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Russian
00:00:00
[music]00:00:06
Hello friends, geoenergetics00:00:09
info Maxim Rodaikin and my last00:00:11
interlocutor Alex Sander Frolov00:00:13
Hello hello Alexander00:00:15
Germany signed a long-term deal00:00:18
on US LNG for the whole 20 years What about the fact that00:00:23
long-term contracts are not needed and the00:00:27
replacement there is a free market No, well00:00:31
dear friends, long-term contract,00:00:33
long-term contract, there is discord and it was00:00:35
not Germany that signed what was stolen from00:00:38
Gazprom, a structure that for a long00:00:40
time the poor unfortunate German leadership could not figure out,00:00:42
but00:00:44
apparently it finally figured it out, this00:00:46
structure is now not only stealing gas from00:00:49
some Pakistan, here00:00:53
it is Now you can also safely enter into00:00:55
contracts with suppliers, or rather factories00:00:59
in the United States of America, regarding00:01:01
the long-term contract. You can00:01:04
sign a contract for the delivery of gas to you,00:01:07
that is, it can be a contract taking into account the fact00:01:11
that you, as a buyer,00:01:13
become the owner at the port00:01:16
of arrival. Or you can, as an energy company00:01:20
company to enter into a contract with the00:01:22
manufacturer of a certain product which00:01:24
you can then safely take anywhere,00:01:28
and in this case we are talking about just00:01:30
such a contract and the difference in these00:01:33
contracts. Probably this difference is worth00:01:35
considering a little in more detail, as00:01:37
a rule, when they say that some00:01:39
company has entered into a contract with the00:01:41
United states for the supply of gas, one00:01:44
gets the impression, at least00:01:46
he noticed to a wide audience that Apparently00:01:49
this is a contract that they will deliver00:01:51
gas to the country that has concluded00:01:55
which has concluded a contract they say00:01:57
Germany has concluded a contract means00:02:00
to supply no dear friends usually00:02:03
the word Germany or any other00:02:06
name of the country is used to00:02:08
simplify, because behind this country00:02:10
there is a specific company that is00:02:12
signed, signs the contract further. She00:02:15
signs what contract with whom she00:02:18
signs the contract, not with the00:02:21
gas supplier, she signs the contract with the plant,00:02:25
while as a rule, the United States of00:02:28
America signs two types of contracts,00:02:31
as a rule, there are individual exceptions But00:02:34
they They don’t affect the overall picture so much00:02:36
that we will simply discard them now and wo00:02:39
n’t look aside. Moreover,00:02:40
these exceptions relate specifically to00:02:43
plants in which Total has a stake,00:02:45
and therefore when it signs00:02:48
contracts00:02:50
for the supply of gas somewhere, let00:02:52
’s say South Korea, then this We00:02:57
shouldn’t worry now, it’s a European00:02:59
company that has become a share of the00:03:02
gas producer in the United States00:03:04
and it is about to act as it sees00:03:07
fit. As a rule, the situation looks00:03:10
like this: let’s say you are a certain00:03:13
company that used to be called00:03:14
Gazprom of Germany and now you call it something00:03:16
else. stupidly, you go to one00:03:19
of the manufacturers, to one of the00:03:22
enterprises that can compress00:03:25
gas in the United States and conclude either a00:03:30
contract under a tolling scheme, or you00:03:33
enter into a contract00:03:35
that implies that they00:03:37
will ship finished products to you. So00:03:39
you actually take a00:03:42
tolling scheme you rent capacity00:03:44
for liquefaction, you come to, say,00:03:47
Heinrich,00:03:49
you buy gas, you pay for the transportation of00:03:53
this gas to the plant, you pay for00:03:56
liquefaction, they have already found out that some00:03:59
part of the gas will be lost, this is a00:04:01
natural process, 10 15 percent00:04:03
losses will go away, then you pay for the00:04:05
delivery of this Gas00:04:07
and ultimately there also regasification00:04:10
delivery across the territory of the European00:04:12
Union, this is where all your00:04:14
costs accumulate. But why is the European Union you are not00:04:19
obliged to bring this gas to the European Union? That is why00:04:22
this kind of contracts does00:04:25
not cause any contradiction with the00:04:28
political-European Union, because what is the00:04:30
essence of this, this is not00:04:35
European00:04:37
leaders take an approving view of long-term00:04:39
contracts as enslavement of their00:04:42
customers00:04:43
and attempts to prevent00:04:47
attempts to prevent the implementation of the green00:04:49
deal attempts to prevent the00:04:51
European Union from becoming00:04:54
completely independent of fossil00:04:56
fuels by the year 50, but00:04:59
only contracts with the final point of00:05:01
delivery can prevent enslavement where the owner becomes00:05:03
more precise, the buyer becomes00:05:04
the owner, here is where he will00:05:06
consume this gas. And if you are an00:05:09
energy company that00:05:10
rented capacity and received00:05:14
LNG as output, then you are not obliged to transport this LNG to00:05:17
Europe. You can transport it to some00:05:19
other countries. Therefore, no relation00:05:22
this kind of long-term contracts to those00:05:24
long-term contracts that the00:05:26
European Union does not like do not have,00:05:28
by the way, the scheme will not necessarily be00:05:29
tolling, it could be Payment, it00:05:33
could be a contract implying that a certain00:05:35
structure associated with this plant is00:05:37
engaged in purchasing, delivery, but no00:05:40
loading, but in any case00:05:43
you pay00:05:45
for this gas, paying for liquefaction, this is important, the most00:05:48
important thing is paying for liquefaction and you00:05:51
receive the product at the moment it is loaded00:05:54
onto the ship, you become the owner of00:05:56
this product, that is, purely technically, both in00:05:58
the first and in the second case, you. How are you? As someone who00:06:02
signed a contract with an American00:06:04
plant, a00:06:07
certain economic actor you00:06:10
become the owner and can00:06:12
dispose of this gas from the coast of the00:06:15
United States and further anywhere00:06:17
You can lead to Latin America You00:06:19
can lead from Asia to Africa if you really00:06:22
want, you can also take it to00:06:24
Europe If you so00:06:26
desire, there is this kind of contract The00:06:30
company already has00:06:33
contracts of this kind, the00:06:35
Shell company has the company Total,00:06:39
now the former00:06:42
Gazprom Germany, which is no longer Gazprom00:06:44
and not very Germany,00:06:46
will also have contracts of this kind, and these00:06:49
contracts do not guarantee supplies from the00:06:52
United States, they00:06:54
only partially guarantee a certain volume of gas00:06:56
that you can get from these00:06:59
plants and then dispose of as00:07:01
you want, by the way, this does not mean that00:07:05
this company that signed a contract00:07:06
will transport gas somewhere there, bypassing Europe. No, it00:07:09
can transport it, it’s00:07:13
just, well, it’s not obligated to do so. It00:07:15
can transport it to some- then another place to00:07:18
China to Japan to South Korea last00:07:22
year when everyone was looking at Europe00:07:24
clapping their hands and shouting Oh my God the00:07:26
European Union you00:07:28
demonstrated record volumes of00:07:31
LNG purchases You are simply incredible you are00:07:34
amazing00:07:36
everyone somehow forgot that00:07:39
there are a bunch of countries00:07:42
purchased a volume that turned out to be less00:07:44
than the purchase of what00:07:47
Japan and China purchased, by the way, China also00:07:50
reduced purchases of LNG But together with Japan00:07:53
they purchased more LNG than the entire00:07:55
European Union combined,00:07:58
so it turns out interesting, but00:08:01
we will look at the European Union Forgetting about00:08:03
where the main point of delivery, where is the00:08:06
main point of implementation, the growth point of the00:08:08
global liquefied natural00:08:10
gas market is not in Europe00:08:12
and in Europe. By the way, they also understand this,00:08:16
they say that Yes, there are risks of the00:08:18
outflow of liquefied natural gas,00:08:20
dear friends,00:08:22
just recently the00:08:24
Energy Information Administration of the United00:08:26
States of America released a forecast about00:08:29
how much of liquefied natural gas will be00:08:31
exported from the United States in general, but not00:08:35
to Europe at all, how much will be00:08:36
exported and the spread is excellent?00:08:40
By the way, the forecast until 50, the spread is00:08:43
excellent, with low prices for LNG,00:08:45
161 billion cubic00:08:48
meters will be exported in annual terms, but with00:08:51
high prices and fast00:08:53
construction of factories00:08:55
508 billion cubic meters I’m00:08:59
really here. I want to ask a question:00:09:02
how can00:09:07
larger supply volumes be combined with maintaining00:09:10
high prices? That is, if prices are high, you00:09:14
quickly build factories and start00:09:17
exporting more, then this means that you,00:09:19
as was already the case with oil, dear friends00:09:22
and as it already happened in the nineteenth year00:09:24
with gas, dear friends, you can overheat00:09:27
the market and prices will go down and then whoever00:09:30
will suffer the most will00:09:32
suffer the most will be the one who has the highest00:09:35
delivery costs. And by the way, the United00:09:38
States of America in the broadest sense of the00:09:40
word, or rather those companies that00:09:43
contract gas from American factories.00:09:45
They will be under attack because00:09:47
once again they pay for US gas00:09:51
and the price for it is as we saw. If suddenly00:09:54
something happens in the world with prices, but00:09:57
if prices in the world are high, then in the00:09:59
United States of America they The00:10:00
influence of foreign markets on the00:10:03
American domestic market is also beginning to grow; it has been growing00:10:06
extremely actively since 1919, and now we00:10:08
have seen how prices in the USA fluctuate along00:10:11
with world prices; an amazing thing is that00:10:14
what was expected happened.00:10:15
Amazingly, if prices in the world00:10:18
are high, then in the USA they will not will be00:10:20
high for the American market, that is, not00:10:22
70 dollars per thousand cubic meters,00:10:24
but 300 dollars per thousand cubic00:10:26
meters, plus you sweat, you lose gas during00:10:30
liquefaction Plus you pay for delivery00:10:32
Plus you pay for delivery to the plant by00:10:35
the way, then you pay for delivery00:10:37
by sea and freight the price may go up right away,00:10:40
another question is whether you have free00:10:42
capacity of methane carriers that will00:10:44
provide such a volume of gas and the00:10:47
last thing is this forecast about 508 This is00:10:50
not just a forecast, this forecast actually00:10:51
says that exports from the United00:10:55
States by the 50th year will be almost00:10:57
equal to the total exports from all00:11:00
suppliers in the twenty-first year00:11:03
Well, it will be very interesting to look at this,00:11:06
but still I would be inclined to believe00:11:09
that the first level of these low prices00:11:12
and gas supplies of 161 billion cubic meters is00:11:15
much closer to the truth now The00:11:17
technical capabilities of the United00:11:19
States export of liquefied natural00:11:22
gas is about 125 billion00:11:24
cubic meters with an output of somewhere around00:11:27
130 131 billion in the near future But00:11:31
for today all the best Alexander00:11:33
Thank you very much for the comment friends00:11:35
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all the best00:11:59
[music]Description:
Germany has signed an agreement on the supply of LNG from the United States. Geoenergy Info. Germany has signed a gas contract for the supply of LNG from the United States to reduce dependence on Russia. Germany swapped Russian gas for American LNG. Germany agreed with the United States on long-term gas supplies Our telegram: https://t.me/geonrgru Become a sponsor of the SPONSOR.RU channel ► https://sponsr.ru/geonrgru/ Support the channel: Sberbank - 4274 3200 6731 4487 Maxim R. Tinkoff - 4377 7237 6815 3060 Maxim R. VTB - 2200 2407 5683 3253 Maxim R. https://yoomoney.ru/to/410018728624134 (donate service) Please DO NOT indicate anything in the comments and assignment of the translation! VK ► https://vk.com/geonrgru YANDEX.ZEN ► https://dzen.ru/geonrgru Geoenergetics website https://geonrg.ru/ Advertising, collaboration: https://t.me/radaykinpro [email protected] Be sure to subscribe to the channel, put all notifications, put likes and write comments! You help promote the channel!
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