation tank for a number of characteristics I00:27:01
will give only one example:00:27:03
if we are talking about the concept of Night combat,00:27:07
then in the dark the generation has a00:27:12
number of serious advantages 72 and, in00:27:17
general, the chances of a unit00:27:21
armed with T72 tanks against the 4th00:27:25
generation of00:27:29
Russian modern ones are00:27:31
breakthrough tanks of which they said00:27:33
there are several00:27:35
dozens of tanks just, again, we did00:27:39
n’t see them on the front line, that is, they are00:27:41
the units that appeared there,00:27:43
firstly they were destroyed, then00:27:45
they were destroyed in a variety of ways by00:27:47
blowing up mines before using00:27:52
drones strike and there are several of these tanks00:27:55
literally there00:27:57
were no examples mass00:28:01
application because in the case of their oil00:28:03
application they were able to break through. I think that00:28:07
this is another regular Bluff of the00:28:12
Putin regime when there are probably on00:28:16
paper their brigades there,00:28:20
but apparently this money has been stolen for a long time,00:28:23
villas, dachas have been built there, yachts00:28:29
in fact We see that what they actually have00:28:32
in fact, on the front line they were not felt by00:28:35
those units who were there; they did not00:28:38
deprive them of their work. And by the way,00:28:40
they were used quite stupidly, from00:28:43
which we can conclude that the quality of00:28:44
training of personnel, in general,00:28:47
leaves much to be desired.00:28:49
Grigory, if allowed, I00:28:51
will still return to Belarus because I00:28:53
also asked, what do you think, after all, when, if there00:28:56
will be an offensive, then when in your00:28:59
opinion?00:29:01
Well, I know,00:29:03
considering Well, the paranoid nature of the00:29:07
Kremlin00:29:09
administrative apparatus, I do not rule out.00:29:11
Just on February 24, a certain sacred00:29:14
date a year after the start of00:29:17
hostilities here we can repeat.00:29:19
They will try to deliver. I fully00:29:21
admit that this may be an option.00:29:26
We talked about weapons. Here is an example:00:29:29
Polish Minister Maravitsky warned that the00:29:31
defeat of Ukraine could become a condition00:29:33
for the third world war and therefore,00:29:35
in fact, calling also for everyone to00:29:37
give us the necessary weapons, it is known the fact that the00:29:40
next Rammstein will take place on January 20,00:29:43
it is known that he will meet with our00:29:45
Minister of Defense after all, Gregory00:29:49
What do you think should become, you00:29:51
know, such a possible psychological00:29:53
factor that the West will already be00:29:56
ready to give us exactly this,00:29:57
it is possible to find an offensive weapon00:30:00
the situation that is the00:30:01
Missile attack in the Dnieper, we know that00:30:04
at the moment when we are writing this00:30:05
interview, about 40 thousand people have already died,00:30:08
the rubble still continues,00:30:12
30 people remain, it is known that previously00:30:15
such a massive event,00:30:17
so many people, this event00:30:20
is unknown, what else will happen next is possible,00:30:23
given everything these factors should already somehow00:30:25
react What do you think?00:30:28
Firstly, let’s immediately note the main fact:00:30:33
Ukraine will already win this war;00:30:37
Ukraine will win this war; I said this00:30:40
after three weeks of action;00:30:44
fundamentally, in this war, Ukraine00:30:47
won; it can only lose in00:30:49
one case: The collective West will00:30:54
completely stop supporting your00:30:57
state and leave you 11 this is a00:31:00
contradiction to the interests of the West.00:31:03
Accordingly, I am considering this scenario00:31:09
and strategically Ukraine has00:31:12
already won in this confrontation Why00:31:15
because today your state is00:31:18
much stronger than it was February 2400:31:22
because today the Russian00:31:24
state is much weaker than it it was00:31:26
February 24 and because every day00:31:30
that passes your state00:31:32
becomes stronger and the Russian00:31:34
state becomes00:31:37
because all the goals that were00:31:39
voiced by Russia at the beginning of the war, none00:31:43
of the goals00:31:47
Russia suffered huge human00:31:50
losses, this does not concern the Putin regime00:31:51
at all, but you understand, in addition to the ordinary people00:31:54
there officers die And without officers it is00:31:57
very difficult to manage, but00:31:59
that is, this is not a00:32:01
humanistic question, but the instrumental00:32:06
military-industrial potential of Russia has00:32:08
been undermined00:32:10
and it will continue to slide. So,00:32:14
every month I get deeper and that is,00:32:17
strategically. Everything is already clear.00:32:21
Putin had a moment like this.00:32:25
he said that if he had enough00:32:28
brains for this, he would have committed such an act a few00:32:31
months after the start of hostilities, he would have00:32:35
withdrawn troops from your territory00:32:38
unilaterally, like00:32:40
the special operation on the border on February 24, there was a00:32:44
moment when it was possible00:32:47
and then he would have regained at least a00:32:49
political initiative and perhaps00:32:51
the West would force you in such a situation00:32:53
on those conditions to achieve a00:32:57
ceasefire of some kind of long-term00:32:59
Truce then00:33:00
but he is not able to think in such00:33:03
categories he does not have enough imagination00:33:05
What actions therefore he will go to the00:33:08
end and he will find his end in this war,00:33:13
now another question. What do you need?00:33:15
Find mechanisms, I also say this very00:33:17
many times; you need to find a00:33:19
mechanism00:33:22
to put pressure on Western00:33:25
society so that the help00:33:28
you receive is more versatile and00:33:32
sufficient for Victory;00:33:34
the only tool that I see00:33:37
that, in my opinion,00:33:40
this influence on the00:33:43
civil society of Western countries00:33:45
through the mass media available to you00:33:56
Rammstein is what you think, after all,00:33:58
maybe, given you know how Grigory, I00:34:01
’ll ask, considering what and where00:34:03
Zaluzhny and we were told about what in the spring, after00:34:06
all, it will be possible for our00:34:08
offensive to begin. Can this00:34:11
Rammstein somehow become like this? You know, very00:34:13
significant for us, decisive or not, I do00:34:17
n’t think that any one00:34:20
event will happen that will be decisive, that is,00:34:23
it goes, you know, as a00:34:30
sequential chain goes events, each of00:34:32
which is connected with the other and Little by little,00:34:35
these gears are much slower than we00:34:38
would like, but they are turning in the right00:34:40
direction00:34:41
and again, look, I’m also00:34:45
disappointed, also disappointed by the action of,00:34:47
say, the United States of Germany,00:34:50
France, but could we have00:34:53
imagined on March 1 that in addition to00:34:56
the Javelin you00:34:58
could we imagine that you would00:35:01
receive cremations, could we00:35:04
assume that you would receive00:35:09
armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles there? That is, all of this,00:35:13
all of this turned out to be incredible 9 months00:35:16
ago, however, now it is on your00:35:19
side, it is in your arsenal, but00:35:21
again, there will be no weapons here There won’t00:35:25
be any specific00:35:26
turning point of one that will00:35:29
influence it, all this will be a gradual00:35:33
increase in00:35:34
actions consistently, it will be a00:35:37
collective effort and ultimately00:35:40
the number of 1600:35:49
helicopters I think that you will get as00:35:52
for aviation, look I think00:35:55
that there is Airplane aviation I think00:35:59
that Soviet aviation sample you00:36:02
will receive as for00:36:03
16-15 I think that this will be done00:36:08
later after the war is00:36:10
over after you00:36:11
reorganize your armed forces, it doesn’t00:36:13
seem that at this stage00:36:17
But as for the air defense system there00:36:20
Here you will receive a wide00:36:23
variety of00:36:24
systems which will allow you to00:36:29
significantly neutralize the00:36:30
Russian threat; another00:36:35
if you are provided with means of, say,00:36:38
fire destruction that will allow you to00:36:41
work00:36:43
within a radius of00:36:45
300 kilometers, for example, not only00:36:49
several such options,00:36:53
then this will allow you to take the00:36:56
Russian rear under fire control and it is quite00:37:00
possible that this will greatly change the00:37:02
rules of the game for me, again, I cannot00:37:05
find for myself the answer to the question why the00:37:07
Americans have not yet provided00:37:09
the system. It is quite possible that, as00:37:12
was already the case more than once during this war, the pioneers here.00:37:20
Let's hope so Gregory I00:37:23
thank you for all your answers Thank you00:37:25
for your expert opinion Of course, they00:37:27
always take this opportunity to invite you to the00:37:28
Polytech, dear friends, also00:37:30
Thank you for your attention, subscribe00:37:32
to the Youtube channel of the Polytech, be sure00:37:33
to subscribe to the Youtube channel, author of00:37:36
Grigory Atamar Thank you also for your00:37:39
attention all the best and00:37:40
see you again Gregory We of course you We will00:37:42
definitely00:37:46
thank you Gregory00:37:50
all the best When you plan it00:37:53
[music]Description:
Григорий Тамар, @gregory_tamar офицер армии Израиля в отставке, военный историк,в новом выпуске на #политека_онлайн. путин ОБЯЗАТЕЛЬНО ПОПРЁТ на Киев в феврале, в Кремле наступил полный КРИЗИС Ведущая - Евгения Кутнова Поделитесь этим видео - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fKnD1Sou8hs Канал Григория Тамара https://www.youtube.com/@gregory_tamar/ Подписывайтесь на наш канал Политека Онлайн, жмите на 🔔 и выбирайте "все уведомления", чтобы не пропустить новые видео https://www.youtube.com/c/PolitekaOnline?sub_confirmation=1 В студии Politeka Online Григорий Тамар, офицер ЦАХАЛа в отставке, писатель, журналист, военный историк 18.1.2023 Таймкоды: 0:00 В інтерв'ю Вы можете поддержать канал ПОЛИТЕКА, сделав перевод на карту 5168745301518087 (Назначение платежа: пополнение карточки) Станьте спонсором канала Politeka Online, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHgiqmsIHN2PlQnBIRFRGGg/join Политека в твиттере https://twitter.com/PolitekaO Все актуальные новости Украины и мира в одном приложении MY.UA: Google Play - https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.myua.news App Stope - https://apps.apple.com/ua/app/my-ua-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE-%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%83-%D1%82%D0%B0-%D1%81%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%82/id1437521768?l=uk Подписывайтесь также на каналы: People Life - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLlUjg4ipS_SgwhLgg0yQRA?sub_confirmation=1 PolitБюро –самые актуальные новости https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCas2_yXFXTsAiYxY4WfenqQ?sub_confirmation=1 Мнение гостя не всегда совпадает с нашим, но мы считаем нужным предоставлять зрителям разные точки зрения.
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