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00:00:08
Good evening This is Yulia Latynina and
00:00:12
Latynina TV and we have on air Abbas
00:00:15
Galyamov, a famous political scientist
00:00:18
with whom we will talk about the battle that
00:00:21
begins in the Kremlin because after
00:00:24
the defeat, we actually see ears even before
00:00:26
the defeat, it all started, but after the
00:00:29
defeat near Kharkov it began to spin in
00:00:31
such a completely indecent way
00:00:33
speed
00:00:34
therefore Subscribe to our channel Don’t
00:00:37
forget to subscribe right while
00:00:39
watching the broadcast because exactly
00:00:42
half of the listeners who watch us are
00:00:44
not subscribed
00:00:47
and this helps a lot in
00:00:50
video promotion and this helps the channel a lot it
00:00:54
helps us a lot in
00:00:56
resisting trolls Abbas Hello
00:00:59
Hello
00:01:03
And although we will discuss some
00:01:06
very subtle things that
00:01:08
only you notice and we will then move on to this. I
00:01:12
can’t help but start with the question that everyone is
00:01:14
discussing now, All Borisovna
00:01:18
Pugacheva, who suddenly showed a
00:01:20
huge figure of power and she
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did it 7 months after the start of
00:01:26
the war, they immediately after its beginning
00:01:30
and the
00:01:32
first question is, don’t
00:01:35
you think
00:01:37
Alla Borisovna’s behavior is the
00:01:40
deepest symptom of the fact that everything in the Kremlin
00:01:43
finally doesn’t matter?
00:01:47
Well, to a large extent, yes,
00:01:50
Pugacheva in this sense is an important
00:01:54
indicator. That is, she has always been a
00:01:58
person who
00:02:00
has a keen sense of the situation and
00:02:04
sharp criticism of her side
00:02:09
indicates that
00:02:12
at least in the opinion of some people
00:02:16
who know how to keep their nose to the wind,
00:02:18
the situation for the Kremlin is
00:02:21
getting worse and you can already argue with it;
00:02:23
you can already criticize it in the public
00:02:25
space. But Pugacheva’s statement is
00:02:28
not just an indicator, it is also a factor
00:02:32
that will contribute to the further
00:02:33
deterioration of the situation
00:02:36
for the Kremlin, you see,
00:02:41
from the point of view of public opinion, it is
00:02:44
extremely important to create a feeling that
00:02:49
in politics the most important thing is dynamics. This
00:02:52
feeling that someone’s positions
00:02:54
are strengthening and someone else’s positions are weakening. Yes,
00:02:59
and joining the
00:03:02
critics of the regime of
00:03:05
those people who were silent just yesterday is precisely what
00:03:09
creates This is the feeling and
00:03:11
Pugacheva This is not some ordinary
00:03:14
figure Yes,
00:03:18
if there is one
00:03:20
in the country it is called consensus
00:03:25
Leader of public opinion,
00:03:28
everyone considers them to be leaders of public
00:03:30
opinion, then Pugacheva is one of the few
00:03:34
people
00:03:36
whom the
00:03:38
majority of Russians recognize for sure;
00:03:41
I remember repeatedly there were all sorts of
00:03:44
ratings of the most famous
00:03:47
Russians by different In the media over the
00:03:49
past decades, Pugacheva has
00:03:52
always been present in them,
00:03:53
and usually Well at the top Yes, and
00:03:57
it’s difficult to ignore her in this sense,
00:03:59
and here is the fact that she is not a
00:04:02
political figure, she is not a politician And she
00:04:05
suddenly becomes politicized, comes into politics
00:04:08
and comes into politics with criticism regime,
00:04:11
this is precisely a very
00:04:15
important factor that will
00:04:17
contribute to the politicization of those words of
00:04:19
society that have hitherto been
00:04:21
apolitical; you understand, authoritarianism
00:04:23
is maintained to a large extent due to the
00:04:25
apoliticality of people.
00:04:27
Yes, this is not totalitarianism where, on the contrary,
00:04:31
where all the masses must
00:04:33
be politicized, all
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social processes must be viewed
00:04:39
exclusively through policies where everyone
00:04:41
must march in a single formation,
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sing anthems
00:04:46
and constantly unite, in this
00:04:51
sense, authoritarianism is exactly
00:04:52
the opposite; this is when
00:04:55
only the government is involved in politics; everyone
00:04:59
else is not involved in politics and, in
00:05:01
principle, is not even particularly interested. To a
00:05:03
large extent, the Putin regime
00:05:05
was maintained due to the apoliticality of the main
00:05:07
groups of the population and Well, such a
00:05:10
calmly indifferent attitude towards
00:05:12
politics is enough. Yes, but now people are starting to become
00:05:15
politicized, the mood is always
00:05:19
accompanied by some politicization, these
00:05:22
processes are now accelerating, that is, those
00:05:24
people who yesterday were still
00:05:25
satisfied with the
00:05:27
state of affairs in the country, they now, you
00:05:30
know,
00:05:34
they already feel that their situation is no longer
00:05:37
satisfactory They understand that the authorities
00:05:41
violated the social contract that
00:05:43
was once concluded with them, you know,
00:05:45
there the authorities promised people two things,
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firstly, a
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more or less decent
00:05:52
standard of living, and secondly, this
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feeling of belonging to a great power,
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now there is a problem with the wallpaper and especially
00:06:02
after Kharkov, I don’t feel like
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I belong to a great power, it’s broken
00:06:06
to pieces. Which means you yourself
00:06:10
can see what’s happening with the standard of living, and this decline
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was accelerated by
00:06:15
special operations, that is, people who
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previously gave politics over to
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the authorities, so to speak, they are now bullying
00:06:21
countries and realizing that well it is necessary,
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and this means we need to become politicized, we need to
00:06:27
start listening to what
00:06:29
the opposition is saying, yes, and expressing your
00:06:33
point of view is extremely unfavorable.
00:06:36
For any authoritarian government in any
00:06:38
situation, in principle, the process is in a situation
00:06:41
when it is weakening, when it is
00:06:44
surrounded by enemies, so to speak. Yes, this is not at all
00:06:47
beneficial to the authorities and here such a Pugacheva
00:06:49
opens the door to politics, she is
00:06:51
also not a political figure and for people
00:06:54
who are going to
00:06:55
become politicized, Pugacheva responds with their
00:06:57
mood for them, so the door leading to
00:07:01
politics is opened by such a wolf Yes, and of
00:07:04
course this in this sense is extremely
00:07:09
unpleasant for
00:07:12
authorities history Yes, many
00:07:16
liberals rushed to criticize Pugacheva for her
00:07:19
wording about how our
00:07:22
boys are there, she said it
00:07:24
means that
00:07:25
she is there our guys, it means
00:07:30
she should have written about the Ukrainians.
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Listen, the liberals are
00:07:37
calling for repentance,
00:07:40
there is no news
00:07:43
and work for
00:07:45
Pugacheva’s liberal audience there is no need to convince liberals, they are
00:07:48
already against Putin against the war Yes,
00:07:52
we need new audiences, we need new supporters,
00:07:56
which means new supporters of the opposition, new
00:07:59
opponents of the regime Yes, we need to look for new
00:08:02
people because, well, the old ones are obviously not
00:08:04
enough to overthrow the regime, it is
00:08:06
still in its place Yes, and therefore,
00:08:09
Pugacheva was not required to say
00:08:12
those things that the noted
00:08:16
opponents of the regime say, she is addressing another
00:08:19
audience of that audience, there is no feeling of guilt,
00:08:23
you understand politics cannot be demanded
00:08:25
too much politics is the art
00:08:28
of the possible Yes, this is what we want from these
00:08:31
hesitant from this, as
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the technologies of the electoral swamp are sometimes expressed from
00:08:36
this is what Surkov called the
00:08:38
deep people
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who have always been loyal, most of them
00:08:43
were loyal and that we want, first of all, for
00:08:47
him to
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join the critics of the regime Okay, here’s
00:08:52
Pugacheva and is looking for the shortest way to him,
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talk to him in his language, and
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what else are they there at the same time, they repented so that
00:09:00
they still meet our
00:09:03
high moral and ethical criteria,
00:09:06
listen Well, you can’t want too
00:09:07
much in politics. Situational
00:09:12
allies are also important, not only
00:09:14
like-minded people, you know with whom there is a
00:09:18
feeling There are elbows of brotherhood and so on there
00:09:20
is no If the operation is only for
00:09:23
like-minded people you are the majority you
00:09:25
never start Yes and in this Well, that is, when
00:09:28
you, if you want, if a communicator
00:09:31
wants to be effective, he must
00:09:32
say things that to a significant
00:09:35
extent, at least 90
00:09:37
percent there, must say those things
00:09:38
that correspond to the point of view
00:09:40
of the audience, you cannot convince people
00:09:43
at the same time on several points Putin is
00:09:45
bad and you must repent there, this and
00:09:48
10 will not work out, 90 percent of
00:09:51
what they agree with and 10 percent about the fact
00:09:53
that Putin is bad and war is bad That’s
00:09:55
more than enough Yes, and well, that’s how
00:10:00
practical politics is done and that’s
00:10:02
how they are won by electoral companies,
00:10:04
for example, in this sense Well, criticism of
00:10:09
Pugacheva’s criticism, despite the fact that from the
00:10:10
moral point of view of these
00:10:12
critics I perfectly understand, but from the point
00:10:14
of view I will almost
00:10:17
never demolish
00:10:23
Well, yes, yes to a significant extent. You
00:10:27
formulated what I was going to
00:10:28
say, only I’ve been talking for a long time
00:10:33
and I want move on to another important
00:10:38
developed feature, about a week ago
00:10:40
I quoted this during access, you
00:10:43
talked about information leaks from the
00:10:45
Kremlin and wrote that after becoming president,
00:10:48
Putin dealt with the institution of leaks under Yeltsin in the most brutal way
00:10:53
and that after that nothing came from the Kremlin
00:10:56
if anything flowed, it was something
00:10:59
that was agreed upon with the authorities. And
00:11:02
now the Kremlin is again flowing like a sieve and
00:11:05
they made the conclusion that they quote the bureaucracy is
00:11:08
moving into the mode of independent games, and it is precisely
00:11:12
such things that precede
00:11:14
the revolution,
00:11:16
and so I want to ask what games and
00:11:19
what exactly it flows away and here Tell me
00:11:22
examples
00:11:25
Oh, well, it actually flows like a sieve Yes, this is
00:11:30
really for people who, so
00:11:33
to speak, are inside the politics of the process, that is,
00:11:35
Maybe from somewhere else it’s not very
00:11:36
noticeable Yes, but for those who are inside Well, of course,
00:11:40
this process cannot help but catch the eye of this
00:11:43
process in the spring So to speak, it was
00:11:47
only planned, but in the summer, when it coincided
00:11:51
with the growing understanding that there was no sign of Victory
00:11:54
ahead, serious problems lay ahead. That’s when it
00:11:57
all started,
00:12:00
officials decide, officials allow, organize
00:12:03
the leak, solve
00:12:06
a lot of problems, the first thing that I
00:12:09
remember
00:12:10
most is the
00:12:13
double leak of real data data of
00:12:16
public sentiment that was
00:12:18
very different
00:12:20
data that was very different
00:12:22
from what the officials there
00:12:27
are trying to explain to us through the mouths of the officials the leak
00:12:30
occurred in July first there was a
00:12:34
presentation by VCIOM in general he did a
00:12:37
study on attitudes towards the war and
00:12:40
published it
00:12:41
publicly he This story should not have been
00:12:44
published a closed study
00:12:46
commissioned by the Kremlin And then from the
00:12:48
Kremlin, first part of the presentation was leaked
00:12:51
to the jellyfish and then a few days later,
00:12:54
apparently the officials who made this
00:12:57
leak realized that well, the taxi bomb did not
00:13:00
explode and
00:13:02
organized
00:13:03
leak number two, the entire presentation was leaked to
00:13:07
the publication,
00:13:08
that is, this fact of duality the
00:13:14
fact that this is not an accident, too, when it
00:13:16
leaked once. Well, sometimes such
00:13:19
stories happen by chance, it’s warm, but when two parts
00:13:23
in a row. Well, obviously people were counting
00:13:27
on
00:13:28
maximum resonance, that is, they wanted to
00:13:31
quietly drain there at first, that is,
00:13:34
a little bit. Yes, they saw that the resonance was
00:13:36
small, they leaked a lot there, well, the data was to a
00:13:39
significant extent. But if not
00:13:42
sensational, but sensational, then very
00:13:45
encouraging for the opposition, that
00:13:49
is, the authorities there told us from the first day of the war
00:13:51
that 80 percent of the population
00:13:53
supported against some renegades.
00:13:57
So
00:14:00
the data that leaked, I repeat,
00:14:04
means they said that the number
00:14:08
supporters of
00:14:09
the war continuation of the war and supporters of
00:14:13
peace negotiations were equal to each
00:14:16
other
00:14:20
by 43% or 44 to 44 I now forgot Well then,
00:14:25
in any case, the number of supporters of the war is
00:14:26
below 50 the number of supporters of peace
00:14:28
negotiations is not lower than them why it was
00:14:32
done but first of all Of course I
00:14:36
think that this was an attempt to strike a blow
00:14:39
at the camp of supporters of war to the bitter
00:14:41
end,
00:14:42
that is, after this leak,
00:14:45
to say that the majority of people are in favor of
00:14:48
continuing the war is somehow already ridiculous. I
00:14:51
have information for people, for people
00:14:53
who are in the subject, now everyone knows what the
00:14:56
continuation of the war is not the majority, that is, the
00:14:59
camp of supporters of peace negotiations,
00:15:02
which was defeated in the mark when
00:15:07
remember
00:15:08
unity means the activity of the medical was
00:15:10
curtailed when it was subjected to obstruction there,
00:15:14
including in the media, the Kremlin
00:15:18
apparatus
00:15:20
And it disappeared from the radar, after that, for
00:15:23
several months, the Kremlin
00:15:26
was never dominated by the
00:15:27
party of party supporters these Hawks
00:15:31
who support the war Yes, but in July,
00:15:34
with the help of these leaks, a
00:15:37
very serious blow was dealt to them. Perhaps there were
00:15:41
other motives for the people who
00:15:43
organized this, perhaps you know, the
00:15:46
people there are smart and they actually
00:15:51
understand where all this is going. Yes, and they
00:15:55
they can’t do anything about it But for themselves,
00:15:57
for the future, they are trying to provide some kind of security in case of
00:16:00
Gaga. Perhaps they, in
00:16:03
principle,
00:16:04
are counting on the fact that when everything
00:16:06
starts and everyone’s guilt will be
00:16:08
sorted out in detail, they will
00:16:12
count something
00:16:14
that they well as a mitigating circumstance in fact,
00:16:18
they were waging a guerrilla struggle
00:16:22
inside, weakening the
00:16:24
regime from within. I even wrote about this that it
00:16:29
would probably make sense for the
00:16:31
leader of the West to
00:16:35
make some kind of appeal regarding the fact
00:16:39
that
00:16:41
cooperation with independent media
00:16:43
that are subject to repression and
00:16:46
pressure from the Russian regime
00:16:48
for Russian officials will be
00:16:50
considered as mitigating
00:16:53
circumstances because objectively these
00:16:57
things are
00:16:58
significant, yes, their significance, thank you,
00:17:03
but one cannot underestimate in the end
00:17:07
politics is won by that force, the
00:17:11
degree of internal integration
00:17:14
which
00:17:15
turns out to be higher than the degree of
00:17:18
integration of the opposite
00:17:19
camp, and all these internal
00:17:23
squabbles, internal contradictions
00:17:26
when they turn out to be in the public they
00:17:30
contribute to the weakening of the position of the regime and
00:17:34
they help to strengthen the position of the
00:17:36
position, that is,
00:17:40
regarding public opinion after
00:17:43
this story, there are leaks there with a
00:17:46
certain frequency, for example,
00:17:48
regarding public opinion in Kherson and
00:17:51
Zaporozhye,
00:17:52
the Kremlin is specially holding, you know,
00:17:55
such a round table is going to mean
00:17:58
there experts gather about the Kremlin
00:18:00
who publish their data, data from
00:18:02
public opinion polls,
00:18:05
which means according to which there are
00:18:08
some, you know, viral figures
00:18:11
now I don’t remember exactly, there are several
00:18:12
questions there at the same time
00:18:14
that they did yes So there are 70 80 Well,
00:18:19
like yes yes
00:18:21
780 there somewhere like this, but literally
00:18:26
there a few days before
00:18:28
this event happened in jellyfish in the
00:18:31
same leaks the
00:18:34
real numbers of surveys that the cream itself
00:18:37
conducted means and it says that
00:18:40
30 percent said that they were in favor of
00:18:43
joining Russia 30 said that
00:18:46
they the rest abstained against and it was
00:18:48
clearly formulated there. That is,
00:18:49
these sources themselves say the
00:18:50
Kremlin sources say that well, it
00:18:53
must be taken into account that this is under
00:18:55
occupation conditions under occupation conditions. It would seem that
00:18:58
people should be afraid to say yes Yes, we are
00:19:00
for Russia no, even under occupation conditions
00:19:03
only 30 percent and 30 not be afraid
00:19:06
to say that they are against Russia,
00:19:07
despite the severity of the situation there,
00:19:14
and these Kremlin sources
00:19:17
conclude that Well, of course, for the
00:19:19
normal holding of referendums, this is
00:19:21
all not suitable, and that
00:19:25
means the Kremlin with its right hand is trying to
00:19:29
convince us that the Khersonians and
00:19:33
Cossacks are sleeping there they can’t dream of
00:19:36
joining Russia and he’s our left hand
00:19:38
Through the drain Yes, in the independent media he
00:19:43
explains to us that this is [ __ ], what
00:19:47
my right hand is doing is nonsense, this is a scam, that
00:19:52
means why this source is this,
00:19:58
look at this most important question on
00:20:01
which I’m racking my brains I think that,
00:20:05
well, that is, I don’t rule out two things: first,
00:20:08
Kiriyenko himself and there is
00:20:10
some reason to assume that yes, he’s a
00:20:13
commandant, he’s very dexterous, he
00:20:15
carries with the wind like no one else, he
00:20:17
became a liberal statist when it all
00:20:20
just started when ours were there
00:20:23
they invaded there and So they
00:20:26
smashed everything around them to pieces. Well, Kiriyenko was running around there
00:20:29
with this grandmother with a red flag,
00:20:32
remember the interview. This is his
00:20:34
strange news. Yes, where he
00:20:37
also swore that Russia had come forever,
00:20:41
this is how I understand him within the framework of the framework
00:20:44
was screwed up But this
00:20:48
Sorry, I think that in fact he
00:20:52
was going to give it, it was just by accident, out of
00:20:55
stupidity, their draft leaked and well,
00:20:58
then he got it in the head and But initially
00:21:01
he demonstrated his ambitions, this is
00:21:03
some kind of they, I’m telling you it was
00:21:06
a what do you call
00:21:11
Okay, an
00:21:14
information-psychological operation
00:21:15
that was definitely not
00:21:19
Kiriyenko’s friends was not Kiriyenko’s friends was
00:21:22
arranged
00:21:24
Well, okay, let
00:21:27
me, I think differently
00:21:30
there I don’t know, will it be interesting for you to
00:21:32
listen or can you talismanize if
00:21:34
not then Let’s continue in any case
00:21:35
One is enough this story with this
00:21:38
grandmother with his trips to Kherson and with
00:21:40
his waving this red flag
00:21:42
to say that, well, initially he
00:21:43
supported this special operation and was very
00:21:45
active, including publicly in this
00:21:48
part, and And now he’s not doing anything like that,
00:21:52
and I think in in principle, he just understood
00:21:55
Which way the Wind is blowing Yes, and he is still trying
00:21:58
to organize a Peaceful process
00:22:01
of measurement. Well, that is, he no longer believes in the
00:22:03
possibility of winning with the help of
00:22:05
brutal force and that’s why he
00:22:08
sanctions these leaks so that in
00:22:12
the end the hawks won’t win
00:22:14
finally and so finally a victory
00:22:16
That is, I think the clients understand that the
00:22:17
hawks are leading
00:22:20
a collapse and strictly I agree with him here, but of
00:22:25
course I do not exclude the possibility that this is
00:22:27
leaking to a level lower and even two
00:22:29
levels lower, which means that this is the very
00:22:32
activity that he simply
00:22:34
cannot stop there are either heads of departments
00:22:36
or there are exam assistants, well, there are a lot of
00:22:39
people there, in principle, who have access to these
00:22:41
issues, including those who prepare them. Yes,
00:22:45
but in any case, it is clear that in this
00:22:49
internal political bloc of the Kremlin
00:22:51
there are very
00:22:54
serious
00:22:56
opponents
00:22:58
of officialdom, opponents of what is happening the
00:23:02
same way the most is and is visible to the government,
00:23:05
for example, here in bloomber kutek is a document
00:23:08
from the Ministry of Finance, yes, literally two days ago,
00:23:10
which means that it completely refutes
00:23:13
Putin, who just
00:23:15
once again declared the future in the Far
00:23:18
East, on this forum he speaks out
00:23:21
that there is nothing there
00:23:23
for Russia, everything is good, saving
00:23:26
brilliantly there she completely coped and and
00:23:30
then this medical document leaks
00:23:32
where it is said that Russia
00:23:33
has lost hundreds of billions of dollars as a result of the sanctions.
00:23:36
That is, not just some hundreds of
00:23:39
millions, but hundreds of
00:23:41
billions of dollars, huge money. And
00:23:45
in fact, they are the
00:23:48
boss there who inflicts it directly they take it and
00:23:51
say you’re lying, Vladimir Vladimirovich,
00:23:53
here are the documents of your own
00:23:57
government And these are also some kind of
00:24:01
independent games.
00:24:03
Well, in the case of the Ministry of Finance, I’m not sure, I don’t
00:24:07
know at all, in the case of Mishustin
00:24:11
No, he doesn’t yet give reason to
00:24:14
assume that he is brave In the sense of
00:24:17
political activity person That is,
00:24:20
he is very
00:24:22
commercially active, so to
00:24:25
speak, yes, you can even say
00:24:27
that he probably has very good
00:24:29
management. In any case, in the current
00:24:32
situation, I think no one
00:24:34
could do anything better than him. Well, suspect his
00:24:38
political activity in the apparatus In the
00:24:41
apparatus sense
00:24:43
Yes, he shows his teeth, remember, after
00:24:48
literally six months of working there, he
00:24:51
got rid of several of these
00:24:52
proteges of oligarchic groups
00:24:54
that the government was digging in.
00:24:56
Yes, Timchenko’s people are there, people. That
00:24:59
is, it was a serious apparatus
00:25:01
story. But in this case, when you are
00:25:04
groups around Putin’s groups,
00:25:10
but because when we We say Oligarchs,
00:25:13
we have the impression that these are the people of
00:25:15
Abramovich and Friedman, I believe that the
00:25:19
real real oligarchs are
00:25:22
Timchenko and Rotenberg Abramovich and
00:25:23
Fridman have not been oligarchs for a long time, not just
00:25:25
very rich people. They were oligarchs
00:25:27
in the nineties, here are many. I understood you
00:25:32
boat, you are the mistress of the program, I tried
00:25:34
to use your a-a terminology, these are
00:25:36
people members of Putin’s Politburo, let’s
00:25:38
have such a concept and he wasn’t
00:25:44
afraid
00:25:45
Yes, he wasn’t afraid to purge them Well, maybe
00:25:48
he ate it too harshly, I think
00:25:50
he just took advantage of
00:25:51
the situation, that is, as they say,
00:25:53
push the falling one there
00:25:55
apparently there were some problems after all, just
00:25:57
so to speak, he pushed his shoulder Well, that
00:26:00
is, he is capable of this But in this
00:26:02
case we are not talking about this, not about some kind of
00:26:04
hardware history, not about the
00:26:05
intrigues of the palace people Yes, it’s still you who are
00:26:08
hitting according to the positions of the
00:26:10
boss already in the public-political
00:26:12
space In general, I have no reason to
00:26:14
suspect
00:26:16
Mishustin personally in this Yes, personally, but although
00:26:20
I do not rule out that after all Well, maybe
00:26:23
he could just be a level below
00:26:26
someone Yes, but in any case
00:26:31
Well, this topic is not Sobyanin’s, strictly speaking, there is a
00:26:34
federal budget I want to discuss with us, we
00:26:38
just have a lot more to discuss.
00:26:41
And we’re almost on the air, at least we’ll talk about
00:26:44
very interesting things, I just
00:26:47
would like to meet the deadline. Well, about 20 minutes
00:26:51
left, and then we’re off to the
00:26:54
political heavyweights. Sobyanin,
00:26:57
what is he doing now, besides
00:27:03
all sorts of reminders about the letter Z and the war,
00:27:08
more precisely a special operation?
00:27:12
Well, that is, you are asking me especially
00:27:14
not in connection with leaks, but in general,
00:27:16
in his political positions,
00:27:19
his position is correct; he
00:27:21
is doing nothing;
00:27:23
well, in general, I think that he is one of the
00:27:27
most realistic candidates for
00:27:31
successor That is, I believe that the
00:27:36
successor project is the theme of the successor. It really
00:27:39
has a chance to become at the
00:27:43
center of the agenda in the near future and in the end it has a
00:27:45
chance to be implemented, that is, in the
00:27:48
current situation I really strongly
00:27:52
doubt that Putin will be able to
00:27:53
move before the fourth year, taking into account
00:27:56
the dynamics that we are seeing, yes
00:28:00
Well, not only is it difficult for him to get re-elected
00:28:02
now, and he won’t win the war, he can’t,
00:28:05
he needs to start negotiations with him at the
00:28:07
negotiating table, no one will sit down with a
00:28:09
successor who
00:28:11
hasn’t gotten his hands dirty, so to speak, it’s clear that it
00:28:14
will be Patrushev White with him
00:28:17
or Lavrov But no one will sit at the table with them either,
00:28:20
yes And if it is someone no
00:28:23
less related to the war Well, for example
00:28:25
Sobyanin Well, having a minimum degree,
00:28:27
it is clear that all of them there have nothing to do with this,
00:28:29
which means well, not at all There are
00:28:33
no people there who have nothing to do with all this, but you see
00:28:36
Sobyanin removed the letter Z from Moscow and
00:28:39
initially he didn’t hang it up very much and
00:28:41
then he removed the remains in general, even
00:28:42
remember Mironov from Fair
00:28:46
Russia complained that a Moscow official was
00:28:47
forcing him to remove it
00:28:50
from the party office So Sobyanin, in principle,
00:28:54
seems to me to be a completely realistic
00:28:57
option,
00:29:00
and so he is,
00:29:01
of course, Well done. That is, I don’t want
00:29:06
it to look like I’m
00:29:09
advertising him. I also have several
00:29:11
candidates for successors no worse than
00:29:14
Sobyanin, but in principle I can’t help but
00:29:18
appreciate
00:29:19
Dmitry Kozak, for example, but I can’t help but
00:29:22
appreciate the fact that
00:29:27
Sobyanin behaves much smarter than
00:29:30
most of these
00:29:33
idiots. That is, he understands in general what
00:29:36
it smells like, he doesn’t like it all and
00:29:40
he distances himself from all this,
00:29:43
of course he’s lucky that he leads so
00:29:47
Skeptical about all
00:29:50
this
00:29:51
Muscovites, and he has it,
00:29:54
no kirienta there, I think I
00:29:59
was glad of him for all this letter Z, but
00:30:03
Sobyanin has a reinforced concrete hardware
00:30:07
argument, listen, come on, here I have it.
00:30:09
Well, you yourself know I have it there - We’ll
00:30:11
arrest Golunov for any reason.
00:30:14
Yes, no one can even think about there’s a
00:30:17
protest. Navalny flew in and was arrested.
00:30:19
Then for three months Moscow stood on its ears
00:30:22
or for the elections to the Moscow City Council, in the
00:30:24
end, remember who was interested in
00:30:26
the Turdum and then suddenly it rushed and for three
00:30:29
months they couldn’t do anything with this is
00:30:30
why Let’s not let it be
00:30:33
Dashing While the Kirients are sleeping quietly and in
00:30:35
principle but can’t do anything
00:30:37
Because if it’s sold again
00:30:40
and then that’s all when something starts but
00:30:43
the responsibility is already on the Kirients and Putin, it’s
00:30:46
more likely that there’s a revolution here, that’s why
00:30:50
Kirenko doesn’t go in the direction of Sobyanin,
00:30:53
but Sobyanin, taking advantage of this
00:30:55
opportunity, stands aside all of what
00:30:58
is called white
00:31:00
Yes, and he becomes, in principle, among
00:31:03
all the Elites, when they are immediately confused,
00:31:05
they see that Well, clearly the system, so
00:31:09
to speak, is degrading, is not coping with the
00:31:13
tasks at hand, is not coping with challenges
00:31:15
that mean more and more and Well,
00:31:19
she begins to look around
00:31:20
She sees that Putin is inadequate in the
00:31:22
end Well, that is, his armies are fleeing,
00:31:25
abandoning equipment and teachers, which means there are
00:31:27
local collaborators there to be torn to pieces by the
00:31:29
Nazis, abandoning those essentially for
00:31:32
whom they came there before their own people, we don’t abandon them,
00:31:34
they went to drink their breasts, they
00:31:37
abandoned everyone there, which means that
00:31:41
at that moment he
00:31:44
sets off fireworks there and then goes to
00:31:47
completely unnecessarily,
00:31:51
which means Central Asia is there for this summit,
00:31:54
this SCO, nothing breakthrough is
00:31:57
happening there Well, that is, Well obviously it is necessary to save at
00:32:01
the front, but he, well, in fact, like an ostrich,
00:32:04
hides his head in the sand, but everyone was still
00:32:05
indignant. Even this
00:32:09
patriotic public, of course, the
00:32:12
apparatus registers such things. Yes, and he
00:32:15
understands that the boss is
00:32:16
clearly not coping with his tasks, they
00:32:18
begin to look around and who If only Sobyanin
00:32:19
could have saved the situation, and in this
00:32:23
sense, Sobyanin now seems to be quite a
00:32:29
positive figure, he exudes
00:32:32
confidence and he is not involved in this whole principle; he is not dirty, that
00:32:36
is, everyone
00:32:40
else there means they have already disgraced themselves,
00:32:43
it is called, but he is not, and
00:32:46
in this sense, he is generally strong. Well I
00:32:49
still didn’t want my
00:32:50
Monday to turn out like this,
00:32:58
you will now be
00:33:01
unable to sing Monday with another person
00:33:04
because we were just talking
00:33:06
about those people who,
00:33:08
regardless of their personal moral
00:33:10
qualities, are clearly not happy with the fact
00:33:12
that is happening Kiriyenko Mishustin Sobyanin
00:33:16
and But there are other people You have already told the
00:33:20
patriotic public that
00:33:22
Putin is criticized from the right and there are
00:33:27
other leaks. I mean in particular the
00:33:29
video of Prigozhin and as the Concord service said, the Concord
00:33:34
press service of a person
00:33:38
monstrously similar to Prigogine who
00:33:40
says I have there are tanks, I am a
00:33:42
representative of Wagner, he recruits these
00:33:44
prisoners, explains to them that he has his own
00:33:48
private army, and we just
00:33:52
discussed this together with Vladimir Vasechkin,
00:33:53
who by the way says that, according to his
00:33:56
information, this video was really a
00:33:59
leak. Eh, that Vsenovtsy will be filmed there now
00:34:01
for this video that it
00:34:04
leaked, but nevertheless, Igor
00:34:08
Ivanovich Strelkov is already talking about Prigozhin, the
00:34:11
Wagner group fights best of all,
00:34:13
by the way, as a person watching what is
00:34:15
happening physically on the
00:34:17
battlefield, I even have to confirm that
00:34:20
this is true and that it is the most combat-ready
00:34:22
unit and accordingly a question is born. But here is
00:34:27
Prigozhin’s face profile on the posters of the
00:34:31
Wagner group. Is this also an application for
00:34:35
leadership or is it just a sign
00:34:40
that everything is very bad,
00:34:43
everything is very bad on the battlefield and
00:34:47
Prigozhin is trying with all his might to help
00:34:49
Putin or is this an application for independence
00:34:52
leadership and the same question concerns
00:34:55
Kadyrov.
00:34:57
Well, in the case of Prigozhin, I think I’m almost
00:35:01
sure that this is his own
00:35:04
initiative, he’s an ambitious person, he’s
00:35:08
prone to adventurism. It’s absolutely
00:35:11
obvious, and
00:35:13
this leak of this recording
00:35:17
was organized by him.
00:35:19
Well, just enough to see how
00:35:22
he’s doing there. flaunts these words of his that
00:35:25
mean
00:35:27
that a
00:35:30
marauder is unacceptable as a marauder,
00:35:35
and there are sexual contacts with the local
00:35:38
population with local women, well, that
00:35:42
is, such
00:35:45
Yes, well, in general, you know, Rubin Hood,
00:35:50
which means he will not offend the weak, such a
00:35:53
defender of the fatherland That is, he
00:35:55
I felt that a power vacuum had formed in the country. What does it mean that the
00:36:01
regime is clearly unable to cope with the tasks it
00:36:05
faces within the framework of this war?
00:36:09
That the people are looking around and
00:36:11
looking for where that dusty Bogatyr is
00:36:14
who will come and save, so to speak.
00:36:16
Yes, and Prigogine, he has political
00:36:19
ambitions and so to speak this and it was
00:36:23
noticeable before Yes, and uh, now he
00:36:27
Apparently decided to go to the bank, you know
00:36:31
that Well, who will stop him
00:36:33
and
00:36:36
he is trying to offer himself This is the
00:36:40
most disappointed patriotic
00:36:42
public You see, you say there are
00:36:43
shooters there already Satisfied with
00:36:45
the vacuum, he should
00:36:49
Nature itself does not tolerate being filled with a vacuum.
00:36:51
And that’s why he’s eager, which
00:36:57
means he’s trying to
00:37:00
expand into the public
00:37:03
political space. I don’t know. Does
00:37:05
he see himself as a future president?
00:37:08
Judging by the ambitions he has,
00:37:11
in principle Well, maybe he’s counting on this.
00:37:15
Well, in any case,
00:37:17
probably even if he’s not the president, then he
00:37:20
probably wants
00:37:23
a party there, for example, that
00:37:25
means gathering this entire
00:37:29
disillusioned patriotic
00:37:30
electorate for himself, you know, he’s still
00:37:35
quite
00:37:37
weak from a political point of view, the apparatus is
00:37:40
populated Yes, he’s strong in the physical sense
00:37:45
on the formation, but
00:37:48
in a public political sense, he is
00:37:50
absolutely defenseless in the event of the fall of the
00:37:52
regime of the
00:37:54
new government, no matter who they turn out to be. They will
00:37:57
gladly
00:37:59
hand him over, that is, Prigozhin
00:38:02
annoys everyone and infuriates different groups for
00:38:06
various reasons, but in general, such a
00:38:07
recognized evil and after the fall of the regime
00:38:10
than to defend it, but it’s easier to
00:38:14
throw the people’s nest into the firebox and no
00:38:19
one will save it, that is, within the framework of the
00:38:21
current relations that Putin
00:38:24
has built. Yes, he is well covered. He has a
00:38:26
personal relationship with the president and so
00:38:28
on, but if there is no president, the system
00:38:30
falls apart and someone the other one will come,
00:38:32
it will be Navalny. Be it Sobyanin there.
00:38:34
Yes, but Prigozhin, in any case, you already see that he is
00:38:37
defenseless, uh, in the political sense,
00:38:39
against a large number of enemies, yes, and he
00:38:42
will definitely go to jail, and that’s why
00:38:45
he’s trying to cover you up politically
00:38:48
for the future, but is it
00:38:51
then possible to formulate what
00:38:55
it turns out this configuration is conditional
00:38:57
Prigozhin against conditional Sobyanin
00:39:00
Yes, in principle it is possible
00:39:04
Yes yes this is quite an opinion win
00:39:10
Oh well it all depends on Yulia from it is
00:39:13
impossible to predict with confidence now
00:39:15
because the configuration has not yet been
00:39:17
determined in the end Putin is still
00:39:19
president and how he will leave
00:39:21
voluntarily or, relatively speaking, having chosen
00:39:24
Sobyanin, if he leaves voluntarily, he will choose
00:39:26
Sobyanin But then the proposed one has
00:39:27
no chance And if, for example,
00:39:30
he leaves, he sits until the last minute and
00:39:33
then
00:39:34
some kind of orange
00:39:37
scenario begins, the system collapses there and that’s it
00:39:40
And then Well, conditionally, this is 17 years before
00:39:44
between in February, who will win in October, the
00:39:47
devil knows No now Julia, this is not
00:39:50
real I would really like to predict I
00:39:53
can sit and dream for a long time without
00:39:55
rushing to discuss the factors there,
00:39:57
list them, but in general this is still a
00:40:00
configuration It
00:40:03
all depends on whether everything is there
00:40:06
now yes or no who is in in the end
00:40:08
he wins the war If suddenly, unexpectedly Well,
00:40:10
I don’t know, a miracle will happen and how ours
00:40:12
will take it there and Wagner
00:40:14
will win there too, and suddenly Zelensky will interrogate
00:40:16
the world and that means that on our terms, on
00:40:19
Russia’s terms, Putin
00:40:21
will conclude this peace Well, that’s a completely different story you
00:40:23
understand, yes,
00:40:25
they can still
00:40:28
stand up. And I’ll tell you
00:40:32
the following: Kherson will fall within a
00:40:34
few months. But remember my
00:40:37
word, within a week, maximum two,
00:40:41
on some sector of the front, we
00:40:44
can bet that most
00:40:48
likely it will be somewhere- something from Volnovakha
00:40:51
to Vasilievka, but I do not rule out that it
00:40:53
will be in Iran, Lugansk, a new
00:40:56
universal drape will happen, it will be just a drape
00:40:59
because I am responsible for my words,
00:41:02
if their scoliburs are accurate shells peeling
00:41:07
buildings in Donetsk in the same Kherson,
00:41:11
then you can imagine what they they do it at
00:41:14
the front because, as it were, the
00:41:16
administration building is redundant. It’s not
00:41:18
exactly a military church legitimate, but
00:41:21
it doesn’t bring much benefit from
00:41:24
thoughts of the extermination of manpower. But
00:41:30
I, Frankly speaking, believe that the
00:41:33
political market has already laid down what
00:41:36
I’m talking about in my future considerations
00:41:40
I don’t know if people were brains or if people were considered
00:41:43
[ __ ], but they understand that now there
00:41:46
will be a situation Well, roughly speaking, in the
00:41:48
seventeenth year, when people will
00:41:52
say just why fight and run away. And
00:41:56
I can tell you one more important
00:41:58
developed sign. Sorry that now the
00:42:00
blanket has pulled a little over itself But this
00:42:02
important for political forecasts
00:42:05
because this very third corps, which
00:42:07
should have already entered the war on the eve of
00:42:11
the defeat, they pretend that
00:42:14
something has fallen off there and absolutely sabotage the
00:42:20
issue of actually advancing to the front in the same way as Putin’s officials
00:42:23
without refusing to fight,
00:42:25
but in this sense, I have the following. It
00:42:28
was a long question,
00:42:31
because it’s just in the program that all
00:42:34
this stuff is going on, you said that
00:42:35
Ukraine’s offensive near Kharkov
00:42:37
turned out to be a surprise for the
00:42:39
Kremlin elite and, accordingly,
00:42:42
I have a question,
00:42:43
but How Putin is here again Sorry
00:42:49
to myself, my beloved,
00:42:51
Ellarion and I were arguing here a
00:42:54
few weeks ago and I said that
00:42:56
when the bridges near Kherson were gouged, it
00:42:59
was already a
00:43:02
turning point in the war, but
00:43:07
did Putin understand this and did his entourage understand this
00:43:10
because that’s what they are, that’s what is
00:43:15
for them the counter-offensive was
00:43:17
a surprise Do they really
00:43:23
believe so much in the very fairy tales that they
00:43:27
compose for Putin they and Putin himself
00:43:29
how adequately do they assess
00:43:32
the situation
00:43:35
each of them individually he may not
00:43:38
believe
00:43:39
Yes this But his own personal
00:43:43
opinion is not expressed anywhere it
00:43:45
is not strictly speaking political
00:43:47
the factor is the factor of personal life Yes,
00:43:51
but the political factor is only
00:43:54
what you say Well, either in public
00:43:57
space or not even in public
00:43:59
space, but there are
00:44:03
offices where
00:44:06
decisions are made at the meeting And this is
00:44:11
a feature Why
00:44:18
vision
00:44:20
within the framework of authoritarianism within the framework of
00:44:23
democracy is a person who has the
00:44:25
opposite point of view Well, you
00:44:27
can call him a fool and not a
00:44:28
professional, but you can’t accuse
00:44:30
him of changing
00:44:34
accordingly. Even if I personally am a
00:44:37
participant in, let’s say, the Kremlin meetings, I
00:44:39
personally believe that there is a risk of an attack by the
00:44:42
Ukrainians. I can’t say this publicly.
00:44:45
Well, I can’t even
00:44:47
voice it in a public meeting. Because that I’ll immediately
00:44:50
put myself
00:44:51
under pressure to criticize my hardware
00:44:54
opponents and I’ll definitely be devoured by them,
00:44:58
they’re just saying, what are you saying, didn’t you
00:45:01
hear what
00:45:02
I spoke yesterday and what I’ll tell them? Yes, he lied
00:45:05
unrealistically.
00:45:07
That is, I agree,
00:45:13
we’ll fail, it’s not clear that they’ll devour me there.
00:45:16
no more fortune tellers Yes, and in the
00:45:21
place of each of them there are at
00:45:23
least several other people aimed at, and
00:45:25
each of them is one against several. And
00:45:29
as soon as he opens a gap in the defense somewhere,
00:45:32
and therefore, so
00:45:34
that he is not devoured, this gap
00:45:36
should not exist and therefore, at every
00:45:39
meeting I have to stupidly duplicate what
00:45:42
the boss says there, you know, and they are
00:45:45
all together When making a Decision, this
00:45:48
reproduces this very
00:45:50
Kremlin discourse, you know, as he once said
00:45:54
Propaganda differs from other types of
00:45:56
products in that sooner or later the
00:45:59
producer himself begins to consume it
00:46:00
in its pure form, they begin
00:46:04
to reproduce that same discourse
00:46:06
that they seem to be doing out there.
00:46:09
It would seem that, theoretically, it could
00:46:11
be that when we go out in public, we
00:46:13
say one thing, when we just lock ourselves
00:46:14
in the office, we say things like this, guys,
00:46:18
let’s do this. Stop wagging your tongue. Let’s go
00:46:21
there. to speak honestly to the matter. Let
00:46:25
me remind you that I worked for
00:46:30
three years in
00:46:32
federal structures, a year in the
00:46:35
presidential administration and two years in the
00:46:36
government apparatus, I attended
00:46:38
dozens of
00:46:39
meetings,
00:46:41
if not Sotnik, even at which it means that
00:46:45
Putin speaks first, the journalists
00:46:48
are present, after that Putin’s
00:46:50
opening speech is over, the
00:46:51
journalists leave and continue there is an
00:46:56
honest discussion This is where everyone
00:47:01
seems to be There are no journalists, all of them are our
00:47:03
own Let's talk honestly about
00:47:06
the problems There has never been a
00:47:08
problem after that the journalists began to speak honestly about the problem There
00:47:10
were journalists who were not there
00:47:12
practically without any changes That's how
00:47:16
this one was persecuted
00:47:18
and continued to
00:47:21
drive, you know,
00:47:24
and that’s why Yes, they turned out to be hostages,
00:47:28
created by their own design in
00:47:32
order to honestly discuss real
00:47:35
problems in their own way, you know, you have to really trust each other,
00:47:39
they don’t trust each other, you know,
00:47:42
yes, and that’s why they are insured for me
00:47:45
personally, the defeat of
00:47:47
our units there at the front is less of a problem
00:47:51
than
00:47:52
expose myself to the fire of criticism from a neighbor
00:47:56
if my neighbor flies me away, no loyalty,
00:47:58
you understand
00:48:03
well then I have a question: But
00:48:06
if, on the one hand, in the depths of their souls they
00:48:08
understand that everything is coming, this is what
00:48:11
Putin said, rubber
00:48:14
butt,
00:48:15
then how will they try to do the
00:48:20
successor of the same Sobyanin or
00:48:23
Mishustin or Kiriyenko, this requires
00:48:26
much more courage than to say to
00:48:28
Vladimir Vladimirovich Sorry
00:48:30
here,
00:48:33
but in
00:48:38
fact, of course.
00:48:41
Therefore, in fact, the process has
00:48:43
not yet begun, in any case, traces
00:48:45
of it are not visible, but precisely because that it’s
00:48:48
just scary, but at some point
00:48:51
Putin will weaken so much that they will be
00:48:54
afraid of him less than the
00:48:56
Ukrainians there Gaga You see, that’s when
00:48:59
it all starts,
00:49:01
or this is according to my assumptions It
00:49:05
should be if everything developed
00:49:07
conservatively, then I would assume that
00:49:09
all this doesn’t start before March Because
00:49:11
now Putin has another
00:49:13
six months of reserve because he has now
00:49:17
come up with this new one So it’s a trap
00:49:20
like we’ll freeze Europe there without our
00:49:22
oil and gas, they’ll freeze there and howl there, they’ll crawl there
00:49:25
on our knees, they’ll
00:49:27
stop financing and supplying
00:49:30
weapons to Ukraine Ukraine will be blown away and we
00:49:32
won Yes And with his help he created
00:49:36
expectations That the des haven’t lost yet Yes, in the
00:49:39
military sense of the word it didn’t
00:49:42
work out very well for us, but in the end, oil and gas are
00:49:44
our Main weapon Yes, and Moroz, the governor,
00:49:46
so to speak, is the eternal ally of the Russians,
00:49:49
winter and
00:49:53
but also in the Kremlin public space,
00:49:56
of course that is, the thesis that
00:50:02
they actually don’t have
00:50:05
much difference between public space and the
00:50:07
Kremlin; Gazprom is already filming videos for
00:50:11
Europe, and this is actually a very
00:50:16
important thing for them because, within the framework of the
00:50:18
previous concept, we will now take Kiev in three
00:50:20
days they suffered a completely
00:50:22
obvious failure there, it’s time to
00:50:23
present the result, but no, yes, and this is already
00:50:26
obvious evidence of the sharp
00:50:28
weakening of Putin’s Kremlin, now
00:50:33
the result has appeared now, you don’t have to present the result,
00:50:35
you know, yes, you can talk, but wait
00:50:37
now and we will wait for patience and the truth is the
00:50:41
Ukrainians Of course, with this
00:50:44
retreat of yours to the patients so to speak, they were
00:50:46
very
00:50:47
dishonest towards Putin, they acted like this,
00:50:50
they returned it to the framework of this
00:50:52
number one concept about the war,
00:50:54
they reminded that in general we are talking about not
00:50:56
some kind of oil and gas real war,
00:51:00
and not something with Europe, you are going to
00:51:04
freeze it,
00:51:06
they themselves are to blame, that is, the Kremlin itself.
00:51:09
So you took it for some reason, you took it until now,
00:51:12
using words
00:51:13
to prove, within the framework of the policy
00:51:16
that has existed for 20 years, that the Kremlin is
00:51:19
bad, wrong, loses, weak, and so
00:51:22
on was impossible.
00:51:29
Then they just took politics.
00:51:32
translated into a form where the word
00:51:33
doesn’t matter, where for the first time the
00:51:35
deed finally matters, and suddenly they found out
00:51:39
that all of them,
00:51:40
yes, that is, suddenly all of
00:51:44
Putin’s statements ceased to matter for some reason.
00:51:45
So, of course, they are shocked, but
00:51:48
they are the problem themselves they created for themselves in
00:51:51
short, rewinding a little back. That’s
00:51:56
when Putin will truly weaken as a
00:52:00
result of the next counter-
00:52:01
offensive which they just
00:52:03
said will happen as a
00:52:06
result, which means that Europe’s refusal
00:52:10
to freeze in March, for example, that is, for
00:52:12
example, the front will still be
00:52:14
stabilized by our Russians. Well
00:52:16
then, that means, until spring, all this
00:52:20
will be postponed, yes, but in the spring, when it becomes
00:52:22
clear that Europe did not kneel and
00:52:24
And all this oil and gas weapons are an
00:52:26
infectious thing, there will be no more chances,
00:52:28
that is, they will all reconfigure themselves
00:52:30
to alternative flows and next
00:52:33
winter they will overwinter the business But our
00:52:35
market has disappeared Yes And then when Putin
00:52:38
suddenly there will be this collapse, so to
00:52:42
speak, of his
00:52:43
legitimacy Yes, well, through the
00:52:45
loser of the next round, a powerful one,
00:52:47
such a last hope, so to speak,
00:52:50
then I think that they will stop being
00:52:52
afraid of him and then the topic of
00:52:55
his successor will already begin and they themselves can
00:52:59
begin to discuss it with him, they can throw it into
00:53:03
some other way through the public
00:53:05
space, for example, what am I doing, they
00:53:08
can in the end And in general, by
00:53:12
pushing Putin aside, they can play there, in
00:53:15
principle, without him, as it was in case
00:53:16
with Bulgaria When that regime was still alive
00:53:20
and uh the head ironed there his name
00:53:23
was forgotten long ago I read and the head of the
00:53:25
Bulgarian Foreign Ministry simply resigned
00:53:27
at the right moment in time literate and
00:53:31
criticized the living one and all the elites
00:53:33
because they already understood what they meant. we
00:53:37
forgot, they ran under us, it’s suitable for
00:53:41
me, he became the next head
00:53:43
of state. That is, and such options,
00:53:46
in principle, there are probably many options, and
00:53:48
one of the Western leaders can
00:53:49
introduce this concept within the framework, so to speak, of
00:53:52
some kind of big package agreement.
00:53:53
Let’s normalize the situation of the fool
00:53:56
fool around offering a successor to leave, and well,
00:53:59
there’s still a bunch of packages and Putin himself can
00:54:01
understand that everything is already caked in. That it’s better to
00:54:05
leave on time in the hope of saving the post for a
00:54:08
successor with whom, so to speak, after all.
00:54:09
Well, there will be some kind of agreements, and why
00:54:12
risk repeating the fate there
00:54:15
for example, yes Or a
00:54:18
foreigner
00:54:20
That is,
00:54:22
you are right while they are afraid of him, but as they
00:54:26
relax they will be They will
00:54:28
stop being afraid of him they have what to
00:54:30
lose they need to understand That’s what they
00:54:32
need to save the system otherwise the system will
00:54:34
collapse Well, they too will be buried there in
00:54:36
holes and that’s why they were used to
00:54:40
not always putting it on Putin, but
00:54:43
it was Putin’s responsibility
00:54:44
to preserve the system, and now suddenly they
00:54:46
realized that it was their concern, in fact, that
00:54:48
Putin was no longer up to the task. Yes And now
00:54:51
they have to become subjects for the first time in their
00:54:53
lives.
00:54:55
Yes, I have then last but very
00:54:58
important question. You say that
00:55:00
officials who are used to lying in their offices
00:55:04
at meetings are
00:55:08
not yet ready for anything. But you don’t have the feeling that it is the
00:55:12
power component, for example the
00:55:15
same Prigogine, that they may
00:55:18
be much more ready because they are
00:55:20
doctors used to much less,
00:55:23
they deal with the power component of
00:55:27
the process, and in this case, in the
00:55:31
conditional version of Sobyanin and conditional Prigozhin,
00:55:33
conditionally Prigogine has a huge Handicap
00:55:39
Well, Prigozhin, you know, he is not
00:55:42
analyzed. In the end,
00:55:45
well, a person speaking on behalf of
00:55:47
the state, even if this state is
00:55:50
weakening he still has a greater chance of
00:55:54
winning
00:55:56
Yes, in the end But in a physical
00:56:00
confrontation, the
00:56:03
officially armed forces will most likely
00:56:05
win against some such
00:56:08
bank of formations. Well, for a short
00:56:11
period of time, some
00:56:13
specific territories of
00:56:14
the formation may
00:56:17
seize power, but in the end In our country, it’s
00:56:19
still not as good as in Africa
00:56:22
in Africa. Yes, there, in principle, in conditions of
00:56:24
complete paralysis of the state
00:56:27
of state institutions,
00:56:31
there really is. Whoever has the army is
00:56:35
the winner, yes, but here, well, it’s not just
00:56:39
the army that is physically needed. Well, there is the possibility
00:56:41
of initiating a criminal case there, for example
00:56:46
in in the end, that’s how they ask to control the media, yes,
00:56:53
yes, the factor of public opinion,
00:56:56
you understand. That is, each of these people are
00:57:00
Prigozhins. Yes, they are. Well, there they will
00:57:04
also look around and think about
00:57:06
who to get involved with. People basically still
00:57:08
rely on the
00:57:11
most a likely winner Yes, and in
00:57:15
this sense, Well, the conditional Sobyanin,
00:57:17
speaking on behalf of the state, will
00:57:19
still in the end appear
00:57:22
more likely to be the winner
00:57:23
than the conditional Prigozhin at the head of a gang
00:57:27
of thugs.
00:57:29
Therefore, I still think that in
00:57:33
the long term, Prigozhin has
00:57:35
no chance, which is why he actually speaking And he
00:57:37
organized this leak Yes, I think he
00:57:39
also understands that relying only on force is an
00:57:41
unreliable thing, so I
00:57:43
think he now wants to do PR for himself, to
00:57:47
bring the image of
00:57:50
the party of numerous supporters there in the
00:57:53
regions closer, and to become legalized in the form of
00:57:56
such a normal, respectable
00:57:59
politician, and well, there I do not rule out that
00:58:04
in this sense he will also be
00:58:06
more or less effective.
00:58:09
I absolutely do not believe that he can
00:58:13
win the presidential elections. I do not believe that he
00:58:16
can win the presidential elections.
00:58:18
Well, a niche that is shrinking may occupy some niche of its own;
00:58:22
here I turn to my own
00:58:24
favorite topic, the state of public
00:58:26
opinion, you need to understand that
00:58:28
Putin has discredited the very idea, it is generally
00:58:31
accepted that Russians love a strong hand
00:58:33
and to a large extent, but there is
00:58:36
logic in everything, there is a national archetype,
00:58:39
but Putin has discriminated this architect
00:58:42
so much that
00:58:44
when everything comes, movement will be
00:58:48
expressed by Russians with
00:58:51
their voices attitude towards strong
00:58:54
hands or some other
00:58:57
way of politicians,
00:59:00
they will understand that we had one
00:59:04
strong hand and how it all ended is
00:59:09
proof of this. They realized that strength
00:59:12
is not the only thing that
00:59:13
politics needs 20 years ago, against the backdrop of the
00:59:16
weak Yeltsin, that’s what they called Slava
00:59:18
Yeltsin appeared a strong Leader, it
00:59:20
seemed to them that this strong Leader is the
00:59:22
answer to all their problems. We will have a
00:59:24
strong Leader who will put things in order and everything
00:59:26
will be fine, now they know that things have not
00:59:28
become good, that is, for some moment it seemed to
00:59:30
be good, but now I things got bad again
00:59:32
and they realized that, well, strength is
00:59:35
not the only factor in politics. And
00:59:37
maybe it’s not even the main thing, maybe it
00:59:38
would be better if he took care of people,
00:59:40
so to speak, now the demand is growing for
00:59:44
politicians who are not strong, who flex their
00:59:47
muscles, but for such sympathizers
00:59:49
showing
00:59:51
concern for people who are sincerely interested in them
00:59:53
Well, Prigozhin is
00:59:56
not suitable for this role at all, that is,
00:59:58
Prigozhin is playing a game that is
01:00:03
but That is, he is playing a game in a clearing and an
01:00:08
electoral clearing that is narrowing,
01:00:09
even if he collects one hundred percent of the votes there
01:00:12
will be the most the strongest of all
01:00:14
contenders for the title of the strongest, the
01:00:18
clearing itself has shrunk and he still won’t get
01:00:22
half the votes in total there, just
01:00:26
like that
01:00:29
Thank you for the Great conversation it
01:00:32
was Yulia Latynina and baz Galimov
01:00:36
goodbye I hope not the last time
01:00:40
I encourage you
01:00:43
to subscribe to this channel
01:00:46
distribute links to this video and
01:00:49
like

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Беседуем с Аббасом Галлямовым о признаках приближающегося переворота и явной политической нестабильности в Кремле. 21.00 Киев и МСК Patreon https://www.patreon.com/join/3340678/checkout https://www.paypal.com/donate/?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=YQ6SDALR7UFAJ&source=url https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/latynina через ko-fi https://ko-fi.com/latynina1 Кроме этого, пожертвовать на развитие этого канала можно, зайдя на его главную страницу и нажав на кнопочку с синей головкой, расположенной справа вверху рядом с плашкой YL-сайт. Пожертвовать на развитие этого канала с карточки можно, зайдя на сайт https://latynina.tv/, и там вверху слева висит крупная кнопка донейт. Нам можно также пожертвовать деньги переводом на счет нашей организации LATYNINAORG MTÜ IBAN EE421010220274614225 SWIFT EEUHEE2X Bitcoin Address - bc1qltgykx93plrpp32ygktl4srzz4z5sa467ppafq bitcoincash:qq2uhptcx7qqxvtpgqs2spca6urgwuckxsc79vd39j Algo LXHCP5VLSULJTYNK3QXBXYA3YQ5RT7G3UKGKY4IDFAYGIKTDIO3SONPNNM Мой личный фейсбук https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser мой твиттер https://twitter.com/YLatynina Телеграмм - https://t.me/Ylatynina подписывайтесь Инстаграм Латыниной https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser тикток здесь https://www.tiktok.com/@yulialatynina (подписывайтесь) страница в фейсбуке со всеми ссылками на видео и пр. https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Наш сайт https://www.latynina.tv/ Юлия Латынина объявлена иноагентом

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