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Russian
00:00:04
Good afternoon My name is Andrey00:00:07
Pionkovsky, we are starting our00:00:09
weekly Saturday stream Today I00:00:13
spoke the day before,00:00:16
but Of course, on the eve of the00:00:18
largest event00:00:20
that will affect the00:00:23
entire history of the 21st century, this is not an attraction.00:00:28
I mean, of course, the00:00:30
offensive of the00:00:32
Ukrainian army.00:00:35
Please note how this is not00:00:39
noted,00:00:42
it is perceived as ordinary, familiar,00:00:45
but that’s all including Kremlin propagandists00:00:50
discussing the prospects of war, they talk00:00:53
exclusively about this offensive of the00:00:55
Ukrainian army, the scale of success is discussed,00:00:58
Ukraine will win a decisive victory,00:01:02
or as Russian00:01:06
propagandists hope, who have launched a new00:01:09
crown, to convince the population that there00:01:13
will be some success for the Ukrainian army.00:01:16
This is a partial local success, it will not00:01:18
decide the outcome wars in general and so on,00:01:21
well, where are the possible prospects00:01:25
for this famous second army in the world,00:01:27
which, on the eve of its invasion of00:01:31
Ukraine, challenged the entire West, 3000:01:34
NATO countries, telling them to get out,00:01:37
collect your belongings, get out of there on00:01:41
the border in 199200:01:44
No, they are digging some kind of historical for the00:01:48
Guinness book for some00:01:51
Zaporozhye long I don’t remember 7000:01:54
kilometers 800 kilometers00:01:57
from traditional fortifications00:02:06
how it happened What happened to these00:02:09
people00:02:10
who were going to take Kiev in five days,00:02:13
they suffered a00:02:16
serious strategic defeat00:02:18
already in the war that was declared00:02:21
to the West, they simply lost this war,00:02:25
no one dreams of these plans again, again I00:02:27
repeat the heights of hope,00:02:30
waiting until Putin himself, this is how,00:02:37
using the expression of a war criminal,00:02:40
driven like a bird into00:02:43
some new piece of Ukrainian00:02:45
territory in order to sell this whole00:02:48
catastrophe to the very deepest people00:02:51
As an honorable draw00:02:53
in this, first of all, of course, the00:02:57
merit of the heroic encircled forces of00:03:00
Ukraine of the heroic Ukrainian people00:03:03
and the serious help of the Western allies,00:03:06
especially the United States, without this00:03:10
help it was difficult to seize the00:03:12
strategic initiative.00:03:14
But that’s why with this help now is the00:03:18
decisive moment,00:03:20
questions arise but they arise00:03:23
not only now,00:03:26
I’ll remind you that I’ll00:03:30
repeat the00:03:32
classic question that was asked to00:03:35
Ukrainian journalists at the00:03:37
press conference; it has a very direct00:03:39
relation to today;00:03:41
by the way, it has to do with yesterday’s Ramstein; we’ll00:03:44
also discuss it; we’ll also discuss the question asked at the00:03:46
press conference of Biden and Zelensky.00:03:49
During Biden’s visit to Washington I00:03:54
definitely didn’t break it at the end of November,00:03:57
she asked a rather long question, I’ll00:04:00
repeat it now,00:04:01
the President. Previously, in America00:04:05
they always said that they had brought it under no circumstances00:04:08
should it be transferred to Ukraine, but then they00:04:10
still handed it over; they said the same thing to00:04:13
howitzers; they said the same thing00:04:19
to big delay But these weapons00:04:23
today00:04:26
You say that it00:04:30
cannot be transferred yet00:04:38
Well, the canoe did not give a convincing answer to00:04:41
this question, he said something so vague, the00:04:45
meaning was that it is00:04:48
very important for us to preserve the unity of the00:04:51
NATO countries Well, this seems to imply that00:04:54
we -that maybe they would have given it sooner00:04:56
But not all NATO countries support this00:05:00
But if this argument was partially00:05:03
true Then it is not so now but00:05:06
Pay attention to what00:05:09
the question was then asked: will you tell us the Patriot so since00:05:13
then they have conveyed Hello Since then,00:05:16
two more stages of the00:05:18
same00:05:21
procedures have gone through and whether they have gathered, they said00:05:24
that the Abrams can never be transferred,00:05:26
now they transferred it yesterday,00:05:29
the issue was agreed upon at Ramstein in organizing in00:05:32
Poland, closer to the00:05:34
Ukrainian border, a repair base for00:05:37
Western tank equipment, including00:05:41
leopards, and they00:05:47
also transferred it and did not transfer it for a long time00:05:51
missiles have a longer range for the Heims,00:05:54
their range of action was 80 kilometers,00:05:58
finally, before they already operate the so-00:06:01
called00:06:06
range of action,00:06:12
but they don’t cover all of Sevastopol yet,00:06:17
for this you need either ethox missiles with a00:06:21
range of up to 300 km or other missiles with the00:06:25
same range. Well, for example,00:06:28
air-launched cruise missiles00:06:31
which may or may not have already been transferred,00:06:34
no one knows00:06:36
with what suspensions the00:06:38
MiG-29 aircraft were transferred, it is known that00:06:43
they have suspensions for Western missiles. Well,00:06:46
again now at this stage. There are00:06:50
no00:06:53
f-16 aircraft yet, and in general,00:06:57
fighters in general00:06:58
Western production, which of course is00:07:01
necessary in Ukraine But on the other hand,00:07:04
we know that Ukrainian pilots00:07:07
are training on these aircraft on the f-1600:07:11
at the British Typhoon00:07:18
Research Institute and in Poland in France, most likely00:07:22
they will also appear in the00:07:26
Ukrainian00:07:31
time, and of course what these are00:07:38
very bitter and very frankly00:07:41
I say President Zelensky in his00:07:45
address on February 18 Oh, sorry00:07:50
April 18 a few days ago It was an00:07:52
address to the nation but essentially it00:07:55
was an address to the American00:07:59
guided by we are grateful for this00:08:01
help that the West provides the00:08:03
United States But why does this always00:08:05
happen00:08:06
belatedly by00:08:07
collusion the price of these delays he00:08:11
reminded the Americans of the00:08:14
knowledge of the lives of Ukrainians, the lives of thousands,00:08:18
tens of thousands of lives and Ukrainian soldiers00:08:21
and civilians who could not be00:08:24
protected from the aggressor's missile strikes by00:08:27
not yet perfect Ukrainian air defenses.00:08:32
Well,00:08:34
this message was always heard, it seems to me00:08:37
the next morning on the00:08:41
site, the00:08:46
coming00:08:52
weeks will not be critical.00:08:56
We will try00:09:05
Let’s try to figure it out.00:09:11
Why is this a problem? Why is this00:09:14
dance delayed from overcoming how a00:09:17
feeling is overcome by some kind of00:09:19
internal resistance? What is this00:09:21
consolidation, what is its nature, will00:09:24
it continue? This is what I want to Discuss00:09:27
with you today, but first of all the00:09:32
nature of the00:09:34
upcoming military operation, this is a00:09:38
rather rare case when, for00:09:43
most military experts, there is not00:09:47
enough success of this future00:09:51
military operation that could00:09:53
unfold in the coming critical00:09:56
weeks, as was said, as it is understood00:10:00
in the White House, the00:10:02
destruction of the Crimean bridge because the00:10:06
destruction of the Crimean bridge will00:10:08
mean the00:10:11
slamming of the entire Crimean grouping the00:10:14
enemy into a cauldron and methodically and destruction00:10:19
with long-range00:10:22
long-range missile fire, but for this, of00:10:25
course, it is necessary to expand the range of fire00:10:28
influence00:10:29
to expand the current 160 km to such00:10:33
that00:10:34
Sevastopol reaches any targets on the00:10:37
Crimean peninsula, but I have no doubt00:10:39
that this is one way or another by those means.00:10:42
Will be done, this will lead to the flight of the00:10:47
Russian army from Crimea and with this00:10:51
many kilometers of traditional00:10:55
structures none of yours will have to be taken, it’s00:10:59
just that the group will be the same00:11:01
as Kherson, it was driven out by00:11:03
artillery fire and it will also be here. And00:11:06
the loss Well, other options are possible00:11:11
spring offensive00:11:13
general narrowed ones will always00:11:16
puzzle the enemy some00:11:19
unexpected move, but if we talk about00:11:22
an operation that would simultaneously have00:11:23
such a huge military effect, I00:11:26
talked about it, but even more00:11:28
political, psychological and00:11:31
symbolic, then of course the00:11:36
destruction of the Crimean bridge and the00:11:40
liberation of Crimea will produce a more00:11:43
stunning impression, for example,00:11:46
the liberation00:11:47
of Donetsk,00:11:51
inevitable00:11:53
political00:11:55
political consequences Well and the second00:11:59
option, which Moscow hopes for, which00:12:02
China hopes for with its so-00:12:05
called peace plan, which00:12:09
part of the Western community hopes for, is a00:12:12
politician, the so-called party of non-00:12:16
defeatists, I will tell you about it in detail, this is00:12:19
limited success in the Ukrainian army, there00:12:25
can be no Russian success, in principle,00:12:27
this is what they are preparing for according to the published00:12:30
manuals, Russian propagandists00:12:33
assure that this will be a local success that00:12:35
will not decide the outcome of the war, about this they dream00:12:38
that the results of the offensive,00:12:42
the Ukrainians will shift the line of contact of the00:12:45
parties to their advantage. Well, by advancing it00:12:48
as much as possible, say, to the00:12:52
valley of February 24, 22, but without00:12:57
liberating all the territories and00:13:00
this offensive of00:13:03
Ukraine will have to00:13:05
agree with the reality00:13:11
as a result of a peace agreement simply00:13:14
by the fact that neither side00:13:18
was able to maintain the decisive00:13:20
success of Victory in the offensive and somehow00:13:24
the war is moving into a long stage of00:13:29
passive confrontation on the line of contact on the00:13:32
line of contact, a war of attrition00:13:35
that suits and Putin is also very00:13:38
happy with China, by the way.00:13:42
Well, let’s00:13:44
listen to what00:13:48
such a major Western military00:13:50
specialist as a great friend of Ukraine,00:13:53
General Ben Hodges, thinks about the Victory scenario. Please turn on00:13:56
the film, similar to00:14:00
Bakhmut, in fact, this story is about00:14:02
Crimea, Ukrainians for nine months00:14:04
manage to hold Bakhmut for this time00:14:07
they were building up forces that they were going to00:14:09
use in their counter-offensive,00:14:12
I think it will begin in00:14:14
a few weeks and will pursue00:14:16
the goal of isolating the Crimean peninsula and00:14:19
then ultimately will not allow00:14:21
Russian troops to defend Crimea. What00:14:24
they did was amazing, it cost them00:14:27
huge victims, but they didn’t attracted the forces they00:14:29
needed for a counter-offensive, we00:14:32
would call this saving forces, sacrifices00:14:34
allowing them to gain time for the future.00:14:41
I think this counter-offensive00:14:44
will probably be on a very narrow section of the front, not the00:14:47
entire 900 km, but a very narrow section to00:14:50
break through the Russian defenses, reach the00:14:53
coast of the Sea of Azov, cut off the so00:14:55
-called land lines corridor and begin00:14:58
isolating Crimea, then you can use00:15:00
high-mars installations and other00:15:02
high-precision long-range weapons to00:15:04
strike at Sevastopol and other00:15:07
Russian targets on the Crimean00:15:09
peninsula to take it out of the game,00:15:11
this is the beginning of the end for the Russians in Crimea and00:15:14
I think this is the very step that will lead to00:15:17
Ukraine will win this war, perhaps00:15:20
by the end of this year if we provide00:15:22
what they need,00:15:47
so let's try to00:15:50
figure out why the general still has to00:15:52
raise this question. Today, he is00:15:55
not addressing this to us, he is addressing the00:15:58
domestic American audience, he is00:16:00
polemicizing with his opponents, but even00:16:04
more so they fresh fresh information has not gone anywhere now,00:16:08
this is a letter from 1900:16:14
Republicans00:16:16
demanding to stop00:16:18
military aid to Ukraine, the letter is00:16:22
very unconvincing, completely00:16:26
demagogic, something like this, that is,00:16:30
to stop the suffering of the Ukrainian people,00:16:33
people are dying, there is no need to incite a conflict, there is00:16:35
no need to raise the level of escalation, it is00:16:38
necessary to00:16:40
stop military aid so that the00:16:43
Ukrainian leadership can negotiations of a00:16:46
peace agreement then Let's stop00:16:48
helping the victim of the aggressor let's00:16:51
help the aggressor deal with her00:16:54
with impunity let's help a war00:16:56
criminal wanted by the international00:16:59
criminal court to continue his00:17:02
crimes Well this is a disgusting00:17:05
letter this is bad news the good00:17:07
news is that this letter is 1900:17:10
congressmen This is the most notorious00:17:13
Trumpian Scoundrels who are behind him00:17:16
they repeat this same chewing gum Yes, the00:17:20
Question itself is good, such as absolutely00:17:23
insane, Green, who hates Ukraine,00:17:30
100% Putin Agent senator has00:17:44
now signed up00:17:47
American Coconut did not leave Moscow00:17:50
in the State Duma, the knife spoke the most00:17:55
selective Trumpian crap00:17:58
gathered there personally every day00:18:00
repeats that Biden is leading is00:18:03
leading the world it needs to be established for a nuclear war.00:18:08
And I would have00:18:10
reached an agreement with Putin in 24 hours by giving him half of the00:18:13
Ukrainian territory, this is good00:18:14
news, only 19 until very00:18:18
recently. There was a steady number of00:18:21
Republicans in Congress who00:18:23
voted against all the00:18:25
draft laws on aid to Ukraine,00:18:28
about 40, so here it is00:18:32
194 senators itched this00:18:40
letter,00:18:42
inspired by the Kremlin curators of00:18:45
despair, the republic00:18:47
function rejects this point of view00:18:50
The Republican establishment has chosen a different00:18:54
strategy in the election campaign.00:18:58
These people, led by Trump, are00:19:01
leading the election campaign from the00:19:04
rental operating party. According to the00:19:06
laws of political life, the party of the00:19:08
current president must always attack the party of the current president,00:19:11
one of the most important. questions This is the question of00:19:14
Ukraine, the question of the war in Ukraine, and there00:19:21
were two two options until recently,00:19:25
it was Trapov’s attack on Biden for00:19:28
what he is doing,00:19:36
and this line has now been chosen by the00:19:39
Republican00:19:45
and00:19:52
Senator Rubio. And now00:19:56
this point of view has been accepted by the new leaders00:20:00
who won the Republican Party in the00:20:03
House of Representatives in in the House of00:20:04
Representatives, the00:20:06
Republican has a minority00:20:07
majority, a small one, but by the way,00:20:11
they expected to get a majority of00:20:15
20-30 votes, but it was Trump who constantly00:20:20
nominated candidates for his00:20:22
anti-Ukrainian position and they lost00:20:25
their Circle today, a small00:20:28
majority of00:20:29
Republicans, but it allowed the00:20:31
election of the Speaker of the Parliament by Speaker00:20:34
McCarthy and the key position of the00:20:38
Chairman Commission on Foreign00:20:40
Affairs So these are the Young Blood of00:20:44
the Republican Party, they have taken a very00:20:47
strong00:20:48
Ukrainian position and criticize00:20:52
the support of Ukraine, this is especially00:20:56
characteristic of and a00:20:59
pleasant surprise for Macarthy,00:21:01
who00:21:02
for a long time was considered not on a00:21:06
number of other Ukrainian issues such a close00:21:09
supporter of Trump, for example during the00:21:14
famous00:21:18
for American day, January 6, when the00:21:23
results were approved, the00:21:26
powers of the presidential electors were approved,00:21:28
and Trump’s supporters tried00:21:31
to disrupt it, and then he was an00:21:35
ordinary member of Congress00:21:36
and spoke on the side of Trump, and so00:21:40
now on the map it occupies a very clear00:21:43
position of support for Ukraine, this is the00:21:46
official position of the Republican00:21:48
Party,00:21:50
which is very supportive, of course,00:21:55
about the Ukrainian The faction in the00:22:01
Biden administration is not a secret,00:22:04
we have been talking about this for a whole year, I will repeat00:22:06
again these simple obvious things that in00:22:11
Baden menstruation, with00:22:14
such external unity, there are two schools, two points00:22:19
of view on the issue of the Ukrainian war,00:22:26
they have long answered the question of the purpose of the United States in this war -differently one00:22:29
This is the answer of Austin and Blinkin, the victory of00:22:32
Ukraine, the complete restoration of00:22:34
territorial integrity and weakening00:22:37
to such an extent that it could never be00:22:41
repeated again,00:22:46
Austin said on May 24 in Kiev, I am00:22:50
often a00:22:55
security crow00:23:13
Compare Victory and not defeat, if not00:23:17
defeat neither Victory this means the so-00:23:19
called a draw, this draw was now00:23:22
being sought all the time by00:23:25
Salvan’s group. Well, which apparently00:23:29
belongs to both Burns and Carey. That is, this is00:23:34
not so much a formula for not defeating00:23:36
Ukraine as not defeating Russia. From00:23:40
their point of view, Ukraine should, as it were,00:23:43
win, but not decisive, not00:23:47
decisive00:23:48
if you look at today’s scenario,00:23:52
they would not have welcomed the explosion,00:23:55
destruction,00:23:59
such a successful advance of the Kiev troops,00:24:04
which will allow Putin to save face,00:24:08
present to sell to the people an honorable draw00:24:12
and power. Why. Let’s figure out00:24:15
what the arguments are. And how are they the arguments of00:24:19
this group, not defeat,00:24:22
not defeat, Ukraine will be enough, not even00:24:25
defeat, but not indecisive, it is necessary to00:24:28
decide not Victory Well, they changed00:24:31
from time to time, but let’s sort of take an00:24:34
inventory Well, most often there are 400:24:38
groups of such arguments. But the most00:24:40
popular and long-lasting, it00:24:43
worked not only during this war, it00:24:46
worked for the00:24:47
last 15 years, starting from00:24:53
Putin’s Munich speech. this formula was00:24:56
denied to00:25:00
Georgia and Ukraine, it’s just that even this00:25:04
bastard MAP according to this formula there was no00:25:08
serious reaction to the war in00:25:11
Georgia to the annexation of Crimea to the00:25:14
intervention in Donbass,00:25:19
we won’t provoke Putin and the devil00:25:23
knows he might even drop a nuclear bomb.00:25:28
Well, that’s played out played out narrative well00:25:33
because simply no state00:25:35
can retreat endlessly under the00:25:39
influence of nuclear blackmail. But if you00:25:42
can join indefinitely at all and00:25:45
give up your own state,00:25:48
give away your pants and whatever you want,00:25:52
gradually everyone was convinced, but I’ve00:25:55
been talking about this for 15 years, I’ll repeat my arguments00:25:58
again I could be accused of00:26:02
repeating myself, this is the most important question,00:26:03
there are three No,00:26:06
never use me, not outside, well,00:26:10
firstly,00:26:12
especially in the context of today’s00:26:14
Ukrainian war, firstly, this has no00:26:17
military significance, this will not00:26:19
affect the course of the war, but00:26:22
Suppose tomorrow he commits a terrible00:26:25
war crime, destroys a00:26:27
Ukrainian city, you know, we know the whole00:26:30
world would be shocked by this00:26:32
public opinion poll where, in my opinion, 8900:26:35
percent of Ukrainians answered that in00:26:37
this case they would not leave resistance. And they00:26:40
would destroy aggression even more furiously. The00:26:42
second reason and it is now even00:26:49
more confirmed by00:26:51
American specific statements and00:26:54
warnings;00:26:57
I have been calling for this for many years; the00:27:00
Americans did this; in the end, in00:27:04
early October, they openly formulated00:27:07
at the highest level what the consequences would be00:27:10
if00:27:12
Putin used nuclear weapons in Ukraine; this was the00:27:16
destruction within half an hour of the so-00:27:20
called Black Sea Fleet And00:27:23
within a few days, the entire Russian00:27:25
group in Ukraine was using00:27:28
NATO firepower without even its00:27:32
troops entering Ukrainian territory. But this00:27:34
was understandable to Putin. If 16 Hummers00:27:38
provided in the summer of this year changed the00:27:40
entire strategic situation at the front and00:27:43
made00:27:45
irreversible, this is the situation that clearly has the00:27:47
strategic superiority of Ukraine00:27:49
to which have already been said, but what does it do? I00:27:52
don’t know, there are hundreds of tomahawks, dozens of00:27:57
generation aircraft, whatever, well,00:28:02
in this case, they will kill him, this question is00:28:06
closed00:28:07
among the Republican Party. Well,00:28:11
this was also reflected in the same office of the00:28:16
Presidential National Security Advisor, it is00:28:18
quite popular there was such an idea until00:28:21
very recently,00:28:23
our main enemy is China. This is the most00:28:27
serious sportsman, we need to00:28:29
concentrate all our00:28:32
diplomatic and political military efforts00:28:34
on China and not being distracted so much by00:28:39
Putin, but in general it would be ideal for Putin to00:28:43
win us over to our side, how00:28:45
brilliant is that repeat the formula of the ingenious00:28:47
form of onyxen and brush already in00:28:54
771 when they threw China over to the00:28:59
side of the United States00:29:01
in confrontation,00:29:05
but for this it will be necessary for Putin to also00:29:08
make some concessions in00:29:10
sensitive menus to address and not00:29:12
very significant for us But you understand00:29:14
What kind of adherents of these School issues00:29:19
are sensitive for Putin and not00:29:22
very significant for us. But this school00:29:27
has collapsed literally in recent weeks and00:29:31
this explains this drastic00:29:33
change in the00:29:35
democratic entire00:29:37
American party when the same very00:29:40
popular possibility of most likely a00:29:53
180-degree nomination00:30:01
between Russia and Ukraine is not affected00:30:05
long interest in our security00:30:06
now he is talking to this one, he was00:30:08
misunderstood or he misspoke and repeats00:30:11
every day that Putin is a war criminal00:30:13
sitting at a gas station dirt with a nuclear00:30:16
bomb so he needs to be stopped00:30:20
why this needs to be talked about comrades00:30:24
there is a coup d'etat in00:30:27
China and ending with the rule00:30:36
of replacement00:30:37
in oneself the Chinese emperor,00:30:41
comrades,00:30:43
quickly began creating his00:30:46
world empire of evil. Well, literally00:30:49
a few steps in a month on this path,00:30:52
this is a very significant application of two00:30:56
Swedish theocratic regimes,00:31:14
this is his Visit to Moscow where he00:31:16
pointedly gave Putin, in the00:31:19
style of the Khans of the Golden Horde, a label00:31:22
direction in Muscovy before 1930, but00:31:27
having provided the label with its own00:31:29
conditions, of course, this and those 14 economic00:31:33
agreements that were signed convey00:31:35
that China has the resources of00:31:39
Eastern Siberia and the Far East at its full disposal and an00:31:42
even tougher political signal. The signal is00:31:48
a week, our listeners already know this, a00:31:51
week before Moscow’s trip.00:31:54
Ministry of Natural Resources of00:31:57
China neighboring countries where all the00:32:01
settlements on the vast Russian00:32:03
territory from00:32:05
Vladivostok to Lake00:32:08
Baikal have Chinese names that did not00:32:11
have before the annexation of these00:32:14
territories of the Russian Empire under the00:32:16
Olgun Treaty of Beijing in 1800,00:32:21
I am mistaken 58 60 years, the00:32:25
moment of this publication was very very wisely chosen00:32:28
When wanted by a00:32:32
military criminal court Criminal Putin00:32:34
desperately needed some kind of00:32:36
international imitation and of course I00:32:40
read everything that there would be no reaction from00:32:43
Moscow this silent this00:32:47
silence became a silence recognition of00:32:49
such00:32:50
grandiose territorial claims it was00:32:52
on these conditions that he became a member of the00:32:56
new Chinese empire lived this quickly00:33:01
reacted to00:33:03
all the illusions00:33:05
that, firstly, it would be good if Putin was00:33:09
on our side and secondly, they realized that it was00:33:14
too late, along with their great00:33:16
resources, including not the last00:33:19
nuclear resources, some00:33:21
serious military technologies remained, but in00:33:24
any case in the submarines that’s why00:33:26
China’s Minister of Defense came00:33:28
for three days in Moscow for three days to00:33:31
inventory the00:33:32
inventory of his vassal. And which of00:33:36
its aging technologies could still be00:33:38
useful from China? Well, of course not the00:33:42
navy. It’s just Heaven and00:33:44
Earth. The relationship between today’s photos of00:33:47
China and Russia is the same in aviation. Well,00:33:52
perhaps submarines, but if00:33:54
you consider the submarine as part of the navy,00:33:58
something could be,00:34:05
well, not to mention those enormous00:34:07
economic resources, so it00:34:09
became absolutely clear to American strategies00:34:12
that yes, like a taxi, a dangerous enemy,00:34:15
he also became more dangerous because he00:34:18
openly took a course on the water to join00:34:21
Taiwan by military means, that is, a00:34:24
military clash with the United00:34:25
States, as he called, he called on his00:34:28
generals. Don’t be afraid of war with the United00:34:30
States, and in these conditions, it is no longer possible to give00:34:33
orders to00:34:35
China such a significant resource as the00:34:38
Russian Federation.00:34:43
The most useful blow to China is precisely on00:34:47
China, which can now be inflicted, this is the00:34:50
defeat of Putin’s army that will lead00:34:54
to Putin’s departure from power and will make it00:34:57
possible for the United States to00:34:59
cut this axis, the axis of evil Moscow,00:35:05
this consideration has also disappeared, what else00:35:09
was left before the popular, of course,00:35:10
the popular motive was similar and00:35:15
well known in Ukraine Chicken Speech with the00:35:18
catchy speech of00:35:20
President Bush’s father in the Ukrainian00:35:23
parliament in August 1999, when he00:35:27
almost tearfully called on the Ukrainian00:35:29
Supreme Council, which00:35:32
even then was still half of the communists, under00:35:34
no circumstances should they declare the00:35:36
independence of Ukraine much better, as00:35:38
part of the renewed Soviet Union00:35:40
with my friend Gorbachev and so on. What was00:35:45
the Soviet so worried about? Union Well, because00:35:48
the Americans00:35:50
were afraid of the00:35:52
uncertainty of the threat of the Soviet Union.00:35:55
But first of all, what will be watched behind with00:35:58
weapons, what will be tied up with weapons, what will00:36:00
happen in this vast00:36:03
territory00:36:04
and it’s the same now. Also now00:36:07
many are afraid but are sitting on weapons as if it’s a00:36:12
question of solution, not to mention but in general,00:36:14
this is a00:36:16
Decisive Victory, a humiliating Victory of the00:36:19
Pudin regime will lead to the departure of00:36:22
Putin and all the groups from power, and but it00:36:25
will remain, yes they say, Ukraine00:36:28
will reach the border from the first year in the00:36:30
next year The borders will remain a huge00:36:33
territory, they are not afraid of the same00:36:36
formulas00:36:41
for 11 hours belts there with00:36:44
dangerous industries with dangerous00:36:46
weapons, the traditionally00:36:49
great Russian unrest, a civil war, will break out,00:36:52
this is fraught,00:36:55
but now the question is very simple,00:36:58
or00:37:00
Putin remains in power and the whole country00:37:03
becomes a continuation of the Chinese00:37:06
empire, declaring war, or some00:37:09
possibility of unrest and some possible00:37:12
Yes, possible problems then it is clear that00:37:16
the main threat now is the threat of00:37:20
absorption of Russia in a complete political00:37:24
economic, primarily military00:37:26
sense of00:37:28
aggression, aggression of China, this consideration has00:37:33
also disappeared.00:37:35
Well, what else is there? They almost don’t00:37:39
say it, but it’s silent. I feel it,00:37:41
you know what danger the question often arises.00:37:45
Let’s not when especially00:37:47
persuaded the Ukrainians in Ukraine to become00:37:50
very positive aspects of the statement of the00:37:53
Minister of Defense of the pistol, it is00:37:57
elementary, just00:37:58
elementary A reasonable statement, but how can00:38:01
that be? Not to shoot at Russian00:38:04
territory Avito recently the West00:38:06
restricted the Ukrainians planes00:38:08
take off from Russian territory and00:38:11
without even entering the Ukrainian from there00:38:13
now00:38:18
from the Russian air spaces00:38:20
were shot at,00:38:26
the correct direction of Western00:38:29
military thinking00:38:31
is that this stupid restriction00:38:35
has been lifted. And what is its meaning? But you know,00:38:38
if we shoot at Russian00:38:43
Russian Russian territory,00:38:45
Russian cities, Russian bases, then we can00:38:48
provoke Putin into striking00:38:51
NATO territory, but okay, I’m00:38:54
asking. it’s just that this is a specific00:38:56
conversation my interlocutors here were00:38:58
in Washington, but that’s great.00:39:01
It activates Article Five and you00:39:04
can then destroy all of this Putin’s gang00:39:07
there in a few days with fire from00:39:11
NATO territory, just as you promised him to00:39:13
use the opportunity Yes, but if it00:39:16
has to, it we will still have to00:39:18
send planes there; they00:39:21
will not continue to attack Pasha’s territory;00:39:24
people will die;00:39:28
several hundred of our military personnel may die there;00:39:31
civilians in European cities;00:39:35
Well, this is an argument, this is an argument for00:39:38
Western consciousness; they are ready to win00:39:41
this war; they are ready to help Ukraine win00:39:44
this war in we would like they00:39:46
would help me decisively But it doesn’t matter00:39:48
in principle this issue00:39:50
is resolved in our favor but without the shedding of00:39:54
Western blood, that’s actually for this00:39:57
reason. And why is Ukraine not accepted00:40:00
over because it is now de facto, in its00:40:03
function, the Ukrainian bosses? It is the00:40:05
only one that performs00:40:08
the functionality for which and00:40:11
NATO was created 75 years ago. This is the00:40:16
protection of Europe from military eastern00:40:20
military forms, and so Ukraine is protected00:40:24
de facto in this sense, NATO began, she00:40:26
receives serious military assistance from NATO.00:40:28
I hope she will receive even00:40:31
more in this, she is also starting. What is the00:40:33
difference, what is not Article 5 slave is not00:40:38
involved forcing Western00:40:41
people to fight on the territory of Ukraine,00:40:44
shed blood and may even die in00:40:48
this fight to protect Europe from thieves, that’s why00:40:53
I don’t understand yet. That’s when00:40:56
Ukraine00:40:57
will be automatically accepted00:41:00
because at least after Ukraine’s victory00:41:03
for some time then in the near future, no00:41:06
Russian is expected; the fifth article will00:41:10
not need to be activated for a while and there00:41:13
will be no Western blood flowing. Well,00:41:16
that’s the smell00:41:19
you want.00:41:21
Well, yes, but there are other reasons; I’m00:41:25
traditional American00:41:28
isolationism. We remember with what00:41:31
difficulty both the president in the morning Wilson and00:41:36
President Franco dragged00:41:39
America into the First and Second World Wars.00:41:42
They played a decisive role in the victory of the00:41:45
European forces and the first00:41:49
England, France and Russia, which itself00:41:51
refused its Victory to the First World00:41:54
War, the majority of the American00:41:56
political class was against the00:41:58
evolutionism of a very strong father,00:42:00
Trump’s politics on the right is the position of the politician.00:42:04
of these, well, there are only00:42:06
19 people left in Congress, but even more dangerous is the00:42:11
left wing of the Democratic Party, their00:42:14
isolationism is still00:42:17
charging and intensifying such many of00:42:22
them are left ideological denial of00:42:25
capitalism, imperialism. So they see00:42:28
America as00:42:31
the guilty ones, the peoples of the world attracted by the00:42:35
imperialist power,00:42:37
military units which are always a00:42:39
crime therefore they are not so much even00:42:42
against Ukraine, these leftists they are against00:42:46
from Russia They are against, in principle, against00:42:49
American military intervention where,00:42:51
in contrast to pure Sannichka, there are still00:42:55
ideological antis and such a bouquet00:42:58
appears, I almost intimidated you Well, fortunately,00:43:03
he00:43:06
has lost Now most of the00:43:08
argumentation and I’m sure that, but it still00:43:13
exists, they didn’t00:43:14
give it 16 I think that the main part of00:43:19
the documents has lost its meaning, it’s00:43:22
very important. This is a transition00:43:25
to a position clearly about Ukrainian pressure00:43:31
on this side, which is intensifying.00:43:42
So I explained this to you for a long time, both here and00:43:46
we have left We are already with us We were00:43:49
delayed today I'm sorry I forgot to00:43:51
apologize for the technical delay00:43:53
I'll try to go over the questions now00:43:57
if00:43:58
Well here's the question How do you appreciate Jens's visit00:44:02
Kiev I want to join NATO thank you Well at least I00:44:06
told you everything00:44:08
Ukraine is actually already in NATO de- factor00:44:13
and question, it has become a completely different00:44:17
plane if for 15 years these00:44:20
requests for admission to NATO have been going on, it was00:44:24
perceived as some kind of service00:44:26
that the West should provide, the good00:44:30
West must ensure the security of00:44:32
Ukraine, which is threatened by a terrible predator.00:44:36
And therefore, accepting it under the cover,00:44:39
the situation is different now the means of00:44:44
Ukraine in NATO is to ensure00:44:46
the security of the West is a strong good00:44:51
victorious Ukrainian army that00:44:53
crushed Russian aggression by joining00:44:57
NATO takes on the responsibility and00:45:00
historical function of protecting Western00:45:03
Europe from Putin, perhaps Putin’s00:45:07
any other aggression is intensely still00:45:10
possible Chinese dirt there is no other00:45:13
European army in NATO and it won’t be That’s how00:45:17
the question stands now, so00:45:20
technically I answer like this,00:45:23
by the way, he understands perfectly well,00:45:27
you understand perfectly well, he’s on our side as much as possible00:45:30
and00:45:34
everything will be decided on the battlefield00:45:37
Victory is that scenario Victory is so00:45:41
wonderfully addressed to00:45:43
us by our friend, he will be the scenario of the00:45:47
adoption of Ukraine00:45:52
Andrey Andreevich Please tell me your00:45:55
opinion if there are not enough soldiers in Ukraine00:45:57
to continue the defense of Ukraine,00:46:00
the decision and the partner to send their00:46:02
soldiers and help is a terrible question, a terrible00:46:06
question and the right one. Well, because00:46:10
If this help was there, if not at every00:46:14
stage, I listed 5 or 600:46:17
stages. delay on earth Do you remember there00:46:20
was also a discussion about sending00:46:23
unprovoked Putin sends life00:46:35
and every time there was a delay of a month such a00:46:39
possibility it can firstly Let's00:46:42
go from that Let's proceed from00:46:45
As from the main one It00:46:48
seems to me that there are countries there are00:46:51
politicians00:46:54
who if such a terrible threat00:46:58
they will emerge in solidarity,00:47:17
but let’s hope that it won’t00:47:20
come to that00:47:21
Vladimir went through another Ramstein What is00:47:24
the reason now for refusing to provide the00:47:28
question answered in a very detailed manner,00:47:31
outlined all the reasons, all the excuses and00:47:35
all the bells and whistles and complexes of Western00:47:39
consciousness, and I also hope that I sufficiently00:47:42
outlined the new external political00:47:46
situation in all there are emerging threats to00:47:48
the creation of China, an Empire that will be00:47:52
nullified in the foreseeable future, all these00:47:55
so-called reasons00:48:00
I don’t know the00:48:01
attitude of the Minister of Finance I00:48:05
sincerely know I am so absorbed here00:48:08
in America00:48:12
that I am00:48:16
not distracted by the financial ones the00:48:19
reason for the delay is simple obvious00:48:22
Kremlin metastases of the European and00:48:25
American elites terrible dangerous00:48:27
diseases unnecessary unprincipled00:48:30
liberalism To the Kremlin Yes, the vows are true This is00:48:32
true and each of those reasons for00:48:35
the excuses that I have formulated is00:48:38
partially amazed by this, but00:48:42
often it is feeding But I could00:48:45
go by the names of the00:48:48
veterans club that are fed00:48:51
simply from Moscow00:48:57
and then he explains himself with some kind of00:49:00
logical scheme that this is following00:49:03
Putin's line it00:49:07
meets some kind of deep00:49:10
geopolitical interest of America00:49:16
good I think we should remain00:49:19
optimistic00:49:22
Ukraine holds victory and the triggers of00:49:26
Victory will be destruction00:49:30
we will discuss this prospect in one of00:49:34
our programsDescription:
Андрей Пионтковский во время стрима проанализировал последние политические события уходящей недели. А также спрогнозировал, каким будет сценарий победы для Украины. Поддержите ютуб-канал донатом: https://piontkovskyi.diaka.ua/donate Подписывайтесь на официальный канал Андрея Пионтковского в Telegram! https://t.me/Andrey_Piontkovsky Книга Андрея Пионтковского – https://mgraphics-books.com/product/third-way-to-serfdom/?fbclid=IwAR3oMXE9m3vhR-4w3U3yubQy9islXgGeu6CF-W6VXFX1aNlwZq5LMrKjVJk 00:00 Начало 00:08 Что делают россияне накануне украинского контрнаступления 03:14 Почему западные союзники так медлят с военной помощью Украине 09:03 Об освобождении Крыма и вариантах контрнаступления 13:41 Что думает о сценарии победы Украины Бен Ходжес 15:48 О полемике по вопросу помощи Украине в политикуме США 22:03 О двух точках зрения на войну в Украине в администрации Байдена 24:14 Аргумент группы “Непоражения Украины” в Белом доме о ядерном шантаже Путина 28:05 Аргумент о Китае, как главном враге США 33:25 Зачем министр обороны Китая приезжал в Москву 35:08 Аргумент о смуте в России после поражения в войне 37:35 Аргумент о ненанесении ударов по российской территории чтобы не спровоцировать удар по странам НАТО 39:56 Почему Украину не принимают в НАТО 41:22 Об американском изоляционизме 43:59 О визите Столтенберга в Киев и вступлении Украины в НАТО 45:52 Может ли НАТО прислать свои войска при недостаточности воинов в Украине 47:21 О причине отказа в передаче Украине F-16 связанной с “прикормленностью” западных чиновников
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