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00:00:00

tomorrow Jorge cachinero expert in

00:00:01

government relations and

00:00:02

political risks Jorge Good morning Very good

00:00:05

morning José How are you Good before

00:00:07

entering Perhaps in this whole movement in

00:00:09

Europe I believe that there is a part of the

00:00:11

context that is not being taken into account

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enough, which is the uh resignation the cessation

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of retirement is that we no longer even know

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how to describe it as Victoria nullan

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announced yesterday by the

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State Department What does it mean that moves them and

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above all What can change photography

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Jorge, this news is very important

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because this woman, as our

00:00:33

listeners know, has been since

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2013, the leader of

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US policy in Ukraine against Russia,

00:00:41

she was the one who was, if you remember, in

00:00:44

My Dam Square in 2014,

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handing out chocolates and cookies to

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the protesters in Kiev, she was the

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one we listened to because her

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conversation with the

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US ambassador was recorded. in Kiev discussing what

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should be the composition with names and

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surnames of the future members of the

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Ukrainian government and we also heard her

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use a rather crude expression

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when the American ambassador

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asked her about the possible reaction of

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the European Union to all this and they nullified the

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said with elegant words he told him to

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give the European Union

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blood sausages. Not to say anything else,

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then I see in this cessation

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how it was

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officially described as a sign that

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perhaps the United States is preparing the

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definitive abandonment of what in the United States

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United States was called the Nulan project or the

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Ukraine project that the United States is

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finally realizing that the

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best thing is lost and that the best thing

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they can do is get out of the way And

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surely leave the brown to Europe

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eh of what happens in con Ukraine in

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the future months and also and I finish with

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this José is very significant,

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it is also a

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beautiful irony that the person they have

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placed in the State Department

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to occupy his position on an interim basis

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until they find a replacement is the

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American diplomat who piloted the

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withdrawal and departure of the

00:02:23

United States from Afghanistan in

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2021, with which one thing added to

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the other gives me the impression that the

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United States wants to cut ties with

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this matter where it has gone so badly eh.

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From here European photography we see

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that this super ministry is going to be created,

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at least that is what eh bleyen says, who

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was already minister of defense in Germany. And

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from that moment on, what is the

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capacity for preparation? We have seen an

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increase in discourse not around that

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world. In war, on Sunday we saw a

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left-wing media such as the country's newspaper

00:02:54

assume that Europe is on the way to

00:02:57

war and that it should prepare if

00:02:58

war does not come later, better but that it is on

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the way to it, we see movements this

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morning from countries bordering Russia

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that they are also beginning to make a whole

00:03:06

movement to install or to prevent

00:03:08

Russian tanks from entering their

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territory, it is as if they had

00:03:12

taken us and put us in a time machine and they

00:03:14

had returned us to 1960, not even in

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1980. Hey, do you think that on the one hand that exists?

00:03:22

real risk and on the other hand you think that

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this photograph leads us to the fact that there is a

00:03:28

feeling, especially among citizens,

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that the elites and governments are

00:03:33

beginning to lead to the

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imminent increase in the defense budget because the risk is also

00:03:39

imminent Look at the risk I think

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the risk is limited

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except that when people get

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nervous they are capable of

00:03:49

making stupid moves And that is the

00:03:51

moment in which the West

00:03:53

is in full panic attack at the moment

00:03:56

about Trump's possible victory in the

00:03:58

elections Americans and because of the

00:03:59

possible defeat in Ukraine and in that

00:04:02

moment of nervousness it is in which we must

00:04:05

place Macron's statements,

00:04:07

the statements of the

00:04:09

German defense minister, etc. with everything and

00:04:12

with that I hope and wish and I also believe that

00:04:16

the risk of The fact that there is a

00:04:17

military conflict with Russia is limited unless

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someone loses control of the

00:04:23

situation among European leaders, who are

00:04:25

also not all in favor

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of this line, as we are

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seeing of course in Ukraine but

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also in Slovakia. I think it is the

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nervousness of seeing this project

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nullified in Ukraine, which was going to be a

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matter of weeks to inflict a

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strategic defeat on Russia, isolating it

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economically and diplomatically has not

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worked in the case of Germany

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specifically because at the end of the day it is the

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largest country in the

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European Union the movements of p

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pistorius defense minister must be

00:05:01

interpreted as the movements

00:05:05

of the CIA candidate in Germany to

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unseat schs schs is a very

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unpopular politician in Germany at this time

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Germany has three elections in three

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Lander in three states in 2024 and

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polls in all three place the

00:05:21

German Social Democratic Party in second

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place behind the

00:05:25

Christian Democrats, placing it in third place and

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in some below 10% of the

00:05:31

popular vote and with this eng garzo with the

00:05:34

second question you asked me José,

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Macron's statements and

00:05:39

Pistorius' statements in Germany

00:05:43

have been surveyed among the population

00:05:45

of the two countries and the percentage of

00:05:48

French and Germans who

00:05:50

agree with this policy at least

00:05:53

vocally and formally aggressive towards

00:05:56

Russia is a minority and descending there

00:05:59

is no atmosphere among

00:06:02

European citizens for going to a

00:06:04

military confrontation with Russia that would be a destruction

00:06:07

for Europe because at the end of the day

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we are talking about the largest nuclear power

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in the World, that is, not even in

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the Not even in the worst years of the

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Cold War did the great nuclear powers

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lose respect for each other, they

00:06:21

continued to talk, they continued to converse, they

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continued to monitor the growth and

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development of weapons and at this

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moment we are in a moment in which

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Germany, a country almost without an army and without

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nuclear weapons, it dares to

00:06:35

militarily challenge the largest nuclear power

00:06:38

in the world and in the case of France

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the same is not true. Although it has although it has

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nuclear weapons but eh eh a single

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sarmat missile from

00:06:48

Russia which is an intercontinental ballistic missile

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that carries 10

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nuclear warheads is capable of destroying 650,000

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km cu of territory in a single blow, which

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is the size of France. We are seriously

00:07:03

talking about that. I mean, I believe that the

00:07:06

European leaders are in a state

00:07:08

of panic, as I say, and on the verge of a

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nervous breakdown at this moment in that

00:07:14

environment there is only one question that ordinary

00:07:16

citizens ask themselves and that is Europe

00:07:19

would be able to defend itself, for example at

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the last NATO meeting here in

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Madrid they talked about the

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anti-missile shield we have the

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anti-missile shield in eur

00:07:29

prepared and in the event that Europe your

00:07:32

response is that it is not capable of

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defending itself from a possible

00:07:36

attack, the United States is in

00:07:39

a position to activate, through

00:07:41

Article 5 of NATO, a system of

00:07:44

defense to Spain to Europe that Spain to

00:07:47

Europe in this

00:07:48

environment no Europe is not in a

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position on its own to Russia neither in conventional

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conventional weapons nor in

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nuclear weapons. In addition, the

00:08:02

industrial and manufacturing fabric of Europe

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is not in a position to invoice at

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the speed and in the quantity in which

00:08:10

at this moment Russia It is manufacturing

00:08:13

nuclear weapons but I would say that Russia

00:08:15

has no intention of attacking

00:08:18

Europe. The only thing that Russia has said is

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that it is not going to allow troops from

00:08:22

Europe to enter directly, although there are already

00:08:26

disguised as mercenaries. There are quite a few

00:08:29

European soldiers in Ukraine. What it has

00:08:31

said is He is not going to allow

00:08:33

European countries to enter a country that is in

00:08:36

combat at the moment. Hey, with Russia, that is

00:08:39

not going to be allowed, but Russia is not going to

00:08:40

attack Europe, but I do know if

00:08:43

that scenario were to happen, Europe has

00:08:46

nothing to do. And then the second

00:08:48

part of your question would come from the

00:08:50

United States to help Europe. And this is the

00:08:53

second part of the Western and

00:08:55

especially European panic. If Trump wins there

00:08:58

will be no help from the United States. In fact,

00:09:00

Trump has said, actively and passively,

00:09:03

that he is leaving. to reach an agreement with Putin

00:09:04

in 24 hours to solve the

00:09:06

Ukrainian problem, that is to say that Ukraine surrenders

00:09:09

to Russia and then what

00:09:12

Trump is going to do is remove all the

00:09:14

American soldiers from Germany and

00:09:15

Europe and he is going to dismantle NATO as much as possible. He has

00:09:19

said and also as he learned from his

00:09:22

experience as a previous president, the

00:09:25

first thing he wants to do is to

00:09:26

dismantle NATO, therefore I believe

00:09:28

that European leaders are doing

00:09:30

themselves a disservice by increasing this

00:09:33

rhetorical level of the aggressiveness of the

00:09:36

confrontation against Russia because

00:09:39

They have no material possibility of

00:09:43

carrying out their threats and keeping their

00:09:45

words on the battlefield, not at

00:09:46

all, no. Thank you very much, Jorge

00:09:49

Cachinero, expert in

00:09:50

government relations and political risks, good

00:09:52

day and good business. Thank you, José, a

00:09:55

hug for all of you.

Description:

¿Planea EEUU el abandono del ‘proyecto Ucrania’? Las razones de la dimisión de Nuland. Cachinero Quizás EEUU está decidiendo el abandono del ‘proyecto Ucrania’ tras darse cuenta de que aquello está perdido, comenta Jorge Cachinero, experto en relaciones gubernamentales y riesgos políticos. Creen que lo mejor que pueden hacer es quitarse de en medio y dejarle el "marrón a Europa de lo que pase con Ucrania" en los próximos meses. La persona que le va a sustituir es la persona que pilotó la salida de Afganistán en 2021, afirma Cachinero. “Ni en los peores años de la guerra fría las grandes potencias nucleares se perdieron el respeto”. En este entorno, es ahora Alemania y Francia cuando se atreven a retar militarmente a la potencia militar más grande del mundo. Los líderes europeos están en un estado de "pánico y al borde de un ataque de nervios", opina Cachinero. Europa no está en condiciones de defenderse por su cuenta de Rusia. El tejido industrial y manufacturero de Europa no está en condiciones de ir al ritmo de Rusia. Pero, complementa Cachinero, Rusia no tiene ninguna intención de atacar a Europa. Lo que ha dicho es que no va a permitir que países europeos entren en un país con el que Rusia está en combate. Si quieres entrar en la Academia de Negocios TV, este es el enlace: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwd8Byi93KbnsYmCcKLExvQ/join Síguenos en directo ➡️ https://www.negocios.com/ Suscríbete a nuestro canal: https://www.youtube.com/c/negociostv?sub_confirmation=1 Visita Negocios TV https://www.negocios.com/ Más vídeos de Negocios TV: https://www.youtube.com/@NegociosTV Síguenos en Telegram: https://t.me/negociostv Síguenos en Instagram: https://bit.ly/3oytWnd Twitter: https://bit.ly/3jz6Lpt Facebook: https://bit.ly/3e3kIuy

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