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نعرف
NE3RAF
سيد جبيل
جبيل
معلومات
سياسة
اقتصاد
معلومات عامة
معرفة
الصين
اقتصاد الصين
امريكا والصين
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00:00:00
[Music]
00:00:13
Good evening, a very important speech by the Commander of the
00:00:17
US Central District before the House of Representatives on
00:00:22
March 24th. What did the general say and why are
00:00:26
their words so important and influential on us in the
00:00:29
Middle East region? This is the topic of today’s episode, but a
00:00:33
quick background, and very briefly, the conflict of the
00:00:39
major powers or the Cold War that he witnessed has returned.
00:00:41
The world from 1947 until the fall of the
00:00:45
Soviet Union in December 1991, but this time the
00:00:51
war is between the United States and its allies on one
00:00:54
side and China and Russia on the other. China’s goal is
00:00:58
to make its way, if not to lead the world, to do at
00:01:02
least to have a chance to prophesy and flourish as a
00:01:05
major power. The goal of the United States is simply to
00:01:10
eliminate There is any possibility that China will outperform it
00:01:13
in all means, and the American slogan is either now
00:01:18
or it is too late. The
00:01:22
Americans believe that if they are not able
00:01:25
now to stop Chinese growth and Chinese rise,
00:01:29
then China will surpass them and surpass them, and
00:01:34
the Americans will become a second-class power
00:01:38
in this conflict. The Middle East region plays a
00:01:43
very large role. It also played a very large role
00:01:47
during the Cold War from 1947 to 1991. Why do the two
00:01:53
powers simply need this region in
00:01:57
managing the conflict between them? Very simply, China
00:02:02
relies mainly on their energy imports
00:02:06
from this region to fuel its economy and
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military power. Without the oil of the Middle East region, there will
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be no superiority. Chinese economic and
00:02:17
Chinese military superiority.
00:02:19
America is well aware of this and is planning to deprive China
00:02:24
of energy supplies coming from the
00:02:26
Middle East in the event of a conflict. All of this is not
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new. What is new is that this, this planning, or
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this thinking is no longer a secret, and that
00:02:38
American officials, not analysts, are talking about this
00:02:42
openly and freely. They talk about the importance of the
00:02:47
Middle East and its waterways to strangle China, whose
00:02:51
economy depends mainly on the oil
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that comes from this region in the event of a
00:02:58
conflict. This is an important, dangerous and frightening development, at
00:03:02
least for us in the Middle East region, to be
00:03:06
part of the
00:03:07
first arenas of conflict between China and the
00:03:11
United States if You wanted an example. There is nothing clearer
00:03:16
or better than what was said by General Michael,
00:03:20
who is the commander of the US Central Command and
00:03:24
who has been carrying out his mission since April
00:03:28
2022.
00:03:31
The general was summoned to the House of Representatives,
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or asked, meaning to appear before the US House of Representatives
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on March 24 last,
00:03:40
to talk about the American military position
00:03:43
and security challenges. Nationalist in the Middle East
00:03:46
and Africa,
00:03:50
so the general spoke at length before the House of Representatives,
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and by the way, because of the importance of what he said, I am putting
00:03:57
this statement for you for further information.
00:04:01
Below the episode, there are three forms. First, the text of the
00:04:04
written statement. The text of the statement that
00:04:08
the General gave to the House of Representatives. Secondly, or the text of what he said.
00:04:13
What is different is what is the same. The content of what he wrote,
00:04:16
but it differs only in the wording.
00:04:19
Thirdly, the text of the interview, audio and
00:04:23
video, which you can view in the sources of
00:04:27
the episode,
00:04:29
but the bottom line of what the general said is that in the event of a
00:04:32
conflict between China and the United States, the
00:04:35
American Central Command or the
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Central Command, meaning directing the
00:04:41
American military forces to cut off the flow of
00:04:45
Energy shipments coming from the region to China,
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thus depriving it of the energy needed
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to feed its production machines and military personnel.
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Nassa Joud said, “
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If, God forbid, a
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conflict breaks out between the United States and China,
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we will be able to control much of their
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economy
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and expose it to danger through the central command area,
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and by the way, the headquarters of the Fifth Fleet,
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which is located.” He represents the naval forces in the
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Central Command, based in Bahrain. What is the
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Central Command? It has different branches, a complete and
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integrated army, naval forces, air forces, ground forces,
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etc., the headquarters of the Fifth Fleet, which is the
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naval forces affiliated with the Central Command,
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based in the Kingdom of Bahrain. The
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Commander of the Central Command and
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his other colleagues in the Pentagon reviewed the extent of The strength of the
00:05:52
American side or the American military presence in
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the region compared to their opponents, which are China
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and Russia, as follows. In short,
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the United States, for the past decades, has been the
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dominant power in the region. In the
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Middle East, many countries in the region are
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closely allied with the Americans.
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Many of these countries depend on
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American military and economic aid. A number of
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these countries host American military bases
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on their territory.
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More than 30,000 soldiers are currently deployed
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in the region. Therefore, the Pentagon is able,
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at any moment, to quickly deploy large,
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large American forces to join the forces
00:06:49
already present, and in coordination with our American partners.
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Open parentheses like What he is saying means that we benefit
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from decades of military cooperation with
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our allies there to confront any emergency. What is meant
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by emergency in this context, of course, is a
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military confrontation with China. How can the
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Middle East region be used as a weapon against China by simply preventing the
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flow of oil and gas
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that comes from the region to China?
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The general explains. The importance of the region in terms of energy to
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China. He says that of course he did not bring anything new,
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meaning that he decides what is existing and
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everyone knows that the region currently
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produces 37 percent of the world’s oil,
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but it contains nearly half of the
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known oil reserves in the world and more than Forty
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percent of the natural gas. These materials
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flow from the region to the outside, pass through a
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group of crossing points or sea straits. The most
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important of these three straits are the Suez Canal,
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Bab al-Mandab and the Strait of Hormuz. The general explains that any
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disruption or suffocation of these crossings greatly affects
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all the countries that depend on them. On the
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region's oil and gas, and at the forefront of these countries, of
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course, is China, which explained that it
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imports
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72% of its oil needs.
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Most of these two, meaning it produces 28% locally and
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imports 72%. Most of the two percent
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of imports come from the Middle East region,
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and of course Saudi Arabia occupied the number
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One of the exports is the countries that supply
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oil to China. Iraq also had
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an advanced position in exporting oil to the United
00:09:06
States to China, and the two countries still do so,
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as do the rest of the countries in the region, but as a result of the war conditions,
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China began to depend more on Russia in
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the recent period, and Russia has become the
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largest supplier of Chinese oil and gas. But
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the region remains a very important source for the
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Chinese, and the
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commander of the central region explains that he says that
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seventy-two percent of
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Chinese energy imports come from
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abroad, and most of them are from the Middle East region, at
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least until a very short time.
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98% of these imports come by sea, meaning through
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sewers. International shipping, which is controlled by
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the American Navy, specifically the
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American Central Forces, and
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adds the same amount,
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puts them at
00:10:15
our mercy. This puts them in a weak
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and natural position. Of course, a
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special focus in any military action will be on the Strait of Hormuz, which
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represents the main crossing for all oil
00:10:31
or energy shipments that come in. From the Gulf region to the
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State of China, General Eric concludes his speech or
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statement before the House of Representatives by emphasizing
00:10:43
that the Central Command or the Central Command,
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after this review, will be in the
00:10:52
literal sense and in the
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figurative sense. In the literal sense, it is the Central Command, which is called
00:10:58
Central Command, and Central in the figurative sense,
00:11:01
it is extremely important in confrontation and conflict. And
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the competition with China and Russia, and he says, “We said
00:11:08
there in the past, we are here today, and we will be there
00:11:12
in the future.” The general’s words ended, and they are
00:11:15
very dangerous words. Here are quick observations that we can
00:11:21
talk about in detail in future episodes. The first of
00:11:25
these observations is that the United States is thinking
00:11:28
about exploiting the oil embargo or exploiting oil
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as a weapon. Against its opponents, it is not something new that it did before
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that and it could very well be done after that in the
00:11:41
future. There are
00:11:42
many precedents, but the most important thing in the past was what the
00:11:47
United States did against Japan before
00:11:50
World War II. Many may not know that the
00:11:55
United States was concerned about Japan’s movements
00:11:58
against its interests in the Asian region. Specifically, it decided to
00:12:02
punish it before World War II by imposing an
00:12:05
embargo on American oil on the Japanese.
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Japan was 80 percent dependent on American oil for its energy needs, and many
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historians or observers
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believe that when American officials took
00:12:24
this step, they estimated that it could
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lead to a war between Japan and the
00:12:30
United States. Indeed, after this American step,
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Japan did not act on two levels. The
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first level was that it attacked the port of Pearl Harbor and
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thus entered the United States, or
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that was a direct reason for the entry of the United States
00:12:49
into World War II. We open parentheses
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that this contradicts the narrative promoted by the
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media or Hollywood. There was justification for the
00:13:01
Japanese aggression against the Americans, without
00:13:05
prior warning or justification. There was justification, which was the
00:13:09
hostile action on the part of America, at least
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from Japan’s point of view, which was to cut off all
00:13:16
oil supplies to Japan, which confused the
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military and economic thinking of the Japanese. The
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second matter, of course, is that Japan began to act
00:13:27
or take decisions. Its goal during the war is to secure
00:13:31
alternative energy sources, and this is a story we can talk about
00:13:33
in the future.
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The occupation is energy sources in other places, such as
00:13:38
Indonesia, for example, the country that is
00:13:41
now known as Indonesia.
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This is the first observation. The
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second observation is that China is carefully considering what the
00:13:52
United States is thinking, not because it heard
00:13:55
General Eric. He speaks on March 24. She knows
00:13:59
this very well, whether the general spoke about it or not. The
00:14:03
general’s speech escalates the
00:14:07
tension between the two countries because it has become an official
00:14:11
and public statement, but it does not add anything new to the understanding of China’s
00:14:15
movements. China’s understanding of the movements of the
00:14:19
United States. China is well aware of this and it is one of the
00:14:23
most prominent strategic concerns for China in For
00:14:28
many years, it has not been known as the Malacca Delma or Malacca
00:14:32
Strait dilemma, which is a strait that controls or passes through
00:14:38
most of China’s energy and other imports to
00:14:41
China, and of course most of China’s exports to the world.
00:14:44
The United States controls this strait,
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and therefore talking about the Malacca Strait is almost a
00:14:51
symbol or sums up China’s crisis. In the ability of the
00:14:55
United States to paralyze its imports and exports, either
00:14:59
through the Strait of Hormuz directly, or through the
00:15:01
various straits, or of course, the Strait of Malacca, the issue
00:15:05
is known and it is preparing for it at all levels. How can it
00:15:09
prepare for it? It has been searching for at
00:15:14
least years, since 2013, for alternative routes through which the
00:15:19
energy imports it receives can pass. From abroad,
00:15:22
away from the United States’ maritime control
00:15:26
in particular,
00:15:27
fortifying this goal is one of the most important goals of the
00:15:33
Belt and Road Initiative, or the Silk Road, which is a
00:15:36
group of roads that connect countries around the
00:15:39
world with China. One of the goals of linking the world
00:15:45
or vital places to China through commercial routes is to
00:15:48
secure the passage of energy. Raw materials are from
00:15:55
different regions, including the Middle East, but
00:15:58
far from the paths, especially the
00:16:01
sea paths controlled by the American forces.
00:16:05
Two deepening relations with countries that are not
00:16:10
allies with the United States, led by
00:16:13
Russia
00:16:15
and Iran, both of which are countries hostile to the
00:16:19
United States. Both are countries very rich in gas
00:16:24
and oil, and the three countries are seeking To build
00:16:29
alternative ways to exchange trade with each other
00:16:32
away from the control of the United States, especially
00:16:35
maritime control
00:16:39
over China, with all its power, to develop its
00:16:44
capabilities in generating alternative energies or
00:16:48
new energies and has become the most developed country in the world
00:16:51
in producing green energy or
00:16:55
clean energy, in the hope that its need for fuel will decrease.
00:16:59
The fossil that is found in areas most of which are under
00:17:02
the control or influence of the United States. Four of
00:17:06
them are seeking with all their might to enhance and
00:17:10
strengthen its relationship with the Middle East region in order to
00:17:14
neutralize it and distance it from the
00:17:17
influence of the United States. Therefore, they expect in the
00:17:21
coming years, the next few years, a
00:17:24
very large presence on the part of China, in the hope that
00:17:28
it will It increases its influence in the Middle East region
00:17:31
and reduces the ability of the United States to use the
00:17:35
region
00:17:36
to deprive China of this region’s oil imports. Even
00:17:42
though we talked about history, I remind you
00:17:46
that China now is very similar to the position of
00:17:51
Japan and Germany before World War
00:17:53
II. Both of them were industrialized countries like
00:17:57
China. Both of them were They need huge amounts of
00:18:01
energy, but within their borders there is not enough
00:18:04
energy, and the energy that comes from outside their borders
00:18:07
was at the mercy of the United States and Britain, and
00:18:10
this was one of the most important factors that governed the movements of
00:18:15
Japan and the movements of
00:18:18
Germany in World War II. This means, for
00:18:21
example, the basic explanation for the very dangerous decision
00:18:26
that he took. Hitler invaded the
00:18:30
Soviet Union because he wanted to secure the
00:18:34
energy sources in the Soviet Union.
00:18:37
Japan's decision, as I said to you, to attack
00:18:42
Pearl Harbor was a punishment for the United States
00:18:45
for depriving it of American oil.
00:18:47
Before the outbreak of World War
00:18:50
II, America produced two-thirds of the world's oil.
00:18:52
Its movements after that in many
00:18:56
Asian arenas, specifically
00:18:59
Indonesia, what is now known as Indonesia, were
00:19:02
aimed at securing oil sources. Oil for Japan.
00:19:07
China is in a similar situation and needs
00:19:11
large quantities of oil. Many of the oil sources are
00:19:14
outside its borders. Therefore, its political
00:19:17
and military movements are at the heart of securing
00:19:20
oil sources, as happened in the case of For Japan and
00:19:24
for
00:19:26
Germany before World War II, the
00:19:29
third note is that
00:19:35
there is a decline in American foreign policy,
00:19:38
most likely in the coming months or
00:19:41
years. There has been a trend since the
00:19:45
Obama administration to give less importance to the Middle East region
00:19:49
since he announced his well-known policy,
00:19:53
and the conclusion is that the United States is directing all its
00:19:57
capabilities. And its resources to confront China and Russia in the
00:20:01
Asian region and reduce its commitments in the
00:20:04
Middle East region. Trump came after him and followed the same
00:20:08
policy to different degrees, meaning so does the
00:20:11
current President Biden, but it seems that this policy
00:20:14
was based on an opportunity and a wrong assumption that I
00:20:19
could reduce my commitments in the region
00:20:21
and leave the region like that. Without any commitments
00:20:25
on my part towards its countries, and I am completely confident in my interests,
00:20:30
meaning I guarantee his interests with the least amount of
00:20:35
clashes with this region, which is an
00:20:39
area that is all swamps and nightmares. It has been proven that this is
00:20:44
very empty talk, almost
00:20:46
impossible, like the American proverb that tells
00:20:49
you to eat the cake and keep it if you want to.
00:20:52
To maintain your interests in this region of
00:20:55
the world, you must be involved in it, and therefore you
00:21:00
will most likely reconsider your loyalty.
00:21:04
The United States will reconsider its policies
00:21:06
towards the region and return to it again forcefully, but this
00:21:11
fourth note is that there is a very big difference
00:21:15
between desire and ability. A change in
00:21:18
strategy means a change. In my desire, I
00:21:22
would like to come to the region, but can
00:21:25
the United States come and
00:21:30
give most of its attention to the Middle East region,
00:21:33
as was the case in the forties, fifties,
00:21:36
sixties, seventies, and eighties? Is
00:21:39
this a matter that replaces the fact that the
00:21:44
United States in these years during the
00:21:46
Cold War, when it was An empire, I mean,
00:21:49
very healthy, not the same as the United States now, the
00:21:53
exhausting empire,
00:21:56
but anything is possible, but what is certain is that we will now be on the
00:22:02
cusp of a new stage. The Middle East is
00:22:06
living a new chapter in its turbulent history,
00:22:11
meaning in light of a new war between the major powers. The
00:22:15
last note is that China is watching what it is doing.
00:22:19
The United States has a set of
00:22:22
options.
00:22:23
I remind you that China came to the
00:22:27
Middle East region in recent years and was
00:22:29
reluctant to attend because it was focusing on the
00:22:32
Asian region, its immediate neighborhood, the
00:22:36
South China Sea. I found that President Obama
00:22:40
enacted his famous policy and directed all his forces and all
00:22:44
American capabilities, and Trump did likewise. And he did that
00:22:47
to the South China Sea region, so it began
00:22:51
to implement a policy known as marching west, or marching to the west, or
00:22:55
marching towards the west and west,
00:22:58
by which it meant the Middle East region, and its logic was:
00:23:02
Madam, you mean a matter of life for you, the
00:23:05
South China Sea. We will leave that for a little while and go
00:23:09
to an area that is extremely important to us. It is the
00:23:12
Middle East region. Now the Americans want it to
00:23:16
return to the Middle East region. Perhaps
00:23:20
the Sinai will change its strategy a little and secure its interests
00:23:23
as much as it can in the Middle East, but it
00:23:26
seeks again to expand in the South China Sea region,
00:23:30
which will be confusing for
00:23:32
the Americans and means opening multiple fronts in front of
00:23:36
China. Let us wait and see and it will be ours. With this
00:23:40
conflict and the role of the Middle East region in
00:23:43
other episodes, God willing, I thank you and see you

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كيف اصبح الشرق الاوسط اول خطوط المواجهة العسكرية بين واشنطن وبكين ؟ قائد القيادة المركزية الامريكية يجيب مصادر ومراجع وحلقات سابقة ذات صلة هل صحيح ان من يحكم تايوان يحكم العالم؟ ولماذا؟ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g9mn0uifsfc هل أصبحت الصين قادرة على إزاحة أمريكا وقيادة العالم https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ep5MAvTl9k0 كيف تخطط الصين لهزيمة أمريكا والسيطرة على العالم بعد 29 عاما؟ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sP3IL_WWsB0 كيف تحول بحر الصين الجنوبى لأول ساحة مواجهة عسكرية بين أمريكا و الصين ؟ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iuogdsWgCXQ 1- HOUSE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE HEARING U.S. MILITARY POSTURE AND NATIONAL SECURITY CHALLENGES IN THE GREATER MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/Transcripts/Article/3340646/house-armed-services-committee-hearing-us-military-posture-and-national-securit/ 2- STATEMENT FOR THE RECORD GENERAL MICHAEL “ERIK” KURILLA COMMANDER, US CENTRAL COMMAND https://armedservices.house.gov/sites/republicans.armedservices.house.gov/files/Kurilla_HASC_Posture_Final_141200March2023.pdf 3- FULL COMMITTEE HEARING: U.S. MILITARY POSTURE AND NATIONAL SECURITY CHALLENGES IN THE GREATER MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA https://armedservices.house.gov/hearings/full-committee-hearing-us-military-posture-and-national-security-challenges-greater-middle 4- Noam Chomsky: Biden’s Middle East Trip Contains Echoes of Trump’s Policies https://truthout.org/articles/noam-chomsky-bidens-middle-east-trip-contains-echoes-of-trumps-policies/ 5- Oil and the American Century https://academic.oup.com/jah/article/99/1/24/854919 6- Memorandum by the Under Secretary of State (Acheson) to the Secretary of State https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1945v08/d20#:~:text=In%20Saudi%20Arabia%2C%20where%20the,is%20nominally%20in%20American%20control. https://www.jstor.org/stable/45182742 7- U.S. FOCUS ON GREAT POWER COMPETITION DETERS CLIMATE PROGRESS https://fpif.org/u-s-focus-on-great-power-competition-deters-climate-progress/ 8- A RARE GLIMPSE INTO THE INNER WORKINGS OF THE AMERICAN EMPIRE IN THE MIDDLE EAST https://fpif.org/rare-glimpse-inner-workings-american-empire-middle-east/ 9- How the US could cut off Middle East oil to China if it wanted https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/06/07/in-the-middle-east-u-s-holds-china-at-risk/ 10- March West: China’s Response to the U.S. Rebalancing https://www.brookings.edu/articles/march-west-chinas-response-to-the-u-s-rebalancing/ 11- Russia is China's top crude supplier for Jan-Feb; volumes up 23.8% yoy https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/russia-is-chinas-top-crude-supplier-jan-feb-volumes-up-238-yoy-2023-03-20/ تابعونا على : FACEBOOK : Sayed Goubeyal سيد جبيل TIKTOK : https://www.tiktok.com/explore INSTAGRAM : https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser

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