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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:02
always encourage you to watch00:00:04
YouTube live, leave your comments,00:00:06
leave your questions, and00:00:09
especially in today's conversation, because00:00:11
I finally got00:00:14
Oleksandr Musienko, the head of the00:00:15
Center for Military Legal Studies, on the air on YouTube00:00:17
Greetings Greetings00:00:19
Just today we can really have a00:00:21
conversation that will not be interrupted And for00:00:24
quite a long time I will be able to ask you00:00:26
questions in fact this week00:00:29
there have been very similar events and00:00:31
statements I want to talk about how they00:00:33
will affect the00:00:36
course of the situation at the front this week00:00:40
was unexpected Biden's visit is00:00:42
quite powerful and symbolic. His00:00:44
statements, which, in my opinion, have00:00:49
already convinced the world that00:00:53
not only Ukraine must win, but that00:00:56
Russia must be defeated is extremely00:00:58
important, because it seems to me that00:01:00
such a psychological breakdown has occurred, at least the00:01:02
United States has already pushed in addition to00:01:03
his doubting all the so-called00:01:05
partners who, in principle, have always said00:01:07
that it is possible to save, but it is00:01:09
possible to allow Putin to crush Russia, that it is already00:01:11
possible, the clearly formed vision of the00:01:14
majority of the world, the majority of our Western00:01:17
partners is that Russia must be00:01:19
defeated, and that is why I hope and believe in the fact00:01:23
that this will just call for such a00:01:26
quick dynamic provision of all weapons, yes,00:01:29
not only where the tanks are, we have already00:01:31
won, and in their receipt, not only00:01:33
the planes, which I am convinced, we will also00:01:35
receive it, but already there it is a matter of00:01:37
time to teach the service everything another And the00:01:40
dynamic and permanent provision of these00:01:42
weapons is all necessary, and all the shells and00:01:44
mortars and all the anti-terrorist, that is, the whole00:01:47
complex, which is necessary in00:01:49
order to speed up our victory and00:01:52
directly the defeat of Russia, for00:01:55
which the world already understands that it must00:01:57
take place. So I I see the situation, can you00:02:00
please detail what this visit means,00:02:02
his statement and directly the meeting in00:02:05
Poland, we know that he met with00:02:07
everyone, they talked about supporting and providing00:02:09
weapons to Ukraine,00:02:11
in fact,00:02:13
and it has a symbolic, political and00:02:18
practical nature. Well, the symbolic should00:02:20
start with the fact that on February 20 The Day of Remembrance of the00:02:23
Heroes of the Heavenly Hundred And the countdown to the beginning of00:02:26
Russian aggression against Ukraine, we00:02:28
consider February 20, 2014 to be this day from the00:02:32
events that began on the Maidan, then a00:02:34
few days later, Crimea and then everything that00:02:36
happened in the East, everything that happened since00:02:39
then. That is, it is symbolic from her point of view00:02:41
that it is not only a year since a full-scale00:02:44
war, Kyiv is standing. And the fact that Ukraine has not00:02:47
fallen over these years and Ukraine is being established is00:02:50
still developing with all the00:02:53
pros and cons, but the00:02:56
desire to develop as a democratic00:02:59
European state and not to move in the direction00:03:01
This is important for Russia, and the second point is00:03:04
that President Biden came on his own.00:03:06
I am sure that his security service00:03:09
told him quite often that he should not00:03:11
do this. I am almost convinced that he00:03:13
decided on this visit, in this way he00:03:16
is sending a signal to Putin and the Kremlin as well00:03:18
what are you looking at but you wanted to invade from00:03:21
Kyiv very quickly remember a year ago What00:03:23
was the situation on the eve of these days,00:03:25
President Biden went to a00:03:27
press conference more than once and spoke about the fact that00:03:30
Putin had made a decision to attack Ukraine00:03:33
and only he spoke about it affirmatively00:03:36
i.e. And now he says And now I have arrived00:03:39
in Kyiv, you see how things are now. That is, this is the00:03:43
next moment, it is still certain, you00:03:46
know, the confidence in what is now,00:03:49
why. Because a year ago, the situation00:03:52
was different, when we left for Lviv00:03:56
in the west Poland and so on00:03:59
were still nervous among our Western00:04:01
partners, now the00:04:03
Minister of Foreign Affairs of Israel came to the Koin hotel,00:04:05
opened the embassy, resumed the work of the00:04:07
Israeli embassy, President00:04:09
Biden came, this shows that00:04:11
at least confidence in the capabilities of the00:04:14
Ukrainian air00:04:16
defense system has grown, that is, there is an understanding00:04:19
that Despite the war, it is safe to come to Kyiv now. At the same time,00:04:22
I want to00:04:24
remind you that this is, in principle, not the only00:04:26
such case when the president of the United00:04:28
States goes to fight a country on the territory of00:04:31
Ukraine where there are no American troops,00:04:33
because all the00:04:37
recent cases where the president went there Bus00:04:39
Jr. went to Iraq or when Barack00:04:41
Obama went to Afghanistan to visit his troops.00:04:43
They went to military bases, that is, to the00:04:46
bases where the American military is present.00:04:57
they felt that they were00:05:00
under the cover of their own military00:05:03
protections, the situation is different, there are00:05:05
no American troops on the territory of00:05:07
Ukraine, well, they were accompanied, of course, by the00:05:09
special services there, security and so on, but it’s00:05:11
not presence, and that’s what matters. It’s00:05:14
symbolic, political. This is the kind of support00:05:16
and confidence in Ukraine, practically00:05:19
I think that the first two points are that Of00:05:24
course we Where we were not present At00:05:27
the negotiations that were held by presidents00:05:29
Biden and Zelensky and at the teams that00:05:31
came00:05:33
Biden is a person from this trip who can be00:05:37
singled out accompanied by Jake Sally,00:05:39
they are a national00:05:40
security adviser who is definitely in the topic of the Ukrainian00:05:43
issue, as I think, as does Secretary of State00:05:46
Antony Blinkin. Well, these are people who are very00:05:48
deep in the subject, and this is what00:05:52
they talked about there, when they made a veil, then00:05:54
they said something about what they talked about, about the00:05:57
next plans, how the course of the war will develop and you, the00:05:59
next few months, what00:06:02
weapons are needed and again they said00:06:04
about the00:06:06
Counteroffensive. By the way, Jake Sullivan, this00:06:09
national security expert,00:06:10
he lived this phrase, he said that00:06:14
we must give Ukraine everything it00:06:18
needs in order to win back the00:06:20
territories that were occupied by Russian00:06:23
troops during 11 previous months,00:06:25
that is, he hinted at the borders on February 23,00:06:29
by the way, this is a discourse that arises there from time to time,00:06:32
but00:06:34
then there was a practical level in that the00:06:37
American president announced an00:06:39
aid package that may disappoint someone in00:06:42
the sense that planes did not enter there. I00:06:44
myself really want Ukraine has received00:06:46
aircraft, but it has, you know, such an00:06:49
operational character, that is, it is definitely00:06:51
necessary for our repairs, for our00:06:54
fighters, projectiles, mines, rockets00:06:58
for Heimers, this is all that is00:07:01
used in large quantities00:07:02
now in the east every day, and this is what needs to be00:07:04
replenished, so from this point of view, this It is00:07:07
quite an important package and it is quite an00:07:09
important reinforcement. But of course I00:07:12
want to tell you that somewhere to the last I am00:07:14
thinking inside that the President of the00:07:17
United States may not be in Kyiv, but00:07:19
in Warsaw they will announce that they and00:07:22
Poland have reached an agreement to provide Ukraine with00:07:23
airplanes, but not yet happened I believe00:07:26
that it will happen in the future but00:07:29
in the end the situation is in this sense In00:07:31
support of the West and the United States it is00:07:34
going well for us, we just need to00:07:37
understand our partners why they are talking00:07:40
about time and why they are talking about00:07:42
Counteroffensive This does not mean that they are saying00:07:43
go Prestige there because two of course,00:07:47
they also say get ready for weapons,00:07:50
but be ready,00:07:52
I will tell you where you are from, where it00:07:54
came from, this can be said frankly, where do00:07:56
they get these concerns from, they00:07:58
are careful that we do not use a large00:08:01
number of reserves in the east, these are00:08:05
our warnings the partners are worried that we can00:08:07
now use the reserves that we will00:08:10
need for the counteroffensive, we will not00:08:12
have time to prepare these reserves quickly,00:08:14
that is, to be ready there at the00:08:16
end of spring for the summer, and this will stretch00:08:19
the situation, it will turn into an opposition00:08:21
war, this is what they00:08:24
are worried about, and this their warning, but00:08:27
they always say that it is up to Ukraine to decide00:08:29
anyway. That is, you do not understand this, it is not00:08:32
some kind of00:08:33
axiom that this is the only way, I told them.00:08:42
I will say,00:08:44
but all the same, the decisions are under our00:08:46
command, that is why the declarations began, plus I will00:08:49
tell you another point, why the declarations are so00:08:51
active, because, well, when the00:08:54
Secretary of Defense of the United States, during a conference00:08:57
in Brussels, said that it is necessary to00:08:59
speed up the offensive and start it in the spring,00:09:02
why is it being done first this is the confidence00:09:05
that Ukraine is strong enough and the West00:09:08
will help repel the enemy's offensive, this00:09:11
information is broadcast there, it's all on Russia,00:09:13
secondly. We are so confident that we are00:09:16
even ready to say the period when the Ukrainian00:09:18
army will be ready for a counteroffensive, what are the00:09:21
conclusions from this?00:09:27
burn them, that is, it is also a00:09:29
competition of reserves, a competition of forces, a competition of00:09:31
sweat plus a calculation that the Russian00:09:34
army will be even more wrong because00:09:37
they are advancing more and more, which means that the00:09:39
Ukrainian troops will be able to00:09:41
take advantage of certain moments locally and00:09:43
go into counterattacks and thus also00:09:46
inflict enemy damage, i.e. here are these00:09:48
calculations, they are actually a plus, there is a00:09:51
political moment, you see that against the background of the00:09:54
growth of nuclear hysteria predicted by the00:09:57
Kremlin from Putin, the moment is very much included,00:10:00
here is this Factor for those00:10:02
doubters and those who spoke in general00:10:06
in the West against providing weapons to Ukraine. We00:10:08
cannot say that there are no such at all00:10:10
fortunately for us, there are not many of them, but00:10:13
the more Putin does nuclear intimidation and00:10:15
rhetoric, the more these people are00:10:17
either just ideological pro-Russian00:10:21
elements or useful idiots, they00:10:24
have more and more grounds to say00:10:26
that Ukraine's weapons should not be00:10:29
given And by the way, the position in the United00:10:32
States, there is also a small number in the00:10:35
senate, but they are00:10:36
Republicans or in the congress who00:10:38
support a slightly different approach, so it00:10:41
seems to me that it is quite important why they00:10:44
tell us about this, because they understand that00:10:46
the situation can change, despite the fact that00:10:48
now the West is with us, they declare their00:10:50
support but we know that this is a big00:10:54
plus of democracy, in general, democracy is00:10:56
always better than autocracy, but they have a00:10:58
certain minus, that sometimes00:11:01
the Power can change, approaches change, and so, for now,00:11:04
this is the composition, while Biden is in00:11:06
office, while this administration is still00:11:09
consolidated, they are trying to make the most00:11:12
of it, and we We are also interested in getting the00:11:14
maximum out of this. Airplanes and00:11:16
tanks and all the weapons that we need00:11:18
using this moment to00:11:20
confirm your00:11:23
words.00:11:32
means that there is tomorrow the day after tomorrow Go00:11:33
to the Counteroffensive The White House also advises00:11:36
Zelenskyi's team, according to many00:11:37
officials, to prepare for the offensive00:11:39
now, since weapons and aid from00:11:42
Washington are coming to Europe without00:11:43
hindrance, fearing that support from00:11:46
Ukraine's European neighbors may00:11:49
be limited Well, actually, it could00:11:53
consolidate your gains, that is, in fact,00:11:54
it coincides with this analysis of the situation,00:11:57
prepare now, and I am also drawing00:12:00
attention to the statements of our partners,00:12:04
namely the Minister of Foreign Affairs of00:12:05
Germany, Alena Berbuku, she literally00:12:08
said on that day that the following days00:12:09
would be decisive both for the course of00:12:11
the war in Ukraine and and in general for the00:12:14
further development of the world, and yes, at the00:12:17
same time, she noted that last year all the00:12:19
partners in the EU and NATO worked on00:12:21
strengthening their own defense capabilities, this is00:12:24
such a statement, it is, so to speak,00:12:26
political, provoked by the fact that the00:12:29
anniversary of the full-scale invasion is00:12:32
February 24, does she have any there is another00:12:35
basis that cannot be deciphered, which00:12:37
means that these next days will00:12:39
be decisive for Ukraine and for the00:12:41
world.00:12:42
I think that this should mean00:12:46
that we are speaking from the point of view of the00:12:48
soldiers, this is the situation on the battlefield. Well, it is00:12:51
actually difficult in the east now, there are00:12:53
fierce battles But at the same time, it is00:12:58
also impossible to say that Russia has now achieved some success, that is, in this sense.00:13:00
Well, it is also possible to say that they are now in the East,00:13:02
everything has fallen on our front and they have left, so00:13:06
they are raising forces. So they will be00:13:08
bringing reinforcements, this is all predicted,00:13:10
that is clear. Well, but00:13:14
They are still not able to achieve any breakthroughs, breakthrough successes there right now.00:13:17
That is, the00:13:19
fighting is ongoing, perhaps it is meant that00:13:23
a lot depends on how things will00:13:25
develop there, and with this offensive we will have00:13:28
Russia have some tactical or00:13:30
operational successes, or won't they too00:13:33
they are analyzing and thinking about it, well, of00:13:36
course we believe and hope that it will not00:13:37
happen, they are evaluating all the options that00:13:40
may be the next moment, again,00:13:44
this is a turning point that should take place with the stoppage of the00:13:46
offensive of Russian whiskey, the capabilities of00:13:49
Ukraine to go to the Counteroffensive, one more00:13:53
moment that they still cannot talk about and00:13:56
let it be made public We do not00:13:59
fully know00:14:00
and perhaps not everything is reported about what the00:14:03
intelligence services of these countries inform their00:14:06
leaders and their politicians who then00:14:10
encourage them to do These are such statements, you know00:14:12
that fate will depend, they said everything without00:14:15
specifying And what do you think you00:14:17
want next you should be scared, panic there,00:14:20
think about it. Well, you understand. That is, it is also00:14:23
such a position. They know and00:14:25
understand that Putin may be preparing00:14:28
some kind of trouble there, an escalation, and so00:14:30
on, although we understand and are ready for a00:14:33
lot of things from various scenarios of00:14:35
the development of events. Well, you know something about this it is so00:14:38
easy to00:14:40
incite this wave, realizing00:14:43
that on the one hand this wave is not, by the way,00:14:46
It is not completely without purpose, that is, it00:14:50
cannot be said that it has no reason behind it,00:14:52
because Well, we heard00:14:54
Putin's speech. Well, what did he say, we will00:14:57
fight, we will mobilize the economy on the military00:15:00
tracks, that means the mobilization will continue, let00:15:03
everyone understand, let's go die00:15:06
for the Motherland, there, for me, and so on,00:15:07
that is, he has not declared any intentions that00:15:11
I will withdraw the troops, stop the00:15:13
aggression, everyone understands this and is preparing for00:15:16
it, so I think that with these statements and the00:15:19
related ones that are heard. In fact,00:15:22
what Putin said there, where he addressed the00:15:25
federal assembly, and what he00:15:27
responded to was education, because all the latest.00:15:28
It is absolutely absurd that the West is at war with00:15:31
Russia, that Russia will not win on the00:15:34
battlefield and so on. Well, I say it's absolutely00:15:36
absurd, apathetic and apathetic and no00:15:40
different from the Soviet Union, and finally,00:15:43
he appeared, as always, he began to00:15:45
use nuclear blackmail, because00:15:48
when there is absolutely no Victory, he always gets00:15:51
this very card and he said that00:15:53
Russia suspends participation in the treaty on00:15:57
nuclear weapons, it is actually about strategic00:16:00
offensive weapons. That's what it's called00:16:01
officially, well, they reacted directly in the00:16:05
White House, they also reacted. And she said that it's00:16:08
irresponsible, but what00:16:11
risks and consequences can it bring. I'm not talking about the fact that00:16:13
it concerns nuclear weapons, but because00:16:16
I it seems that in principle, the00:16:17
point has already been set to a certain extent when00:16:19
they gathered. And the whole world and China also00:16:22
said that no no no no Who is now a00:16:24
partner and Russia also00:16:27
calls many questions to him, but00:16:28
they said that nuclear weapons should not be touched, yes,00:16:31
it is obvious that Putin is understood And he knows00:16:34
that there will be an immediate answer. Therefore,00:16:37
no one in the world needs this, but what is00:16:39
being suspended, what is the suspension of participation00:16:41
in this treaty, can it have the00:16:43
consequences of nuclear weapons, can it lead00:16:47
to such a scattering of00:16:49
nuclear potential and lead to00:16:53
nuclear terrorism, exactly what00:16:55
the world is afraid that he will00:16:57
fight,00:16:59
in fact, because these are the predicted00:17:02
steps of Putin, in fact, as soon as00:17:05
something goes wrong in Russia on the battlefield, or as00:17:07
soon as things do not go according to their script, Putin00:17:09
immediately resorts to the threat of blackmail with00:17:12
the use of nuclear weapons, it was00:17:13
before and it is now on the one hand Well,00:17:17
if you can find it to say that it is00:17:19
positive. Yes, when there are threats about00:17:21
nuclear weapons, but for us it is positive. the00:17:35
raw data in order to00:17:37
achieve success at least block the development of00:17:40
these ongoing Russian offensive efforts, which00:17:42
means they are not succeeding, which means00:17:44
they are not so sure that they00:17:47
can achieve precisely by military means in a00:17:50
conventional war, it uses what these00:17:52
troops use in these victories,00:17:55
so it00:17:56
is important to include nuclear blackmail Putin00:17:59
took another step, he took another00:18:02
step. If we passed this stage earlier on00:18:05
September 21, when the partial00:18:08
mobilization in Russia was announced, then there were threats,00:18:10
they were all around Ukraine in one way or00:18:13
another, that Russia can use00:18:15
tactical nuclear weapons, that these are cutters, they00:18:18
grow and then there were statements about a dirty00:18:21
bomb when Kherson was liberated and so on,00:18:23
that is, all00:18:25
around Ukraine,00:18:27
Putin saw that it was not working, that the West was00:18:30
reacting differently, giving tanks, giving weapons and00:18:33
support, and the purpose of all this, which is the00:18:36
main blackmail, first of all, is that the00:18:39
West does not give Ukraine weapons, this is the00:18:41
second priority - it is to sit down with him00:18:43
at the negotiating table and so on. This00:18:45
stage has passed. Now the second stage has passed. He says that00:18:48
yes, well, if they ignore me in the case of Ukraine,00:18:51
I will go to the next stage. I will00:18:55
begin to openly threaten the United00:18:57
States and the West. The agreement was signed00:19:00
bilaterally by the United States of America.00:19:02
They have reached agreements What is this agreement about00:19:05
in general And how was the idea of these00:19:08
agreements formed, which are already there It will soon be up to00:19:12
50 years there, in what way did it succeed in00:19:16
not accumulating a huge number of00:19:19
nuclear arsenals because that, well, in the end, it00:19:21
can lead to catastrophic00:19:23
consequences, the same nuclear, the same Uranium and so00:19:26
on. And why should we cut back? In00:19:29
principle, the world has come to the point that during this00:19:31
time a thousand00:19:33
warheads were cut even more,00:19:36
and this is about trust, that is, when countries00:19:39
understand that there are some contractual00:19:42
obligations, there is monitoring of the situation, and00:19:44
so on. it is somehow calmer now,00:19:47
Putin is once again leveling the level of00:19:49
trust and says He says two00:19:52
things, first,00:19:54
cunningly By the way, Russia is very suspending Russia does not leave the00:19:58
agreement, breaks it,00:20:00
suspends it, although it is doubtful in the00:20:02
agreement itself, there seems to be no such wording00:20:04
there, you either accept it or not and00:20:07
secondly, if this is not enough, he00:20:10
says the next step is we will be ready00:20:12
to conduct nuclear weapons tests,00:20:14
what does this mean, does this mean that the West00:20:18
is ignoring him now, these are the threats00:20:20
of an ultimatum, blackmail continues to00:20:22
support Ukraine, he can conduct00:20:25
nuclear weapons tests somewhere on a new00:20:28
earth, somewhere there, maybe in the sea in the00:20:30
Arctic Ocean does not mean that it is00:20:32
used against anyone to show a00:20:34
picture and throw this picture to the West00:20:38
for precisely those who are00:20:40
against weapons because a nuclear war and00:20:43
start pumping up this situation, and we00:20:46
understand very well that people and politicians00:20:48
in the West are different those who can00:20:50
react that we have to00:20:52
demonstrate something to Putin now, give Ukraine00:20:55
such a number of missiles that they destroy00:20:58
all his military facilities in Crimea,00:20:59
for example as an answer And there are those who can00:21:02
say Well, you know, maybe we need to00:21:05
start negotiations somewhere there, a dialogue after all,00:21:08
the situation is far reaching. And as of00:21:11
today, I have a 100%00:21:12
answer, but what can be the reaction of the00:21:16
institution, whether it is one way or the other, we00:21:18
will see how the events will develop00:21:21
in reality, but for now I see that all the00:21:26
attempts that were made before this nuclear00:21:28
blackmail have ended Nothing for00:21:30
Putin. So far, everything is in our favor00:21:33
and in favor of the measures. Well, we can see that he is00:21:35
also constantly taking steps towards escalation. the00:21:48
same is the task of defeating00:21:52
Russia here on the battlefield, but the question of00:21:54
strategic nuclear deterrence is00:21:57
more of a question for Russia, the United States, and00:22:03
Putin's statement and the driver that there is no need to00:22:07
restrain him, it will be to our advantage,00:22:09
because at one time Yes, it was precisely00:22:12
the nuclear weapons race that led to the00:22:15
activity of the Soviet Union, it00:22:16
led to the collapse of the Soviet Union and the00:22:19
fact that if Putin continues to scan in00:22:21
this direction, and here it can00:22:23
lead, you say that this is precisely the issue of00:22:26
Russia with the United States, it can lead00:22:29
to a faster and more rapid00:22:32
fall of Russia and precisely Putin's regime00:22:35
if he will continue to peddle this00:22:37
issue in the future. I want to return00:22:40
again specifically to the situation at00:22:43
the front. And in fact, it is very difficult there now.00:22:56
they simply advised that it is possible to leave00:22:58
Bakhmut and retreat because there, in00:22:59
particular, Ukraine is suffering extremely large losses.00:23:02
And now the question is whether, while00:23:05
holding Bakhmut, the battle for Bakhmut is00:23:08
now for Vugledar in that direction.00:23:16
I also saw the counterattack today from the00:23:19
other side. Again, today I00:23:21
saw the video appeal of the 93rd00:23:24
brigade, when they say, you understand that00:23:26
we are holding Bakhmut here and not a priest and00:23:28
losses, but we are holding back a huge rush,00:23:31
just a huge rush of these orcs, these00:23:34
rascals of this meat and precisely In this00:23:36
way we enable them not to carry out00:23:40
other maneuvers precisely to prepare for a00:23:42
counteroffensive, here's how to put together these00:23:46
facts.00:23:56
I was convinced that00:23:59
they are creating a trap for us there. What a trap.00:24:02
The fact is that when Kherson was occupied,00:24:04
I will notice that the Russian00:24:07
command was nervous. They00:24:08
warned that the Ukrainian troops would00:24:10
continue to develop their success in the south to00:24:12
Melitopol there, and against the background of these successes, the00:24:15
Russian troops against the background of this00:24:17
retreat, they will have the same moral00:24:19
conditions, they will somewhat00:24:21
concede in this, that is, they immediately began00:24:24
to intensify the fighting where they were going in00:24:26
the east, where it was easier for Russia to do00:24:28
this precisely in the Bakhmut direction, the idea of00:24:31
what is the purpose of drawing Ukrainian troops into in00:24:35
large numbers to the East in order to00:24:37
prevent us from preparing for the Counteroffensive and in00:24:39
order for us to draw up as if a reserve,00:24:42
they are constantly looking for our reserves, this is what00:24:44
they do all year long and cannot00:24:46
find them. By the way, this is also quite an interesting00:24:49
moment, but the idea was that we00:24:51
drag them there and00:24:53
that is, it was a trap so that they00:24:55
set up some kind of encirclement there and so00:24:58
on, they won a victory, but what happened Well,00:25:01
how did it turn out that he was not digging another hole, I know,00:25:05
you know, it turned out so that they got there themselves00:25:08
Why, because now they00:25:10
went there and burned a large the number of their00:25:12
reserves and, of course, that they bear costs00:25:15
and cannot fully deploy00:25:18
their offensive actions as they would like.00:25:20
Maybe because I think that it is possible that00:25:22
they would like to advance more intensively in the00:25:25
Kharkiv direction in Zaporizhzhia, there00:25:27
was such a plan, but now these conditions00:25:30
are in the east, they force the Russians to transfer00:25:33
reinforcements there, because if they00:25:36
magically won’t be able to gain anything there and there00:25:38
will be a magical defeat, they will be hit by a rather00:25:40
powerful image, and therefore they themselves00:25:43
fell into a certain trap that they were preparing00:25:45
for us, they themselves fell into this trap,00:25:48
now it is quite difficult for them to get out of it get out,00:25:51
they continue and move. The forces that need to go00:25:55
there are dying in large numbers. It is00:25:57
true. Our forces are holding back and00:25:59
fighting back. There were certain moments when it00:26:02
seemed to me personally that it was possible, after00:26:06
all, here is the advice from the Americans of our00:26:09
partners, it is not bad in this situation,00:26:12
in that it is possible to withdraw to00:26:15
other positions, the situation really is now that it00:26:18
is clear that our forces are holding on, they are00:26:20
showing confidence, the situation and this00:26:22
appeal is just the 93rd brigade, and in00:26:26
principle, I think that the analogy is the same.00:26:32
they will do00:26:35
as soon as they appear in immediate00:26:38
danger of being surrounded or destroyed by our00:26:41
group there, I think that, as in the case of00:26:43
Severodonetsk Lysychansk or Mountain00:26:45
Golden, we went through this in practice,00:26:47
the order to withdraw would be given in such00:26:51
situations, but now it00:26:54
is justified to receive and simply destroy the00:26:57
enemy there is a large number of them. Well, here is00:26:59
another point, here is an important point. This is the00:27:02
border line that I talked about and that the00:27:04
Americans are constantly talking about. That is, they00:27:07
say yes, it is a big task to destroy, but00:27:11
what price will you pay for this destruction,00:27:14
will the reserves of additional00:27:17
Ukrainian troops or these reserves be involved? can be00:27:19
preparing in parallel to00:27:22
fulfill other tasks of Western equipment00:27:25
that must be transferred or is already beginning00:27:28
to arrive there, and in this sense I can say00:27:31
frankly that they all look more towards00:27:34
the south, that is, they consider our00:27:37
partners that Ukraine must be successful in00:27:40
order to buy Deo just right territories in00:27:43
the south to destroy the land corridor to the00:27:45
Crimea, and from this point of view, that is why00:27:49
our partners have such a position regarding bahmut,00:27:51
their calculation is that00:27:54
Ukraine can have the strength and technology to00:27:57
achieve success in the south and further, and00:28:00
further, the East and this the question is already after the00:28:04
stage of the deoccupation of the south, how will the00:28:06
events develop,00:28:13
in particular, of course, that we are all preparing for a00:28:17
provocation,00:28:19
because this is a symbolic date for Putin,00:28:22
but they started talking to me about the fact that it is not00:28:23
necessary, it is not necessary to pay attention to00:28:25
the symbolism, that everything is possible, even00:28:27
imposed and the same Russia, of course, we00:28:30
must be on the lookout, where we are actually00:28:32
on the lookout every day. But should we00:28:36
expect any special provocations on February 24,00:28:39
except for possible missile attacks on all00:28:42
regional centers?00:28:50
24 they use them somewhere, the00:28:53
threats of missile attacks, they are definitely00:28:57
this period, they are quite high, it is possible to00:28:59
attract additional aviation, which is currently00:29:02
around Ukraine with the launch of such missiles,00:29:04
59 others there, that is, additional, it is00:29:08
possible that it will not be one wave, but00:29:10
stretched out there for a day, two, three,00:29:13
any how many rockets than they00:29:14
traditionally did there in one hall when,00:29:16
together with the purpose of creating nightmares, I do not00:29:19
rule out that they can simulate a large00:29:22
number of war waves in order to give00:29:24
us banal nightmares with air00:29:26
alarms, as it was on00:29:28
Independence Day, but I want to remind you, We too00:29:30
they thought that, but I remember then in Kyiv,00:29:33
if I am not mistaken,00:29:36
there were 8 air shocks, well, literally there in one day,00:29:39
and this is a constantly ongoing process, it was clear that00:29:41
this is, well, constantly constant pressure.00:29:44
That is, they can also use it, I00:29:46
have no doubt, but in the end, I do not I think that there00:29:50
will be something that00:29:53
we did not go through in our00:29:55
bitter experience that we did not encounter,00:29:59
and it is precisely in this context that there are air00:30:02
alarms in Kyiv. In Kyiv,00:30:05
testing of the early warning that we00:30:08
received from Israel will begin. And so what00:30:10
will we receive from Israel, and yet anyway, there are00:30:13
prospects,00:30:14
all prospects, the iron dome protection system,00:30:20
I believe that we will have problems in00:30:22
this, because the fact is that now00:30:25
Israel has become very active.00:30:27
Literally, in one week, the00:30:31
Minister of Foreign Affairs will travel to Ukraine and the00:30:34
topic of one inspection was00:30:36
military-technical cooperation.00:30:38
passage of a parliamentary delegation00:30:41
led by the chairman of the committee on defense00:30:43
and foreign affairs and some statements that have00:30:47
already begun to appear to some Israelis,00:30:49
the Jerusalem Post, a major English-language00:30:52
newspaper, writes that they have00:30:54
reached preliminary agreements on the00:30:56
expansion of aid from Israel and the00:30:58
possible supply of systems00:31:00
anti-aircraft defense, which they do not00:31:02
specify, they do not say, but such00:31:04
publications have already gone, it means that, well,00:31:07
the question has00:31:09
shifted just with the change of government there.00:31:11
By the way, this is a big00:31:14
salute to Putin, because it is their00:31:16
miscalculation, they really hoped that a00:31:18
non-Tenyak in Israel would become the prime minister00:31:21
taking into account the history of relations between Putin00:31:26
and Russia, Israel and their00:31:29
frequent visits there, exchanges of visits, everything00:31:31
will turn out well completely differently,00:31:33
just completely differently for Russia. Well,00:31:37
I think that Israel will take certain00:31:39
steps in order to become a more00:31:41
confident member of this coalition about which the00:31:44
president of the United States is talking about, that is, the question,00:31:46
I will say So we got closer to this00:31:48
than it was about six months ago, that's00:31:52
for sure, that's unequivocally00:31:54
finalizing our today's conversation00:32:03
because you can talk about a lot of00:32:05
symbolic, powerful, ferocious, let's say,00:32:07
signals. And what he sent to me00:32:10
personally, subjectively, I put all this into three00:32:13
words, he actually said Putin, you00:32:15
lost and It's a matter of time, and time is00:32:18
quite understandable, and then, you know, it's a good00:32:22
story I can block00:32:25
the story with the eggs in the Ministry of Defense a little bit. So00:32:28
when tons of kilograms were measured there, well,00:32:31
at least Biden. Look, I can00:32:32
weigh it, not kilograms, but this is exclusively00:32:34
in the context of Biden, an anemyn of defense.00:32:38
And the00:32:40
statement that Biden made in Warsaw. Let00:32:42
them were so general and quite powerful,00:32:45
but they said that the West, the whole00:32:48
West, will be strong, there is a strong Western00:32:51
coalition and they00:32:53
will supply us with weapons without interruption, this was supported by all00:32:55
other Western leaders. That is, this is very00:32:59
good, and in my opinion, in my personal opinion,00:33:02
it makes our victory closer00:33:05
although, of course, no one can talk about the terms. Yes,00:33:07
I agree, moreover,00:33:09
I. Well, it is necessary to understand that00:33:13
Putin is also progressing in his insanity,00:33:15
it is becoming noticeable that he and this, and what does this mean,00:33:18
this means that he will make mistakes, this00:33:20
means that he will allow fatal,00:33:22
fatal errors, this means00:33:24
that no matter what the situation is, it00:33:27
cannot be as good as it is00:33:29
for him, let's say it is promising that00:33:32
he will be able to continue the war there for an00:33:34
unknown number of years and so on. I00:33:39
listened to Putin when00:33:41
he moved to agriculture.00:33:43
I understood that these are the consequences, this is the influence of00:33:46
communication with Lukashenko.00:33:48
Obviously, this indicates that, after00:33:51
all, Lukashenko does not want to directly seek00:33:55
war, involve Belarusian troops and00:33:57
convinces Putin to engage in the cultivation of00:33:59
cereals, cattle,00:34:02
potatoes, which means corn the carrot of00:34:05
everything else, that is, from this point of view, you00:34:08
should not be afraid And you should wish for more frequent00:34:10
meetings between Lukashenka and Putin, because his00:34:12
influence is becoming more visible00:34:15
Oleksandr Thank you Oleksandr Musenko,00:34:17
head of the center for military legal00:34:18
research on YouTube, direct, and here everything is00:34:22
more frank, more realistic,00:34:24
always a picture, more facts, more time00:34:28
Thank you, so watch YouTube on YouTube00:34:30
YouTube live, leave comments,00:34:32
write your questions, we will definitely00:34:34
voice them and we will win togetherDescription:
❗ Друзі, обов'язково підписуйтесь на канал Олександра Мусієнко @Musienko_channel 👉 https://www.youtube.com/@Musienko_channel?sub_confirmation=1 📬 Підписуйтесь на Телеканал Прямий в YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/c/pryamiy?sub_confirmation=1 🔔 тисніть на «дзвоник», щоб отримувати сповіщення про нові відео на каналі 📢 та дивіться наживо наш прямий ефір — https://www.youtube.com/c/pryamiy/live 💲 Підтримайте Телеканал Прямий - ставайте спонсором нашого YouTube-каналу — https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCH9H_b9oJtSHBovh94yB5HA/join ✅ Приєднуйтесь до наших акаунтів у соцмережах, щоб бути в курсі актуальних новин: Facebook — https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Telegram — https://t.me/pryamiy Twitter — https://twitter.com/prm_ua Instagram — https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser 📌 Ще більше новин на нашому сайті — https://prm.ua/
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