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ходорковскийlive

00:00:02

Medvedev, not only does

00:00:04

he see a geopolitical catastrophe in 2023, there

00:00:07

will also be something wrong with the economy Well, of

00:00:09

course, not with the Russian one. But for

00:00:11

example, yes, one of

00:00:13

Medvedev’s predictions, all stock exchanges and

00:00:15

financial activities will move to Asia. Well, that

00:00:19

is, Wall Street Medvedev

00:00:21

has already buried like the dollar and also like the

00:00:25

euro and they, according to

00:00:30

Medvedev’s Security Council, will cease to be international

00:00:33

reserve currencies in general; moreover, the

00:00:35

gold standard will return. That’s why

00:00:38

you refused here 100 years ago. Well, everything

00:00:42

is logical, while oil, according to

00:00:44

Medvedev, will be 150 dollars per A barrel

00:00:46

It’s strange that

00:00:48

150 million rubles

00:00:57

will cost

00:00:59

five thousand for one thousand cubic meters,

00:01:03

let’s discuss these economic forecasts with

00:01:06

entrepreneur Dmitry Potapenko, he’s

00:01:07

joining us live

00:01:08

hello Dmitry, hello Good

00:01:11

evening Dmitry Well, I understand that without I don’t

00:01:16

know tears or without laughter it’s impossible

00:01:18

to analyze the

00:01:20

prediction Dmitry Medvedev,

00:01:22

nevertheless, it is possible that at least something somewhere, at least somewhere,

00:01:25

he can get at least from some part

00:01:28

with his forecasts for 2023

00:01:33

Well, in general, there are not much forecasts there, there are

00:01:36

slogans And since slogans are very

00:01:39

difficult to analyze in any direction

00:01:43

Well, if general slogan, will

00:01:47

the platforms move to Asia as a whole, they are

00:01:51

already present there, the fact that there is a

00:01:53

Hong Kong exchange, so

00:01:55

fundamentally it is already a

00:01:58

little late purely in time

00:02:01

if the chance that, for example, issuers will start

00:02:05

trading more there

00:02:09

is unlikely due to the fact that after

00:02:11

all London and accordingly

00:02:14

New York

00:02:16

still remain too large

00:02:19

economies

00:02:20

fundamentally China is not growing at the

00:02:24

rate that we would generally like

00:02:27

for this or that business to move

00:02:29

Well, in general,

00:02:32

somehow the slogans are good, they are quite

00:02:36

traditional if you count

00:02:40

some Glazyev then in in general, everything is the

00:02:42

same. I have already told you. If you still

00:02:45

find a couple of stores there, then in

00:02:49

general everything is already there. Therefore,

00:02:52

fundamentally, having read all the texts, there are

00:02:56

two people who at least tour with this

00:02:59

quite well, collecting

00:03:01

good rooms, good box office And since

00:03:04

it sells in general, why shouldn’t it

00:03:07

rise so high

00:03:08

Dmitry And to whom do you think these

00:03:12

very slogans are addressed? This is for whom it was written, it was

00:03:15

written for the broad masses

00:03:17

who will go read Medvedev for some reason

00:03:20

about the gold standard and about the collapse of the euro and the

00:03:25

dollar, or is it still

00:03:27

the final the audience of this lengthy

00:03:30

message with the so-called analytics of

00:03:33

Dmitry Medvedev is different.

00:03:36

Well, put together it will be the most

00:03:39

correct because any analyst,

00:03:42

at the very least, even I have a very short

00:03:44

period of time on your air,

00:03:47

she is forced to leave you there, poorly at least

00:03:50

some kind of foundation to lay

00:03:53

any accordingly Dmitry Anatolyevich

00:03:56

Medvedev, he has only one

00:03:57

potential addressee, and

00:04:01

since in general he

00:04:05

was and will remain the right hand of Vladimir Putin,

00:04:08

Vladimir Putin does not abandon his team,

00:04:10

naturally it will be the same all the same until

00:04:14

the end of centuries, he simply shows that

00:04:18

he still has skill in the field

00:04:21

economics, that is, not only can he

00:04:23

somehow

00:04:25

sit on a telephone or

00:04:28

warm up a place there, but he is also able to absolutely

00:04:31

manage the economy. I think that as an

00:04:36

overseer of the government and

00:04:40

Mishustin, I don’t know, he will

00:04:42

look quite good. Well, as I

00:04:45

understand now other people manage the economy in

00:04:47

Russia. For example, Andrei

00:04:49

Belousov, first deputy Mishustin

00:04:51

also gave his forecast today. Well, it’s such

00:04:54

a week before that everyone is summing up

00:04:57

some results, making forecasts. And now

00:04:59

Belousov says that, in general, all the

00:05:01

worst things in the Russian economy have

00:05:03

already happened in 2022 and 2023 it will be

00:05:08

much better, but Belousov himself

00:05:10

says that if nothing happens, that

00:05:13

is, he gives you some escape routes here,

00:05:15

as it seems to you. Has the

00:05:17

worst thing in the

00:05:19

Russian economy really already happened and 23

00:05:21

will be some kind of year of recovery,

00:05:25

but no The year 23, not only for the

00:05:29

Russian economy but also for the whole world, will be a much

00:05:31

greater test. Because if we

00:05:34

take the world economy as a whole, this

00:05:37

crisis has been developing for the last

00:05:39

five years. There, for five years, which I

00:05:41

was talking about, I wrote a book called the

00:05:44

theory of economic shock;

00:05:46

these are tectonic changes that

00:05:49

have been taking place is happening throughout the entire economy

00:05:52

this year, just what is called from

00:05:56

its own in Russia, it was

00:05:59

chosen as a result of the war by all the

00:06:03

so-called economies. In general, such reserves of varnish

00:06:06

now the economies of all countries will go

00:06:09

dry without lubrication, even airless

00:06:13

lubrication, so the economy next year

00:06:15

will be much more difficult than this

00:06:18

Russian economy is no exception, plus

00:06:21

to everything it is controlled by people who

00:06:24

in general Many believe that economic

00:06:26

laws are subject to them, fortunately now

00:06:29

they have received the rings of omnipotence and will

00:06:32

definitely rule, they could not help but pass

00:06:35

by this topic too. We also cannot

00:06:37

pass,

00:06:38

I think that I’m just I think that the costume

00:06:42

needs costumes, but the scenery

00:06:44

was crappy But in general, why not

00:06:47

remove the next part of the plasticine?

00:06:52

We just don’t know. Perhaps they are in winter clothes.

00:06:57

Dmitry. What do you think? We are, of course,

00:07:00

distracted from the economy, but I can’t help but

00:07:02

ask you, do you think that the costumes

00:07:03

there they need more with swords and crowns or

00:07:08

already Black black cloaks and giant

00:07:12

flying monsters, these are Orcs Or still

00:07:16

why why would I even be there,

00:07:20

maybe someone could even be dwarves, absolutely

00:07:24

not bad, they

00:07:26

would look good there after all there

00:07:28

must be some kind of operating

00:07:30

model, and then the black raincoats are too

00:07:33

beautiful and, let’s say,

00:07:38

look too stylish, and there’s also something like the

00:07:41

whole hobbit house in there, it would be great

00:07:44

Dmitry, after all, from jokes to seriousness,

00:07:49

this so-called

00:07:51

informal meeting with the heads of state of the

00:07:55

member states actually took place CIS What do you think, these

00:07:59

regular

00:08:01

tea parties, I don’t know what else to call it,

00:08:04

Vladimir Putin with the heads of the former

00:08:07

Soviet republics, they except

00:08:11

Belarus which Well, unfortunately, everyone is already

00:08:14

bound by one chain. Unless you count

00:08:17

Belarus,

00:08:19

these meetings lead to something they

00:08:23

will help the Russian economy, including

00:08:27

as it is now customary for Russian

00:08:30

officials to say that we don’t need

00:08:31

any Europe, here there is a whole whole

00:08:34

Asia And our dear partners Kyrgyzstan

00:08:37

Tajikistan Uzbekistan

00:08:39

Well, each of the parties here adheres to

00:08:42

their own strategy, the thing is

00:08:46

that the former post-Soviet space

00:08:49

very strongly connected by oil and gas, that

00:08:52

is, oil and gas pipelines, well, and part of the

00:08:55

industry, there is less industry,

00:08:57

but industrial chains of goods

00:09:00

conducting and producing

00:09:02

gas and oil are very strongly connected,

00:09:05

while each of the countries adheres to

00:09:10

and their presidents adhere to the following

00:09:13

position. They understand that for very many

00:09:15

years they will still be dependent on the

00:09:17

Russian Federation, but at the same time they

00:09:19

also understand that they have an

00:09:22

alternative, namely, orientation there,

00:09:25

depending on the location, on China, Turkey

00:09:27

or some other countries,

00:09:28

so for them they are trying to avoid

00:09:32

drowning in their economies and not

00:09:36

quarreling with big brother at the same time,

00:09:44

Belarus was even mentioned there in the integration processes with Russia. If you notice,

00:09:48

Belarus is still behaving

00:09:50

extremely independently because

00:09:55

Alexander Grigorievich, with all his

00:09:57

disadvantages, manages to maneuver and not

00:10:00

become the governor of the Belarusian

00:10:02

region, despite the fact that his economy is

00:10:05

almost completely belongs to the

00:10:07

Russian Federation, so this is a

00:10:11

long tango, a very

00:10:14

fiery tango, with 8 partners, and

00:10:19

here each of the parties is trying to

00:10:21

negotiate better conditions, of

00:10:24

course, if we talk about economic

00:10:26

feasibility and development opportunities,

00:10:28

but not even if we fantasize and, as it were,

00:10:33

would return the former USSR Russia with its

00:10:38

production chains will not have enough

00:10:40

sales markets poor sales markets in the former

00:10:44

post-Soviet republics it is not absolutely

00:10:47

independent countries leading their own

00:10:49

independent policies

00:10:50

Dmitry Before continuing this

00:10:53

conversation, a very interesting topic began, I will

00:10:55

ask our viewers to like

00:10:57

this broadcast and also subscribe to the

00:11:00

Youtube channel Khodorkovsky Life,

00:11:01

please do it, it will be pleasant and

00:11:04

useful for us, nevertheless, do you think

00:11:07

this tango in this fairy tale will lead to something,

00:11:11

because it seems to me that it will not be

00:11:21

possible to maintain the balance for a long time between independence and integration into Russia, this balance will not be maintained for a long time and in general -the political is the

00:11:24

desire of Vladimir Putin to

00:11:27

return the Soviet Union from a technical point of

00:11:29

view. Do you think this is realistic and

00:11:32

will only the political

00:11:34

desire of Putin alone be enough?

00:11:38

the balance can be maintained eternally,

00:11:40

in fact, I Why am I giving an

00:11:42

example of Alexander Grigoryevich

00:11:44

Lukashenko,

00:11:46

he did not become yesterday Russia owes

00:11:49

almost the entire economy there and mind you, he

00:11:53

manages because he is younger than

00:11:56

Vladimir Putin and not so He may be

00:11:59

experienced, but from the point of view of just

00:12:01

preserving his own Independence I’m

00:12:04

not talking about the Independence of Belarus I’m

00:12:06

talking specifically about the Independence of himself, he

00:12:09

absolutely clearly understands and each of

00:12:11

these presidents understand that as soon as

00:12:13

they become

00:12:15

governors of the Tajik

00:12:18

region or the Uzbek or

00:12:20

Kazakh regions, then this will be the end,

00:12:23

so naturally, no matter how Vladimir

00:12:25

Putin wants it, but

00:12:30

in general he won’t be able to counteract this brotherhood of the ring, no matter how much he

00:12:33

wants it. in general,

00:12:36

the radio doesn’t escalate either, he’s trying to

00:12:39

pump up, so to speak, Russian

00:12:42

oil and gas as such a web

00:12:44

that would pull up not politically, but

00:12:48

precisely economically, these countries,

00:12:50

for their part, are

00:12:53

maneuvering very correctly and of course reaching out to their

00:12:57

now much more profitable neighbor But this is

00:12:59

Turkey Turkey China of course

00:13:02

Dmitry You have already mentioned that you yourself

00:13:07

think that next year

00:13:10

will be difficult economically,

00:13:13

but it will be difficult for everyone, not only

00:13:15

for Russia. I would like to ask you to

00:13:18

develop this idea and give your

00:13:21

economic forecast for next year,

00:13:24

but in first of all, of course, the son of our

00:13:26

viewers is primarily

00:13:28

concerned with what will happen to the

00:13:31

Russian economy. The

00:13:33

Russian economy will be alone, of course it will

00:13:37

not fall apart, it will be afloat because the

00:13:39

economy is a big barge, heavy, it

00:13:42

will go on for a long time, therefore it

00:13:45

is turning its course, as they say to the side,

00:13:46

but it It’s going slowly, so I’m always

00:13:49

talking about this on your broadcasts so that a

00:13:51

degradation model develops, a

00:13:53

stepwise degradation model, because

00:13:55

it’s impossible to even completely

00:13:58

change the technologies that yesterday were

00:14:01

European to some mythological

00:14:03

Chinese ones, which often don’t exist even if

00:14:06

something is being improved

00:14:09

in the area there, for example. software,

00:14:12

it was surprising if the Russian

00:14:14

programmers who were transferred to know the

00:14:17

arrival of foreign vendors, all the

00:14:19

source codes of something here were not added to the

00:14:21

problems completely deeper on the hardware.

00:14:24

Therefore, these gravitational model will happen slowly. It will

00:14:27

happen in the field of metallurgy,

00:14:29

energy, including oil and

00:14:32

gas production. I think that

00:14:33

this will lead to the fact that,

00:14:37

accordingly, everything will be smelted and

00:14:40

mined, but at least 20 percent

00:14:44

less. So, accordingly, this will lead to

00:14:47

such hidden unemployment, which is now

00:14:50

already recorded in the so-called

00:14:53

part-time employment; however, for the authorities,

00:14:55

as always, you understand this is wonderful,

00:14:57

surprising because they have full

00:14:59

employment for at least two

00:15:02

weeks in the adjacent territory, and whether to

00:15:05

pay the money later or

00:15:07

not is already the second second question,

00:15:09

so

00:15:11

the economy. We need to look at the economy of

00:15:14

Cuba, the economy of Iran in general, they

00:15:17

have been under much

00:15:21

harsher sanctions for very long decades although there are fewer of them there

00:15:23

But the sanctions were more

00:15:26

organized from the point of view of the very

00:15:28

element of the sanctions Here But in Cuba,

00:15:32

for example, these are American cars,

00:15:34

although inside they are no longer

00:15:36

American Yes, the engine for

00:15:38

now let’s say the reduction in assortments

00:15:41

in stores is by 20-30 percent in a

00:15:45

number of groups there is, but since there are a

00:15:49

lot of goods, a person can eat literally

00:15:51

5 types of goods, in general,

00:15:53

it will be fundamentally wonderful, and the

00:15:55

same situation will continue with

00:15:57

rising prices, a reduction in assortment and a

00:16:00

fall in effective demand,

00:16:02

accordingly, we will live more primitively

00:16:04

closer to the earth, in general, in principle and

00:16:10

we will watch The Fellowship of the Ring,

00:16:12

as they say, not in the original

00:16:15

The screen will apparently be Dmitry, today we

00:16:18

are asking our viewers what Vladimir

00:16:21

Putin will give the Russians for the New Year. Well,

00:16:23

he has already given rings to his colleagues,

00:16:25

several there are options for general

00:16:28

mobilization, another war, his resignation,

00:16:31

nothing Russia so happy Perhaps

00:16:34

you have some kind of your own option,

00:16:35

maybe they will give an increase in the retirement

00:16:38

age, the next one maybe they

00:16:40

will pay 10 thousand to everyone So that it doesn’t seem so hard

00:16:43

life is hard it doesn’t seem so

00:16:47

what options do you think

00:16:50

Well, there won’t be very many options

00:16:52

next year in general,

00:16:55

labor taxes for the extraction of

00:16:58

mineral resources have been raised fundamentally on all so-

00:17:01

called pseudo-state

00:17:03

corporations because there

00:17:05

is no other source of opportunity to wash away the money will

00:17:09

certainly continue to be sluggish current In

00:17:12

my opinion, it will certainly not

00:17:14

extrapolate because, in my opinion, the

00:17:16

authorities are not waist-deep wooden,

00:17:18

she made quite correct conclusions,

00:17:20

she makes a quiet

00:17:23

grave by raising the

00:17:26

conscription age accordingly to

00:17:28

thirty and, accordingly, calmly

00:17:31

recruiting up to these necessary one and a half

00:17:36

million people who really want

00:17:42

everyone to be there, we will broadcast the same way as the previous 10

00:17:46

years, everything will be fine

00:17:48

It doesn’t sound optimistic, although I

00:17:51

like it. Only the part where everything will be

00:17:53

fine, we’ll wear it even for 10 thousand.

00:17:56

Let’s hope that everything

00:17:58

will really be fine, thank you very much,

00:18:00

entrepreneur Dmitry Potapenko was on the

00:18:02

air of the air program on Khodorkovsky

00:18:04

Life And we will continue Please like

00:18:07

this broadcast and also Subscribe

00:18:09

to our YouTube channel, we know that for some reason every

00:18:12

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00:18:15

Khodorkovsky Life Youtube channel, do

00:18:17

it as soon as possible and you know that we

00:18:19

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00:18:22

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Бизнесмен Дмитрий Потапенко в прямом эфире программы «Воздух» на канале Ходорковский Live прокомментировал прогнозы Дмитрия Медведева. Как изменятся цены на нефть и газ, что ждет российскую экономику, почему Медведев станет надзирателем над Премьер-министром России Мишустиным, почему встреча Владимира Путина с лидерами стран СНГ превратилась в огненное танго с восемью партнерами, вернет ли Путин СССР при поддержке Лукашенко и причем тут кольца, подаренные президентам стран СНГ - в интервью Дмитрия Потапенко Богдану Бакалейко и Василию Азарову. Канал Дмитрия Потапенко: https://www.youtube.com/c/PotapenkoDmitry КРУТИХИН: Экспорт нефти из России рухнул. Медведев в Китае. Дешевый газ для Лукашенко https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haMC4TJWTxU АСЛАНЯН: «Соллерс» и двигатель V8, китайцы в Саратове, ГОСТ на самокаты, новый ЛуАЗ, вьетнамский BMW https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAVhPCvmYDE Дмитрий БЫКОВ: Путин отменяет воблу и лосося, орден Симоньян и в чем упрекнуть Россию? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lP2sWIWW-ws ХОДОРКОВСКИЙ и ПАСТУХОВ: О поражении и победе для России. Это война Путина или народа? Шанс — есть? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TsUjcBfW-wA ИНОЗЕМЦЕВ: Цугцванг Путина в Минске. 76 рублей за доллар. Срочники будут служить два года https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=THFebf5clHo ШЕНДЕРОВИЧ: Путин и тупая пропаганда. Срок службы в армии. Запрет музыкантов на школьных дискотеках https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bh41MpTwHvg АЛЕКСАШЕНКО: Осложнить жизнь уехавшим — государственная задача https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xiynp5zuDI Программа «ИЗНАНКА»: Как Путин сокращает население России? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONg0DXj-S5w Крипто-Кремль: как власть отмывает биткоины https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EUTy2D4NtN4 ПАСТУХОВ: Путин не доверяет генералам? Кто заменит Лаврова? О чем знали Греф и Набиуллина / Пастухов, Еловский https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZrcZvEyvq6c Валерий СОЛОВЕЙ: Вторая волна мобилизации будет в январе. Военное положение неминуемо https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BL-P-zQ7-MU Миллиард для Путина: как президент украл завод на Ямале https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6C-Bbo8WeNY Блог Михаила Ходорковского: https://www.youtube.com/user/khodorkovskyru ============================= Плейлисты: ► Блог Ходорковского: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7kI1pJUZbs&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl4Grv-wza2qAaE322NcoK0c ► Ответы на вопросы: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asGc56bUvs8&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl7VIGZSi0O6vmqGTNKnqb9Y ► Интервью с Ходорковским: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLUpN6Si0hGl6NhQa9nhFk3E6bwAgml7yM ► Правозащита: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4WjEvgt0tg&list=PLUpN6Si0hGl7aRDjrl1vICk3jXAjFtNtG Социальные сети: ► Twitter: http://bit.ly/MBK-Twitter ► Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser ► Telegram: https://t.me/khodorkovski ► Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser ► ВКонтакте: http://bit.ly/MBK-VKontakte =============================

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