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compared to the twenty-second year, the

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number of people wishing to

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join the Russian army and go as a

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mercenary to fight there has decreased 40 times. If the salary

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remains 200,000 rubles, but it

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will no longer be 2,000 dollars, but only

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1,000 dollars because of inflation, then

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As you understand, there will be even fewer people willing. That is, there wo

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n’t be any of them at all and the

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Russian military registration and enlistment office will have to simply

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catch new fresh

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meat on the streets, so to speak, because recruiting

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mercenaries will no longer work, and recruiting catching

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people on the street, hunting people on the street

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is always politically very

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dubious the event is fraught with

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dissatisfaction with the growth of some kind of

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social tension there, and so on. That

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is, this is a really very dark

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story, especially when the War is going on

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for something unclear, that is, when you are still

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fighting there, as in Ukraine you are fighting to

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preserve your own nation from complete

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extermination. Then probably any means of

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replenishment they are suitable for your army, but

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when you are fighting for denazification

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for this As you understand, there are not many

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fools who would go to fight for this

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for money Yes, the Russians

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can understand this, but it’s just for the

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idea No, this is not a rope,

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well, look at what Another funny thing, besides

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everything else, it must be said that Russia

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depends on imports for everything, because of

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inflation, the ruble exchange rate will naturally fall and the

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import of absolutely everything there, from

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some diapers or products,

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I don’t know about hygiene, to microchips for missiles

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will become two to three times more expensive for

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the economy it will be a real catastrophe

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And not only for the economy as a whole, but

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even for some

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narrow industries such as

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weapons production and so on, this will also be a

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big disaster, that is, look, for the army there

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will be a shortage of people and

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industry will begin to stall

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Russian iz- due to inflation, that is, prices

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will rise, social tension

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will rise, Russia will have to spend

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huge resources on filling up these

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social holes within its own country,

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diverting these resources from the army. Maybe, of

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course, no, maybe they won’t care, but then

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maybe there will be all sorts of street closures,

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all sorts of miners banging their helmets and this

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all hasn’t happened for a long time Well,

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because there were no delays in wages and pensions

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And now if delays in

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wages and pensions start as a consequence of inflation,

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then maybe this too will come back Well, in general, I would

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know, I would compare inflation in general

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with rust, which is if you launch

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this rust if you don’t pay attention to it,

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then it will devour any tank any

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rocket launcher any bomb anything

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whatever No matter how powerful this

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weapon is, and now this Rust

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has begun to slowly corrode the Russian

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economy, the Russian army from the inside,

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save this one from this rust There is

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only one way to stop the war, but

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Naturally for Vladimir Putin this is

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not an option now, he is not going to stop the war,

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and there is another important story

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regarding

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oil refineries, which also seems to me to not be

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underestimated, in addition to rising inflation,

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in addition to fuel shortages, and so on,

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the destruction of oil refineries threatens Russia

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with the dawn of crude oil storage facilities oil

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Because now, like, half of

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Russian oil is exported,

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half is used for refining, if there is

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nowhere to process the oil, then

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this oil will have to be stolen for export.

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And since for export, well, so much oil is

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not needed on world markets, then the price for it

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will begin to decline and more Moreover, the Russians

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themselves are under sanctions; it’s

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quite difficult to sell oil even now, and if

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suddenly some

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additional volumes of oil suddenly arise that

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urgently need to be placed somewhere, then I

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’ll have to give this oil away for nothing,

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or remember in

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2020, I think it was like this the case

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when oil began to cost

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some negative values, that is,

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oil producers had to

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pay whoever took this oil would

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buy this oil from them simply because

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otherwise they had nowhere to

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put it. That is, they would simply have to

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pour it out this oil, of course, there is always an

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option to close the well and not produce

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oil from this well, but the problem is

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that technologically it is of course

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possible, although it is difficult, but then the oil

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will leave from this well and return it. If

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you can’t get it, then when you close the well,

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you often just close it forever more

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from there you won’t get anything, it’s a pity,

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so of

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course the Russians will still have to

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give their oil for pennies or for

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free there will be nowhere to put it, there will simply be no

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other options, there

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are no blows to the reserves, so there are no

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world oil prices, as the

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Financial Times recently wrote that the Americans

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are afraid of what if This means that Ukraine will continue

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to bomb the Russian refinery, then oil prices will jump.

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No, they will not rise, they

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will fall, and the Russian

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Federation will, through its

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own efforts, lower these oil prices into oil,

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simply because it has to. It will give

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it away either for free or at a very low price, and,

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well, prices will fall. for oil, again, no

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need to explain to you, it will lead to

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huge problems for the Russian budget

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simply due to the fact that this budget is

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largely formed from

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revenues from

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oil sales. That’s why I think now,

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firstly, I don’t really believe in the statement of the

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Financial Times that that the Americans

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asked to suspend these strikes

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because now these strikes are actually

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helping Biden, it is beneficial for the

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oil price to be as low as possible before his re-election in November, so I

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think it is in his interests to

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contribute in every possible way of this kind

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and I understand that Western countries are

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now doing their best forces are helping the Ukrainian

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special services to carry out these attacks on

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Russian oil refineries. Well, they provide those

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same artificial intelligence systems

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for guiding Drones and so

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on, and in fact, if you look into it,

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I think that truly economic

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means of pressure on the Russian

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Federation can now turn out to be no

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less effective than military ones, of course it

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’s impossible fully launching the military

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military is also important, but economically I

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look at this whole situation with pain and

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then I understand more that it is slowly

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moving from the category of a problem to the category of a

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problem of a catastrophic nature

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for the Russian leadership because

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they really see where this is going

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They see because that their entire economy

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could simply fall and fall apart, and it

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wouldn’t take very long

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because, again, if your

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backbone in your economy breaks, then the

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entire economy will take a very long time to

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try to revive from this, but

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now, and in good conditions,

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it’s possible will come to life, but now the war

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continues, so the

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thing won’t be able to come to life. What is the Russian

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economy? It is initially very crooked,

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skewed, unbalanced, it

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exports only one product, oil, and

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imports almost all the

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other products, so knocking out such a

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twisted one and dropping it is much easier

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than an economy of some kind An

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industrial country that sells a lot of things

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and doesn’t import so much.

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Well, if attacks on oil

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are also accompanied by attacks on the

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energy sector, today, as far as I know,

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in Crimea some

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serious large substation was damaged, which is why the

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lights were turned off there in Crimea even cooler,

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you understand, again, the Russian

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energy industry is very dependent on the

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import of equipment if there is no

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imported equipment in many,

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so to speak, regions of Russia and in

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many occupied territories,

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everything will stop there, there will be nothing to

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replace these same substations

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with equipment inside the substation. By the way, I am

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surprised for I found out that

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many Russian thermal

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power plants have equipment from

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Kharkov turbines

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made in Kharkov, that is, again,

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without these Kharkov turbines. They will not be

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able to restart their power plants.

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That is, here, of course, we also need to continue,

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but Russia, naturally, in its own style,

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is trying to take revenge. Russia has been bombing for

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several weeks now. Well, probably for about two weeks

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already

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the energy has been bombing the energy

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infrastructure of Ukraine, but Ukraine is

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no stranger to this, we’ve already seen it all,

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we’ve seen it all in Kharkov. I know the situation is

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very, very difficult

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and Kharkov needs to be helped with all our might, but

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still everyone already has a plus -minus

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generators, everyone already knows what to do in

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case of a power outage, no

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panic. There will be

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no madness, there will be no chaos on the streets

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because everyone knows perfectly well what

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it was, everyone knows what to do in such

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a situation, that is, for Ukraine this is all.

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Of course it’s super unpleasant, but it’s not a

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catastrophic catastrophe for Russia,

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all this could turn into much more

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serious problems, plus, as far as I

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understand, some kind of parallel distributed electrical systems are still being created in Ukraine

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that will allow

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Ukrainian enterprises and private

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citizens to live more or less

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normally even in conditions of a

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power outage in Russia or what is it that

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you can’t talk about? Why? Because in

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Russia everything is centralized; if a

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centralized power plant comes in, then everyone

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sits without electricity. Exactly until

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this power plant is restored,

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that is, this is a very serious difference between

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Ukraine and Russia; well, I still have

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a little time. I want talk about a

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couple of interesting events on the

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front line, firstly, in the Black Sea, the Ukrainians shot down an

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Outpost drone for 7 million

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dollars, this is a Russian drone as

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it is conditionally Russian because it is a

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copy of an Israeli

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drone

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which Israel sold the license to produce these

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drones to Russia

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quite a long time ago, that is Uh, well, this is a very

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good, really reconnaissance

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reconnaissance vehicle, plus it has the

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ability to strike on the

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surface, that is, it can also be

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used as a bomber, the

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fact that now Russia does not have this drone. This is

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very good. This will greatly

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facilitate some activities for the

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Ukrainian sailors in Cherny. sea I think

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that they launched this drone there

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just so that it would not allow

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Ukrainian naval drones to

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leave the port and hit their targets,

00:10:03

that is, it had to fly this

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outpost to monitor the situation below the

00:10:08

sea and if it detected any drones,

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floating drones, these then he was supposed to

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destroy them, but now you see he’s lying

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on the bottom of the sea, or rather, it seems that the

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Ukrainians even managed to raise him and they are

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now studying him. Well, the main military

00:10:23

event in recent days is, of course, the

00:10:25

defeat of the Russian offensive in the area of a

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settlement

00:10:30

in the Avdiivka direction, this is in the Donetsk

00:10:32

region there, the Russian command

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apparently decided to throw their

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reserves forward; they launched 36 tanks, 12 infantry fighting vehicles and

00:10:41

a bunch of other

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smaller equipment, just trying to organize a

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breakthrough, just like according to the precepts of the Second World

00:10:48

War, that is, the tank column goes on the

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attack, turns around, goes there, which means

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the tanks are shooting, and the BT infantry fighting vehicles are following them. they are

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stitched together from the infantry Well, this is the Soviet

00:10:59

military school What is it called Well,

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naturally, nothing worked out for them, they

00:11:01

ended up in a minefield and they started firing at them from three

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sides. They were

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hit from above by drones, they were bombed from the side by

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Javelin tanks were shooting at them when

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they tried to get out there turn around and

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go back to the minefields, they ended up

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almost killing all the infantry there, and as

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a result, now Russian Z bloggers are

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writing some Desperate posts full of anger and

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frustration on their Telegram channels and

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demanding that the culprits of this

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disastrous offensive be punished, as always,

00:11:30

put them up against the wall and so on and so

00:11:32

forth, well, in this situation, you know what

00:11:36

pleases me most of all, I increasingly notice

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that at the front there is a battle of this

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format when on the Russian side

00:11:44

they use tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, infantry something

00:11:47

else, and on the Ukrainian side they are

00:11:50

purely robots, that is, drones such as

00:11:53

Seki drones and these drones

00:11:56

are destroying the normal regime of hot water and military

00:12:00

equipment, that is, war, to my great

00:12:04

pleasure. Although of course you can’t

00:12:06

talk about pleasure here, let’s say

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joy, you can probably say, although

00:12:11

joy is also the wrong word. But

00:12:12

in short, it’s good that Ukraine is being

00:12:14

used less and less in in combat

00:12:16

operations of people and more and more

00:12:18

robots because the most important task, it

00:12:21

seems to me, for Ukraine is to

00:12:23

save as many of its people as possible,

00:12:25

if robots die instead of people on the battlefield,

00:12:27

then I personally do

00:12:29

n’t see anything wrong with robots. We will always chip in

00:12:32

robots We will always buy new ones and use robots

00:12:34

to help the army from people, as they say,

00:12:36

you can’t get it back. Therefore, this is the kind of

00:12:40

situation where robots en masse, so

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to speak, defeat people, and the robots are

00:12:45

ours and the people are not ours. This is of course, it’s

00:12:47

always nice to look at. Well, once again

00:12:50

I want to remind you that now we are collecting

00:12:51

just a very super valuable super

00:12:54

important super useful robot for an

00:12:56

unmanned vehicle, or rather an unmanned

00:12:59

complex, there are two drones as far as

00:13:01

I understand Shark - these are aircraft type

00:13:03

drones they will help guide the

00:13:06

F16 when the F16 appears in Ukraine on the target

00:13:09

and also the Hars and Special Forces will help

00:13:12

work far behind the front line That is,

00:13:14

these are very, very useful things for

00:13:16

which I invite you to

00:13:17

chip in again as

00:13:19

usual, all the details are in the description of this

00:13:22

video on the tube, please love and favor and

00:13:25

on this optimistic day Today I

00:13:28

will be with you My name is Ivan This is

00:13:30

NV radio May the force be with you and

00:13:32

bye-bye

00:13:34

I'm writing to the NV radio channel

00:13:43

here

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