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Russian
00:00:03
Sino-American relations have00:00:05
further deteriorated recently. The00:00:06
point of conflict has again become the island of00:00:08
Taiwan, to which00:00:10
Nancy Pelosi recently flew, which caused serious00:00:13
friction between the parties. However, despite00:00:15
all the threats of China on the anti-Pelosip proposal00:00:18
to the island, the Chinese authorities00:00:20
were only able to respond with small00:00:21
sanctions and military exercises around the00:00:23
island and in this issue we will talk about00:00:26
Why China is afraid of the United00:00:29
States,00:00:30
first it is worth saying a few words about the00:00:32
context After the first news00:00:34
that Nancy Pelosi would fly to Taiwan, the00:00:36
Chinese authorities made decisive00:00:38
statements that this would cause a00:00:40
forceful response from the outside In China, Chinese00:00:44
state media wrote that00:00:46
Chinese aircraft would be able to intercept00:00:48
Pelosi’s plane and could potentially even00:00:51
shoot it down. The tension remained until00:00:53
Pelosi’s arrival on the island.00:00:54
At first it seemed that the United States00:00:57
would not take such a risk, but in the end00:00:59
Nancy Pelosi’s plane landed on the island of00:01:02
Taiwan. Chinese authorities though and00:01:04
raised their aircraft into the air and brought out00:01:06
military equipment on city streets to00:01:09
Nancy Pelosi’s board, they did not approach, she successfully00:01:11
visited the island and00:01:14
flew away the next day, as a result, the response to the press Pelosi00:01:16
was military exercises around the island, as00:01:19
well as small sanctions against00:01:20
Pelosi itself and against Taiwan. fears00:01:23
that military exercises could00:01:25
end in an invasion of the island, but00:01:27
the fears were not justified. It is interesting that00:01:30
recently another American00:01:31
delegation arrived on the island. The Chinese00:01:34
authorities expressed a protest and again held an00:01:36
exercise. It becomes clear that China,00:01:38
despite all the threats, is not ready for00:01:41
confrontation with the United States. Well and the00:01:43
Americans themselves understand the weakness of the00:01:45
Chinese. Let's figure it out. Why The00:01:49
first thing is military potential is00:01:51
no secret that the United States spends00:01:54
fabulous money on defense, so according to the00:01:56
latest data, over the past year00:01:57
the Americans spent 801 billion dollars on defense,00:02:01
in turn China spent00:02:03
only 293 billion in In terms of military00:02:07
equipment and equipment, the Americans00:02:08
have no equal. The United States has the most00:02:11
advanced weapons. The United00:02:13
States fleet has an advantage over the Chinese00:02:15
in terms of the number of aircraft carriers, 11 of them. The00:02:19
United States of China has only00:02:21
two aircraft carriers. The same applies to00:02:24
aviation. The United States has a00:02:26
significant advantage in aviation, both in In00:02:28
both qualitative and quantitative00:02:30
terms, it is worth noting that China has00:02:33
indeed increased its00:02:35
military potential in recent years, but it still00:02:37
lags seriously behind the United States and00:02:40
will lag behind in the coming years. That is00:02:43
why the Chinese government is aware00:02:44
that despite the00:02:47
growing power of China, is now ready for a00:02:50
major confrontation with the United00:02:51
States; in this context, it is worth00:02:53
talking about nuclear weapons; if the00:02:56
United States has more than 5,00000:02:58
warheads, then China has 350 of them; such an00:03:02
advantage allows the United00:03:03
States to easily suppress00:03:06
China’s nuclear potential; moreover, China also has weaknesses00:03:08
in terms of nuclear response, unlike the00:03:11
United States and Russia, in general, in purely00:03:13
military terms, China cannot compete with the00:03:16
United States; in this context,00:03:18
it is worth mentioning the military experience of the United States and00:03:20
China. China actually has no experience in00:03:23
modern conflicts, and the last00:03:25
clash took place in Vietnam in00:03:27
1979, and then unsuccessful Since then, China00:03:31
has increased its military forces and adopted new00:03:33
weapons, but has not used them anywhere. The00:03:35
United States, on the contrary, has extensive00:03:38
combat experience in using its forces in00:03:40
Africa and the Middle East. A00:03:42
large company in Iraq has shown00:03:45
how much the US army has a00:03:46
technological advantage, even It is the00:03:49
weakest and Iraq's large army as a00:03:52
whole The American army has not suffered00:03:54
major defeats In wars in recent00:03:56
years, the00:03:58
second question is these are allies. China00:04:00
traditionally has virtually no00:04:02
allies in the region or in the world. By00:04:05
and large, China's only ally00:04:06
is North Korea, which00:04:09
also has military potential between countries in the00:04:12
61st a treaty of mutual assistance00:04:15
and friendship was signed, which stipulates military00:04:17
obligations between the parties in the event of an00:04:19
attack; this is the only military00:04:22
treaty of this nature that00:04:24
China has; at the same time, China has difficult00:04:26
relations with literally all of its00:04:28
neighbors; this includes territorial Disputes with00:04:31
India; Difficult relations with Vietnam;00:04:33
problems with South Korea and Japan,00:04:36
anti-Chinese sentiment is generally00:04:38
widespread in the region, therefore it00:04:40
will be quite difficult for the Chinese authorities00:04:42
to find allies in Asia, in turn,00:04:45
the United States has a wide network of00:04:47
allies around the world, including in the00:04:49
Asian region, the traditional00:04:51
allies of the States in the Pacific region00:04:53
are Japan South Korea Taiwan00:04:56
Philippines Australia but Scotland and00:04:59
Singapore with some of these countries have00:05:01
military agreements on mutual00:05:03
defense, joint military00:05:04
exercises are taking place, and American warships00:05:07
are in many ports and military00:05:09
bases near China, there are also interesting00:05:12
agreements called00:05:14
Quad, which includes the United States00:05:16
Australia Japan and India the agreements are00:05:19
aimed at containing China,00:05:21
although India is not a close ally of00:05:23
the states, there are strong anti-Chinese00:05:25
sentiments and many disputed00:05:27
territories by China itself. In general, the00:05:29
Americans have a significant00:05:31
number of allies in the region, while at the same time China has00:05:33
not been able to acquire reliable allies00:05:36
and, moreover, is in difficult00:05:38
relations with many neighbors, it is also worth00:05:41
noting that China has serious00:05:43
separatist movements and movements within the country00:05:45
for now they are restrained by the Chinese00:05:47
dictatorship, but in case of instability,00:05:49
separatist groups can begin00:05:52
secession among the most prominent00:05:54
separatist regions, it is worth highlighting00:05:55
Tibet and Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region00:05:58
hidden dissatisfaction with the Chinese government00:06:00
there is a great00:06:02
third question this is the economy, despite the00:06:05
intensity of the relationship between the states and China,00:06:07
they, in turn, are close00:06:09
economic partners and largely00:06:11
depend on each other. Chinese exports are00:06:14
16.5 percent dependent on the States. And00:06:17
imports are 8 percent. Thus, the00:06:20
United States is00:06:22
China's largest trading partner in In the context of the00:06:25
American economy, China00:06:26
also occupies a significant place. 19.5 percent of00:06:29
imports to the United States come00:06:32
from China. The dependence of the countries is obvious;00:06:34
moreover, taking into account all the allies of the00:06:36
states in Europe and Asia, the pressure on00:06:39
China may turn out to be simply00:06:40
colossal. After the start of the war in00:06:43
Ukraine, the Chinese authorities began00:06:44
to test their economy to be00:06:46
resistant to sanctions from00:06:47
Western countries, sources reported that00:06:50
many sectors of the economy will not be able to00:06:52
withstand such pressure. In general, it is worth00:06:55
noting that in general, the economic power of00:06:57
China that it achieved became possible00:06:59
solely thanks to the United00:07:01
States; after the meeting between Mao and Nixon,00:07:04
relations between the countries were00:07:06
unfrozen and densiopin reforms made it00:07:08
possible for foreigners to invest in00:07:10
China precisely thanks to these processes,00:07:12
China has achieved the success that the00:07:15
current state of affairs has today makes it00:07:18
possible for China to increase its00:07:19
influence in the region because, in a word,00:07:21
relations with the states will bring00:07:23
economic collapse to China. The United States00:07:26
and Western countries became rich and00:07:28
developed in the second half 20th century and00:07:31
without the dominance of the Chinese market But00:07:33
China without Western markets is unlikely to00:07:35
be a serious competitor. The00:07:38
fourth question is the possibility of a blockade of00:07:40
China by American forces, returning to the00:07:43
issue of military force. The United States00:07:45
has such significant forces00:07:47
that they can block China from00:07:49
the sea, thereby conducting a complete00:07:51
Blockade for any supplies to the Chinese00:07:55
military forces, they do not have a similar opportunity,00:07:57
so given that China is00:07:59
significantly dependent on the supply of a number of00:08:01
resources, in particular energy,00:08:03
such a blockade could lead to a halt in the00:08:06
Chinese economy as a whole. China has a00:08:08
significant regional imbalance in00:08:10
income if the northern regions of China are00:08:12
extremely poor and the level life there is at the00:08:14
level of African countries, then the southern regions00:08:17
that have access to the world's oceans are00:08:19
quite rich, blocking their work00:08:22
will lead to significant costs.00:08:24
Summing up, it is worth saying that China,00:08:26
despite its significant growth in00:08:28
recent years, is still not yet ready00:08:30
to compete with the United States, so the00:08:33
Chinese army is still lags behind the00:08:35
American economy dependent on00:08:37
Western exports and in addition to00:08:39
this China has virtually no allies00:08:41
This is why the Chinese authorities are still00:08:44
wary of confrontation with the United00:08:46
States I would be grateful if you00:08:49
support our channel through patreon busty00:08:51
or YouTube Thanks to everyone who already00:08:54
supports our channelDescription:
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