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Table of contents
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Table of contents

0:00
Вступление
3:48
Одна нация – две системы
7:20
Как разница выглядит в рейтингах
15:09
Что происходит внутри
17:36
Как Россия приложила руку к созданию этого режима
22:44
Армия превыше всего
24:43
Там правда нечего есть?
27:47
Либерализация по-северокорейски
29:01
Репрессии
29:52
Развитие в изоляции?
31:17
Вливания Китая
35:09
Контрабанда из России
36:24
Еще раз об авторитарной модернизации
41:37
Доминирование крупных корпораций
43:28
Итог – Азиатский кризис 1997 года (и дефолт в России)
46:47
Похожа ли Корея на Германию?
48:25
Шрамы от диктатур
52:50
Нынешнее руководство Южной Кореи
58:58
Южная Корея в ожидании атаки
1:01:11
Предложение альтернативы может сработать
1:03:23
Американский слон в посудной лавке
1:05:44
Кто мог бы помочь
1:09:20
О перспективах нормализации
Video tags
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Video tags

южная корея
пак кын хе
революция
революция зонтиков
протесты
импичмент
президент
заключение
мун чжэ ин
северная корея
ракета
артиллерия
ядерное оружие
ким чен ын
ссср
сталин
юго восточная азия
китай
си цзиньпин
путин
россия
коррупция
марионетка
методичка
сценарий
помощь
холодная война
трамп
мир
война
третья мировая
япония
море
испытания
флот
армия
диктатура
внешняя политика
успехи
международная политика
мировая политика
нато
латинская америка
Subtitles
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Subtitles

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  • ruRussian
Download
00:03:23
Hi friends, this is Vladimir Milov. Thank you.
00:03:26
what are you watching my youtube channel
00:03:27
be sure to subscribe to it if you
00:03:29
have not done it yet will be
00:03:31
interesting and now broadcast weekly
00:03:34
broadcast on international politics
00:03:36
Hugs with dictators healthy
00:03:38
a globalist view of what
00:03:40
happening in the world as opposed to that
00:03:42
conspiracy theories and propaganda which you
00:03:44
regularly stuffed on the Internet and on
00:03:47
TV and you asked me for a long time
00:03:49
make such a big talk about Korean
00:03:53
peninsula well this is firstly such
00:03:55
famous very bright story of two Koreas
00:03:58
North and South are absolute
00:04:01
opposites like one nation one
00:04:04
ethnic group but two completely
00:04:06
different systems their development illustrates
00:04:10
in fact, here are different ways to
00:04:12
which humanity could go there
00:04:16
a lot of interesting things in itself
00:04:18
happens but of course Korea both give us
00:04:21
a lot of reasons for discussion in connection with
00:04:23
with the latest news we certainly cannot
00:04:26
get away completely from the coronavirus epidemic
00:04:29
although now let's give you a little
00:04:31
quarantine from it rest but nevertheless
00:04:33
less here is one of the reasons for
00:04:35
Now this show was done of course
00:04:38
tremendous success which has achieved
00:04:40
South Korea in the fight against the epidemic
00:04:42
coronavirus they are very effective with it
00:04:45
fought we talked about this in detail in our
00:04:48
previous show necessarily her
00:04:51
reconsider but North Korea despite
00:04:54
for all this dandy with coronavirus
00:04:56
North Korea also does not make itself felt
00:04:58
forget first on coronavirus they
00:05:00
they say that we don’t have anything
00:05:02
healthy some citizens say
00:05:05
somewhere, someone got infected
00:05:07
citizens we have no citizens this
00:05:09
all
00:05:10
imperialist propaganda so us
00:05:12
says North Korean television
00:05:14
but nevertheless, there are pretty
00:05:17
disturbing rumors come about
00:05:20
what happens there with this epidemic
00:05:22
but not only the point is that
00:05:25
here in recent years in North Korean
00:05:29
the front grew very serious
00:05:31
tension because the DPRK is Korean
00:05:34
People's Democratic The Republic is actively leading
00:05:37
developing its nuclear program and
00:05:40
missile programs
00:05:42
boasts of nuclear weapons holds
00:05:44
nuclear tests
00:05:47
US President Donald Trump
00:05:48
tried to agree on something with their
00:05:51
leader Kim Jong-un about DPRK
00:05:54
abandoned nuclear missile program
00:05:57
and about denuclearization i.e. transformation
00:06:01
The Korean Peninsula to nuclear-free well
00:06:04
the first months of this year brought completely
00:06:07
bad news in this regard because with
00:06:11
the beginning of the year, North Korean leader Kim Jong
00:06:14
Eun bluntly declared that the DPRK refuses
00:06:17
previous policy commitments
00:06:19
denuclearization and now they are very
00:06:21
actively conduct new rocket
00:06:23
tests so far we all freaked out
00:06:27
and worried about what happens to
00:06:29
coronavirus if you just google in
00:06:31
news North Korea rocket launch
00:06:34
then there recently they gave
00:06:36
many reasons to worry this is one of
00:06:39
very serious sources
00:06:40
international tensions today and
00:06:42
here despite the fact that everyone is passionate
00:06:45
Coronavirus Korea Korean Peninsula
00:06:48
remain the place where really to
00:06:51
unfortunately a very big war is possible
00:06:53
perhaps the hardest in modern
00:06:57
the world is potentially the hardest and
00:07:00
bloody conflict
00:07:02
this tension has been growing for decades we
00:07:04
Now to you about it in a little detail
00:07:06
We will tell you, but first, a small
00:07:09
the story of such a striking contrast
00:07:11
between the two koreas it's really
00:07:15
look fantastic
00:07:20
actually Korea is like one
00:07:22
nation and there still relatively speaking half a century ago
00:07:25
there it was all about the same thing it was
00:07:28
such backward agricultural territory which
00:07:31
lived somewhere in the century before last was
00:07:34
very far from modern civilization
00:07:36
and two countries went completely
00:07:38
different ways of development
00:07:40
if you look at the numbers simply
00:07:43
this difference looks perfect
00:07:45
fantastic well for example
00:07:49
nominal GDP per capita South
00:07:52
Korea is ahead of North by more than
00:07:54
forty times that is GDP per capita
00:07:58
in South Korea it's somewhere around 30 thousand
00:08:00
dollars a year to North there type 700
00:08:03
800 dollars although there is no normal
00:08:06
statistics are all estimates but not
00:08:08
it’s less obvious that there are people
00:08:11
live very poorly if you smooth these
00:08:14
differences in parity
00:08:16
purchasing power there difference
00:08:18
smaller somewhere around 20 times 40 thousand
00:08:22
dollars in south korea against there about
00:08:25
2 thousand in North
00:08:26
but just colossal nonetheless
00:08:29
the abyss North Korea is one
00:08:31
from the poorest countries in the world
00:08:34
South Korea has evolved over the past
00:08:37
decades into such a sufficiently developed
00:08:40
a country with a high standard of living by the way
00:08:43
speaking high human
00:08:46
development for example there is such an index
00:08:48
human development organization
00:08:50
United Nations which is integrated
00:08:53
evaluates the quality of life in different
00:08:55
countries there is healthcare education
00:08:58
life span
00:08:59
level of inequality and social
00:09:02
bundles there are many criteria here
00:09:04
who are trying so complex
00:09:06
way to evaluate how much people
00:09:09
live well in a particular country
00:09:11
as far as possible the future
00:09:14
and so on so here is South Korea in this
00:09:17
ranking takes 22nd place in the world this
00:09:21
very very high position Russian
00:09:24
Federation by the way so you understand
00:09:26
takes 49 that is, we are unfortunately in
00:09:29
overall in the middle of the first hundred
00:09:32
countries in terms of human development and
00:09:33
South Koreans are far ahead of us
00:09:37
closer to the first twenty countries where people
00:09:40
the best thing
00:09:42
living this is of course an incredible jerk
00:09:44
which this country committed North
00:09:48
Korea's ranking
00:09:49
UN Human Development Index no
00:09:52
in general, that is, they used to be there
00:09:53
published it but stopped doing it
00:09:55
because there is no reliable data
00:09:58
well, and so for half a century
00:10:01
there was a completely obvious scatter in
00:10:04
developmental levels in people's quality of life
00:10:07
in these two countries although I repeat that
00:10:10
they started from about the same
00:10:14
and South Korea generally needs
00:10:17
say it demonstrates herself so
00:10:20
the largest player on the world stage
00:10:22
today and generally a country in which
00:10:25
much worth being equal to that is, it breathes there
00:10:29
in the back 10 of the world's largest economies and
00:10:31
somewhere here it is located at 11 12 13
00:10:35
line in the world in terms of economy
00:10:38
gross domestic product than
00:10:41
we are interested in South Korea
00:10:43
so that this is how they say this
00:10:45
a planet that in all its properties
00:10:47
very similar to our size we have
00:10:49
the economy is about the same here until
00:10:53
our all last infernal devaluations
00:10:55
ruble South Korea was roughly equal to Russia
00:10:59
that is, it is somewhere
00:11:00
trillion 700 billion dollars
00:11:02
nominal GDP and now we have a little bit
00:11:05
smaller due to the fact that the ruble
00:11:07
devalued here we are South Korea
00:11:10
once again skip forward that is
00:11:12
we are about the same size but
00:11:15
level of development modernization development
00:11:18
quality infrastructure institutes
00:11:20
South Korea is far ahead of life
00:11:24
Russia and this is generally very interesting
00:11:28
a phenomenon because we are used to consider ourselves
00:11:29
such a big and great country
00:11:32
I believe that this is some kind of optical
00:11:34
the illusion associated with this card
00:11:36
Mercator when you look and such a Russia
00:11:39
there is huge on this map
00:11:40
the rest are small
00:11:42
yes, that is, if you see on the wall
00:11:44
world map you can be south korea there
00:11:47
You won’t find it right away.
00:11:49
small microscopic at the time
00:11:51
how Russia is spread there from one
00:11:54
ocean to the other and to the third but on the very
00:11:58
In fact, the phenomenon is that according to
00:12:00
the size of the economy, these countries are the same
00:12:02
South Korea and Russia in terms of quality of life
00:12:06
as we said
00:12:07
South Korea has gone far ahead not only
00:12:10
By the way, for the quality of life, for example, another
00:12:14
history is such an observatory
00:12:17
economic complexity in Massachusetts
00:12:19
Institute of Technology is one of
00:12:22
leading universities in the world which deals
00:12:25
evaluation of innovation including
00:12:28
the complexity of the economic structure
00:12:29
countries they have such a world
00:12:31
economic difficulty rating i.e.
00:12:33
you are roughly speaking some kind of primitive
00:12:36
a pump that pumps oil and just
00:12:38
sells it for export or you can
00:12:41
produce
00:12:42
some wide range of all
00:12:45
technologically sophisticated products with
00:12:47
high value added which
00:12:49
in demand in the world so here is South Korea
00:12:52
in this ranking of economic complexity
00:12:55
is in sixth place in the world
00:12:59
Russia at 27 is of course phenomenal
00:13:03
just a fantastic story how much
00:13:06
South Koreans have come off not only from their
00:13:09
northern neighbor but also from us for example
00:13:11
even more northern but no less
00:13:15
African essentially a neighbor and here you are
00:13:19
fresh example you may have heard that
00:13:22
Russia is trying to develop its
00:13:24
shipbuilding
00:13:25
here is the head of Rosneft, Igor Sechin, together with
00:13:29
Gazprombank and others there
00:13:30
government agencies
00:13:31
they founded in the Far East such
00:13:34
Shipyard Star which they are trying now
00:13:37
pump up state-owned companies with
00:13:39
construction of large ships in Russia
00:13:42
shipbuilding does not exist at all
00:13:44
on the data on the release of vessels by our
00:13:48
enterprises there without tears impossible
00:13:50
watch it just a few pieces in
00:13:52
year So Putin and Sechin put
00:13:55
the task of creating modern shipbuilding
00:13:58
so they decided to pump a bunch of resources into
00:14:01
development of this shipyard Star
00:14:03
you know who really helps us
00:14:06
do
00:14:07
South Korean shipbuilders who are on
00:14:10
are actually some of the champions
00:14:12
world and are in the big three
00:14:16
shipbuilding powers which are
00:14:18
major ship manufacturers
00:14:21
ships and their suppliers on the world
00:14:23
their technology market and product quality
00:14:27
considered exemplary in fact
00:14:30
in fact what are we doing here is what Putin is with
00:14:32
Sechin conceived to do in order to develop in
00:14:36
Russian modern shipbuilding is simple
00:14:38
bring here the south Koreans with their
00:14:40
technologies with their skills so that they are us
00:14:43
built a shipyard ourselves this we don't
00:14:46
we can give you a simple illustration
00:14:49
huge difference in economic
00:14:52
the complexity of the device of our economies is
00:14:55
there is South Korea it has gone far ahead
00:14:57
not only from North but also from Russia
00:15:00
and of course it has something to learn
00:15:07
Well, here against this background, Korean
00:15:11
People's Democratic Republic
00:15:13
North Korea
00:15:14
It looks of course just awful this one
00:15:18
of the poorest most closed countries
00:15:20
the world with the most disenfranchised population that is
00:15:23
North Korea’s GDP is somewhere in
00:15:26
120 places in the world in terms of GDP per capita
00:15:30
180 people in general almost on the
00:15:34
the bottom there is possibly the poorest population
00:15:37
there’s probably still
00:15:39
some African countries where
00:15:42
the situation is even worse but nevertheless here
00:15:45
people there really live very poorly
00:15:48
the hardest story is that
00:15:51
North Koreans are absolutely powerless then
00:15:54
if South Korea is developed
00:15:56
a very high democracy
00:15:59
level of civil and political
00:16:00
press freedom and so on
00:16:04
North Korea such
00:16:06
concepts as human rights law
00:16:07
there is no citizen at all
00:16:10
that is, people there are exposed to massive
00:16:14
and very cruel pressure from
00:16:17
authorities and repressive machine literally
00:16:19
daily in 2014 there was a special
00:16:23
report on rights violations
00:16:27
koreans
00:16:29
for the UN General Assembly there
00:16:32
contain such tragic
00:16:34
conclusions that such a large-scale and
00:16:37
systematic violation of human rights
00:16:40
maybe not anywhere else in the world and
00:16:44
actually what can we say there
00:16:46
daily slave labor
00:16:48
human trafficking state participation in
00:16:52
a wide variety of criminal operations
00:16:55
in the international arena, concentration
00:16:57
camps where concentrated and forced
00:17:02
work hundreds of thousands of North residents
00:17:04
Korea's torture and political repression
00:17:07
even there is no such thing as
00:17:09
political opposition is prohibited there
00:17:12
oppose the authorities but in the framework here
00:17:15
this understandable and familiar to us fear policy
00:17:18
there
00:17:20
huge number many thousands
00:17:22
North Koreans are constantly exposed
00:17:25
pressure from authorities overwhelmed
00:17:27
prisons in general it's such a worst
00:17:30
illustration of a totalitarian regime in the spirit
00:17:33
Orwell which it may be and I must
00:17:37
say that unfortunately my friends here
00:17:39
our country had a hand in
00:17:42
in a serious way to this
00:17:44
regime as it is in
00:17:47
that
00:17:48
what happened that's how it happened
00:17:51
Korea’s division into two parts
00:17:55
that Korea was under protectorate
00:17:57
and control of Japan during the Second
00:17:59
world war it was occupied and
00:18:01
when Japan was defeated then Korea
00:18:04
liberated from the north the Soviet Union and with
00:18:07
southern United States and here they are somewhere
00:18:10
reached a similar story like here for example
00:18:13
the division of Germany into East and
00:18:15
Western after World War II here
00:18:17
the same similar situation occurred in
00:18:20
Korea
00:18:21
Soviet and American troops
00:18:23
stopped at 38 parallels all that
00:18:26
north controlled by the Soviets
00:18:28
everything south was under control
00:18:31
Americans and that's where it came from
00:18:33
notorious
00:18:35
this cruel closed
00:18:37
North Korean regime
00:18:38
it is actually a system that was
00:18:42
founded by Soviet occupation
00:18:44
the authorities
00:18:46
that is, this dynasty with which
00:18:49
began his reign first
00:18:52
North Korean Communist Leader
00:18:54
Kim Il Sung it was staged
00:18:57
actually lead the Soviets first
00:19:00
North Korean leader who
00:19:02
actually created the system that we
00:19:06
Now there we had was not Kim Il
00:19:08
Sep and there was such a Soviet general Terenty
00:19:11
Shtykov is actually an ethnic Belarusian
00:19:14
by nationality
00:19:15
By the way, in Belarus we are in one of
00:19:17
We’ll talk about the next gears. I know that you
00:19:19
ask a lot about it really it
00:19:21
important topic
00:19:22
but now not about Belarus but now about
00:19:24
North Korea so it’s actually a builder
00:19:27
that system of state institutions and
00:19:30
expropriation of land
00:19:32
and plantings of this complete totalitarian
00:19:35
control over society was this one actually
00:19:38
ruler of North Korea
00:19:39
from 45 to 48 years Terenty Shtykov
00:19:44
in fact, here is such a Soviet military
00:19:47
the gauleiter who actually built
00:19:50
the mode that exists from about 0:19:53.400,0:20:00.200 by the same institutions, in general, still
00:19:55
and Kim Il Sung is this first leader
00:20:00
communist leader of North Korea he
00:20:02
was the man whose general
00:20:05
Shtykov essentially proposed to Stalin says
00:20:07
here I have a faithful dude here come on means
00:20:10
we are all occupation institutions
00:20:12
we built the Soviet administration
00:20:15
stop and, as it were, pass it to him
00:20:17
management here I recommend you here
00:20:19
that means guy yes therefore
00:20:21
North Korean
00:20:22
mythology, it comes from the fact that Kim Il
00:20:25
Sen means was so great revolutionary
00:20:28
the fighter who overthrew the invaders there and
00:20:30
so on and built there
00:20:33
communist paradise for
00:20:34
the North Korean people actually
00:20:37
it was just a banal accomplice of the invaders
00:20:39
who have chosen to lead this country
00:20:42
because it was firstly the most
00:20:44
cruel to one’s own people
00:20:46
secondly the most obedient to such
00:20:49
way right away so that there is an understanding
00:20:52
what is modern
00:20:54
North Korea is essentially the only
00:20:57
here I am now nothing
00:20:59
exaggerating the only surviving
00:21:01
in the world of dinosaur yes dinosaurs exist
00:21:05
the only surviving in the world
00:21:07
the remainder of the Stalinist management system in
00:21:12
the form in which it existed in
00:21:14
the late forties of the last century
00:21:16
because now imagine if
00:21:19
you want to draw for example
00:21:23
a fantastic picture of what would be there well
00:21:25
if Stalin let’s say let’s still say
00:21:28
years to 90 or did he have any
00:21:30
sons to whom he is in the spirit
00:21:33
totalitarian dictators would then convey
00:21:35
power and they kept about the same
00:21:38
system now if you want to take a look at
00:21:42
what was Stalin
00:21:45
Russia, the Stalinist Soviet Union with us
00:21:47
Now it’s very fashionable to say about Stalin that
00:21:49
here he was such an effective manager he was
00:21:51
such a cool leader and so on
00:21:53
look at North Korea kittens here
00:21:56
this is exactly what was ours
00:21:59
socio-political system at a time when
00:22:02
Stalin was alive and he built exactly the same
00:22:05
such a story within the Soviet
00:22:09
occupation administration in North
00:22:11
Korea, this whole thing in its original
00:22:14
the same in the form exists until
00:22:17
still and actually what's there
00:22:22
uniquely poor by world standards
00:22:24
population there are no growth prospects and
00:22:27
development this is really a classic
00:22:30
what would the Stalinist system lead us to
00:22:33
even if the Soviet communist
00:22:35
the leaders did not understand that in general it does not work
00:22:38
and we wouldn’t start it ourselves gradually
00:22:42
dismantle and one of the important properties
00:22:44
this totalitarian system consists in
00:22:47
the fact that it is trying to select as much as possible
00:22:51
own resources have more resources
00:22:53
how do we know this for you
00:22:56
to solve some of their political
00:22:58
and geopolitical tasks
00:23:00
for example, in North Korea
00:23:04
such a songun principle which is essentially
00:23:07
translates as army above all
00:23:09
which says that you are there
00:23:12
you will eat the earth you will have nothing
00:23:15
but we will take all that you have and
00:23:17
give to keep the army so
00:23:20
protect yourself from some external
00:23:22
the enemy here for the sake of construction and
00:23:25
maintaining the mentality of this
00:23:27
besieged fortress leadership of the DPRK
00:23:30
takes incredible resources from their
00:23:34
citizens and in fact if you for example
00:23:37
look at the ratings of the largest and
00:23:39
the most powerful armies in the world you will see
00:23:43
that North Korea is not there at all on such
00:23:45
positions as we say in the ranking
00:23:47
economic or human
00:23:48
development that is for different ratings
00:23:52
the forces and capabilities of the world army of the DPRK
00:23:55
there it enters the top 25 or even in
00:23:57
twenty but at the same time as I said
00:24:00
for example, per capita GDP
00:24:02
like there 180 in the world and more than 40 times
00:24:07
lagging behind it south Korean neighbor
00:24:10
for example per nominal GDP per capita yes
00:24:13
but nonetheless for the army they
00:24:16
there are resources
00:24:19
one of the principles of the Stalinist model
00:24:20
control so inhuman
00:24:22
exploitation of people and their own
00:24:24
for the sake of maintaining this
00:24:26
geopolitical greatness it is very
00:24:29
We are familiar with you.
00:24:32
music in recent years unfortunately
00:24:34
quite actively heard at our home from
00:24:37
The Kremlin here what extremes it can reach
00:24:40
we can see the example of the North
00:24:43
Korea actually for the sake of justice
00:24:45
I must say that well, right, that's not all
00:24:47
as awful as was customary
00:24:50
discuss in recent years with us that is
00:24:53
DPRK really deserved in many respects
00:24:55
became a symbol of poverty and lack of rights in the world
00:24:58
but you can hear a lot of stories there
00:25:00
what are there people starving really eat
00:25:03
grass because there is nothing on the
00:25:05
in fact, this is not quite so I can say
00:25:08
where does it come from this comes from the 90s
00:25:12
years when there was really very
00:25:14
serious in DPRK was serious
00:25:16
humanitarian crisis and essentially five
00:25:20
years of real such a famine
00:25:22
the fact is that it was direct
00:25:25
continuation of the story of the collapse
00:25:28
Soviet Union when after graduation
00:25:30
life of the USSR well, our country is just
00:25:32
stopped throwing huge billions
00:25:34
to maintain these idiotic
00:25:37
dictatorial regimes around the world here
00:25:40
North Korea was there fell one of the victims
00:25:43
of this new course, yes, we just
00:25:46
stopped taking money from ours
00:25:48
citizens to give them somehow
00:25:50
to dictators, and so here are the North Korean
00:25:53
dictators stopped receiving from
00:25:55
Soviet Union tremendous help
00:25:57
the problem is that this country is just in
00:26:00
the power of its geography by the power of its
00:26:02
the landscape
00:26:03
well there is simply not enough
00:26:05
cultivated agricultural land in order
00:26:07
to feed their own population and
00:26:10
she is forced to import into
00:26:13
much food and myself
00:26:15
cannot provide himself with food there
00:26:18
everything was superimposed on terrible natural
00:26:21
cataclysms there are floods and so on well
00:26:23
in short, this is a famous story
00:26:25
about the North Korean famine of 94-98
00:26:29
there was certainly a scary
00:26:31
humanitarian disaster its victims
00:26:34
hundreds of thousands of people really here
00:26:36
people just had nothing physically to eat
00:26:38
and it was such a full-fledged modern
00:26:42
the famine these all stories go up to
00:26:46
of our days
00:26:47
but of course over the last thirty years there
00:26:51
the situation has changed quite seriously then
00:26:53
there is primarily when it’s almost there
00:26:56
a decade ago, this one came to power
00:26:58
young dictator Kim Jong-un then he's in
00:27:01
generally started there well what can be called
00:27:04
certain economic reforms
00:27:06
that is, he essentially gave the North Korean families
00:27:09
such a certain proto-independence in
00:27:12
family type economic plan
00:27:14
contract some prototype appeared there
00:27:17
quasi-market relations this is of course everything
00:27:19
quite far from modern
00:27:21
market capitalism but nonetheless
00:27:24
it was a step from completely
00:27:26
totalitarian redistribution
00:27:27
system which is how in the nineties we
00:27:30
seen just not enough food well
00:27:32
it means no yes and here we are in the Soviet
00:27:34
Union remember this in the eighties when the system
00:27:38
centralized supply just
00:27:39
collapsed and it was eat I apologize
00:27:41
nothing here in North Korea was all
00:27:44
the same thing only worse then came here
00:27:47
this young local Gorbachev who
00:27:50
allowed a little bit a little bit
00:27:52
loosened the reins allowed some
00:27:54
market relations and in this regard
00:27:57
I have many friends who
00:27:58
periodically they go there they say
00:28:00
Listen, well, these are all the horrors that are straight
00:28:02
nothing to eat it all wrong
00:28:04
there is there appeared a certain average
00:28:06
class some kind of economic life in
00:28:09
North Korea goes there and it’s generally
00:28:13
once again to us
00:28:16
confirms a very simple truth that
00:28:19
normal market relations
00:28:20
modern market economy relations
00:28:23
goods money goods
00:28:24
enables people to live better and in
00:28:28
in this respect, in contrast, totalitarian
00:28:32
redistribution system just
00:28:34
personifies all these horrors
00:28:36
hunger lack of perspective and so
00:28:38
further, but unfortunately here it is necessary
00:28:41
to say directly that this particular
00:28:45
economic microliberalization
00:28:48
which slightly relieved the tension there
00:28:51
here in terms of living standards and literally there
00:28:54
care for basic food and
00:28:57
threat of hunger yes these are the threats
00:28:59
moved a little
00:29:00
but nevertheless this microliberalization
00:29:03
in the field of economics, it does not
00:29:06
accompanied by liberalization
00:29:07
political i.e. political
00:29:10
plan DPRK residents are powerless as
00:29:13
never is it totally totalitarian
00:29:15
the system that makes them not there
00:29:18
what is daily and every second
00:29:20
prove allegiance to superiors is very
00:29:23
many people are sentenced to punishment and
00:29:26
even in jail that's not even because they
00:29:28
disloyal
00:29:29
but just for fear, yes that is
00:29:31
randomly choose there 1 2 3 here you are the fourth
00:29:35
now you’ll sit down so that others are not good
00:29:37
was that is, in its pure form, here
00:29:39
the Stalinist system as it is in this
00:29:44
plan of course there is Kim Jong-un
00:29:46
call serious
00:29:47
a reformer
00:29:50
the main thing here is that I wanted to say that
00:29:52
the paradox is this when
00:29:56
this soviet
00:29:58
appointed by the soviet regime
00:30:01
ruler of North Korea Kim Il Sung
00:30:04
which was its first leaders and here
00:30:07
participated in the creation of this entire system
00:30:09
still living when he came to
00:30:12
he announced
00:30:13
such you may have heard the principle
00:30:15
Juche what type are we developing
00:30:18
on our own we do not need any
00:30:21
interaction with the outside world
00:30:23
some kind of external help and so on we
00:30:25
self-reliant
00:30:28
we’re building some kind of our own there supposedly
00:30:30
well-being yes that is when we even
00:30:32
Russia now has discussions about what
00:30:35
Putin in fact leads Russia to autarchy to
00:30:38
isolation from the outside world to some
00:30:40
isolation and backwardness
00:30:42
we often remember this word in Juche
00:30:45
how is the North Korean model such
00:30:47
self-reliance so that's funny
00:30:50
the paradox here is what is not
00:30:53
no juche because this mode is not
00:30:56
would have survived and just collapsed physically even
00:30:59
not in terms of some kind of rebellion, but he
00:31:01
would just disintegrate and stop
00:31:04
function if not large
00:31:07
first aid infusions
00:31:10
communist China and of course in
00:31:13
the last years of Putin's dictatorship
00:31:19
Communist China is essentially
00:31:21
today the main hotbed of all the bad
00:31:24
this authoritarian dictatorial
00:31:27
ideology as an alternative
00:31:29
liberal world order we many times this
00:31:32
discussed we had a separate broadcast
00:31:34
about China be sure to look and
00:31:35
Of course, China plays a very important
00:31:38
the role of this evil uncle
00:31:40
on the Korean peninsula which
00:31:43
impedes the liberation of democratization
00:31:46
and integration into the civilized world of the DPRK
00:31:49
North Korea essentially it advocates
00:31:52
the main guarantor of preserving this
00:31:54
inhuman North Korean regime
00:31:57
he saved them many times since
00:32:01
what after the Second World War in
00:32:03
The 50s there turned around very
00:32:05
bloody Korean war we are now
00:32:07
let's say a few words about her
00:32:10
essentially South Korea would be in this war
00:32:11
won with the help of the Americans if
00:32:15
China did not intervene and did not save
00:32:18
North Korean regime
00:32:20
the next story was in the 90s this hunger in
00:32:23
North Korea about which I tell you
00:32:24
told also came Chinese
00:32:28
massive Chinese help China during
00:32:30
thanks a lot
00:32:33
market reforms its economy has become
00:32:35
stronger and it came and saved
00:32:37
almost collapsed at that time
00:32:41
North Korean regime, that is, if it weren’t for
00:32:43
participation of China well there would just
00:32:45
the state could be disintegrated and needed
00:32:48
there would be some kind of international
00:32:51
humanitarian intervention so that's it
00:32:52
business to save but intervened China pumped them
00:32:57
resources and essentially helped them
00:33:00
save Chinese help today
00:33:03
is the foundation of survival
00:33:06
North Korean regime, that is, here I am
00:33:08
told you about a country with maybe
00:33:11
the most inhuman rule and
00:33:14
the world's poorest people who
00:33:17
is the guarantor of the preservation of this
00:33:19
situations the Chinese communists they
00:33:22
strongly oppose
00:33:25
to seriously discuss the issue
00:33:27
the merger of the two Koreas by analogy with
00:33:30
the prosecution of Germany which decided to
00:33:33
actually the problem of integrating the poor and
00:33:35
backward German Democratic
00:33:37
Republics to a richer developed
00:33:39
West Germany and even though
00:33:43
there it was not without difficulties, but
00:33:45
nonetheless we have a strong today
00:33:48
united democratic Germany instead
00:33:51
that cruel confrontation which
00:33:55
took place in Germany and throughout Eastern
00:33:58
Europe in the second half of the twentieth
00:34:00
centuries the same story could happen
00:34:03
and on the Korean peninsula
00:34:05
integration topic has been discussed for a long time
00:34:08
combining two Koreas into a single
00:34:10
modern democratic state
00:34:12
who is against this case China
00:34:15
categorically they consider Chinese
00:34:17
Communists believe that, well, of course
00:34:19
what's the only way to integrate
00:34:21
this is actually absorption
00:34:24
undeveloped backward North Korea more
00:34:27
major more developed strong south
00:34:30
Korea, well, it’s clear that this is the only
00:34:32
way to solve this problem
00:34:35
unification of the Korean nation Korean
00:34:37
the peninsula well, as the Chinese reason
00:34:40
the communists it is not profitable for us, South Korea is
00:34:44
representative of a developed democratic
00:34:45
of the world like this, right at our side
00:34:49
puppet friendly us dictatorial
00:34:51
mode will cease to exist and its
00:34:54
developed democracy will absorb
00:34:56
the order is contrary to our Chinese
00:34:59
geopolitical interests and actually
00:35:01
China is the guarantor of the DPRK’s preservation in
00:35:06
that impoverished and totalitarian kind of which we
00:35:09
they said another guarantor, of course, Putin
00:35:12
Putin does not play such a big role I
00:35:15
I want to say right away how the Chinese are in
00:35:17
maintaining the North Korean regime but
00:35:20
plays a significant role such as Putin
00:35:23
helps North Korea very actively
00:35:25
economically in particular helps her
00:35:28
circumvent sanctions and even because of this
00:35:32
Putin's Russia has faced
00:35:33
certain problems in recent
00:35:36
years well this is a pretty obvious thing that ours
00:35:40
help them smuggle
00:35:42
illegal export of coal and other
00:35:45
goods and Putin along with the Chinese here
00:35:49
such an alliance of dictators
00:35:52
traditional Putin along with the Chinese
00:35:54
makes a very serious contribution to survival
00:35:57
this inhuman
00:35:58
North Korean regime
00:36:00
the obvious conclusion from this is despite
00:36:03
all this chatter about Juche and your own
00:36:05
reliance solely on self in
00:36:08
reality the North Korean regime has long
00:36:11
would cease to exist
00:36:13
if not for massive external help
00:36:15
from dictatorial China and
00:36:18
dictatorial Russia
00:36:23
against this background, South Korea looks
00:36:27
of course in stark contrast like me
00:36:29
she already said literally in a few
00:36:31
decades jumped just committed
00:36:34
incredible jerk of overall pretty
00:36:36
backward Asian country to one of
00:36:38
most developed
00:36:39
modern states and here you are
00:36:42
you know i wanted to talk about one thing
00:36:46
a very, very interesting moment here in Russia
00:36:50
such a theory has always been popular
00:36:53
so-called authoritarian modernization
00:36:55
that here democracy is bad for
00:36:58
making some kind of breakthrough into the future
00:37:01
because democracy is
00:37:02
slowness some eternal debate
00:37:05
it means conversations in the ranks and so on
00:37:07
but we need such an enlightened dictator
00:37:10
who will hold some kind of liberal
00:37:13
reform
00:37:14
will hire some chicago boys
00:37:16
who will spend some
00:37:19
economic liberalization and here
00:37:21
accordingly, everything will bloom actively here
00:37:23
this dictatorial authoritarian mythology
00:37:26
she unfortunately in the last few
00:37:29
decades has been very strong
00:37:31
widespread and badly affected
00:37:33
including Russia because we have this
00:37:36
early Putin's becoming
00:37:38
possible also because
00:37:40
many people in society unfortunately
00:37:43
tolerant of the idea of ​​dictatorship
00:37:45
which will put things in order
00:37:48
authoritarian liberal reforms
00:37:50
modernization and then it already means
00:37:52
something there often cited as an example
00:37:57
In this regard, Pinochet in Chile, we will
00:38:00
here
00:38:01
told we had a separate
00:38:02
show about latin america we
00:38:04
talked about what actually
00:38:07
Pinochet's economic policies in Chile
00:38:10
she was not at all as successful as about
00:38:12
this is customary to say and by the way
00:38:14
interesting
00:38:16
on this subject a thought has recently been expressed
00:38:18
Konstantin Sonin our famous economist
00:38:21
he is engaged with colleagues
00:38:24
studies of these
00:38:26
authoritarian states and their history and
00:38:28
they investigated including Chile he
00:38:31
says one very simple thing yes
00:38:34
with authoritarian modernization possible
00:38:37
some jerks in terms of economic
00:38:39
growth
00:38:40
but structural crises which
00:38:43
happen under dictatorship they happen
00:38:45
much deeper than it would be if
00:38:47
was just normal democratic
00:38:50
market economy therefore these rates
00:38:52
rapid growth which
00:38:54
last a few years then
00:38:56
turn much deeper
00:38:58
falling than under normal conditions and in
00:39:01
the result when you are on a long interval
00:39:02
look, it turns out about the same
00:39:04
that is, differences in terms
00:39:06
growth no modernization authoritarian
00:39:09
cruel opponents killed or
00:39:12
transplanted
00:39:13
were kind of like at the initial stage there
00:39:16
some high growth rates and then they
00:39:18
disappeared and integrally it turns out that
00:39:21
the situation is no better we are in our
00:39:24
Latin America program for you
00:39:25
told in detail about this situation
00:39:28
Chile as an example
00:39:30
that Pinochet’s reign turned around
00:39:32
severe economic crisis in the 80s
00:39:34
years the biggest collapse which eventually
00:39:37
led to the fall of his reign on
00:39:41
actually south korea
00:39:43
this is a classic example from the same
00:39:47
row there was such a dictator Park Jung Hee
00:39:50
who ruled from 61 to 79 years past
00:39:54
centuries here is Park Jung Hee considered one of
00:39:57
examples
00:39:58
authoritarian modernization is just
00:40:00
type google read it and you
00:40:03
see a lot of such reviews that yes he was
00:40:06
very cruel dictator but nonetheless
00:40:08
he made from south korea that's very
00:40:11
many attribute to him this
00:40:14
economic miracle they are saying here he is from
00:40:16
backward agrarian country
00:40:18
made such a modern developed
00:40:19
economy with large corporations and so
00:40:22
further here are my friends we are now this myth
00:40:25
we will refute with you and move on to
00:40:29
our traditional frequent rubric is better
00:40:32
thousand words
00:40:33
now you will see the graph on the screen
00:40:36
this is actually the gross graph
00:40:37
domestic product
00:40:38
South Korea by year from this graph
00:40:42
it is very clearly visible that just a jerk
00:40:46
South Korea started committing from the end
00:40:49
80s when the last military
00:40:52
dictator Chun Doo-hwan at 88
00:40:54
year left the board replaced him
00:40:57
civilian president Ro Dae Woo who was
00:41:00
the successor of this whole authoritarian
00:41:02
systems but he started serious
00:41:04
political and economic reforms on
00:41:07
essence like Gorbachev and further into the 90s South
00:41:11
Korea has already become normal developed
00:41:13
a competitive democracy
00:41:16
political system
00:41:17
that is, it’s very clear on this graph
00:41:20
it’s clear that this modernization
00:41:23
jerk it didn’t happen under the dictatorship of Pak Chun Hee
00:41:26
and it happened after the start
00:41:28
democratization of Korea and
00:41:31
this is quite pretty
00:41:33
obvious thing in terms
00:41:35
time series but there is another
00:41:38
the story is that is Pak Jung Hee
00:41:40
love those who are him there
00:41:42
fans of all this authoritarian
00:41:45
modernization according to the South Korean model they
00:41:48
often cited as an example is that Park Jung
00:41:50
Hee developed a system in South Korea
00:41:54
dominance in these large corporations
00:41:56
which are called chaebols you probably too
00:41:59
heard this word very often by the way
00:42:03
often uses in Russian
00:42:04
economic discussions say but
00:42:07
South Korea made a dash because
00:42:11
there were large chaebol corporations and
00:42:13
here on such a model we and Russian
00:42:17
economic development supposedly necessary
00:42:19
only to build forces of large
00:42:21
corporations means you need to somehow move
00:42:23
economy forward but this is some kind of
00:42:25
economic little thing there
00:42:27
it hangs like Putin says alone
00:42:30
solid speculators and no benefit from
00:42:33
they don’t exist, so actually it’s still
00:42:36
one myth because this monopoly
00:42:39
economic structure that's how we we
00:42:41
talked about Chile for example
00:42:42
and generally about authoritarian
00:42:44
modernization it is accompanied by large
00:42:46
structural distortion you are a dictator
00:42:49
appoint the so-called
00:42:51
national champions
00:42:52
which become essentially
00:42:54
monopolies monopolies if you look
00:42:58
my show Where is the money for
00:43:00
Navalny Life the best show about the economy
00:43:03
in Russia we are constantly talking about
00:43:05
what monopolies
00:43:07
this is the main poison for any economy
00:43:10
because they create barriers to
00:43:12
competition growth and innovation for
00:43:14
investors they wind up all the time
00:43:17
prices while throwing a ton of money
00:43:19
wrong way and the quality of their services is declining
00:43:22
that's exactly the same story happened in
00:43:26
South Korea with a chaebol culmination of which
00:43:29
knew that if you forgot or not
00:43:32
knew be sure to run read about it
00:43:35
immediately it's an asian financial
00:43:38
the crisis of 1997 which actually
00:43:43
hurt us too
00:43:45
you probably know everything this is scary
00:43:47
the word default which Russia declared in
00:43:50
August 98th, here's a direct
00:43:54
the cause of those economic difficulties
00:43:55
which we then had was Asian
00:43:58
financial crisis that brought down markets
00:44:00
brought down oil brought down our budget
00:44:05
situation and financial balance of our
00:44:07
state then there is a default in Russia probably
00:44:11
would not happen if not for this
00:44:13
financial crisis that erupted in
00:44:16
97 in Asia and
00:44:18
number in South Korea and the reason for this
00:44:21
the crisis was largely these large
00:44:23
monopolies corporations chaebols what are they
00:44:26
did they invest so simply if
00:44:29
explain I think in a Russian example
00:44:31
you will understand
00:44:32
we had many such crises in
00:44:36
recent years large corporations
00:44:39
invested a lot of money hell knows
00:44:41
into what is called bad assets
00:44:45
there was not enough market
00:44:48
competitive environment
00:44:49
they managed the money as they wanted in
00:44:51
eventually accumulated debts and clarification that
00:44:54
the investments they made
00:44:56
were not very effective and did not bring
00:44:58
the return on which the leadership of these
00:45:01
large corporations counted here
00:45:04
by the way after the crisis of '97 South Korea
00:45:08
greatly overestimated the role of chaebols in
00:45:11
economy and did a lot for
00:45:14
changes in the structure of the economy and for
00:45:16
corporate governance improvements
00:45:18
but here I am all that what I say that on
00:45:22
in fact, this is a myth that dictatorship
00:45:24
Park Jung Hee shot some kind of
00:45:26
effective system that provided
00:45:28
South Korea jerk just like
00:45:31
Pinochet system in Chile essentially
00:45:34
here is this chaebol system which
00:45:36
lined up dictator Park jung hee she
00:45:39
ended in an economic crisis very
00:45:41
deep economic crisis in
00:45:43
97 South Korea lost there
00:45:47
third of GDP currency devalued by a third it was
00:45:50
a very painful blow to
00:45:51
economy, and in fact, this
00:45:54
bold line under this system
00:45:57
chaebols of large corporations of monopolies
00:46:00
which was built by the dictatorial
00:46:02
Park Jung-hee system and that's actually
00:46:05
when the south korean economy from this
00:46:07
monopoly authoritarian heritage
00:46:09
cleared when it started more actively
00:46:12
integrate into the global world and
00:46:13
by the way concluded a large number
00:46:16
free trade agreements with
00:46:17
developed countries gained access to
00:46:20
then export markets
00:46:23
its competitive products
00:46:25
shot and in fact this
00:46:28
South Korean economic miracle
00:46:29
is not a consequence of dictatorship
00:46:32
which was in Korea in the sixties
00:46:35
seventies eighties
00:46:36
and subsequent reforms that occurred
00:46:40
after the democratization of the country after
00:46:43
start of normal construction
00:46:45
modern market democracy so
00:46:47
if you let it go
00:46:49
some hell that's very interesting
00:46:51
really draw parallels between
00:46:53
let's say Korea and Germany because in
00:46:57
Germany, for example, were American
00:47:00
occupation forces after the Second
00:47:02
world war Germany got a huge
00:47:04
American help like South Korea
00:47:06
but nonetheless South Korea basically
00:47:10
until the end of the 80s and beginning of the 90s
00:47:13
continued to be quite
00:47:15
peripheral country despite all that
00:47:19
mythology that you can hear about
00:47:22
supposedly effective authoritarian
00:47:24
modernizer dictator Park Jung Hee
00:47:27
nevertheless, Germany developed according to
00:47:30
she built a completely different path
00:47:33
its new statehood in full
00:47:36
absolute democracy on a broad local
00:47:38
self-separation of powers
00:47:40
press freedom and so on and Germany
00:47:44
made this very economic
00:47:46
miracle and it was just completely
00:47:48
destroyed yes but it nonetheless
00:47:50
made this economic miracle in
00:47:53
fifties led
00:47:55
Conrad Adenauer and Ludwig Erhard and
00:47:58
already then became the largest player on
00:48:01
but Korea’s
00:48:04
get to the top ten
00:48:05
economies of the world took long
00:48:07
decades so I personally affirm
00:48:10
what a dictatorship that lasted in Korea
00:48:14
several decades in the second half
00:48:15
last century it did not contribute
00:48:17
really no modernization she
00:48:19
on the contrary, Korea was delayed in development and
00:48:21
I had to catch up with democracy
00:48:24
By the way, here is another such important point about
00:48:27
the legacy of this authoritarian dictatorship
00:48:31
Park Jung Hee and his successor Jung Doo Hwan
00:48:33
that's the same thing that's how we said
00:48:37
with you in our program about Latin
00:48:39
America that is left behind
00:48:42
dictatorships are the most severe rift in
00:48:45
society and very heavy scars which
00:48:48
don't really heal long
00:48:50
time, that is, say the dictator's daughter Pak
00:48:54
Jung Hee Pak Geun Hye was elected
00:48:57
South Korean president is already on
00:48:59
democratic elections in 2013 and well
00:49:03
you probably heard a lot about how her
00:49:07
sent first to impeachment by
00:49:09
corruption charges and then put in
00:49:11
jail for 25 years already, that is, during
00:49:14
this whole procedure
00:49:16
all these scars were visible
00:49:18
dictatorship abandoned in South Korea
00:49:23
firstly this cartel structure
00:49:25
economies consisting of large
00:49:28
chaebol corporations
00:49:29
because they all figured in this
00:49:32
corruption scandal by the way
00:49:35
and predecessor Pak Geun Hye daughters
00:49:39
South Korean dictators called
00:49:41
Lee Myung-bak, he once headed
00:49:44
Hyundai Corporation
00:49:46
and in 2007 was elected president
00:49:49
South Korea and that’s about
00:49:52
10 years after a period of democratization
00:49:55
and the coming to power of such centrist and
00:49:58
more
00:49:59
center-oriented
00:50:01
political forces from 2007 to 17
00:50:04
came back there was a certain restoration
00:50:06
conservatives first Lee Myung-bak
00:50:09
representative of a large corporate
00:50:11
sectors and then the dictator's daughter Park Chung
00:50:15
Hee so this whole story
00:50:17
accompanied by large
00:50:19
corruption scandals by the way Lee Myung
00:50:22
Buck is also in prison, he was given 16 years
00:50:25
for corruption after he
00:50:28
impeachment was not declared after he
00:50:29
left his post
00:50:31
but nevertheless two of these presidents
00:50:33
from the conservative camp who in
00:50:36
actually had a certain bunch with
00:50:38
dictatorship of the past and that economic
00:50:40
the system it built
00:50:43
it turned out that corruption ties
00:50:45
it is such a strong enough fabric
00:50:47
which ties corporate big
00:50:51
money and right-wing conservative politicians
00:50:54
sense
00:50:55
here are both conservative presidents for
00:50:58
corruption then went to jail all
00:51:00
corporations that's what you heard Samsung
00:51:03
Lotte and lg hyundai anyway they were
00:51:07
implicated in these corruption scandals
00:51:10
and when we saw here before the retirement
00:51:13
Park Geun Hye
00:51:14
presidential dictator’s daughters
00:51:17
when this impeachment has not occurred yet
00:51:20
only charges began to appear we
00:51:23
saw what the magnitude of the protests in South
00:51:26
Korea against her reign
00:51:29
happened on the streets of all the largest
00:51:31
cities were unprecedented massive
00:51:34
demonstrations that overall again
00:51:37
suggested that as in Chile with Pinochet
00:51:39
remember we discussed with you here
00:51:41
violent protests seem to be out of nowhere
00:51:43
taken enough
00:51:45
violent protests in Chile which
00:51:48
happened last year here was
00:51:50
a similar story that is, people thought
00:51:52
conservatives and especially dictator’s daughter
00:51:55
generally one way or another the successors
00:51:57
this authoritarian line despite
00:52:01
what they came to power is kind of like
00:52:03
democratically it caused
00:52:05
mass protests and tremendous tension
00:52:08
in society that's why this is the legacy
00:52:11
this dictatorial regime and so
00:52:13
called authoritarian modernization with
00:52:16
one side is a huge break in society
00:52:18
polarization distrust of each other
00:52:21
distrust of restoration attempts here
00:52:24
these all authoritarian orders on the other
00:52:26
hand it is certainly the omnipotence of large
00:52:28
corporations where through a step on the table
00:52:31
corruption appears because these
00:52:34
large corporations are accustomed to
00:52:36
dictatorship solve your problems in this way
00:52:39
in general, they continued with this
00:52:41
right-wing politicians
00:52:43
drip something into them some
00:52:46
affiliated funds that in general then
00:52:48
was a South Korean court recognized as a bribe
00:52:50
in this sense, here is the current leadership
00:52:53
South Korea is certainly complete
00:52:54
opposite
00:52:56
really here is an exemption from
00:52:58
dictatorship led to the fact that in South
00:53:01
Korea came to the fore completely
00:53:04
another type of policy media this
00:53:07
just modern culture
00:53:09
democratic governance well of course
00:53:12
this is the current president moon zhe ying i honestly
00:53:16
saying i already praised him in the previous
00:53:18
when I talked about how
00:53:21
Korea effectively copes with
00:53:24
coronavirus epidemic but actually
00:53:26
here you need to stay a little more
00:53:28
what in my opinion is moon zhe ying current
00:53:31
South Korean President is one of the most
00:53:33
reasonable
00:53:35
literate and effective political
00:53:37
there are few leaders in general today
00:53:40
that he copes very effectively
00:53:43
for example with this dire epidemic and
00:53:46
South Korea is a model even for
00:53:49
the most developed countries in the world
00:53:51
South Korea's economy is fine but
00:53:54
there is still a key moment here
00:53:57
a threat to South Korea's development of course
00:53:59
is this ongoing
00:54:01
ongoing confrontation with the north
00:54:04
that is, in fact, it’s hard
00:54:06
The Korean war that was raging there in
00:54:09
fifties
00:54:10
but actually by the way read about her
00:54:12
this is an important story this is one of the most
00:54:15
bloody conflicts in general after
00:54:17
end of World War II there
00:54:19
killed up to 3 million people for various
00:54:22
estimated that all major
00:54:25
cities and
00:54:26
actually by the way it was
00:54:29
such a prototype of a possible total war
00:54:33
between the Stalinist communist world
00:54:35
and developed West that's actually
00:54:39
it turned out later when the archives were opened in
00:54:41
Russia that Stalin really gave
00:54:44
directions to attack and start korean
00:54:47
war in 1950 the Korean war was
00:54:51
initiated by the northern
00:54:53
the communist regime who attacked
00:54:57
to South Korea and that's just actually
00:55:00
this Soviet military ruler Terenty
00:55:03
Shtykov who at that moment already passed
00:55:06
to the post of just the Soviet ambassador to
00:55:08
DPRK together with Kim Il Sung came to Stalin and
00:55:11
say listen we can attack now and
00:55:12
everything is there quickly and quickly capture and Stalin
00:55:15
said ok so this bloody started
00:55:18
conflict by the way we had a separate
00:55:20
show about
00:55:22
NATO Alliance Alliance
00:55:26
we told you that creating a block
00:55:28
NATO was directly related to the fact that
00:55:31
leaders
00:55:33
democratic Europe and the United
00:55:34
States they feared that Stalin would repeat
00:55:37
Korean script in Europe like here it is
00:55:40
decided by the hands of his puppets in North
00:55:43
Korea to attack South so he decides
00:55:46
attack western Germany or the whole
00:55:49
continue the European communist
00:55:52
expansion in response to this at 49
00:55:54
NATO alliance was created this year directly
00:55:57
was connected with these Korean
00:56:00
events so returning actually
00:56:03
speaking to this story since then there
00:56:05
there’s practically no peace there is here
00:56:08
this one
00:56:09
38 parallel demarcation line
00:56:11
demilitarized zone that is they
00:56:13
actually agreed on a truce
00:56:15
which never ended
00:56:17
the legal world and
00:56:20
actually after south korea
00:56:23
finally become a democracy
00:56:25
normal politicians came to power there
00:56:29
modern centrist politicians
00:56:31
which are oriented in principle before
00:56:33
just for the interests of people and not some
00:56:37
geopolitical games
00:56:38
and they raised the question of what we
00:56:40
need a reconciliation policy with the prospect
00:56:43
the unification of the two Koreas
00:56:47
example of how this happened with the union
00:56:49
Germany was the first to start politics
00:56:52
famous South Korean opposition
00:56:54
leader in the years of dictatorship
00:56:56
dissident Kim Dae-jung he incidentally speaking
00:56:59
he became president in 98
00:57:01
just right on the crest of the Asian
00:57:04
financial crisis when this old
00:57:06
the system finally crashed and needed
00:57:09
was to offer society something new here is Kim
00:57:13
Dae-jung is one of the things he did
00:57:14
proposed a reconciliation policy with the North
00:57:17
Korea and by the way got it even
00:57:19
Nobel Peace Prize is the only one
00:57:22
the Korean who ever received it here
00:57:24
South Korea’s current president Moon Jae-ying
00:57:26
he is consistent
00:57:28
continuer of this line
00:57:29
he understands that the key task for
00:57:32
South Korea, it certainly can not
00:57:34
the country continues to develop normally
00:57:36
if you do not achieve peace in Korean
00:57:39
peninsula and in general some
00:57:41
the prospects
00:57:43
to move towards the union of the two
00:57:44
Korey, here he is this line on the peace process
00:57:49
actively continued he even met with
00:57:51
Kim Jong-un they held the famous
00:57:54
summit in April 2018 and signed
00:57:58
Panmunjun peace declaration and
00:58:00
moving forward Moon Zhe Ying South leader
00:58:04
Korea was a very serious
00:58:06
an alternative to the original one
00:58:08
US President’s aggressive rhetoric
00:58:11
Donald trump who is straight and so
00:58:13
said yes we are now I'm not afraid of the military
00:58:16
We’ll bomb you now
00:58:18
you stopped your nuclear program here
00:58:22
and this greatly mitigated the situation
00:58:26
though
00:58:27
for example in 2017 the risks of large
00:58:30
military conflict in Korean
00:58:32
the peninsula were huge let's say here
00:58:36
former Minister of Defense of the United
00:58:38
States ash carter who did a lot of
00:58:40
by the way Korea in its military
00:58:42
career he says that if such
00:58:45
conflict happened then we would see
00:58:49
the level of violence that humanity does not
00:58:51
seen here since the 50s of the last century
00:58:55
really would have killed millions of people here
00:58:58
it’s important to understand that North Korea has
00:59:01
not many opportunities somehow
00:59:04
get to developed
00:59:06
peace yes they developed ballistic missiles
00:59:09
lately and something they have
00:59:13
there is something that can reach Japan
00:59:15
fly to the Pacific islands
00:59:18
which belong to the USA but nonetheless
00:59:22
still always the main target in
00:59:24
case of potential exacerbation
00:59:26
situations between the western world and the northern
00:59:29
Korea has always been Korea’s main target.
00:59:32
South Seoul is the capital of South Korea located
00:59:36
within reach of the North Korean
00:59:38
artillery several tens of kilometers
00:59:41
from the border
00:59:42
by the way, when I was in Seoul with
00:59:46
horror saw in a hotel well you know here you are
00:59:48
come to the hotel there what's in
00:59:50
the room there is a bathrobe slippers mean
00:59:53
there the Bible lies there on the nightstand
00:59:55
or condoms or both
00:59:57
whom are some preferences and then you open
01:00:01
the cupboard and there hangs so big
01:00:02
gas mask even two
01:00:03
because the number is double and such
01:00:06
instruction type dear guests you
01:00:09
please don't worry just if here
01:00:11
North Korea will attack us
01:00:13
this will be notified to prevent this
01:00:16
so you die in a chemical attack
01:00:18
please put on a gas mask and
01:00:20
feel at home yes that's about
01:00:22
such an instruction is actually here you are
01:00:25
can a lot about it on the Internet
01:00:26
read about what is in Seoul hotels
01:00:29
gas masks in rooms is a common occurrence
01:00:31
this largely reflects this whole
01:00:34
a situation of constant fear in which
01:00:37
South Korea is that any
01:00:39
aggravation is generally fraught
01:00:41
the destruction of Seoul the destruction of South
01:00:44
Korea as we all love her
01:00:47
and in this sense, this is the policy that
01:00:50
still aimed at reconciliation and at
01:00:53
start of some kind of dialogue about possible
01:00:56
the unification of the two Koreas is politics
01:00:58
of course absolutely correct
01:01:00
here, in conclusion, a few words about
01:01:03
is it worth the wait and why
01:01:06
this can lead to
01:01:11
of course there are no illusions about
01:01:13
about the North Korean regime it is very
01:01:16
mean sly and brutal people for
01:01:19
whose task in general is to maintain
01:01:21
power and power on the other hand and I
01:01:24
sure that they understand like no one
01:01:27
this regime in its current form does not have
01:01:29
great prospects and that forever play on
01:01:32
retention in today's globalized
01:01:35
the world they cannot
01:01:36
in this regard, in my opinion, it’s very
01:01:39
it’s important to constantly try the limits
01:01:42
in fact, what can you get to if
01:01:44
you are there relatively speaking, offer them
01:01:46
some normal alternative example
01:01:49
here is a living example from the neighboring world
01:01:53
southeast asia is burma country
01:01:56
which is now called Myanmar yes it
01:01:58
was still there 15 years ago one of the most
01:02:02
brutal military dictatorships
01:02:04
and a terribly poor country
01:02:07
many parameters comparable to
01:02:09
North Korea but developed countries
01:02:13
waved in front of Burma and its military junta
01:02:16
some kind of carrot what kind of guys if you
01:02:19
start restructuring start reforming
01:02:22
the country will live better and you will
01:02:24
better and everyone will be better and actually
01:02:28
very, very serious happened in Burma
01:02:32
change they carried out political
01:02:35
democratization came to power there
01:02:37
Aung San Suu Kyi who spent many years at
01:02:40
military junta under house arrest then
01:02:43
there is it now in general such enough
01:02:45
normal country southeast asia
01:02:47
which develops where not without its
01:02:49
problems but nonetheless there was
01:02:51
brutal military junta it all ended
01:02:54
liberation and movement along the way
01:02:56
there are so many democracy and development
01:02:59
experts on the Korean peninsula they
01:03:01
say that such a story of North Korea
01:03:04
in principle, it is also possible in this sense
01:03:07
this reconciliation strategic line and
01:03:11
to such soft integration by analogy with
01:03:15
a union in Germany it is right
01:03:17
and in this sense South Korean
01:03:19
management is leading this enough
01:03:21
reasonable policy but here is politics
01:03:25
permanent blackmail on one side with
01:03:28
the other side of incomprehensible one-way
01:03:30
concessions which are unknown
01:03:32
end trumped by president trump
01:03:35
it all certainly resembles an absolute
01:03:38
an elephant in a china shop i.e. Trump
01:03:41
when he became president of the USA he why
01:03:43
he started directly threatening to bomb them like
01:03:47
how many believe that it drove
01:03:50
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un
01:03:51
go to dialogue with him here they are somewhat
01:03:55
times they met happened there
01:03:57
Trump signed all sorts of hugs with Kim
01:04:01
Chen Eun some declarations on the very
01:04:03
nothing but reality
01:04:06
North Korea in an obvious way
01:04:09
continues its nuclear program and
01:04:12
development of its missile weapons here
01:04:15
all these latest missile tests
01:04:18
what we are talking about
01:04:20
there is essentially neither aggressive
01:04:23
Trump rhetoric and the threat of war
01:04:27
attempts of sudden hugs without any
01:04:30
preconditions in general neither
01:04:32
what did not lead
01:04:33
more reasonable American position
01:04:36
Clinton Bush Obama administrations she
01:04:39
that was always what we were ready to go
01:04:42
to concessions if North Korea is ready and
01:04:44
that’s important diplomatically about something
01:04:46
such an agreement trump no
01:04:49
concrete concessions from Kim did not receive
01:04:51
immediately presented him with several summits
01:04:54
with the American leader about what nothing
01:04:58
the North Korean government never
01:05:00
could even dream it ended
01:05:03
nothing even American experts say
01:05:05
that North Korea continues all its
01:05:09
nuclear creeps means that
01:05:12
literally in a step we can get
01:05:14
situation when the American leadership
01:05:17
he’ll get angry and say nothing
01:05:20
observe no denuclearization
01:05:23
Do not spend the Korean Peninsula from
01:05:25
all of us have not refused a nuclear program
01:05:28
right there on you
01:05:30
attack again, that is, these
01:05:32
trump throwing
01:05:34
out of the fire and into the fire, they generally don’t
01:05:37
contribute to some kind of normal
01:05:40
stable normalization line at
01:05:42
Korean peninsula is here
01:05:45
understand that of course
01:05:48
guarantors of this aggressive
01:05:50
behavior of the North Korean regime as we
01:05:52
already talked to you are china and
01:05:55
Putin's Russia
01:05:56
who could help change this one
01:05:59
situation here is this equation
01:06:01
where is the poor North Korea without any
01:06:04
development prospects but with a strong army with
01:06:07
nuclear weapons
01:06:08
and with a missile development program
01:06:11
armaments on the other hand the developed world
01:06:14
which is common, as is the case with Myanmar
01:06:16
Burma would be ready to open its doors to
01:06:20
case North Korean leadership
01:06:22
would go to normal political and
01:06:24
economic reforms
01:06:26
who could be here with this game changer
01:06:29
the participant who came and changed everything
01:06:32
would change the balance of power in the right direction
01:06:34
Well, of course, here are the powers that influence
01:06:37
this situation from the other side and actually
01:06:39
are the guarantors of conservation
01:06:41
North Korean regime
01:06:42
that is, it is primarily China which
01:06:45
is the main partner of the North
01:06:47
Korea today and
01:06:48
source main source
01:06:50
economic assistance and maintenance
01:06:52
pants on the other hand of course
01:06:55
Russia
01:06:56
if we had not Putin but normal
01:06:59
President, then of course we are
01:07:02
used the opportunities that we have
01:07:04
there is some dialogue with them and they said
01:07:06
guys well finish this whole policy
01:07:09
she does not lead you anywhere look how
01:07:11
happened in burma if you start
01:07:13
reform everything will end well
01:07:16
confrontation everyone will be happy let's
01:07:19
here to move along this path along which
01:07:21
Germany successfully passed in due time
01:07:24
imagine that China and Russia would file
01:07:27
North Korea such a signal
01:07:29
that we will no longer help and
01:07:31
maintain your totalitarian regime but
01:07:34
if you take the path of reconciliation with
01:07:37
developed world and democratize their own
01:07:39
countries you get a bunch of benefits all
01:07:42
would immediately change right here
01:07:44
indeed in such a situation it is possible
01:07:48
talk about the unification of Koreas in
01:07:50
numbers according to the German scenario and about
01:07:52
ending this eternal nightmare in
01:07:55
which the inhabitants of the DPRK live
01:07:57
but where are we dealing with the great
01:08:01
geopolitical strategists in Beijing and in
01:08:03
Kremlin
01:08:04
for which people don't matter for
01:08:07
they are important only geopolitical
01:08:09
interests and they look at this matter as
01:08:12
how the Chinese look at all this
01:08:14
communists that this is now ours
01:08:16
puppet state damn him what
01:08:19
there in a concentration camp people suffer but there
01:08:22
Western democracy will come and
01:08:25
the next step the Chinese will see u say
01:08:27
oh damn transformation from dictatorship to
01:08:30
democracy is good people will get richer
01:08:33
they will better live it all immediately
01:08:36
affect chinese
01:08:38
Chinese domestic situation
01:08:40
communists say no-no-no-no-no we don't
01:08:41
we want to let them stay a concentration camp
01:08:44
no association
01:08:46
democratization and of course Putin you
01:08:50
you know how Putin relates to
01:08:52
democratization of countries he calls it all
01:08:54
coups which
01:08:56
threaten us sovereignty sovereignty
01:08:59
dictatorships of his friends like Bashar al-Assad
01:09:02
or Muammar Gaddafi yes he has exactly
01:09:04
same attitude to North Korea
01:09:07
let there be a concentration camp, we are still with them
01:09:10
smuggling something somewhere in there
01:09:13
enrich ourselves in the process we put ourselves more
01:09:15
several billion to a bank account
01:09:17
Yes, but democracy will wait
01:09:21
saying here you need to understand that what
01:09:23
today the prospect for normalization
01:09:25
the situation on the Korean peninsula is and
01:09:28
even some movement this side is
01:09:31
first of all its leader is on my
01:09:34
the most balanced regional view
01:09:36
politician and one of the most interesting
01:09:39
world politicians today is the president
01:09:41
South Korean Moon Zhe Ying he this line
01:09:43
consistently leads but prevents him
01:09:45
absolutely inconsistent policy
01:09:47
USA led by trump and these
01:09:50
throwing between
01:09:51
threats of war and hugging with Kim and
01:09:55
certainly interferes
01:09:57
the story of the fact that the actual guarantors
01:10:01
preservation of the North Korean regime
01:10:02
are communist dictatorial
01:10:04
China and dictatorial Putin's Russia
01:10:08
who, of course, perform today
01:10:11
continue to oppose unification
01:10:14
Korea and normalize the situation on
01:10:17
Korean peninsula
01:10:19
I think that in this regard, the unification
01:10:22
Korea's perspective is farther but
01:10:26
she is it is saved
01:10:28
because frankly strategically no
01:10:30
no normal other way out
01:10:32
South Korea has already become so large
01:10:35
and a developed player that it is ready for
01:10:39
yourself to solve this problem and in
01:10:42
generally bring normal democratic
01:10:44
order my northern neighbor unfortunately I
01:10:48
I think that we will not see it yet in Beijing
01:10:51
and in Moscow these powerful
01:10:54
authoritarian dictatorial regimes
01:10:56
that is, it is called neither to itself nor to people
01:10:59
not only are the Chinese communists and
01:11:01
Putin’s mafia creates
01:11:04
they still don’t give a lot of problems to solve
01:11:08
Korean Peninsula problem close
01:11:11
here is this long-term abscess of war which is so
01:11:14
never ended to make one
01:11:18
Korea peaceful modern prosperous
01:11:21
developing country
01:11:22
unfortunately this is another fault
01:11:25
between the democratic world and
01:11:27
dictatorships about which we are all the time
01:11:29
we speak in our programs here
01:11:32
Korean Peninsula this wound this
01:11:34
fault it is so straight bleeding
01:11:36
and threatens very serious
01:11:38
consequences because so far
01:11:41
North Korean leadership persists
01:11:43
behind this powerful support of China and Russia
01:11:46
well, they will continue the policy of blackmail
01:11:49
international development community
01:11:52
nuclear missile test program
01:11:54
continue the policy of this
01:11:56
largest regional
01:11:57
and an international bully because im
01:12:00
you need to raise rates to somehow
01:12:03
ensure survival in this
01:12:05
difficult situation when
01:12:07
economic competitiveness they
01:12:09
cannot show but they can show
01:12:11
that rockets blackmail all rockets i
01:12:15
I think also a story very familiar to you
01:12:17
the whole topic is supposedly based on
01:12:20
own forces and juche what are we
01:12:22
they said it was a myth the North Korean regime
01:12:25
rests today only on help
01:12:27
Chinese dictatorship and Russian dictatorship
01:12:30
remove this help all the next day
01:12:35
the question of the survival of this inhuman
01:12:38
regime it will rise as sharply as it stood
01:12:40
in the 90s so in my opinion on
01:12:43
The Korean Peninsula has the prospect of
01:12:45
normalization to peace to the integration of two Koreas
01:12:48
and the whole Korean people but interfere
01:12:51
dictators from Beijing and Moscow like this
01:12:55
many other positive things in our
01:12:58
the world it was a hugging program with
01:13:03
thanks to the dictators with Vladimir Milov
01:13:05
see us subscribe to our channel
01:13:07
and be sure to donate to us on production
01:13:10
links all on donations in the description thanks
01:13:13
huge to everyone who does this
01:13:15
the production of these gears is generally not
01:13:18
free thing and I already said in
01:13:21
last issue of what we want
01:13:22
make a show with answers to your
01:13:25
questions ask them please we them
01:13:28
collect and I will answer
01:13:30
your most interesting questions about
01:13:33
international politics because you
01:13:35
immediately start asking about everything but
01:13:37
our program is about international politics and
01:13:40
we are waiting for you again on our channel
01:13:43
subscribe and forward to friends and
01:13:45
see you
01:13:47
in a week

Description:

Современный и глобальный взгляд на международную политику. Если вам нравится свободный демократический миропорядок и вы не любите диктатуры, местечковых шовинистов, популистов и имперцев — вам сюда. Авторская программа Владимира Милова — когда-то в прошлом Милов работал в российском правительстве, и история его широких международных связей длится еще с тех пор. Милов знает, о чем говорит. Станьте спонсором канала, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjQdM9q_Vd2gBN9Xy_zRDJQ/join /Подкасты: https://milov.org/podcast.htm /Поддержать канал рублем: https://milov.org/donate.htm /Чтобы получить подарки за спонсортство, пишите Яне: https://t.me/ya_ger Фейсбук Владимира Милова: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Твиттер Владимира Милова: https://twitter.com/v_milov Инстаграм Владимира Милова: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser 00:00 Вступление 03:48 Одна нация – две системы 07:20 Как разница выглядит в рейтингах 15:09 Что происходит внутри 17:36 Как Россия приложила руку к созданию этого режима 22:44 Армия превыше всего 24:43 Там правда нечего есть? 27:47 Либерализация по-северокорейски 29:01 Репрессии 29:52 Развитие в изоляции? 31:17 Вливания Китая 35:09 Контрабанда из России 36:24 Еще раз об авторитарной модернизации 41:37 Доминирование крупных корпораций 43:28 Итог – Азиатский кризис 1997 года (и дефолт в России) 46:47 Похожа ли Корея на Германию? 48:25 Шрамы от диктатур 52:50 Нынешнее руководство Южной Кореи 58:58 Южная Корея в ожидании атаки 1:01:11 Предложение альтернативы может сработать 1:03:23 Американский слон в посудной лавке 1:05:44 Кто мог бы помочь 1:09:20 О перспективах нормализации

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