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Russian
00:00:00
viewers, listeners and subscribers of our00:00:01
channel Greetings to all of you My name is00:00:04
Vadim Gerasimovich this is a live broadcast and our00:00:06
next Stream together with the famous00:00:08
Ukrainian political scientist Ruslan Bortnik00:00:10
is with us Ruslan Hello,00:00:12
good afternoon Vadim Mutually friends00:00:16
politely but persistently I continue to00:00:17
remind those who have not yet subscribed00:00:19
please subscribe to Polytek, but I00:00:21
also ask you to subscribe to the author’s00:00:24
analytical channel Ruslan Bortnik in YouTube00:00:28
Well, as always, we have something to00:00:30
talk about, many topics in the focus of our00:00:32
attention, and I suggest that’s where to start,00:00:35
the head of the Mukachevo district00:00:37
state administration, Sergei00:00:39
Gaidai, decided to notify us about the fact that00:00:43
Russia is preparing an offensive that00:00:46
will begin in the near future. According to him,00:00:48
he knows the exact date but cannot name it00:00:51
because Russians are watching the broadcasts.00:00:54
The argument may seem controversial, we will00:00:57
also discuss this argument, but00:01:00
Ruslan, in your opinion, what kind of offensive are we talking about?00:01:03
What nature can we talk about? and00:01:05
when it can begin Well, Gaidai00:01:07
can’t name the date of the00:01:10
offensive for the campaign because then the Russians00:01:13
will find out about it00:01:15
and it turns out they don’t know about it yet00:01:17
about the date of their00:01:21
offensive the logic is off the charts True Well00:01:24
the logic is interesting I said that00:01:26
the argument is quite controversial00:01:28
debatable00:01:30
and with Mukacheva This is much better00:01:32
visible than from Lugansk because before00:01:34
the war Gaidai said, let me remind you that he was00:01:38
the governor of Lugansk before the war, he00:01:40
said something else, he did not see a large00:01:41
Russian offensive before the00:01:47
war,00:01:49
look, military experts say that00:01:52
Russia has accumulated certain reserves of up to00:01:54
100,00000:01:55
people that it is going to and can00:01:58
use00:02:03
but the sun is some kind of new big offensive,00:02:07
it is still unlikely while elections are still ongoing in Russia00:02:11
And on voting day the00:02:14
elections in Russia have not ended, these00:02:16
are only in the middle of the process in the00:02:18
middle of the process, not even at00:02:19
completion yet, that’s when the00:02:22
vertical management government will reboot00:02:24
silt00:02:28
KTU loadings this no earlier than the end of May00:02:32
somewhere around the end of May beginning of June yes yes we can00:02:37
expect a large-scale00:02:39
offensive because a large-scale offensive does00:02:41
not require just forces and means it00:02:44
requires the functioning of support it00:02:46
requires the functioning of the entire00:02:48
state the offensive is underway The entire00:02:50
state with its00:02:52
resources Therefore yes00:02:54
certain reserves are high the likelihood that00:02:56
Russia will go preliminary00:02:58
preliminary deputies00:03:00
most likely concerned the Southern Front of the00:03:03
Zaporozhye direction Zaporozhye00:03:05
in general is a key node today in this00:03:08
war, one or one of the most key00:03:10
nodes because by controlling Zaporozhye00:03:13
you can attack, relatively speaking, both00:03:14
Odessa and Donetsk or Crimea00:03:19
Zaporozhye today has turned into such a00:03:23
key military administrative00:03:25
logistics hub of this war, so there00:03:27
was a high probability that Russia00:03:29
would go to the Southern Front, but the events on the00:03:31
border of the Kursk-Belgorod region and the00:03:35
public demand in Russia that is being00:03:37
formed for the creation of this00:03:39
buffer or sanitary zone, as00:03:41
Putin said in his speech, may push00:03:44
Russia to ultimately send these00:03:46
reserves precisely to the eastern direction in the00:03:50
direction of Kharkov Sumy right now the00:03:52
Russian military and political00:03:54
leadership is making a decision where00:03:56
to send these reserves these resources, I do00:03:59
n’t mean that Russia will again go head-on and00:04:02
ultimately throw them again00:04:04
at Donbass, some kind of attack on00:04:07
Slavyansk or Kramatorsk, but still00:04:10
the probability of this is lower. Therefore, the guide is00:04:12
right in some ways, except that Russia00:04:16
can attack. But the conversation itself00:04:19
regarding possible Dates, it is enough of a00:04:22
speculator today, it will be simple from the political00:04:28
calendar, the probability of a ground00:04:30
offensive But If we talk about the00:04:32
escalation and radicalization of the very degree of the00:04:36
current war, then we feel this degree well ourselves,00:04:39
and the massive rocket00:04:43
attacks and attacks by the Shahs on almost the00:04:45
entire territory of Ukraine over the past00:04:48
few months, absolutely all of00:04:51
Ukraine has not been subjected to this attack, we can00:04:55
remember yesterday’s attack on Kiev and those00:05:00
strikes that were carried out with the help of missiles00:05:03
in the past days Why Why in your00:05:07
opinion Right00:05:10
now Russia began to actively00:05:13
strike, including on the energy sector,00:05:16
because we expected these strikes in the winter, but00:05:19
few could have foreseen that Russia would again00:05:23
begin to destroy the energy00:05:25
infrastructure, but in the end00:05:28
March You can answer this question through deduction00:05:33
or induction, this question can be answered00:05:35
honestly and00:05:36
beautifully, and honestly and00:05:38
beautifully, sometimes it doesn’t work out honestly and00:05:41
beautifully, but we will honestly answer this00:05:44
question; we are discussing all this; consequences.00:05:47
Of course, all these blows are a tragedy for00:05:49
many people who die and suffer.00:05:51
Their lives are being destroyed, but these are the consequences,00:05:54
and the third foam or00:05:57
gum, look at the00:06:00
key processes taking place around00:06:02
which three key00:06:04
operational00:06:07
Funnels are unfolding, one of which is a consequence of00:06:10
one of which is the current00:06:12
blows to the Ukrainian energy sector, there is a struggle going on in the world,00:06:28
fierce control00:06:30
of Space is going on in the world, a00:06:33
fierce struggle is going on for raw materials, resources,00:06:36
and raw materials are often understood as00:06:38
People because if you have a Market,00:06:41
so to speak, a billion consumers, you00:06:44
can build a fairly sovereign00:06:45
self-sufficient economic model00:06:48
if you have 50 million consumers, you have00:06:51
sovereign00:06:54
self-sufficiency. Well, of course, if you don’t00:06:57
have gold under your feet or00:06:59
you will never build oil And third And00:07:03
third in the world there is a struggle for control00:07:05
over international trade which,00:07:08
as a result, is already dragging with it the00:07:11
global financial system00:07:14
and the military presence, the global military00:07:17
presence and a necklace of military00:07:19
conflicts all over the world00:07:22
These are three key geopolitical struggles00:07:24
that are now happening under this there are00:07:27
several political Funnels that are00:07:29
gaining momentum and are drawing in, creating00:07:32
crises, waves are sucking in small ships,00:07:35
chips and even ships are being pulled into this00:07:37
funnel, these funnels are the00:07:40
presidential elections in the00:07:42
United States, which forms a lot of00:07:45
processes around itself, which we00:07:46
regularly00:07:47
discuss with these this funnel are00:07:51
elections, presidential elections in the USA are00:07:53
closely related and part of these elections00:07:56
are elections in Europe and elections in other00:07:59
countries of the US allies, but00:08:01
presidential elections the USA play a leading role00:08:04
even in elections to the European Parliament or in00:08:06
elections in Britain they will not play a leading00:08:07
role elections in00:08:10
Russia elections of the President of Russia which00:08:12
But will mean a reboot of the system Putin00:08:16
5:0 will be seriously different from Putin00:08:21
4:0 and it will be heaven and earth he will be00:08:24
an antagonist to Putin 1:0 or 2:0 a complete00:08:27
antagonist to Putin 1 or 200:08:30
and these elections are connected with Putin’s elections with00:08:34
Putin’s elections00:08:36
Now, if00:08:39
aid to Ukraine is connected with the American elections, then the00:08:41
shelling of our00:08:44
infrastructure and the00:08:47
terrorist attack in Russia and the Belgorod Kursk00:08:52
region are also connected with the elections of Putin, of course our infrastructure is00:08:56
also an element of the struggle of these00:08:58
infrastructures00:09:00
in response to attacks on Russian00:09:02
oil refineries or vice versa in response to attacks on00:09:06
Ukrainian in the00:09:07
energy sector, strikes are being made on Russian00:09:09
refineries in response to strikes on Russian refineries,00:09:12
strikes are being made on the energy sector. This is the answer00:09:15
to the question why00:09:17
now, in addition, there is a suspicion to think00:09:21
that part of the air defense air defense systems was withdrawn00:09:24
from the energy facilities where they00:09:26
stood in the00:09:28
winter00:09:30
Eastern Front or to protect other00:09:32
facilities, look how mercilessly00:09:34
they bombed the Dnieper and how absolutely defenseless00:09:38
defenseless was probably man-made00:09:41
structure number two after nuclear00:09:43
power plants, the most important in00:09:46
the country where the air defense systems around the Dnieper what00:09:49
they00:09:51
did, maybe00:09:58
they were00:10:00
attacks00:10:02
Look Return Return to the archive That00:10:05
is, these two are the funnel of Putin’s elections00:10:08
reboot of the Russian political00:10:10
systems, the formation of a new00:10:12
geopolitical strategy for this00:10:14
Eurasia, Russia, China,00:10:17
Iran, it creates waves around itself and00:10:22
even even a tsunami in some places. And the third00:10:26
is the direct course of the00:10:27
Ukrainian-Russian00:10:28
war. Well, it would be more correct to call it, of course,00:10:30
Russian-Ukrainian, this war and its course is00:10:35
that Russia intercepted the military00:10:37
initiative She is actually trying to00:10:40
advance on all sectors of the front00:10:43
today, despite the fact that she has not been able to00:10:46
achieve any kind of operational00:10:47
tactical effect of even breaking through the00:10:49
front line, she is squeezing out Ukrainian troops00:10:51
in many territories, and also determines the00:10:55
format of many processes within00:10:57
our country and around our country,00:11:00
uh Therefore, today we are discussing with you, by00:11:03
and large, the consequences, yes, even00:11:06
tragic for the life of us as you and me as00:11:08
people, but these are the consequences of more00:11:11
serious, larger-scale processes00:11:13
that I just specifically simplified,00:11:15
sorry, because if they are00:11:17
broken down into all the details, then our00:11:19
conversation will take several hours, I00:11:21
hope that our viewers have already00:11:23
formed a clear understanding00:11:25
about geopolitics and the processes00:11:26
that are taking place, we will definitely talk to you, we00:11:28
started today’s broadcast with a00:11:30
discussion of what Sergei00:11:32
Gaidai said and Let’s, in this regard, also00:11:35
consider the situation that has now00:11:37
developed on territory of Transcarpathia,00:11:39
people there, namely in the Mukachevo area,00:11:42
blocked roads because of mass00:11:45
mobilization in the region, they block roads00:11:47
at pedestrian crossings so that there would be no00:11:50
reason to punish for violating traffic rules. Well, this is00:11:52
such a00:11:53
traditional00:11:55
story, women say the following, everyone00:11:58
understands that there is a War, I mean those00:12:01
women who participate in this action,00:12:02
they say that there is a War, we00:12:05
understand this, we need mobilization, we are fighting for00:12:07
independence and for a better life, but such00:12:09
gangster methods of mobilization. When in00:12:12
balaclavas they simply beat and kidnap people00:12:14
from the streets, this is unacceptable because this is a00:12:16
violation of all human rights and freedoms00:12:18
that lead to distrust of the authorities and the00:12:21
commander-in-chief, and in this regard, it is also00:12:23
necessary to remember what00:12:25
the commander of the ground forces, Mr.00:12:28
Pavlyuk, said, he said that the00:12:30
persecution of the TCC employees has begun in Ukraine, here are your thoughts.00:12:33
I would like to00:12:35
hear. You see, a00:12:40
feeling of injustice00:12:43
of mobilization has formed in the majority of society A in a smaller part of society there is a00:12:46
passionate feeling of the need for the00:12:49
unconditional need for mobilization.00:12:51
That is why00:12:52
there is a platoon commander, so to00:12:55
speak, of the de or deno00:12:58
brigade, everyone needs to go to the front or the commanders of00:13:01
Azov say Give us the right00:13:03
to mobilize, we will find everyone, we00:13:06
will catch up with everyone, remember the recent statement00:13:08
that here we are Give us the opportunity00:13:11
to mobilize, we ourselves will recruit a staff00:13:13
because you can’t run away from us as from a00:13:15
wounded00:13:18
military commissar who was traumatized there, on the one hand, and on the other00:13:20
hand, there are several00:13:22
established themes in society, firstly, that00:13:24
mobilization is a violent00:13:28
instrument of a person against his rights and00:13:30
freedoms, moreover, this is that mobilization00:13:33
is a one-way ticket, people are00:13:36
no longer00:13:37
allowed out of there, that is, you. If you get caught in00:13:41
this flywheel, then you serve there until the end of the war.00:13:45
Well, you can return home00:13:47
and disabled people. Well, or on00:13:51
the shield, secondly, a very clear feeling has formed in society:00:13:54
I’m communicating we00:13:56
just have our experts also located in00:13:59
different regions of the country, there is no regional00:14:02
injustice, each of the regions00:14:04
believes that its cesspool is greater than00:14:06
the rest, Transcarpathia thinks so,00:14:08
Kharkov thinks so, Odessa thinks so,00:14:10
especially when people end up00:14:13
somewhere in Kiev and see that, uh, in00:14:17
Kiev there are a lot of people on the streets men work00:14:20
bars entertainment venues sports00:14:22
cultural events concerts00:14:25
you understand the feeling of injustice00:14:27
regional and property00:14:30
injustice the rich pay00:14:32
off social00:14:35
injustice that is, relatively speaking,00:14:37
villagers are rowed much more00:14:39
than city dwellers you understand all this is00:14:42
forming such a constant00:14:44
huge movement00:14:47
behind the scenes of official politics00:14:50
that is looking for solutions somewhere - then it00:14:52
manifests itself in the blocking of passages somewhere00:14:54
in the breaking of windows to innocent people00:14:58
somewhere in an attack with axes on horses.00:15:01
At the military commissar it00:15:03
breaks through in different ways, this feeling of injustice,00:15:08
and in fact we are dealing with two00:15:12
very established social groups00:15:15
into which ours is divided today00:15:16
society and Although They among themselves00:15:19
cannot be called hostile to each other, but00:15:23
in some way only in individual00:15:25
manifestations But these two groups00:15:29
see the function of the state differently,00:15:31
see this00:15:34
process differently, well, mobilization is00:15:37
fair, maybe you just00:15:39
used justice Now, I00:15:44
want to give an example of fair00:15:45
mobilization, let's do it when00:15:48
Stalin's sons serve at00:15:51
the front Yes, Vasily Stalin Yes, when he is00:15:55
Stalin's son in captivity, no one changes him00:16:00
when other state leaders are attacked00:16:03
in front of the trenches, they die00:16:06
Unfortunately, Like the sons of other people They00:16:09
get00:16:11
disabilities Just mobilization00:16:14
is when the sons of members of the00:16:17
Israeli government are in the trenches, I won’t let no one00:16:21
say that we Gloria Soviet00:16:24
Union00:16:26
will tear down then the state of Israel,00:16:31
you understand, that’s why people are very00:16:34
tense, it’s constantly breaking through, people00:16:36
don’t want to carry aggression against the00:16:38
Ukrainian state because everyone00:16:40
considers it by its value Everyone loves their00:16:43
homeland, as in that song, remember Even though she is00:16:46
ugly But we love her very much, this is00:16:49
really true, but that’s why it00:16:52
breaks out in aggression towards00:16:53
police officers, TCC employees,00:16:56
at the local level, specific people who are the00:16:59
functions of this00:17:00
state, you00:17:02
know, an idea was voiced there recently,00:17:05
literally yesterday, about the creation of a penal battalion For00:17:08
all kinds of weapons and everything else, and00:17:11
it’s actually not so crazy,00:17:13
this idea of penal battalions and con from00:17:16
the camp, the department of the ninety-second department of the00:17:18
assault brigade, Leonid Maslo,00:17:20
let’s illustrate this story, he says the00:17:22
following draft dodger is a military00:17:24
person who pretends that00:17:25
he does not exist is not registered does not work00:17:28
officially does not intentionally live at the00:17:30
place of registration or throws out00:17:31
official correspondence from the00:17:33
mailbox runs away abroad buys00:17:35
disability documents also this00:17:39
gentleman named the draft dodger and people's00:17:41
deputies who do not pass laws00:17:44
in order to close the holes for00:17:45
draft dodgers and start prosecuting them according to the00:17:48
law This is the idea that00:17:52
was voiced, this idea was simply expressed in a00:17:55
very rude manner because a person is00:17:57
fighting and has no time to think, but it00:17:59
seems to me that we should think now and the00:18:03
deputies who are now preparing the law on00:18:04
mobilization should think about00:18:06
alternative00:18:09
mobilization so it and call this law00:18:11
or such changes this is an alternative00:18:14
mobilization for those people who are not00:18:16
able to hold weapons in their hands do not want00:18:19
cannot be00:18:20
afraid Well, there are people who are afraid, they are00:18:24
healthy men roaring like they are crying, just00:18:29
for these people there should be an00:18:30
alternative way of serving00:18:33
the state, for example, preparing00:18:35
fortifications really In the rear, how was there an00:18:37
alternative service in Peacetime,00:18:40
remember when people did not take up00:18:42
arms? Let people prepare fortifications,00:18:45
dig, build, work in military00:18:50
factories, which are now also in short supply,00:18:53
work somewhere in the Gulf, necessary for the resources00:18:57
for00:18:59
the year, and expand the possibility of attracting00:19:02
people who are not they want to, cannot, or00:19:04
are afraid to fight, we live today in the 21st00:19:07
century, this is not the 10th century where everyone00:19:11
knows in the morning he is a plowman in the afternoon he is a00:19:15
warrior and at night he is a Robber This is the same00:19:19
person We are in the 21st century We live in postmodernity00:19:23
to some extent And this00:19:25
alternative mobilization may also00:19:27
include the opportunity to00:19:29
pay to the00:19:32
budget a certain amount of money so that other people00:19:35
will perform this defense function for you00:19:37
if your income allows it. Yes,00:19:40
this is unfair from a social point of00:19:42
view. But it is effective with00:19:44
the state if your income00:19:45
allows you to pay for I don’t know for five00:19:48
alternative soldiers or for three three00:19:50
real soldiers ensure their salary00:19:52
anva and everything else, pay00:19:56
my friend How to convince those who00:19:58
claim good In this case, war00:20:00
is the lot of the poor But the rich are paid off, well, there00:20:04
must be a choice, which means an00:20:07
alternative service to which I said00:20:09
you can fight with a machine gun in your hands00:20:11
and receive a salary UBD benefits00:20:14
Maybe you can go into the army00:20:15
mobilized without a machine gun in your hands without00:20:18
receiving such a salary some kind of00:20:20
minimum salary without receiving the status of a00:20:22
participant in the UBD and social benefits should00:20:25
be a choice even for a common person for a00:20:27
common person00:20:29
people who have money the opportunity00:20:31
to pay to finance the army,00:20:34
you understand now the main resource of this00:20:36
war is00:20:37
money, shells,00:20:39
cartridges, everything else, Unfortunately, everything00:20:42
else, that’s all, I just won’t00:20:43
continue this series so that I’m offended,00:20:45
everything else is a question of money, I understand.00:20:48
You’re talking about the fact that a choice is necessary, but for00:20:50
some military This is how they see00:20:53
this choice: either a00:20:55
penal battalion or a00:20:57
concentration camp. Well, because I explained,00:21:00
they don’t have time to think, people just00:21:02
offer to throw out their pain,00:21:04
express their thoughts, we should think,00:21:06
you and other people who are not00:21:09
serving yet. So you and I are trying to think like00:21:11
this to make this system more effective00:21:13
regarding the mobilization bill Dmitry00:21:16
Razumkov people's deputy,00:21:28
training at the age of 18, then he will receive a military00:21:31
registration specialty, will be registered and00:21:33
this will lead to the fact that the central control center will be able to00:21:35
mobilize him at the age of 19. Well, I think that I00:21:40
will remove this norm, moreover, you know from me00:21:42
there was such a feeling of deception in this00:21:45
situation, remember when they wanted00:21:48
to tighten the mobilization legislation for us already The previous time they00:21:51
threatened to start mobilizing women there00:21:53
or lowering the age further, then00:21:55
they abandoned these Norms, but the00:21:58
legislator adopted This norm can00:22:00
be deliberately thrown in as a cover00:22:02
Which will then be removed amid fanfare In00:22:04
while they will extend the main body of the law,00:22:07
which00:22:08
tightens mobilization in other00:22:11
categories. I think that this norm will not be00:22:14
accepted in this form. It will not be accepted. This00:22:17
norm got there either by accident or00:22:20
as a deliberate attempt to distract our attention with an00:22:23
even greater shock in order to00:22:24
push through a smaller shock. through00:22:27
parliament Ruslan You talked about the fact00:22:30
that the main resource is money, this is00:22:33
definitely military assistance and support, and00:22:35
today it became known that00:22:37
And that money is the tranche that was00:22:41
allocated by the United States of America in the00:22:43
context of 300 million dollars, if you believe00:22:46
the publication Politico Kiev cannot use the00:22:51
300 million allocated for the initiative00:22:53
to promote the security of Ukraine were included in the00:22:58
budget voted by Congress and signed by Biden on Saturday. This00:23:00
program allows for contracts00:23:02
with weapons manufacturers and the transfer of their00:23:04
products to Ukraine; however, in fact,00:23:06
this money was already spent within the framework of00:23:09
this program back in November, and this00:23:12
was reported to the newspaper by a representative of the00:23:14
presidential administration, if this is00:23:16
indeed00:23:17
true, then00:23:19
Kirby was telling a lie when he said that00:23:22
this is the last project, the last00:23:25
financial aid, this is the loophole that00:23:27
we found00:23:28
in conditions when Congress cannot00:23:32
consider00:23:34
further models of financing Ukraine00:23:38
in 24 You know, the financial situation in00:23:42
Ukraine00:23:44
reminds me of an example from the history of the Dutch00:23:48
tulip exchange during the period of maximum00:23:50
maximum00:23:52
speculation in tulips, who is interested,00:23:54
look at this is the history of the first00:23:56
frauds or some kind of African00:23:58
When money no longer flows due to the fact00:24:01
that they lose the planned00:24:03
solvency, but receipts,00:24:06
receipts, bills of exchange and everything00:24:10
else, we must understand that00:24:13
Ukraine’s debt today has already reached00:24:15
90-9500:24:17
GDP; huge debts. But these debts00:24:21
are formed, among other things, with the expectation00:24:24
that Ukraine will be00:24:27
able to divide frozen Russian00:24:29
assets in the amount of approximately $300 billion00:24:33
as soon as a00:24:35
legal mechanism is found. we are talking not00:24:37
only about the profits from frozen00:24:38
assets that the European Union is already00:24:40
going to transfer to Ukraine00:24:41
approximately 2-3 billion euros this year,00:24:45
we are talking about the body of these assets as00:24:48
soon as a legal00:24:49
mechanism is found or relations between Russia and the West00:24:52
reach such a point of degradation that it is00:24:55
already on legal mechanisms even Nobody00:24:57
really bothers will not00:24:59
exchange one bill for00:25:02
another understand Why these00:25:04
debts are formed Why these notes are circulating00:25:08
[music]00:25:10
piece of paper00:25:13
The Pentagon over the past 5 months has found an00:25:18
extra $5 billion for Ukraine00:25:21
just re-evaluate00:25:23
the assets, imagine if it’s possible to00:25:26
dry it there and shaken00:25:28
to find 5 billion dollars, well, I don’t know what to00:25:32
compare it with, the price of one Olympics is expensive.00:25:36
If there was a desire. If there was a desire. What kind of00:25:38
money is included there uncontrollably00:25:41
in this area, but I want to00:25:43
remind you that in March of this year, in00:25:45
this March Ukraine received a record 900:25:48
billion dollars of foreign aid is 45 billion00:25:52
from00:25:53
e almost a billion 88 mil mark milda00:25:58
from the World Bank Japan there is00:26:01
Great Britain for assistance with milda00:26:03
Canada and there were some other little things there were00:26:06
Well, in general 9 billion 9 billion received before there00:26:10
was little more they say We will00:26:15
understand less that part of this assistance,00:26:18
these loans, part goes in the direction of00:26:22
repaying previously taken amounts, for example, an00:26:24
IMF loan00:26:27
will actually be used almost entirely throughout the year to00:26:29
repay previously taken IMF loans; it does00:26:32
n’t even go to Ukraine. It circulates somewhere there.00:26:34
but in Ukraine they put a plus sign,00:26:37
you know, like in a village store when00:26:39
they take goods on the list there, they put a plus sign in Ukraine in00:26:42
this part because everyone00:26:43
hopes that through Ukraine it will00:26:45
be possible to write off and00:26:49
ban frozen Russian assets through Ukraine.00:26:51
That’s why this scheme works Ruslan00:26:55
regarding American00:26:57
aid here when they ask me often00:27:00
When00:27:02
the war will end they will end then00:27:05
including not only but also then00:27:07
when when Russian money runs out00:27:11
now the West is waging a war against Russia00:27:14
the West and Ukraine for Russian money at the00:27:17
expense of future Russian money That’s how that’s00:27:19
how only conditionally speaking, the cost of00:27:22
the war will exceed somewhere around 500 billion,00:27:26
not Ukrainian destruction, this is not about the00:27:29
losses of Ukraine - this is the problem of Ukraine. And if we00:27:32
exceed the costs of our partners there, the00:27:35
amount is somewhere around 500 billion,00:27:37
then financiers in the West will begin to00:27:40
worry about the feasibility of00:27:42
this kind of00:27:44
investment,00:27:46
turning point This only additional,00:27:48
this is an additional factor, this is not00:27:50
the main one, we often talk about the main ones00:27:52
on other broadcasts, I won’t00:27:53
repeat it, but it is also very important.00:27:56
amount of costs. At the moment, how much is the00:27:59
amount of costs at the00:28:02
moment? It is approximately 30000:28:04
billion 300 billion. And you say that the threshold is00:28:07
500 500 somewhere Yes, another 200 billion00:28:11
so now there are statements and00:28:13
calls from all sides about a truce there00:28:16
about the need to00:28:18
freeze the West believes the West is not00:28:20
against going now to a situation of00:28:23
zero to reduce debit with credit at the expense of00:28:26
frozen Russian assets00:28:29
Ruslan based on Croc City -hall00:28:32
today, a message has literally just00:28:35
appeared. The FSB has accused Ukraine00:28:37
of trying to organize new terrorist attacks on the00:28:39
territory of Russia, the special service claims00:28:42
that Russians, including00:28:44
minors, are receiving calls en masse from00:28:46
spoofed numbers from the territory of Ukraine, and are00:28:48
being persuaded to carry out terrorist attacks in Russia for money00:28:50
in shopping centers at00:28:52
transport and transport facilities. social infrastructure00:28:54
and Let us remind you in this regard that00:28:57
you were talking about the World Cup the day before, namely yesterday, Putin.00:29:00
He said00:29:01
approximately the following. We know that the00:29:03
crime was committed by the hands of00:29:05
radical Islamists. We are interested in00:29:07
who the customer is. One thing is absolutely clear: this is an00:29:10
act of intimidation and00:29:11
the question immediately arises: who benefits from this? We see that00:29:14
the states are trying to convince satellites and00:29:16
other countries that there is supposedly no Kiev trace in the00:29:18
Moscow terrorist attack, that the00:29:20
bloody terrorist attack was carried out by ISIS,00:29:22
today there are three versions. Well, they are seriously00:29:25
considering which version of00:29:28
what happened00:29:29
you personally adhere to and what00:29:32
further consequences there may be because00:29:35
many of your fellow analysts say00:29:37
that this here is some turning point,00:29:39
if in the first hours of what happened in Moscow00:29:42
they said this is the black swan about which00:29:45
they talked so much, now they are talking about00:29:48
some turning00:29:51
point, I will not give you the answer to00:29:54
your question since you00:29:56
posed it. I from him -differently, but I’ll answer00:29:59
this question more honestly and more deeply00:30:01
Look, the point is that neither00:30:03
the wording Because today you can’t00:30:06
adhere to any versions, those00:30:09
people who adhere to some00:30:10
version are either science fiction writers Well, or they00:30:14
act irresponsibly the investigation, even the00:30:16
Russian investigation has not been completed in any way00:30:19
Russia and the United States today do not00:30:21
know for sure what happened and any discarding of00:30:24
any versions00:30:26
today is Bose an instrument of information00:30:29
warfare that no one knows the investigation, even the00:30:31
Russian one is not00:30:33
completed, even the Russian one is not completed,00:30:36
moreover, given the complexity of the situation, I00:30:38
would think that the United States would be the United States of00:30:41
France, perhaps another countries should00:30:42
offer Russia their assistance in this00:30:46
investigation, an international00:30:48
investigation, including since00:30:51
Russia believes that the customers or00:30:53
organizers of these terrorist attacks are, in00:30:55
any case, abroad; the USA says that00:30:58
they are there in Afghanistan; Russia00:31:01
hints that they are in Ukraine; in00:31:03
any case, abroad you see, what I mean is that00:31:07
we should evaluate reality a little more00:31:08
rationally and00:31:11
not agitate for one version or another00:31:14
since the second investigation is in the00:31:18
hands of Russia and Russia today will00:31:19
make a decision that can and00:31:22
probably will be00:31:24
political, who will ultimately be00:31:26
blamed, you know these suspects00:31:30
Excuse me with a mark00:31:33
on the genitals they are aware of00:31:40
anything they are aware of anything and the decision00:31:44
will be for the Russians who she decides00:31:47
to blame or conditional virtual semi00:31:50
virtual somewhere I exist00:31:52
[music]00:31:56
ladies Islamic state vilayat haran00:32:00
There it seems that’s what they call it now00:32:02
or an absolutely specific00:32:04
state of Ukraine or an absolutely00:32:06
specific state of the USA or an absolutely00:32:09
specific state of00:32:11
France, all this will have different00:32:15
consequences. Let's look at this00:32:17
a little more broadly and smarter. blaming00:32:20
ISIS means blaming no one, blaming no one00:32:24
because ISIS is already00:32:28
active underground, it will not have00:32:30
serious consequences. political consequences I00:32:31
don’t think that Russia will decide to00:32:34
invade Afghanistan again, the experience has not yet00:32:36
been forgotten, and blaming ISIS and attributing the00:32:39
Kiev Trace to blaming Ukraine for this00:32:42
situation means increasing pressure00:32:46
on the West to stop aid00:32:50
to Ukraine, this means increasing pressure on the00:32:53
countries of the global South-neutral00:32:55
countries in relation to the cessation of00:32:56
communication with Ukraine, then a disruption of the00:32:58
global00:33:01
world itself, this00:33:03
means accusing Ukraine, this means00:33:06
declaring the state bodies of Ukraine a00:33:08
terrorist00:33:09
structure. What does direct00:33:13
assassination attempts and an order to kill the entire00:33:16
leadership of Ukrainian state00:33:19
bodies mean? Please note, the head of the00:33:22
security services of Ukraine today would have officially accused00:33:28
the authorities,00:33:29
and this means the impossibility of negotiations00:33:32
four of the most important consequences occurs00:33:35
if you blame the USA for this, the consequences are00:33:37
similar but even more00:33:39
dangerous, the Russian leadership00:33:42
today00:33:43
is thinking about where to turn this00:33:47
Tragedy, but I don’t think that we’ll say that00:33:53
this tragedy is sulfur00:33:56
damage to us I don’t think that it is00:34:00
man-made if they don’t play it00:34:02
some groups competing for Putin00:34:04
because look, if this tragedy had not happened00:34:06
I will now explain very simply,00:34:08
we would have had until May 7 before00:34:11
Putin’s inauguration planned for May 7 this year on00:34:14
May 8 there will be a government we would00:34:16
be in a mode where Putin00:34:19
strengthens the state strengthens e00:34:22
information strengthens Russia00:34:23
abroad, he is basking in the rays of glory in the00:34:26
rays of power, he has consumed all permissions, and00:34:30
now he is forced to justify himself to00:34:32
his society in the fact that Russian00:34:34
law enforcement structures were00:34:36
unable to protect and adequately00:34:38
respond to the actions00:34:40
of terrorists, which caused very serious00:34:42
damage to the planned series of the series of00:34:46
demonstrations of force the forces of Putin the forces of the00:34:48
Russian state all this entire00:34:50
planned00:34:52
history technology was broken by this00:34:56
terat returned to Russian society the00:34:59
feeling of the period of rebellion00:35:03
Prigozhin Chechen warriors instability of the00:35:06
Russian state but I say00:35:10
again Russia now decides where to00:35:12
turn and turn this situation into00:35:14
another tool of00:35:16
escalation of nuclear00:35:19
blackmail dissing the system in general00:35:23
carry out a real total war to00:35:26
mobilize00:35:29
or say Well, okay ISIS So ISIS00:35:32
let's live on and forget00:35:36
to try How quickly Ruslan well Russia00:35:39
will make a decision relate the decision will be00:35:41
after Putin's inauguration after May this00:35:45
this decision will be after after May 7 I00:35:48
would also bet somewhere on mid-May00:35:50
end of00:35:53
May the fact that the Ukrainian special services00:35:56
literally in the first hours of00:35:59
what was happening told Croco City Hall that well,00:36:04
these are Putin’s special services, they are interested in this, to what extent do00:36:08
you think,00:36:10
well,00:36:13
the information00:36:15
warfare is still perishable. We We tried here to tell00:36:18
Putin to show Russian citizens00:36:21
that That all this is the activity of the Russian00:36:25
special services, Well, this is logical. By the way, how is00:36:28
Russia’s version? Why does it rely on the00:36:30
Ukrainian version? Because allegedly00:36:32
terrorists broke through to the Ukrainian00:36:34
border, the only rational00:36:37
explanation for why this is happening. Why does00:36:39
Ukraine have something to do with00:36:41
this situation, but I’ll tell you that00:36:43
In place of any terrorist now, any00:36:46
terrorist in Russia You would break through00:36:48
to the Ukrainian00:36:51
border Because there is a chance to escape to00:36:53
territory from which you will definitely00:36:55
not be extradited to Russia,00:36:57
and where to break through to Sheremetyevo, go00:37:01
or or go all the kilometers to I don’t know, to the00:37:05
southern Russian borders is00:37:07
the most unrealistic the border is closer and there is an enemy who00:37:10
is fighting with Russia who will not be given to you by Russia,00:37:11
of course the Ukrainian one understands00:37:14
that Belarus also disappears Because00:37:16
because we understand Yes, Belarus,00:37:19
too, from the side of Belarus it may be easier00:37:21
to enter the territory of Ukraine00:37:23
now,00:37:26
so the versions are not in us for some reason00:37:29
they want neither in us nor in Russia they don’t want00:37:31
to include the logic of Russia they say They were going to00:37:34
Ukraine Because they were hired by Ukrainians00:37:38
guys because there was a window window00:37:42
maybe00:37:44
ok guys They could just go towards00:37:46
Ukraine in order to try to00:37:49
hide in territory hostile to00:37:51
Russia states didn’t just00:37:53
go to the west Russia She’s such a00:37:55
huge big country Is it really impossible for the00:37:56
territory of Russia You can’t00:37:58
hide You can’t hide Russia00:38:01
worked out mechanisms for searching for different00:38:03
people from the Chechen wars for a long time You can’t00:38:05
hide then Ruslan also explain to me00:38:08
why Putin was so00:38:11
publicly frivolous about00:38:13
this warnings from the United States of00:38:16
America when they said that00:38:18
some extremists were preparing something, he00:38:20
said that’s all. Blackmail from the00:38:22
podium at the FSB board spoke about this,00:38:25
and you remember, but you didn’t have00:38:28
a feeling of Déjà vu,00:38:32
remember before the big war, when our00:38:35
leaders were also They stated that this is all Blackmail,00:38:38
there will be no war, that this is a blatant00:38:40
provocation. Yes, you see, Putin considered00:38:43
that this was an attempt by the West to influence the00:38:46
atmosphere on the festive atmosphere of the00:38:48
Russian00:38:49
elections, to create00:38:53
nervousness during00:38:55
the elections, the same as our00:38:58
political circles believed that publications in00:39:00
Western Media even appeals of Western00:39:02
officials to Ukraine by the heads of00:39:05
the intelligence services, this was an attempt to force us00:39:07
to implement the Minsk agreements. This was00:39:09
Blackmail, which negatively affected the00:39:11
economy. I remember this, I remind you of the00:39:13
key thesis of the authorities before00:39:17
the war, the same thing, that is, not because of the00:39:21
lack of trust in the sources of supply00:39:25
of such information due to the fact00:39:28
that it was believed that the source of this00:39:31
information was trying to achieve some00:39:33
manipulative goals of presenting this00:39:38
information Ruslan00:39:41
regarding the reaction of France, including00:39:44
what you said about the possibility of00:39:46
conducting an international investigation.00:39:49
Let's look at what the French President said about the World Cup00:39:56
macro relationship with the Russian people, many00:39:59
also expressed00:40:00
condolences and he said that he was ready to00:40:05
closely and closely cooperate with Russia on the00:40:10
issue of fighting00:40:15
ISIS. Many people say that00:40:19
Macron is00:40:22
threatening to send in00:40:24
troops and then says that, to00:40:27
quote, France intends to expand00:40:30
cooperation with Russia in the fight against00:40:33
ISIS groups, we know how deeply this00:40:36
hurts00:40:40
Russia, well, anyone who watched Macron’s interview with the00:40:45
Ukrainian media will not be surprised that such00:40:47
statements were actually00:40:50
offered by Macron to Putin:00:40:52
either agree to freeze the war,00:40:55
freeze the conflict,00:40:58
or we will give Ukraine troops or we00:40:59
will raise the stakes in this00:41:01
This is the situation I got00:41:03
the impression because the world he said00:41:09
15 times Perhaps behind the macron there is not just a00:41:11
macron, perhaps there is also00:41:15
a position of China behind this. China and France today00:41:18
have developed special00:41:23
relations in00:41:28
Africa, the structures of ISIS are also strong00:41:31
and where dividing spheres of influence is not so00:41:35
painful dividing the spheres of influence between00:41:37
Russia and France, these countries could00:41:40
agree on the Caucasus, the same situation in00:41:43
Mountainous Nagorno-Karabakh Armenia where both00:41:46
Russia and France have serious influence,00:41:48
perhaps Macron proposes a deal again in00:41:56
the city where there is00:41:58
truly Muslim Islamic00:42:01
radicalism for Russia with this kind of00:42:03
statement at the same time Let me remind you that the00:42:05
French Media constantly publish00:42:08
scenarios of how France can send00:42:11
troops into Ukraine. There, under different guise,00:42:13
from engineers to factories ending with the00:42:16
French00:42:17
Foreign Legion, that is, the00:42:20
information pumping continues. France00:42:22
officially raised this issue at a00:42:24
meeting with the heads of state, Macron00:42:26
officially discussed this issue. with the00:42:28
French military, Macron officially00:42:30
discussed this issue with parliamentary00:42:32
parties in France, that is, France00:42:35
is demonstrating its readiness to raise the00:42:37
stakes by demanding that Russia agree to00:42:39
some specific agreements, but the00:42:41
fact is that Moscow wants to00:42:42
negotiate with Washington and not with00:42:46
Paris or Berlin, especially since Moscow does not00:42:49
believes that there is no There is a need00:42:50
to negotiate with00:42:52
Kiev today, France declared an increased00:42:55
level of terrorist threat and, in00:42:57
my opinion, a corresponding decision was made by00:43:00
both Germany00:43:03
and Italy, and today one of the French00:43:07
TV channels published possible00:43:09
scenarios for sending its soldiers to Ukraine00:43:12
first France is building military factories in Ukraine00:43:14
attracting its own engineers second00:43:17
France clears the territory and00:43:18
prepares the Armed Forces third France defends00:43:21
Odessa by installing primarily00:43:23
air defense systems fourth France deploys00:43:26
troops to create a protective zone and00:43:28
relieve the Ukrainians of some tasks and00:43:30
fifth scenario France fights together with the00:43:32
Armed Forces against Russia in the trenches, which00:43:34
entails the Third World00:43:36
War So let's say this, the first00:43:40
scenario is to some extent, it is already00:43:44
being implemented to some extent, yes00:43:47
yes, regarding mine clearance, a third in the00:43:50
second third scenario, taking into account the00:43:51
training of specialists, France is00:43:53
probably taking part to some00:43:56
extent,00:43:58
Well, only the fourth fifth00:44:00
scenario remains What is Macron's response? What is00:44:04
Macron's threat in response today in00:44:07
Moscow? I have discussed these ideas with my colleagues several times00:44:09
and literally for days again,00:44:14
with Unfortunately, I discussed these ideas with a very very00:44:16
powerful country in the world and with its00:44:18
experts, and there is a00:44:22
common understanding that even if France is not its00:44:24
own troops then the Nazis will not00:44:27
interfere And it will not be a war between00:44:29
Russia and NATO, it will be a war between00:44:32
Russia, Ukraine, France and others who00:44:36
want to00:44:37
join this coalition That is,00:44:40
it will not transform into an00:44:42
international war, it will not00:44:44
transform into a world war, therefore00:44:47
Macron treats these scenarios00:44:49
quite calmly, which makes00:44:52
them very00:44:56
realistic, NATO is also going to00:44:58
shoot down Russian missiles, and today00:45:00
information appeared about this. But here,00:45:02
willingly or unwillingly, I remember that00:45:04
incident, the case when a Russian00:45:06
missile flew into00:45:09
Polish airspace for 39 seconds, but how did they react?00:45:12
Poles we know Well, imagine,00:45:16
let's us Let's switch, switch00:45:19
roles We're very now saying the Poles are00:45:21
wrong, they're funny, they don't let grain in there,00:45:24
but they let missiles through, yeah,00:45:28
they said it clearly We saw that she00:45:29
would leave the territory of Poland, so we didn't00:45:32
shoot down, we proceeded from our own00:45:33
interests you because it would have fallen on00:45:35
the territory of Poland it would have become a problem for00:45:38
Poland, let me remind you that one rocket has already killed00:45:41
two Polish farmers at one time, yes,00:45:45
and the Poles consider everything, they consider these00:45:50
risks if we were in the place of the Poles and00:45:53
the Poles would be Ukrainians I I think that our00:45:55
military, to be honest,00:45:57
would act in a similar way.00:45:59
They would say, let’s not waste our00:46:01
resources by firing our missiles,00:46:04
since this can only lead to a00:46:06
disaster on the ground on our territory.00:46:09
Let’s just give them00:46:11
a warning and say that we can’t do this00:46:13
anymore,00:46:16
this is a cynical, rational00:46:19
position. Even00:46:21
if we say that it is not00:46:25
fraternal, not a partner,00:46:28
well, this is a rational position, they proceeded00:46:30
from their own national00:46:31
interests,00:46:35
regarding the statement of Dmitry00:46:38
Kuleb, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine,00:46:40
he said that he was constantly beginning to be00:46:43
annoyed by the responses when the00:46:46
Ukrainian side calls for00:46:48
Taus missiles, listen, I’m tired answer this00:46:50
question Sorry, you can tease me I00:46:52
don’t00:46:55
forgive decides I’m already tired of00:46:58
commenting on this also he called on the West00:47:00
to give Ukraine these damn patriots to00:47:03
defend itself from Russian missiles And so00:47:05
Well, judging by the rhetoric Judging by the00:47:07
statements Well, it’s clear what the damn00:47:10
damn damn Patriot is worth 1 billion00:47:13
dollars, well, somehow the nerves are already giving in to the00:47:17
main diplomat, that you have to pay for it;00:47:20
moreover, the West understands that00:47:22
if the war continues, then the00:47:24
West may need00:47:26
air defense systems,00:47:27
and Patriot is not produced in 15 minutes,00:47:29
even in 1500:47:31
days to produce one Patriot complex in00:47:34
on average, it produces it throughout the00:47:36
year in the fastest00:47:40
mode, you need to be a little calmer, otherwise we00:47:43
will get a00:47:45
spanking from the British, as you remember, when we laughed there,00:47:49
that we are so grateful to you and thank you every00:47:51
day for a constant minute, and then they00:47:54
expressed the deepest things to us because of such a00:47:56
reaction,00:47:57
we will receive a spanking I You know, in the morning Nima,00:48:02
Indian colleagues because Kuleba00:48:04
is going to Visit00:48:05
India and recorded a very good video, I00:48:08
also think from my point of view near the00:48:11
monument to Mahat Magan, but we must00:48:14
take into account that Mahat Magan is not the Leader of all00:48:17
Indian parties, not a symbol of all00:48:21
ins.00:48:25
Indian colleagues ask me this too And00:48:28
I understand why he did this, he understood00:48:31
that there could be some negative00:48:33
attitudes towards this, I say sorry, I didn’t00:48:35
understand,00:48:38
probably there was no malicious intent, but this is simply a consequence of00:48:40
the fact that Ukraine, Indian diplomacy is not00:48:43
developed,00:48:55
underdeveloped must maintain a cool00:48:57
head because any of our nerves00:48:59
will be used by the enemy and00:49:01
ill-wishers in the West who00:49:03
will say look what they say00:49:06
look how they react look00:49:08
what kind of gratitude they have we00:49:10
gave them 300 billion00:49:12
already they say that we are00:49:16
irritated a little00:49:19
die And about the interview with Vasily00:49:21
Malyuk, the chairman of the service security of00:49:23
Ukraine, were there too many revelations00:49:26
from this side when in fact the00:49:28
Security Service of Ukraine admitted that00:49:29
this agency was behind many operations,00:49:32
told how00:49:34
certain persons were physically liquidated, was it necessary to00:49:37
talk about this? I understand that there was a00:49:39
reason Den of the Security Service of Ukraine for00:49:41
this reason By the way, the Russian side00:49:43
took advantage yesterday by striking00:49:54
Kiev on the day of the holiday in Kiev in00:49:58
special places in Kiev Just think00:50:02
better what was happening time will open the Armed Forces00:50:08
wrote well okay look at the baby in our00:50:12
country now there is healthy and sometimes00:50:14
unhealthy competition between the GUR and the SBU00:50:18
basically she is00:50:20
healthy, but it seems to me that sometimes the leaders of00:50:24
these structures are very00:50:27
frank in order to00:50:28
demonstrate their success in order00:50:31
to have influence on the President of00:50:33
Ukraine to have a public reputation,00:50:37
colleagues write that Malyuk said it00:50:39
because, well, Kostya Bondarenko, in00:50:41
particular, because we’ll argue with Kostya00:50:44
in absentia because that he is going to00:50:46
resign Vasily Vasilyevich is changing00:50:48
his profession kodan wrote I00:50:52
have been hearing from the UVO Malyuk for many00:50:55
years00:50:58
for what reason more00:51:00
precisely can he resign for what00:51:03
reason I don’t see this00:51:07
reason moreover, as far as I know the00:51:11
president Well, he considers Malyuk absolutely a00:51:14
man in his00:51:17
place Well well, okay, I think that this is00:51:21
competition and therefore sometimes00:51:23
more is said than could be said, the00:51:27
influence of achieving a subordinate00:51:30
structure is an attempt to form a00:51:33
public00:51:34
reputation, the image of Zaluzhny is already there, I beg00:51:38
you, this is an attempt to00:51:41
demonstrate to Western partners00:51:43
how00:51:45
effective we are because part of00:51:49
our successes structures,00:51:55
these are00:51:57
sea drones if we didn’t have00:51:59
the appropriate technologies,00:52:01
other people’s technologies, so all this00:52:04
leads to this00:52:06
kind of statement that Russia immediately00:52:08
uses because in Russia this is00:52:11
Malyuk’s interview, they are already organizing a00:52:14
terrorist attack in Crocus, they say, look, he himself00:52:17
admits that Ukraine acts in this00:52:20
way, that’s why it is logical that they00:52:22
did this tera need to be a little00:52:24
more careful OJ for more than two years the SBU has been00:52:27
hitting the enemy in the most painful spots every day the00:52:29
Crimean bridge warships in the00:52:31
Black Sea tanks air defense systems oil00:52:33
refineries other objects00:52:36
that work for the Russian military-industrial complex these are00:52:39
our legitimate goals because they are bringing00:52:41
war to Ukrainian soil, said the head of the00:52:43
SBU, Vasily Malyuk, if we talk00:52:46
about oil refineries and remember the publication00:52:48
that appeared on the pages of Final00:52:50
Times about the fact that the United00:52:52
States of America allegedly categorically, well, does not00:52:55
recommend Ukraine to hit oil refineries, is this00:52:58
true or false because after00:53:00
that How did this00:53:02
publication appear? The office of the president and the check00:53:04
said that this was not00:53:06
true and there were also flights to00:53:08
Russian refineries. Well, some00:53:13
members of our government confirmed this00:53:15
position of the United States and then there were several more00:53:18
retellings in the West that00:53:21
confirmed this position. I think00:53:22
this rumor is starting deliberately by the00:53:24
American side in order to00:53:28
distance itself from Ukrainian attacks on00:53:30
Russian territory for several reasons. The00:53:33
first is the agreement on00:53:35
strategic stability between00:53:37
Russia and the United States, in other words, not00:53:39
interference in internal affairs. If00:53:42
Russia establishes that the United States is interfering in the00:53:44
internal departments of Russia, Russia will begin to00:53:46
interfere in the00:53:48
American ones, too. - then it has the tools00:53:51
for this and secondly, it will burn00:53:55
Ross PZ Russian Energy00:53:57
Infrastructure, then this A could lead to the00:54:00
fact that American refineries00:54:03
and oil production facilities, for example in00:54:07
Iraq in Syria, in many other points vulnerable00:54:10
to the United States, will be on them00:54:12
terrorist attacks occur And this could lead to the00:54:14
nationalization of part of Western assets in the00:54:17
energy sector of Russia and00:54:20
we are talking about hundreds of billions of dollars and00:54:23
now Ruslan and you know, we lived freely00:54:25
involuntarily, we are returning to essentially00:54:27
where the American elections began today in November, that’s00:54:30
all00:54:32
really00:54:33
Zara Voronka about the World Cup, I tried to00:54:36
tell you in a structured way what00:54:38
all this00:54:39
revolves around, and therefore everything is very closely00:54:42
connected here. The United States can absolutely be00:54:44
involved and help Ukraine deal with these00:54:46
blows, but they will always distance themselves from them,00:54:48
don’t sing00:54:53
situ May message from00:54:56
Turkey Recep Tab Erdogan visit the00:54:58
United States of America and by the way,00:55:00
Erdogan’s visit to Biden could00:55:04
take place after Putin’s visit to00:55:08
Turkey. Let me remind you that in February Putin00:55:11
was supposed to come to Ankara, but then00:55:14
Peskov said that we are postponing the visit to the00:55:17
end of April and the beginning of May, that is,00:55:20
this is the negotiation track of who is meeting with whom00:55:22
who communicates with whom he is00:55:24
really very interested,00:55:27
the meeting of Putin00:55:29
Sinn will be important Yes, it will be important The00:55:33
Russian-Turkish negotiations are also important and00:55:56
it is said to conclude an agreement on00:55:59
anything quite00:56:01
not uncomplicated much always more difficult and00:56:05
each party when concluding some kind of00:56:06
agreement calculates the probability and00:56:09
completeness of how much percent, it will be00:56:11
fulfilled. And in order for any00:56:13
agreement to be fulfilled, it is necessary00:56:15
that the leaders have at00:56:17
least a couple of years of road ahead of them, that they00:56:20
will be in power for a couple of years, then they will be able to00:56:22
guarantee their signature on the document, it00:56:25
will look like a guarantee that this00:56:28
agreement will be fulfilled, in simple terms, until the00:56:30
American elections We can’t00:56:32
agree formally on the World Cup, then we00:56:36
appeal Yes, we won’t agree00:56:38
formally But these negotiations are important00:56:40
because Turkey is now trying to improve00:56:42
relations with the United States and will talk to both00:56:45
Trump and Biden at the same time,00:56:47
maybe Biden will make some00:56:48
concessions, these relations were ruined by the00:56:51
attempt coup d'etat at00:56:52
one time in Turkey, we remember Darz00:56:55
because Rona accused the American one00:56:57
of organizing this coup, but Turkey00:57:00
needs investment now,00:57:02
money is needed in the economy, so you know00:57:07
this, well, the Desert Fox was the name of the Arab00:57:10
rulers, I don’t know what to call00:57:13
Erdogan so beautifully, but this one is very smart00:57:15
and an experienced00:57:17
politician will now try00:57:19
to support Biden, the US President, for00:57:21
soft spots, taking into account the fact that it is00:57:23
now critical for Biden to normalize00:57:25
relations in all directions, at least00:57:27
for some time. Turkey is trying to00:57:29
sell its influence in the Middle East,00:57:31
including on the Israeli situation in00:57:34
Israel in Syria in exchange for some00:57:36
serious economic concessions and00:57:40
from the United States, in two words, global00:57:43
trading By the way, Ruslan AS Macron is no longer going to Kiev,00:57:46
he will come, French00:57:49
colleagues What they say is that he will come, but00:57:52
Macron does not want to go in vain, firstly,00:57:54
he wants to come on behalf of the euro speaks00:57:56
with Ukraine and not on behalf of France, now00:57:59
he is rolling off00:58:11
to articulate France with Ukraine,00:58:14
and secondly, after all, Macron hopes to00:58:17
come with some hints of a00:58:19
settlement, but France’s position00:58:22
today provides for one or another00:58:24
form of freezing while strengthening the00:58:26
simultaneous Western presence in00:58:29
Ukraine Ruslan But if make00:58:31
certain here are the results summarizing our00:58:34
today's Stream Well, the most Well, not that00:58:38
interesting Well, okay, let it00:58:39
be interesting, hot and in some way00:58:41
defining awaits us at the end of May,00:58:45
beginning of June, beginning of summer, I think00:58:49
that the peak of this year is the military-political00:58:52
peak of this of the year will happen in the period from July00:58:56
to the end of00:58:58
November This is the tic peak of this year and00:59:02
this year can really affect the00:59:06
decade as a whole, these are the processes that the00:59:10
events that will happen this year00:59:12
they predetermine the development of00:59:14
military-political economic00:59:16
events for the decade00:59:18
ahead Well, Dear friends, we will00:59:20
conclude Ruslan, thank you very much for00:59:23
this live broadcast for and also Thanks to00:59:27
our viewers who joined the00:59:29
live broadcast, the famous Ukrainian00:59:31
political scientist Ruslan Bortnik was00:59:33
with us today. Thank you also to those viewers I00:59:36
say in advance who will watch this00:59:37
interview are no longer subscribed to the00:59:40
recording please subscribe Well, I00:59:42
also very,00:59:45
very strongly ask all of you to subscribe to the Ruslan Bortnik channel in YouTube.00:59:47
Take care of yourself and see you again, all the00:59:49
best, goodbyeDescription:
Прямой эфир с Русланом Бортником на #политека_онлайн. https://www.youtube.com/@RUSLANBORTNIK Ведущий - Вадим Герасимович Поделитесь этим видео - https://www.youtube.com/live/EXC4TJP3zh4 В студии Politeka Online Бортник Руслан, политолог 26.3.2024 Таймкоды: 00:00 Заявления Гайдая о скором наступление рф! 05:10 Почему путин атакует энергетику Украины? 11:30 Протест против ТЦК 21:10 Мобилизации с 18 23:00 Варианты помощи Украине от США 28:30 Версии теракта в Крокус Сити! 39:40 Раздвоение Макрона 45:00 Почему Польша не сбила ракету рф? 46:35 Раздраженная реакция Германии на вопрос Taurus 49:20 Откровения главы СБУ Малюка 52:28 Игра США о запрете ударов по НПЗ рф 54:55 Цель визита Эрдогана к Байдену 57:43 Почему Макрон откладывает визит в Украину? Если вы хотите поддержать канал ПОЛИТЕКА - ✅Поставьте лайк этому видео, напишите комментарий и поделитесь им в своих соцсетях. ✅Подписывайтесь на наш канал Политека Онлайн, жмите на 🔔 и выбирайте "все уведомления", чтобы не пропустить новые видео https://www.youtube.com/c/PolitekaOnline?sub_confirmation=1 ✅Донат на карту 5168745301518087 (Назначение платежа: пополнение карточки) ✅Станьте спонсором канала Politeka Online, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHgiqmsIHN2PlQnBIRFRGGg/join Подпишитесь на Политеку в твиттере https://twitter.com/PolitekaO Все актуальные новости Украины и мира в одном приложении MY.UA: Google Play - https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.myua.news App Stope - https://apps.apple.com/ua/app/my-ua-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE-%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%83-%D1%82%D0%B0-%D1%81%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%82/id1437521768?l=uk Подписывайтесь также на каналы: People Life - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLlUjg4ipS_SgwhLgg0yQRA?sub_confirmation=1 PolitБюро –самые актуальные новости https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCas2_yXFXTsAiYxY4WfenqQ?sub_confirmation=1 Мнение гостя не всегда совпадает с нашим, но мы считаем нужным предоставлять зрителям разные точки зрения.
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