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Table of contents
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Table of contents

0:00
Актуальность нападения Польши на Калининград
1:36
Военный сценарий альянса НАТО
3:37
Силы сторон
6:07
Возможный ход боевых действий
13:01
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00:00:00
American
00:00:02
media call Kaliningrad a NATO nightmare,
00:00:05
and representatives of the United States and the
00:00:08
alliance have repeatedly announced plans to
00:00:11
seize the region in the event of a conflict with
00:00:13
Russia and then transfer it under
00:00:16
Polish control. Western military officials treat
00:00:19
Kaliningrad like a dagger in the heart of Europe. The
00:00:22
media
00:00:24
periodically raises the topic as
00:00:27
tiny. The Kaliningrad region
00:00:29
is becoming the point from which Russia
00:00:31
begins the conquest of Europe. NATO is
00:00:34
convinced or simply pretends that
00:00:37
sooner or later the Russians will make a
00:00:40
military breakthrough in order to cut off the
00:00:42
small
00:00:44
Baltic states from their alliance allies in order to ensure the
00:00:47
possibility of land communication with
00:00:50
Kaliningrad and the
00:00:52
so-called military group stationed there The Su
00:00:55
Volkovsky corridor has turned into a source of headaches for the
00:00:57
strategists of the North Atlantic Alliance. The
00:01:01
Shuvalovsky
00:01:04
corridor
00:01:05
is a relatively small piece of
00:01:07
terrain up to a hundred kilometers of the
00:01:09
Polish-Lithuanian border, one end
00:01:12
abuts Belarus and the other the
00:01:14
Kaliningrad region.
00:01:16
All the legends of NATO military exercises in
00:01:19
Eastern Europe revolve around this,
00:01:21
and the key is around the possibility of launching a
00:01:24
preventive strike on the Kaliningrad
00:01:27
region and cutting it off from the rest of
00:01:30
Russia, with
00:01:34
Poland playing the main role in this scenario;
00:01:35
to begin with, I will briefly describe the main
00:01:38
military goals that NATO sets for itself
00:01:41
for the preventive occupation of Kaliningrad;
00:01:44
scenarios for a preventive strike by the NATO
00:01:47
group in the later and Baltic states on the
00:01:49
Kaliningrad region involves the
00:01:52
simultaneous implementation of
00:01:54
several complex combat missions at once, the Polish
00:01:57
army will have to neutralize
00:01:59
Russian Iskander ballistic missiles
00:02:01
as well as coastal missile
00:02:03
systems, threatening both the
00:02:05
fleet and all this in order to
00:02:08
prevent Moscow from waging war at
00:02:10
long distances; for
00:02:11
this, American specialists
00:02:14
propose to use the experience of
00:02:16
destroying Iraqi
00:02:18
stingray ballistic missiles during the Gulf War
00:02:20
in 1991,
00:02:24
the tactics consist of loading
00:02:27
special forces units behind enemy lines
00:02:29
in order to search for launchers and
00:02:32
aim aircraft at them.
00:02:34
By the way, it is worth noting that during the
00:02:36
Gulf War and despite the fact that the
00:02:38
British and American the commandos
00:02:41
found something
00:02:42
and directed aircraft at some targets, as
00:02:45
a result, not a single Iraqi installation of
00:02:47
Skat missiles was destroyed. The
00:02:50
key obstacle to the capture of the
00:02:53
Kaliningrad region is the
00:02:55
Russian
00:02:57
S-400 air defense systems,
00:02:59
they cover most of
00:03:02
Polish airspace and threaten any
00:03:05
air support from NATO,
00:03:07
therefore, the Poles will also need to destroy these systems
00:03:12
simultaneously with the attack on
00:03:14
Kaliningrad by the NATO military group in
00:03:16
Poland and the Baltic states, they will need to
00:03:19
block Russian reinforcements from the
00:03:21
main territory, which will strike
00:03:24
from the territory of Belarus,
00:03:26
and the Poles and fell there will have to do
00:03:29
something how to cope with the Russian
00:03:31
Baltic Fleet
00:03:32
in order to organize a naval blockade of
00:03:35
Kaliningrad, now let’s take a look at
00:03:38
what forces the
00:03:41
warring parties in this
00:03:43
region have, it’s immediately worth noting that the
00:03:46
Kaliningrad defensive region is
00:03:48
part of the Western Military District
00:03:50
as a separate
00:03:52
military-administrative unit and
00:03:54
plays an important role in countering the
00:03:57
American system missile
00:03:59
defense in Europe, it has about 800
00:04:03
modernized T-72 tanks,
00:04:06
about one and a half thousand infantry fighting vehicles
00:04:08
and armored personnel carriers and armored cars,
00:04:11
about 350 of
00:04:14
their various artillery installations, as well as 48
00:04:17
mobile installations of tactical missile
00:04:19
systems, about 400 launchers of
00:04:23
air defense systems, there are
00:04:26
approximately 60 combat aircraft in
00:04:29
including the Su-27 and Su-30 fighters from the
00:04:32
sea, Kaliningrad is also covered by the Baltic
00:04:35
Fleet, which has fifty-four
00:04:37
large warships and
00:04:39
submarines, as well as the Marine Corps and coastal
00:04:42
missile systems, the
00:04:44
total number in the military group
00:04:46
can be estimated at 20,000 people, of course
00:04:51
not all NATO countries
00:04:53
interested in the occupation of
00:04:55
Kaliningrad, the main participants will be
00:04:57
Poland and the Baltic countries, with the active
00:05:00
support of the American contingent
00:05:02
and the aircraft carrier strike group, the
00:05:05
armed forces of the Baltic countries,
00:05:08
although not numerous, in total the
00:05:10
strike backbone can amount to about 20
00:05:13
thousand people, while they do not have
00:05:16
missile and tank
00:05:18
military units -air forces and practically
00:05:20
no
00:05:22
offensive weapons in general, there is no
00:05:25
other thing, Poland
00:05:27
has a much larger and more
00:05:29
combat-ready army with about a thousand
00:05:33
tanks, missile weapons and more or less
00:05:36
modern air forces, in
00:05:39
total, the NATO strike force
00:05:41
in Eastern Europe can grow to 80
00:05:45
thousand people it is worth noting that
00:05:48
in recent years the NATO alliance has increased not only its
00:05:51
ground but also its air presence
00:05:54
in the countries of Eastern Europe;
00:05:56
aviation regularly replaces each other
00:05:58
to control the airspace in
00:06:01
the region; in fact, such patrolling is
00:06:04
also an element of an offensive strategy and
00:06:07
what a preventive
00:06:10
military strike might look like NATO in the Kaliningrad
00:06:12
region,
00:06:13
speed and surprise for the alliance forces
00:06:17
will play a significant role in this operation; after all, it is
00:06:20
necessary to organize a blockade in a few days before
00:06:23
Russian reinforcements arrive
00:06:24
and then
00:06:27
eliminate the entire defensive
00:06:29
potential of the Leningrad region. The
00:06:31
initial positions of the Polish army for the
00:06:34
offensive are not easy for
00:06:36
concentrated forces on land. on the border
00:06:39
with Russia,
00:06:40
under dense artillery fire, it is
00:06:42
necessary to cross an area full of
00:06:44
dense forests and lakes; a
00:06:46
rapid offensive must
00:06:48
involve the best and most mobile
00:06:51
Polish military units, the
00:06:53
number of which must be at least
00:06:55
30 thousand soldiers,
00:06:57
but still concentrated missile and
00:07:00
artillery strikes almost immediately
00:07:03
slow down the advance units of the Polish
00:07:05
army, even before crossing the border in the
00:07:08
Kaliningrad region and on the territory of
00:07:10
Belarus,
00:07:13
air defense and
00:07:15
electronic warfare systems are deployed tightly and
00:07:17
in this regard, NATO aviation will be
00:07:19
used extremely limited by
00:07:21
Russian fighters
00:07:23
and helicopters, it will also be extremely dangerous
00:07:26
to fly in a combat zone due to
00:07:28
American anti-aircraft missile systems,
00:07:31
otherwise both sides will
00:07:33
suffer serious losses in aviation, it is
00:07:36
worth noting that in Estonia
00:07:38
there are American attack
00:07:40
drones that are much
00:07:43
more difficult to shoot down,
00:07:44
most likely they will become the main
00:07:46
means of gradually weakening the
00:07:49
air defense of Kaliningrad at the
00:07:52
same time combat operations will take
00:07:54
place in the Baltic Sea search,
00:07:57
American forces will try to
00:07:59
damage the infrastructure of the port of
00:08:02
Baltiysk and the ships of
00:08:05
the Baltic fleet present there in order to prevent
00:08:07
any retaliatory actions, the
00:08:09
Polish naval forces are far from the
00:08:12
strongest in the region, however, their
00:08:14
modern coastal missile batteries are
00:08:17
quite capable of destroying
00:08:19
Russian ships, the Russian Baltic fleet is
00:08:22
very a powerful 1 to 1
00:08:25
shock American
00:08:27
venous group is capable of turning the
00:08:29
tide of hostilities
00:08:31
in almost any theater of military
00:08:33
operations
00:08:34
if one is involved tauco the
00:08:37
Leningrad region
00:08:39
will be completely surrounded in the first days,
00:08:41
do not forget that the Kaliningrad
00:08:44
region is connected to your two
00:08:47
vital arteries an energy bridge through
00:08:49
which a significant part of
00:08:52
the electricity is supplied and pipelines drop
00:08:55
all the natural gas consumed by the region
00:08:58
if Lithuania alone blocks
00:09:00
energy supplies,
00:09:02
the situation in the Kaliningrad region
00:09:04
will become close to a critical situation, a
00:09:08
complete or partial blockade of
00:09:09
Kaliningrad while the defense of the region is not yet
00:09:12
complete in the western military district of Russia
00:09:15
will be difficult the task is to break through the Shuvalov
00:09:18
land corridor through Belarus, while
00:09:21
at first the army will not
00:09:24
necessarily enter
00:09:26
enemy territory since the range of multiple launch
00:09:28
rocket systems and
00:09:31
missile systems will allow them to
00:09:34
calmly work both from Belarusian
00:09:37
and directly from Russian
00:09:38
territory; the important problem for the defenders is
00:09:42
limited human
00:09:44
resources and a small territory where it is
00:09:46
almost impossible to carry out
00:09:49
tactical maneuvers and retreats,
00:09:52
developed Russian air and
00:09:55
missile defense,
00:09:56
this fact that NATO allies in the
00:09:59
region have few attack drones
00:10:01
will give the besieged additional time to
00:10:04
wait for the blockade to be broken, while the
00:10:07
United States will continuously
00:10:09
send additional resources to the
00:10:11
equipment and people within 5 days after the
00:10:15
start of the conflict, powerful blows will be delivered across the territory of Poland,
00:10:18
Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, where
00:10:21
military installations are located; the
00:10:23
regional conflict will quickly
00:10:26
gain scale, expanding geography; in
00:10:30
this situation, the American and Polish
00:10:33
armies will need at least a week to
00:10:35
finally break through the defenses of Kalinin
00:10:38
Hell area, the only question is
00:10:41
whether they will have so much time, the damage that
00:10:44
all parties to the conflict will suffer in at least
00:10:47
two weeks will be so enormous
00:10:49
that the price of victory is
00:10:51
unlikely to recoup such a company, and even
00:10:54
without taking into account nuclear weapons in this
00:10:58
context, it becomes clear why in
00:11:00
the reports
00:11:01
of the American think tanks the danger of
00:11:03
Russia's use of tactical or
00:11:06
strategic weapons
00:11:07
is regarded as low: if it
00:11:11
enters, it does not matter how many
00:11:13
American troops are
00:11:15
stationed in Poland and how many days the
00:11:22
Baltic countries are ready to hold out under the pressure of superior enemy forces; all calculations and conclusions about the
00:11:25
need to strengthen the eastern flank are
00:11:27
connected with this exclusively with
00:11:29
ideas about a local war in
00:11:32
which it is Russia 1 that is showing
00:11:35
aggression; to sum up, we can say that the
00:11:38
combined forces later than the Baltic
00:11:41
countries and the United States have a chance to
00:11:44
take Kaliningrad, but subject to a
00:11:46
lightning-fast operation in which
00:11:49
Russian air defense systems will be suppressed
00:11:51
and the
00:11:54
striking power of the Baltic fleet will be destroyed
00:11:56
but even under this condition, Poland will suffer
00:11:59
heavy losses in the navy and ground
00:12:02
forces, the infrastructure
00:12:05
and population on its own
00:12:07
territory will be severely damaged, the Baltic countries will be a little more lucky,
00:12:11
and the least losses will be suffered by the armed
00:12:13
forces of the United States since their
00:12:16
military personnel will most likely not
00:12:18
act directly at the forefront of the
00:12:20
attack in any case, the outcome of such a war
00:12:24
will depend on the degree of involvement of the
00:12:26
Americans in the process; alone,
00:12:30
Poland does not have a single chance to take
00:12:32
Kaliningrad for itself; with the 100% involvement of the
00:12:36
United States in the conflict,
00:12:38
the operation may well become successful;
00:12:40
however, the scale of the conflict will cease
00:12:43
to be local and then the Americans
00:12:46
will have to worry about their military
00:12:48
up
00:12:49
ek you also on your own territory,
00:12:52
but in this case it is more logical to talk
00:12:54
more about the mutual defeat of all
00:12:57
parties to the conflict,
00:13:00
but as always, I will be extremely
00:13:03
interested to know your opinion in
00:13:06
the comments on this issue,
00:13:08
be sure to look at my past issues,
00:13:10
they are no less interesting and join
00:13:13
my group in contact and subscribe
00:13:16
to my second
00:13:17
music channel all the links are in the description
00:13:19
under the video
00:13:21
but the harvester was with you to all peace and
00:13:25
prosperity

Description:

Что, если Польша при помощи блока НАТО решит забрать Калининград у России? Давайте представим себе такую ситуацию и смоделируем возможное развитие событий. МОЙ МУЗЫКАЛЬНЫЙ КАНАЛ : https://www.youtube.com/HarDasteR_RocK Группа ВКонтакте : https://vk.com/army__blog Twitter : https://twitter.com/HarDasteR_real Реклама и сотрудничество : https://vk.com/hardaster [email protected] 00:00 - Актуальность нападения Польши на Калининград 01:36 - Военный сценарий альянса НАТО 03:37 - Силы сторон 06:07 - Возможный ход боевых действий 13:01 - Посмотри мои прошлые видео

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