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Противостояние США и Китая: что дальше?

СРОЧНО! ЭТУ ПРАВДУ ДОЛЖНЫ УЗНАТЬ ВСЕ! ФЕЙГИН: ПАТРУШЕВ БОИТСЯ МИГРАНТОВ, Запорожье - НОВАЯ ЦЕЛЬ

СРОЧНО! ЭТУ ПРАВДУ ДОЛЖНЫ УЗНАТЬ ВСЕ! ФЕЙГИН: ПАТРУШЕВ БОИТСЯ МИГРАНТОВ, Запорожье - НОВАЯ ЦЕЛЬ

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00:00:00

friends Hello, I greet you,

00:00:01

this is a polytechnic. My name is Anastasia

00:00:03

Gusareva and we are meeting here

00:00:05

on this platform in order to

00:00:07

analyze everything that is happening. There are a

00:00:09

lot of events. They are different, they

00:00:11

influence our lives in one way or another,

00:00:13

so our task is to figure it out,

00:00:16

analyze and draw conclusions for ourselves.

00:00:18

then find the answer to the main question.

00:00:20

What should we do next with all this knowledge?

00:00:23

And that’s exactly what our guests are - these are the people

00:00:25

who help us analyze,

00:00:26

place emphasis, understand the

00:00:28

situations and situations in which they occur. Igor

00:00:31

Yakovenko Today our guest is a

00:00:33

journalist Hello

00:00:35

Hello for this week

00:00:38

many different events happened, but here is one of the

00:00:40

bright ones that commented,

00:00:43

discussed, looked for the background. This, of course, is

00:00:46

either an attack on Shoigu or not an attack

00:00:49

on Shoigu. But even British intelligence

00:00:52

reacted to all this, which means that in

00:00:55

connection with the arrest of Shoigu’s deputy,

00:00:58

British intelligence said that this arrest of

00:01:01

Shoigu's deputy - This is the most serious

00:01:04

scandal in the Ministry of Defense of the Russian

00:01:06

Federation since

00:01:08

2012, they commented on the arrest of

00:01:13

Deputy Defense Minister Timur

00:01:15

Ivanov on suspicion of corruption and

00:01:18

stated that this case is the most

00:01:20

serious after they

00:01:23

dismissed the Minister of

00:01:26

Defense in November 2012 Anatoly Serdyukov, naturally,

00:01:29

everyone

00:01:30

decided to figure it all out,

00:01:32

comment on it all, and so on, and find out the

00:01:34

attack on Shoigu is not an attack on who

00:01:39

is fighting against Shoigu Nevzorov said that Ivanov was

00:01:42

slurping too loudly and at the same time was stealing

00:01:46

Well, he used this metaphor

00:01:49

What do you think really happened and

00:01:52

how this can

00:01:54

end, you know when there is no

00:01:58

any

00:02:00

data, it’s quite difficult to guess on the tea leaves.

00:02:02

I don’t think that the speech can go

00:02:08

to Shai because

00:02:13

[music]

00:02:15

you know, Putin

00:02:18

never parted with his

00:02:24

people

00:02:31

when the gang can be

00:02:33

presented the two main two main

00:02:37

reproaches are, firstly, absolute

00:02:41

incompetence and secondly, so to speak,

00:02:45

here are the thieving personnel

00:02:47

none of these none of these reasons

00:02:50

were ever the reason why

00:02:53

Putin parted with his entourage

00:02:57

for him the main criterion

00:03:01

is why a person will remain in his place this is

00:03:03

loyalty to the step,

00:03:05

Versha is why Putin will not part with him,

00:03:08

and the second thing is that the step

00:03:11

is a symbolic figure,

00:03:14

this is the person on whom Putin

00:03:17

relied, the person who was

00:03:20

number one on the list of United Russia

00:03:30

recognized, in fact, admitted that this

00:03:35

whole entire company was

00:03:37

ineffective that is, this is what it means

00:03:39

to fire a person who has been a

00:03:43

symbol of this war all this time, it’s just

00:03:48

admitting defeat. It means that something is

00:03:51

going wrong, it’s too serious

00:03:55

a story that there won’t be any punch. Well,

00:03:59

at least I’ll be very surprised

00:04:01

if this happens

00:04:02

[ music]

00:04:04

Therefore, I think that some kind of undermining is

00:04:09

unlikely, it is quite

00:04:11

possible that this is some kind of

00:04:14

competition for some kind of

00:04:17

corruption schemes. I say again

00:04:21

that we have too little information to

00:04:25

draw any

00:04:27

conclusions, well

00:04:30

again, understanding the situation,

00:04:32

for example, Ivan Preobrazhensky is a

00:04:34

political scientist, he names such factors, he

00:04:36

says that three factors coincided: the first

00:04:39

desire to send positive news to the

00:04:40

generals and officers at the front, that their

00:04:43

complaints were heard on the eve of the offensive, the

00:04:46

second is the upcoming reshuffle in the

00:04:48

government and the desire to weaken

00:04:50

Shoigu’s channels and perhaps Kovalchuk And they

00:04:54

arrest big bosses

00:04:56

when there is a pool of enemies who have managed to

00:04:59

convince

00:05:03

Shoigu, maybe Nikolai Patrushev stands for

00:05:05

us, is this real and how much do you

00:05:08

agree with such

00:05:11

assumptions Anastasi this is fortune telling

00:05:14

on the tea leaves because it means the

00:05:18

likelihood that Putin took into account some

00:05:28

aspirations before the offensive

00:05:31

Well, it’s a little funny because

00:05:34

to imagine that on the front line someone

00:05:37

there someone there very seriously was

00:05:41

some kind of request for resignation for the resignation of

00:05:44

General Ivanov But this is unlikely, here

00:05:48

it is again,

00:05:50

well, as it seems to me, this is all

00:05:53

fortune-telling on the coffee grounds,

00:05:56

so most likely after some

00:05:59

time something

00:06:00

will become clearer, some reasons will be revealed,

00:06:02

at the

00:06:06

moment it seems to me

00:06:09

now, well, I will not participate in

00:06:12

such fortune-telling and

00:06:16

say some things when there is no

00:06:18

when there is no

00:06:21

information, the agency writes that the FSB

00:06:24

launched a wave of repression against

00:06:26

officials and businesses just after

00:06:28

Putin’s re-election on Friday,

00:06:32

FSB officers raided the office of the Museum of

00:06:34

Modern Art, a garage founded by

00:06:36

billionaire Roman Abramovich and his

00:06:39

ex-wife Daria Zhukova, this may

00:06:41

already be the twenty-second criminal case

00:06:44

against security officials and

00:06:46

businessmen initiated with the participation

00:06:48

of the special service since March 18, a month and a half

00:06:52

before the elections with the participation of the FSB,

00:06:55

five times fewer such cases appeared, these are the conclusions

00:06:58

that the agency made. According to

00:07:01

its analysis, does this mean that the

00:07:04

screws are being tightened even more and why

00:07:07

Abramovich, he seemed to be close to

00:07:10

Putin And there are no

00:07:13

problems, you know that the repressions

00:07:17

continue, the repressions are getting tougher, this is a

00:07:20

routine, this is a property of this

00:07:23

fascist regime, so to speak,

00:07:25

the tightening of repression is this is such an

00:07:29

organic organic part of

00:07:31

the functioning of this regime, like like

00:07:33

like breathing like in people breathing, this is

00:07:36

how the

00:07:39

functioning of this fascist

00:07:41

regime looks like. So there is nothing

00:07:43

surprising here And there are no

00:07:46

problems No There are several processes

00:07:49

that

00:07:51

occur naturally First

00:07:54

of all, this is repression as for

00:07:55

Abramovich. He has not been a close

00:08:00

friend of

00:08:02

Putin for quite a long time. already with is called

00:08:06

equally removed Therefore, he has no influence

00:08:10

on Putin o he is not

00:08:13

some kind of

00:08:19

Untouchables military process there are

00:08:22

several

00:08:30

businesses this is a new process then

00:08:32

Putin recently announced the World Cup at the regular

00:08:37

[music]

00:08:39

meeting of the

00:08:41

Congress of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs This is a new process a

00:08:44

repression is a

00:08:47

routine thing that was not considered in the agency; there were also

00:08:50

several billionaires in the front row at the

00:08:52

meeting with Putin, which took place 2

00:08:56

if I’m not mistaken. The

00:08:58

numbers of part of Putin’s annual meeting with

00:09:01

big business were significantly fewer

00:09:03

billionaires than a year ago; the total

00:09:06

fortune of the first row turned out to be

00:09:08

half as much than a year earlier, this is

00:09:11

also evidenced by the analysis of the agency,

00:09:13

based on personnel chronicles, it was possible to identify

00:09:17

almost all 20 people this year

00:09:19

and 23 last year, only seven businessmen

00:09:22

who found themselves in the front row this year were

00:09:24

sitting in the front row and a year earlier it was

00:09:26

Guryev Mazepin Vekselberg Pumpyansky

00:09:30

Mordash Bokarev and Kozintsy among

00:09:34

the entrepreneurs who were not on the

00:09:37

front row this year

00:09:40

Berezkin Khan Gutseriev Melnichenko

00:09:43

Potanin Rashnikov Zyuzin and the agency

00:09:47

noticed in the footage that showed

00:09:50

other rows of the hall Rashnikov rose from his

00:09:52

seat when Putin hinted that the

00:09:54

head of the Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel

00:09:57

Works had been drinking the day before celebrating the

00:09:59

victory metallurgist in the Gagarin Cup, which

00:10:02

means the total fortune of

00:10:04

entrepreneurs who found themselves in the front

00:10:06

row in the twenty-fourth year decreased by

00:10:09

almost half compared to last year

00:10:11

from 108 billion dollars to

00:10:15

56. This is the part of billionaires who have

00:10:18

ceased to be billionaires or they

00:10:20

have become simply unwanted and how this can be

00:10:23

reflected then uh on further

00:10:26

financial flows of distribution to the

00:10:29

war for these financial flows and so

00:10:32

on,

00:10:34

this means this is exactly the process

00:10:37

that I just talked about means at

00:10:40

the moment, if we take the

00:10:43

Russian business of

00:10:45

Russian entrepreneurs as a whole, then the

00:10:49

total wealth of

00:10:53

their billionaires, if we take specifically the

00:10:56

billionaires, their total the state

00:10:58

increased by

00:11:00

18 million dollars

00:11:03

per and as for the representation in the

00:11:07

front row of the Russian Union of

00:11:10

Industrial Industrialists and

00:11:12

Entrepreneurs of that very

00:11:16

meeting of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs at which Putin spoke, we are talking

00:11:20

about the fact that

00:11:28

[music]

00:11:30

Putin announced this

00:11:33

nationalization

00:11:34

and those people who, so to speak, from the first

00:11:38

row was removed, these are just possible

00:11:40

candidates for

00:11:42

nationalization, this is a big serious

00:11:45

process that, so to speak, Putin is

00:11:48

launching, this is a

00:11:50

process that seriously threatens,

00:12:00

of such big ones known to them, only

00:12:05

one became

00:12:07

a victim of this nationalization, this is

00:12:11

Sergei Petrov, the owner of Rolf, this is a

00:12:15

nationalization that took place for

00:12:19

political reasons because the role, in

00:12:21

general, was a person critical

00:12:24

of the Putin regime And that is why

00:12:28

this

00:12:31

largest Well, I mean Petrov,

00:12:33

of course, not the role was critical of the

00:12:37

regime, he financed some

00:12:40

opposition media At the moment

00:12:43

he is abroad And therefore it

00:12:45

was such an

00:12:47

act of political politically

00:12:49

motivated nationalization This was

00:12:52

revenge on Putin for dissent for

00:12:56

some kind of opposition activity, everyone

00:12:59

else so far, the well-known billionaires

00:13:02

have retained their capital for now,

00:13:08

will increase being under attack, it is

00:13:11

connected primarily and is manifested in the fact

00:13:14

that they were not allowed to the front row and

00:13:17

were placed

00:13:19

e If to talk about another

00:13:21

reshuffle that was discussed is

00:13:24

the situation around Kadyrov

00:13:26

and the next successor of Chechnya, they

00:13:30

started talking about this after the latest information about

00:13:33

Kadyrov’s illness and even diagnosis. He

00:13:36

tried to shoot a video to show that

00:13:39

everything was actually fine with him. And this is all

00:13:42

not true, as journalists later found out.

00:13:45

in my rain, if I'm not mistaken, that

00:13:47

office where he allegedly held a meeting.

00:13:49

This is actually the office of the head of the doctor in

00:13:52

the hospital. Well, in general, everyone started

00:13:54

guessing about who they would make successor;

00:13:58

they discussed the pects of Kadyrov's sons;

00:14:06

writes Novaya Gazeta Europe Apti

00:14:09

Alaudinov and there is a whole story about how

00:14:14

his family behaved in the Chechen war

00:14:17

and so on and so forth, how the

00:14:20

father of this Apti contributed to Kadyrov’s

00:14:23

father at one time,

00:14:26

how a union will happen

00:14:31

and the transfer of power if it

00:14:34

happens in

00:14:36

principle again - after all, there is

00:14:38

no difficulty for Putin

00:14:44

to make a replacement. If

00:14:46

Kadyrov really has health problems, I

00:14:48

think that most likely he

00:14:52

will still be held by

00:15:00

Kato’s words and somehow physically

00:15:03

present in this world

00:15:07

means if what

00:15:11

they are talking about happens and what Now, any normal

00:15:14

person is looking forward to

00:15:27

moving to another world, because this is an extremely disgusting person,

00:15:31

I think that

00:15:34

Putin, without any special difficulties,

00:15:37

will simply call anyone who is

00:15:40

his choice, and this rotation process

00:15:43

will take place

00:15:45

without any special problems, which means

00:15:49

that the

00:15:50

successor will be one of

00:15:53

Kadyrov’s sons, she doesn’t stand up to any

00:15:56

criticism simply because

00:15:59

there If I’m not mistaken, the eldest is 17 years old

00:16:03

and Well, this is too exotic a

00:16:08

version Kadyrov himself

00:16:11

became the head of Chechnya after the

00:16:15

death of his

00:16:16

father. He then did not reach the age

00:16:19

when, according to the laws of the Russian Federation,

00:16:23

it is possible was to become the head of a subject of

00:16:26

the Federation,

00:16:27

but there was a gap somewhere. If I’m not mistaken, it was

00:16:30

about a year and a half and Kadyrov was

00:16:34

appointed prime minister

00:16:36

then, which means that everyone understood that for a

00:16:39

year and a half he was waiting in the wings, waiting for

00:16:43

his age when he could be

00:16:45

appointed head of Chechnya after all

00:16:49

one and a half years is some kind of more or less

00:16:51

understandable period, but here when REIT

00:17:02

really tried to build a

00:17:03

hereditary monarchy, but

00:17:06

his children are too young, so to speak,

00:17:12

his children are in their teens, of course this is impossible. This is impossible. As

00:17:15

for Adino, it is quite

00:17:19

possible that this will happen the candidate

00:17:27

will have his relatives in key

00:17:30

positions and any successor will have to

00:17:33

make some reshuffles

00:17:36

in order to still rule and rule

00:17:39

Chechnya. But I think that any

00:17:43

radical changes will

00:17:48

not happen as a result of Kadyrov’s supposed death. The only thing is that

00:17:51

Kadyrov, so to speak, was not

00:17:53

just so to speak, those who are looking to

00:17:57

some extent for the

00:18:00

North Caucasus, most

00:18:03

likely Kadyrov’s successor

00:18:06

will not be able to retain this function, and so on,

00:18:09

taking into account the

00:18:11

peculiarities of the connection

00:18:13

between the all-Russian fascist regime

00:18:17

and this

00:18:19

theocratic dictatorship in Chechnya, I

00:18:22

think that this connection is based on the

00:18:25

giant Tribute koto

00:18:27

plat Putin Kadyrov now, well, to some

00:18:31

extent there will be

00:18:35

a renegotiation, I don’t see any

00:18:39

special changes that could happen

00:18:42

in connection with Kadyrov’s death,

00:18:45

the surname of the surname of the person

00:18:47

who is at the head of

00:18:50

Chechnya will simply change, the residents of Belgorod are complaining

00:18:53

that they are not they give

00:18:55

the children back, which means they don’t give them back the children who

00:18:58

were taken away due to shelling, the parents

00:19:01

want to take them away because of the terrible conditions

00:19:03

in the camps, but the demands

00:19:05

are ignored, they are not returned home,

00:19:08

contrary to the demands of the parents,

00:19:09

numerous complaints about this were

00:19:12

found in the public page of Governor

00:19:14

Vyacheslav Gladkov of children evacuated

00:19:17

to in the midst of shelling, they sent

00:19:19

boarding schools to orphanages, dilapidated camps,

00:19:22

parents are shocked by the conditions of their detention,

00:19:24

they found the best shelter for the children, but

00:19:26

now they are not giving them back. Despite

00:19:29

verbal demands and letters of refusal,

00:19:32

it means that the residents of Belgorod themselves talk about it,

00:19:35

they write about it Well, there are

00:19:38

many stories 13 years 14 years 15 years there

00:19:43

Fifteen-year-old son went to the

00:19:45

Astrakhan camp Beryozka, according to the

00:19:48

mother, about half of the parents

00:19:50

refused to extend it, but the children are

00:19:52

forcibly kept in the camp, the food is

00:19:55

very bad, the parents complain that the

00:19:57

21st century is crawling on the children during the day and at night.

00:20:01

Return the children, we will send them back to camp and not for

00:20:04

evacuation, and so on. What kind

00:20:07

of story is this with the forced

00:20:10

detention of children?

00:20:12

Why? Well, again, we are talking about the fact that

00:20:16

the war has come to the territory of Russia, this

00:20:20

primarily concerns the Belgorod

00:20:23

region. Well, not only the Belgorod region, in

00:20:24

general, drones are already flying and to

00:20:27

the Moscow region and, so to speak, to other

00:20:31

regions of Russia,

00:20:33

and this process will continue to grow. It is

00:20:37

more or less obvious that

00:20:40

Russians today feel the presence

00:20:43

of war. First of all, this applies, of course, to the

00:20:46

Belgorod region, which means, and as always

00:20:50

in such cases, there is such a non-

00:20:54

bureaucratic machine that

00:20:57

does not count

00:21:00

I know with interest, to some extent, this

00:21:04

manifests itself not only in the situation with the

00:21:07

Belgorod region, it manifests itself in the

00:21:09

situation with these

00:21:12

floods, which means the

00:21:15

Orenburg Tomsk region, the Tyumen

00:21:18

region, partially well, mostly of course,

00:21:21

this is the Orenburg

00:21:27

region under water and it also manifests itself there

00:21:30

this is a thoughtless mechanism when

00:21:32

people are told that they need to leave their

00:21:34

homes, it’s not clear where they should go, that is, this is

00:21:38

such a soulless bureaucracy, it is

00:21:42

very characteristic of Russia And here the same thing

00:21:45

means They’re coming They’re coming, so to speak

00:21:50

Belgorod found itself in a war zone

00:21:54

because from the territory of Belgorod they are attacking

00:21:56

strikes on Kharkov, naturally, Ukraine,

00:22:00

Ukrainian, hit military targets with all their might,

00:22:04

naturally, to some extent, it is

00:22:06

completely impossible to hit military

00:22:09

targets without civilians suffering.

00:22:12

This is a war. So this is a

00:22:15

mechanical mechanical relocation, it

00:22:18

is a consequence of thoughtless And

00:22:21

the callousness of

00:22:22

the bureaucracy, there’s nothing special here either

00:22:25

there is nothing new, the bureaucracy is not designed to take into account

00:22:28

the interests of people, it

00:22:30

works like such a blind

00:22:33

thoughtless

00:22:34

mechanism, another event that

00:22:39

interested me this week is

00:22:41

Lukashenko, there is such a Ukrainian word

00:22:52

[music]

00:22:58

of Belarus, which indicates

00:23:01

that Belarus will be able to send e to

00:23:04

war its troops e to provide assistance to

00:23:07

its allies Belarus considers it possible

00:23:10

to provide military assistance to

00:23:11

friendly states on the basis of

00:23:13

bilateral and multilateral

00:23:15

international treaties to the Republic of

00:23:17

Belarus, in particular by sending a

00:23:20

military contingent to participate in

00:23:22

relevant activities to

00:23:24

maintain international peace and

00:23:26

security, does this mean that Putin did put

00:23:29

pressure on Lukashenko and Lukashenko

00:23:32

thereby shows his readiness to be drawn into

00:23:35

this war, not just by providing an

00:23:37

airfield and a bridgehead, but

00:23:41

physically. I think that this is an unlikely

00:23:45

version, that is, Lukashenko will hold out to the end

00:23:49

without participating in this war with

00:23:52

his troops. Well, individual

00:23:55

representatives of the armed forces of Belarus

00:23:58

participated, they noted on front But this is a

00:24:00

separate thing And so that precisely the troops of the

00:24:05

Armed Forces of

00:24:07

Belarus would invade the territory of

00:24:10

Ukraine. I think that Lukashenko will

00:24:13

hold on to the last and not do this.

00:24:16

Because for him, this kind of

00:24:19

step is very,

00:24:21

very close to

00:24:24

suicide; the troops of Belarus will be

00:24:27

destroyed by Ukraine in quite quickly this

00:24:31

will mean a very serious

00:24:34

weakening of the regime, and Lukashenko’s situation

00:24:37

in terms of the internal stability of the regime is

00:24:40

much worse than Putin’s

00:24:44

because internal support, namely

00:24:47

the support of the population there, is much

00:24:49

less much less, this

00:24:53

was shown nakedly

00:24:58

if the pun still holds on not only Yes,

00:25:02

the power component is fear which Putin

00:25:07

uses, so to speak, to maintain

00:25:09

his regime, it is strong enough, this is, to a

00:25:14

large extent, a regime that

00:25:15

rests on strength on fear. But also on

00:25:18

support,

00:25:19

too, after all,

00:25:23

Putin’s support is a dream. The

00:25:30

level of support for Putin’s population is up,

00:25:33

but it exists and it is quite large, as

00:25:36

for Lukashenko, then

00:25:39

there is basically imitation support,

00:25:43

so as soon as the power resource

00:25:47

is undermined, Lukashenko will begin to have

00:25:50

serious problems within the country and

00:25:52

therefore

00:25:58

will be forced to give the order to, so to

00:26:01

speak, enter directly into the

00:26:03

war against Ukraine. I think that I once again

00:26:08

emphasize the potential of the Armed Forces of

00:26:11

Ukraine, of course, that it

00:26:23

will lead to Lukashenko’s will simply lead to a change of regime and it will be

00:26:27

extremely

00:26:29

successful. Well, either Putin, when occupying

00:26:32

Belarus, will actually withdraw

00:26:35

his troops there, thereby distracting them from the

00:26:38

front line with Ukraine, thereby extending

00:26:42

this front line. Or, so to speak,

00:26:46

the regime will change in Belarus So in general in

00:26:50

general This is

00:26:53

Ami

00:26:57

Vozhe’s introduction in general, not only for Lukashenko but also

00:27:00

for Putin, but Lukashenko also announced

00:27:04

that, according to his information, almost

00:27:06

NATO is going to squeeze out part of Belarus to

00:27:10

enter the territory of Belarus, he also

00:27:12

said that if the West does not go

00:27:16

to a draw with Russia regarding Ukraine,

00:27:20

Ukraine may cease to exist

00:27:22

in response to Atams deliveries, he began to

00:27:25

remind that nuclear

00:27:28

heads are located on the territory of Belarus

00:27:30

and, if necessary, Russia will

00:27:32

use the entire

00:27:34

Arsenal to defend its

00:27:37

interests and these statements look

00:27:41

strange if we refer to that that

00:27:43

he really is not going to enter the war yet

00:27:47

No, well, as for rhetoric,

00:27:50

Lukashenko is a storyteller, perhaps worse than

00:27:55

Putin, so to say

00:27:59

that what what and

00:28:02

Lukashenko knows a lot of fairy tales and tells them

00:28:06

all the time; this Lukashenko is a

00:28:10

much more stable phenomenon; much this is a

00:28:13

person who is a much more

00:28:16

experienced politician than Putin He has been in

00:28:19

power longer and, unlike Putin,

00:28:22

He did not come to power with a shambolic

00:28:28

operation of

00:28:29

a successor as a result of a

00:28:33

truly successfully carried out extremely

00:28:36

populist campaign, that is, he was

00:28:39

once a politician, he did not immediately become a

00:28:41

dictator and usurpers he was once

00:28:45

really a politician, and by the

00:28:49

way, he was always in a much more

00:28:52

vulnerable position than Putin, the ability to

00:28:55

manipulate, maneuver between

00:28:58

Europe and Russia, this is all this, all

00:29:01

the technologies that Poroshenko owns,

00:29:04

so now he is engaged in survival,

00:29:07

he is engaged in survival, and I think that

00:29:10

his rhetoric is now with one On the other hand, there is

00:29:14

constant servility to Putin, so to speak,

00:29:16

on the other hand, sometimes he

00:29:18

again begins to flirt with

00:29:20

the West, also well, by inertia. Although this is now

00:29:23

useless, so watch the dawn because

00:29:28

of an ungrateful

00:29:31

storyteller. That is,

00:29:33

this is a person who constantly invents

00:29:36

some kind of nonsense, some kind of fairy tales

00:29:38

fantastic stories and in general, so to

00:29:42

speak, it’s

00:29:44

easy for It’s about the same as

00:29:47

following how to focus on some of

00:29:50

Putin’s words, that is,

00:29:57

99 is a special

00:29:59

cover operation Alexander Grigorievich Anderson

00:30:03

will call him that financial Times

00:30:06

writes that the intensity of

00:30:08

hostilities is outstripping Russia’s ability to

00:30:10

replenish stockpiles of weapons Even with such

00:30:13

high levels of production, it is

00:30:15

holding back a more significant breakthrough

00:30:17

forward, which reduces Russia’s advantage

00:30:19

in the war against Ukraine. It is noted that

00:30:22

this is evidenced by the decrease in the rate of

00:30:25

use of ammunition by the country by the aggressor

00:30:26

until the fall of twenty-two.

00:30:29

Russia fired up to 60,000 shells

00:30:32

per day; now this number has decreased

00:30:34

to approximately 10,000 per day, and this takes into account

00:30:37

the assistance of North Korea and Iran and According to a

00:30:40

report by the Center for Strategic and

00:30:42

International Studies

00:30:43

published this week, Russia

00:30:45

needs to produce 3.6 million shells

00:30:49

per year to maintain the current

00:30:51

intensity of fire. However, the Russian Ministry of Defense

00:30:54

admitted that it can only produce

00:30:56

half of the four billion million

00:30:59

shells of caliber 152 and 1.6 caliber 122,

00:31:03

which, according to Putin’s military,

00:31:05

are necessary for a breakthrough. Can we

00:31:08

say, based on this publication

00:31:11

and on these studies, that if Russia

00:31:13

continues at the same active pace of

00:31:17

the offensive that is now taking place and

00:31:20

in parallel shelling, assistance Ukraine

00:31:23

should already, next week, if I

00:31:27

understand correctly,

00:31:29

Ukraine will be able to defend itself more actively,

00:31:32

then over time Russia will still look for its

00:31:36

resources. Well, of course, we don’t fully

00:31:39

understand this, but at least an active offensive will become impossible,

00:31:45

so that 2024 will be the year of

00:31:54

active what is called

00:31:56

strategic defense

00:31:58

for Ukraine, all military experts are talking about this

00:32:01

and here, in general, there

00:32:03

is no special news, the whole question

00:32:06

is how far it will be possible to

00:32:10

restrain the advance of the creeping

00:32:12

offensive of the occupying forces. It seems

00:32:16

that with the

00:32:18

help of this event that

00:32:20

happened on

00:32:23

April 20 Making a decision allocate

00:32:28

61 billion dollars for this in support of Ukraine. I

00:32:34

think that, after all,

00:32:37

the equalization of potentials, so to speak, will

00:32:40

happen, it will not happen completely

00:32:42

because at the moment the figure is a

00:32:45

tenfold gap

00:32:48

in. In this counter-battery war in

00:32:52

favor of Russia, this is too serious and I

00:32:55

think what it is equalization it

00:32:58

certainly will not

00:33:00

completely equalize the military potential if you count

00:33:03

by armament, but nevertheless

00:33:06

reduce this gap to the extent that

00:33:09

it guarantees, so to speak,

00:33:12

that Ukraine will be able

00:33:16

to withstand pressure from Russia, but

00:33:19

again here the tea

00:33:21

leaves here, a lot depends on

00:33:24

specifics, but in any case, the fact that the

00:33:28

Russian offensive

00:33:30

will not be able to break the defense of Ukraine is already

00:33:33

obvious, that is, the year 2024 is a year

00:33:39

that will be very difficult for Ukraine in any case.

00:33:41

But this is the long-awaited decision of the

00:33:45

Congress of the United States of America

00:33:48

he says it’s belated,

00:33:50

but nevertheless this decision took place and there is a

00:33:53

guarantee that Ukraine will survive, it

00:33:56

exists, plus there is also quite serious

00:33:59

assistance provided by European

00:34:02

partners. So this year will be

00:34:06

difficult for Ukraine, but it is quite possible,

00:34:08

by the way, that it will be the year of a

00:34:11

turning point in this war

00:34:14

because what

00:34:17

happened ultimately will allow

00:34:21

Ukraine to successfully carry out

00:34:25

strategic defense, strategic

00:34:27

defense is not just defense, it’s also

00:34:30

grinding down Russia’s Russian

00:34:32

military potential because what is

00:34:34

being done now Well, look, in fact,

00:34:37

Russia no longer has a Black Sea Fleet, we

00:34:40

mean the air fleet

00:34:43

fighter planes, bombers are

00:34:46

also slowly but surely

00:34:48

being liquidated, and

00:34:50

Russia simply does not have aircraft manufacturing, that is, to

00:34:53

replenish these

00:34:58

aviation losses for the Russian

00:35:01

occupiers, such an opportunity simply does

00:35:03

not exist. So this

00:35:06

strategic defense can just

00:35:10

lead to a turning point in the war but

00:35:13

again, these are the prospects most likely

00:35:17

not for this year, most likely this is what

00:35:20

the VP

00:35:27

experts who are brought together will have an impact on

00:35:29

based on the situation there, on what

00:35:32

information they have that Ukraine will be able

00:35:34

to make a counter-offensive only in

00:35:37

2026-2027, how realistic does this seem to you

00:35:42

and does this mean that in the

00:35:46

next few years the end of the war

00:35:49

as such, no peace agreements

00:35:52

or the signing of any guarantees? It’s

00:35:54

not worth talking about, you know different questions and

00:35:59

I think that I am not able to answer one of these questions

00:36:02

because

00:36:04

I look

00:36:06

26227 from today from April 2024

00:36:13

year is impossible because there are too

00:36:17

many factors, too many

00:36:20

variables and such a forecast seems to me

00:36:24

Well, quite irresponsible But the

00:36:27

second part of your question I think

00:36:30

we can give some kind of answer to it

00:36:32

Namely when it comes to

00:36:35

negotiations I think that In general, the word

00:36:37

negotiations in the conditions of this war

00:36:40

is obscene, simply indecent

00:36:43

because,

00:36:44

well, you know, negotiations are possible,

00:36:47

then they are possible in two cases, or

00:36:50

this is a conversation about complete final

00:36:54

surrender on the part of either Ukraine or the

00:36:57

Rhone, the option is impossible, simply

00:37:01

impossible for obvious reasons, even to be

00:37:04

honest, I don’t want to

00:37:07

because of the obviousness, I don’t want to discuss them, there

00:37:12

will be no complete final capitulation on either

00:37:14

side. As for negotiations

00:37:16

specifically as a search for a compromise, they are

00:37:20

impossible because there is no exact

00:37:24

[music]

00:37:26

compromise

00:37:28

since the

00:37:30

positions of the parties are

00:37:33

mutually exclusive, which means Putin’s goal

00:37:37

is the destruction of Ukrainian

00:37:41

statehood and the murder of

00:37:43

virtually all Ukrainians Well, or almost

00:37:46

all those who do not agree

00:37:48

to live in Putin’s Reich,

00:37:53

this is obvious, that is, there is no talk

00:37:55

there about Donbass or Crimea No, for a long time now we have been

00:37:58

talking about the destruction of all Ukrainians,

00:38:01

this is already openly said, there is no

00:38:04

protection of the Ukrainian people from the Nazis there

00:38:07

are no Ukrainians anymore they are called not brothers

00:38:11

they say that they should all be

00:38:13

destroyed there is no there is no

00:38:17

stop on today’s front line we are

00:38:21

also not talking about the liquidation of

00:38:25

Ukrainian statehood

00:38:27

they are talking about a sanitary zone from Lviv to the

00:38:31

borders with Poland That is what they

00:38:33

call sanitary zone this means

00:38:35

scorched Earth this means the liquidation of

00:38:39

Ukrainian cities the destruction of

00:38:41

Ukrainian cities destruction and above

00:38:43

all of course the destruction

00:38:46

of statehood we are talking about the fact

00:38:49

that the

00:38:51

existence of an independent Ukrainian

00:39:00

with President Zelensky is absolutely impossible

00:39:03

for the Putin regime, that is, to

00:39:06

imagine a situation in which

00:39:08

Zelensky and Putin are sitting at the table

00:39:10

negotiations are absolutely impossible.

00:39:14

Therefore, on the part of Ukraine, it is also clear that

00:39:17

the goal is to liberate all of its

00:39:19

territory, and

00:39:29

how will Ukraine and Russia be arranged? Therefore,

00:39:34

negotiations can only be a catch for

00:39:36

Putin, and it was

00:39:39

said that Lavrov said that in the

00:39:41

event of these negotiations, Russia will not

00:39:44

stop the war that is, in

00:39:47

fact, even

00:39:51

if the

00:39:53

swing of the Ukrainian

00:39:56

leadership means someone will go to

00:39:58

some kind of negotiations, it will not

00:40:00

mean stopping shooting; they won’t

00:40:02

stop killing; they won’t stop Kharkov; they won’t stop

00:40:05

wiping Kharkov off the face of the earth; they won’t

00:40:07

stop striking at

00:40:11

Ukrainian cities; that means no one will stop

00:40:13

then what is the point of the negotiations? That is, you

00:40:17

understand, the negotiations are now

00:40:19

being carried out by politicians who

00:40:22

want to make their own feast there, this is

00:40:25

being done by

00:40:28

Erdogan,

00:40:29

who, given the very very difficult

00:40:32

situation inside

00:40:34

Turkey, is

00:40:36

trying, so to speak, to portray himself as a

00:40:39

big world leader

00:40:43

who, as they say, is

00:40:46

cheating, cheating, so to speak warring

00:40:49

parties means negotiations will support the idea of

00:40:52

negotiations,

00:40:54

support China, which in

00:40:57

this case also has its

00:41:00

own interests, so to speak, that is, in fact, it

00:41:02

seems to me that today

00:41:06

they are talking about negotiations either as a

00:41:09

distraction, that is, again in

00:41:11

the negotiations, Putin speaks, who is thus

00:41:15

trying to so to speak, to present some E for

00:41:20

world public opinion

00:41:21

as such a dove,

00:41:24

and the Ukrainian authorities, in

00:41:27

particular President Zelensky, are trying

00:41:29

to portray some kind of bloodthirsty hawk

00:41:32

who at all costs wants

00:41:34

the killing of people to continue, that is,

00:41:37

in fact, the negotiations are

00:41:40

On the current moment

00:41:42

is such a deception that, in

00:41:46

general, it is not worthwhile to be carried out,

00:41:49

therefore everything will be decided on the battlefield. There can be

00:41:52

no negotiations, no

00:41:55

compromises between these

00:41:58

participants in this war. Well,

00:42:00

imagine what could have been.

00:42:04

Negotiations between the Soviet Union there, the

00:42:08

United States of Great Britain with

00:42:10

one on the other hand, and Hitler on the other

00:42:12

hand there in some kind of place, I don’t know why in

00:42:15

1943, this is absolutely

00:42:18

impossible, that

00:42:20

is, therefore, this word, which is

00:42:25

used very often, should simply be

00:42:28

considered indecent and any talk

00:42:32

about this is a trick, this is some kind of trick

00:42:36

military cunning on the one hand and on

00:42:38

Youth on the other hand, why am I

00:42:41

asking you about this because di Welt

00:42:43

published an article that the Peace

00:42:48

Agreement promulgated or rather the Peace

00:42:50

Agreement that Ukraine and Russia

00:42:52

could have signed at the beginning of the war A

00:42:55

few weeks after the Russian

00:42:56

invasion, Ukraine could have been concluded

00:42:58

Peace agreement, the conditions for ending

00:43:00

the war were spelled out in the draft agreement

00:43:02

on the network pages that the parties

00:43:04

agreed upon on April 15,

00:43:06

2022. Russia demanded neutrality from Ukraine,

00:43:08

limiting the number of

00:43:10

military weapons, equipment and aviation; the

00:43:13

occupied territories were to

00:43:15

remain with Russia; only a few

00:43:17

points remained unagreed; they

00:43:19

had to be discussed personally the head of Russia

00:43:22

Putin and the President of Ukraine Vladimir

00:43:23

Zelensky at the summit, but this never

00:43:26

happened, the publication notes that immediately

00:43:29

after the start of the war, the Russian and

00:43:31

Ukrainian sides began Negotiations

00:43:33

among themselves on the cessation of

00:43:34

hostilities. Moscow tried to force Kiev to

00:43:36

surrender at the negotiating table; in this

00:43:38

agreement, Ukraine pledged to

00:43:40

adhere to a constant neutrality,

00:43:43

thereby Kiev renounced any

00:43:45

membership in military alliances, thus the

00:43:47

country’s entry into NATO would be

00:43:49

excluded. But why is Valt now

00:43:51

publishing this supposed peace treaty? If

00:43:54

it really existed and

00:43:57

they took this information, someone else

00:44:00

provided it to them, but it obviously had either

00:44:03

one or the other side if we proceed

00:44:06

from the point that this agreement in the form in

00:44:08

which they publish

00:44:10

existed There was no

00:44:13

agreement there was no

00:44:16

agreement negotiations really took place

00:44:19

we saw this picture we

00:44:21

saw which

00:44:26

from in Minsk then it was in

00:44:30

Turkey all this all this really

00:44:32

happened,

00:44:33

but there was

00:44:35

no document that was signed, the

00:44:39

Ukrainian delegation withdrew

00:44:42

from these negotiations because it

00:44:44

was clear that it was

00:44:46

actually

00:44:48

about the demand for the surrender of Ukraine, that is, it is

00:44:54

clear

00:44:55

that the text that Welt published is the

00:44:59

same capitulation that it

00:45:02

was clear that Kiev is for 3 day, that is,

00:45:05

why did Russia go to these negotiations in

00:45:12

April of this year because it was clear that it was

00:45:16

clear that Kiev would not succeed in 3 days, it is

00:45:18

clear that the blitz cry did not

00:45:21

fail and therefore it was necessary to somehow

00:45:25

consolidate that attributable to

00:45:28

this time

00:45:29

it existed, it became clear that The West

00:45:31

is already starting to supply some kind of

00:45:33

weapons to Ukraine, that the war

00:45:35

is dragging on

00:45:37

and there was an attempt to do something like

00:45:41

Minsk

00:45:43

2, so to speak, to establish some kind of

00:45:49

state of dependence in a

00:46:00

situation in

00:46:01

which Putin will constantly,

00:46:05

so to speak, continue this war sluggishly in the

00:46:08

current regime under In this case, Ukraine will take

00:46:11

on some obligations,

00:46:12

international obligations, which in

00:46:15

this case are

00:46:16

already on conditions that are extremely lethal for

00:46:20

Ukraine,

00:46:22

refusal to join NATO,

00:46:25

refusal of practical support for the support of the

00:46:29

international community, this is

00:46:32

like death, therefore, of course, that is,

00:46:35

this kind of

00:46:36

text that was announced by Vet

00:46:40

was Russian

00:46:43

Wishlist This is a Russian Russian

00:46:45

proposal that was not accepted And that is why the

00:46:48

Ukrainian delegation was

00:46:51

then headed by Arakhamia, she withdrew

00:46:54

from these negotiations on the World Cup, in

00:46:56

fact,

00:46:57

more than once and say why

00:47:01

why did Vel now publish this this

00:47:06

this text Well

00:47:09

listen So there are laws, laws of the genre

00:47:12

Yes, that means

00:47:15

sensational

00:47:17

attempt So there is a

00:47:21

Banner of

00:47:23

signs of Riri

00:47:27

Sochi becomes news and first of all

00:47:29

it is sensational first of all it is

00:47:33

some kind of attempt scandalous and

00:47:36

so on That is, here you go, therefore this

00:47:40

kind of publication they are such a

00:47:43

common story for the

00:47:46

media that are

00:47:48

thus they are trying to raise their rating

00:47:50

So there is nothing here but

00:47:55

the USA and China in the person of Secretary of State

00:47:59

Blinkin and the minister, and statements were also made by

00:48:03

Sidn Pin, who said that

00:48:06

America and China should work to ensure that there

00:48:09

is peace in the world, the

00:48:13

future of humanity depends on relations between the USA and China

00:48:16

and This statement is not the first time

00:48:18

it has been made, and when they visited the

00:48:22

United States of America, moreover,

00:48:25

China called it alarming and a wrong

00:48:28

signal that America supported

00:48:29

aid to Ukraine in a package with Taiwan And

00:48:32

named the relations

00:48:35

a little, they said there that they are strained

00:48:39

But we need to work on that so that they

00:48:42

improve we regard this as an attempt

00:48:46

to improve relations after all, or as the polarization of

00:48:49

these two

00:48:52

countries. The

00:48:53

second Cold War is underway and the situation in

00:48:58

this second Cold War is significantly

00:49:00

different from the first

00:49:03

because the main opponent of the United

00:49:06

States of America in this Cold War,

00:49:09

Cold War number D, is not the

00:49:12

Soviet Union or Russia in this case,

00:49:15

but China is the main opponent, an opponent

00:49:18

much stronger than the

00:49:27

Soviet Union was, and another

00:49:30

opponent, an opponent

00:49:32

who, so to speak, has much

00:49:36

greater economic power and power and

00:49:39

plus is much more

00:49:43

integrated. That is, the situation has changed

00:49:46

in In general, it is precisely due to the globalization of the

00:49:50

economy that China is much

00:49:53

more integrated into the world economy

00:49:57

than was the case with the Soviet

00:50:00

Union, the industry of

00:50:04

China, on the

00:50:07

one hand, depends to a much greater extent on the American

00:50:11

economy, on the other hand, and the

00:50:12

American economy. That is, this is a

00:50:14

mutual process and therefore, so to speak.

00:50:18

This is a fundamentally special

00:50:21

cold war which leads to the

00:50:26

need for these countries to somehow come to an agreement.

00:50:28

If in the case of the first Cold

00:50:32

War there was

00:50:34

a confrontation. Well, in fact, there was a

00:50:37

constant attempt at mutual destruction,

00:50:40

but in the case of China and the United

00:50:42

States of America there is no such thing and that’s why everything

00:50:45

time, an attempt to come to an agreement, that is, in the

00:50:47

case of Cold War number

00:50:50

one, the Soviet

00:50:53

Union is

00:50:55

humiliated because it could not withstand the

00:50:59

arms race, which means in the case of China

00:51:01

the situation is completely different, so there

00:51:03

will always be attempts to come to an agreement

00:51:06

since, after all, the mutual dependence of

00:51:09

these two powers on each other is primarily

00:51:12

economic the dependence is too great

00:51:15

and on the one hand

00:51:17

this is a political confrontation which is

00:51:21

largely predetermined by

00:51:23

the decisions of the Twentieth Congress of the Communist Party of

00:51:26

China,

00:51:27

which set a course for militarization on the

00:51:30

Imperial character of China

00:51:33

on the so-called personal dictatorship of

00:51:38

Sienna, this is a serious decision, turning point

00:51:41

decisions that still have an impact.

00:51:43

But on the other hand this inclusion in the

00:51:46

global world

00:51:49

determines the need for negotiations,

00:51:52

this duality of China, it

00:51:54

manifests itself constantly, therefore,

00:51:58

and in principle, China will constantly

00:52:01

maneuver between two poles on the

00:52:03

one hand,

00:52:04

opposition to the United States of

00:52:06

America in politics, on the other hand,

00:52:09

constant attempts to agree on

00:52:11

cooperation in the field of economics I don’t

00:52:14

I think that China in the foreseeable period will

00:52:20

shift one of these pvt

00:52:28

count on the fact that as a result of

00:52:31

these negotiations as a result of, for example,

00:52:33

macron’s visit to China, attempts are also made to

00:52:36

agree on a reduction in assistance to Russia

00:52:40

from China, I don’t think that this

00:52:42

will lead to any serious

00:52:45

change China's position will be

00:52:47

constant maneuvering between

00:52:50

political

00:52:51

vectors; confrontation with the West;

00:52:55

economy

00:52:57

dictates interaction with the same

00:53:01

West; China will

00:53:04

not move; the political

00:53:07

and economic mass of this power is too large.

00:53:10

So it will continue to be so;

00:53:12

China will continue to support

00:53:14

Russia. in this war, Nothing

00:53:17

will change here And no visits by Macron,

00:53:19

no negotiations,

00:53:27

and negotiations are Well, to some

00:53:30

extent, a screen

00:53:32

that can reach some

00:53:36

private agreements, for example,

00:53:38

that China should not provide certain

00:53:41

types of weapons to Russia, but nothing more than

00:53:44

China Will continue to support

00:53:46

Russia in this war, both politically and

00:53:50

diplomatically, and to some extent

00:53:53

militarily. The same thing will

00:53:55

continue here. Yes, to our great

00:53:58

regret. Thank you very much for

00:54:00

the conversation. Igor Yakovenko, the journalist was

00:54:02

visiting us today at the Polytech, friends.

00:54:04

Thank you you for being with us, we are

00:54:06

already more than a million, this is your merit And

00:54:09

thank you for supporting and

00:54:11

subscribing, share this video,

00:54:13

subscribe to the channel, be sure to

00:54:15

write questions if you have any,

00:54:17

if they are interesting and

00:54:19

constructive, we will definitely

00:54:20

look for answers to them together in our next

00:54:22

broadcasts My name is Anastasia Gusareva we

00:54:25

will see you again please

00:54:27

take care of yourself

00:54:29

[music]

Description:

Игорь Яковенко в новом выпуске на #политека_онлайн. https://www.youtube.com/@IgorYakovenko Ведущая - Анастасия Гусарева Поделитесь этим видео - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yG63knt3V_M В студии Politeka Online Яковенко Игорь, журналист, политический деятель 27.4.2024 Таймкоды: 00:00 Причина ареста зама Шойгу 06:22 Репрессии путина против олигархов рф 13:22 Замена Кадырова 18:55 Детей Белгорода не отдают родителям 23:40 Угрозы от Лукашенко 31:30 Как помощь США изменит ситуацию на фронте? 35:30 Возможны ли переговоры? 44:10 Украине предлагали капитуляцию! 48:00 Противостояние США и Китая: что дальше? Если вы хотите поддержать канал ПОЛИТЕКА - ✅Поставьте лайк этому видео, напишите комментарий и поделитесь им в своих соцсетях. ✅Подписывайтесь на наш канал Политека Онлайн, жмите на 🔔 и выбирайте "все уведомления", чтобы не пропустить новые видео https://www.youtube.com/c/PolitekaOnline?sub_confirmation=1 ✅Станьте спонсором канала Politeka Online, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHgiqmsIHN2PlQnBIRFRGGg/join Подпишитесь на Политеку в твиттере https://twitter.com/PolitekaO Все актуальные новости Украины и мира в одном приложении MY.UA: Google Play - https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.myua.news App Stope - https://apps.apple.com/ua/app/my-ua-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE-%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%83-%D1%82%D0%B0-%D1%81%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%82/id1437521768?l=uk Подписывайтесь также на каналы: People Life - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLlUjg4ipS_SgwhLgg0yQRA?sub_confirmation=1 PolitБюро –самые актуальные новости https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCas2_yXFXTsAiYxY4WfenqQ?sub_confirmation=1 Мнение гостя не всегда совпадает с нашим, но мы считаем нужным предоставлять зрителям разные точки зрения.

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