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Subtitles
Russian
00:00:01
as always, I’m Olesya Medvedeva, and00:00:03
right now we’ll sum up the00:00:06
passing day, let’s talk about what00:00:08
happened today, Friday, August 18th And let00:00:13
’s start the situation at the front, firstly, the00:00:15
battles for the village continue, work on the very00:00:19
same village for which the fighting has actually00:00:21
been going on since the very beginning of the Ukrainian00:00:24
counter-offensive, that is, since June in general00:00:27
in this direction you are planning to00:00:30
go out to the current And then it’s Melitopol To00:00:35
which the work is 75 km from the village, many00:00:40
Russian publics00:00:42
have written since yesterday that the Ukrainian military is already in the00:00:47
north of this village However, the00:00:49
representative of the administration of the00:00:53
Zaporozhye region, Rogov, appointed by the Russians, says that00:00:55
there are no heights there, they have not yet reached00:00:59
somewhere on the outskirts, but not in the00:01:03
village itself, let me remind you that literally we00:01:06
recently discussed the Western media are writing about00:01:10
what they have already brought into battle, let’s say so those00:01:14
reserves that are almost00:01:17
combat-ready and armed with00:01:21
border challengers and other armored vehicles,00:01:25
strikers, and military public00:01:28
observers suggest that even if00:01:30
these brigades that were now leading into battle00:01:35
run out of, let’s say, forces and resources, the00:01:38
counter-offensive is unlikely to stop00:01:40
since the Ukrainian military00:01:42
command operates on the principle of a00:01:45
carousel while one combat-ready00:01:48
brigade is at war, the others are00:01:50
restored and fully staffed, and00:01:54
in all likelihood, this00:01:56
ensures the continuity of both and,00:01:59
accordingly, the retardation of00:02:01
enemy forces, and given that the tactics of the Armed Forces00:02:04
now are such that they attack in small00:02:07
groups that are difficult to destroy from the00:02:11
air and artillery, then this is in in principle, it00:02:14
can continue for quite a long00:02:17
time. The downside of this tactic,00:02:19
as they say to Vysu, is the softening of the00:02:23
Russian defense is the absence of00:02:26
any major breakthroughs and slow00:02:30
progress, and given that it will be warm and dry for00:02:33
about another month and a half, then of00:02:36
course the question is what results00:02:39
will the Ukrainian military be able to achieve with such tactics00:02:42
in During the course of this counter-offensive00:02:44
In addition, of course, when using00:02:47
such tactics there are also significant00:02:51
losses. How are you in strength and in technology,00:02:54
the build writes that during the capture of the00:02:57
Staromayorsky ledge alone for a while,00:02:59
Ukraine lost 31 units of00:03:02
equipment, including 2300:03:05
armored personnel carriers with00:03:07
mine protection transferred by NATO countries defending such an outcome of the battle,00:03:10
as the publication considers, is a success for00:03:13
Russia, the newspaper writes Moscow’s strategy00:03:16
is to destroy as00:03:18
many Western armored vehicles and00:03:20
armored vehicles of the advancing Ukrainian00:03:22
troops as possible. Russia knows that Ukraine has00:03:25
much bigger problems than the Russian00:03:27
Federation with the replacement and repair of equipment.00:03:29
We go further and Western buildings continue00:03:32
to publish their arguments on the topic00:03:34
of what the results and00:03:37
prospects of this counteroffensive are in general, and so here is the00:03:41
Washington Post. Essentially answering our own00:03:45
question, salts vysu00:03:48
liberate00:03:50
key cities of the south during this counteroffensive. Most likely not,00:03:54
citing US intelligence data,00:03:55
journalists write that Ukraine this year00:03:57
will not be able to reach Klyuche in the body of its00:04:00
counter-offensive in the south to reach00:04:03
Melitopol, the grim assessment is based on00:04:06
Russia's tough defense skills,00:04:10
the publication writes, adding that the defense of the00:04:12
Russian Federation has exceeded all00:04:14
expectations. Melitopol is considered the gateway to00:04:17
Crimea since it is a key00:04:18
transport hub of the land corridor00:04:21
to peninsula, at the same time, experts00:04:23
interviewed by the Washington Post still00:04:26
question the capture of not only Melitopol,00:04:28
but also the much closer Mak,00:04:31
which we spoke to you at the very00:04:33
beginning of the video, the publication also writes that00:04:35
Kiev recently sent00:04:37
additional reserves to the front, including00:04:39
Challenger tanks and Stryker infantry fighting vehicles, but also did not00:04:42
break through the first line of defense of the Russian00:04:43
Federation, the US authorities are00:04:45
recommending that Kiev concentrate all its00:04:47
forces in one area and make a00:04:50
breakthrough there, but Ukraine, as they write, chose a00:04:53
different strategy of small assaults in00:04:56
different areas. Why By the way, they00:04:59
chose this strategy, we have00:05:01
already discussed Washington several times00:05:04
the post describes an extremely interesting point00:05:06
that congressmen, at closed meetings,00:05:10
got acquainted with the prospects for a Ukrainian00:05:13
counter-offensive, this data00:05:16
was apparently provided to them by intelligence, and00:05:19
now some Republicans are saying00:05:21
that there is no point in allocating to Ukraine the00:05:24
more than $20 billion requested by Biden,00:05:27
and other00:05:28
congressmen from both parties criticize the00:05:31
White House that he had not previously sent00:05:34
more powerful weapons, which in00:05:37
their opinion caused problems with the offensive; at the00:05:39
same time, Ukrainian military experts00:05:41
who are close to the banking sector say that even00:05:44
if you don’t take00:05:47
Melitopol, but anyway, the situation in00:05:50
Russia will still worsen because they it doesn’t matter00:05:53
if these cities somehow00:05:54
get closer then the land corridor to00:05:58
Crimea will still be under threat;00:06:12
30-2500:06:16
kilometers and they are working in the north for that is00:06:20
75 kilometers. Well, also in the media, and00:06:25
this is basically logical, there is an opinion that00:06:28
while Ukraine is trying to counter-offensive in00:06:33
this direction, we are now talking about the00:06:35
Zaporozhye region, so make Melitopol,00:06:37
the Russians will constantly build00:06:40
new ones there line of defense and strengthening,00:06:42
it is likely that understanding of this and causes00:06:45
rather pessimistic, to00:06:48
put it mildly, assessments of the counter-offensive in00:06:51
the West; also in the Western media, there have been quite a00:06:56
lot of cool,00:06:59
so to speak, articles regarding00:07:01
mobilization in Ukraine lately. You and I have00:07:03
already discussed in one of the final00:07:05
issues that in the last Somehow, a00:07:07
lot of articles began to be published on the topic of00:07:09
the fact that in the first days of the war there were00:07:13
a lot of Volunteers who went to00:07:16
the front. And now there are somehow much fewer of them,00:07:19
so the Ukrainian authorities are arranging00:07:23
shuffles, let’s say, in the military registration and enlistment offices and are00:07:27
tightening and suppressing schemes for the departure of00:07:31
men from All of Ukraine This is most likely00:07:35
connected, of course, with the counter-offensive and with00:07:39
the fact that both it and the war are, in principle,00:07:42
dragging on, and here it becomes, in principle,00:07:44
clear why the Western media have been00:07:47
quite actively writing lately. I have already said several times before that00:07:49
Ukrainian men are not particularly eager to go to00:07:53
the front.00:07:55
that the outcome of the counter-offensive and the war in00:07:58
general, and00:07:59
any sensible Expert00:08:02
will say the same about this, depends on the number of00:08:05
reserves that Kiev and Moscow have time to set up and00:08:09
prepare, and if the00:08:12
mobilization plan in Ukraine is thwarted,00:08:16
then the West will logically face the question:00:08:19
Can the Vysus accomplish their tasks? taking00:08:23
into account the fact that enormous Western investments were made in this whole matter and in00:08:26
the preparation of the counter-offensive,00:08:29
and00:08:32
this also explains the00:08:35
information hyperactivity of the00:08:36
Ukrainian authorities regarding the00:08:39
resolution of decisions of these corruption00:08:42
scandals associated with military registration and enlistment offices, and00:08:45
also, as they promised, the00:08:48
popularization of clarification of data in00:08:51
territorial recruitment centers went And00:08:53
in general, the popularization of the service. And in general,00:08:57
this advertising campaign is not only about00:09:00
information policy in general and less so in00:09:05
terms of the fact that now the Ukrainian authorities are not00:09:09
saying that very soon we will be in00:09:11
Crimea, we will be eating rapanov with sand, they are00:09:15
now saying that the war will last for a long time, everyone00:09:18
must make efforts to ensure that00:09:22
Ukraine wins But we00:09:25
will talk about this I think tomorrow in a separate00:09:27
issue now we will return to the reserves in00:09:30
order to understand try to00:09:33
understand how many of them the Russians have Let's00:09:35
First see how many of them are fighting00:09:37
now in Ukraine just the other day00:09:39
Moscow mayor Sergei Sobyanin said00:09:42
that 45 thousand Muscovites are fighting in Ukraine,00:09:45
if this figure is reliable and it00:09:48
really is so, then based on data from00:09:52
Rosstat, in principle, you can try00:09:55
to calculate how many Russians are now00:09:59
in Ukraine. Let's try, according to00:10:01
Rosstat, the population of Moscow is00:10:03
almost 9 percent of the total Russian00:10:07
13 million people If we proceed from00:10:11
the fact that 45 thousand Muscovites make up the00:10:14
same 9 percent and in the army, then00:10:17
it turns out that then the number of00:10:19
groups of the Russian Federation fighting00:10:22
in Ukraine will be about 50000:10:25
thousand military. But by the way, according to00:10:27
widespread opinion, the00:10:30
percentage of Muscovites who were called up and mobilized is00:10:33
smaller therefore the00:10:37
real number of Russian troops in00:10:40
Ukraine may be even greater than the estimates of00:10:43
the command in ISU, which were announced in the00:10:45
spring of this year, 360 thousand Russians fought in Ukraine00:10:51
in early January, the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate00:10:54
Kirill Budanov said that00:10:56
32600:10:59
thousand Russians are fighting in Ukraine and then added that00:11:01
Russia is sending to Ukraine approximately00:11:04
20 thousand recruits per month, if these00:11:08
data are correct, then it turns out that at the beginning00:11:11
of the year,00:11:12
the group of Russians in Ukraine without taking into account00:11:15
the loss has increased by at least 120 thousand00:11:19
people, if the current rate of recruitment of00:11:21
contract soldiers in Russia is maintained, then by00:11:24
next spring, if you count like that,00:11:28
they may still arrive in Ukraine 160, that is, 18000:11:32
thousand in Russia, they claim that the pace is00:11:35
actually even higher;00:11:39
about 40 thousand people sign a contract per00:11:42
month, according to the Minister of Defense of00:11:44
the Russian Federation Shoigu. As for the00:11:46
number of Ukrainian Forces, they are00:11:50
estimated at a million, while00:11:53
as Sniper said in an interview with Romanenko00:11:55
who was called Konstantin00:11:57
Proshinsky, but as I already said, this is00:12:00
actually not his name. Now00:12:03
300 thousand people are fighting on the front line, 30000:12:08
thousand Ukrainian military. That is,00:12:11
it turns out that at the front now the00:12:13
Ukrainian army does not have a numerical superiority in00:12:16
manpower; it turns out that the fate of the00:12:19
war if it does not will end before00:12:23
2024, will decide mobilization in Ukraine Well, it00:12:29
is possible that another wave of mobilization00:12:32
can be carried out in Russia in order to sharply00:12:35
increase its superiority in the number of00:12:37
personnel, rumors about a New wave of00:12:40
mobilization in Russia are constantly circulating, but00:12:43
so far Moscow has denied them, but I remember00:12:47
last year in September there was a partial00:12:51
mobilization, as it was called in Russia, and00:12:53
before that, there was also active information00:12:57
that mobilization would be partly denied,00:13:01
but in June, when Vladimir Putin00:13:03
commented on this issue, he said that00:13:05
there would be mobilization in Russia or not. It would00:13:09
depend on the goals that Russia would set00:13:14
for itself. this is not all in this war.00:13:17
Let's move on. The United States approved the00:13:19
sending of f-16 fighters to Ukraine,00:13:23
as well as from the Netherlands, as soon as00:13:25
pilot training is completed,00:13:28
this was first reported yesterday by00:13:30
Reuters and then this information00:13:32
was confirmed in the White House in a letter, damn it, on00:13:36
two official persons of which00:13:38
the agency has a copy says I am writing to00:13:40
express the full support of the United00:13:42
States both in the transfer of00:13:44
F-16 fighters to Ukraine and in the training of00:13:46
Ukrainian pilots by qualified00:13:48
F-16 instructors, he also said that00:13:51
Ukraine will be able to00:13:53
take full advantage of its new00:13:54
capabilities as soon as the first group the00:13:56
pilots will complete training. It would be fine until the00:14:00
Dutch media write that all this will00:14:04
happen no earlier than in a year.00:14:08
However, the fact that the United States00:14:11
approved the supply of these00:14:14
f-16 fighters to Ukraine is still significant,00:14:17
since they previously said that this00:14:19
issue is still being discussed, that we will think about it00:14:22
later They said that Yes, it seems like yes, but there00:14:27
were no specific actions on this matter here. As we see, they are there,00:14:30
but still these fighters will not be00:14:34
in Ukraine earlier than in a year. So00:14:36
who knows what will happen this year,00:14:39
maybe tomorrow, in this way Russia is hinting00:14:41
that maybe you will you go to00:14:45
negotiations or maybe it’s time to end the war00:14:48
already, otherwise00:14:50
new weapons of a completely different00:14:53
level will arrive in Ukraine. But again, in order to00:14:56
achieve air superiority, this is00:14:59
the number of f-16 fighters that should00:15:02
actually be delivered to Ukraine and00:15:05
where they will take off from so far, of00:15:08
course, there are actually many more questions than00:15:10
answers, this is the situation, my dear00:15:13
friends, so far everything00:15:15
has been with you as always, I am Olesya Medvedeva and00:15:18
we will see you again very soon. Don’t00:15:22
forget to subscribe to our channels on00:15:24
YouTube, I’ll remind you We have two of them and both of them are00:15:26
blocked for viewing on the00:15:28
territory of Ukraine, you can watch them00:15:30
via VPN by also changing the country in00:15:34
your account settings. It’s clear00:15:37
country.ua And also our telegram channel, the00:15:41
politics of the country and my telegram channel00:15:43
Olesya Medvedev where I publish all the00:15:45
links and, if possible, more and I upload00:15:48
videos of each final episode and more.00:15:53
That’s the story So farDescription:
Новый канал Ясно.Понятно https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3NIXEv1uIetZcWTcJAjz9w Официальное спонсорство канала тут: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCDuSNexflm9nFKXLeMlqN2Q/join Сайт: https://strana.news/ Зеркало сайта: https://strana.best/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Twitter: @stranaua Instagram: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Telegram: https://telegram.me/stranaua e-mail: [email protected] _________________________________________________________________ Страна.ua – интернет-газета о жизни простых и непростых людей в Украине и за ее пределами. Мы выбираем из всего массива информации ту, которая действительно важна. Пытаемся не только пересказать факты, но и понять суть событий. Мы следим за властью, осуществляя экспертизу ее деятельности. Мы ценим и развиваем журналистику высокого жанра – репортажи, расследования, истории. Главный редактор интернет-газеты "Страна.ua" Игорь Гужва
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