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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:03
I also greet you and Hello everyone to our00:00:06
viewers, in your opinion, the ruble has already00:00:09
hit the bottom, it’s just breaking through it or00:00:12
has already pushed off from the bottom.00:00:15
Well, in general, any currency movement is00:00:18
never the bottom, it’s always a process00:00:21
because I’ll remind you that when Putin00:00:23
started the fiery part of the war last00:00:25
year in February, the ruble then penetrated00:00:27
much further and much more, that is,00:00:30
it was generally sold on the Black Market00:00:32
for 200, and that is, well, roughly speaking, the dollar00:00:34
cost 200 rubles, and this means two00:00:38
times lower than now and therefore00:00:41
Now there is no bottom, now it’s just that00:00:43
the ruble is returning to some00:00:46
Depths in which it was already, but00:00:48
only half more than that, even00:00:52
for the Russian economy you will00:00:54
laugh, this is not even the worst00:00:57
news, well, especially for the Minister of the Budget00:01:00
Yes, uh, for those people who are responsible00:01:03
for accumulation for filling the budget for the00:01:08
vicarage There and so on for uh for00:01:11
people who say with what money00:01:13
they will pay for the war Well, for them00:01:16
this is not the worst news because I will00:01:18
explain for our people who not very00:01:21
aware of economic processes, a country00:01:24
that exports something abroad00:01:28
earns foreign currency there, and the00:01:32
weaker its national currency is, the more00:01:34
profitable it is for a Russian exporter00:01:38
because, roughly speaking, If you sell something00:01:40
for one dollar, you were previously given00:01:43
50 rubles for it When you exchanged then now they00:01:45
give you 100 rubles for it, roughly speaking00:01:48
in rubles, earning twice as much00:01:50
is all those who export something that00:01:53
they sell for dollars for euros There and so00:01:56
on00:01:57
But for those people who buy00:02:00
something the same for euros for dollars00:02:03
is a disaster for them because for00:02:05
them the price now rises exactly twice, that00:02:09
is, exports you win twice and00:02:11
lose twice and therefore the00:02:14
Russian Federation, which sells its00:02:16
own, sells off its resources to00:02:19
fill the budget. This is good because00:02:21
it now fills it is twice as00:02:23
fast in rubles But since we know00:02:26
that the Russian Federation itself has very little00:02:28
going on,00:02:30
everything that it buys abroad has00:02:33
now become twice as expensive for it, that’s the00:02:34
main problem, the main problem00:02:38
for people and people who, let’s say,00:02:41
people who whose salaries are00:02:43
denominated in dollars They became00:02:47
twice as rich But people who receive00:02:50
money in rubles became twice as00:02:52
poor This is also a problem And00:02:55
accordingly, when you have such a00:02:59
depreciation of the national currency,00:03:02
prices begin to rise and accelerate inflation00:03:06
and, accordingly, people who go to00:03:09
stores look at the price tags and see00:03:11
that they are twice as much, first by00:03:14
10% by 20 percent by 30 and so on. That00:03:17
is, they will be regularly in stores and00:03:19
begin to see this, and first of course this00:03:22
affects imported goods, that00:03:24
is, this is what I told you that this00:03:25
makes imports more expensive, but then, as00:03:28
inflation accelerates, prices begin to rise, and00:03:31
even domestic goods, like bread,00:03:33
milk, which you don’t seem to buy there00:03:35
in any united states, in America, not in00:03:38
Japan, not in China, but all the same, as there are00:03:41
more rubles on the market then they00:03:44
depreciate by a hundred, accordingly, the entire00:03:47
economy reacts to this matter, this is the00:03:49
process that is going on in the current Russian00:03:53
economy, this process, as I tell you, it00:03:57
never has a bottom because00:04:01
we know the countries where, let’s say, inflation00:04:04
was hyperinflation there, post-war00:04:07
Germany after the Treaty of Versailles and the00:04:09
box a box of matches cost 200:04:12
trillion marks, that is, people people00:04:15
had to take a large cart on which it00:04:17
means this very paper was folded.00:04:20
That cost nothing, and there were00:04:23
several00:04:24
similar situations in other countries where there00:04:27
was hypertension, where the currency was completely00:04:29
depreciating, the ruble is not yet in00:04:31
such a situation The ruble just became cheaper00:04:33
and because of this, as I even told you, even the00:04:36
budget has benefited so far, but how this00:04:40
economic situation can affect00:04:42
Putin’s conditional stability in the Kremlin00:04:44
Well, by the way, they understand more when00:04:47
this concerns their dough specifically. By the way, they00:04:51
understand this quite specifically00:04:54
Yes, because I had a man, but00:04:57
he00:05:01
explained it clearly for these people, he said that a bottle of00:05:04
vodka there used to cost 114 rubles and00:05:08
now it costs 350 rubles, that’s all, and even00:05:12
if you are a drunk alcoholic there, you00:05:14
will still understand that before you had to buy00:05:16
bottles of vodka all you needed was 11400:05:19
or 115 or 150 rubles and now it’s twice as00:05:22
expensive, so they quickly understand, but00:05:25
for now they have00:05:28
one by two by three for this bottle of vodka, depending on00:05:31
who consumes what and while they are for00:05:35
these there are wooden rubles there,00:05:38
somehow the refrigerator is still filling up,00:05:40
and expecting some kind of Revolution from them00:05:43
is pointless, by the way, this is my00:05:46
next question. Many00:05:47
political strategists believe that one of the00:05:49
key moments of the obedience of the Russian00:05:51
masses is00:05:53
economic stability, just say00:05:54
for money to Putin in Russia is00:05:57
turning everything around. In this regard, the00:06:01
Russians can really rebel now if00:06:03
the economy starts to00:06:06
rebel, don’t rebel, this is the00:06:08
old story of TV versus the00:06:09
refrigerator, that is, people watch00:06:11
TV and what they are told on00:06:14
TV satisfies them as long as the00:06:16
refrigerator is full, as soon as00:06:18
all the problems start in the refrigerator then00:06:20
begins to look more critically at00:06:23
what the TV is saying, but in the Soviet00:06:25
Union in 90 and 91 there was nothing in stores.00:06:29
That is, even00:06:30
filling the refrigerator was quite problematic, but00:06:34
still, the revolution didn’t take place there, there00:06:36
were no demonstrations, we see00:06:38
imitations on Manezhnaya in in some00:06:40
ninety or ninety-first year, a00:06:41
million people came out to such and00:06:44
such a manifestation, it was there and the00:06:47
fast has never been repeated since then.00:06:50
But on the other hand, you know, I think00:06:53
that And by the way, revolution is not always00:06:55
purely economics But it’s not always bread00:07:00
and bread and spectacle,00:07:03
but there are some other things that are00:07:05
completely unpredictable.00:07:08
By the way, we saw this in Kazakhstan in January 22,00:07:11
two months to a month and a half before the00:07:16
Ukrainian fiery phase of the Russian war in00:07:20
Ukraine when literally a few00:07:23
something they have there I don’t remember what00:07:26
they call the money there, the price of00:07:28
gas has risen But a00:07:32
lot of apartments are heated with this gas, they drive their00:07:35
cars, all converted to gas, or00:07:37
most of them, and for them it suddenly became00:07:40
critical and suddenly because of a few kopecks00:07:43
So this whole thing was going on, it was getting more expensive,00:07:46
it was becoming more expensive, and suddenly on00:07:48
January 1st some00:07:50
officials announced that the price increase00:07:54
would be on January 1st, that is, can you imagine, it00:07:56
means that on December 31st, people ate00:07:59
festive champagne at the tables there, watching00:08:02
Ironies Enjoy Your Bath or Kazakh there00:08:05
version of this very comedy So suddenly00:08:09
they wake up 1 they are told you have there00:08:12
why are you there gas has become a little more expensive and00:08:15
people said Well, everyone took to the streets and00:08:18
a mess began and now it’s quite easy to imagine00:08:22
what exactly will be the trigger in the Russian00:08:24
Federation difficult by the way,00:08:26
quite interesting information00:08:29
about you appeared Galyamov told about it. Here you00:08:32
can listen to him again. I have00:08:35
several interviews with him for our viewers, it was00:08:38
on different channels, he talked about the fact00:08:41
that he got acquainted with a sociological00:08:44
study, which is quite difficult in00:08:46
Russia, quite surprising in Russia00:08:48
because in There is no00:08:49
sociology in Russia, naturally. So suddenly00:08:52
some kind of sociology arose and there were00:08:54
focus groups that00:08:56
tried to understand in general what is in the minds of00:08:58
Russians in terms of politics and as00:09:02
it turned out, if you take some00:09:03
district centers or regional centers and00:09:07
there There’s this middle class who00:09:10
still have cars, who00:09:12
have apartments, who have some kind of00:09:13
job. Money What kind of money? You know, they’re00:09:17
suddenly concerned about democracy, they’re suddenly00:09:20
concerned about some kind of elections, you00:09:22
’ll laugh at this. But in Russia under00:09:24
Putin, it’s been 23 years. they burned everything with stone00:09:27
iron and it would seem that none00:09:29
of this is gone at all. Well, now there will be a day of00:09:32
general voting on September 10, plus00:09:35
another year of elections and in fact, we have00:09:39
already passed the first round of elections in the Russian00:09:42
Federation on June 24 of this year00:09:46
when there was the Privozhensky rebellion and that means00:09:51
show this Prigoga rebellion on Moscow00:09:54
to overthrow Putin or at least00:09:57
raise questions to him and was not found00:09:59
in the entire Russian Federation on all00:10:02
17.5 million square kilometers with00:10:05
all 40-145 million nominal there we don’t00:10:09
know how many of them we actually will00:10:10
come from at least 40 million there wasn’t a00:10:14
single person then he spontaneously came out without a00:10:17
poster We won’t give up our beloved00:10:19
President Putin let’s defend our00:10:21
President Putin e in United Russia for a00:10:24
million years00:10:26
where was At least one of these million00:10:29
members where was the chairman of the00:10:31
United Russia party Dmitry Medvedev where00:10:33
they say in Abai in Oman Well, I’m talking in00:10:37
Karaganda, so no one came out00:10:41
at all spontaneously and not even spontaneously. That’s00:10:44
even how the governor there told them, well,00:10:46
there’s an order for all teachers tomorrow with00:10:49
posters, or right now00:10:51
we’ll defend Moscow with posters, we’ll defend Putin, the bastard00:10:54
Prigozhin under the baton traitor and so on,00:10:56
and not a single person, the entire first round of00:10:59
the presidential elections of 24 has already00:11:02
taken place and he proved that00:11:05
Putin’s candidate is not in these presidential elections. And00:11:09
now we will be there and it will be interesting for us00:11:11
to see because for sure or we are00:11:14
expecting What if he will suddenly00:11:16
put forward his candidate and those people,00:11:19
all those people who did not come out spontaneously00:11:21
to defend him and who, in principle, understood00:11:24
and understood everything, by the way, the whole world understood and the00:11:26
whole of Russia understood And by the way, Putin himself00:11:29
understood that there is no president of00:11:30
the Russian Federation and this is absolutely, I’m00:11:33
telling you this already there year That that he00:11:35
controls nothing that there is no one00:11:37
Putin no Putin Because if00:11:39
Prigozhin swears at the Minister of Defense and the00:11:41
Chief of the General Staff of the way he00:11:43
does nothing, it means there is no Putin there is no00:11:45
president he does not make any00:11:46
decisions that he should make there00:11:48
was a rebellion who was punished and who00:11:52
not punished, he is imprisoned, no, Prigozhin was00:11:55
shot, no, alarming, hanged, no,00:11:57
Wagner was released to Belarus and this and so00:12:00
on, yes, maybe even Prigozhin was00:12:02
imprisoned, by the way, one of the versions we00:12:04
can discuss it, maybe even He was00:12:06
killed. But formally this is not said,00:12:09
which means Prigozhin to Prigozhin punished on00:12:11
October 800:12:14
and the strike covered the Kerch bridge The first00:12:17
strike on the Kerch bridge three days before00:12:20
this Patrushev holds a meeting in00:12:23
Crimea on ensuring the security of the Crimean00:12:25
peninsula three days later strike on the00:12:27
Kerch bridge who was punished Ortikov was removed00:12:30
gold removed a friend was removed who was00:12:34
removed Shoigu was removed Gerasimogo was removed00:12:36
no one Putin does00:12:40
n’t decide anything at all, and therefore, of course, in00:12:43
such a situation it will be interesting because00:12:45
what if this one comes out as his candidacy00:12:49
and they start throwing rotten tomatoes at him, I don’t00:12:53
know, or setting my00:12:56
hammer on fire with cocktails, right now the military registration and enlistment office And they’re00:12:58
burning Yes And so these same Putin billboards will be00:13:01
torn down there, I don’t know that it’s00:13:03
absolutely unknown what will happen because00:13:06
we’ve seen some countries where00:13:09
revolutions arise nothing at all. Yes,00:13:12
last year in Iran they killed a00:13:14
woman, uh, because she didn’t wear00:13:18
a hija and mass00:13:23
massive demonstrations in Iran, which has been00:13:27
under the Islamic dictatorship for 30 years, mass00:13:30
demonstrations Yes, they drowned everything in blood, they00:13:32
killed 10 thousand people, they say Well,00:13:36
no one knows, but they don’t know any numbers,00:13:38
or at least they were imprisoned. But00:13:40
even in such a closed country as00:13:42
Iran there were massive demonstrations of how this00:13:45
will flare up in Russia, no one knows Sergei00:13:47
about Putin a little later now he is00:13:49
returning By the way, about Prigozhin’s00:13:51
journalists, the investigator of Christ threatened00:13:53
with blinkat that in six months00:13:56
Prigozhin will either be dead or00:13:59
go to Moscow again, Sergei, which version of00:14:02
events are you more inclined to and00:14:04
Is it true Prigozhin can00:14:06
go to Moscow again,00:14:10
and I really like Christ of Georgia, I00:14:14
naturally00:14:16
support this version. I’ll just remind00:14:18
you that I’ve been00:14:21
telling you four months ago that if00:14:23
Prigozhin is not killed, he will be the00:14:25
next president of the Russian00:14:26
Federation because he went into politics,00:14:29
he has everything that is needed for a00:14:34
real candidate who will00:14:36
force elections, namely, he has an00:14:39
armed army of thugs who00:14:42
obey no one except him, he00:14:44
has money, huge billions, he00:14:46
has a media Empire And by the way, this is00:14:50
after the Prigozhin rebellion00:14:52
absolutely everything became clear and therefore my version is that00:14:56
Prigozhin was actually either killed00:14:58
or imprisoned and people attacked me00:15:02
who said that uh when I00:15:05
said it right there 3 weeks00:15:07
after the proposed rebellion uh00:15:10
some videos of some kind appeared some kind of audio00:15:13
So people threw it in, says So he00:15:15
told us all that he was killed, look00:15:17
Prigogine alive and healthy where with alive00:15:19
Prigogine alive and healthy Who saw00:15:22
Prigozhin alive and alive healthy and00:15:24
what kind of Prigogine alive and healthy not one00:15:26
person has seen there since the 24th00:15:31
they showed us some kind of [ __ ], they showed us00:15:33
photos of June 12 in panties, they showed00:15:37
photos at the summit, but we understand00:15:40
that we live in the third millennium and00:15:42
a fake is a thing that works; any00:15:44
student can buy a program on the00:15:46
dark market and make it for his mother and00:15:48
edit it with his teacher school00:15:51
or with the school principal who is having00:15:54
sex right now no No video00:15:58
No audio No photograph that is00:16:01
shown to us proves anything and00:16:03
Prigozhin by the way they didn’t even show us a00:16:05
good diff because we were00:16:07
shown some kind of filming just at night00:16:11
in the dark, no one knows where people who are not00:16:14
they know what the wagons are, they don’t know the word00:16:16
Wagner, to them Utkin, who Yandex Prigozhin00:16:19
should explain that the Wagners, that is, he, that is, what kind of00:16:22
Wagnerians are they who do00:16:24
n’t know what the word Wagner is, I do00:16:27
n’t believe in this, in this video, not a single second00:16:29
at all, not a single second I need00:16:32
Prigozhin, who will appear just like00:16:34
you and I are now sitting in front of the cameras.00:16:36
By the way, on your behalf, I can00:16:39
invite him. And you probably Confirm that00:16:41
if he wants to give your channel an00:16:43
interview live on Krivoy ether,00:16:45
anywhere for God’s sake, Evgeniy Viktorovich,00:16:49
come Tell us00:16:51
first in hut and then maybe come to us00:16:54
no no he first needs to be interrogated on00:16:57
your channel and then to the Hague in the SBU There and00:17:00
so on you have to ask on your00:17:02
channel Will he suddenly agree00:17:04
because his empire was taken away from him00:17:06
he doesn’t seem to be there Why nothing to say00:17:08
here is your channel which is growing by00:17:11
leaps and bounds, in general you00:17:13
have added a million there over the last six months so I00:17:16
think that it will certainly be super for00:17:18
it Then the whole of Ukraine will subscribe If00:17:20
suddenly you find out that Prigozhin is alive and00:17:23
healthy it will of course be00:17:25
super-duper there well, really no Yes,00:17:28
there are some00:17:29
audio recordings, we, on your channel, have already00:17:33
discussed with your colleagues any such00:17:35
audio audio clip, this can be done, it00:17:37
means he’s sitting in a pre-trial detention center elevator, yes, that00:17:40
means they put a tape recorder there for him and00:17:43
say, well, let’s record Evgenia.00:17:45
thing, we will then place it there, like00:17:48
confirm that you are alive and well and at large.00:17:50
There and so on. That is, the audio00:17:52
file in general, in general, it does not00:17:54
prove anything where it was recorded on the Moon.00:17:56
You can now Prigogine went with00:17:58
this satellite to the moon. And it will turn out00:18:00
that tomorrow he swam to us from the Moon, they00:18:03
will record some kind of video or00:18:05
audio file for now, no live00:18:07
alarming We have not seen for 7 weeks There are00:18:10
six weeks after after June, a bunch of00:18:14
Sergei, but still, about Prigozhin’s political career,00:18:17
will the Russian elites be able to00:18:19
come to an agreement with they00:18:22
will be able to calmly they will be able to start talking to him and00:18:28
laugh if he has arranged his bad thing. This is00:18:33
because everyone agreed with him,00:18:35
everyone told his wife, let’s00:18:36
support you, and then everyone abandoned him and that’s why00:18:39
he had to refuse her there00:18:41
because at the last00:18:43
moment he says Well, I'm going, where are you,00:18:45
these governors who told me,00:18:47
just go? We will all support you. Well,00:18:50
where are these dumins who told him there?00:18:51
Come on coach, we will support you00:18:54
because the old man is sick of everyone. And00:18:57
Putin hates absolutely everything00:19:00
except those who earns money00:19:02
from the war, those who earn money,00:19:04
they adore him because they think00:19:06
that he is ideal, [ __ ], he is the ideal00:19:10
person who can be led around00:19:12
his finger, and he is the ideal person who00:19:14
started this bad thing and will not give up on it, which00:19:17
means it will be possible to forge billions and a00:19:20
bed there are very few people on it, in00:19:23
fact, all those who lost in the war00:19:26
on one side and all those who believe that00:19:29
Putin started a very stupid war and00:19:32
its video was wrong, then all these Girkins00:19:34
Malafeeva Prigozhin and they are all unhappy with00:19:38
Putin, they all hate him and Putin00:19:40
as we just said at the beginning of the programs,00:19:43
there is no longer any Putin, no00:19:45
president Putin, there is no00:19:48
figurehead, a double who is released there in00:19:52
uh00:19:53
Makhachkala, a double who is sent to00:19:56
Sevastopol, a double who is sitting in a00:19:58
bunker, a double who I don’t know where00:20:01
the last time we saw a normal path,00:20:03
no Putin no at all. And in00:20:07
such a situation, of course, it can be00:20:10
drained sooner or later. I think that in general,00:20:13
actually preparing this whole00:20:15
thing and I’m the only person who will00:20:17
tell you about it, listen to Fishkinsky Yes,00:20:19
who, so to speak, history, who00:20:22
studied l history and who with00:20:26
his his knowledge of historical00:20:29
processes says that Putin is generally00:20:31
political00:20:35
Sergei, you know, we, as journalists in00:20:38
Ukraine, are honestly skeptical00:20:41
about the news about00:20:43
Putin’s fatal illnesses, but we, as Ukrainians, are00:20:46
objectively trying to hope and hope that00:20:48
Putin will leave soon, that’s what you00:20:51
know At the moment, a00:20:53
Putin's real illnesses, if there is hope that Putin00:20:57
can really leave on his own for00:20:58
health reasons,00:21:02
nothing is known I don't have access to00:21:05
his medical record I don't know his00:21:07
doctors who are treating him I don't have I00:21:10
can't call I can but they won't00:21:14
answer me Yes to the medical center00:21:15
management00:21:17
there until 2006, there is nothing nothing I00:21:22
can’t say anything more than that, I00:21:26
would say so don’t00:21:29
bother with it Well, of course, it’s outwardly that’s00:21:33
when I’m convinced that a person who00:21:35
looks like Putin is the real00:21:37
Putin, you can say that he has00:21:39
some kind of problem with a throat Because he00:21:41
constantly coughs, he has00:21:43
some kind of problem with the nervous system because he00:21:45
constantly eliminates his legs and cannot00:21:48
sit still, he could still have00:21:51
millions of any problems Because00:21:53
even based on the fact that he is 70 years old in00:21:56
Russia, the average age of a man is00:21:58
duration life 65-67,00:22:01
he has already crossed this bar. Well, of course, he does00:22:03
n’t work there in hazardous industries,00:22:05
he’s not a drunkard, they can00:22:10
eat him as much00:22:12
money as they want to ensure his health, they00:22:15
can buy him any medicine, they can00:22:17
see any of the most expensive doctors, the00:22:20
best ones including Western doctors.00:22:22
But00:22:24
I would say that we shouldn’t00:22:27
worry, we should worry about uh00:22:30
the politics of this person and uh that sooner or00:22:34
later it doesn’t matter. This person should00:22:35
leave power uh if he just dies then of00:22:40
course it will be easier but there’s no point in00:22:41
doing this, so let’s look at00:22:44
all possible scenarios about how Putin00:22:47
can get away from it. Transit of power to Russia00:22:50
is possible at the moment. If so, then he can00:22:54
become Putin’s successor.00:22:57
Transit of power is possible in any country,00:23:00
even in the most cannibalistic. Because people are00:23:03
mortal, people are mortal then there is Putin00:23:06
will die someday anyway And therefore, no00:23:08
matter when the moment does not come when00:23:10
this person leaves power and00:23:12
a situation arises when it will be necessary to transfer00:23:15
power to someone else, the Constitution of the00:23:17
Russian Federation, this situation has been00:23:18
considered, it is provided for, it means power00:23:21
is transferred temporarily to the prime minister, he00:23:23
organizes elections and no later than00:23:26
90 days after the death of the previous00:23:28
president,00:23:29
holds a new presidential election. This is how the00:23:31
Transit of power takes place under normal00:23:34
conditions according to the Constitution of the Russian00:23:35
Federation, if not a normal condition, that is,00:23:39
Putin dies, that is, this is the00:23:42
same thing, and abnormal conditions This is what00:23:45
This is when he is overthrown by Putin By the way, he00:23:48
can organize a00:23:51
theoretical Transit of Power Following00:23:54
Yeltsin’s example, he can say I’m tired I’m leaving00:23:58
Here is my successor there I don’t know there00:24:00
Dmitry Medvedev there I don’t know there00:24:03
we have some kind of Martian here00:24:05
today you see he’s so green00:24:07
he has six arms, 32 heads, he is00:24:10
32 times smarter than me, so he will manage you00:24:13
much better or I don’t know,00:24:15
son of Nikolai Patrushev Dmitry Nikolaevich00:24:18
Patrushev Minister of Agriculture and00:24:21
there Kiren or anything else in general in a country00:24:24
in which 140 million people live, ask00:24:27
questions maybe someone can replace00:24:29
Putin, this is an absolute nose Yes, of00:24:32
course, any person out of the 140 million people00:24:35
living in the Russian Federation can00:24:37
replace the path at any moment Well, not 14000:24:40
million there uh old people who have already lost their minds uh we’re00:24:43
removing them, we’re removing the00:24:46
babies, we’re removing them all children under 1800:24:49
years old and there I don’t remember what it is, in00:24:51
my opinion,00:24:52
the Constitution, in my opinion, they even have00:24:55
some kind of age limit above 18 years old00:24:59
Well, it doesn’t matter These are details Of course,00:25:04
this could be the situation Putin on00:25:07
his own Knowing him and we know him00:25:10
quite well over the last 25 years,00:25:12
he will not give up power. He wanted to00:25:17
give up this power quite calmly in the first two00:25:19
terms, but he didn’t intend to when he was a00:25:21
young president, he had no00:25:23
intention of staying after 2008, then00:25:26
something went wrong. it broke down there are00:25:28
versions that in general that Putin of that Putin00:25:30
removed00:25:31
the lake because he didn’t want to stay,00:25:34
he kissed navels and as a boy Nikita he00:25:37
said that he was not going to00:25:39
stay after 2008, he was removed,00:25:42
Medvedev was imprisoned, then a completely00:25:44
different Putin returned, they pumped him full of Botox to00:25:47
show us that he is completely different and so00:25:49
on, she left him because she knew00:25:52
that this was not Putin and this is the Complatian00:25:56
version, the kind that circulates on the Internet,00:25:58
including the Russian one, even if that00:26:01
same Putin makes no difference to us. The main thing is00:26:04
that any dictatorship most often00:26:07
ends with that they are organizing00:26:09
a coup in it Sergei, if there are00:26:12
people surrounded by Putin who are still capable of00:26:15
liquidating Putin, and now Explain how00:26:18
this is technically possible to do, because00:26:20
Putin, over the many years of his presidency,00:26:21
surrounded himself with just an army of security guards00:26:26
Yes And so, as soon as you told the00:26:28
story of the army of security guards, then there is the most00:26:31
likely thing that can happen in00:26:34
such a situation, he will be00:26:36
killed by his security guard, Alexei Kochnev,00:26:39
the head of the presidential security, or00:26:42
on the orders of Alexei Kochnev, he will be killed by the00:26:45
person who will be on duty at that moment00:26:47
with a00:26:49
Makarov pistol around Putin, so he will come out and00:26:52
take him out his service weapon and put a00:26:55
bullet in his forehead on the orders of Alexei Konchenkov00:26:57
or on the orders of Dmitry uh whatever his name is uh00:27:00
Hmm no Dmitry uh Dmitry Kuchnev or00:27:05
Alexey Berezhny yes Alexey Berezhny is00:27:07
the head of the presidential guard and00:27:09
Dmitry Kochnev is the head of00:27:12
30 or 40,000 people who are involved00:27:15
guarding not only Putin but also someone else there00:27:17
to think about the state, someone there and against all sorts of00:27:20
things. These are already two people who00:27:26
are generally constantly in contact with the00:27:28
president and not just in00:27:30
contact with the president to ensure his00:27:32
safety. Do you understand that the people00:27:35
who ensure your Safety00:27:36
these are just the most dangerous ones for you, then you00:27:40
will laugh, I’ll give you two two new00:27:45
things, these are absolute,00:27:48
absolute stingy, as we say in00:27:51
France,00:27:52
absolute. What is the name of the00:27:55
new information that no one00:27:57
has ever mentioned? I’m just writing a book00:27:59
that Roman00:28:01
Putin can kill Any person who00:28:04
enters to him on VKontakte00:28:07
and Who comes to him on VKontakte00:28:12
Think about those people whom you and I did00:28:15
n’t name Well there I’m not talking about00:28:17
Ramzans Kadyrov searches them all Yes00:28:19
they can’t be missed there so00:28:27
all the00:28:29
rulers of the Russian Orthodox Church come to him00:28:31
you know they have one big big00:28:36
metal And this metal pole00:28:39
is a weapon, it’s like Gwendalf’s in00:28:44
these most00:28:46
fantastic films, it means they have00:28:50
these sorcerers there. So with this00:28:53
pole they had a friendly fight there, yes00:28:56
There they can organize00:28:57
some kind of lightning Yes, but this one Patriarch's00:29:01
cross is a huge cross And what is a cross,00:29:05
it's a dagger, that's a cross, it's just a dagger.00:29:08
So you take it out and this dagger pierces Putin straight into the Carotid Artery.00:29:12
And00:29:16
if it's not the Patriarch00:29:20
who is his confessor of some kind,00:29:24
you'll laugh at00:29:27
this little old Putin. She's a gymnast.00:29:36
she is a little older and any of00:29:40
these people can kill Putin00:29:46
Putin is now preparing food You know,00:29:50
someone sent me a very funny funny00:29:51
thing00:29:53
in China China there was a teapot00:29:56
There 30,000 years ago or 4,000 years00:30:00
ago00:30:01
which If you made it section, you00:30:06
saw that this teapot consists of two00:30:09
non-communicating vessels that00:30:12
use the same00:30:15
neck and that is, you pour tea but00:30:19
you have a button and the enemy you pour00:30:21
from this teapot, in front of all the honest00:30:24
people you pour it and you pour it for him00:30:27
I -it’s okay for myself That’s how these00:30:30
things were already done 3000 years ago00:30:33
So the thoughts Man of00:30:36
this human thought a long time ago I00:30:40
don’t know there00:30:42
in any things all the people who don’t00:30:46
undress when they go to Putin they00:30:49
can all come there with poison with any00:30:52
weapons,00:30:53
ordinary ballpoints. Here he has it from00:30:55
Putin himself, so00:30:58
they took a ballpoint pen from him, poked him in the eye and that’s it And00:31:01
there’s no Putin anymore, in00:31:04
this one, remember? It was a Hollywood action movie00:31:06
where some super karateka00:31:10
comes in and a man who’s also all over00:31:12
he’s guarded and he’s just a sheet of paper,00:31:15
he just makes this little thing out of this sheet of paper,00:31:18
a little tighter, and that’s it, and he00:31:21
kills him in front of all the guards, that’s00:31:24
all, so it’s all00:31:27
really simple. The00:31:28
main thing is that we already for the last 9 years in00:31:32
Ukraine, we all hope for this by chance, it’s a00:31:34
baker But in any case, we00:31:36
recorded your poop and we hope that00:31:39
maybe someday we’ll return to them00:31:42
as uh to the news for discussion Sergey00:31:45
Let’s talk more about whether Putin will go00:31:48
to Erdogan to Turkey, do00:31:50
you think he will dare?00:31:54
On the one hand, I said that he can00:31:57
go because, well,00:32:00
why not go if he stops, on the00:32:03
other hand, after00:32:05
what we just discussed,00:32:08
well, how will he go to the country? NATO Turkey00:32:12
side of NATO00:32:13
Putin will go to a NATO country where Well,00:32:17
of course, Turkey is not a signatory00:32:19
and ratifier of the Rome Statute, but it00:32:23
is a NATO country, that’s all, and there Erdogan00:32:26
will take him, arrest him and say That’s it, you wo00:32:28
n’t leave me anymore, so he extradited the Azov people00:32:31
ahead of schedule and Putin on the contrary, he won’t00:32:33
come out ahead of schedule, he’ll say And everyone00:32:35
has arrived, so of course if Putin00:32:37
goes to see Erdogan, it will be Putin’s double00:32:40
won’t go Putin is afraid Putin00:32:43
is afraid to go now to everyone00:32:46
He’s now afraid of anyone, even the Chinese, he00:32:48
was even afraid of Lukashenko, you’ll laugh,00:32:50
he’s even afraid of Lukashenko Putin over the00:32:54
past 10 years, I’ve only been to00:32:56
Belarus once, once,00:32:58
and Lukashenko usually comes to see him00:33:00
last year, they have something there, I do00:33:03
n’t remember. Putin really00:33:05
needed Lukashenko very much, so he even00:33:08
went there to see him. So that’s one time now he’s00:33:11
just afraid to go there, of course he won’t00:33:13
go.00:33:15
Well, by the way, yes, about Erdogan,00:33:18
in any case, the President of Turkey may be00:33:21
tempted to arrest the00:33:23
number one criminal in the world, so what do you00:33:26
think, after all, send a double;00:33:30
if he goes, then the double will go. And00:33:33
if no one goes, then he will say, you00:33:37
know, I have problems there and come to00:33:39
me in Sochi, come to me in Sochi It00:33:42
was interesting for me, it will be convenient00:33:44
Sergei, thank you, we will let you00:33:46
go for this frank, interesting00:33:49
conversation, I will remind our viewers that we talked00:33:51
with former KGB officer Sergei00:33:53
Zhirnov if you liked this video, be00:33:55
sure to like it. Write00:33:57
comments under it, for example, what you00:34:00
agree with and what you don’t. And be sure to00:34:02
subscribe to Youtube channel 24 and00:34:05
Sergei Zhirnov’s Youtube channel, there are also a00:34:08
lot of interesting things there. Hello00:34:13
First of all, I would like to remember00:34:15
Peskov’s words because that he started talking about00:34:18
claims on the territory of Ukraine and he00:34:21
said the following: that we are making claims,00:34:23
now it’s as if the goals of the so-00:34:26
called SV are clear because they were going to00:34:29
Kiev, they were talking in Odessa, they were talking00:34:31
about other regions, but now they said00:34:33
Peskov, we understand00:34:35
Putin’s family is actually speaking that they are00:34:39
only interested in four regions and Crimea00:34:41
is Kherson Zaporozhye Lugansk00:34:44
Donetsk and Crimea more than them in this war00:34:46
not through they are not interested in territories allegedly00:34:49
because they included these territories in the00:34:51
Constitution of the Russian Federation Do you00:34:54
think these outlines are from the goal - This is the00:34:58
next step and explanation the fact that00:35:01
Russia is suffering failures Because before00:35:04
they said Yes, we protect the people of00:35:07
Donbass but they beat and marched throughout Ukraine and00:35:10
now they are officially declaring00:35:12
borders00:35:14
Yes, of course, their appetites are Now much00:35:18
more modest Now they are Quite00:35:20
obviously local because at first00:35:23
they put forward global claims Well,00:35:26
firstly, they really went to Kiev00:35:29
and secondly, they accompanied this with00:35:32
demands,00:35:33
which means this offensive is demands of00:35:37
such a national scale, this00:35:40
can be expressed as00:35:42
genocification. That is, changing the nature of the00:35:45
regime means00:35:47
demilitarization, uh, refusal to00:35:52
join NATO and the European Union then there are00:35:57
claims that were very00:35:59
violent, such a global nature Now00:36:02
they are local claims Yes, there are00:36:05
four regions that we have included in our00:36:08
Constitution and we want to control their00:36:10
territory there it was not completely clear00:36:11
E it was formulated by him after all, I do00:36:15
n’t understand they are now claiming to simply00:36:19
this is the territory that they physically00:36:21
hold, like this is what00:36:24
we are holding now, if we leave it, then00:36:27
we are satisfied or do they still00:36:29
want four regions included in00:36:33
the Constitution, including Kherson Zaporozhye00:36:34
and they want00:36:37
Well, they physically control only a00:36:39
small part of these regions with the00:36:41
majority of these regions, well, either they didn’t00:36:43
capture it, they would have been squeezed00:36:45
out of there, like from Kherson, and00:36:48
either they still want to take00:36:50
these regions entirely or they are00:36:53
satisfied with those small00:36:55
pieces that they control. This is00:36:56
not completely Clear from the words of Peskovaya Well, in00:36:59
any case, I didn’t understand that, but in00:37:02
general Yes, it’s clear that at the global00:37:05
level they moved to the local level of00:37:07
their claims,00:37:09
that this is what they introduced into the Constitution00:37:11
And this is also not their appetites, also higher than00:37:15
what they can because what we see on the00:37:17
entire front they are defending only in the00:37:20
north, trying to do what and there are large00:37:22
losses of the Russian army ah-and if00:37:25
we talk about Prigozhin, Abbas00:37:28
is an interesting thing because00:37:29
the oppositionist from Belarus uh Bulba00:37:32
said the following that in general now00:37:34
Prigozhin has already been eliminated no,00:37:37
what do you think about it, is it real and the00:37:39
secretary was Ukraine Sergei Danilov00:37:42
said the following, which is already visible and00:37:45
obvious that the action of Prigozhin and the Wagners00:37:48
from Rostov to Moscow on June 23-24 is all00:37:52
clearly planned with the Kremlin Why00:37:54
Because Putin uh how and all dictators00:37:58
Yes, like Hitler, he is very afraid of, uh,00:38:01
betrayal in the environment. Thus,00:38:03
he wanted to see which Generals are not loyal to him.00:38:08
No, I00:38:09
completely disagree.00:38:13
But in this case, I fundamentally disagree.00:38:26
People are A priori loyal, I am00:38:30
loyal, and00:38:32
the task of the ruler is to separate them from00:38:36
others to identify those who are not loyal but also00:38:38
to get rid of them accordingly is actually00:38:40
not the same as those who00:38:42
have worked for many years in the Russian00:38:45
state apparatus at the federal00:38:46
regional level.00:38:48
We hope I00:38:52
know the psychology of officials of the Russian elites well enough; I have00:38:55
n’t applied there for a long time. Well, besides, I rely not00:38:56
only on my own personal experience I uh in the00:39:00
end Well, quite a lot and this question is00:39:02
studied theoretically. In general, this is00:39:04
not true, what do people mean? They are either00:39:08
loyal or not loyal from the beginning No,00:39:10
they are loyal to you once green, they00:39:13
didn’t catch you when you were weak, so00:39:15
the most important The task of the ruler does not mean to00:39:18
separate them from others00:39:21
because it is useless if you are only00:39:23
from them in one situation and another. There they are, they will00:39:25
all approach differently yes If you00:39:27
separated them in a situation where you are,00:39:29
relatively speaking, 50% strong. all this does not mean00:39:32
that you can count on these people00:39:34
when you are 30% strong there, that00:39:36
is, even weaker. Of course, that’s why and00:39:40
the task is to00:39:43
prevent a situation from arising00:39:46
when he weakens and this will00:39:49
provoke betrayal, and that’s exactly what00:39:51
we have now00:39:52
it happened during the Prigozhin00:39:55
rebellion, so00:39:58
if we assume that Putin himself has been there for00:40:01
a long time, this is good for a second, let’s assume,00:40:04
although I repeat, I’m absolutely sure that this is00:40:07
not so, he just created a00:40:10
situation in which people who00:40:12
believed00:40:13
that he had weakened sang and So it’s just necessary00:40:18
that it’s criminal the fact is that when00:40:20
they think that Putin has succeeded, people begin00:40:23
to think about the future and begin00:40:25
to plan Putin’s future there. Well, in fact,00:40:28
this is not betrayal. Well, it’s a00:40:30
natural human desire if00:40:31
you look for people who want to00:40:33
go to the grave with you, like uh, in Ancient00:40:37
Egypt there together with the pharaoh his slaves00:40:39
were buried, well, you won’t find anyone at all.00:40:41
You’ll be the only one.00:40:43
Loyalty has limits and Putin00:40:47
understands this very well, so his task00:40:50
is to always be strong so that it doesn’t even occur to anyone that00:40:54
means What. Here it can be given,00:41:01
and that’s what he’s always done. for him, it00:41:04
was always of fundamental importance to00:41:08
be able to be strong, that is, to look at00:41:12
least strong. Well, that is, of course,00:41:14
it’s better to be. Well, even if you are not00:41:16
one. Even if you bend00:41:18
under the circumstances, then no one should00:41:21
guess about it, that is, you still need to00:41:23
behave as if you are the master of00:41:25
Putin’s situation, you understand everything about this,00:41:28
so they never believed00:41:32
that Putin himself gave the go-ahead to00:41:34
look like a loser. I watched focus groups,00:41:38
I told you last time, in my opinion, but00:41:39
based on the results of this Gozhin00:41:42
rebellion, everything perceived by the population of the00:41:44
country all all groups perceived this as00:41:47
Putin's weakness as uh Putin's defeat00:41:51
as weakness the regimes here the elites00:41:54
perceived it in the same way so no00:41:57
ruler will create such situations00:41:58
just himself and weaken in the name of00:42:01
identifying some mythical uh means00:42:04
traitors, I repeat, will break everyone,00:42:07
everyone there is traitors,00:42:09
so what does this mean, this is the second part of00:42:12
your question, yes, the first is that yes,00:42:16
that the oppositionist Bulba says that they00:42:19
were liquidated,00:42:21
no, I wouldn’t fit him in yet,00:42:24
you understand, the fundamental situation00:42:27
has not changed, he still controls00:42:29
Wagner, we are still we don’t know00:42:32
how important it is now that he’s00:42:37
mobilized there, yes there were rumors that he00:42:40
seemed to be00:42:41
releasing people, he dismissed them about a00:42:45
month ago. How many did he dismiss? Where are00:42:49
the rest, when those who were released on vacation00:42:52
come back, there’s a lot of conflicting00:42:55
information, sometimes they write that the00:42:57
mercenary recruitment center sold this at00:42:59
least some in Russia continue to00:43:01
work continue to tear people apart Weiner00:43:04
sometimes they write that some centers are closed00:43:06
But nevertheless, Wagner does not00:43:10
physically exist I don’t have it down00:43:13
in Belarus But from Belarus the walk to Moscow is00:43:16
generally comparable to00:43:19
Rostov00:43:21
from the point of view of Putin’s ability00:43:24
to ensure his security, nothing00:43:26
has changed. Yes, the Russian Guard has made a decision to give00:43:30
heavy equipment there, tanks, uh, that means,00:43:33
but firstly, when will they give it, when will00:43:37
they learn to00:43:39
use them? It also00:43:41
requires time, and most importantly,00:43:45
Well, it’s not a fact that they with tanks will become00:43:47
braver As the ancient Japanese said, a sword00:43:50
in the hands of a coward is powerless, he will simply00:43:52
throw it and run away,00:43:55
the Russian Guard has shown himself to be a hero00:43:57
only when he dispersed unarmed students00:44:00
during protests00:44:04
against Prigozhins, as we saw, they all00:44:07
dissolved, straight up disappeared, not a single one00:44:09
was visible, yes then Zolotov said00:44:12
that somewhere there on the banks of the Moscow00:44:14
River they were waiting, so to speak, for just words of00:44:16
gold, and so they gave up the whole of Russia00:44:20
to be torn to pieces by Vladimirovna. Okay,00:44:22
there really is Prigogine’s discipline and00:44:24
these people didn’t rob there, didn’t rape,00:44:28
didn’t kill, or strictly speaking they could to00:44:30
arrange something like this, and therefore it00:44:34
means an00:44:36
internal uh feeling there. I think00:44:39
Putin has that he. Previously, he was00:44:41
unprotected from the army, but now he is protected. I00:44:44
think he has no; the fundamental situation, I00:44:45
repeat, has not changed, so00:44:50
Prigogine. Maybe the march of justice will also play a role. is00:44:53
still quite00:44:55
possible. At least I don’t see00:44:59
any evidence that something00:45:01
has changed so much that it has become00:45:03
impossible; on the contrary, there are00:45:05
presidential elections ahead, elections in a situation of00:45:08
strong protest sentiments in the situation00:45:12
means such a well-limbed one is already limping on both00:45:15
legs of the legitimacy of the Putin regime as00:45:17
a whole. So in such situations, mmm,00:45:21
abuse of administrative00:45:23
resources is inevitable. There is always00:45:25
tension, you know, and this is in fact00:45:28
such an internal weakening of00:45:30
Putin’s legitimacy. This is an00:45:33
invitation to aggression in general. And even00:45:36
at such moments, all00:45:38
opponents and regimes become active and it is not a fact that00:45:40
Prigozhin wants to activate00:45:42
you understand We don’t know00:45:44
what Prigozhin wants now and before that it00:45:48
wasn’t always clear Yes, his actions00:45:49
often did not coincide with his words Well, that00:45:52
is, relatively speaking, he physically00:45:54
practically carried out a military coup,00:45:56
went to Moscow, shooting down00:45:57
helicopters and airplanes along the way Ministry of00:46:00
Defense, that is, well, such a specific ball And00:46:03
at the same time he declared very00:46:06
local goals, we, so to speak,00:46:08
only demanded the punishment of Shoigu and Gerasimov00:46:11
And after that we will return to the front, she is00:46:13
Putin’s power, so to speak, we are not trying to attack00:46:14
By the way, in reality, he seemed to be attempting in00:46:16
words no, that is, he00:46:18
had inconsistencies between words and actions before, but00:46:20
now when he is so thoughtfully00:46:22
silent from time to time, however, it00:46:24
clearly means a Kremlin Troll, for example, when he00:46:26
comes to St. Petersburg and meets with the00:46:28
same Africans who00:46:29
meet Putin, I clearly demonstrate that00:46:31
Well, that is it was possible to meet00:46:34
and talk Okay, he has a business in Africa, it’s not00:46:38
necessary to take a picture and00:46:39
post it on social networks Yes, but he does00:46:41
n’t, defiantly look, I’m00:46:43
still an operator of Russian foreign00:46:45
policy, at least in the African00:46:47
direction. That is, she00:46:50
demonstrated her ambitions that time in00:46:53
general, we do00:46:54
n’t really imagine what he00:46:57
wants now, and I don’t rule it out, but I definitely understand00:47:00
that he is an ambitious person. Yes, and he is00:47:03
too tightly tied to Russia, to the00:47:06
Russian regime, even now he00:47:07
has another side project there, the00:47:10
Belarus project, first of all Well this is just00:47:14
one of the projects, and secondly, this is a project00:47:16
in a country that, well,00:47:18
half of it is connected with the Putin regime,00:47:20
so the Putin regime will go and00:47:22
Lukashenko won’t stay there for long. That’s why,00:47:25
well, Prigozhin’s rookery is still00:47:28
what they say in Russia and that’s why he00:47:31
will be in the Putin regime the fate of the00:47:33
Putin regime And well, and the next00:47:36
regime Who comes to power after it is not00:47:38
indifferent and it is clear that he Judging by00:47:41
this action of the last six months,00:47:44
when he first publicly scandalized00:47:47
then began to leave the subordination of the00:47:49
Ministry of Defense there, it means that00:47:52
leaving will bang he either arbitrarily00:47:55
refuses to sign contracts by00:47:56
the Ministry of Defense or generally00:47:58
organizes events, and00:48:01
even in Russian cities like Rostov,00:48:03
he00:48:05
demonstrates that he is capable of00:48:07
acting independently,00:48:10
including Putin. In general,00:48:12
why is there such a long background to the fact00:48:13
that00:48:14
I absolutely do not rule out that in a situation00:48:17
either right before Putin’s nomination and00:48:21
if he decides that he doesn’t want Putin00:48:23
for another term but wants someone else,00:48:25
or during the election campaign00:48:28
he can organize e Mars00:48:32
of Justice two Well, not with the goal of00:48:34
overthrowing Putin, I don’t think that he wants to00:48:37
curtail it perset so to speak Yes,00:48:40
he can impose his will there and00:48:43
propose successors, shorter than successors00:48:44
for someone he considers more00:48:47
acceptable, well, or he can just00:48:53
So, even if it’s good to put up with00:48:56
Putin’s nomination, so to speak, just limit00:48:57
Putin’s power in other words,00:49:00
Putin is his puppet, which means there00:49:03
was a precedent in Russia, this was in the 17th century at the end of the 17th00:49:07
century. Which means, uh, when Peter I00:49:13
was a minor, he was probably 10 years old there, it00:49:16
was probably00:49:17
just then that the previous Tsar00:49:22
Mikhailovich,00:49:25
the previous Tsar died and Peter should00:49:28
have to ascend the throne Well, there was a00:49:29
controversial situation. There was an older brother of00:49:31
Peter who also laid claim to the00:49:32
throne, it was that this was the eldest princess00:49:34
Sophia who, in general, if not the00:49:37
thrones, at least laid claim to raiding00:49:38
Well, in general, there was such a00:49:41
difficult situation and Sagittarius is this00:49:43
an analogue of the Prigozhins, the00:49:45
Sagittarius, it means they were messing around there,00:49:48
they captured the physical Kremlin, some of the boyars00:49:53
there were thrown into a copy like Artamon00:49:55
Matveev, the teacher of Peter I, and in00:50:00
principle they did not overthrow the dynasty, that is,00:50:02
there, that means, the questions of who will rule00:50:06
continued to be decided Well, under00:50:09
the dictation of the Streltsy, all this was done00:50:11
under their control for00:50:14
some time. Well, for at least00:50:17
several months, this power in00:50:20
the country belonged, in principle,00:50:22
to the Streltsy; this period is known in history00:50:25
as the Khovanshchina;00:50:28
nothing, in principle,00:50:31
prevents Prigozhin from trying to organize00:50:34
something like that. That is, just00:50:36
get there before Moscow, going to the Kremlin00:50:40
means not overthrowing Putin. Just00:50:43
sit down, here we are. Let’s discuss00:50:47
what’s going on with the next term. Who is the00:50:49
prime minister, who is the00:50:50
security secretary, who is the director of the FSB. What are we doing,00:50:53
so to speak, what about the war, what about foreign00:50:55
policy with Africa, yes, well that is,00:50:57
to make yourself a-a It’s clear that there are00:51:01
conflicts there, essentially because of what happened00:51:04
Prigozhin stopped seeing himself as simple00:51:06
there, uh, bring him, he saw himself already in00:51:10
strategies, he saw himself as a participant in the Hmm00:51:13
process of developing a00:51:15
solution and Putin That’s how he is00:51:17
Putin I still wanted to do it with a00:51:20
couple of chairs,00:51:22
this thing is getting in the way, so Prigogine, in00:51:25
principle, can materialize this00:51:27
again, at least I repeat,00:51:30
firstly, there were historical precedents00:51:31
of this kind and secondly, it simply00:51:36
means that Putin himself is getting00:51:39
weaker and weaker, and this is an invitation00:51:44
for some external players to more00:51:49
active interference in the political00:51:51
process in general I show Prigozhin00:51:53
from the accounts00:51:56
they remembered Yes the Russian Guard Zolotov00:51:58
who lead the Russian Guard What do you00:52:00
think Exactly Yes Before they transfer00:52:02
heavy weapons, including00:52:04
weapons that were important00:52:06
What do you think The Kremlin is afraid of00:52:09
internal ones some processes even before the00:52:12
elections in March 24 and What do you00:52:15
think, maybe Putin is afraid for his00:52:19
power so much that he is ready to bring00:52:21
Tanks on the streets of Russia and shoot in00:52:24
Russia Well, it is quite obvious that00:52:28
Putin’s life for Putin, human00:52:31
life is worth nothing at all, therefore it00:52:33
will be necessary to shoot after, uh, the00:52:36
twenty-fourth of February last00:52:38
year. Well, what doubts can there be, he himself00:52:42
says the Brotherly People, well, here they are, the00:52:44
Brotherly People, and00:52:47
Yes, that means including hospitals there, a00:52:52
shopping center, that00:52:54
means, well, that is, it is quite obvious that he is00:52:56
killing and destroying civilians. Yes,00:52:59
rewards this00:53:02
brigade, in my opinion, there Yes, it was, I don’t remember00:53:04
the unit, not the division. The brigade, in00:53:06
my opinion, was stationed in Gucci and00:53:09
carried out all this massacre there, and rewards it with the00:53:11
title of Guards, that’s why there are no00:53:14
people about what Putin might00:53:17
want to do before Hmm be It shouldn’t be00:53:20
another matter uh Will he be able to Yes uh00:53:24
he broke his teeth in Ukraine that’s why it’s not a00:53:28
fact that he will succeed this time in00:53:30
Russia too because because of this00:53:32
Ukrainian aggression uh which he00:53:35
couldn’t win uh that means Well it’s because- for this00:53:38
war, which is clearly losing its00:53:40
position in cars in general, including in the00:53:41
Russian space, Prigozhinsk,00:53:44
the rebellion showed this very well.00:53:46
So,00:53:49
theoretically,00:53:51
well, the army can simply refuse,00:53:55
they can refuse to shoot people, this has00:53:59
already happened in Russian history, as in the00:54:02
last 100 years at least two times in00:54:03
1917 and00:54:06
1991 Therefore, twice A hundred years, in00:54:10
principle, they00:54:12
love this device, no one can say00:54:15
that now it is impossible No, it is00:54:18
still possible,00:54:20
this public is the security forces, this is such a public that is00:54:23
very opportunistic. They respect00:54:27
only strength And if they feel that you are00:54:30
weak but on the contrary, strength is on the side of the00:54:32
rebels there, well, they are quietly Well,00:54:36
either they will simply step aside or even00:54:37
well, according to the elders, as it was in 1917. So00:54:41
all these are the ones to whom over the last 25 years00:54:45
we have become accustomed to being the masters of life. They are00:54:48
hiding in the corners. like the00:54:51
KGB officers In the ninety-first year, well, there were00:54:55
curtains, so to speak, they looked out00:54:57
there and watched as the crowd of their beloved00:54:59
Felix was wearing Yes, so they prayed to God. What does it mean00:55:03
that the crowd does not go further than the00:55:05
bank itself to smash, that’s why00:55:09
nothing has changed fundamentally,00:55:11
it’s the same servile public who00:55:14
behaves arrogantly if she feels that00:55:18
she is stronger and you are weaker and exactly the opposite00:55:22
begins to behave absolutely servile, which00:55:26
means in relation to If it suddenly00:55:29
turns out that you are strong So00:55:32
they will kick yesterday’s boss with double00:55:35
straightness and sincerely Why do they hate you00:55:37
absolutely sincerely? this is the00:55:39
coolest and funniest thing that they00:55:41
will do absolutely sincerely, they will be angry00:55:44
with him, it means his weakness for the fact that he00:55:48
got them into all this, it means that they will now be00:55:51
in trouble for all this, there00:55:54
will be such emotions there, therefore,00:55:58
therefore, in general, returning to your00:56:01
the question is00:56:02
that Putin is afraid of a repetition of the00:56:07
Prigozhin rebellion, both on00:56:09
Prigozhin’s side it is possible and in principle00:56:11
simple, and some units at the front00:56:13
are obvious that loyalty there is also weakening00:56:16
and now they have all seen that it turns out that the00:56:19
path to Moscow is open00:56:22
and the elections are00:56:25
weakening legitimacy in connection with the00:56:28
scandals associated with the elections, that’s all But00:56:30
the army there at the front will be00:56:32
recording and they have00:56:34
such an option, the choice means that on the other00:56:37
side there are highmars and leopards with the Abramians And here there is a00:56:40
direct path to Moscow,00:56:41
weakened Iran and the people who only00:56:44
hate early on Well so here,00:56:46
to perish in the Glory of this tyrant means in the00:56:50
fields and steppes of Ukraine ah-and unknown, so to00:56:54
speak, ingloriously,00:56:55
or the covering of Glory by going, so to speak,00:56:59
What is he doing with the Kremlin Yes, and having made a revolution, but00:57:01
in any case, to go down in history,00:57:04
very many theoretically, at00:57:06
least they may want to move here In00:57:09
Prigozhin’s footsteps so that they are00:57:12
not tempted, I will repeat These people respect the power00:57:14
of ducks, this project with the armament00:57:18
of the Russian Guard with heavy equipment And organized00:57:21
That is, everyone should understand that it00:57:23
will not be as easy as Prigozhin’s00:57:25
now, like00:57:26
they are not those that used to be dogs there, yes00:57:29
And now they mean there, strictly00:57:34
speaking, of course, Igor, this project for00:57:37
arming the Russian Guard with heavy equipment, it00:57:39
certainly shows how00:57:44
cynical Putin is in relation to his own army,00:57:47
which is now dying in the fields, uh, in the00:57:49
Ukrainian steppes And these they00:57:51
don’t need tanks or anything. Well, you know,00:57:53
every tank, every anti-tank rifle that was transferred and00:57:57
now the Russian Guard is being transferred, he could00:58:00
go to the front. So they will go to the front,00:58:03
they will be Putin’s, which means Valdai is there to00:58:08
guard Sochi Novo-Ogarevo, you know. So this is the00:58:11
Russian army, I think she00:58:15
feels it, she understands. Not everything goes00:58:17
there. It’s clear that the concentration is00:58:20
much higher than the average for00:58:23
the population, but nevertheless, not everything. And00:58:27
that’s what I’m talking about. They understand perfectly well; they do00:58:30
n’t see Putin’s true relationship with00:58:32
you; they understand that for Putin they are00:58:35
just cannon fodder, but he gets excited00:58:38
about himself, they understand. This is00:58:41
fundamentally different from00:58:44
that ideal type of Russian tsar00:58:49
ruler00:58:50
who should, you know, for him a00:58:55
simple soldier should be Well, like a son, that00:59:00
is, an archetypal ruler should00:59:02
take care of every soldier like about my son and he00:59:06
throws it there like cannon fodder00:59:10
And the fact that more of them will die there Yes and00:59:13
to hell with him But the guards will00:59:15
protect me You see, this is all very00:59:20
much eroding Putin’s legitimacy00:59:23
Yes, right now it’s rusting with00:59:26
some kind of accelerated at a rate the rust is00:59:28
corroding it at an alarming speed,00:59:31
something like this, please tell me what you00:59:34
think00:59:35
Putin has fatally misread with this war. What00:59:39
I mean is that at first00:59:41
he thought that he would calmly enter00:59:44
Kiev with troops before establishing his power, but then00:59:48
everything went well That’s not how the00:59:51
irreversible processes began that have00:59:54
now driven Putin into a trap. Why did00:59:56
n’t they announce the war because they understood?00:59:58
Yes, after the Second World War, almost01:00:01
no one announces it because there are01:00:03
diplomatic consequences. Yes,01:00:04
restrictions, isolation, and Russia didn’t01:00:08
announce Putin didn’t. announced the war01:00:10
because he was afraid, but then he01:00:13
sees due to the fact that he did not have any01:00:17
leverage, they were nowhere at the front, he01:00:19
decided hastily, first we talked about01:00:22
referendums, we talked about them, and01:00:24
then they took the territories and annexed them to01:00:27
Russia and now the irreversibility of01:00:31
these decisions and he drove himself into a trap01:00:34
because he cannot end this01:00:36
war on either his own terms or01:00:40
there is a consensus or lose, but he01:00:42
can’t still there is no solution yes Yes,01:00:46
in fact, that’s why the war01:00:48
continues, what in general Of course, if01:00:50
you Putin could have stopped it a long time ago and it01:00:52
stopped, it’s not beneficial to him, it01:00:54
was beneficial to him only if it was01:00:56
lightning fast, but in the spirit of the01:00:58
fourteenth year, as in the case of01:01:00
Crimea. And now, it’s eating up resources, it’s01:01:05
hitting the loyalty of the population, which01:01:08
means, uh, it’s creating its legitimacy01:01:11
this is a vacuum of power that is01:01:14
useful, which means it demonstrates. Well, that01:01:17
is, there are already such crises, and the01:01:20
further we go, the more of them there will be. That’s why01:01:24
it’s clear that I’m not even talking about sanctions, and01:01:27
therefore it’s clear that in general, of course, he01:01:30
needs to establish a war long ago01:01:33
is to do something there last01:01:34
year,01:01:36
but he cannot do it precisely01:01:38
because he Well, firstly, in general, he does not retreat,01:01:42
he has such an image, and secondly, yes, he01:01:47
was driven into a dead end with the help of these01:01:50
referendums when he declared that his01:01:53
territory territory that in the military01:01:56
sense of the word he cannot take, and that’s why01:01:59
Yes, he’s at a dead end, so the war01:02:03
continues and in the end it will happen01:02:07
unless something01:02:09
extraordinary happens there.01:02:12
Well, like that, he’ll die. Then, in the01:02:18
end, it will end the revolution,01:02:19
now we’re on halfway here 1914 1917,01:02:25
if we speak in the language of historical01:02:27
analogies Here we are somewhere in 100001:02:29
relatively speaking 915 191601:02:33
So Yes, he caught himself in a trap01:02:37
Thank you for this conversation Thank you for01:02:40
taking the time to talk about the01:02:41
processes that are now going on in the Kremlin01:02:43
Why do the Golden National Guard give01:02:46
heavy weapons and is Putin ready01:02:48
to shoot at Russia? Thank you01:02:51
Goodbye01:02:53
on air01:02:55
Don’t forget to subscribe01:03:00
to channel 24Description:
Експерти Сергій Жирнов @SergueiJirnov та Аббас Галлямов проаналізували ситуацію в Кремлі на тлі повного провалу планів Володимира Путіна в Україні. Вони спрогнозували, як далі може діяти диктатор і як ЗСУ звільнятимуть український Крим.
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