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Channel: Мысли Goblina

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00:00:00

[music]

00:00:11

on the air of an event with Murad Abiyev about the

00:00:14

current news of Azerbaijan, not

00:00:16

only everything is mixed up in Hayk’s house, the

00:00:18

Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement is

00:00:19

approaching another difficult point for

00:00:21

Armenian identity,

00:00:24

US Ambassador to Armenia Christina Quinn said that the

00:00:26

Armenian residents of Karabakh will be able to live

00:00:28

safely as part of Azerbaijan these

00:00:31

words of the ambassador caused

00:00:33

a stir and irritation in the Armenian society, a premonition of a

00:00:35

quick end. The leader of the remnants of the

00:00:37

illegal formation, Reik Harutyunyan,

00:00:39

sent a letter to Putin. Judging by the brief

00:00:42

characteristics of the media, the

00:00:44

content is very unbrotherly; its essence is in the

00:00:46

demand to decide whether the RMC will

00:00:48

protect the fate of the Karabakh Armenians from the

00:00:50

evil Azerbaijanis or not If not then

00:00:53

we And what exactly are you, what measures can the

00:00:56

routine take? And the main thing in relation to

00:00:59

whom is the question of a clinical nature;

00:01:00

however, if you discard the bravura husk,

00:01:03

then in this act you can feel the Awareness of

00:01:05

doom; the trapped

00:01:07

criminals are asking the Kremlin to explain

00:01:09

whether they should rely on the

00:01:12

resistance of Baku or importa pray and

00:01:15

repent meanwhile, the example of the Pashinyans

00:01:18

spoke to their ministers with the

00:01:19

usual package of accusations against Baku.

00:01:21

And in the meantime, managed to call Putin,

00:01:24

distracted from more pressing problems,

00:01:26

the Russian leader hastened in clerical

00:01:29

style to assure the Armenian prime minister that

00:01:31

everything was fine. Harutyunyan gathered after this

00:01:34

meeting where he most likely announced that

00:01:37

everything is lost But here is another character in

00:01:39

Armenian politics, though of a secondary importance,

00:01:42

former Foreign Minister Vardan

00:01:44

Askanyan tears his shirt on his chest and asks to be put

00:01:47

into battle, that is, to give him the

00:01:49

authority to negotiate, and then he

00:01:52

supposedly knew how Armenia Great age will

00:01:54

ensure that the negotiation process

00:01:56

will acquire a logic that is beneficial for Yerevan And the

00:01:59

Konyan assures that all is not lost yet,

00:02:01

but for this no one should disturb him

00:02:03

Oh yes, he needs three months to do everything about everything, I would

00:02:08

n’t want to make fun of a

00:02:10

person’s appearance However, you will agree that physiognomy is an

00:02:13

eloquent thing, just a quick

00:02:16

glance at the sardonic sleepy the look of a

00:02:18

former diplomat to understand that the whole

00:02:20

cunning plan of this man

00:02:22

is to send the

00:02:24

negotiation process to his cheek and

00:02:27

chew it like a cow chewing a dead

00:02:30

number, what was possible 20 years ago will

00:02:33

not work now because it is precisely

00:02:35

this kind of chewed diplomacy that

00:02:37

ultimately led to the shameful capitulation of

00:02:39

Armenia Who

00:02:43

was in power during the defeat of the Armenian army does not matter at all,

00:02:45

I think the Samoskanians understand this perfectly well, it’s

00:02:47

just that Kocharyan’s team

00:02:50

is trying to respond in this way to the current

00:02:51

government’s accusations of a failed

00:02:53

policy on Karabakh in order to maintain

00:02:55

some kind of rating, I’m sure the worst

00:02:58

scenario for Askania, she would

00:03:00

suddenly Pashinyan’s agreement to give him the

00:03:03

pseudo-desired carte blanche I would have

00:03:06

done it in Pashinyan’s place, it would have been possible to

00:03:09

show the Armenians that Askanyan, like the entire

00:03:12

Kocharyan team, are ordinary idle talkers,

00:03:14

at the same time another Armenian

00:03:16

melancholic Chairman of the Security Council Armen

00:03:19

Grigoryan flew to Washington for a meeting

00:03:20

with US Presidential

00:03:22

National Security Adviser Jake

00:03:24

Sullivan since both politicians, as the

00:03:26

names of their positions suggest,

00:03:28

are responsible for security, they will probably

00:03:31

discuss some issues of military cooperation to Moscow’s delight.

00:03:33

However, it is not clear

00:03:36

why there is such a rush right after the end of the

00:03:38

Washington round of negotiations in the

00:03:40

blinkin format bayramaf Mirzayan it may

00:03:43

seem that Washington Yerevan is trying to

00:03:45

somehow play tricks against Baku, although

00:03:48

something else is more likely. It is possible that the

00:03:51

White House will most likely convince and

00:03:54

advise Grigoryan on how to

00:03:55

quickly and less painfully accept the

00:03:58

inevitable, first stop

00:04:00

complementing, interpret in your own way Those

00:04:02

five principles which Baku proposed

00:04:04

to conclude a long-term peace, because

00:04:07

there is an understanding that the administration of the

00:04:09

American President, in accordance with

00:04:12

these principles, it is very important for Washington to

00:04:14

achieve the adoption of this document before the

00:04:16

Autumn, when the administration will completely

00:04:18

switch to the election race and

00:04:21

will not be able to actively engage in the South Caucasus,

00:04:23

and there, after all, Moscow can seize

00:04:25

the reins and Brussels will want more

00:04:27

independent roles; it would be better to complete what it started as soon as possible.

00:04:30

Moreover, Baku

00:04:32

clearly shows that it is capable of

00:04:34

achieving its goals

00:04:36

unilaterally for the United States. The South Caucasus is of course not the

00:04:39

highest priority direction of foreign

00:04:41

policy, but I don’t want to lose the authority that

00:04:43

they have only just begun to restore here.

00:04:44

We will wait for the

00:04:47

Brussels meeting of the heads of state at

00:04:49

which the points of consensus and

00:04:52

contradictions between the two countries will be clarified at the new stage of the

00:04:54

negotiation process. Meanwhile, in Baku,

00:04:57

the verdict was announced regarding two

00:04:59

Armenian saboteurs caught crossing the

00:05:01

conditional border and now a

00:05:04

procedural basis has been prepared for their

00:05:06

exchange for innocently convicted people who got

00:05:09

lost on localities of the

00:05:10

Azerbaijani military As we see, Baku

00:05:13

does not abandon its own Baku in general become a

00:05:15

place of power in the past week Ours in

00:05:18

the capital became the site of a ministerial

00:05:20

meeting Cardienson Bureau of the non-

00:05:22

alignment movement President Aliyev’s speech at this

00:05:24

event, which became

00:05:27

another marker of the world

00:05:28

anti-clonial agenda, became

00:05:30

at the same time a cold shower for the

00:05:32

Elysee Palace Ilham Aliyev called on the

00:05:34

French President Macron to

00:05:36

apologize for the Colonial crimes of

00:05:38

his country and not to interfere in other people's

00:05:41

affairs. But that's not all. Within the framework of the meeting, an

00:05:44

event was held on the topic of the complete

00:05:47

eradication of colonialism, at which

00:05:49

representatives of the overseas possessions of France,

00:05:50

New Caledonia and French Guiana,

00:05:53

brought down accusations of

00:05:56

merciless exploitation and general

00:05:58

a week with macron and clearly failed

00:06:00

because the baton of Baku was taken up by Moscow

00:06:02

where the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry

00:06:04

Maria Zakharova, but in the traditional briefing

00:06:07

first accused France and its leaders of the

00:06:09

policy of racism and xenophobia in the

00:06:11

police brutality reigning in the country and then

00:06:14

in the destructive policy in the Armenians, the

00:06:15

Azerbaijani settlement of Zakharov

00:06:18

also went through the anti-Bajan

00:06:20

resolutions of the National Assembly and

00:06:22

Senate of France by the way. Answering

00:06:25

another provocative question from an

00:06:26

Armenian journalist mentioning the

00:06:28

fake President of Artsakh

00:06:31

Arutyunyan, Zakharova noted that she was

00:06:33

unfamiliar with such statements as well as

00:06:36

with the positions mentioned, perhaps in this

00:06:39

way the speaker of the Russian Foreign Ministry

00:06:41

slapped the seal on the cold Putin's response to the

00:06:43

passion of the hares of the terms of the Lesser Caucasus,

00:06:47

we will not extol Aki Moscow's words to

00:06:49

Baku. Moreover, the same

00:06:52

Zakharova, but the event mentioned above,

00:06:54

again remembered the non-existent blockade;

00:06:55

this does not at all promise agreement of the parties on

00:06:59

all pressing issues; however, to some

00:07:01

extent it indicates reluctance to

00:07:03

quarrel with such an important partner as

00:07:05

Azerbaijan against the backdrop of the most difficult

00:07:07

international situation. As they say,

00:07:09

the ladder is not on its own, but because it

00:07:12

considers you worthy of this flattery.

00:07:15

Moreover, it is also curious that

00:07:17

Washington’s efforts in the South Caucasus to

00:07:19

resolve the complaints of the Russian Foreign Ministry

00:07:21

this time did not cause a plus to the strong

00:07:23

negotiating position of Azerbaijan before the

00:07:25

meeting in Brussels, and the news

00:07:27

that international courts recognized the

00:07:29

sovereign right of Azerbaijan to

00:07:31

adopt a border control

00:07:33

checkpoint at the entrance to the

00:07:35

Latin road, thus the Armenian

00:07:38

side that initiated the claim itself

00:07:41

achieved that the legality

00:07:43

was confirmed an international body and

00:07:45

now Baku will not take the

00:07:47

pleasure of demonstrating this document at every opportunity.

00:07:54

All players are already aware of the legitimacy of Baku’s actions and the impossibility of somehow preventing them. According to

00:07:58

Armenian media reports, yesterday the head of the Russian

00:08:00

peacekeepers, Lentsov, received the Khankin

00:08:03

Diorai Kartenyan of his brothers in the name of

00:08:05

legitimacy the meeting is said to have taken place in a

00:08:08

heated atmosphere in response to the

00:08:10

claims of the Terrible Assembly of Lintsov

00:08:12

noticed that the Latin road was

00:08:14

closed after Pashinyan said

00:08:16

that Karabakh is Azerbaijan by

00:08:19

closing the Latin road Lentsov most

00:08:20

likely meant the installation of a BPP As

00:08:23

we see, Putin, for greater persuasiveness,

00:08:25

responds to the letter of illegal immigrants not one but

00:08:28

several times returning to the

00:08:30

ministerial meeting of the coordination

00:08:31

bureau of the non-accession movement, one cannot fail to

00:08:34

note the visit of the Iranian foreign ministers within the framework of this

00:08:35

event,

00:08:38

although on Mir Abdullahiana,

00:08:40

having met with President Aliyev,

00:08:42

the chief Iranian diplomat assured him

00:08:44

that judicial law enforcement agencies are

00:08:47

seriously investigating the

00:08:49

terrorist act committed against the

00:08:51

Embassy of Azerbaijan, as is known, the

00:08:53

relationship between the two countries is now at the

00:08:55

lowest level in modern history

00:08:57

and the visiting diplomat was the first

00:09:00

serious step towards their normalization,

00:09:02

how sincere and stable

00:09:04

Tehran’s desire to restore

00:09:05

good neighborly relations will be, time will tell

00:09:08

at the event along the line of non-annexation movement

00:09:12

was present as a guest Also, the Minister of Foreign

00:09:14

Affairs of Turkey, Khakan Fidan, in his

00:09:16

speech, noted that he

00:09:18

quoted the Great Nizami. The East is a

00:09:21

delicate matter and it is unlikely that Fidan was going to

00:09:23

continue the debate regarding the

00:09:25

affiliation of the Great Poet Who or

00:09:27

another culture is too petty, rather the

00:09:30

opposite message. There was a conciliatory

00:09:32

quote from a Turkic poet who wrote in

00:09:34

Farsi about the fact that dark clouds carry

00:09:37

light moisture rather contains a call for

00:09:39

cooperation rather than a signal of

00:09:41

confrontation Iran this coming week

00:09:43

became a full member of the Shanghai

00:09:46

organization, the cooperation act is still rather

00:09:48

symbolic in nature because, as

00:09:51

President of Kazakhstan Tokayev put it

00:09:53

at the Adyghe summit of the SCO, the organization has

00:09:57

failed in 20 years of its existence

00:09:58

implement not a single major

00:10:00

economic project, but I repeat, if you

00:10:03

look at this through the prism of symbols,

00:10:05

then Iran is thus declaring that it is

00:10:07

emerging from isolation and it will be

00:10:10

under the auspices of China. A large-scale

00:10:12

counter-offensive has not yet begun

00:10:15

next week at the NATO summit in

00:10:16

Vilnius A decision on

00:10:19

further military assistance is expected Ukraine Although it

00:10:22

is possible that it will only be

00:10:24

fixed what was left behind the scenes,

00:10:26

but it has already been agreed that the training of

00:10:28

Ukrainian pilots on American

00:10:29

fighters, according to some information,

00:10:32

is already in full swing; meanwhile,

00:10:34

Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky said that the

00:10:36

offensive is moving slowly

00:10:38

because the West has not provided Kiev with what it needs

00:10:41

the amount of weapons, most likely meaning

00:10:43

fighters, while

00:10:45

Zelensky looked very calm, in general it

00:10:48

begins to seem to me that the mutual

00:10:50

study of the West and Kiev is also

00:10:52

part of the counteroffensive. On Friday,

00:10:55

Zelensky flew to Istanbul where he

00:10:57

met with Turkish President Recep

00:10:59

Tayyip Erdogan, the leaders discussed the

00:11:01

situation in Ukraine, the possibility of extending

00:11:03

the grain deals with Russia Negotiations on the

00:11:06

exchange of prisoners of war and prospects for

00:11:08

peace negotiations at a press conference

00:11:10

following the meeting, Erdogan said that

00:11:13

Ukraine without a doubt deserves to be a

00:11:15

member of NATO, which serves as serious

00:11:17

support on the long road to the acceptance of this

00:11:19

country by the North Atlantic Alliance. However,

00:11:21

on the same day, at a briefing in Washington, the already

00:11:24

mentioned I Jake Sullivan said

00:11:26

that following the results of the upcoming NATO summit

00:11:28

in Vilnius, Ukraine will not be accepted into NATO;

00:11:31

meanwhile, the United States has already approved assistance in the

00:11:34

form of cluster munitions

00:11:35

intended to destroy

00:11:37

enemy personnel in the conditions of the

00:11:39

futility of breaking through

00:11:41

densely mined strips of Russian

00:11:43

defense, destruction of

00:11:45

enemy personnel by artillery fire in these

00:11:47

positions seems to be becoming a priority

00:11:50

target of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, despite all the fair position of

00:11:52

Ukraine in the war against Russia,

00:11:54

another example of hypocritical policy from the

00:11:56

West is visible. They claimed that

00:11:58

Azerbaijan used cluster

00:12:00

munitions, which are more lethal than

00:12:02

conventional weapons during the 44-day war,

00:12:05

while Azerbaijan hit

00:12:07

legitimate targets exclusively with

00:12:08

modern precision missiles, Armenia

00:12:11

used

00:12:13

cluster munitions against Azerbaijan And now the

00:12:16

same West considers it necessary to transfer

00:12:18

these weapons to Ukraine double standards in

00:12:21

all its glory from the most significant events on the

00:12:24

fronts another drone attack on

00:12:26

Moscow and also Russian drones in the

00:12:29

sums rocket attack Pervomaisky,

00:12:31

Kharkov region and Lvov,

00:12:33

there is a casualty among civilians,

00:12:35

meanwhile for several weeks now everyone has

00:12:37

been talking only about the upcoming

00:12:39

sabotage at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, the

00:12:41

parties accuse each other in advance of

00:12:43

sabotage, as if the catastrophe has already been

00:12:45

appointed and they are trying to unsubscribe from

00:12:48

authorship, the prophecy of experts also

00:12:50

varies from the promise of universal disaster

00:12:52

to the prediction of minimal

00:12:54

radiation leakage, however, an explosion was promised on the night of

00:12:57

July 5, but this did not happen and everyone

00:12:59

breathed a little calmer, the

00:13:02

news that the Ukrainian army

00:13:04

had liberated the village of Kleshcheevka from

00:13:06

Bakhmut, however, the information turned out to be

00:13:09

unverified, however, the battles around Bakhmut

00:13:11

continue, except The tactical

00:13:13

liberation of this small town

00:13:15

will have enormous symbolic

00:13:18

significance. Let me remind you that Russia

00:13:20

was able to capture this

00:13:22

settlement with the Wagnerites only after several

00:13:24

months of stubborn and bloody fighting. The

00:13:27

capture of Bakhmut became a symbol of the turning point of the

00:13:30

bogged down military operation. And the loss of the

00:13:33

Gorod, which was turned into ruins, could

00:13:35

become a trigger for new unrest among the

00:13:37

Wagnerites about which will be discussed below,

00:13:40

the Kremlin has taken up Prigozhin’s

00:13:42

closed media group Patriot and the

00:13:45

Internet research agency, a significant one, by

00:13:47

the way, Prigozhin’s propaganda machine, which

00:13:49

includes itself a so-called

00:13:52

troll factory, which played a huge role in the

00:13:54

media preparation for the Ukrainian war and, in

00:13:57

general, in maintaining patriotic

00:13:58

discourse at the peak of the ratings, at the same time, the

00:14:01

Kremlin’s catering business the cook has

00:14:04

not yet been taken away from him However, government contracts

00:14:06

with Prigozhin's companies are rapidly

00:14:08

dwindling Prigozhin However, they returned 10

00:14:10

billion rubles the same money that

00:14:13

was found in me on the bus, it was this

00:14:15

money that became the reason for the funny Meme with the

00:14:17

namesake of the head of Wagner, producer

00:14:19

Joseph Prigozhin Prigozhin himself as the

00:14:22

Elusive Ghost does not reveal the place

00:14:24

of his Belarusian President

00:14:26

Lukashenko, however, said that he

00:14:28

was in St. Petersburg. That is, it

00:14:30

turns out that he is a traitor to Russia. While he is

00:14:32

calmly walking around St. Petersburg,

00:14:34

perhaps deliberately irritating the

00:14:37

main native of the city on the Neva, the

00:14:40

eerie image of an omnipresent and invisible

00:14:42

conductor is enhanced by the fact that he is like a

00:14:45

Secret Oracle spewing out of the depths of

00:14:47

cosmic chaos, voice messages to

00:14:49

the people, and these messages are very curious,

00:14:52

the march of justice was aimed at

00:14:55

fighting traitors, a lot has happened in the

00:14:57

near future, you will see our Victories

00:15:00

at the front, something here again seemed wrong to me,

00:15:03

or does the comrade really

00:15:05

continue to oppose who he is

00:15:08

calling a traitor if all the country

00:15:10

was told on TV that he himself is a traitor

00:15:14

and on which front in this case

00:15:15

he is going to win. Is it really in Africa that

00:15:18

Prigozhin is unlikely to call African

00:15:21

operations a front and the Russian

00:15:23

average man is unlikely to be that interested in this

00:15:25

African front, what remains are the

00:15:27

three Slavic capitals to the southern

00:15:31

border of Mogilev areas Where the

00:15:32

musicians' camps are located closest to

00:15:35

Kiev, but Kiev could not take even the

00:15:37

most elite units of the Russian

00:15:39

Wagner army, with all their drive, it is better

00:15:42

not to take this adventure even if the

00:15:44

corresponding order arrives, I do

00:15:46

n’t think that it will be easier to take Minsk,

00:15:48

and the main question is not even whether I could will

00:15:51

they take it or not, but what

00:15:53

will they do with it if they take it? And the

00:15:55

capital is Moscow, which is farthest away, which doesn’t make it

00:15:58

any less tempting. These were the most, in my

00:16:00

opinion, relevant news in the passing

00:16:02

weeks until next Saturday

Description:

Подпишитесь на канал: https://www.youtube.com/c/CaliberAz Независимый военно-аналитический интернет-проект Caliber рассчитан, как на широкий круг зрителей, интересующихся военно-политической и военно-технической тематикой с упором на регион Южного Кавказа, так и на профессиональных экспертов в данной области. Геополитика, конфликты, специализированная военная и военно-техническая аналитика, информационная война и операции психологического воздействия, вестник со всевозможных оборонных экспо и передовой, особое экспертное мнение и критические выводы - все это и многое другое в эксклюзивном эфире канала Caliber...

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