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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:00
actually about the modification of the owl attacks00:00:02
that we received, what is it and how00:00:05
can it influence the course of the war, exactly the00:00:07
quantity that we received00:00:09
please cluster cluster munition00:00:13
950 sub-munitions in one head00:00:16
M39 missile mile range 165 km It00:00:21
covers if with a top detonation00:00:24
the maximum covers 1 Kim of area here are the00:00:27
three missiles that Zaluzhny showed, the00:00:30
missiles00:00:32
covered00:00:33
the runway, that is, it is also00:00:36
about three kilograms00:00:48
[music]00:01:00
for all the equipment that00:01:03
is currently on the runway,00:01:05
it’s unlikely that the runway was somehow damaged00:01:08
because for a concrete runway these su00:01:12
ammunition They are not problematic at00:01:16
all, but everything that is on top is all00:01:19
falling into disrepair. The number of these00:01:22
missiles, I think they were handed over to us was the00:01:24
batch that was at one time in00:01:26
Morocco. Remember in the summer there was information00:01:28
that they purchased 40 attack missiles with00:01:32
this particular modification and By and00:01:35
large, we could00:01:37
get up to 40 missiles if it went through Morocco00:01:39
Morocco, we get such00:01:41
good traffic of military products through Morocco for us,00:01:45
the Moroccans are on good terms with the00:01:47
United States, including00:01:49
because they00:01:50
sometimes help us in this00:01:53
sense, up to 40 missiles even if there is00:01:57
information 12 18 20 now, even if up to 4000:02:01
missiles the entire batch that was somehow00:02:03
dedicated in its time is still not a00:02:05
changer by and large Well, you can00:02:08
do it, let’s say even if 40 missiles00:02:11
arrived in three missiles each at the airfield, then you can00:02:14
make -9 more launches and that’s all, that is, it will00:02:16
not change00:02:18
any rules of warfare there or00:02:21
somehow stop the fighting, it will cause00:02:24
some damage, but again the damage00:02:25
will be caused mainly by renewable00:02:29
equipment, that is, those consumables that00:02:31
are, let’s say, the same helicopters we00:02:34
brought out out of action Even if there are a dozen00:02:36
helicopters, they have several hundred of them,00:02:38
the same picture will happen if we00:02:41
withdraw airfields with aircraft, and the00:02:45
level of aircraft that are located00:02:47
near00:02:48
the border or front line is the same00:02:51
expendable, that is, the Su-25 is an old Soviet00:02:54
court whose old Soviet ones, which are already00:02:57
fifty years old and, by and large, in00:02:59
consumable mode, they are used;00:03:01
new aircraft from the Russians are located at a00:03:03
distance of 300 km, that is, we cannot reach them00:03:05
even with M39 A1 missiles, then they are prepared for this, so to00:03:09
speak, so there is no need to00:03:12
say anything wait for a changer from00:03:16
this number of missiles, but if they00:03:18
give us an order of magnitude more than 400 and more00:03:23
missiles, wow, then we will be00:03:25
able to cover more than 15000:03:29
stationary military installations of the Russians. There are00:03:33
about 150 of them in Crimea and about00:03:37
150 objects in the occupied00:03:41
mainland of Ukraine because00:03:43
we can reach the Crimean objects Only with00:03:46
M39 A1 missiles when they give us00:03:49
this is three hundred kilometers And these missiles00:03:52
that were handed over to us will reach the maximum00:03:54
of the North of Crimea north of Dzhankoy, they won’t00:03:57
be able to get to the south. They simply don’t reach it, but let’s say00:04:00
almost the entire00:04:04
occupied mainland of Ukraine They00:04:06
will definitely reach it and in such quantities, if00:04:09
at least supplies are increased by 10 times,00:04:12
then we can talk about a game00:04:14
changer because it can knock out the00:04:17
logistics of the Russian troops and00:04:20
stop practically the ability to00:04:23
defend, let alone attack and00:04:24
defend in the Kherson and00:04:26
Zaporozhye directions because00:04:27
these are precisely these e directions for Russians are00:04:30
not the most flawed from the point of view of00:04:32
supplies, so we will talk about this as a00:04:35
potential game changer after all,00:04:37
given that it will pave the way for the00:04:40
same German Tauros about this a little00:04:42
later you already mentioned the geography of the00:04:44
actual action missiles a map of00:04:48
potential targets for00:04:50
Ukraine the Atams missile is published by00:04:52
The Isay I suggest looking at it together and00:04:55
Pan Roman if possible if possible00:04:57
please comment on this00:04:59
map, it’s a little difficult for me to see it But00:05:02
here00:05:05
comes Chaplinka populated areas00:05:10
Gvardeyskaya Saki - this is, of course, Crimea00:05:15
Sevastopol so that's all dadada00:05:22
balbek Simferopol00:05:25
Kirovskaya so00:05:28
ny Strelkovaya and Berdyansk Of course Kerch00:05:33
Feodosia Well, in principle, the00:05:36
entire Crimean peninsula is completely covered and00:05:39
also the glorious city of Berdyansk, in fact,00:05:43
where there was already an arrival that we were00:05:47
talking about No, this is a slightly incorrect00:05:50
map there really is in the area of a dozen00:05:52
airfields But this map speaks of00:05:57
defeat if we have kilometer-long00:06:00
missiles, then they will cover Crimea, and with the00:06:04
missiles that were given to us the M39 has00:06:07
a range of 165 km only to Dzhankoy, even00:06:10
to Dzhankoy it’s still a question of whether we’ll get to Dzhankoy or not,00:06:13
so we can say either with the missiles00:06:15
that were given to us 165 km but in two00:06:19
stages, that is, first we liberate,00:06:21
we reach the Azov coast, we reach00:06:23
Armyansk and then we will begin to00:06:25
get the entire remaining Crimea, or00:06:27
wait until they give us kilometer-long00:06:30
missiles and then we will get the whole of Crimea,00:06:32
including Kerch and the00:06:35
Kerch Bridge. That is, it is a little00:06:37
incorrect Well, at least at least not in00:06:39
direct execution00:06:42
Uh-huh Well, here is a00:06:45
fresh comment from the Russian dictator who is already00:06:49
commenting on this decision of the Pentagon from00:06:52
Beijing where he is on an official00:06:54
visit. And so he says, firstly, this00:06:57
of course causes harm, it creates00:06:58
Add a threat, secondly, We will of course00:07:00
be able to repel these attacks war is00:07:02
war and of course I said that they00:07:04
pose a threat, that goes without saying,00:07:06
of course, but the most important thing is that it is00:07:07
not at all possible to radically00:07:09
change the situation on the00:07:10
contact line, it is impossible.00:07:13
Putin said this for sure And at a00:07:15
press conference in Beijing Well, of course00:07:17
the fact that he is commenting on this00:07:19
indicates that he is still burning,00:07:21
again, he understands that this party is00:07:24
modest Yes, it may not decide anything on its own,00:07:25
but00:07:27
again Tauros may follow it, I would like to hear00:07:28
your opinion on this Well, also a question after00:07:32
all, to what extent will Russian air defense be able to00:07:34
repel these missiles, given that there is still a00:07:37
certain limited success?00:07:39
And in the High Mars they finally had00:07:43
to adapt,00:07:47
well, the Russians tried to shoot down these missiles00:07:51
with attacks, you saw them. By the way, in the video,00:07:55
the work of the complex anti-missile missile00:07:58
system against these missiles, they did not00:08:00
shoot them down, that is, the missile itself does00:08:03
not follow a pure ballistic00:08:05
trajectory. But along the so-called quasi-00:08:06
ballistic quasi-ballistic trajectory,00:08:09
it scours along the trajectory, it can00:08:12
cut barrels, that is, by and large,00:08:14
it performs an anti-missile maneuver because00:08:17
that any anti-aircraft missile system00:08:20
that is trying to shoot down a ballistic00:08:22
missile, it sends an anti-missile missile to the00:08:24
meeting point, which is calculated by the00:08:27
calculation system, calculation system,00:08:29
calculate and when there is a constant00:08:33
change in the ballistic trajectory,00:08:35
yaw along the ballista, then this meeting point00:08:37
cannot be calculated because the missiles simply00:08:40
go into the air, it is called that there is that00:08:42
meeting point that the machine calculated at00:08:46
that meeting point of this missile No,00:08:48
it leaves, it displaces it, we need another00:08:51
anti-missile, another one, we saw00:08:54
several launches of anti-missiles, but00:08:56
still there was a strike and a strike later, that is,00:09:00
the air defense does not work on such00:09:03
cutting barrels of this missile to attacks,00:09:08
therefore I would not say that00:09:11
their future night is so cloudless or the00:09:14
future nights are unlikely to shoot them down.00:09:17
It is to the attacks. Well, as for the Mercs, they00:09:19
will adapt00:09:21
[music] with00:09:29
the help of electronic warfare, the so-00:09:31
called Reb, to lead away from the target, that is, in at the00:09:36
last stage of the missile’s flight, the jammer is turned on;00:09:39
these rebs are so powerful that they do not00:09:42
allow the00:09:45
missile to reach the target exactly, that is, the00:09:47
quota there is not 1 2-3 m as stated, 10-15 m, that’s00:09:51
the maximum they could do on the00:09:54
last one, several kilometers of00:09:57
approach missiles to the target, they reach the target with the00:10:00
help of certain moments of the compartment,00:10:02
communication between the missile and the satellite to clarify00:10:05
the coordinates, that is, and nothing more, that is,00:10:08
they00:10:13
could not influence the missile in any other way. But this missile that00:10:15
was given to us, it is also, by and large,00:10:17
fired back but this atams it does not00:10:20
reach the target directly. That is,00:10:22
it explodes at altitudes. Well, a kilometer away,00:10:26
that is, above the target, exploding above the target,00:10:29
it cannot be influenced with the help of a reb,00:10:32
that is, any jammer does not have such00:10:34
power to shoot down this missile, and this00:10:36
missile also will cover the jammer When approaching the00:10:39
target, that is, here such an umbrella00:10:41
is created that covers,00:10:44
covers a large area, even a downed00:10:48
missile, even if someone shoots it down,00:10:50
no matter by some means, it also00:10:53
explodes and again scatters this00:10:56
ammunition that falls on the enemy,00:10:58
that is, here practically such a00:10:59
100% defeat, at least00:11:01
100% use of these missiles I00:11:04
think because of this they00:11:07
were handed over to us, that is, this00:11:09
missile cannot be influenced by the00:11:12
Russian Rem as it explodes high00:11:14
Well, there is an explosion in the spread of ammunition And it is00:11:18
impossible to work with an anti-aircraft missile00:11:21
complex since it follows a quasi-00:11:23
ballistic trajectory, almost00:11:24
a hundred percent00:11:27
hit if we talk about this decision,00:11:31
how after all,00:11:32
having dragged the owls through, we see the logic of the chain of00:11:36
these decisions already in action. According to00:11:39
our experience, we remember that the same00:11:42
symbolic number of Abramtsevo tanks at that time00:11:47
Avram owls proto the path to a much00:11:50
larger number of leopards from00:11:55
Germany and the allies, the same thing is now00:11:58
being said about what will happen with Taurukh,00:11:59
that this increases pressure on Scholz00:12:02
to give Ukraine00:12:06
Taurukh, and they hit, as far as I understand,00:12:10
300 miles, this is more than probably 400 km if00:12:13
Germany has the ability to limit this00:12:15
range of action Well, they hit about 560 km00:12:20
Yes, indeed, in 300 miles 50000:12:22
is more than 500 km The fact is that this is00:12:25
still a missile, it’s a cruise missile, it00:12:27
costs much more than the00:12:30
Atams and it has a warhead of half a ton; the00:12:34
Atakami Sa has 225 kg and this half-ton and00:12:38
half-ton warheads are mostly00:12:40
high-explosive fragmentation, or there are also00:12:42
some cluster-type concrete ones. Well, the00:12:45
main task of this missile, after all, is00:12:48
to cause such serious damage. For us, let’s do this to the00:12:52
Kerch bridge, that is,00:12:54
we can do it with the help of the taurukh bridge and00:12:58
get to any object in Crimea Any, but it all00:13:02
depends on the number of these missiles and these are00:13:06
not cluster missiles. That is, this is a00:13:07
targeted strike, how many of them will be given to us in00:13:10
total there, well, maybe a hundred and a half in00:13:13
total have been produced in the world or there for us, that00:13:16
is, they are there for us they won’t all00:13:18
be handed over to us, let’s say, well, they can hand over,00:13:21
let’s say, 20%, let’s say 30 missiles. Well, three dozen00:13:24
missiles, again, they won’t fulfill the task of00:13:27
gain, they can hit precisely, let’s say the00:13:30
Kerch Bridge, let’s say, disable00:13:33
several ships standing at the00:13:37
pier or there in the bay or on the outer00:13:39
roadstead which can be worked out00:13:42
using GPS coordinates Well, that is,00:13:45
tied. Maybe destroy00:13:47
several headquarters like the same in00:13:50
Sevastopol. Well, only in another00:13:52
place there in the area of Kirch, Feodosia or00:13:55
somewhere else, and again Well, these missiles will run out00:13:58
like the STM Shadow and00:14:00
sp and you see, lately they00:14:02
have worked well, several dozen00:14:04
missiles came off, but then there are fewer of them,00:14:07
or at least we are waiting for the next00:14:09
batch. And these missiles, well, they’ll give us 30 of them, so00:14:12
we’ll fire 30 missiles and that’s it. Again,00:14:15
not a game changer, that is, no need to00:14:18
wait from00:14:20
some kind of taurukh any serious00:14:24
influence on military operations other than the00:14:26
destruction of the Crimean bridge because00:14:29
this action will lead00:14:33
to such catastrophic consequences for the Russians, I would00:14:36
say so. They will not be able to00:14:38
feed the seventy-seven-00:14:40
strong army that is located in the Crimean00:14:45
Sonsk, that is, in this area front,00:14:49
this will be a problem for the Russians because,00:14:51
or rather, we need Taus, in principle,00:14:54
only for one thing, if so seriously,00:14:56
only for one serious thing,00:14:59
to disable the Kerch00:15:02
Bridge Pan. Let's then finally00:15:05
talk about00:15:07
Avdeevka, the Institute for the Study of War writes00:15:10
that Russia is intensifying attempts to00:15:12
encircle this is a populated area, this is a populated00:15:14
area, in principle, this has been going on since the00:15:16
fourteenth year without success. Well,00:15:18
Russian troops will probably,00:15:20
according to the institute’s analysts, continue00:15:22
offensive operations at such a00:15:23
reduced pace and remain a threat to00:15:25
Ukrainian forces in this area. Despite the fact00:15:27
that now they are unlikely to be00:15:30
able to achieve decisive00:15:33
breakthrough and or encircle Avdeyevka, at the same00:15:36
time, analysts warn that any00:15:38
decrease in the pace of offensive actions by the00:15:39
Russians may be the result of an00:15:41
adjustment in the tactical situation. And in the00:15:44
coming days they may intensify00:15:46
attempts to encircle Avdeyevka. How do you now00:15:49
assess the presence of the enemy in this00:15:51
direction, why is there00:15:53
an emphasis now? to Avdeevka and here are your00:15:56
forecasts for the prospects of their plan.00:16:00
Well, the plan to encircle Avdeevka. It’s more00:16:02
political. The fact is that the encirclement00:16:04
cannot hold out for long in order to00:16:06
encircle it and keep the00:16:09
garrison surrounded; they need to00:16:11
organize wings of 10-15 kilometers from the South and the North. it’s00:16:15
unrealistic to throw a couple of divisions there00:16:18
and the two brigades that they brought under00:16:21
Avdeevka And there are only a couple of brigades there, no00:16:23
more than that, at most they can00:16:26
carry out a Raid operation for some time,00:16:30
try to cut off the00:16:33
supply routes and declare that they have00:16:35
surrounded the Avdeevka garrison And then00:16:37
try sell this sell this00:16:42
action like the00:16:45
Debaltsevo cauldron was sold at one time. If you00:16:48
remember it, that is, they sold the Debaltsevo00:16:50
cauldron for the signing of the second Minsk,00:16:53
maybe there is such a political00:16:55
task there to take the Avdeevka garrison into the operational environment for a few days00:16:59
and try to00:17:01
sell it for signing or stopping00:17:04
some00:17:05
start of negotiations00:17:07
stopping the offensive actions of the00:17:09
Ukrainian troops, which are now00:17:11
intensifying on the left bank of the Dnieper and00:17:14
in the00:17:15
Rabotino area, especially after receiving the same00:17:20
Abramson attacks. That is, now there is an00:17:23
intensification of the actions of our troops to00:17:26
continue the offensive for the Russians,00:17:29
this is a big problem to close with nothing,00:17:31
there are no reserves in There are not enough forces and funds00:17:34
because this is the lifebuoy00:17:38
with which they want to cover Avdeevka and00:17:40
sell the release of our garrison from what seems00:17:43
like a cauldron. Although it is unrealistic to hold it in thin00:17:46
streams. Well,00:17:48
they can hold out for a few days, then they will be00:17:50
defeated by the00:17:51
flanking troops, that is, by and00:17:54
large, such an attempt can00:17:56
to be able to carry out this kind of action they00:17:59
now have there, well, attempts, at least00:18:01
they have enough forces with00:18:04
means, the problem is that there is not enough equipment there00:18:06
anymore, there is still a week’s00:18:09
supply of ammunition somewhere, if they don’t get a00:18:11
lift, they00:18:13
can carry out offensive actions within a week at most00:18:15
and then return back to the positions from00:18:18
which they started, nothing more, because00:18:20
I think in the near future we will see00:18:22
several meat assaults without a large00:18:25
amount of equipment using00:18:26
artillery, they will shoot off all00:18:29
the ammunition in a week and this topic will disappear00:18:32
from the information flow, it will be00:18:35
interrupted by other topics of the offensive of00:18:38
our troops on Well, what about the00:18:42
Abrams tanks? I already mentioned and here is00:18:45
information from the representative of the US Army in00:18:47
Europe, Martin Dole, he officially00:18:49
confirmed that Ukraine00:18:51
received from the United States all the promised00:18:53
Abrams tanks, we are talking about one such tank.00:18:57
Perhaps they are already participating in battles. I don’t00:18:59
I know If you have any information and00:19:02
If so In what areas Well Perhaps00:19:04
this information is not disclosed This is00:19:06
also symbolic, similar to the attacks itself00:19:09
received now, the number or00:19:11
Abrams can somehow influence the00:19:13
course of hostilities and if so, where are00:19:17
they in your opinion, is it more useful In which00:19:20
direction is it still in the east or in the00:19:23
south?00:19:24
Well, the battalion ABM 31 brigade is just one00:19:29
brigade and they are unlikely to be broken up since00:19:31
servicing tanks is quite00:19:33
cumbersome and complex; the engineering and technical00:19:36
staff is most likely prepared to00:19:38
carry out such work on the basis of one00:19:40
brigade But this is correct and competent,00:19:42
just a battalion that reinforces the brigade and the brigade00:19:45
can carry out offensive actions,00:19:47
basically the optimal option is the00:19:49
Rabotino area or in the area, let’s say,00:19:52
crossing the Dnieper. That is, this is the Southern00:19:54
Southwestern Front, not the eastern one, it’s00:19:57
inconvenient to transfer these heavy Tanks00:20:00
to the east, rainy weather ahead, they00:20:03
will be ineffective there after all, 60 tons00:20:05
- this is a heavy vehicle, it is better to00:20:07
use it on such clayey Sandy00:20:10
soil, this is exactly the direction00:20:12
towards the Azov coast, or when00:20:13
crossing the Dnieper, a passage along the00:20:17
Black Sea coast of Ukraine, that is,00:20:19
from there to there or there, I think so, there00:20:21
will still be some kind of One brigade, we will00:20:23
see it. That is, these Tanks will glow00:20:27
and there will be a number of the brigade that they are not00:20:30
using, that is, where they will end up and00:20:33
most likely, well, I repeat again, most likely00:20:35
it will be the south-western southern direction00:20:37
not eastern00:20:39
for sure Well, the very last thing, if we are00:20:42
now talking00:20:44
about the southern direction, there is information00:20:47
that Ukrainian marines were able to occupy the00:20:49
floodplain village on the left bank of the Dnieper and reached the00:20:51
northern outskirts of the penins, they write about this with00:20:54
alarm, this is00:20:55
important. This point is in your00:21:00
opinion and how this can happen to help Ukraine00:21:02
develop a further offensive in the south00:21:07
Well, our reconnaissance is located on the left bank,00:21:10
there are probably several dozen00:21:13
amazing reconnaissance groups. This is the task of00:21:15
any reconnaissance to go behind enemy lines to a00:21:17
depth of 30 km and adjust fire00:21:21
reconnaissance before reconnaissance adjustment00:21:23
confirmation of artillery fire or00:21:25
performing other combat tasks According to the00:21:28
combat order that00:21:30
the reconnaissance group receives Or, let’s say, an assault company00:21:33
if they are paratroopers Marine Corps00:21:36
that carries out00:21:38
landing using certain00:21:40
means of sea landing And then, again,00:21:43
According to the Republic, that is, the combat00:21:46
order, either they have a task:00:21:48
raid attacks came in, destroyed, left,00:21:51
or they have a task let’s take00:21:53
some kind of bridgehead, hold it with the00:21:56
help of available forces, means for approaching00:22:00
either the main forces or for organizing a00:22:03
crossing, that is, for landing,00:22:05
or rather for crossing the river, this00:22:08
will be clear in the next couple of days, that00:22:10
is, how the situation will develop00:22:12
will be within a couple of days It’s clear Well,00:22:14
this could be a simple Raid attack00:22:17
Raid mission they will come in, they will come in, they will00:22:21
destroy the garrison and go back to the00:22:23
right bank, that is, this is exactly how,00:22:25
for several months, they carry out the combat00:22:28
missions of our reconnaissance group, which are00:22:30
deployed along the right bank and are00:22:32
on the left00:22:34
bank, thank you very much for being00:22:37
ours guest today friends Roman Svetan00:22:40
colonel reserve pilot instructorDescription:
❗ Друзі, обов'язково підписуйтесь на канал @utrofevralia https://www.youtube.com/c/%D0%A3%D1%82%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%A4%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8F?sub_confirmation=1 📌 А також на канал @peterzalmayev8776 https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3l1HKVNGaq735-4AUar_sA?sub_confirmation=1 📬 Підписуйтесь на Телеканал Прямий в YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/c/pryamiy?sub_confirmation=1 🔔 тисніть на «дзвоник», щоб отримувати сповіщення про нові відео на каналі 📢 та дивіться наживо наш прямий ефір — https://www.youtube.com/c/pryamiy/live 💲 Підтримайте Телеканал Прямий - ставайте спонсором нашого YouTube-каналу — https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCH9H_b9oJtSHBovh94yB5HA/join ✅ Приєднуйтесь до наших акаунтів у соцмережах, щоб бути в курсі актуальних новин: Facebook — https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Telegram — https://t.me/pryamiy Twitter — https://twitter.com/prm_ua Instagram — https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser 📌 Ще більше новин на нашому сайті — https://prm.ua/
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