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Russian
00:00:01
hello everyone my name is michael nike you00:00:03
are on my channel don't forget00:00:05
to subscribe put likes bells00:00:07
write comments today let's talk about00:00:09
kazakhstan it is clear that kazakhstan has become the00:00:11
brightest hot spot of 2022 at00:00:15
least for now well00:00:16
not much time has passed since the new year00:00:18
only 10 days, however, while the events in00:00:20
Kazakhstan are of interest to absolutely everyone, both the00:00:23
people who live there and the people who00:00:26
live in neighboring countries and the people who00:00:27
live all over the world, the West United00:00:30
States of China Russia, everyone is wondering what is00:00:33
happening there and what consequences we can expect, I00:00:36
must say that the situation is developing00:00:38
quite rapidly but there are still many00:00:40
blank spots, for example, even now we don’t00:00:43
know how much we managed to take00:00:45
control of the situation in Kazakhstan, for example00:00:47
in the city of Almaty, which became practically a00:00:50
center of protest where there were00:00:52
clashes on the streets of security forces and,00:00:54
accordingly, whether protesters or00:00:57
people masquerading as them is still00:01:00
unclear what is happening there and even00:01:02
after the Ministry of Internal Affairs reported the Ministry of Internal Affairs00:01:04
of Kazakhstan reported about the complete clearing00:01:06
of this city, there are still00:01:08
correspondents from various publications reporting00:01:11
that there are corpses on the streets,00:01:14
shooting can be heard, explosions can be heard, in general, until the end,00:01:17
now it is not clear what exactly is00:01:19
happening there, but get information from there It’s00:01:21
quite difficult, the local authorities00:01:23
still block the Internet, so we00:01:26
can’t receive messages promptly; we can’t00:01:29
rely on anonymous leaks from telegram00:01:31
channels or only on official00:01:34
messages from the authorities, because let’s just00:01:37
say that everyone has their own interests and00:01:39
these interests may not necessarily lead00:01:42
to because they are telling us the truth, moreover,00:01:45
we already see some inconsistencies,00:01:46
for example, they show us a shot down00:01:49
man and tell us that this is one of the00:01:51
pogromists, he admits that he flew00:01:54
for 200 dollars to participate in the pogroms00:01:56
on a plane from Kyrgyzstan to Kazakhstan,00:01:59
but it turns out that this man is00:02:02
actually the jazz performer is00:02:04
recognized by his friends and acquaintances and they say,00:02:07
look at this video, he please00:02:09
help get him out of this situation in00:02:12
which he ended up from this captivity and00:02:13
Kyrgyzstan officially asks Kazakhstan to00:02:16
assist in getting this00:02:17
man sent home, that is, we already00:02:20
understand that the security forces are there they torture people and00:02:23
force them to give false testimony, that00:02:26
is, to incriminate themselves, and this is done in order to00:02:28
confirm the version of the00:02:30
current president of Kazakhstan00:02:32
that supposedly some external forces broke out of00:02:34
Kazakhstan and arranged all this, but as I00:02:37
promised, since I am a specialist in this00:02:39
region I’m not a state, I00:02:42
talked to Arkady, the spirit of the new is00:02:44
just a specialist who has been00:02:46
following this region for a very long time, some00:02:49
countries there, including Kazakhstan,00:02:51
I asked him to explain how it all00:02:53
happened, what we see now and where is this,00:02:57
where did Nazarbayev go and what00:03:00
awaits us in the future, so you00:03:03
will see our conversation now if you00:03:05
like this format, if this format00:03:07
suits you, if this format00:03:10
really gives you information that00:03:12
you are interested in, like, write about00:03:13
it in the comments, if I see that00:03:16
you really like it, then I will ask00:03:18
them others experts to give their assessments of00:03:19
what is happening and maybe I will make a series of00:03:22
videos on this topic, although I hope that as00:03:25
soon as possible the need to00:03:27
make videos about Kazakhstan00:03:29
will disappear because, well,00:03:32
the news feed itself will disappear. I hope that it will be possible to00:03:35
stop the violence and, accordingly,00:03:37
fair elections will be held and00:03:39
Accordingly, the protesters' demands00:03:42
will be satisfied, I would really like to00:03:43
believe in this, although it is clear that these are rather00:03:46
dreams in this situation because we00:03:48
see that Russian troops00:03:49
are already in Kazakhstan and this means00:03:52
the end of independent Kazakhstan, it00:03:54
will no longer be a sovereign state, but there are also00:03:56
many other consequences that we00:03:58
we'll see in the near future, so our00:04:00
conversation with Arkady Dubnov, the00:04:04
showdown between, as you said,00:04:07
Nazarbayev and such nonsense, if00:04:09
I'm not mistaken,00:04:10
they can be conditionally attributed only to the00:04:14
last three 4 days, starting say from00:04:19
January 5, not that this is very conditional, it's like00:04:21
some kind of cop to blow up, as it were two00:04:25
centers of power to the system of00:04:28
power00:04:29
that Nazarbayev established and and00:04:33
little by little, so to speak, between changed00:04:36
it began, as we remember, from the very first00:04:40
days of January, when suddenly in the west of00:04:42
Kazakhstan for00:04:43
the residents it00:04:45
changed sharply two and a half00:04:48
times the scene for liquefied gas was stopped00:04:51
in sight calls it the main00:04:53
types of fuel for vehicles, both00:04:56
private and corporate, like on00:04:58
Porsche, 80 percent runs on liquefied gas,00:05:01
well, now I’ll teach you about this in detail, it’s00:05:04
already been said the scene00:05:07
rocked the poetry of the conclusion of00:05:10
pricing for electronic trading with00:05:12
one click00:05:15
by clicking fri-shka ducks 1st part correspondent00:05:18
trading to00:05:19
fly00:05:21
controlled processes and the price00:05:24
jumped, which means today there are a lot of00:05:27
conspiracy theories about what kind of00:05:29
pre-00:05:31
thought-out action this was, an operation00:05:36
which in the end was aimed00:05:39
at00:05:40
undermining the00:05:42
state power of anything I have already00:05:46
heard more than once and once even in00:05:50
my days I was dragged into by carelessness00:05:55
this kind of discussion of our00:05:56
domestic00:05:58
conspiracy theorists, let’s say where it was, it00:06:00
was natural on the00:06:02
radio, Komsomol truth,00:06:06
funny guys there, well, let’s00:06:11
quickly jump over so then00:06:14
they changed stunningly simply with the00:06:17
speed of a fast movie and00:06:20
then people went out to protest because00:06:23
the authorities were late, they will cook, they were late, this is00:06:25
categorically so to say the critical00:06:27
process of attracting this cognition to the00:06:30
rapidly developing events from below00:06:33
people,00:06:35
she turned out to be the hostess of events and00:06:38
when it was necessary to take decisive measures of a00:06:41
socio-economic order, she00:06:43
dressed herself with some promises and00:06:46
exhortations when it was necessary00:06:49
to make political decisions,00:06:53
economic decisions, yes, she was made,00:06:57
so to speak, by reference to what something00:06:59
of his emissaries to the West when he became there,00:07:03
well, in short, unfortunately, such a one00:07:06
seemed in this situation00:07:08
not to be a crisis manager, how could one00:07:12
wish for this to expect no to00:07:15
wish, but00:07:16
what is the situation00:07:19
there, did you live on the street, of course, in00:07:23
cities from the fact that Bickfords a cord00:07:26
set on fire in the west of Kazakhstan,00:07:28
stretching across the entire country, engulfed the00:07:31
guy in these kingdoms of protest were, in00:07:33
general, we will give civilians not00:07:36
organized for the most part, although already on00:07:39
the street howling supporters of them are difficult with00:07:42
the number, but supporters of the second Ablyazov00:07:45
such a positional figure of00:07:48
Kazakhstan are amazed at Paris of00:07:50
dubious reputation the person where - I00:07:54
constantly repeat I wanted to00:07:57
try on the toga of the future leader00:07:59
of us all the time and everything00:08:01
else does not interfere with the other as00:08:04
you know00:08:05
[music]00:08:07
in short, the situation thus00:08:10
reached, say, the middle of January 5 when the00:08:14
whole world began to watch, some with amazement,00:08:16
some with concern with concern and00:08:18
who will note with gloating that there00:08:21
really are such people and I00:08:24
also note such politicians unfortunately00:08:28
when from the middle 5 0 nevertheless,00:08:31
Putin’s press secretary Dmitry Sergeevich00:08:34
Peskov is a very important person and said00:08:37
this, the first reaction in the chamois of the Kremlin00:08:39
said that there is no reason yet seriously00:08:42
worry, we don’t have flashes from00:08:45
Kazakhstan, just help from the military, we00:08:49
hope that our new page with them is00:08:51
very external, so skarizh, don’t torment no,00:08:55
she doesn’t have the need, and external00:08:57
signs of influence seemed to be revealed00:08:59
no, it was very reasonable, very00:09:01
balanced, very restrained, like the variation00:09:03
as it changes seemed to be00:09:05
just a red shaft serially on the day of January 5 and from00:09:09
that moment the situation acquired a00:09:12
completely different00:09:14
threatening brutal character00:09:16
because unknown people came out to the Almaty waltz, well-00:09:18
built,00:09:22
equipped, organized,00:09:24
coordinated, they moved according to the00:09:27
intended goal of occupying government00:09:29
facilities, including such Akimat of00:09:34
the city of Almaty00:09:35
the largest city to break down and the former00:09:39
capital not to name the southern capital they00:09:41
stabbed to death the building of the National Security Committee00:09:44
they occupied the former residence of the president00:09:47
as they explain Karabas to the capital before the00:09:50
publication remained and so on, and from the00:09:53
first moment from that moment it became00:09:55
clear that something was happening that was00:09:58
understandable on the outer length inside so the00:10:01
knitting needles look and by the evening it became known that there were00:10:05
such long conversations between Lukashenko00:10:09
Putin and such he is the president00:10:13
of Kazakhstan00:10:15
who ended up with a request to bend00:10:19
such help and RDKB00:10:22
he justified this in general not a doctor awkwardly00:10:27
saying that in fact quotes are essentially mother00:10:32
and there are international tourist gangs00:10:35
if you have an understanding of why there was00:10:37
such a00:10:39
drastic change in the behavior of himself00:10:41
in his rhetoric because before the 5th,00:10:44
even when there were clashes, well, on the00:10:47
fifth, including there he00:10:49
says demonstrators, protesters, speeches and00:10:51
there about what -that intervention did not take place by the00:10:53
evening of January 5th, he was already calling them00:10:57
terrorists, bandits and literally00:10:59
asking to bring troops of other countries into the00:11:01
territory of their country. Why did this00:11:03
transformation happen? Do you have00:11:05
a guess?00:11:13
including,00:11:16
first of all, due to the fact that such00:11:19
measures were taken to,00:11:21
so to speak,00:11:23
eliminate the second center of power of someone00:11:27
until now, the structure of the sheet was00:11:30
repeating a schizophrenic structure00:11:34
where there were two centers, take the decision of the00:11:37
president, his residence is high, and the00:11:41
first president of Kazakhstan, Nursultan00:11:43
Nazarbayev, and to his residences, library halls,00:11:47
Rita was disoriented, Kazakh00:11:51
no one understood exactly where the main00:11:53
decision was made, to whom the00:11:56
security forces are subordinated in a consolidated manner, and this is00:12:00
not even in these days before the schools of his hands for00:12:05
carrying out the reforms promised to you during the00:12:08
transition to power, including00:12:10
political ones, they were very half-hearted00:12:16
began with difficulty slowed down not so much further and00:12:20
so he00:12:21
decided to remove Nazarbayev from the post of00:12:26
chairman of the Security Council this is,00:12:29
as we know, a serious00:12:32
structure it also looks like it is00:12:35
headed by the president and the00:12:37
topic in fact he did not make it clear00:12:41
acrylic to the management of the country of the rooms00:12:43
themselves for fun, it’s as if he still remained in00:12:47
the rank of bass, such a lifelong title of00:12:50
national leader, father of the nation, but this in00:12:52
principle was more likely to be stronger00:12:55
than anyone, I have a moral category that00:12:57
has to do with management,00:13:02
then he fired me, I’ll save who is his00:13:04
deputy chairman of the00:13:06
National Security Committee, Nazarbayev’s nephew, that00:13:08
is, one deputy a00:13:12
few hours later, if I’m happy00:13:14
I’m mistaken, and the chairman of the National Security Committee, Karim00:13:16
Masimov, the00:13:18
most serious Kazakh heavyweight00:13:21
political former prime minister, the00:13:22
head of the administration of a00:13:24
person who, in general, is00:13:27
considered a devotee of Nazarbayev, not to00:13:29
mention the elements on a shotgun 2 by 100:13:31
solid as a common one to continue from00:13:34
his political,00:13:35
so to speak, and the custodians, the00:13:38
custodian of all, as it were, the value of the goods00:13:41
was acquired by back-breaking labor over 30-odd00:13:44
years, and00:13:46
this Warren, this is, in my00:13:50
opinion, the00:13:52
main trigger of the situation, and and in my00:13:56
opinion,00:13:57
there was a contour of a coup, an attempt to contour a00:14:01
love spell, such an athlete saying Sudan,00:14:05
these people appeared on the streets of Almaty just00:14:08
recently, just yesterday, this said 20,00000:14:11
yesterday, by the way, he took off this type of down, does it00:14:15
exist? I will delete this tweet00:14:20
and deleted there are no more phrases00:14:23
indicating his order to00:14:25
shoot to kill at these daughters, yes,00:14:27
seriously, by the way, a00:14:29
serious characteristic cannot be00:14:32
said powder in short, here answering00:14:34
your question, it was an attempt at a00:14:36
love spell circuit that adored the arrival of someone00:14:38
from all Kazakhstan in general, formally00:14:41
speaking, completely unknown structures00:14:43
because these people are00:14:47
well prepared for thugs, now00:14:49
it turns out that in Kazakhstan, in general,00:14:50
everyone knew about them, they somewhere- then they were hiding in the00:14:52
mountains in special bases they were supervised they were00:14:55
feeding they were recouping by the00:14:58
head of the National Security Committee which to lead with precision00:15:01
now the version of the President00:15:04
of Kazakhstan is changing apparently00:15:07
because now answering you00:15:09
last blood is the main thing that is happening there is00:15:11
an obvious, so to speak, internal00:15:16
struggle at the top over what the00:15:20
assessment of the past will be like to drink that is, now00:15:22
they are also corresponding with the past for00:15:24
literally the last few days, this is00:15:25
very00:15:27
funny but creepy, most likely yes,00:15:30
because now they are looking for the main culprits,00:15:32
the main switchmen who will be00:15:34
officially appointed, although officially00:15:36
this means that in a month or two they will be00:15:39
reassigned again, still people are joking00:15:41
that this is very very similar to the removal of the00:15:44
shore option get the shore I am in the third00:15:46
year of almost the death of Stalin and00:15:48
apparently we have a number in the role in the role of00:15:51
Khrushchev now it looks like they shot down Malenkov00:15:55
looks but let's say so and I in which00:15:57
now00:15:59
to establish the necessary00:16:01
coefficients among the guilty look00:16:05
today it is so an attempt00:16:08
is an attempt to extricate the00:16:11
president's nephew from among the culprits, tradition itself00:16:13
because yesterday it was said that he was00:16:15
supposedly at his work post,00:16:18
before that there were rumors that he was00:16:21
detained and arrested, and according to my averages, this is the case,00:16:24
removing it, so00:16:28
it is impossible not to check or confirm it on the other00:16:30
hand, a message was received that there00:16:33
was Karim Masimov, and this was00:16:36
done two days later, which one of them,00:16:38
moreover, a00:16:40
criminal case was opened against him on January 6, that00:16:43
is, two days passed and we found out that00:16:45
she was initiated, that is, and00:16:50
taken into custody when but lived to00:16:53
demonstratively show that most likely00:16:55
he is the main culprit in the fact that00:16:57
these same bandits obeyed him, these00:17:01
are not the same bandits, I just want to clarify that00:17:03
this is really some kind of separate00:17:06
structure, that is, as far as you00:17:08
admit that it’s real that minisd is in the mountains00:17:10
not in the mountain somewhere- then there was such a00:17:13
conglomerate of people and it is00:17:15
controlled by someone in order to carry out00:17:17
all these clashes or is it00:17:20
just heated, meaning Kazakh00:17:22
youth from different regions before which,00:17:25
in the middle of protests, they began to do this00:17:29
for some kind of compass I had to00:17:33
note my feelings in general, without Chris00:17:35
of Kazakhstan, divided into 1 3 stages, I’m00:17:37
now running, I passed with some faith in us00:17:39
and social protests in the West 2 this is the00:17:42
excited youth throughout the country and the00:17:44
third begins in Regina on January 5, you00:17:47
want in the gang of fighting groups00:17:49
the presence of some kind of shelters for those sleeping00:17:54
groups in Kazakhstan, I claim,00:17:58
many people knew, but I already heard about this in the00:18:00
first days of January that there are some00:18:02
suspicions there among people who are very observant,00:18:04
professional journalists, so to00:18:06
speak, long-living middle-aged punks00:18:09
who are nova 1 or from remember that00:18:12
the events of Zhanaozen are December 11 16 11 years00:18:15
when they were shot, those standing up to the00:18:17
protesters in the same west of Kazakhstan,00:18:22
exactly the same kind of people took part in them, from nowhere00:18:25
they came with weapons, they were organized00:18:28
and they placed the meaning of these qualities, even00:18:30
this was on the day of independence of Kazakhstan,00:18:32
few doubt that00:18:34
such people exist00:18:36
their groups can today be called, let’s say,00:18:38
Kazakh, handsome cellulite,00:18:40
sorry, decides to offend someone,00:18:43
Kazakh Banderaites are00:18:46
connected to power, I’m just trying to understand,00:18:48
well, if there is an organized structure,00:18:50
it’s whose Michael is no longer with whom they00:18:54
cannot be connected, yes, I understand, but00:18:56
please tell me, but the arrangement has changed00:18:58
now between Russia and Kazakhstan, that00:19:01
is, Kazakhstan seemed to be00:19:03
quite independent of Russia, had00:19:06
close economic ties from00:19:07
Great Britain with the United States, and00:19:10
even at joint speeches there,00:19:13
Putin and this to Ivan when they00:19:15
had forums before it was clear that they had a slightly00:19:17
different view of the formation of the country and00:19:19
now when Russian troops are essentially00:19:22
called to Kazakhstan and there, well, to00:19:25
restore order and to preserve00:19:27
order, let them call it whatever they want, has00:19:29
this status of these two00:19:32
countries changed in relation to each other, that is,00:19:34
has Kazakhstan become more dependent on00:19:36
Russia, is it waiting for it changes both in the00:19:39
economic and in the political sense00:19:40
in your opinion00:19:42
macrochip melt briefly got it00:19:48
understood a little00:19:50
bit details if just a00:19:52
little bit well00:19:54
how can it be counted absolutely00:19:57
confidently and foreign policy so to00:20:00
speak or not a state00:20:03
on whose territory there is an army of00:20:06
another state very friendly00:20:08
but the very influential Grace Cattle00:20:10
spreads out seven and a half thousand00:20:12
kilometers,00:20:14
of course, but if that’s the length of it,00:20:16
of course we must admit that00:20:19
the sovereignty of Kazakhstan, which was00:20:23
created by Nazarbayev, well,00:20:26
today turned out to be to a certain extent00:20:29
effective, unfortunately why, well,00:20:34
probably simply because the00:20:36
idea that00:20:38
endless power lifelong power,00:20:42
so to speak, the continuation of you00:20:45
power by creating structures,00:20:49
so to speak, by not going to the chinese eye nyx00:20:54
the true died paternal Ukraine00:20:55
Cathay families direction00:20:58
oligarchic principle tied to00:21:01
proximity to the region it was defeated in Kazakhstan in00:21:04
tariff Kazakhstan, but00:21:08
it did not turn out to be unviable00:21:11
because the social side of this kind of00:21:15
management turned out to not be on the00:21:19
carpet, it is a special country, it is divided00:21:21
into a kind of tribal principle, where and balance00:21:26
in this regard,00:21:28
Nazarbayev tried to establish,00:21:32
he00:21:33
generally burst out00:21:35
a lot of details, but nevertheless, this is what the00:21:38
transit of which he began to carry out, he00:21:41
at first seemed successfully enough00:21:44
to produce yes,00:21:46
but00:21:47
to discover that it is00:21:49
impossible, as they say, to00:21:55
reliably transfer power to another sovereign00:21:59
without transferring his00:22:02
control to his family, but this is very00:22:04
difficult and here there probably should00:22:06
be some characteristics, in short, this did not00:22:09
turn out to be his own00:22:11
for this family for this not According to the tic00:22:15
regime, he was only a fellow traveler, yes, but00:22:18
like among people, it turns out that00:22:23
certain certain properties appeared,00:22:27
properties of a certain property of a person00:22:29
who was trying to discover in himself and00:22:33
[music]00:22:35
these other goal-setting, yes, in00:22:38
a sense, as a politician, he could not help but00:22:40
be offended by the fact that he was kept on a00:22:42
short leash,00:22:44
but since his organic properties were not00:22:47
very high, the degree of charisma that00:22:50
was inherent in Nazarbayev did00:22:54
not spare him the latex to behave harshly00:22:57
from the very beginning or to be00:23:00
far-sighted, it led to this00:23:02
kind of confusion, and there is still a long00:23:06
showdown, but then that this hour00:23:09
there was an attempt at the top contour of00:23:12
a coup among the Kazakhs, it is wider from the00:23:15
earliest obvious and this is an attempt if00:23:17
we fail again and so it00:23:26
could not bring anything good to Russia for the Kremlin, so for now it is00:23:29
very urgent operationally of the highest degree00:23:31
operational reflection now, in principle,00:23:33
this precedent00:23:34
will become it is very important for00:23:38
so to speak application in the future on the00:23:42
territory of the post-Soviet space,00:23:44
now the conversation is that Russia has00:23:47
all the new tools it is ready00:23:50
to use, they cease to be, so to speak,00:23:52
mythical, oh, if only they ceased to be00:23:54
paper tigers, with all the ensuing00:23:58
consequences00:24:00
in the case of Arkady Oak new at this00:24:04
stage it is clear that the situation continues00:24:06
to develop today there should be a00:24:08
meeting about dkb from it we00:24:10
will also learn something, however several things can be00:24:12
said for sure worse now this one00:24:15
used the current situation to00:24:17
seize power entirely the00:24:19
second Kazakhstan will no longer be an00:24:22
independent state because he is00:24:24
now completely dependent on the Russian00:24:26
Federation, we are formally from code to b, in00:24:29
fact, from the Russian Federation,00:24:30
which is there and carries out all the decisions,00:24:33
more precisely, makes all the decisions and then00:24:36
carries them out, what will happen next, what will00:24:38
happen to the protesters, what will00:24:40
happen to the struggle of the elites within00:24:42
Kazakhstan what will happen with the00:24:44
relations between Kazakhstan and the West, as well as00:24:47
with the relations between Kazakhstan and Russia,00:24:50
I will tell you about all this in the00:24:52
next videos, Michael was with you like00:24:55
subscribe to the channel, like,00:24:56
write comments00:24:58
and see you soon all the best byeDescription:
Подписывайтесь на патреон! https://www.patreon.com/macknack Что произошло в Казахстане? Как Токаеву удалось осуществить контрпереворот? Куда делся Назарбаев? Что за погромщики были в Казахстане, и откуда они взялись? Удастся ли стране сохранить суверенитет после ввода российских войск? Обо всём этом я поговорил с Аркадием Дубновым в свежем видео. фейсбук Аркадия Дубнова: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser 00:00 Подписывайтесь на канал 00:16 Что в Казахстане? 04:04 Как начинался протест? 07:16 Эскалация конфликта, выход людей по всей стране 10:35 Раскол во власти и решение Токаева 17:00 Откуда взялись неизвестные бандиты? 18:56 Отношения России и Казахстана 24:03 Подписывайтесь на канал Поддержать канал криптовалютой: BTC: bc1qhz5fmwdsyc0spq65whkrmddy95gewswps89f2f ETH: 0x6044eA902b264E7a0f4276DDdE3743Bda41DedEa Litecoin: LfpEPp1CiELkLc8EAEdHADhJDhi5AtP54C BCH: qpy9937rdtqz33859lweqpqh5a6le809ayk8ac4xlw Майкл Наки. Соцсети: телеграм: https://t.me/Nackepelo инстаграм: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser
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