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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:00
friends Hello everyone We're in touch00:00:02
today economist entrepreneur00:00:05
Dmitry Valeryevich Potapenko Dima I'm00:00:07
glad to see you categorically Greetings00:00:11
Dim here It would seem that there are so many questions00:00:14
regarding the economics of the adopted00:00:16
budget00:00:17
new new budget rules that00:00:21
Vladimir Vladimirovich signed today I wish we00:00:22
could just talk yes So00:00:25
the crisis in real life will accelerate sector in the00:00:28
small business sector, the decline in consumer00:00:30
demand which accelerated in September in00:00:32
October But you and I will discuss everything Well, that’s where00:00:35
we’ll start. Today we saw a00:00:38
video that everyone is actively dispersing00:00:40
about the authorities. Hurray, patriotic00:00:42
opposition channels, also in which we see00:00:45
two mobilized middle-00:00:47
aged men there 30-35 years old, probably somewhere,00:00:51
apparently in the city of Belgorod, who were directly00:00:53
taken to the parade ground during the formation, as it were,00:00:56
to a senior officer, and00:00:59
then they come out. So, accordingly,00:01:01
representatives of the investigative committee00:01:02
show the certificate, read it out on00:01:05
camera, all this is filmed, which means cameras from a00:01:08
special angle of the view formation The parade ground00:01:11
was visible, a military00:01:13
police car, in general, both of these guys were00:01:16
protected from charges under Article 332 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation,00:01:20
part two, refusal to execute the order00:01:23
means they face two to three years in00:01:26
prison Well, the official00:01:30
explanation is that they, being00:01:31
mobilized, refused to go to the00:01:33
front in the trenches in the zone of everything, somewhere00:01:35
else, tell me what it was, and that00:01:39
is, a-a What is it? This is some kind of production,00:01:42
some kind of realized performance, Yes,00:01:43
where all the roles are beautifully played, learned,00:01:46
or is it really, let’s say,00:01:48
some kind of improvisation on the spot events and with the00:01:52
obvious goal, as I understand it, to intimidate people so00:01:55
that others would be disgraced and everyone somehow00:01:57
looked at it and understood that no matter what the00:02:00
morale was there, but you00:02:02
really want to have to go. That’s how00:02:04
you evaluate this video. What does the00:02:06
new video say, of course, definitely on00:02:08
camera done therefore, talking about its00:02:11
spontaneity is pointless, it is clear that00:02:14
this is an attempt at an intimidation action, the00:02:16
result of this intimidation action alone00:02:18
will be diametrically opposite, the conclusion00:02:21
from this intimidation action is this: don’t00:02:23
get into the mobilized,00:02:26
they tried to hand over a summons, don’t take it, but00:02:29
they handed a summons, leave therefore here00:02:33
until you are in the army You00:02:36
are not a serviceman until you00:02:39
come to the military registration and enlistment office. You are not a00:02:41
serviceman, therefore, here because there00:02:44
is an attempt at the00:02:46
next iteration. Well, as we discussed in00:02:50
January, to make another wave of00:02:52
mobilization, which we will have to do00:02:56
in order to do it, if we do it, I00:02:59
emphasize because00:03:00
here I would In the place of the authorities, I00:03:03
would think very much But our authorities rarely00:03:06
think, much less think, including00:03:08
Speaking about myself, I first of all say00:03:10
think about yourself, so as not to00:03:14
bring confusion into your own management,00:03:16
confusion and vacillation, naturally you need to00:03:19
look for violence, but in such a way in a way00:03:21
they were not looking for00:03:24
what is called people to be grabbed on the00:03:26
street, and for those who are grabbed on the street00:03:29
you should directly raise There is the right What is00:03:34
called to shoot practically on the00:03:35
spot yes00:03:37
therefore there is no chance for such a level of violence00:03:40
announcement of mobilization There is a chance but00:03:43
it will be even more disastrous with from the00:03:46
point of view of the collapse just for the00:03:48
control system. Therefore, the more00:03:51
the government tries to convince itself that00:03:54
it is big, scary, that it is not00:03:56
local, like Trishkin’s caftan, like00:03:59
bald ones, these00:04:02
pieces of wool, that here we have00:04:05
wool, and here we have a bald head, but00:04:07
you have more it’s clear that everything is diametrically00:04:09
opposite, so Well, in general,00:04:12
such a performance should have00:04:15
happened. Well, look at the performance, they put the00:04:18
main comment under this00:04:20
video that the guys, but as if according to00:04:23
Nemirovich Danchenko. It’s just not00:04:25
Slavsky, it’s00:04:26
all a production. Yes, and acting00:04:30
as it was shown a lot questions for00:04:33
another question, why was it necessary to film at all00:04:35
if these were after all Who are one-00:04:37
time protests if these were00:04:41
some targeted reluctance of people00:04:43
somewhere to go somewhere there is a war zone00:04:45
Probably it would not have been necessary to record the00:04:46
video correctly call the operator to put00:04:49
the camera means there it’s all like this,00:04:52
trying to depict it in close-up,00:04:54
moving for the police war towards the00:04:57
car, then how their guys are00:04:58
twisting their arms until they are demonstratively00:05:00
breaking their hands, practically swallows.00:05:03
Leading to the car, that is, apparently we00:05:06
can assume. Maybe you and I are00:05:07
very mistaken that this is after all, it’s no longer00:05:10
isolated, not isolated, even such00:05:13
sabotage and refusal to execute an order. But the fact00:05:16
that such failures occur regularly, we have00:05:19
already seen them from the applicants more than once,00:05:22
but I remind you that I was also near the same00:05:26
Belgorod when they left, uh, in fact,00:05:30
the train and from of this train, let's be honest, in00:05:34
general,come out00:05:37
with weapons, people generally protested,00:05:40
then they filmed a kind of repentance video, but00:05:43
it looked much funnier than anyone could have00:05:47
imagined, so No, of course, the00:05:49
more power and scales the violence, the00:05:52
greater the passive resistance, I will00:05:54
use this term, the more the00:05:58
passive grows resistance but they00:06:00
will achieve their goals Do you think it will be possible to00:06:02
intimidate it will be possible to say so00:06:07
dissatisfaction reluctance to go00:06:12
on the part of people who now the response to the00:06:14
response backlash will be more00:06:16
disorganization00:06:18
organized of course there00:06:20
will not be any kind of civil resistance but00:06:22
more disorganization from the point of00:06:24
view of application in00:06:27
those or using other methods, more and more,00:06:30
the authorities cannot understand00:06:33
that people not only do not support it, but00:06:38
that they are they are not00:06:40
in opposition to it. They are in a nonsense00:06:43
towards it, and this kind of nonsense is00:06:45
very similar, you don’t touch us, we do00:06:47
n’t touch you I will, but in a different way. Believe00:06:50
me, here I am, when I observe all00:06:52
this, and as soon as the government crosses00:06:55
this border, it begins to violate the personal00:06:57
boundaries of a citizen, then a00:07:00
spontaneous civil00:07:02
society immediately begins to organize for the authorities.00:07:09
please, this is how you have a00:07:11
methodology for recruiting quiet and calm people,00:07:14
recruit quiet people calmly, don’t recruit00:07:16
violent people. Then the force will be with00:07:19
you and don’t create such stupid00:07:21
videos, okay Dima, look on the other00:07:24
hand, a whole deputy spoke, the first deputy of the00:07:27
presidential administration,00:07:30
Sergei Kiriyenko, what is the most who00:07:34
noted that his signature was to00:07:38
commemorate and announce the collapse of the00:07:41
Gkoffs pyramid and default, and so he00:07:44
himself Kiriyenko is not there, you and I00:07:46
will not oppose, and Kiriyenko himself said what00:07:48
it means he wants to turn the war into a00:07:50
People’s War, firstly, we don’t know there00:07:52
were any checks criminal cases on the basis of00:07:54
fakes discrediting because,00:07:56
as it were, this term is still not00:07:58
used, no official documents are mentioned,00:08:00
secondly, People’s, and you00:08:02
say that the authorities will say that00:08:05
they can’t transfer people into00:08:07
this regime, it’s completely politicized,00:08:09
politicized so that they supported, went,00:08:12
believed in this idea, which means bringing the00:08:15
Russian world into the00:08:17
fight against Satanists in Alaska and California, or they00:08:19
themselves don’t want to and are afraid to00:08:20
do it because the people know very little about the authorities.00:08:23
Unfortunately, for all these00:08:26
decades, I even said a century00:08:28
should be understanding that this is00:08:31
zemstvo. That is, in essence, the00:08:33
implementation,00:08:35
if we speak in00:08:37
modern terms, is the foundation of the00:08:39
Russian Empire or the Russian00:08:41
Federation, if you wish, in order to00:08:45
rule the country you need not00:08:50
henchmen, but you need them like this. Agents of00:08:53
influence in the good sense of the word are00:08:56
forced. You must create zemstvos.00:09:00
cathedrals You must create communities00:09:05
within these communities, you can manage something00:09:07
through the communities, you could influence And00:09:09
since the basis of this community and00:09:12
federalization was destroyed, therefore, in00:09:15
general, you can, of course, go out in a good00:09:17
suit with which no one associates himself.00:09:21
The key question is whether anyone can00:09:24
associate himself with Sergei Vladimirovich00:09:27
Kiriyenko No, he can’t00:09:29
As they say, he wears glasses and is an intellectual,00:09:31
even that’s why00:09:33
the Constitution was rewritten and the00:09:36
deadlines were reset and the Vertical of power00:09:39
was strengthened and strengthened Yes, by introducing the so-called00:09:41
public authority from the dismantling of the fact of00:09:44
local self-government which you00:09:46
say these are all the districts00:09:48
whose village deputies dispersed, deprived of00:09:50
funding, but okay, I00:09:53
understand you. On the other hand,00:09:55
Dmitry Peskov speaks with the secretary of President00:09:57
Putin and he, as it were, exposes, answers00:10:00
you that there is no need to throw it on00:10:03
the fan here, there is no need to scare us with the second00:10:05
wave, he says that very mobilization,00:10:07
but he formulates this phrase in a very interesting way00:10:09
Dmitry Peskov says that at the00:10:13
moment it means00:10:14
silicon there are no discussions00:10:17
about a new mobilization and he supposedly00:10:20
closed the question and said that in general00:10:22
partial mobilization has been stopped. But the00:10:24
question is new, not new, old, second00:10:28
wave of the old,00:10:29
at least you interpreted this00:10:31
comment from Dmitry Peskova, who was00:10:33
asked the question A will there be a new00:10:35
recruitment there? Will the word of people be raked in there00:10:38
near the metro there in the entrances on the streets00:10:40
we are blocking the highways He said that00:10:42
no conversations are being held on the other00:10:44
side the same Peskov told you00:10:46
about the same thing about the beginning of00:10:48
hostilities about mobilization about pension00:10:50
reform Well that’s precisely why it’s quite00:10:52
pointless to discuss this, let me remind you that there is no00:10:55
partial mobilization,00:10:58
it stops00:10:59
only by presidential decree and00:11:03
no conversations00:11:05
even the president himself bothers to talk about,00:11:07
so mobilization is still going on,00:11:11
martial law is still there and00:11:15
nothing has gone anywhere, all because it was00:11:19
so and there is still00:11:23
time left for00:11:26
all these pro-government telegram channels00:11:28
publics there taken Patriots Hooray Patriots00:11:31
disperses the information that Well, in general, it would be00:11:35
necessary after the New Year, which you00:11:38
and I talked about, according to your forecast,00:11:40
in my estimation, that this is somewhere00:11:42
right away after the New Year holidays or00:11:44
even during the New Year holidays until the00:11:46
people are hung over and come in. Which00:11:49
means calling up the peasants again. The Telegram00:11:54
channel is already writing that maybe even before the00:11:56
New Year in December it will be necessary. But00:11:58
how do you think00:12:00
the military registration and enlistment offices can cope with the flow of00:12:02
demobilized conscripts? also,00:12:05
these are waves of new mobilizations that the00:12:07
Hurray patriots themselves write in all the00:12:09
public pages, and Solovyov and Kiselev and Simonyan00:12:12
also talk about almost openly.00:12:13
I think that in general, since accounting for00:12:17
Nastya, well, that’s exactly what we do, right00:12:20
here, all the military registration and enlistment offices, they have it00:12:24
difficult of course, that is why they00:12:28
will carry out how to catch those who00:12:30
can be caught, just as they caught before. So00:12:34
they will carry out exclusively the00:12:36
tattoo norm that will work within their00:12:40
regions.00:12:42
And speaking00:12:44
in full, of course, there is no chance of taking away00:12:47
all 25 million who are subject to00:12:49
conscription. Well, this in general, it’s a big illusion And the00:12:52
most important thing is that it’s a big big challenge00:12:54
to lay down because power00:12:57
disposal is easier, how is it to find some kind of00:13:00
Great Pill to dispose of these00:13:02
peasants without bringing them to the military registration and enlistment office because00:13:06
through the military registration and enlistment office it will be00:13:08
much more difficult00:13:12
That is, in other words, you think that00:13:15
you not inclined to trust his Dmitry00:13:17
Peskov that the Question is closed and that00:13:19
the discussion is not being held at the moment00:13:22
now is not being held in a week there will00:13:23
be a00:13:25
formula the President promised not to carry out not00:13:28
to raise the retirement age and00:13:29
the Constitution to change circumstances00:13:30
have changed life has changed flows That's00:13:33
right That's exactly the same way everything flows00:13:35
it’s changing, it’s good for us00:13:39
And what could serve as a reason, let’s00:13:42
say, what should we look at, what00:13:44
news events is a reason to monitor00:13:47
To understand that00:13:48
we are approaching this line, we00:13:51
are approaching the possibility of closing00:13:53
borders, more stringent measures to mobilize00:13:55
everything else that could become00:13:57
such a trigger crochet You know, there is00:13:59
absolutely no00:14:02
cause-and-effect relationship here, this is the00:14:04
main problem, but the current government does00:14:07
not follow the cause-and-effect relationship;00:14:18
As they say,00:14:20
I convinced you00:14:22
and applied something like that, and then00:14:25
it turned out that it wasn’t so.00:14:27
So this is just a one-two punch.00:14:30
Well, in continuation of what you said, for00:14:34
about 269 days we are still being told00:14:36
that it seems to be according to plan, that it’s not right, but for00:14:40
just a plan Nobody knows00:14:45
what we want, but look,00:14:48
Lieutenant General Gurulev, he is already a00:14:51
State Duma deputy, United Russia is visible at the very one00:14:54
who was indignant That one and a half00:14:56
million were missing, either partenok or00:14:59
uniforms or something there and Well, kits for the00:15:03
mobilized then he said that we need to00:15:07
start preparing for a serious00:15:09
defense of Crimea, this is practically close to the00:15:13
text, I quote, it means that he said that00:15:16
now such measures are already being taken and we00:15:19
need to be prepared for this. What do you00:15:22
think if such00:15:24
statements appeared, such rhetoric and00:15:26
throws away not a representative of such a00:15:28
positional political force Yes, there00:15:30
either, but journalists throw out bubble bloggers after00:15:32
all,00:15:33
Lieutenant General State Duma deputy and00:15:36
what’s really going on there? What are they00:15:38
preparing for and won’t this become a00:15:40
trigger for the very00:15:42
mobilization we’re talking about, but you00:15:45
know, since they’ve been preparing for the00:15:47
defense of Crimea for a very, very long time Yeah, as I00:15:50
understand it that this particular rhetoric00:15:52
arose after Kherson00:15:54
here The key question guys And what are you00:15:58
going to defend yourself with just to catch up with00:16:00
the men as simply as this with bodies00:16:04
you can’t block this story from the other side it’s00:16:07
Sorry, the highmars are flying in and the drones are00:16:10
flying,00:16:11
we are just going to build00:16:13
drones for now So here’s the Key People are needed to00:16:18
equip with something, first of all, you need to00:16:20
equip with some meaning because the00:16:22
key question is00:16:24
to answer all these 25 million that00:16:28
you are going there, it’s good even if not00:16:30
9 million Even if you at least00:16:32
want to drive a million there, you need to answer00:16:34
one question that we are discussing00:16:36
for almost the last nine months00:16:38
the word why because this is the answer to00:16:41
the word why00:16:42
it varies all the time for you, but a00:16:45
clear concept of this word why does00:16:49
n’t emerge for you, and such a00:16:51
visible primitive simple one and no matter how00:16:54
someone wants it, it continues to emerge.00:16:57
Therefore, yes not certainly00:16:59
afraid that they can get it00:17:02
and here00:17:06
victory is a00:17:08
minus victory, that’s what we00:17:10
should now probably call the00:17:12
negative rates of victory,00:17:16
victory over the enemy How they are00:17:19
Satanists Well, look,00:17:22
Dmitry Peskov, who was asked00:17:26
about the respite for00:17:29
negotiations, answers the same question I began to comment00:17:31
on the words of Ukrainian President Zelensky00:17:34
that Moscow is delaying the negotiation00:17:36
process in order to buy itself time and00:17:38
take a break Medvedev and Peskov00:17:40
answered Russia is striving to achieve00:17:43
its goals special military operations00:17:45
can achieve these goals00:17:47
in different ways in different formats, but to the question00:17:49
whether Russia is striving to change the regime in00:17:52
Ukraine within the framework of this special operation, he00:17:54
answered negatively, which means he said that there is00:17:58
no such goal to change the regime of power. They are00:18:00
not going to. I have a question, but00:18:03
we heard about the fact that there are drug addicts,00:18:06
neo-Nazis, Ukrainian Nazis, Banderaites and00:18:09
with them. And how are all these goals for00:18:12
militarization of disinfection feasible00:18:15
without a changeable political regime which is00:18:18
presented to us as so bloodthirsty and00:18:20
Russophobic that almost seeks to00:18:23
destroy Mother Russia how does it00:18:25
all fit in as00:18:29
Confucius said everything flows everything00:18:31
changes so tomorrow maybe they00:18:34
will change their shoes in the air as easily00:18:36
as their task is perfect Another is00:18:39
to maintain power, their task is always to stand00:18:42
at the top of the00:18:44
distribution pyramid and for this00:18:48
they are ready to do anything, so00:18:51
they have no other task, you00:18:53
want songs, I have them, I00:18:56
actually have them for any question. Any00:18:59
answer is essentially the case. Now what00:19:03
demonstrates what we mistakenly00:19:04
call the state That is, their task is to00:19:07
ensure their life and freedom00:19:11
To preserve their assets00:19:14
financial real the main thing is power00:19:17
money00:19:19
is secondary The key power he always00:19:23
stands at the top of the distribution00:19:25
pyramid And money and everything else will be that is,00:19:28
in this regard, Peskov’s statement00:19:31
can change in depending on00:19:33
how good or bad everything is going and00:19:35
from this some new00:19:37
goals and objectives will appear, I know in one scam I00:19:41
know in one of the broadcasts I joked that if00:19:43
tomorrow, for example, some of our00:19:45
government bodies like the State Duma there00:19:47
will be paid salaries from from another00:19:52
source, I’m afraid that they will00:19:53
wear embroidered shirts and again do00:19:58
n’t feel like they’re in Merlot Ukraine.00:20:03
Well, some deputies we saw them on the00:20:06
Maidan in 2004 with orange flags and00:20:10
the same Soloviev, known to00:20:13
kissel, Dmitry Kiselyov spoke with us00:20:16
there and Anton Krasovsky noted So00:20:19
in general,00:20:21
that’s why I assure you that the main thing is00:20:24
to pay the money and tomorrow we will simply00:20:27
fly under a different flag and our anthem00:20:30
will change, I have strong00:20:32
confidence that you are simply somehow00:20:36
providing benefits, and whoever will pay00:20:39
will sing yours if necessary00:20:42
liberals00:20:47
absolutely, any color please,00:20:51
good00:20:56
point of view, this00:21:00
change in the situation00:21:02
includes all the fighting, and let’s00:21:06
say everything is not developing in the00:21:08
way that they themselves were preparing for and00:21:10
which they tried to00:21:13
show on TV as a society for the last 8-00:21:15
plus months, that is, a signal00:21:19
that inside the country the nuts and bolts00:21:22
will be tightened more harshly, that they will00:21:24
tighten the legislation again, that they are preparing to00:21:27
close the border,00:21:28
that, accordingly, Even those small Freedoms00:21:32
that were in the country will simply be00:21:34
curtailed There are wild trousers or would you00:21:37
take this statement seriously, I can00:21:38
say that I I would proceed from00:21:40
the following: that they have such00:21:43
internal dissonance that they don’t just have00:21:45
an agenda and they how it really works00:21:47
situationally extreme situation situationally00:21:50
they can How to tighten the screws and00:21:53
forget to forget about it to do it00:21:56
I just look at the fact of their actions that00:21:59
some kind of then action programs00:22:02
That is, you don’t see that these are well-00:22:05
thought-out strategies Yes, there is a plan 10 At least00:22:08
promptly not in one direction or in the other00:22:10
in any direction00:22:12
Well understood00:22:15
well Dino Then then00:22:19
Let’s move the economy gradually00:22:22
because everything is also maximally00:22:23
interconnected00:22:25
So we now have00:22:27
a State The Duma, as always,00:22:29
distinguished itself00:22:30
factions in Russia, the government clearly00:22:33
made it clear that there is no money, but you00:22:35
are holding on as if this is the logic. We did not00:22:37
ask your parents to give birth to you, it is00:22:39
strong, it is in action, which means that from January 1,00:22:43
excise taxes on coded goods will be increased,00:22:46
this and00:22:48
petroleum products are flammable materials00:22:51
gasoline diesel Aviation kerosene is a00:22:53
tobacco product containing alcohol, alcohol-containing00:22:56
products and perfumes,00:22:58
etc., motorcycles and cars and00:23:01
everything else, all this will go up in price,00:23:04
plus a 9 percent increase in00:23:07
housing and communal services for the month of December Eight and a half for00:23:10
GAZ is also an unscheduled extraordinary00:23:13
increase from your point That's how It will all00:23:16
be possible to explain to people that they are fighting00:23:20
for something great, bright, eternal, which means00:23:23
that the people and the party are united here, in general,00:23:25
power is all for the people, and at the same time the people00:23:28
themselves are getting poorer, the prices are tightening, prices00:23:30
are rising and his pocket is plunging his hand deeper and deeper, that00:23:33
is,00:23:35
this cauldron will explode let’s say so or it won’t00:23:38
explode there will be some kind of indignation00:23:39
people’s misunderstanding why Gazprom’s00:23:41
profit is two and a half trillion rubles00:23:43
in the first half of the year And dividends are00:23:45
trillion two hundred Miller’s salary is 500:23:47
million rubles a day and Europe is00:23:51
freezing they are sitting on00:23:53
dead wood without gas, they are raising coal miners but for00:23:56
this it is enough just throw00:23:57
money at the propagandists so that they can00:23:59
talk about the fact that Europe is freezing, they are00:24:01
you And everything is more or less normal for you, the fact00:24:04
that you are cold Well, you need to00:24:07
wait a little, like in the movie What are00:24:09
men talking about, you need to wait a little, this is00:24:12
just closer warmed up to the TV00:24:15
with it, of course, yes,00:24:17
the main thing is TV, don’t turn off everything00:24:19
else, you’ll be fine,00:24:21
so since this is the simple logic of00:24:23
our authorities, they use it. And our00:24:26
fellow citizens, in general, also try00:24:28
not to disconnect from the TV, because when you00:24:30
disconnect from the TV, it turns out that00:24:32
you’ve already been robbed and robbed you either have a00:24:35
toilet, as they say, but on TV00:24:38
you are a great winner of monsters and a00:24:41
winner of the00:24:42
Judeo-Banderists,00:24:44
that is, they write everything again in Prussia, the00:24:48
Pecheneg subtsera traditionally, as always,00:24:52
as This will affect domestic goods00:24:54
producers in small businesses in00:24:56
industrial enterprises, because with this00:24:58
population impoverished it is necessary to work00:25:00
physically, there are fewer in pieces, there are a million00:25:03
and a half countries at the beginning of the year, they left there,00:25:05
according to various estimates, who did not return,00:25:07
they are waiting, which means, plus those who are00:25:11
also left for the war zone or00:25:15
coordinating is the prices have risen,00:25:18
etc., this is how the economy00:25:19
internally will be the one that is not00:25:21
sits on export00:25:22
You know, it will collapse and00:25:26
many people will also leave the country,00:25:29
but in general the government is the only thing00:25:32
they need to live beautifully and amazingly in00:25:34
this country without us, the fewer people00:25:36
the more oxygen, according to this simple00:25:40
children's fairy tale, they live00:25:42
then there is a private sector small business00:25:45
medium the00:25:48
creature will die Absolutely right,00:25:52
I understood Well, good and at the same time00:25:57
in the State Duma they announced something to increase the00:26:00
pensions of working pensioners As the00:26:02
government announced, pensioners00:26:04
do not need to work because they themselves00:26:06
want it, although we understand that this00:26:09
song is to survive insurance in 14-15 thousand is basically00:26:11
impossible, so all these00:26:15
indexations said that now is not00:26:17
the time, it wasn’t there and in principle it won’t be,00:26:19
plus, there’s no cancellation of the pension00:26:22
reform traditionally, there are no00:26:24
progressive taxes on millers00:26:27
cut off from them,00:26:29
that is, there are no I’m not surprised that00:26:31
this is all happening exactly in line00:26:34
Yes, absolutely everything seems to be going on Everything is going according to00:26:37
plan everything in their Jesuit plans they are00:26:41
not achieving anything except through politics to00:26:44
preserve their own power so that the00:26:46
people do not interfere with them in this preservation of this,00:26:49
just physically do not interfere with us00:26:52
ruling you and select you according to the full00:26:55
program, they are00:26:56
so confident in the power and televisions and00:27:00
propaganda they are confident in the combination of the power of00:27:03
propaganda and00:27:05
repressive bodies00:27:07
and you think that they are not00:27:09
mistaken in principle No they are mistaken But they are00:27:13
confident in this,00:27:15
and the fact that the programs of both Skype and00:27:19
Solovyov have fallen out of the top -10 in terms of coverage00:27:22
at the Victory of Staples, that’s all about00:27:25
the ratings,00:27:26
what this may indicate is00:27:29
that people already understand that the whole escalation of00:27:31
aggression by the military militarism and00:27:33
belt-tightening is already not working well,00:27:36
but it’s certainly bad, which is why we need a00:27:39
combination of just00:27:41
more repression of the00:27:43
greens and different00:27:47
such greens how do you have the Matrix behind that00:27:50
back? Absolutely right. Well, good. And then the00:27:54
question is your forecast for the economy. I00:27:56
remember you said that it is00:27:58
September-October that the acceleration of the decline in the00:28:01
economy in consumption in investment is00:28:02
happening on the other side. You00:28:04
said that in November you are expecting the first00:28:07
some negotiations00:28:08
on the process, your forecast has not changed,00:28:11
you still see the prospect here, well, for00:28:14
me, the negotiation process is of course00:28:16
Unfortunately, it doesn’t depend on me, as if all00:28:18
the prerequisites for it are there, but for now let’s be00:28:21
honest, both00:28:24
sides have not yet reached the negotiation process Although everything00:28:26
there are prerequisites for this. And what is missing?00:28:29
You know,00:28:32
on the one hand, there is success from the point of00:28:37
view of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, that00:28:41
is, this is Kherson, on the other hand, there is no00:28:44
success from the point of view of the Russian00:28:46
armed forces, this is the abandonment of Kherson and00:28:48
each of the parties, one of the parties, believes00:28:51
that this is, accordingly, what00:28:54
to agree on if we win and the00:28:56
other side thinks how we will00:28:58
agree if we lose, so00:29:00
here00:29:02
in this As they say, there is an imbalance. That’s why00:29:05
if the situation went more or less00:29:08
smoothly, then the chance for negotiations would be00:29:11
greater. But since we00:29:14
were relocating from Kherson to in this00:29:18
case, the negotiation process00:29:19
was suspended and not started,00:29:24
but following this logic. And if a00:29:29
trend shows with gestures of goodwill and00:29:31
regroupings in order to occupy more00:29:33
advantageous positions, negotiations00:29:35
will not continue in principle, but it all depends on00:29:39
how much of a collision it will be, the00:29:40
active ones will go in the00:29:42
direction of one country or another Because00:29:46
if we, of course,00:29:47
relax like this, then of course there00:29:50
will be no negotiation process. We will reach the00:29:53
scenario that, simply put, we have00:29:57
all sorts of Duma members with him, simply put, they00:30:00
will change00:30:02
the color of their shirts,00:30:06
they paid the salary well, the rest00:30:10
Tell me what is your forecast on the possible00:30:14
pressing of the red button on the start of a00:30:17
global nuclear war, how much have you00:30:19
changed your view on its likelihood,00:30:22
especially in the context of the fact that at the00:30:25
G20 summit in Bali, where Russian President00:30:27
Vladimir Vladimirovich, as we00:30:29
expected, did not fly for a number of00:30:31
reasons, including not trying to avoid00:30:33
getting into They create an unpleasant hostile00:30:35
environment towards themselves.00:30:37
Because it’s one thing to send Lavrov there and00:30:39
show it on TV. It’s another thing00:30:41
if the so-called friendly China00:30:43
India would say to00:30:45
the president’s face that in fact, what didn’t00:30:48
they say in the end, the G20 declaration that00:30:51
they are just using nuclear weapons is00:30:52
not acceptable even Blackmail itself Blackmail the very00:30:54
mention of these nuclear weapons as a00:30:57
tool for achieving political goals is an00:30:58
unacceptable side of this country here is00:31:00
your forecast How it is changing But I can honestly00:31:03
say that I am still00:31:05
cautiously optimistic00:31:08
that the nuclear button will not be pressed00:31:12
thank God it remains,00:31:14
but I can say that until the end,00:31:18
until the nuclear Button is under the00:31:22
control of a much larger number of00:31:26
more or less balanced people, I00:31:29
will always be afraid of this, this is00:31:31
absolutely normal, but the clock, let’s say, a little bit of a00:31:35
nuclear disaster has been pushed back00:31:37
a little - just for a minute00:31:40
I understood a little tell me but do you think00:31:44
that after all the Kremlin and the bunker were conveyed00:31:48
very clearly and popularly that this is the position00:31:50
not only of Washington London Brussels, we are00:31:53
the position of Beijing and in fact from these00:31:55
including Ankara other countries that there are no00:31:57
nuclear weapons and even mention00:32:00
used is unacceptable, but somehow it00:32:02
was besieged all the same correctly, I think that00:32:05
yes, that in general no one needs a nuclear war00:32:09
under any circumstances, this is00:32:11
true When Iran was next to North00:32:14
Korea, it became that if it flares up, it will00:32:18
flare up very strongly and does00:32:20
not exist in a nuclear war There are00:32:22
absolutely absolutely winners00:32:25
[music]00:32:29
and Medvedev’s statement of various kinds And that00:32:34
we can have our territory As they say,00:32:36
the case of the emergence of the existential00:32:39
existence of the Russian Federation And00:32:41
pressing the nuclear press the red button00:32:43
is clear that Ukraine and Western Europe00:32:46
America recognize Crimea as Russian00:32:49
territory, the Russian authorities recognize it00:32:51
accordingly, can’t they this is what00:32:54
General Gurulev said in preparation for the00:32:56
defense of Crimea, that the word will not be smeared there,00:33:00
this red button for defense. I00:33:03
think that this is an unlikely development of00:33:05
events. But since, as they say, there00:33:10
is still such a thing here - cutting the00:33:12
budget of military budgets, which you and I00:33:15
should not dump bills There are00:33:18
five trillion rubles for next year,00:33:19
absolutely right,00:33:22
this is good money.00:33:25
Well, you know, almost two annual budget for the00:33:28
economy for absolutely there is something00:33:31
to have fun with, so you can defend00:33:33
even Crimea, at least you know, I don’t know the approaches to00:33:37
Burkina Faso and the planet Nibiru for00:33:41
that kind of money you know such a00:33:44
wonderful joke is circulating on the Internet This is00:33:46
Let's get excited Let's ask00:33:49
Aleksandrovna Panfilova with her stumpy00:33:52
benches to vote for a garbage can00:33:54
using electronic voting That00:33:57
is, I perfectly showed in all the elections00:33:58
to the Moscow City Duma of the nineteenth year to the State Duma of the00:34:00
21st year of amendments to the Constitution we will bring00:34:04
a referendum on the return, for example, of Alaska00:34:06
becoming Russian The federations remotely00:34:09
vote that all Alaska is a little California00:34:11
in Russia and recognized part of the Russian00:34:13
Federation, I00:34:14
sew up the climate of Switzerland, I00:34:18
like it better Alaska is cold there was no00:34:21
ice, so dear Russians, if00:34:24
next time there will be a similar poll in00:34:26
Switzerland, the Alps are better there Well,00:34:29
the climate of Alaska is more interesting after all00:34:32
Let's leave these Americans there00:34:36
Yes, without the spiritual ones, but let's do this. Here's a00:34:39
more decent one.00:34:42
Well, it's00:34:45
not a question for you about the economy, which means that00:34:48
in the end the outline of the so-00:34:50
called budget rule has become clear, which00:34:53
for many years ensured the00:34:56
withdrawal of trillions of rubles from the Russian00:34:58
economy, supposedly they were not earned,00:35:00
supposedly this money could not be used to00:35:02
reduce taxes there on industry And00:35:04
business to reduce taxes there on the00:35:06
poor to increase wages pension00:35:09
everything else is00:35:10
normal loan rates for me00:35:12
enterprises means before it was there00:35:15
40 dollars per barrel plus indexation 200:35:18
percent yearly increase everything that is higher00:35:20
prices were immediately collected from00:35:23
extra-budgetary funds into the reserve fund and00:35:25
stored in the country's currency,00:35:27
now it became known that Putin00:35:29
today signed the law of the00:35:32
Union of old sweet goods and on the other00:35:35
hand approved a new budget rule, the00:35:38
same form of law was signed. So00:35:40
now there is no indicator of the price of00:35:42
oil not 40 and 50 and 60 dollars and there is a00:35:46
total volume of oil and gas revenues of the budget00:35:48
which should be 8 trillion rubles00:35:52
annually in 2023 2025 indexation00:35:56
annually 4 percent after00:35:59
25-2600:36:01
So now they say that everything that00:36:03
will be more We withdraw this amount and00:36:05
store it in a box Everything that up to this00:36:07
amount, we are letting everything go to the00:36:10
budget, etc., etc. This roughly00:36:12
corresponds to the oil range of 60-7000:36:14
dollars per Barrel, at a bite there is a question00:36:16
at the exchange rate of approximately about 765 Which means00:36:20
oil production is 9 10 million barrels per00:36:23
day Tell me how generally the00:36:26
budget rule is everywhere there is00:36:28
a sense today when an embargo is introduced on the supply of00:36:31
oil and petroleum products When00:36:33
the supply of gas to Europe via the main00:36:35
gas pipeline fell in Petras, that is, what kind of00:36:37
imitation of vigorous activity is this and00:36:40
income is just a designation, you00:36:45
and I are talking about the fact that I00:36:47
often said that Russia is a00:36:49
feudal state problems with00:36:50
lieutenant generals just saying00:36:52
feudal lords said you know00:36:54
Hey people I need 800:36:58
trillion there the rest everything you00:37:01
earned is all yours But 8 you are not up to00:37:05
what you want to do Kill Steal00:37:08
where you want to find but 8 trillion00:37:11
Well, it’s just that the masks keep00:37:15
slipping and they slide down,00:37:17
less and less makeup remains.00:37:22
Well, it’s logical to assume that if there is a price, a00:37:25
price ceiling will be somehow00:37:27
established. And even without this price ceiling,00:37:29
we sell oil for $70, plus or minus,00:37:32
at a discount to the world benchmark. Where to00:37:34
Brand? North Sea now also has a00:37:36
brand below 80 there are 3 dollars. So, plus a00:37:39
reduction in production due to the Emba for00:37:43
oil supplies to reduce the volume of00:37:45
exports, in order to gain these 8 trillion,00:37:47
but the exchange rate there should not be 6200:37:50
rubles per dollar, but much over 80, if not over00:37:53
90. What are you in In this connection, you see what00:37:56
awaits the Russian ruble with such00:37:57
deficits of three and a half four00:37:59
trillion. This year and three next year, the00:38:01
budget rules for such a completely00:38:03
different building of the economy are the most00:38:07
correct thing. Well, how is it in their picture of00:38:10
the world - this is to weaken the Rubik and00:38:12
start up the printing press take a walk00:38:15
because without this, without a walk of the00:38:18
printing press and a weakening of the ruble,00:38:21
they don’t have the slightest chance,00:38:24
that is, you think taxes won’t be00:38:26
raised much, there won’t be any VAT, personal income tax and00:38:28
Yes, we don’t have it, wait, well, why00:38:31
slander our government’s nose? I have it00:38:33
platons we have Mercury00:38:36
egoists honest signs we have tax00:38:39
taxes no no we have00:38:42
all sorts of what it’s called no00:38:44
tax revenue there is some kind of00:38:47
tax on a blank or something else00:38:51
Well at least for a breath and it will be00:38:55
just shares it won’t be a tax So00:38:57
that there is no carbon footprint God forbid As00:39:00
they say farted in the wrong place in the wrong place00:39:02
yes yes That’s exactly what00:39:05
this is about and the entrance to the toilet will be00:39:07
a ruble and you two so everything is correct00:39:09
no00:39:11
Well let’s put it in simple language for our00:39:14
viewers That Do you think that it is possible to maintain the00:39:18
notorious macro-financial00:39:20
stability with the ruble to dollar exchange rate of 6200:39:22
rubles per dollar with these colossal00:39:25
expenditures on the security forces for the defense00:39:27
industrial complex where each of these00:39:29
rubles goes there 9 They wo00:39:31
n’t be able to manage too many millions of rubles there, but00:39:34
they don’t have such a task their task00:39:36
is worth 8 trillion on the table, from the rest,00:39:39
live as you want. Don’t forget that00:39:42
we are in you. Here is the main agreement,00:39:46
good00:39:48
conclusion question. Tell me the choice, we00:39:51
will have the mayor of Moscow for 23 years,00:39:53
presidential for 24 years, now an amendment was just00:39:56
made in my opinion by the deputies00:40:01
so that00:40:03
in fact, reduce expenses at00:40:06
least for00:40:07
Putin’s presidential campaign next year,00:40:09
finance00:40:11
Well, actually, we have military operations here,00:40:13
you know the crisis, everything is going on. But they are00:40:16
still pouring tens of billions of rubles into00:40:17
these elections, and there they00:40:20
grow by tens of00:40:21
percent of these expenses00:40:23
re-elections elections should be this is00:40:26
another VA the most important item of business there is no00:40:29
need to spoil the income of the guys so there00:40:32
have been elections and there will be elections we really do00:40:36
n’t choose anything Yes it doesn’t matter It doesn’t00:40:38
matter elections00:40:40
there may be and even will be candidates00:40:43
But it’s just business Just Business00:40:46
Nothing personal00:40:48
good thank you very much comments00:40:51
worked to see you I see in you00:40:54
such00:40:55
restrained optimism with skepticism,00:40:59
that is, you are nothing anymore00:41:01
I’m already00:41:05
growing philosophically the greatest00:41:08
[music]00:41:09
and I understand that the forecast is where we are00:41:12
heading into what kind of trampolines in in principle,00:41:14
unfortunately, it doesn’t change for a long time, so you00:41:16
know, it has such a fluctuation, that is, that’s how00:41:19
I look at it, but you know, behind00:41:21
some such small modifications00:41:24
in my forecast Well, OK, well, and00:41:28
they don’t00:41:30
even manage to surprise you with their kents in any way in such an00:41:33
unexpected move,00:41:34
we listen to everything with intellect no00:41:37
intelligence no but sometimes stupidity is00:41:40
good00:41:47
Take care of yourself and00:41:50
you my subscribers just see the00:41:53
comments they write on these means God willing, the00:41:56
guys will be free to win,00:41:58
alive and healthy As they say,00:42:02
and hope that everything will come your way00:42:05
Bye byeDescription:
Экономист, предприниматель Дмитрий Потапенко о первых арестах мобилизованных и уголовных делах за отказ ехать в зону СВО! В Белгороде возбуждены два уголовных дела в отношении мобилизованных по ч.2 ст.332 УК РФ «Неисполнение приказа»: двум мужчинам грозит до трёх лет лишения свободы! Задержание произошло прямо во время построения на плацу на глазах у остальных мобилизованных! Военная полиция увезла задержанных прямо с плаца. Постановка? Акт устрашения? Репрессии в отношении мобилизованных - это проигрышная стратегия, которая подрывает доверие и размывает легитимность правящего режима.
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How can I download "Аресты мобилизованных не спасут элиту? Уголовные дела за отказ ехать в окопы. Агония? Потапенко" video to my phone?
You can download a video to your smartphone using the website or the PWA application UDL Lite. It is also possible to send a download link via QR code using the UDL Helper extension.
How can I download an audio track (music) to MP3 "Аресты мобилизованных не спасут элиту? Уголовные дела за отказ ехать в окопы. Агония? Потапенко"?
The most convenient way is to use the UDL Client program, which supports converting video to MP3 format. In some cases, MP3 can also be downloaded through the UDL Helper extension.
How can I save a frame from a video "Аресты мобилизованных не спасут элиту? Уголовные дела за отказ ехать в окопы. Агония? Потапенко"?
This feature is available in the UDL Helper extension. Make sure that "Show the video snapshot button" is checked in the settings. A camera icon should appear in the lower right corner of the player to the left of the "Settings" icon. When you click on it, the current frame from the video will be saved to your computer in JPEG format.
What's the price of all this stuff?
It costs nothing. Our services are absolutely free for all users. There are no PRO subscriptions, no restrictions on the number or maximum length of downloaded videos.