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00:00:01
online politics Yuri Fedorov is in touch with us
00:00:03
military expert Yuri my respects good
00:00:06
afternoon
00:00:07
Yuri the most important is probably a very
00:00:10
intriguing question, what will happen in this
00:00:13
bloody scan, as they said earlier in
00:00:16
August, what we are now seeing as
00:00:18
of the beginning of the month is
00:00:21
the transfer of Russian troops
00:00:24
specifically there, heavy equipment to
00:00:26
bachelor parties here in the Krivoy Rog
00:00:29
direction to the south, and this indicates
00:00:32
that the loss of Luga during the
00:00:36
Ukrainian counter-offensive is very significant, very
00:00:38
significant for the Russian Federation, what
00:00:41
else are these movements of
00:00:43
Russian troops talking about and what is actually
00:00:45
happening and will take place in August
00:00:48
in the south,
00:00:49
well, judging by the fact that they are spoken and written by people who
00:00:52
know what is happening directly
00:00:56
on the battlefield, how the
00:01:03
General Staff of the Armed Forces
00:01:05
of Ukraine think and plan to act, although of course the information from there is
00:01:08
quite limited, but nevertheless they have not
00:01:11
determined for the statement and the analysis of
00:01:14
which is
00:01:16
given certain people
00:01:18
close to the military command of Ukraine
00:01:21
allow us to draw several or
00:01:25
identify several main
00:01:26
directions of
00:01:28
military operations of
00:01:30
military actions on the fronts of Ukraine.
00:01:33
First, you absolutely correctly said
00:01:36
the threat to Russian positions in the south
00:01:41
posed by the planned
00:01:43
offensive of the armed forces, but first
00:01:46
of all, the offensive and embrace on Kherson
00:01:51
caused a big trick in Moscow and as
00:01:55
a result, the
00:02:00
military forces that were operating are not
00:02:03
operating in the Donbass, the purpose
00:02:08
or task of which is to reach the
00:02:11
administrative border of the Donetsk
00:02:13
region, so they began
00:02:16
to be transferred from there to the south and we are transferring
00:02:18
significant numbers, it is not
00:02:20
expected, at least these
00:02:22
types are called that strike force
00:02:25
Russian troops on the right bank of the Dnieper
00:02:30
will have to reach approximately 25
00:02:34
thousand people, this is quite a lot
00:02:38
if you count
00:02:41
battalion tactical groups
00:02:44
with a standard
00:02:47
number or circle and taking into account
00:02:50
the need to deploy above
00:02:53
support and support, then we can
00:02:55
assume that it rotates and centers
00:02:58
to the right and about somewhere about twenty,
00:03:03
maybe 25 battalion-tactical
00:03:07
groups, maybe a little less, but
00:03:10
nevertheless, taking into account the troops that are
00:03:12
already there,
00:03:16
this device suggests that
00:03:19
Russia is preparing a counter-offensive in the
00:03:22
south, preparing an attack on, but
00:03:25
primarily on Nicholas, possibly in the
00:03:28
Krivoy Rog direction
00:03:30
this may also be
00:03:33
difficult to judge because we don’t see it yet, but at
00:03:36
least in open sources
00:03:38
there is no information about where and how the
00:03:42
Russian troops
00:03:46
arriving on the right bank of the Dnieper are concentrated,
00:03:50
but there are two directions that
00:03:54
can be chosen according to what will
00:03:57
be the Russian offensive
00:03:59
to express the labor of the political situation with
00:04:03
this in the following the
00:04:05
apparently
00:04:08
immediate goal and immediate
00:04:10
task of
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occupying the entire Donetsk region is removed because
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for this there simply may not be enough
00:04:16
strength and means and the
00:04:19
main task is to
00:04:23
immediately move the task they can set for
00:04:26
themselves Russian troops maximum
00:04:29
imanda maximum task to reach the
00:04:33
approaches of Nikolaev I will try to get him to
00:04:37
take this city but this is a dacha obviously
00:04:40
not solving cities of this size
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fortified prepared for defense like
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Nikolai for his storm requires
00:04:51
much more forces and means than
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stoves can be in Russia on the right
00:04:58
bank of the Dnieper
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is different, but at the same time it is quite possible that the
00:05:02
task of this speech is not such a
00:05:06
dangerous field, namely to prevent
00:05:09
speeches from you in court
00:05:13
sleep and political this task is understandable
00:05:17
because the Russians are planning to hold
00:05:20
something like a referendum a referendum of
00:05:24
course there
00:05:25
will be no quotation marks about the debtor of the referendum at
00:05:28
all talking about the fact that all
00:05:31
these public opinion polls were
00:05:36
requested by the population of Kherson
00:05:39
narrow saw Zaporozhye was held
00:05:41
on the Internet, which generally makes
00:05:44
this event absolutely
00:05:47
illegitimate and from a legal point of view,
00:05:51
nevertheless, for Moscow, apparently Moscow
00:05:55
is apparently in such a state where
00:05:58
it no longer cares about rights you are right
00:06:01
and this is the norm for legal
00:06:04
legal conditions,
00:06:07
they need, at all costs, to
00:06:11
carry out a formal format of animation of the
00:06:15
Kherson and Zaporozhye regions in
00:06:18
order to declare them territories
00:06:20
of the Russian Federation and threaten to
00:06:23
use, let’s say in quotes, all the
00:06:27
forces and means for which they have,
00:06:30
including nuclear weapons in order to
00:06:33
prevent the
00:06:35
hole of Persia in the Chusovsky region, or at
00:06:39
least the right-bank part of it
00:06:42
and including the city of Kherson, of course, so the
00:06:45
question here is who will be the first to manage
00:06:49
whether the
00:06:51
Russian command will be able to concentrate
00:06:54
enough forces not to
00:06:56
carry out an attack on Kherson
00:07:00
the lesson is to introduce an offensive in two
00:07:03
directions, from my point of view,
00:07:06
illiteracy is quite obvious and
00:07:08
military because the obvious
00:07:12
maxims of military theory and practice are given in
00:07:15
that it is necessary to concentrate all forces
00:07:17
on the main direction of the
00:07:19
main attack, but this is the
00:07:22
direction that will be chosen by the
00:07:25
General Staff and
00:07:27
Putin, I don’t I know no one knows yet, they are
00:07:31
afraid that for some reason they are not preparing an
00:07:34
option for one or the other.
00:07:36
Questions: could there be a
00:07:39
parallel percent satio? Well,
00:07:41
by the way, this is a very
00:07:42
intriguing story because on the one
00:07:45
hand it is conditional if,
00:07:47
but these battalion tactical groups
00:07:49
will go on the curve of the curved horn and in that
00:07:52
direction you will hit Nikolaev or
00:07:56
vice versa, how will it generally happen,
00:07:59
from the point of view of
00:08:01
science, how to act correctly and
00:08:04
what kind of situational forecast we can give
00:08:07
for the near future
00:08:11
due to the forecasts I can give to me
00:08:14
because the forecast is specific
00:08:17
hard battles are done and should be given by people
00:08:21
who know the balance of forces well, but
00:08:24
if I were the head of the
00:08:29
military, I would, of course, first of all, in the
00:08:32
place of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine,
00:08:36
would concentrate forces to carry out
00:08:39
artillery strikes not on
00:08:42
communications, transport communications
00:08:45
connecting the left and right banks Dnieper
00:08:48
[music]
00:08:49
I’m running along the banks of the Dnieper, this is the first and second
00:08:52
somewhere I let in, or I’d try to clear it,
00:08:58
drag your group to the door, poorly
00:09:01
connected parts, for example, on a break and
00:09:04
walk
00:09:05
there, the bridge is already badly damaged in the area of ​​​​the
00:09:12
populated area, then get
00:09:16
to the rivka, and accordingly
00:09:19
[music ]
00:09:21
dividing the Russian troops into
00:09:26
two parts and yes, of course I sharply reduces
00:09:29
their combat potential
00:09:32
or the main main condition is the first
00:09:35
condition for success is and the merit is
00:09:37
the destruction of not only bridges, there are parts
00:09:42
of them destroyed, the donor one may have already been disabled, the
00:09:47
parallel railway bridge is
00:09:50
also damaged as far as I am concerned I can judge that
00:09:53
at least there were messages and
00:09:56
it remained intact, this bridge was built,
00:09:59
which remove this gram, which
00:10:01
is located in an area without Novaya Kakhovka
00:10:06
[music]
00:10:07
it is natural that Russian troops will
00:10:10
use pontoon crossings,
00:10:12
they can use some similar ones,
00:10:15
but on a level and reliable means of
00:10:19
extremely slowly and in order to
00:10:22
transport
00:10:23
significant forces from one bank of the Dnieper
00:10:27
to the other, but pontoon crossings, yes
00:10:29
they can build and actually already
00:10:32
actions that were not set up in the Kherson area,
00:10:37
but it must be said that the pallet did not
00:10:39
cross even more carried
00:10:42
long-range strikes to the dealer of the armed forces of Ukraine
00:10:45
at which stationary posts,
00:10:49
even let’s say, disable
00:10:52
one link with such a crossing,
00:10:56
but the pontoons are only fastened to each
00:10:59
other there in one way or another in one way or another,
00:11:03
like a pallet of furniture, the
00:11:06
game is already scattered into two parts by the current
00:11:09
and, well, accordingly they are
00:11:12
demolished together with the existing on
00:11:15
equipment and love personnel
00:11:19
so that the
00:11:21
armed forces of Ukraine have
00:11:24
very significant advantages in the hotel, which
00:11:28
allows me to hope
00:11:30
that the
00:11:32
performance of the Russian troops, which are
00:11:35
planned for 100 years, or Nikolaev, it
00:11:39
will be installed simply because
00:11:42
these troops do not have enough ammunition and will not
00:11:47
have to
00:11:49
shoot it’s hard to shoot and a lot
00:11:53
now the tactics of the Russian troops are based
00:11:57
on a high density of artillery
00:12:00
fire, if so then any reserves and
00:12:04
with fingers that
00:12:06
can be created on the right bank they will
00:12:10
run out very quickly, firstly and
00:12:12
secondly, the experience of recent weeks shows that
00:12:16
such reserves and warehouses with weapons are
00:12:19
easily destroyed, but quite
00:12:22
easily destroyed by
00:12:25
strikes from Thai fruit drinks and possibly other
00:12:29
artillery systems that the
00:12:31
Ukrainian troops have or will have for in this regard, I
00:12:37
would like to draw the attention of
00:12:41
Mr. Gerashchenko, that Gerashchenko, an
00:12:44
adviser to the
00:12:45
Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, said in one
00:12:49
of his interviews that
00:12:52
Ukrainian troops have at their
00:12:55
disposal a
00:12:57
very interesting weapon called
00:13:00
excalibur, these are 150 mm caliber shells
00:13:06
that are essentially
00:13:10
mixtures or such aid, shells and
00:13:13
missiles, but they don’t shoot standard ones,
00:13:17
including those same American
00:13:20
pigeons about 777 or others that are
00:13:24
available in at the disposal of services, but after
00:13:28
the shot,
00:13:30
something worse than missiles of a
00:13:33
new design is turned on, and even
00:13:37
in flight, the projectiles communicate with the intercessor through
00:13:40
the system; without it, their accuracy and
00:13:46
accuracy is approximately 45 meters,
00:13:50
that is, the
00:13:53
probable
00:13:54
incredible circular deviation
00:13:59
is 4 4 5 meters
00:14:04
to make it clear, this is the area the
00:14:07
area of ​​the circle in which I fall is
00:14:12
half that next to a high-precision
00:14:15
Jesus camera
00:14:17
and insofar as the
00:14:20
flight range of these excaliburs
00:14:25
reaches up to 50 kilometers, which is
00:14:29
significantly further than conventional
00:14:32
artillery shells;
00:14:40
will be one of the
00:14:44
longest-range
00:14:45
firing systems,
00:14:48
that is, projectiles fired from a barrel and
00:14:52
with high accuracy they
00:14:56
can naturally cause very significant damage to
00:14:58
Russian troops Buddha offensive
00:15:01
as if in defense destroying like the first
00:15:05
four the first obvious target is ammunition
00:15:08
depots to heaven obviously targets
00:15:11
and accumulations of military equipment
00:15:14
but 3 children are no less obvious,
00:15:18
a manger command posts are not a
00:15:20
brigade at a higher level,
00:15:24
these shells are very expensive, on average,
00:15:28
depending on the modification, they do not cost
00:15:30
about 100 thousand dollars for each,
00:15:34
there were other messages, besides the statements
00:15:38
they slept on Gerashchenko, there were people from the
00:15:41
message who say ready What does
00:15:44
Ukraine plan to supply or has
00:15:46
already supplied thousands of such shells, this is a
00:15:50
large amount, as you can calculate,
00:15:53
but the effect of their use can be
00:15:56
very, very significant, at least
00:16:00
this is evidenced by the experience in the
00:16:02
use of American troops in
00:16:04
Iraq and Afghanistan.
00:16:09
in a small amount for the
00:16:11
effect of a little bit
00:16:15
they say, well, it’s hard to say, but at
00:16:18
least
00:16:20
that you are a servant, but other
00:16:23
surprises are visible to the Russian troops, it gives
00:16:25
direction,
00:16:26
perhaps we are talking about getting some,
00:16:29
perhaps we are talking about getting missiles
00:16:33
then us
00:16:35
that will be fired is
00:16:40
high marches
00:16:43
now there is no point in talking about
00:16:46
these missiles, everyone is well known, many I
00:16:51
think most of our listeners
00:16:54
already know what Khaimovich is,
00:16:59
what is so on, good good,
00:17:05
so rather than the will not return to
00:17:08
what could happen in August,
00:17:10
which means I I assume that we will wait for the
00:17:14
offensive, the Russian asks, we will
00:17:17
wait for it to fail, not after that it
00:17:20
will begin so that during the offensive, let the
00:17:23
armed forces of Ukraine with the
00:17:26
possible liberation of Kherson of the
00:17:30
entire right bank part of
00:17:34
this seasoning bridgehead is not the bridgehead of
00:17:37
Russian troops on the right bank and about
00:17:39
which was created, unfortunately, was
00:17:42
created somewhere
00:17:43
in March
00:17:45
[music]
00:17:46
to the
00:17:48
Donetsk region because the
00:17:52
withdrawal and transfer of forces from there
00:17:55
opens up or does not open up any
00:17:57
opportunities for the grouping of the armed
00:17:59
forces of Ukraine that defend the Donbass,
00:18:01
but remember what
00:18:06
Lomonosov said to the children and Capri, the physicist and philosopher,
00:18:10
if nothing arrives then it means
00:18:14
he fell in another place no the same amount
00:18:17
he had philosophical ideas
00:18:20
no match if Russia is transferring hiring to
00:18:24
Donetsk and the region
00:18:26
it means Donetsk and you still have
00:18:31
a dream accordingly the idea of
00:18:34
occupying the entire Donetsk region
00:18:38
turns out to be even more well of
00:18:42
course we can assume that this is
00:18:46
some kind of part I’m thinking of comparing the big one,
00:18:50
this is what we’re creating to transfer,
00:18:54
Russia can assemble, we’re drawing these
00:18:57
reserve parts that it has, it’s
00:19:00
suitable for Russian territory, but I
00:19:03
need to keep in mind that
00:19:04
if there are idealized parts,
00:19:08
we can even doubt that at least we’re
00:19:10
talking about a sufficient number for 9 were
00:19:13
intended primarily to
00:19:15
maintain were the ability logically
00:19:17
in the Donetsk region of the Russian these
00:19:20
mechanics days of war love it and such that
00:19:23
after two to three weeks of fighting a
00:19:27
formation or unit should be withdrawn to
00:19:30
rest and reorganize
00:19:32
execution when should
00:19:36
some kind of fresh to fresh
00:19:38
formation take its place or a fresh unit
00:19:41
is sent from the reserves - this is the principle of
00:19:44
military operations, and if Russia does not
00:19:48
have enough reserves or has or
00:19:50
has transferred another section of the front, it is necessary
00:19:53
than
00:19:55
then in the Donetsk region the Russians are
00:19:58
losing low on losing to
00:20:00
attack
00:20:01
these fields that this offensive
00:20:04
potential, as shown by a
00:20:06
three-month three-month battle beyond
00:20:12
Severodonetsk there is now a dangerous borderline in the
00:20:16
settlements of the Lugansk region
00:20:19
from the pace of their advance is very close and
00:20:24
the last thing I would like to say when talking
00:20:28
about the possible development of events is to leave it at the
00:20:31
gates about the calculation concentrating
00:20:34
some forces in the Kharkov
00:20:38
direction, but I think that this is
00:20:42
not the case here about a possible assault on the
00:20:45
city of Kharkov for this purpose by Russia is
00:20:49
obviously not just to
00:20:51
divert some units and units of the
00:20:56
Ukrainian armed forces from the southern
00:20:58
direction or beyond Donetsk, but here
00:21:01
again it needs to be said and I want to draw
00:21:04
attention to this
00:21:06
according to the minister defense of Ukraine,
00:21:10
Mr. Oreshnikova,
00:21:15
these were statements made by no one to me 93
00:21:18
volumes ago, so by that time,
00:21:22
700 thousand people were mobilized,
00:21:26
even if we assume that half of those
00:21:30
mobilized are people who
00:21:34
are undergoing basic training, who are
00:21:37
honored to arm so on, I’m still 350
00:21:41
thousand people, that’s a very serious force,
00:21:45
superior in number by
00:21:48
far to the troops that
00:21:52
Russia has deployed in Ukraine, up to
00:21:55
which it numbers, well, according to various estimates,
00:21:58
but somewhere around 150 thousand, well, let’s say
00:22:02
the more, it’s still much smaller
00:22:05
than the forces that periodically may have
00:22:09
available forces Ukraine and
00:22:12
as
00:22:16
modern weapons arrive,
00:22:18
such promises from the side to forget
00:22:22
the allies, yes, there are talks about a possible
00:22:27
direction, then 30 or high Mars installations
00:22:31
for such numbers they call, in my opinion, the numbers
00:22:34
were called by a
00:22:35
very influential
00:22:38
[music]
00:22:40
radiation in Kiev and the
00:22:45
leadership of Ukraine, including
00:22:47
President Zelensky
00:22:50
such figures are
00:22:52
30 files, taking into account the fact that some
00:22:56
more installations of this type, a
00:22:59
great example, will be supplied
00:23:03
from the UK,
00:23:05
taking into account other weapons among the number that has
00:23:09
already begun, a very weak bomb by the headquarters,
00:23:13
but nevertheless, something has begun, the
00:23:16
supply of weapons from
00:23:19
Germany to the
00:23:21
armed forces of Ukraine has begun have good
00:23:24
chances to liberate the new moon,
00:23:30
liquidate the bridgehead on the right bank
00:23:32
and free the bowl
00:23:36
before the Jew, I want this remark and
00:23:42
what the two reacted to
00:23:44
the day of the Navy, Putin
00:23:47
speaks nickname of
00:23:49
the special operation, not a word, well,
00:23:52
this is a sign of what in your opinion, well,
00:23:56
actually this the threat of zircons
00:23:58
Putin's zircons how dangerous they are in
00:24:01
a global sense
00:24:02
and what conclusions can be drawn
00:24:04
from such a positioning of one's
00:24:08
naval forces,
00:24:10
I think that this indicates that.
00:24:13
the fact that he didn’t mention
00:24:16
the special operation in quotation marks indicates
00:24:20
that he doesn’t know what to say, if he
00:24:22
knew it long ago he would have told you, especially since
00:24:25
people in general would probably be
00:24:28
waiting for fire
00:24:31
or waiting for him to make some
00:24:34
kind of estimates about how long
00:24:36
the war will last in Ukraine,
00:24:39
when can we count on victory and
00:24:43
turnover, we need to prepare for the defeat of the day,
00:24:45
will mobilization be carried out, and
00:24:48
so on, these are the questions
00:24:51
facing Russian society, the
00:24:53
Russian market does not believe in payment, and what is even
00:24:57
more important than society because the
00:24:59
Ministry of Culture is
00:25:01
monitoring the war more closely
00:25:04
Ukraine because
00:25:07
at least a significant
00:25:10
part depends on it and to turn its prospects into
00:25:13
official personal ones and so on
00:25:16
after, can and ask themselves questions: how
00:25:19
long will they continue,
00:25:21
what will it lead to, so on and so
00:25:23
forth, if he didn’t say, then he
00:25:26
doesn’t know what to say this means that there are
00:25:29
no decisions on the real,
00:25:33
more or less just accurate ones, except
00:25:37
that it is necessary to carry out admissions in the
00:25:39
south, but Putin does not have one, and this is generally
00:25:43
clear for now if we look at the balance of
00:25:45
forces, but if we
00:25:47
are trying to understand
00:25:49
Putin’s strategy, well, is it even an
00:25:52
alternative strategy to suffer? which in front of her
00:25:56
must constantly choose whether he is ready to
00:26:00
continue the war, the dollar of the last
00:26:02
Russian soldier or to the last for the
00:26:06
soldiers his strength to the last
00:26:08
Ukrainians, this could also happen
00:26:12
or he will still agree with
00:26:16
some kind of supervision options for which the
00:26:19
same thing is
00:26:21
included but suddenly, before the sound of our
00:26:22
people, a question with some kind of answer to the
00:26:25
option, he must agree with those
00:26:27
that were
00:26:28
put forward in the style of the demands that his
00:26:32
grandfather pushed in the month of March
00:26:35
or
00:26:37
demanded that the system of Ukraine agree to
00:26:41
liberate all occupied territories
00:26:44
after territory duplication after
00:26:47
February 23 but at least until such such
00:26:50
such a position is called Kiev what is the
00:26:53
minimum requirement for termination and not
00:26:56
from the start of negotiations about what loudly
00:26:58
negotiations here are also about no
00:27:00
negotiations
00:27:03
so I think that Putin simply does not have a
00:27:06
ready answer no they have decided
00:27:11
this means that the current strategy and
00:27:14
tactics will continue and
00:27:16
continue
00:27:17
sadly missile shelling of the
00:27:20
cities of
00:27:22
Ukraine and the most important economic
00:27:26
assets
00:27:28
that will be
00:27:30
[music]
00:27:33
painful for me personally I might be I would
00:27:38
also like to
00:27:40
know your opinion there in the exchange of the
00:27:44
house
00:27:45
Putin will agree with Erdogan so that the
00:27:49
actual series
00:27:51
1 will be done to the Turks and here it will not be done if
00:27:54
anything happens in the south of Ukraine there is
00:27:56
even a story with a grain deal
00:28:00
and the first ship that has already left the
00:28:03
Odessa fort,
00:28:05
as far as you think, Erdogan will agree
00:28:10
to a
00:28:11
deal, not actually
00:28:15
do anything in relation to Ukraine in exchange for
00:28:19
bonuses, what are they,
00:28:21
well, let's see what what what
00:28:26
This means that he is now setting himself the
00:28:30
task of creating and
00:28:33
safely expanding greater
00:28:35
security in the north of Syria in areas
00:28:38
where a large share of the Kurdish
00:28:41
population
00:28:42
is in the city
00:28:46
[music]
00:28:50
several other
00:28:53
territories adjacent to the north and
00:28:55
adjacent to the
00:28:58
Aleppo region were close to this city
00:29:02
to this area and
00:29:06
[music]
00:29:09
wanted to get a
00:29:12
grant from the president
00:29:14
towards the game didn’t want to get
00:29:16
consent for this feast
00:29:19
got reading I didn’t know what I put on gave that there was
00:29:23
no way Russia could be prevented about Daga,
00:29:26
well, do it because the Russian
00:29:29
Russian military presence in Syria is
00:29:33
quite limited it it was reduced,
00:29:35
it was nothing in the broth, it was reduced, not the
00:29:38
main
00:29:40
tasks of the Russian military in Syria are
00:29:43
the protection of 2 seas on or sea Tartus
00:29:46
and the air force daf
00:29:48
take me down there
00:29:51
is a
00:29:52
very such a zone where
00:29:56
the interests of Russia and Turkey collide, I even
00:29:59
hope for escalation, hybrids of this,
00:30:03
in fact, this is the gold of escalation as
00:30:06
the zone is located to itself is under the
00:30:10
control of Turkey, more precisely under the control of the
00:30:12
Turkish for the formation of the house, a member of the
00:30:15
free Syrian army is not and in
00:30:18
fact is conceding
00:30:20
nothing to Russia, and so there the position is not a
00:30:24
weak position to prevent the
00:30:27
attack of the Tur on the Kola region and that’s
00:30:31
what I said in general should now
00:30:33
be allowed Russia will keep its dance to
00:30:36
Turkey, but what is unpleasant for
00:30:41
Erdogan is not the prospect that these
00:30:44
positions will be taken by blood and irises for the
00:30:47
formation or
00:30:50
grouping of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,
00:30:52
I must say that this
00:30:56
trinity is right there,
00:30:58
Russia and Iran for in Syria, they are opposing my
00:31:02
friendship with
00:31:03
your friend and Iran and the soul
00:31:07
are in
00:31:09
such a very good relationship,
00:31:14
just like
00:31:17
all Iran and Russia find popular relationships, diarrhea in Russia
00:31:20
and Turkey, but
00:31:23
Erdogan and I mean enough
00:31:27
with them, the
00:31:30
Kursk regions have big ambitions, but it is a more
00:31:33
advantageous relationship like a knife is not Iran and
00:31:36
Russia to stop him him so in general
00:31:39
Russia has nothing to give grams to gora but
00:31:44
nothing to give so I don’t think that
00:31:46
this kind of political arrow
00:31:49
can stand
00:31:51
as for Ukraine Erdogan’s house-2 his
00:31:54
interests his interests and interests are
00:31:58
connected with two things the
00:32:00
first is to act as a mediator between
00:32:04
Russia and Ukraine, he really wants this
00:32:08
because it will raise his status and
00:32:11
prestige both in relations and only in
00:32:15
the legion but also in relations with the leading
00:32:18
countries of the West,
00:32:20
this is the first second Erdogan,
00:32:24
as I understand it, is doing everything possible to
00:32:27
preserve Ukraine as an
00:32:30
independent subject of
00:32:33
international a policy that does not depend on
00:32:36
Russia because in this situation he and
00:32:41
Turkey as a whole don’t
00:32:45
care, I think that the position is
00:32:47
only
00:32:50
based on an independent Ukraine and
00:32:53
dependent on Russia, it is
00:32:55
much easier for him to carry out that interest is
00:32:59
understandable I would like a small spoiler
00:33:04
I was even asked for only part the audience
00:33:09
asked for your opinion about
00:33:12
China and Taiwan itself about such know,
00:33:17
well,
00:33:18
detente that did not happen and
00:33:21
actually this question about probably now is
00:33:25
fundamentally important from the point of view of the
00:33:27
world point of tension and when
00:33:30
focusing attention from the
00:33:32
Ukrainian
00:33:34
Russian-Ukrainian conflict here there there
00:33:36
Nancy Pelosi can still land in Taiwan and China,
00:33:39
write
00:33:41
local journalists from the state
00:33:45
publications of
00:33:46
Taiwan, and have already destroyed two
00:33:49
for the Chinese army, they have already entered the range
00:33:52
of action of the Taiwanese
00:33:54
pro, in fact,
00:33:58
well, it is clear that the hypersonic missile
00:34:01
that took off to demonstrate
00:34:04
strength to Taiwan on the part of China and on In
00:34:08
fact, what could happen to
00:34:12
Nancy Pelosi with her plane and the
00:34:14
United States of America, which
00:34:17
in this direction of the world and their
00:34:21
politics either win or
00:34:24
lose and have very unclear positions,
00:34:28
whether China will go to the end, relatively speaking,
00:34:35
what could happen in the
00:34:38
Taiwan Strait area? the
00:34:41
one hiding would have paid attention to the long
00:34:43
conversation, the telephone conversation between President
00:34:46
Biden and the leader of China, sit and for
00:34:50
[music] for
00:34:51
five years they talked and
00:34:56
fate with the youngest, we agreed on something and I do
00:34:59
n’t know, but some kind of
00:35:02
points of view, whales position or I’ll
00:35:05
formulate and I
00:35:09
really
00:35:13
will this war
00:35:17
to land and and by plane she will make
00:35:20
some more visits to conduct some conversations
00:35:23
on this will cause very harsh rhetoric
00:35:27
from Beijing very harsh this for a
00:35:29
demonstration of force
00:35:31
you may have fighter flights for us of the
00:35:35
union progress of
00:35:37
work airspace in this
00:35:40
war and so on it is even possible there will be
00:35:44
missile and artillery shelling of
00:35:46
several islands belonging to the
00:35:48
Taiman on the Chinese
00:35:51
coast located near the Chinese coast, this is a figurative
00:35:55
kind of exercises and so on, but an open
00:36:02
open armed clash, do not
00:36:04
forget with the
00:36:06
United States, spots will not dare
00:36:11
buy a regular lizard, the first ones
00:36:16
in Riga are close, power furnaces, the first is the blockade of
00:36:19
Taiwan, but economically, this is the closure of
00:36:23
closing flights when crossing sea lines of
00:36:28
communication on the second option is the
00:36:32
launching of rocket and artillery strikes on
00:36:35
the territory of Taiwan
00:36:37
[music] the
00:36:38
third option should be the landing of large,
00:36:42
any large, non-
00:36:44
expeditionary force, it
00:36:46
is necessary 3 is excluded on my dick, not for
00:36:51
the simple reason that space is needed
00:36:55
keep in mind the geography and
00:36:57
physical-geographical features of the
00:36:58
Thai coast are brought to perhaps
00:37:02
only 13 places 12 called beaches
00:37:06
this is the first but not accordingly all of them are
00:37:10
well targeted well
00:37:12
[music]
00:37:15
defended by the Taiwanese and
00:37:18
armed forces, it must be borne
00:37:20
in mind that although the
00:37:24
armed forces to of his day, they now
00:37:26
number that 70 thousand people are not much,
00:37:30
in the opinion that we are throwing crap at the
00:37:34
mobilization reserve is
00:37:36
about one and a half million, these are people
00:37:40
who are ready, who know how to fight, who have
00:37:44
undergone military training, some
00:37:47
who can be drafted into the army at
00:37:49
any moment, this also needs to be had for the
00:37:53
second, let’s say Beijing decided on missiles,
00:37:57
artillery shelling was hidden forever,
00:38:00
let’s strike, and there
00:38:04
are also appropriate forces and
00:38:08
means on the Chinese coast. As for the economic blockade,
00:38:14
I think, but of course it’s difficult to say,
00:38:17
but I don’t rule out the
00:38:20
United States 8 to 9 blockade of
00:38:24
Chinese trade communications that
00:38:26
go along field to China when life does not
00:38:31
depend on sea communications, at
00:38:33
least at the moment it is not by chance that
00:38:36
they came up with this, they will give out this is still one
00:38:39
plus one, it is the creation of land
00:38:41
communications passing through our
00:38:44
central live so on, but for now it does not
00:38:47
depend on sea sea communications,
00:38:50
in turn,
00:38:52
pass through several such
00:38:54
bottlenecks, the innovative
00:38:56
strait and the
00:38:58
American naval waters
00:39:02
can easily be blocked,
00:39:04
but no further where you need to keep in mind that
00:39:06
in fact China does not have an alliance
00:39:10
in this region
00:39:12
because it has a complex relationship, light on
00:39:16
very complex relations with the Philippines,
00:39:19
or in addition
00:39:20
Japan, in addition to South Korea and Australia,
00:39:23
so on and so forth, and
00:39:25
in China, the speed of your troubles is
00:39:28
much greater than Felipe them regarding the islands and
00:39:30
hands to
00:39:32
not here with help, she will reach the countries
00:39:35
with rain,
00:39:36
respectively,
00:39:38
it is not known who
00:39:41
will suffer more, and in the event that you
00:39:45
decide to take forceful action, but at the same time
00:39:48
you need Keep in mind that in China the
00:39:52
situation is most difficult and the
00:39:55
economic
00:39:57
growth rate is declining, including the journal of the
00:40:00
policy of zero tolerance for species, the
00:40:03
author who was the
00:40:05
motor during the conduct was
00:40:09
Ben personally sitting for me, which caused, let’s
00:40:12
say, no pleasure or
00:40:15
misunderstanding of a significant part of the
00:40:17
Chinese party apparatus in the
00:40:21
car market sit Ben prepare for the
00:40:23
Twentieth Congress of the CPC intensively which
00:40:27
he should be
00:40:29
[music]
00:40:30
he assumes I plan to get a chance
00:40:32
for a third term the girls haven’t arrived I’m
00:40:35
not all
00:40:37
not all members of the party apparatus
00:40:40
are ready to give him one there are
00:40:43
doubts whether it’s still worth saving
00:40:47
tradition and
00:40:49
think
00:40:51
no more than two terms in office have come out
00:40:57
there are economic problems associated with
00:41:01
difficulties very significant
00:41:03
difficulties
00:41:06
or construction in the
00:41:08
real estate sector
00:41:10
[music]
00:41:12
25
00:41:17
construction project well simple problems that the
00:41:22
population does not want or does not want or does not
00:41:26
have the opportunity
00:41:27
to buy
00:41:29
housing that is offered which
00:41:32
build on a huge scale who
00:41:35
built books of some of their own not
00:41:38
companies
00:41:39
if it lives does not sell what if these
00:41:42
apartments houses and so on are not sold
00:41:45
construction companies find themselves in a
00:41:48
pre-bankruptcy state
00:41:49
not banks should be in a pre-bankruptcy
00:41:51
state
00:41:52
collapses credited handles of large
00:41:55
credit divided and construction
00:41:57
companies and places news which
00:42:01
is also involved in construction in the general
00:42:03
situation there or is it so simple in the economy,
00:42:06
not that’s why I’m not sure that
00:42:10
Simon will decide on
00:42:13
6 tough
00:42:16
and
00:42:17
real use of armed force
00:42:19
against the five recruited in Taiwan or other
00:42:23
United States, not even more so since
00:42:25
he may not be supported by the so-called
00:42:31
permanent committee pen this is the
00:42:35
same government body which China consists of 7
00:42:38
people I won’t give according to rumors but because
00:42:41
when we decided to China we feed on rumors
00:42:45
that are published in the wrong place here somewhere here it is
00:42:51
necessary in general the situation in this constantly
00:42:54
place it too, only it is pleasant for the pincers do not
00:42:57
squat
00:42:58
and
00:43:00
not everything is about the
00:43:02
sports parade, not everyone is ready
00:43:05
to keep these measures against the
00:43:08
United States, but Russia is
00:43:12
closely watching what kind of
00:43:15
conflict this is, what it will be, what will happen next
00:43:17
and how China will behave at the
00:43:20
very limit, a lot for Russia, that
00:43:23
means who will prevail common sense
00:43:27
or is there a belligerent mood in the
00:43:29
conflict between China and Taiwan, of
00:43:32
course the point is that in Moscow they don’t
00:43:35
just sleep and see
00:43:37
if China and the United States
00:43:42
also apologize for burning my husband are
00:43:45
aiming at each other for this when of
00:43:48
course the attention in the United States
00:43:51
will be switched to the dacha
00:43:54
not at least sura and not in Taiwanese
00:43:57
the problem of the dacha of the past, another question is that
00:44:00
in Moscow they would not even want such a
00:44:03
development of events, but to push some kind of
00:44:06
food or exert the cape and influence of
00:44:09
Moscow there is simply no
00:44:13
strength or leverage, I thank you Yuri
00:44:17
Fedorov for this conversation, thank you
00:44:20
dear friends for watching this
00:44:22
conversation, rate it with a like, the more
00:44:24
likes, the more character and style of the
00:44:26
video, the more
00:44:27
youtube users will be invited to
00:44:30
watch this interview, thank you
00:44:33
very much, take care of yourself and see you again
00:44:36
[music]

Description:

Юрий Федоров, военный эксперт, в новом выпуске на #политека_онлайн. Замысел — дать русским обломаться на Юге. Пойдут на Кривой Рог или Николаев! Путину ничего не остаётся... У Китая нет союзников! Тайвань крепкий орешек Поделитесь этим видео - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eGtyyLnTTk Вы можете поддержать канал ПОЛИТЕКА, сделав перевод на карту 5168745301518087 (Назначение платежа: пополнение карточки) Станьте спонсором канала Politeka Online, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHgiqmsIHN2PlQnBIRFRGGg/join Все актуальные новости Украины и мира в одном приложении MY.UA: Google Play - https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.myua.news App Stope - https://apps.apple.com/ua/app/my-ua-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE-%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%97%D0%BD%D1%83-%D1%82%D0%B0-%D1%81%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%82/id1437521768?l=uk Подписывайтесь также на каналы: People Life - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLlUjg4ipS_SgwhLgg0yQRA?sub_confirmation=1 PolitБюро –самые актуальные новости https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCas2_yXFXTsAiYxY4WfenqQ?sub_confirmation=1 Подписывайтесь на наш канал Политека Онлайн, жмите на 🔔 и выбирайте "все уведомления", чтобы не пропустить новые видео https://www.youtube.com/c/PolitekaOnline?sub_confirmation=1 Политека в твиттере https://twitter.com/PolitekaO В студии Politeka Online Федоров Юрий, военный эксперт 1.8.2022 Таймкоды: 0:00 Что будет в августе? Переброска войск на юг. Херсон, Донбасс Мнение гостя не всегда совпадает с нашим, но мы считаем нужным предоставлять зрителям разные точки зрения.

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  • The most convenient way is to use the UDL Client program, which supports converting video to MP3 format. In some cases, MP3 can also be downloaded through the UDL Helper extension.

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  • This feature is available in the UDL Helper extension. Make sure that "Show the video snapshot button" is checked in the settings. A camera icon should appear in the lower right corner of the player to the left of the "Settings" icon. When you click on it, the current frame from the video will be saved to your computer in JPEG format.

mobile menu iconWhat's the price of all this stuff?mobile menu icon

  • It costs nothing. Our services are absolutely free for all users. There are no PRO subscriptions, no restrictions on the number or maximum length of downloaded videos.