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Download "Пекин разыгрывает Путина как “шестерку” / Как Украине разыграть карту Китая // №434 - Юрий Швец"

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Table of contents
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Table of contents

0:00
Вступление
3:23
Путин не воспользовался ситуацией, и окно возможностей закрывается. Это свидетельствует о печальном состоянии ВС рф, что предвещает ее поражение в весенне-летней кампании.
4:39
Психологическая, информационная, пропагандистская борьба между Китаем и США. Insider: россия отвергает мирный план Китая в отношении войны в Украине.
6:57
China Daily сообщила, что рф приветствует мирный план Китая.
9:42
China Daily: Майкл Маккол сообщил, что США могут отправить Украине более современные системы вооружений большей дальности и даже истребители.
10:31
Global Times призвал США прекратить распространение дезинформации о военной помощи Китаем россии.
13:07
МИД Китая призвал США прекратить распространение дезинформации и отменить санкции против китайских компаний.
13:30
США раздувают шумиху вокруг поставки летального оружия Китаем в рф, чтобы оказать давление на Китай и принудить начать оправдываться и найти козла отпущение.
15:31
The Epoch Times: представители республиканской партии обвиняют Китай в дезинформации. Ряд СМИ США опубликовали статьи официальных представителей Китая в США. КПК не заслуживает доверия.
19:56
Борьба на экономическом фронте. За полгода США отказали 30% лицензиям китайцев на экспорт в Китай товаров высоких технологий. 650 китайских компаний были внесены в черный список. Китай просит США отменить санкции.
23:52
Статья Global Times с критикой посла США в Пекине Николаса Бернса и грозит его высылкой из страны, как и его предшественника.
25:43
Китайские намерения восстановить отношения с США и ЕС рухнули со сбитым зондом.
27:12
Визит Лукашенко в Китай и его тезисы.
30:07
Китайско-белорусские и китайско-российские отношения строятся не на основе конфронтации, отказа от союза и альянсов, направленных против любой третьей страны. Это посылает миру четкий сигнал, что Китай развивает отношения с партнерами на основе принципов ООН.
32:23
СМИ Китая: Китай приветствует участившиеся контакты с другими странами. Если прекратится сотрудничество с Германией, это обойдется ей потерей 1% ВВП. Китай потеряет последний источник высоких технологий.
34:54
Визит Лукашенко может решать вопрос для использования Беларуси для передачи оружия рф.
35:55
Визит Лукашенко совпал с анонсом, что белорусский ВПК организует производство дронов.
36:58
Аналитики США высказывают скепсис. Что россия способна на дополнительную масштабную мобилизацию. Заявления рф о неисчерпаемом мобилизационном ресурсе не соответствуют действительности.
38:53
У рф тяжелое положение с артиллерией: снаряды на исходе, производство не успевает, проблемы с порохом. Россия обречена на неуспех в предстоящей военной кампании. Чтобы удержаться, рф необходима массированная военная помощь, поэтому визит вызывает особое внимание.
43:10
Итоги: демографические проблемы в рф, отсутствие возможностей мобилизации, трудности в военной техники и артиллерии, вся надежда рф на массированную военную помощь Китая.
43:57
Китай разыгрывает путина как шестерку в игре с США. Китаю нужны нормальные экономические отношения с США и ЕС. Для Китая главное – информационно-пропагандистская война в мировом масштабе. Военная помощь Китая рф нелогична.
46:31
Китай падок на лесть. Есть смысл в идее Зеленского встретиться с Си. МИД Украины должен сделать заявление о том, что в мирном плане Китая есть важные положения о необходимости выполнения принципов устава ООН неприменения силы и территориальной целостности.
Video tags
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Video tags

Юрий Швец
Юрий Швец последнее
Юрий Швец новости
Швец интервью
Швец КГБ
Экс-разведчик КГБ Швец
Сокурсник Путина
КГБ СССР Швец
юрий швец ютуб
yuri shvets
youtube
shvets youtube
юрий швец война
швец путин
швец си цзиньпин
Мирный план китая
китай россия
китай сша
китай европа
швец китай
визит лукашенко в китай
China Daily
Майкл Маккол
Global Times
николас бернс
юрийшвец
yurishvets
война
украина
россия
Subtitles
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Subtitles

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  • ruRussian
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00:00:11
Hello friends Today is
00:00:14
February 28th, Tuesday.
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And today we have a lot of different
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events, which I
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will briefly attend because there are too many of them
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later. We will try to somehow bring them together into a
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single picture to understand where we are
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moving, but first I would like to return to to
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your previous video and express
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admiration for how quickly you found this
00:00:42
video propaganda piece of the Kremlin
00:00:45
or the Kremlin special services called
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Catch or Trap 22. I was especially
00:00:52
pleased with the battles that
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unfolded in the comments to this
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video,
00:00:59
some viewers wrote to me that I was
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probably mistaken when I announced with
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my previous video that this
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fake Catch 22 was there by the morning
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before I started recording my
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previous videos there were only 66
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views by the end of the day there were about 750
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as far as I understand this is a significant
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part of my viewing audience, and then the
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Kremlin bots caught up
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like me I understood after looking at some of
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the comments On that site, the
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Kremlin bots suffered crushing
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sarcasm sarcasm of sensible thinking people
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in general and my viewers in particular were
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invincible, we just can’t win, but nothing
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passes. So simply in retaliation, the
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Kremlin bots en masse
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landed on my
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landing force in a massive swarm and laid aside their larvae my
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son had to spend probably
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40 minutes of his life in order to remove them all with a broom,
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but this
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means I want to explain once again that
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this video is intended for the orcs
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for Putin's redneck masses in order to
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prepare them for what
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conclusions and proposals that were
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made there, but the siren about which I
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practically said, but I didn’t, of course, not
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look at all the comments on my website. But almost
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no one guessed the ones that saw the name sirione. But it doesn’t matter to the siren,
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unlike catch 22. He broadcasts
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mainly to a Western audience on
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intellectuals, although he himself is of course
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far from an intellectual by normal
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assessments, although he certainly considers
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himself one Well, by Putin’s
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Kremlin scale, he may
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even be a major thinker.
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However, let’s move on to today,
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today, on February 28, the window of
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opportunity that
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Western analysts predicted is closing for a Russian
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pre-emptive strike in Ukraine, it is entirely pre-emptive
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because
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American NATO assistance is expected, it is coming, but
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it takes time and
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it is expected that more or less in
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full it will not arrive somewhere at the end of March.
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Therefore, in Russia, Putin
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has a window of opportunity in about the next few
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days 10 in February 20 to approximately
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today, before the start of unraveling
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to strike its blow, it did not
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take place
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and, according to Western analysts, this
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indicates a very sad
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state of the
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Russian Armed Forces,
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which foreshadows
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its defeat of
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the summer campaign, but however, we
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will come to this a little further,
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but now the main trend Now a
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fierce
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psychological information
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propaganda struggle is flaring up. And not only
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the struggle is not just talk about the struggle
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for influence
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between China and the United States of
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America.
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Well, a
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recent
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recent document on China’s position
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on possible regulation in
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Ukraine plays a significant role in it; the
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Chinese are like with a beloved child. are rushing around
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Although almost all of Western Europe has
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already rejected this Yes, in fact, even those
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voices that were heard
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from the Kremlin Until today,
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Beijing should not have brought any special joy.
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For example, an insider, an
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insider
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published yesterday that Russia rejects
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China’s Peaceful Prank regarding the war in Ukraine
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at the same time refers to an interview or
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statement by Peskov who said that we
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paid very much attention to
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this
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proposal or positional
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opposition document, we will
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consider it, but we do not yet see those
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elements that we consider necessary
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to bring this whole story
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to peace, and on the eve of the Ministry of
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Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
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more She specifically said
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thanked the Chinese comrades, of course,
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but said that there is no
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provision
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that recognizes territorial realities
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and emphasized that she loved that from the
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Russian point of view, any Peace
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Agreement on Ukraine
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must recognize new territorial
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realities. Well, it’s clear that those territories
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that Putin has not yet fully
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occupied but has already declared
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Russian
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but today
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China is efficient, this is the newspaper of the Communist Party of China
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published in English, she
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enthusiastically reported that Russia
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welcomes the Peace Offer of China,
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and the insider
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whose reaction I just
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told you and tea, in fact, they all refer
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to the same statement
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by Peskov, but only draws attention to
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different emphases
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I was glad that
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Peskov said
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Of course, the details must be carefully and
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deeply analyzed taking into account the
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interests of all the different parties, this is a
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very long and intensive process, but a
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long and intensive process from my point of view
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should mean that it will be
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considered infinitely more accurately as it will be
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considered before
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Decisive battles in Ukraine will take place in the
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spring and summer campaign, as a result of
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which the positions of all parties will become more definite,
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but the Chinese point out that this
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analysis of the documents calls on both sides of
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the conflict to agree to a gradual
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escalation and, which is very important,
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warns against the use of nuclear
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weapons, and as they said in the Kremlin
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According to the tea business, these are precisely these two
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very important circumstances that
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the Kremlin saw in this document; this is a
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gradual escalation, as well as the
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renunciation of the use of nuclear weapons,
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remember. This is because
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these are these two provisions that, in
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theory, should warn China from the
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step that we would all you would really
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not like to provide lethal assistance to
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Russia, which it desperately needs
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and about which there are now
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fierce disputes. Is China planning to
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do this or is America simply
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playing it safe
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and all the warnings that America
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made until the last moment is all a game, so to
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speak,
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of the worst case scenario
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by reporting that the Chinese side
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saw greetings, that is, a very
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positive reaction from the Kremlin to the Chinese
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tea tree proposal, at the same time, it notes a
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very important thing that the representative of the
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Chairman of the
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House Foreign Affairs Committee, Michael Michael,
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said that the United States could
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send to Ukraine a more modern
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weapons system including missiles of a
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longer-range missile system and
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even fighters, this apparently was
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a statement made in terms of warning
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both Russia and China that if
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real help comes from China, then
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America will turn on
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in full and open the floodgates for the supply of
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its equipment
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in full, in full,
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called on the United States to stop the
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proliferation disinformation about
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Chinese military assistance to Russia
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in this regard, it means that the Ministry of
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Foreign Affairs of China paid attention
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first of all. So to those messages
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that have recently been coming from the United States, the
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sources of these messages,
00:11:00
remember, were primarily Secretary of State
00:11:04
Blinken and the director
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who, after
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President Biden said on Friday that he does not see
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any particular threat and China’s readiness to
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leave lethal
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assistance to Russia, these two
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gentlemen spoke and said that they are still
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concerned and there are serious reasons
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to fear this, the
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Chinese Chinese newspaper
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Ruporte reports that the United States
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has actually launched an attack on
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public opinion in China by
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inflating the story about that China is supposedly
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going to supply weapons and
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ammunition to Russia
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and this and this is terrible, these shameless
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Americans are doing at a time when China has
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just stated its position on the
00:12:04
peaceful resolution of the so-called
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conflict in
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Ukraine
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but the Chinese are also criticizing
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Sullivan
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[music]
00:12:23
who warned China that it would be a
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very bad mistake if it means that
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China committed and began to provide this
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assistance, I
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was struck by the confidence that China is still
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considering the possibility of providing
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lethal weapons to the
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whale to Russia,
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while according to the newspaper, Sullivan and
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Borns and even the same Tony Blinken
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admitted that there are no there is no evidence of
00:12:52
actual deliveries of lethal
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equipment from China to Russia.
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And these Gentlemen told us, but
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they have concerns based on developed
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information that China is considering
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this option. In this regard, the official
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representative of the Chinese Foreign Ministry,
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Mountie,
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called on the United States to stop the spread of
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disinformation and lift sanctions against
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Chinese companies about these sanctions,
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we'll move on, we'll talk further
00:13:28
Well, an
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international affairs expert from
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Fundamental University, whom
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the newspaper quotes, expresses the opinion that the
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United States is inflating this hype
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about China's lethal assistance in
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Russia, it is possible to put
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pressure on China and force China to
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take a defensive position position to begin
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to make excuses and also in order to
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find a scapegoat for the further
00:14:02
continuation of the war in Ukraine and this is already a
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struggle for world public opinion in
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America, by and large I must say
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this is important but not critically important
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China as I see it reading their materials
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for a month
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China came out of hibernation after Covid and
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began vigorous activity in the field of
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economics in order to raise it from its
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lethargic sleep, but also in terms of
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diplomacy and
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propaganda, China is now trying to
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use its latest
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proposal, a peaceful plan, so to speak, in
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order to present itself as the leader of
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suddenly the entire non-Western world
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which, unlike the Western world, a
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peace-loving state remarkably
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energetic, stands for justice
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against the unipolar In general, for everything
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good against everything bad,
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blaming China, inventing all these
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scare stories about the supply of legally
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lethal aid
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to Russia, trying to denigrate the bright Face,
00:15:20
comrades,
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This is China being blamed on
00:15:26
disinformation companies at the same time
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[music] the
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Epok Times newspaper, which is engaged in a
00:15:34
careful study of
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US-China relations,
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reports that, in turn, that the
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United States Well, not just the
00:15:44
United States, but
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high-ranking representatives and
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legislators mainly of
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the Republican Party accuse China of
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already disinformation, so a
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hearing was held in the Congress of the United
00:16:01
States of America on this issue, but they are not only
00:16:02
about disinformation. They are generally in the
00:16:04
state of
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American-Chinese relations,
00:16:08
and there it means that
00:16:10
Republican legislators attacked a
00:16:13
number of American media outlets
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that, for money,
00:16:19
published
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interviews or articles of
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Chinese official representatives in the United States, which
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these Republican legislators called
00:16:33
agents of influence of China,
00:16:38
who got it, who got
00:16:41
the newspaper The Washington Post, which
00:16:44
published paid advertising in general, all
00:16:47
these publications in the United States But
00:16:49
you have to be, I don’t know who, during the
00:16:51
Cold War the Soviet Union regularly
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published its materials, often these were
00:16:56
articles by the Russian Ambassador to the Soviet Union
00:17:00
Washington Dobrynin and it was worth
00:17:03
the pleasure Well then, somewhere up to 100
00:17:06
thousand dollars per strip Washington
00:17:09
now probably costs more I don’t know I have
00:17:11
n’t published in the course for a long time I’m joking just in
00:17:14
case
00:17:16
so this means all this is quite normal
00:17:20
except for the most odious cases when
00:17:24
naturally an
00:17:26
interview with
00:17:29
Assad or another or Kim Jong and Ira will never be published there
00:17:34
Inna Kim Jong-un Excuse me Well, that is,
00:17:39
Republican legislators attacked
00:17:42
such newspapers as the Washington Post
00:17:45
Los Angeles Times financial Times
00:17:50
USA today, especially Time magazine
00:17:54
reported that in the second
00:17:59
half of last year, China
00:18:03
paid one and two tenths of a million
00:18:08
dollars for this these publications,
00:18:11
most of all, almost half were received by the
00:18:14
journal
00:18:16
publications of the Chinese side, what is
00:18:19
the terrible thing the Chinese side
00:18:22
published there, the most terrible thing was
00:18:25
the story about the balloons,
00:18:28
the Chinese said that these balloons were not
00:18:30
spies, that the Americans inflated this
00:18:35
story, who should say that I
00:18:38
still don’t I saw from the American side
00:18:41
no
00:18:43
actual data given with reference
00:18:46
to the FBI, which was studying the
00:18:49
remains of the debris of
00:18:53
downed probes or balloons,
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there was not a single official statement
00:18:59
about the fact that spy equipment was found there,
00:19:02
but in general,
00:19:04
American high-ranking
00:19:07
politicians say that it was, yes, it was
00:19:11
spy equipment a
00:19:16
device for meteorological
00:19:18
research, in general, the Chinese
00:19:21
accused the
00:19:23
United States on the pages of
00:19:25
American publications.
00:19:28
Well, the legislators of the United States, the
00:19:32
Republicans, are extremely dissatisfied with this,
00:19:36
according to them, this whole campaign in Congress
00:19:40
was held under the motto of
00:19:42
China, the Chinese communist CCP The
00:19:46
Communist Party of China is not
00:19:48
trustworthy, this is what is going on
00:19:52
now psychological and the
00:19:54
propaganda struggle at the same time
00:19:58
the struggle is going on on the economic front,
00:20:03
data has been received on how the
00:20:07
US government approves or does not approve
00:20:11
export licenses of Chinese companies.
00:20:15
What is an export license? Chinese
00:20:18
companies every year, or every
00:20:21
six months I think there, apply for a
00:20:25
license to export certain types of
00:20:28
products from America China The
00:20:32
US government, in particular the
00:20:35
Ministry of Commerce, examines them and
00:20:37
or approves them, then Chinese companies
00:20:41
can purchase These goods or does not
00:20:44
approve them and then cannot do so for the
00:20:47
past six months This war was already going on on a
00:20:53
full scale in Ukraine
00:20:56
The Americans refused
00:21:01
approval or confirmation for about
00:21:05
30 percent of all licenses that the
00:21:08
Chinese submitted, this did not happen for a long time. A very
00:21:12
long time ago, this is a lot and basically,
00:21:15
as you understand, this concerned
00:21:17
licenses for the
00:21:20
export or import in China of American
00:21:25
goods related to high technology
00:21:28
or goods that may have dual
00:21:32
use;
00:21:34
moreover, approximately 650 Chinese
00:21:39
companies were are blacklisted and
00:21:43
with all these companies on the blacklist it
00:21:46
is generally impossible to have any
00:21:47
economic trade relations of any other kind
00:21:51
with Americans, out of these 600
00:21:56
approximately 50 approximately 150 companies were included
00:22:00
in the blacklist during the administration
00:22:05
and the latest
00:22:07
inclusion of another group of companies in
00:22:11
this blacklist happened as a
00:22:14
result of this of this incident with a balloon,
00:22:18
either a spy balloon or a meteorological
00:22:21
balloon, all the Chinese companies that
00:22:24
were involved in its production and
00:22:26
launch were included in this list and
00:22:29
the Chinese are now
00:22:30
appealing for this, it is very important for
00:22:33
them and the political ones for their economy
00:22:35
are asking the United States
00:22:38
in the midst of this The United States
00:22:40
is asking the
00:22:43
United States to
00:22:45
cancel the psychological propaganda struggle, not only to expel everyone there, but to
00:22:49
at least ease some sanctions,
00:22:51
this is extremely important for them.
00:22:54
Well, so that you understand how intense
00:22:57
this struggle is becoming. In general, this
00:22:59
psychological ideological
00:23:01
propagandist is my impression
00:23:02
that such intensity I saw The last time, but
00:23:06
back
00:23:08
in the days of Mao Zi Duda, when there was
00:23:12
just a howl in China about the
00:23:15
Soviet Union against
00:23:18
Soviet revisionism of American
00:23:21
imperialism, these two were accused of
00:23:25
digimo not in general, there were such words of weight,
00:23:29
such a set of words
00:23:32
came from Beijing which made little sense
00:23:36
but sounded very loud. I have the
00:23:38
impression that in China it is reaching
00:23:40
approximately the same state, although
00:23:44
American legislators also
00:23:48
added fire on their part, and so the
00:23:51
Global Times, the mouthpiece of the Communist
00:23:54
Party of China, publishes a long article
00:23:57
which attacks the American
00:24:00
Ambassador in Beijing What did he do wrong
00:24:04
Nicholas Burns was a meeting of the
00:24:08
Chamber of Commerce
00:24:10
there, which means the American
00:24:12
representative of the American Chinese
00:24:14
Trade Council was present and Nicholas the
00:24:18
US Ambassador spoke there where he listed all
00:24:22
America's claims to China there were
00:24:25
human rights As you yourself understand
00:24:27
there and the view was because recently, again,
00:24:31
literally last week, an
00:24:35
article appeared about how covid, after
00:24:37
all,
00:24:43
leaked from a Chinese laboratory in an unnatural way.
00:24:45
In short, he
00:24:48
spoke out both on human rights and on the
00:24:52
lack of
00:24:55
unfair trade practices in China, in
00:24:58
general, he went through everything that the
00:25:01
newspaper
00:25:04
characterized as
00:25:06
topics that cannot be discussed That is,
00:25:11
this is a Taboo in the sense that in a decent society at an
00:25:15
annual gala dinner, such
00:25:18
issues cannot be discussed, but the Ambassador of
00:25:21
the United States did it and
00:25:24
there they beat him for a
00:25:26
long enough article and a direct
00:25:31
threat to him should be like cover up,
00:25:33
bite your tongue, otherwise he will fly out
00:25:36
China, how is one of his
00:25:38
predecessors?
00:25:40
This is the situation, Gentlemen. As you
00:25:44
can see, this has not happened at all until now. Until
00:25:47
recently, the Chinese,
00:25:52
as if in such a noisy crowd, Chinese
00:25:55
diplomats wandered around Europe and
00:25:58
told Western diplomats
00:26:01
that Putin is Crazy, that is, an idiot. This
00:26:04
was in November quite recently and that all
00:26:09
the talk about
00:26:11
endlessly boundless
00:26:17
cooperation between Moscow and Beijing
00:26:19
should not be surprising; pay
00:26:22
special attention to these words; then the palm was
00:26:27
extended by Beijing to Washington when they
00:26:30
appointed the
00:26:31
American Ambassador of China to America as
00:26:34
Minister of Foreign Affairs, the very first
00:26:37
statement that we need to develop
00:26:39
relations
00:26:42
with our friends in America and
00:26:46
all this collapsed along with this
00:26:49
balloon probe, either a spy probe or a
00:26:52
meteorological probe. I told you before that this very much
00:26:55
reminds me of the incident at two
00:26:59
with Harry Powers on board, shot down at one
00:27:02
time on May 1st. in the sky over Sverdlovsk everything
00:27:06
is mixed up in the Obolonskys’ house, as
00:27:10
Classic wrote, and it’s against this background that
00:27:14
Lukashenko’s visit to China is taking place, it should
00:27:20
begin. I looked at Chinese, looked at
00:27:22
foreign publications, nothing, no
00:27:25
Belarusian media,
00:27:27
I don’t have access, I don’t monitor. But what’s
00:27:31
interesting is that the Chinese
00:27:32
Chinese media are close The Communist parties
00:27:36
published an interview with Lukashenko about
00:27:40
three days before the visit where
00:27:43
they spoke highly of Lukashenko Why
00:27:47
highly because Lukashenko
00:27:49
spoke highly of his comrades and of China as a
00:27:54
Great country
00:27:56
that no one can stop,
00:27:58
these are the slavs that the
00:28:01
Chinese are buying into, a great country of which no one
00:28:05
can’t stop it A ray of light in the dark
00:28:07
kingdom, the
00:28:12
Belarusian-Chinese Technopark was glorified, which
00:28:15
was called the pearl in the Crown of the
00:28:19
Chinese plan, a
00:28:21
single road, a single belt,
00:28:25
a lot was said about the trade turnover that
00:28:28
reached more than 5 billion dollars,
00:28:31
it was said that both economies
00:28:34
complement each other
00:28:36
with surprise. I read this Because
00:28:39
you can’t, of course, compare the Chinese
00:28:42
economy and the Belarusian one. In what way do
00:28:44
they complement Belarus can’t even be an
00:28:47
appendage for China
00:28:49
and an intellectual appendage, a
00:28:52
high-tech appendage also
00:28:54
can’t be what they add in what way the
00:28:58
Belarusian economy complements or
00:29:00
can complement China
00:29:03
and Chinese interests. what is of great
00:29:06
interest to the question for me, but then
00:29:10
such literally one proposal
00:29:13
will naturally be considered during the
00:29:16
meeting
00:29:17
during Lukashenko’s visit,
00:29:20
issues that
00:29:23
have attracted the attention of the whole world will be considered. Well, of course,
00:29:26
the war is a war in Ukraine,
00:29:30
it is emphasized that
00:29:32
Belarus and China have a close ally.
00:29:36
Well, about Russia not much was said here
00:29:39
China has What do they call Beijing's iron
00:29:42
ally this iron ally Pakistan
00:29:45
why is it an iron ally because it is the
00:29:48
enemy, the mortal enemy of India
00:29:51
and China is with India That is, it turns out The enemy of
00:29:56
my enemy This is now my iron
00:29:59
ally
00:30:00
Belarus is now iron, too, together with
00:30:04
Pakistan, iron ally of China it
00:30:08
was about three days ago today
00:30:10
the visit should begin. I have not heard that it was
00:30:13
canceled and not a word and not a word in
00:30:18
any Chinese newspaper about this reason.
00:30:21
But it was emphasized that in assessing the
00:30:26
upcoming visit, Lukashenko emphasized
00:30:29
that the Chinese Belarusian and also
00:30:33
Chinese-Russian relations are built
00:30:35
on the basis of non-confrontation, rejection of an
00:30:39
alliance and an alliance directed
00:30:43
against any third country, that is,
00:30:47
from this I read
00:30:52
based on the previous
00:30:55
main themes of the ideological
00:30:57
psychological propaganda struggle
00:30:59
regarding the fact that one side
00:31:03
accuses the other of being going to
00:31:05
supply lethal weapons to Russia. what is
00:31:09
being said here is not confrontation,
00:31:11
to refuse, not to be directed against
00:31:14
third countries,
00:31:17
that is, I don’t see where here. Where is
00:31:20
China in all this? Can it openly provide
00:31:23
lethal assistance to the Russian Federation, and this
00:31:25
assistance should be large-scale,
00:31:28
not just put some
00:31:30
hundred Drones there, but very seriously? this I
00:31:33
mentioned further, I
00:31:34
continue to mean the quote, this sends a
00:31:37
clear signal to the world that China
00:31:40
is developing all bilateral relations with
00:31:43
its partners on the basis of common
00:31:45
interests as well as the goals of the principles
00:31:48
enshrined in the UN Charter, one of the
00:31:52
main throne principles there is not the
00:31:55
use of force in international relations,
00:31:57
renunciation of aggression is what was violated by the
00:32:01
Russian Federation
00:32:03
attacked Ukraine
00:32:06
now if China goes to punish
00:32:09
lethal assistance China join
00:32:13
this aggressor
00:32:14
which in theory will contradict the entire
00:32:18
foreign policy strategic
00:32:20
course of the Chinese leadership
00:32:22
today further means the
00:32:25
Chinese press
00:32:28
that having
00:32:29
entered 23, that is, coming out of Covid
00:32:34
otherwise into a turbulent activities both in
00:32:36
economics and in diplomacy foreign
00:32:38
policy China welcomes the increasing frequency of
00:32:42
political
00:32:44
diplomatic contacts with other
00:32:45
countries, in particular after Lukashenko a
00:32:49
macron should arrive in Beijing. This
00:32:53
should take place in April.
00:32:55
Then somewhere in May in June the
00:33:00
balloon Michelle and Ursula should arrive there the
00:33:04
Chinese are waiting for this with very great interest; the
00:33:08
Chinese cannot lose
00:33:12
economic relations
00:33:14
with Europe; the fact
00:33:17
that the United States is bad;
00:33:19
sanctions;
00:33:32
for Europe it will be a terrible blow,
00:33:34
so they conducted a study that if
00:33:35
there is a
00:33:36
decoupling in economic relations
00:33:39
between China and Germany, that is,
00:33:42
all sorts of cooperation stops, then
00:33:45
it will cost Germany
00:33:47
one percent, the loss of one percent of
00:33:51
Germany's GDP China really does not say that it
00:33:55
will cost him this it will cost if
00:33:58
you take the sanctions of the United States plus the
00:34:03
rupture of economic trade
00:34:05
relations with Europe. That is, China does not have
00:34:09
any source left for
00:34:11
obtaining high technologies. Therefore, it
00:34:15
really needs a successful visit,
00:34:18
that is, they thought that Scholz’s visit
00:34:22
was good very good, but after that
00:34:26
these relations are somewhat spoiled by
00:34:29
suspicions that China will
00:34:31
supply weapons to Russia
00:34:35
Now they have Hope,
00:34:37
in any case, to maintain
00:34:40
normal relations, more or less
00:34:42
normal relations with Germany and
00:34:44
improve relations with France and the
00:34:46
European Union in general, and this should happen
00:34:49
April macron and then May June
00:34:53
is a ball Michel and von Lein, and as
00:34:55
far as I understand
00:34:58
Lukashenko’s visit,
00:35:01
in addition to the talk there about bilateral
00:35:04
economic cooperation,
00:35:07
I have a bad suspicion that the
00:35:10
issue of using
00:35:14
Belarus as an
00:35:19
intermediate link in the transfer of
00:35:22
some
00:35:24
weapons to the Russian Federation, in particular
00:35:29
on the fringes of the Internet to me, may be resolved they say I don’t
00:35:33
go to Telegram, I don’t read anything there
00:35:35
because, well, it’s impossible to distinguish fiction from
00:35:39
truth, I just know that
00:35:41
the secret service of the Russian Federation is actively operating there,
00:35:45
so again, it’s often
00:35:53
impossible to accept the coin that is published there, but
00:35:56
some are, so to speak, pieces of information
00:36:00
or informational mosaic elements they
00:36:06
fit into the general logic of the development of
00:36:09
events such that there was a message
00:36:13
that the
00:36:14
Belarusian military-industrial complex is supposedly Belarusian
00:36:17
will organize serious serial
00:36:20
production of unmanned aerial
00:36:22
vehicles and somehow this strangely coincides
00:36:26
with Lukashenko’s visit
00:36:29
if Lukashenko is still there and the visit
00:36:33
has not ended. And there is already a message That is, it
00:36:36
turns out that an issue may arise suspicion
00:36:39
that an agreement on the construction of
00:36:42
some kind of enterprise
00:36:44
for the production of Drones was reached in
00:36:48
principle by
00:36:50
Lukashenko and was achieved thoroughly, so to
00:36:54
speak confidently,
00:36:58
but the fact is that
00:37:00
Judging by the development of events,
00:37:03
just drones for Russia now are not
00:37:07
enough
00:37:09
American military analysts, I
00:37:11
looked at them today and
00:37:14
expressed great skepticism regarding the
00:37:16
fact that Russia is capable of
00:37:21
additional large-scale mobilization.
00:37:24
At the same time, they refer to this
00:37:29
specific democracy of the demographic
00:37:33
demographic situation in Russia and there
00:37:36
this segment or stratum of the
00:37:39
population from 15 years to 19
00:37:43
of them attracts us mainly
00:37:46
18-19 years old
00:37:49
is the smallest a population group from
00:37:53
flesh means from everything else up
00:37:57
to retirement age somewhere starting from
00:38:00
65 years
00:38:02
and 65 years you know in Russia this is all
00:38:05
often already the end of life 65 70 That is, if you
00:38:09
take the
00:38:10
living male population of the Russian
00:38:13
Federation, it turns out that there are 15 years
00:38:18
less of them of all the
00:38:22
moving and living male
00:38:24
population in the country,
00:38:27
so it turns out that this is yes. And this is
00:38:32
these data, this was even before
00:38:34
Putin began this so-called
00:38:36
partial mobilization,
00:38:38
that is, the
00:38:40
conclusion of American analysts is that the
00:38:44
stories are the rantings of some
00:38:46
representatives of Russia that inexhaustible
00:38:48
resources human They they are written with a pitchfork
00:38:52
on the water In addition, it turns out there is
00:38:56
information that
00:38:58
indicates that Russia,
00:39:03
if not Katya, has an astronomical situation, then a very
00:39:06
difficult situation with artillery is
00:39:09
that their God of War is what they
00:39:12
have traveled on so far because of everything
00:39:14
else There are practically none of them. Well,
00:39:16
during the hostilities in Ukraine this
00:39:19
was not shown either by aviation or by armored tank
00:39:22
successes, but from cannons a bullet is loaded and a
00:39:25
bullet is loaded, now it turns out that
00:39:28
they are really running out of shells.
00:39:32
This is for
00:39:33
shells for multiple launch rocket systems And for
00:39:37
barrel artillery
00:39:39
production does not have time at the rate of their
00:39:43
expenditure, expenditure has fallen,
00:39:47
you know, and significantly compared to
00:39:50
what was what took place at the beginning of
00:39:52
the aggression
00:39:55
and their production is running into problems, not only
00:39:57
that there is not enough production capacity, there
00:39:59
is no gunpowder, there is no Great
00:40:03
country, the second army in the world, the strongest
00:40:07
economy of the
00:40:08
military-industrial complex,
00:40:11
serious problems with gunpowder,
00:40:14
what As for cannon artillery, it
00:40:17
means that the newest systems there are missiles,
00:40:20
they are not produced in
00:40:26
extremely small
00:40:29
quantities due to
00:40:32
sanctions, that is, apparently there are
00:40:34
some necessary chips or something else,
00:40:37
their production is difficult amid the sanctions
00:40:40
And is falling, and as for
00:40:45
artillery from the Second World War,
00:40:48
then trunks for it trunks wear out
00:40:54
new ones
00:40:55
are not available and there is nothing to produce either In
00:40:58
short, a
00:41:01
situation is developing where
00:41:05
there is such a point of view that
00:41:08
Russia is practically doomed to failure in
00:41:11
this Spring summer summer company
00:41:14
again, I warn you, I warn you
00:41:18
not to succumb to the captivating
00:41:21
mood It’s just me I am sharing with you the
00:41:23
information that I think
00:41:25
should be kept in mind. That is, before
00:41:30
assessing the enemy, this is the same drawback
00:41:32
as underestimating the enemy;
00:41:35
I overestimate you, you are dooming yourself to a more
00:41:38
passive situation,
00:41:40
less active and aggressive than you
00:41:44
could take and defeat him faster,
00:41:51
there are big doubts that the present
00:41:54
Russia will have time, but the very fact that they did
00:41:57
not use This is a window of opportunity for
00:41:59
these 10 days Until today,
00:42:02
this would really be their window of
00:42:05
opportunity until Ukraine has received to a
00:42:08
large extent all the help
00:42:10
that is now coming to it from the West
00:42:14
and Russia has not been able to use it
00:42:16
because its difficulties are such
00:42:19
that there is nothing to do and there is nothing
00:42:23
to go on the attack. And when Ukraine receives
00:42:26
everything
00:42:28
they supply, then the situation will be completely
00:42:31
bad, so in order for
00:42:34
Russia to hold on at all, it needs
00:42:36
massive simply massive
00:42:40
military assistance at the Lend-Lease level
00:42:43
as during The Second World War
00:42:46
arrived.
00:42:49
Therefore, for me, this is the
00:42:52
main meaning of Lukashenko’s visit
00:42:56
and I am
00:42:59
watching him with great concern, as well as the
00:43:02
processes that will then
00:43:04
take place on the territory of Belarus,
00:43:08
therefore,
00:43:11
summing up everything that I have
00:43:14
outlined today, I would like to
00:43:18
briefly
00:43:20
say that in Russia there is a very big
00:43:23
demographic problems Once
00:43:26
then, what
00:43:29
narrows its possibility of
00:43:32
endless mobilizations
00:43:35
in large numbers from behind are great
00:43:39
difficulties in providing equipment, and the
00:43:42
most important military equipment on which the
00:43:45
entire Russian strategy rests is
00:43:49
artillery,
00:43:51
in this regard, Russia’s only hope is for
00:43:55
massive military assistance from China China,
00:43:59
from my point of view, he plays the
00:44:03
Putin card once, he regards Putin
00:44:06
as a six
00:44:07
in the game against the United
00:44:10
States of America, united in a card game,
00:44:12
precisely as a six,
00:44:16
now it would be good to have normal
00:44:20
economic relations from the USA and with
00:44:23
Europe after the covid period when it is necessary to
00:44:25
restore the economy and
00:44:29
sacrifice here on the scales with On the one
00:44:32
hand, economic issues are problems of
00:44:34
China, they are serious for the country itself, on
00:44:37
the other hand, these are
00:44:39
Napoleonic strategic
00:44:43
problems, issues of strategy on a global
00:44:46
scale. What is the main thing for Chisentin, this is the
00:44:49
question
00:44:51
for China now, as I see it, the main thing is
00:44:56
information and propaganda struggle on a
00:44:59
global scale, advertising its peace
00:45:02
plan, positioning as a country
00:45:05
that, as they called it, a young
00:45:08
country that is so better than light in the dark
00:45:12
kingdom, means it must unite the entire
00:45:15
sane world, which suffers from the
00:45:18
hegemony of another power, America, everything
00:45:24
has been abandoned, everything has been abandoned, this is precisely what
00:45:27
China is flirting with Europe,
00:45:30
asking the young states to remove, lift
00:45:34
sanctions from Chinese enterprises and in
00:45:39
this situation, suddenly go now to
00:45:41
come to an agreement and
00:45:43
open the floodgates of massive military
00:45:46
assistance to Russia.
00:45:47
I somehow
00:45:49
everything can be, but in the logic of just a
00:45:53
Western man, or rather a
00:45:56
Western man, after all, the civilizations I
00:45:59
consider myself to be, I’m not an Eastern person, they say
00:46:03
the East does subtle things, but I I don’t see any
00:46:06
options here for China to go ahead and
00:46:10
provide that
00:46:12
massive military assistance to Russia like
00:46:15
Lend Lisa, which is desperately needed.
00:46:19
Therefore, we will monitor the results of
00:46:22
Lukashenko’s visit. And then what will
00:46:26
happen to the Russian Federation.
00:46:31
And the last thing I would like to say
00:46:33
is that it
00:46:35
is noticeable, very noticeable now that China
00:46:38
susceptible to flattery,
00:46:40
he is very
00:46:44
responsive to any positive assessment of
00:46:47
his plan.
00:46:50
Therefore, I think that it would be very good.
00:46:54
By the way, Zelensky has
00:46:56
already expressed interest in
00:46:59
meeting with his comrade and said that there is
00:47:03
something in this plan
00:47:05
and I think that there is everything, everything has
00:47:11
a meaning, a deep meaning in so that this
00:47:14
meeting takes place But even before
00:47:17
it takes place it is necessary now
00:47:20
to secure a place to make some kind of
00:47:23
serious statement, let’s say I would, well,
00:47:26
let’s dream up, of course,
00:47:28
to make some kind of serious statement on
00:47:32
behalf of This should be an institute, too, not
00:47:35
rokhami I should do this and the institution of
00:47:37
which is the Ministry of Foreign
00:47:40
Affairs to make a statement that the
00:47:42
Chinese plan has very
00:47:46
deep
00:47:49
provisions that deserve the closest attention; these
00:47:52
proposals relate to the
00:47:55
need to
00:47:57
implement the charter and principles of the
00:48:00
United Nations and, above
00:48:04
all, such a principle as the non-use of
00:48:06
force in international relations and
00:48:10
territorial integrity because
00:48:14
they analyzed this Chinese plan or non-
00:48:17
planopositional paper this document There
00:48:21
this
00:48:22
territorial integrity
00:48:25
in one sentence is buried in 12 points
00:48:30
in 12 large paragraphs and further in not a
00:48:34
single Chinese means
00:48:37
Chinese article in the
00:48:40
media close to the CCP not in
00:48:44
Chinese articles which
00:48:47
state Russia's position there or
00:48:50
Belarus does not mention this principle anywhere,
00:48:55
so the point is to say that what is more
00:48:59
interesting is the greatest interest
00:49:01
is the commitment to
00:49:05
cooperation, equality of rights
00:49:07
blah blah blah blah including the most important
00:49:09
principles of non-use of force
00:49:11
international relations and
00:49:13
territorial integrity and stake out
00:49:16
this and this will put China in a stand, that is,
00:49:20
they are now they appeal to everything that is not
00:49:23
the Western world, feeding on imagining a
00:49:26
peace-loving country, so we need to beat this
00:49:39
one. Guys, you said peace, so let’s talk about it and then we will talk about the golden America, but it’s different there. Let’s talk about peace
00:49:41
based on the charter. I think that The Chinese
00:49:46
should fall for this business
00:49:49
and if they establish such a Contact,
00:49:52
especially Zelensky, then I can’t imagine
00:49:56
how they will raise their hand to provide
00:49:58
massive military assistance to Russia after this,
00:50:01
that is, they will destroy all these
00:50:04
efforts that they are now making
00:50:06
to create themselves, someone with a bright,
00:50:09
radiant appearance all over the world,
00:50:13
dear friends, let me end my
00:50:15
video today as always. Glory to
00:50:19
Ukraine, its armed forces, the enemy will be
00:50:22
defeated
00:50:24
and you, dear friends,
00:50:27
have courage, health and confidence
00:50:32
that we will win. See you soon

Description:

00:00 Вступление 03:23 Путин не воспользовался ситуацией, и окно возможностей закрывается. Это свидетельствует о печальном состоянии ВС рф, что предвещает ее поражение в весенне-летней кампании. 04:39 Психологическая, информационная, пропагандистская борьба между Китаем и США. Insider: россия отвергает мирный план Китая в отношении войны в Украине. 06:57 China Daily сообщила, что рф приветствует мирный план Китая. 09:42 China Daily: Майкл Маккол сообщил, что США могут отправить Украине более современные системы вооружений большей дальности и даже истребители. 10:31 Global Times призвал США прекратить распространение дезинформации о военной помощи Китаем россии. 13:07 МИД Китая призвал США прекратить распространение дезинформации и отменить санкции против китайских компаний. 13:30 США раздувают шумиху вокруг поставки летального оружия Китаем в рф, чтобы оказать давление на Китай и принудить начать оправдываться и найти козла отпущение. 15:31 The Epoch Times: представители республиканской партии обвиняют Китай в дезинформации. Ряд СМИ США опубликовали статьи официальных представителей Китая в США. КПК не заслуживает доверия. 19:56 Борьба на экономическом фронте. За полгода США отказали 30% лицензиям китайцев на экспорт в Китай товаров высоких технологий. 650 китайских компаний были внесены в черный список. Китай просит США отменить санкции. 23:52 Статья Global Times с критикой посла США в Пекине Николаса Бернса и грозит его высылкой из страны, как и его предшественника. 25:43 Китайские намерения восстановить отношения с США и ЕС рухнули со сбитым зондом. 27:12 Визит Лукашенко в Китай и его тезисы. 30:07 Китайско-белорусские и китайско-российские отношения строятся не на основе конфронтации, отказа от союза и альянсов, направленных против любой третьей страны. Это посылает миру четкий сигнал, что Китай развивает отношения с партнерами на основе принципов ООН. 32:23 СМИ Китая: Китай приветствует участившиеся контакты с другими странами. Если прекратится сотрудничество с Германией, это обойдется ей потерей 1% ВВП. Китай потеряет последний источник высоких технологий. 34:54 Визит Лукашенко может решать вопрос для использования Беларуси для передачи оружия рф. 35:55 Визит Лукашенко совпал с анонсом, что белорусский ВПК организует производство дронов. 36:58 Аналитики США высказывают скепсис. Что россия способна на дополнительную масштабную мобилизацию. Заявления рф о неисчерпаемом мобилизационном ресурсе не соответствуют действительности. 38:53 У рф тяжелое положение с артиллерией: снаряды на исходе, производство не успевает, проблемы с порохом. Россия обречена на неуспех в предстоящей военной кампании. Чтобы удержаться, рф необходима массированная военная помощь, поэтому визит вызывает особое внимание. 43:10 Итоги: демографические проблемы в рф, отсутствие возможностей мобилизации, трудности в военной техники и артиллерии, вся надежда рф на массированную военную помощь Китая. 43:57 Китай разыгрывает путина как шестерку в игре с США. Китаю нужны нормальные экономические отношения с США и ЕС. Для Китая главное – информационно-пропагандистская война в мировом масштабе. Военная помощь Китая рф нелогична. 46:31 Китай падок на лесть. Есть смысл в идее Зеленского встретиться с Си. МИД Украины должен сделать заявление о том, что в мирном плане Китая есть важные положения о необходимости выполнения принципов устава ООН неприменения силы и территориальной целостности.

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