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00:00:00
We also know that a
00:00:01
huge number of different goods go from Western countries to Russia
00:00:03
now across the border with Poland,
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they supposedly go to the Central Asian countries
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in transit, but in reality everyone understands
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it perfectly well that they go to the Russian
00:00:11
Federation, but no one did anything.
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Why, just so as not to lose
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a lot, a lot of money in Estonia, by the way, there was
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such a case. It turned out that
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the husband,
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Prime Minister Kai Kalas, made money there by transporting goods to the Russian Federation, that is, it came to this
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even she then
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said that we were stopping everything there,
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nothing like that happened And in general it was a mistake
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and so on, but it was a matter of
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making money Latvia Well done, the Latvians
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closed the border for their border for
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goods from Russia and the Finns,
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it seems, also closed the border to Russia. But the main thing is Lithuania, I don’t
00:00:44
know, but it seems in my opinion the main thing
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is, of course, Poland. That’s how I said Tkach
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recorded this, they are constantly going on and there are
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huge flows of cargo here and there, and
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money naturally goes along with the cargo, if
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Poland closes its border to
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goods going to Russia and from Russia and
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through Belarus, then this, of course, will be a
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very serious help for Ukraine; the taps will
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simply close from one pocket to the other
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from which to the pocket Vladimir Putin
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is coming. Money is just flowing in a wild stream
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to continue the war. I
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would like to think. Of course, I would like to hope that the Poles will be ready to
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close this
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very tap. Defeating Russia defeating
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Russia on the battlefield is difficult, it’s true,
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no one argues with that. Russia
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has been preparing for this war for a very long time, but on the
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economic front, it seems to me that
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the situation is simpler simply because
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Russia’s vulnerability from the sale of oil and
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petroleum products is fundamental,
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that is, this vulnerability is enormous and
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taking into account, so to speak, the natural
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flammability of oil and especially
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petroleum products, Ukraine has
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the ability to suppress this, destroy this
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key sector of the Russian
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economy for Russia and this would be a terrible blow
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for this entire economy because any
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fall in the oil sector in the
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oil sector would lead to problems for the
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Russian economy as a whole because
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oil and the fuel that is produced from it
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from oil is of course the
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main and, in fact, the only
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major Well, by the way, grain export is still an
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equally large source of hard currency
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in the Russian economy, if the
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oil
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refining and oil export industries are broken, then the
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losses of the Russian budget will become
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catastrophic and difficult, if at all
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surmountable,
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the consequences will be terrible, look at
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the
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situation, the attacks of the Ukrainian Drones that
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everyone knows over the past couple of weeks they
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turned out to be very successful. Especially
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considering the money, the amount of money
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that was invested in the production of these
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Drones. Well, I don’t know, in total, all the
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drones were launched at Russian
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oil refining facilities and
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Russia’s losses are already billions of
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dollars, many billions of dollars,
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these are not fulfilled contracts, this is
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lost profit not
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produced and much more, that is,
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indirect plus direct losses are huge
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because each primary
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oil refining installation into which
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these drones actually flew costs each of them
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a couple of million dollars, look
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blown up and that is, the efficiency of
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using these Drones is
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colossal, it’s just cosmic, it’s hard to
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imagine something more effective
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for destroying the economic
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potential of the
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enemy that was blown up
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burned damaged oil org synthesis plant Oil refinery
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in Nizhny Novgorod
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in Tuapse oil refinery in
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Ust-Luga gas condensate plant in
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Novoshakhtinsky oil refinery in Ryazan oil refinery in
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Novokuibyshevsk was damaged oil refinery in
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Syzran was blown up burned to damn
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refineries, well, the most important thing is the installation in the
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Kaluga region, the enterprise burned down, the
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first plant in Slavyansk on Kuban, the
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newest plant for the production of fuel
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for agricultural machinery and
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ships burned down. In general, according to
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independent experts, Russia has
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now lost more than 10% of the production of fuel of
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various types and types after the actual
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strikes of Ukrainian Drones For Russian
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refineries, but there is other data, that is, not
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10%, but I’m reading right now, 13%
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of the total capacity of existing
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primary oil refining units in
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Russia is in emergency downtime mode,
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this was calculated by Reuters Agency
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Based on data from industry sources, taking into
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account Only those refineries that
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produce gasoline and diesel fuel
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have lost the Russian economy, that is, the
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economy of the oil and gas sector has lost
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99% of production or 77,000 tons of fuel
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per
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day, which
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is something like several million barrels per year. That is, in
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my opinion, 3 million barrels per year
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accumulated emergency downtime at the refinery
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due to a UAV air raid reached 3.5 million tons.
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Well, that’s 10 times more than the total
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for the previous 2 years, that is, 10 times
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more problems with fuel production in
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Russia than for the previous 2 years
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combined. 2 weeks, while the number of
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damaged oil refining installations
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increased by three by mid-March, the volume of
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emergency downtime was one and a half times
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higher than planned repairs. Well, look
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here, what’s also important, all these estimates
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that I have just given, this was made, this is a
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value judgment according to experts
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who are there somewhere - then they heard something about
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how much fuel is actually not
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produced there, how many of these columns are broken
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and how deep the depth of the
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problems is, I
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don’t know, unknown Nobody knows, they don’t want to Well,
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maybe the Russian government
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knows but doesn’t tell anyone Nobody
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wants to exaggerate the severity of this
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problem from experts because they are afraid to
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sit down there, you know, or say
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something unnecessary there, so they
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say at a minimum Well, yes, like 10 percent
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Well, we are not afraid, so we can
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say, I’m sure that there at least a third of
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Russian
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oil production has now stopped because
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at least a third of these plants, and in
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fact about half of the plants
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located in the Central European
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part of Russia, were on fire or were damaged
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or something like that; in many of these
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plants, installations of that
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very primary oil processing were destroyed. Because why
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exactly them because they are the
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largest in each the plant has a huge
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column the size of a skyscraper,
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it’s hard not to get into this column if you get into this
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column, the whole plant stops
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like this, it
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works and no gasoline is
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produced, so you don’t need to
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mark some small little
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pimple on there on Refinery and it is necessary in this
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column Bang and everything is
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done; another very important point
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that is often not paid
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attention to, but it seems to me that it is important that
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in Russia only those plants
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that were somewhere in the Urals and Siberia,
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that is, far from the central part of
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Russia, but transporting fuel from Siberia to
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central Russia, firstly, takes a long time
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because the freight railway takes a
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long time to travel, and secondly, it is very expensive,
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logistically, because it
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leads from Siberia to the central part of Russia.
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There are two railways, one
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highway terrible quality, that is,
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imagining that you are in Omsk,
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for example, loading a
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tanker truck with gasoline and transporting it from
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Omsk along the Trans-Siberian road to
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Moscow. Well, by highway it’s
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unrealistic. Well, how could you, but it takes a
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very long time? It’s very expensive
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and it’s just unprofitable It is
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very, very difficult and expensive to deliver this gasoline from Siberia of the Far East to central Russia,
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so of course prices
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for gasoline are now rising very strongly, so
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I read again the fall in production caused a
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jump in
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wholesale fuel prices on Monday, a
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ton of 95 on the St. Petersburg stock exchange
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cost
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63.3 61 rubles is 12% more expensive than at the
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beginning of March, that is, 63,000, and I remember at the
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beginning of January, at the beginning of January, the price of a
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ton of the same fuel was about 40,000,
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that is, from 40,000 to 63,000, this is
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how much the price of gasoline at the wholesale market increased in 2.2 months
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in the market, in short, wholesale prices are growing
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very quickly, are they wholesalers, I’m
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sure that now there are those owners of gas
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stations, gas stations, who are engaged in the
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retail trade in gasoline, they will
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quickly calculate everything and the price will jump, well,
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by 20 to 30 percent for gasoline. And by the
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way, after the elections, gasoline prices in
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Russia is always growing. And now, given the fact
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that these attacks on
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oil refineries are being carried out, prices are 100% challenging,
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the dollar will most likely also go up.
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Because it was specifically kept before the elections from
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wasting the gold and foreign exchange
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reserves of the Central Bank, now this
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problem has been solved. I think the dollar
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will also go up now
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Vladimir Putin has already promised to raise taxes for Russians, but the
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main thing is that mobilization will most likely begin now
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because Putin is
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clearly preparing for a new war against the
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European Union. In previous
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programs I told you how and why, but
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now will I repeat that his program
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that he announced in the fall of the twenty-
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first years in his famous
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ultimatum to the West, this is the return of NATO
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to the borders of the ninety-seventh year, that
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is, without all the countries of central-eastern
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Europe. And so
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he wants to establish total dominance of Russia in Eastern
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Europe, Central Asia and subjugate Well,
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in fact, to include
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Ukraine Moldova in Belarus, perhaps
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Kazakhstan on he disagrees less and he
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sees that the West is now afraid of fighting and does not
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want to fight and is ready to give almost anything just to
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avoid war, with the
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exception of course of Emmanuel Macron,
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who has recently become
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really militant and says that no matter what,
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if necessary, we will fight with
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Russia we will not give Putin what
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he wants to get, in general, in order to achieve
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his goal, Putin is already very serious
00:10:01
about war. In addition, in Ukraine,
00:10:04
things are not going very
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well for him. He would now think that a quick
00:10:08
Victory over the Baltic countries is what
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he hopes no one will help
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because of the fear of a nuclear war, that such a
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Victory will strengthen his power will force the West
00:10:16
to refuse, including assistance to
00:10:19
Ukraine, military preparations are already underway
00:10:22
Kaliningrad, as we know, regularly
00:10:24
jams it’s just that some kind of Kaliningrad
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Ur jammer was installed, apparently the entire
00:10:30
Baltic region is covered
00:10:33
Even some
00:10:35
German minister of defense is jamming GPS signals, I think
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he complained that he was flying past on an
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airplane and the
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GPS system turned off on the plane; without
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satellite communications, of course NATO will be
00:10:45
significantly weaker than with satellite
00:10:47
communications, they are Western military in general without
00:10:50
hands without this very GPS in Belarus At the
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Lithuanian border, troops and tanks are unloaded
00:10:54
10 km from the Lithuanian border, there,
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50 km from the city center,
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these tanks begin and the troops go out into the
00:11:03
fields for exercises. It is clear what they will
00:11:05
train there will be created in Russia. The
00:11:06
Leningrad transport has been created. The Leningrad
00:11:08
military Lavrov District, the Minister of Foreign
00:11:11
Affairs of Russia said that
00:11:12
additional troops will be sent there
00:11:14
as a response to the expansion of NATO,
00:11:16
now after the elections a new mobilization will begin
00:11:19
in Russia and they will already be
00:11:21
preparing people for the war
00:11:22
against the West itself. Well, the justification for the war has
00:11:25
also appeared, they have begun to justify this
00:11:27
very war, Russia is directly the announcement of
00:11:31
Putin as the winner of the presidential
00:11:34
election in quotation marks demanded that
00:11:36
Germany recognize the blockade of
00:11:38
Leningrad as genocide, although in fact it was the
00:11:40
Bolsheviks who starved people in Leningrad
00:11:43
and not the Germans. And the Finns are actually
00:11:46
90% of this famine in Leningrad there at the
00:11:50
beginning of World War II is the work of the
00:11:52
Bolsheviks, but still the task here is not to
00:11:54
find the truth, the task here is to throw it by presenting
00:11:56
what is called in Gopnik, so to speak,
00:11:58
jargon because if the Germans refuse
00:12:01
Russia will accuse them of Nazism that they are the same
00:12:03
Germans and the Germans cannot agree to this
00:12:05
because all the questions are so to speak
00:12:07
related to the Second World
00:12:09
War had long been settled between the USSR and Germany,
00:12:11
in general, in short,
00:12:14
this is the method before
00:12:16
Kolupaev Yes, I would use a different word,
00:12:19
but I can’t on air, so this
00:12:22
fits. What are you doing? That’s what you
00:12:24
look like. Who are you? in life
00:12:26
This is what Germany said in general and they are
00:12:29
making Germany justify themselves by saying
00:12:30
that we are not so skies there, that is,
00:12:33
Putin is already quite clearly going to
00:12:35
declare today’s Germany the heir to the
00:12:37
heirs of Nazism and already act
00:12:39
accordingly according to the situation, since you are
00:12:41
Nazis, then the conversation with you As they say is
00:12:42
short That yes, as I understand it,
00:12:45
by the way, in fact, accusations of
00:12:47
genocide, accusations of Nazism were voiced
00:12:50
before the start of the Russian
00:12:52
full-scale invasion of Ukraine in
00:12:55
January 2022, and then
00:12:57
Scholz himself, being in the Kremlin, said
00:12:59
listen, yes, there is no genocide there in the Donbass,
00:13:01
and Putin says no, no, no
00:13:02
genocide, so now it’s the same thing that
00:13:04
Scholz listened to about Ukraine, now Putin
00:13:06
is telling him about Scholz himself about
00:13:08
Germany already. That is, to be honest,
00:13:11
look at how I view this situation.
00:13:13
Putin has now received power for another 6 years,
00:13:16
he has strengthened his power, at least
00:13:18
he feels that he has strengthened it although I think that it was
00:13:19
not completely strengthened, but let’s say there is
00:13:22
no opposition left in Russia, they
00:13:24
completely destroyed Peres or sent him to
00:13:27
the next world,
00:13:29
and accordingly, Putin now has a
00:13:31
free hand to continue the
00:13:32
banquet, so to speak, he is
00:13:34
not going to stop there and his new
00:13:36
goal is the Baltic countries This is Europe and he
00:13:39
will try to achieve this goal so that no matter
00:13:42
what happens in Europe the
00:13:44
Baltic countries America everyone everyone everyone needs
00:13:46
to do only one thing to help Ukraine as much as possible
00:13:49
If Ukraine is if
00:13:52
Ukraine is strong if Ukraine can
00:13:55
provide worthy resistance to Russia
00:13:57
on the battlefield then no there
00:13:59
will be no invasion of it, well, and now I want to tell you
00:14:02
that we, too, must help. And now I
00:14:05
propose to you, so to speak, a new gathering, we
00:14:08
will collect the eighty-th century
00:14:10
marine brigade that operates on the
00:14:12
left bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region, we will
00:14:16
collect them for drones, they will use drones
00:14:18
very much are needed and I believe that
00:14:20
we simply have to help these guys as
00:14:23
soon as possible and let’s do it
00:14:26
as usual, all the coordinates of all the
00:14:29
collection details are in the description of this video. And this is a
00:14:32
very, very important matter and I myself will be
00:14:34
very happy to transfer it to it
00:14:37
A certain amount of money on this
00:14:39
optimistic note is all today My
00:14:41
name is Ivan Yakovina this is NV radio if you
00:14:43
were interested subscribe to the channel
00:14:44
Like If you liked it if you did
00:14:46
n’t like it don’t like May the
00:14:48
force be with you and bye-bye
00:14:50
subscribe to the NV axis radio channel
00:14:58
here
00:14:59
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