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Next video: БЕЛОУСОВ — НОВЫЙ МИНИСТР ОБОРОНЫ. Реальная причина смена Шойгу

БЕЛОУСОВ — НОВЫЙ МИНИСТР ОБОРОНЫ. Реальная причина смена Шойгу

БЕЛОУСОВ — НОВЫЙ МИНИСТР ОБОРОНЫ. Реальная причина смена Шойгу

Channel: Майкл Наки

красные линии

наступление всу

чонгарский мост

мост в крыму

удар по чонгарскому мосту

шойгу

центры принятия решений

удар по центрам принятия решений

пригожин

пригожин против шойгу

майкл наки

наки майкл

наки

путин

угрозы шойгу

война

война в украине

вторжение в украину

скабеева

соловьев

00:00:02

red lines How much there is in this sound for the

00:00:05

heart Z of nits Well, how much

00:00:08

offensive there is in this sound How much

00:00:10

shame there is How much shame there is in this

00:00:13

phrase red lines or

00:00:16

response actions or decision-making center

00:00:17

all these words all these phrases

00:00:20

are synonymous with each other which

00:00:22

once again demonstrate the absolute

00:00:25

helplessness of the Russian leadership

00:00:28

for the Russian military

00:00:30

population itself. Today we’ll talk about

00:00:33

how Sergei Shoigu, the Minister of Defense of

00:00:36

the Russian Federation, drew the red

00:00:38

lines, they were violated after a

00:00:40

day and a half and Absolutely nothing happened, and

00:00:44

of course the reaction to these phenomena on This is

00:00:47

another disregard

00:00:48

for Russian red lines Well, what’s

00:00:51

more important, of course, let’s talk about

00:00:52

Why Russia allows red lines to be violated

00:00:56

and why the West should stop

00:00:58

looking back at all sorts of threats, even

00:01:00

from Shoigu Medvedev, or from Putin,

00:01:03

or from anyone else. Why Russia

00:01:05

cannot carry out its threats.

00:01:07

look for a conflict can no longer

00:01:09

strike at decision-making centers

00:01:12

there outside of Ukraine or

00:01:14

even within Ukraine and Why Russia

00:01:16

cannot use nuclear weapons,

00:01:20

we’ll talk about all this in today’s video

00:01:22

and what actually became the reason The fact is

00:01:24

that Sergei Shoigu said on June 20

00:01:26

that if Ukraine strikes with Western

00:01:29

missiles with Western shells

00:01:32

on the Russian territory in which

00:01:34

he included Crimea, and it’s funny, what

00:01:37

should he make a separate excuse for? Well, that is,

00:01:39

because well, well, Sergei Shoigu

00:01:41

Vladimir Putin, you’ve been saying for 8 years that

00:01:43

Crimea is Russian territory, but here You

00:01:45

have to talk about Russia, including

00:01:48

Crimea. Well, that is, they seem to emphasize

00:01:51

that this is still Well, not exactly Russia,

00:01:53

but apparently they understand more and more that

00:01:55

in the foreseeable future Russian troops

00:01:57

may cease to exist there. But that’s me.

00:02:01

I digress. The point is that he sent

00:02:02

red lines, these red lines were

00:02:04

violated and there was absolutely no response.

00:02:06

Let’s look at

00:02:07

Shoigu’s statement itself so that no one thinks

00:02:09

that I’m a liar. For example, according to our data from

00:02:12

Ukrainian forces

00:02:15

on the territory of the Russian Federation, the

00:02:23

use of these missiles outside the zone of a

00:02:25

special military operation

00:02:27

will mean a full-fledged retraction The

00:02:30

United States of America and

00:02:32

Great Britain are in conflict and will entail

00:02:37

immediate attacks on the

00:02:39

decision-making center on the territory of Ukraine.

00:02:42

In general, red lines. This is a good and

00:02:45

important tool mechanism in

00:02:47

international politics. What is a

00:02:49

red line? A red line is

00:02:51

a certain line beyond which action is

00:02:54

beyond this line. provoke

00:02:56

response actions on a broader

00:02:59

scale than were previously used. Why are

00:03:01

red lines needed? They are not needed

00:03:03

to intimidate the other side; they are

00:03:05

needed to indicate the limits of what is

00:03:07

permissible in conflicts, for example,

00:03:10

when this happens in third countries.

00:03:12

Well, that is, this is the border beyond which no one

00:03:14

is allowed cross and the countries themselves

00:03:17

specifically designate them, and often

00:03:18

these red lines are not publicly

00:03:20

stated, but are spoken about Behind

00:03:23

closed doors, when do you start

00:03:25

publicly talking about red lines,

00:03:27

you take on a certain risk

00:03:29

in general why are you doing this, are you publicly

00:03:31

talking about red lines Not

00:03:33

because you are really worried that

00:03:35

the conflict will somehow not be broadcast on the radio,

00:03:37

but because you are threatening, that is, you are

00:03:39

starting to use red lines not

00:03:41

as an instrument of international politics, but

00:03:43

as intimidation, that is, saying If

00:03:46

you do this, then we will do

00:03:48

this And how many such red lines

00:03:50

did Russia draw, this and in general the supply of

00:03:52

Western weapons, then it was

00:03:54

specifically connected with RZO Highmars, then

00:03:57

it was connected with tanks, this was also a

00:03:59

red line, I remind you, then it

00:04:01

was with shells with combined uranium

00:04:04

separately, Vladimir Putin said that

00:04:06

this is an important red line for the

00:04:09

Russian state means now,

00:04:11

as far as I remember, the red line

00:04:13

has moved towards the planes, but only

00:04:16

if the planes take off from

00:04:18

Western airfields then Russia means,

00:04:21

as Putin said, it reserves the

00:04:23

right to strike or will think about

00:04:25

doing something like that In short speaking of the

00:04:26

red lines, there was already a carriage and a

00:04:28

small cart, or rather a Panama hat, and

00:04:31

some other components. However, every time

00:04:34

they were violated, nothing

00:04:35

happened, in fact, the red lines

00:04:38

in Russia are not such a funny topic

00:04:40

because, largely because of these red lines,

00:04:42

the West is so it took a long time for the necessary

00:04:45

support with the supply of weapons with the

00:04:47

supply of ammunition with the supply of

00:04:50

Western equipment and all these are human

00:04:53

lives. Well, that is, every delay in

00:04:55

the supply of one or another range of

00:04:56

weapons means even more deaths of

00:04:59

Ukrainian citizens who went to

00:05:01

defend themselves, their country, their loved ones

00:05:03

from destruction by the occupying army

00:05:06

which is engaged in looting,

00:05:08

wiping cities off the face of the earth,

00:05:10

rape, robbery and murder of

00:05:12

peaceful citizens, in fact, the more

00:05:15

the West is afraid of red lines, the slower the

00:05:17

arms rates go and the longer

00:05:19

this war goes on, this is monstrous. Because

00:05:22

if the West, from the very beginning, without fearing

00:05:24

any red lines, had entered In

00:05:26

this war, he himself would either accept

00:05:28

Ukraine into NATO in one day or close the sky to the

00:05:31

territory of Ukraine, or immediately begin

00:05:33

supplying tanks and infantry fighting vehicles and everything else

00:05:36

so that the war would be possible by this moment it would

00:05:38

already be over. However, unfortunately, it will

00:05:41

still go away, taking lives people every

00:05:43

day, but why did the West move? Why did the

00:05:45

West at some points stop

00:05:48

paying attention to the red lines? After all,

00:05:50

I’ll remind you that Germany at the very beginning of

00:05:51

the conflict said that it

00:05:53

would not supply lethal weapons at all

00:05:55

because, well, because it was afraid of escalation;

00:05:58

Washington did not impose sanctions against Alina

00:06:00

Kabaeva because they were very afraid of

00:06:02

Vladimir Putin’s reaction and even thought

00:06:05

that he might launch a nuclear strike.

00:06:07

So what has changed? Why by June

00:06:09

2023 the West is already supplying Ukraine with a

00:06:12

huge amount of equipment And in fact, it

00:06:15

plans to supply even more in the future, it’s

00:06:17

all very simple Russian red

00:06:19

lines turned out to be dotted or

00:06:21

not real, a

00:06:23

war criminal beloved on this channel expressed himself more succinctly on this topic,

00:06:26

who I hope

00:06:27

seems to be in prison as soon as possible, and Evgeny

00:06:29

Prigozhin, this is the color he draws

00:06:32

the lines with and how they are characterized,

00:06:36

absent, only brown

00:06:39

stripes remain on his underpants

00:06:41

every time after the enemy

00:06:44

strikes on our territory,

00:06:47

they tell the story that there was a

00:06:49

night strike with missiles, as a rule, they hit

00:06:53

transformers near the house without causing

00:06:55

any damage to the enemy, and therefore

00:06:58

why does the enemy have the opportunity to

00:07:01

strike on Russian territory

00:07:05

because the

00:07:07

leadership of the Ministry of Defense is not

00:07:09

interested in anyone? Victory is of only one interest to everyone

00:07:13

the opportunity to maintain one’s post for

00:07:16

as long as possible so that

00:07:18

responsibility does not come for what they did

00:07:22

during their time, so no one

00:07:28

will

00:07:36

need any answers, which was the decision-making center for

00:07:39

local electricians. And that it

00:07:43

was safer for everyone to live, tomorrow they will tell you

00:07:45

the story of the next thousand leopards

00:07:49

that were destroyed by no one I haven’t seen it at all

00:07:52

I’ve seen Prigozhin’s new big interview

00:07:54

about him We’ll talk tomorrow about the series The series with your

00:07:56

favorite episodes will return But today there’s a

00:07:58

slightly different topic By the way, support

00:08:00

this video here’s the current one You can

00:08:02

support the channel by liking the comment by subscribing

00:08:05

You can use the patrion service As you can

00:08:07

see Well, the studio is being set up, it

00:08:09

turned out to be much longer than I thought for

00:08:11

several months now we've been messing around, it's not

00:08:13

finished yet, but I hope that the picture has become

00:08:14

better, the sound has become better and that all this

00:08:17

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00:08:18

can support the financial channel on Patreon,

00:08:20

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00:08:22

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00:08:24

please, I ask for the best time

00:08:26

or you can support with the help of a super

00:08:28

thank you button with dollar hearts right

00:08:30

under the video, well, we continue about the red

00:08:33

lines in our own way, the red lines of

00:08:36

Russia are characterized by another war

00:08:39

criminal, Prigozhin’s competitor in whining

00:08:40

Igor Strelkov Gergin, only he is already

00:08:43

convicted and it is necessary He should go serve his sentence as soon as possible.

00:08:45

Perhaps he will

00:08:47

survive. He’s really not so metaphorical and

00:08:50

not so charismatic in his descriptions, but he

00:08:52

also notices a rather important detail.

00:08:54

Medvedev promised his respected Kiev

00:08:56

partners a blow to the decision-making centers

00:08:58

if they crossed the red lines; the

00:09:00

partners did not listen and crossed the

00:09:02

red line the bears quietly merged

00:09:03

Shoigu promised his respected Kiev

00:09:06

partners a blow to the decision-making center

00:09:07

if they crossed the red lines

00:09:09

the partners did not listen and crossed the

00:09:11

red lines the puck quietly merged now it’s

00:09:13

the president’s turn. But since he is not

00:09:15

involved in military issues,

00:09:17

maybe he will simply keep silent about ecotourism and there are

00:09:20

a lot of festive events

00:09:21

The only thing I’ll correct the rifleman The

00:09:24

fact is that President Vladimir Putin

00:09:25

The dictator has also already outlined red

00:09:28

lines; he didn’t have

00:09:29

modern uranium on the projectile. However, all this also did

00:09:31

not lead to any consequences. So

00:09:35

what is the reason? The fact is that Russia does not have the

00:09:37

ability to carry out its own

00:09:40

threats Yes, there is no possibility even for you

00:09:42

to carry out a nuclear strike, there is no possibility of

00:09:44

increasing the scale of the conflict, there is no

00:09:46

possibility of launching missile strikes on

00:09:48

Western countries, not only physical, not

00:09:50

so much physical, physical missiles

00:09:52

exist, including those with a nuclear warhead.

00:09:54

And in the

00:09:56

resource-political sense, that is, there are a

00:09:59

huge number of risks that

00:10:00

Vladimir Putin is not ready to take on himself

00:10:02

or that his advisers do not recommend him to take on,

00:10:04

who do not allow Russia to

00:10:07

scan the current conflicts in

00:10:08

any way so that it becomes

00:10:10

larger or so that it becomes more

00:10:12

threatening. But in general, before we

00:10:15

move on to a detailed analysis of I

00:10:16

I’ll try to justify to you And my

00:10:18

logical calculations about

00:10:21

Russia’s inability to scale the situation Let’s

00:10:22

watch a little Russian

00:10:23

television, even on Russian

00:10:25

television they were somewhat saddened by the fact

00:10:28

that Shaigu’s statements about the red lines were

00:10:30

taken and wiped out and literally nothing

00:10:33

happened, they are still expressing hopes and

00:10:35

discussing What exactly how to do this and on

00:10:37

what scale, but he comes to the conclusion that there is

00:10:39

no need to start locomotives ahead of time. And in

00:10:41

general, it’s not entirely clear what exactly to

00:10:43

do. For example, how this

00:10:45

was all discussed. Olga Skabeeva, on

00:10:47

the show, let’s remember that our father started his

00:10:49

500th operation, then they hit the

00:10:51

Antonov Bridge, in theory, such

00:10:53

actions Kiev must carry out an

00:10:55

immediate response the day before. We

00:10:58

remember Shoigu warned that shelling of

00:11:00

territories outside his zone, including Crimea,

00:11:02

would entail attacks on the centers, as

00:11:05

he put it, decision-making in Ukraine,

00:11:07

so we are waiting for certain

00:11:10

words to be spoken, certain actions must follow

00:11:12

because the enemy understands

00:11:14

only a real retaliatory strike Retribution

00:11:18

conversations Let's of course, well,

00:11:21

this won't lead to anything good Well,

00:11:23

the planning of

00:11:24

our nuclear component is competent and, in principle, the

00:11:27

president has already said this several times But it seems that he is not fully heard, you

00:11:30

don’t hear back Thank God that all those who

00:11:32

offer to romp around London every other

00:11:34

day in Paris destroy

00:11:35

Washington or immediately the entire United

00:11:37

States of America has nothing to do with the Security Council with the

00:11:40

Security Council of the Russian Federation,

00:11:41

thank God please,

00:11:44

Hitler's Germany on our borders

00:11:45

led to the disaster of the Red Army in

00:11:48

1941, and this history lesson would be

00:11:51

nice to learn for all the so-called

00:11:54

domestic bashful pacifists

00:11:55

who before They are still talking about

00:11:58

why we started a special military

00:11:59

operation. It would be better if they attacked us first,

00:12:01

why are we deploying tactical

00:12:03

nuclear weapons in Belarus? It would be

00:12:05

better if they placed them in Poland first. And

00:12:07

we would look more moral if

00:12:09

we did the answer like this. No need,

00:12:10

dear gentlemen, give them no

00:12:12

advantage so that later you don’t light these

00:12:14

candles of grief and don’t mourn the millions of

00:12:16

our fallen, but if a fight is inevitable,

00:12:19

you need to be the first, but it’s very important to hit

00:12:21

with full force, if from the first

00:12:23

days of a special military operation, the

00:12:24

Russian army inflicted these blows on the

00:12:26

center of acceptance decisions, then we would have

00:12:27

avoided many of the negative consequences

00:12:29

that we are faced with

00:12:30

today. In my opinion, let them hide in the

00:12:32

basements of their cottages, put on

00:12:33

tin foil hats and wait for the next Russian

00:12:35

strike, this will be fair and the enemy. The

00:12:37

enemy is cunning and cunning, you can’t even

00:12:39

imagine what he sometimes uses

00:12:40

against our helicopters mining

00:12:43

mining And on Earth because

00:12:46

if a helicopter goes out to carry out a

00:12:47

combat mission along the same

00:12:48

route, they install mines on the route of

00:12:50

its flight that are triggered by the

00:12:52

noise of the propellers from an acoustic signal,

00:12:54

if the mine is powerful enough, then the

00:12:56

enemy. In the sense, our helicopter

00:12:57

inflicts but tangible tangible

00:12:59

damage But Vladimir Rudolfovich

00:13:01

Solovyov is no longer straining himself, I think it’s

00:13:03

just that after 16 months I’ve already run out of strength, I’ve

00:13:06

run out of strength to yell and constantly

00:13:08

somehow like that, the scumbag scum who didn’t

00:13:12

turn on my equipment Well, it’s clear that the

00:13:14

man also shot himself, he works and is

00:13:16

also quite happy a lot Well, how does it work,

00:13:18

lies, lies endlessly But this already t- spends

00:13:21

some effort These are the questions he

00:13:23

asks Sergei Shaybu and they are also indignant

00:13:25

because they deceived us again, we understand

00:13:28

that today Well, it’s obvious that most likely it’s

00:13:32

obvious that they are following the path and

00:13:36

escalation of steps yesterday he said you will

00:13:39

strike everything so now we must go.

00:13:42

They are striking bridges on the

00:13:44

border of Crimea and the Kherson region, we have

00:13:47

no more options, we must wipe out

00:13:49

the face of the earth

00:13:50

because we have superiority in

00:13:51

tactical nuclear weapons. But maybe that’s

00:13:53

enough,

00:13:55

maybe already you just need to hammer and that’s all

00:13:58

that the Minister of Defense said

00:14:02

on the territory of Ukraine,

00:14:05

well, after which the

00:14:10

RIA Novosti message the Ukrainian Armed Forces struck the bridges

00:14:13

on the administrative borders, here are the

00:14:15

results of the arrival, the coating was broken, we

00:14:19

still haven’t struck their

00:14:23

decision-making center

00:14:25

Why

00:14:29

not, it’s not our guys now the husband is not

00:14:33

holding the defense actively,

00:14:36

maybe it makes sense to do so that the

00:14:39

West does not have the opportunity to

00:14:42

strike by bringing up reserves and I have a

00:14:46

proposal I do

00:14:47

n’t understand anything What will be our answer to the

00:14:51

main question that

00:14:54

Vladimir Solovyov formulates Why is

00:14:57

this particular question not happening now I will try to

00:15:00

answer for you

00:15:01

To do this, we will have to dive

00:15:03

a little into the past and remember how it all

00:15:06

began. The Russian army has accumulated

00:15:08

a group of 180 thousand people,

00:15:11

not counting employees. Well, not soldiers of the Russian

00:15:14

army. But for example, there is the DPR of the LPR, the

00:15:16

self-proclaimed Wagner group, and

00:15:19

someone else. Well, that is, there were already quite a lot there

00:15:22

180,000 disparate units of this group planned to

00:15:25

attack in 5 or 6 directions, which means the

00:15:28

main mass was from the

00:15:30

Belgorod region, in general they

00:15:32

planned to break through to Kiev, occupy Kiev

00:15:34

and actually capture the whole of Ukraine in 10

00:15:36

days, the meme about Kiev in 3 days actively took hold.

00:15:39

But in fact, the whole operation

00:15:40

was planned for 10-11 days, at

00:15:43

least from the data that we have at

00:15:46

the moment, and the Russian

00:15:48

Federation Vladimir Putin planned to

00:15:49

carry it all out quite quickly and

00:15:52

end it there, that is, with a very

00:15:54

limited contingent and, in fact,

00:15:57

at first Everything went wrong everything at once more

00:16:00

precisely went wrong

00:16:01

The fact is that at first

00:16:03

the offensive had to be postponed for about two

00:16:06

weeks because of which logistics went wrong. Well, that

00:16:08

is, the Soldiers were literally left there in the winter

00:16:10

without fuel without food without water without

00:16:14

ammunition. And then when

00:16:17

the offensive itself had already begun, it turned out that the Ukrainians were

00:16:19

not so happy to see the Russians as Vladimir

00:16:22

Putin expected, instead of loaves of bread and

00:16:25

salt and everything else, Molotov cocktails were flying in them

00:16:27

and the Ukrainian soldiers

00:16:29

were ready to fight back in Kiev, they were distributing

00:16:32

weapons in order to resist

00:16:33

the invaders And this all took the Russian

00:16:36

army by surprise, however, I will remind you that at

00:16:38

that time Western weapons were in Ukraine

00:16:40

has not yet been delivered, that is, when

00:16:43

the West was talking about this in the first place Well, he didn’t

00:16:46

nod, but he meant Afghanistan

00:16:48

and in general gave Kiev 72 hours and offered to

00:16:53

evacuate to Zelensky when

00:16:55

Russian troops were already approaching, you

00:16:57

know when Now they are talking about

00:16:58

attacks on decision-making centers about

00:17:00

the scale What is it that we need to remember that

00:17:03

Russia did this from the very beginning, or rather

00:17:04

tried to do it from the very beginning Russia

00:17:06

shelled, including the center of Kiev,

00:17:09

tried to shell And that is why

00:17:11

then all sorts of Russian propagandists did not

00:17:14

tell that Zelensky had already left, was

00:17:16

signing up for chromakey and so on,

00:17:18

remember he went out into the street confirmed

00:17:19

that he was still in Kiev, this happened

00:17:21

because from the very beginning Russia was hitting

00:17:24

wherever it could hit, the problem turned out to be

00:17:26

that Hmm, Russia’s confidence in its own

00:17:30

abilities was strong and unfounded, for example,

00:17:34

Russia in the very first days, all sorts of

00:17:36

propagandists like military analytics

00:17:39

some were not military analysts back then,

00:17:40

at least they didn’t call

00:17:42

themselves that, they began to write that the

00:17:44

Ukrainian aviation was completely destroyed, the air defense system was

00:17:46

completely

00:17:49

destroyed, it turned out that this was not so, but the

00:17:51

Ukrainian Generals, the Ukrainian

00:17:53

command moved the participation of aviation, the

00:17:55

air defense system moved and, as a result, the

00:17:57

data that was Russian

00:17:58

intelligence did not correspond to

00:17:59

reality, as a result of which

00:18:02

Russia was unable to inflict precise targeted

00:18:04

strikes on

00:18:07

various buildings and structures,

00:18:09

including in the center of Kiev, so Russia

00:18:11

is trying to strike at the

00:18:13

decision-making center from the very beginning. Well,

00:18:15

then there was the battle for Kiev, which Ukraine

00:18:18

won victory, managing to push back the

00:18:20

Russian troops And after that, the West

00:18:22

realized that Ukraine could not only

00:18:23

survive but also defeat the aggressor and began to

00:18:26

slowly give Ukraine weapons and

00:18:30

Ukraine drove the Russian group further and further,

00:18:32

recapturing its

00:18:34

own territory, then you know there

00:18:36

was a regrouping in the Kharkov

00:18:38

region, recapturing Kherson, leaving with

00:18:40

snake islands, uh, before that, there was still a withdrawal from the

00:18:42

Chernigov region from the Kiev region,

00:18:45

quite monstrous events. Not in terms of

00:18:47

bypassing in terms of what it was during the

00:18:49

withdrawal of Russian troops that it became obvious

00:18:51

that the Russian army was doing incredibly

00:18:54

terrible things to the local population when

00:18:56

it captured this or that territory, but The

00:18:59

Russian army was pushed back. As a result,

00:19:01

everything came to the point where we have

00:19:04

been for the last six months. Well, that is,

00:19:06

relative parity on the front line

00:19:07

where neither side can

00:19:09

move forward and this is a

00:19:11

sensation because Russia Despite

00:19:14

all its advantage in technology in terms of

00:19:16

aviation and shells, she couldn’t

00:19:19

advance and wanted to. In winter, I’ll

00:19:22

remind you that there was a Russian offensive

00:19:24

that ended not only in failure but in the

00:19:28

complete defeat of the Russian country, a

00:19:30

huge number of technical people were

00:19:32

lost under the coals for nothing, can you dream of them as

00:19:34

a result of Russia, which

00:19:36

positioned itself as the second army of

00:19:38

the world in as a result, in the winter,

00:19:42

having brought in its own reserves, it was not possible to

00:19:44

advance anywhere. Here we are

00:19:46

gradually approaching the answer about the red

00:19:49

lines of the decision-making center. The fact is

00:19:51

that Russia is now using in war

00:19:55

everything that it has, in fact, everything that it has from the point of view of what is

00:19:58

applicable right now you

00:20:01

there was a mobilization that was carried out by Vladimir

00:20:03

Putin, he carried it out in the fall on September 21

00:20:05

because the military ran out. Well, that is, there was a

00:20:08

shortage of them. However, the mobilization

00:20:10

was a real blow to Vladimir

00:20:12

Putin; the loyal, ultra-loyal to Putin

00:20:15

population ran to the upper larsk; those who

00:20:18

had money; those who didn’t; ran and

00:20:20

in every possible way were hiding. There has

00:20:22

never been such an amount of negativity towards the official government

00:20:25

in Russia and

00:20:27

Vladimir Putin’s ratings have never fallen so low, which

00:20:29

is why Vladimir Putin realized for himself

00:20:31

that carrying out mobilization is a very

00:20:34

risky step, it should be done only in

00:20:36

cases of extreme necessity, in fact, that’s why

00:20:37

we don’t see new mobilizations

00:20:40

at least large-scale Despite the fact

00:20:42

that military analysts have repeatedly

00:20:44

said that if Russia wants to

00:20:45

achieve something, mobilization should have been carried out

00:20:47

back in January, but it was not

00:20:51

carried out and still has not been carried out, and

00:20:53

in fact, I think that Vladimir Putin

00:20:55

is afraid of political

00:20:56

consequences However, more and more

00:20:58

propagandists say that

00:21:00

mobilization will be necessary. But

00:21:02

we will talk about this some other

00:21:03

time in another video. The fact remains that the

00:21:05

Russian leadership has a large

00:21:08

number of restrictions on

00:21:10

increasing the scale of the current battles, that is,

00:21:13

on the one hand there are not enough

00:21:15

people because they were preparing for one thing, on the

00:21:18

other hand, to replenish the ranks of these people,

00:21:20

these are political risks, which especially

00:21:22

on the eve of the elections, which, although not

00:21:24

real, are stressful. For any government,

00:21:27

Vladimir Putin does not want to, therefore he

00:21:29

is postponing this decision as for the

00:21:31

shells of weapons, everything else

00:21:33

here is even more It turned out to be a surprise that

00:21:36

Russia, which was considered the second army in the

00:21:37

world. Okay, we sorted it out.

00:21:39

Last year it turned out that Russia,

00:21:42

which still retained the status of a power

00:21:44

with a huge number of shells,

00:21:46

including post-Soviet ones, it turned out that

00:21:48

there is a problem with these shells, as well as a

00:21:50

large number of shells in warehouses

00:21:51

either stolen or inoperative,

00:21:55

shells of the second and third categories of the

00:21:57

third, which are not applicable for

00:21:59

shots at all, and the second one should be repaired in a good way

00:22:02

and then used for

00:22:04

artillery shots, but they use it

00:22:06

right away, it turned out that there is not enough

00:22:08

equipment, they had to uncover the old T-54

00:22:10

t -55 it turned out that the Armata tank

00:22:13

exists only on paper and the fantasies of

00:22:15

Vladimir Solovyov. That is, all this

00:22:17

advantage that was drawn on the

00:22:20

Russian side turned out to be not

00:22:22

real and in this context it became

00:22:24

more and more difficult, so Russia has no

00:22:27

reserve to somehow

00:22:30

take it seriously For example, I don’t know about going to Europe and

00:22:34

launching some kind of attack or a New

00:22:35

War there. There is simply no reserve, so there is no

00:22:38

possibility of making at least some kind of reaction

00:22:41

to these very red lines at their

00:22:43

intersections, or rather to these brown

00:22:46

lines as Prigogine designated them. That is

00:22:48

why the words remain simple words

00:22:51

because Russia does not have additional

00:22:53

opportunities to use resources, but you

00:22:56

and I still have two points left.

00:22:57

The first is the decision-making center and the

00:23:00

second is the nuclear one. Let's start

00:23:01

with the first decision-making center. Russia

00:23:03

is trying to deliver attacks on the

00:23:06

decision-making centers, at least because

00:23:07

what they call it that, including we

00:23:10

know that on May 29, most likely there was an

00:23:12

unsuccessful attack and a

00:23:16

guru hit the building. Well, that is,

00:23:18

I told the Ukrainian intelligence about this situation with a

00:23:20

video about how Budanov was buried and

00:23:22

then there was no video yet no photo

00:23:24

evidence that is current that

00:23:27

everything is fine with this one, but I then

00:23:28

took it there and took this responsibility upon myself and

00:23:31

said he is definitely alive. This is definitely the armor of

00:23:33

Russian propaganda because I know

00:23:34

its mechanics and now that

00:23:37

photographs of Budanov have already appeared. I think you

00:23:38

have seen everything for yourself. everything is fine with him, he’s

00:23:40

alive and well, that means he goes to

00:23:42

meetings, gives some interviews,

00:23:44

comments, etc., of course there are those

00:23:46

who went, like Margarita Simonenko,

00:23:47

who But in the photo he’s

00:23:49

standing somehow differently, somehow his hands are there And before

00:23:52

that, Kholmogorov I also wrote about Zaluzhny

00:23:53

when the video appeared,

00:23:55

Kholmogorov was embedded there, some kind of divaik,

00:23:57

this video is fake, the video is all fake, but they

00:24:01

are considered to have taken such positions even

00:24:03

among Z nits because, in fact, Well, they

00:24:07

say, Yes, okay, He’s alive, But what if he’s

00:24:09

wounded, suddenly something else? something, but no,

00:24:12

everything is fine with him. In general, the attack on Guru Apparently

00:24:14

took place, but it was insignificant.

00:24:16

As I told you. Even if he was there,

00:24:18

just the building was slightly burned. Well, because it is

00:24:20

impossible for missiles not air bombs

00:24:22

missiles to cause too serious

00:24:25

damage when the air defense system is working

00:24:28

when the building which is

00:24:31

designed for this, that is, a residential building Yes, it can be

00:24:33

seriously conquered, but not for demolition, of course,

00:24:36

but nevertheless, what Russia is doing is

00:24:38

constantly striking residential buildings,

00:24:40

but a building that is at least a little bit

00:24:42

Designed to withstand some kind of hit from a

00:24:44

serious missile Well, there will be

00:24:46

some kind of fire, maybe some kind of

00:24:48

fire, something else, but it won’t be

00:24:50

destroyed; moreover, when Russian

00:24:52

missiles fly out, an alarm sounds,

00:24:55

and these same people who

00:24:58

sit in the center in decision-making

00:24:59

move to the fortification there basements,

00:25:02

etc., etc. Therefore,

00:25:03

Zelensky, the confused confused Zelensky, and all the

00:25:06

others, could not be killed in the first days of

00:25:07

the war and will not be able to continue to do so. Because

00:25:10

Ukraine now has a gigantic air defense system,

00:25:12

one of the best in the world, since they

00:25:13

supplied advanced models of Western

00:25:16

weapons of Western air defense systems. Therefore,

00:25:19

these strikes on the center to make a decision

00:25:21

are fantasies I’m not talking about the West,

00:25:24

of course no one will hit Western cities

00:25:25

because these are strikes on

00:25:27

NATO member countries. So it has to fit into the

00:25:29

war and destroy the Russian army like, well, I

00:25:31

won’t say in a day or three

00:25:33

I won’t Putin cosplay But like

00:25:35

destroying it quite quickly because we

00:25:37

have all seen all the capabilities of the Russian

00:25:39

army have been seen over the last 16

00:25:40

months with Ukraine, the Russian army

00:25:43

sometimes loses on a parity basis.

00:25:44

And if you add to this the

00:25:47

army of the NATO bloc aircraft carriers destroyers there

00:25:50

are

00:25:51

planes fighter bombers

00:25:54

long-range missiles radius Well, listen, it will

00:25:57

all end pretty quickly, so

00:25:59

blows by percentage decision-making is

00:26:01

such a very offensive term for the

00:26:05

Russians, these all sorts of Z

00:26:07

Patriots, I remember Even Margarita

00:26:09

Simonyan once wrote that listen,

00:26:11

maybe we can stop mentioning the red

00:26:12

lines, otherwise it looks shameful,

00:26:14

really shameful because every

00:26:16

time it does not lead to any result,

00:26:18

just empty threats And the last thing

00:26:20

left is a nuclear strike, a nuclear strike itself.

00:26:22

The problem is that this is a double-

00:26:24

edged sword and therefore Russia will not

00:26:26

use it In the current war in this

00:26:29

invasion Why is the moment the first

00:26:31

tactical nuclear strike on at least

00:26:33

what is called a tactical nuclear

00:26:34

strike, it does not have a strict definition,

00:26:36

but it means a single strike

00:26:37

on some city or

00:26:39

territory, or even an empty area; the

00:26:40

problem for Russia is that this will

00:26:43

not affect anything in a military sense,

00:26:45

even in the most a monstrous scenario where

00:26:47

Russia drops a nuclear bomb, or rather

00:26:49

hits a nuclear missile at some

00:26:52

city, destroying a large number of

00:26:53

civilians, this does not change the

00:26:57

setup, on the contrary, it will anger

00:26:59

Ukraine itself and the Western countries even more. But more on that

00:27:01

a little later. About Western countries in general,

00:27:04

the use of this tactical

00:27:06

nuclear weapons themselves do not change the military

00:27:07

situation does not change the actual position of

00:27:09

people at the front does not change the balance of

00:27:12

forces does not change anything at all But what does it

00:27:15

give? Of the minuses Of the minuses, it gives the

00:27:17

first thing that everyone unites against Vladimir Putin,

00:27:18

that is, he

00:27:21

becomes the number one target not only

00:27:22

for the West but also for the rest of the world,

00:27:23

for example, there is

00:27:26

a conflict between India and Russia that has been going on for quite a long time,

00:27:28

where the Indian leadership is not

00:27:31

happy with the fact that Russia so often

00:27:32

appeals to nuclear weapons. It

00:27:34

literally doesn’t suit them because

00:27:36

they say you can’t even talk about the

00:27:38

use of nuclear weapons because for this

00:27:39

reason, the leader linguistically did not

00:27:41

come to the meeting with Putin because of this

00:27:43

there are disagreements; in fact, a person who

00:27:45

used nuclear weapons in the modern

00:27:47

world becomes a threat to all countries and

00:27:49

all states, therefore Putin will become

00:27:51

goal number one. The second point is that there are

00:27:53

specific and not logical conclusions and

00:27:55

specific promises,

00:27:57

for example promises from the

00:27:59

Atlantic Alliance, that in the event of

00:28:00

the use of nuclear weapons, the

00:28:02

West itself has the right to consider itself to have the

00:28:05

right to use conventional

00:28:07

weapons. Well, that is, its conventional

00:28:09

troops have already fully entered into the

00:28:12

conflict in one form or another, and in America

00:28:14

now they even have it. such

00:28:17

a bill is considered as

00:28:19

considering that the use of nuclear weapons

00:28:22

will be equated to the use of nuclear

00:28:25

weapons in Ukraine will be equated to an

00:28:27

attack on the NATO bloc Well, that is, they

00:28:30

formally already consolidate all their threats

00:28:31

not in this context The threat to Putin

00:28:33

is created many advantages, no second in the

00:28:37

global scenario nuclear war Well, that

00:28:40

is, Harry, everything with a blue flame here is

00:28:42

very different from the fact that Vladimir Putin

00:28:45

generally thinks in such categories

00:28:46

because Vladimir Putin does not look like a

00:28:49

fanatic Vladimir Putin Lives in

00:28:51

Vladimir Putin’s palace, he has his own village, he

00:28:53

has golden ceilings, he has a lot of

00:28:54

mistresses he has children he has

00:28:56

grandchildren

00:28:57

very much like a fanatic that’s why Vladimir

00:28:59

Putin doesn’t want to destroy the world in

00:29:01

which he lives doesn’t want to destroy his

00:29:03

relatives doesn’t want to destroy planet Earth

00:29:04

at least we haven’t seen anything like that

00:29:07

in his eyes his actions

00:29:10

anything else and in this context, there are actually

00:29:13

no prerequisites for

00:29:15

asserting that a fanatic who is ready to

00:29:16

destroy the whole world into dust, and even people

00:29:18

who say that there is a death all

00:29:20

this does not yet look like he is

00:29:22

dying and the last moment uniting

00:29:24

these two Imagine that you For 16 months

00:29:27

you have been waging a shameful war for yourself, that you

00:29:30

were literally in the minds of many as the

00:29:33

second army in the world and have become an international

00:29:35

laughing stock and now Imagine that you

00:29:38

have a nuclear button. Do you believe that by pressing

00:29:40

it all these problems can be solved, that

00:29:41

immediately everyone will surrender, they will come to apologize, they

00:29:43

will bow in the legs means

00:29:45

they presented the question why he doesn’t press Well,

00:29:49

that is, if these problems can be solved

00:29:50

without mobilization without constant shame

00:29:53

without regroupings Why not press this

00:29:55

button Well, that is, class, this is an option, it’s

00:29:57

obvious that Vladimir Putin is aware of all the

00:30:00

consequences that I wrote earlier and

00:30:02

therefore does not consider this is possible. That is,

00:30:04

he does not consider nuclear weapons

00:30:06

really any way out of the

00:30:07

current circumstances, but unfortunately he is

00:30:09

forced to note that due to the scale of the

00:30:11

consequences of the use of nuclear weapons,

00:30:14

the West has to take into account even the small

00:30:16

probability of using nuclear weapons,

00:30:18

that is, even despite the fact that it is

00:30:19

most likely will not apply the scale of

00:30:21

the consequences such that it is necessary to proceed from this

00:30:22

and therefore we see

00:30:25

indecision We see the baidana which

00:30:27

says that we may be considering the

00:30:29

possibility that Putin will use

00:30:32

tactical nuclear weapons and so on,

00:30:34

this is a pity This is bad This prolongs

00:30:37

the war there is a lack of understanding of basic things there,

00:30:40

unfortunately, all sorts of things slows down the supply of

00:30:42

weapons and prolongs this very war, but

00:30:46

in the end the answer to the question about the red

00:30:48

lines is that Russia does not have

00:30:50

additional capabilities that it

00:30:53

could activate after the

00:30:55

red lines are crossed, so every

00:30:58

time the bashful hid all these

00:30:59

officials crawl away, which they note

00:31:02

in including in telegram channels For

00:31:04

example, what 13 writes, asking a silent

00:31:07

question, the bridge was fired at with missiles Storm

00:31:09

Shadow, the governor of the Kherson region Vladimir stated this in Rio, the

00:31:11

balance of

00:31:13

communication between the Kherson region of

00:31:15

Crimea continues to operate temporary

00:31:16

organized movement of vehicles

00:31:18

along the reserve route, the balance said about

00:31:20

such weapons Shoigu said we are waiting for an answer

00:31:22

Or is this just another Tuvan bedtime story,

00:31:24

in general, as you can see in reality,

00:31:26

the answer 13 was received by the senior

00:31:30

eda, we can state that the Suns are not

00:31:32

afraid to destroy critical

00:31:34

infrastructure on Russian territory with

00:31:35

cruise missile strikes. I am, of course, the

00:31:37

Prochingara bridge with statements about the

00:31:39

red line, scarecrows data missiles cannot be

00:31:41

shot down and the supply of shells cannot be

00:31:43

stopped. Excalibur is flying along the valuyki

00:31:46

that the Shadow Podchingar bridge to scare

00:31:48

someone and not punish them after the scarecrow is

00:31:50

much more harmful than not to scare And here he is

00:31:53

right Of course, because in fact

00:31:55

all these Krasnoy are their intersections and the lack of

00:31:58

reaction from the Russian sides They

00:32:00

show and demonstrate to Western

00:32:02

countries that you can go even further, that you can go

00:32:04

even further, that you can

00:32:06

supply more and more, and I hope at

00:32:09

some point they will come to the understanding

00:32:10

that it is already necessary to supply everything necessary

00:32:12

for this war to end, but

00:32:15

as for reality then listen Well,

00:32:17

what are we talking about there Russia considers Crimea to be

00:32:21

its territory of Russia considers the

00:32:22

annexed territory of its

00:32:23

territory to be regularly

00:32:25

attacked; moreover, Russia considers the

00:32:28

Belgorod region to be its territory of

00:32:29

the Belgorod region, various

00:32:31

kinds of

00:32:32

sabotage groups enter the Belgorod region, including those who

00:32:35

have there are both

00:32:36

Western and Western weapons. But it

00:32:38

doesn’t matter at all. There are all these stories

00:32:39

and stories about something that is somehow different from the

00:32:42

point of view of the consequences there for the

00:32:44

use of Western weapons and

00:32:45

Western ones. I mean from the point of view of

00:32:47

the consequences, that is, the actions of Russia are

00:32:49

of course Nonsense for the reasons described above,

00:32:50

Russia has no

00:32:52

opportunity for Putin to aggravate the current situation

00:32:54

only in words, and the more often Vladimir

00:32:58

Putin talks to those around him And about

00:33:00

nuclear strikes and about red lines and

00:33:02

percentages, the better it is to make a decision

00:33:03

because the more the West will see what it

00:33:07

really is there are no consequences for

00:33:10

this and everything is just words Well,

00:33:13

Michael was with you, see you tomorrow in the

00:33:16

new episode of the series and will also be with

00:33:18

Ruslan And I also hope to see you on the

00:33:20

stream for patrons which will be 2 hours

00:33:22

until we see you soon all the best Bye

Description:

Поддержать канал и выход новых роликов: https://www.patreon.com/macknack Если хотите увидеть грустного и печального сторонника войны, достаточно произнести “красные линии” или “удары по центрам принятия решений”. Всю войну Россия постоянно рассказывает, что есть некая черта, переступив которую, Запад и Украина обрекут себя на всю мощь армии РФ, а то и на ядерные взрывы. Однако каждый раз это оказывается пустыми угрозами. Буквально на днях министр обороны Шойгу вновь пригрозил “ударами по центрам принятия решений”, если какая-либо ракета прилетит на территорию Крыма. Не прошло и двух суток, как это случилось, однако грозный вояка вновь смолчал. Это повергло в уныние уже и пропагандистов, которые надеялись, что хоть в этот раз слова про “красные линии” – не пустой треп. Однако никакой “эскалации” быть и не может. Россия УЖЕ использует все возможные ресурсы. Подробности в новом видео Майкл Наки. Соцсети: телеграм: https://t.me/Nackepelo инстаграм: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser

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