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00:00:00

Greetings I am Vasily Golovanov my

00:00:02

interlocutor today Roman met military

00:00:05

Expert Colonel in reserve Roman you

00:00:07

Welcome Greetings at the very beginning of

00:00:10

our conversation I want to thank the

00:00:12

armed forces of Ukraine our valiant

00:00:15

fighters for the fact that I, being in Kiev,

00:00:16

have the opportunity to record this interview.

00:00:18

Huge gratitude to the eternal memory of those

00:00:21

who remained in this war forever.

00:00:23

Today we will definitely discuss the visit of the

00:00:26

President of Ukraine to Bakhmud from there to the

00:00:29

United States of America. For what purpose is

00:00:31

Vladimir Alexandrovich going and what

00:00:33

We hope he will bring from there that maybe we

00:00:36

really want to believe in it will change the

00:00:39

course of the war radically and we will

00:00:43

also definitely discuss what

00:00:45

happened there at swamps As they say

00:00:49

in the Russian Federation, there Putin and Shoigu

00:00:51

and thousands of military personnel reported to

00:00:54

Shoigu on plans as they call theirs and

00:00:59

so on, it is

00:01:00

very important to know what the enemy is talking about

00:01:02

in order to understand what plans he is pursuing.

00:01:06

Regarding the visit to Bakhmut, this is of course an

00:01:11

incredible step, which showed

00:01:14

once again showed the whole world the

00:01:16

courage of the Ukrainian people in the person of the

00:01:19

Ukrainian president and such a click on the

00:01:23

nose, of course, by our opponent to our

00:01:25

enemies who are sitting in their bunker and do not

00:01:27

come out into the sunlight, what do you say

00:01:30

about the visit of Vladimir Zelensky,

00:01:35

it coincided with the continuation, that is,

00:01:38

such a Voyage through Bakhmut and the flight to the States was

00:01:43

started by the President, informationally connected,

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and his movement

00:01:50

towards the front and naturally towards our

00:01:52

partners. This will lend itself very well

00:01:55

and in the American media,

00:01:58

naturally, it will go

00:02:00

quite well for us. And this is

00:02:02

really a blow to almost the

00:02:05

entire

00:02:06

information space of the Russian

00:02:08

Federation That is, this is a blow from Putin, a blow to the

00:02:11

well-known blow to this entire

00:02:13

media party, which can already be

00:02:16

said that they are mostly doctors, I would not

00:02:19

say that they are military, that is, a pretty

00:02:22

good move, well thought out and one

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might say a bold, very bold step

00:02:30

in itself is a way out in Bakhmut now this

00:02:33

is the hottest point of the entire front and it has been the

00:02:39

hottest for the last few months. Recently, for several days

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certain

00:02:45

offensive Russian actions have intensified there,

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so going to the front line literally to the

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very front and

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meeting with military personnel, naturally

00:02:58

the president brought some gifts

00:03:00

in addition to the fact that the awarding is also

00:03:02

very significant and significant,

00:03:04

awarding military personnel together

00:03:08

in places of hostilities. I think the

00:03:10

president brought gifts related to

00:03:13

increasing the combat power of our

00:03:16

armed forces at least in this

00:03:18

sector of the front. That is, this is a very good

00:03:20

positive indicator for

00:03:23

our common cause, especially now when it is already

00:03:27

possible to say that the people and the politicians and the

00:03:29

military, the army of the politician and the people of Ukraine

00:03:34

are a whole single community, one might say,

00:03:39

that performs certain combat

00:03:41

missions. And especially then the departure towards the United

00:03:45

States, that is, the speech today not

00:03:49

tomorrow of a meeting with the military-political

00:03:51

leadership of the United States in the person of and

00:03:54

the President of course of all

00:03:57

structures of

00:03:59

America, our main Partner, this is very

00:04:02

significant And I think it will be

00:04:04

received positively by everyone and by the Ukrainian people,

00:04:08

naturally, by the political body and by

00:04:10

the political body and by the people of the peoples of our

00:04:13

partners,

00:04:15

we

00:04:17

discussed with you before the start of recording

00:04:19

the President’s plan of action, now we will announce them to

00:04:23

our viewers after preliminary

00:04:26

the information that now exists

00:04:28

means that the meeting of the

00:04:31

Presidents of Ukraine of the United States

00:04:34

Zelensky and Biden will begin at 21:30

00:04:37

Kiev time in the oval office before

00:04:40

that the third President Biden Vladimir

00:04:43

Aleksandrovich near the White House at 21:00

00:04:46

Kiev time at 23:30 that is, the conversation is not

00:04:50

planned about two o'clock

00:04:52

there will be a joint press conference of

00:04:55

the presidents and at 2.30, according to preliminary

00:04:59

information, the president of Ukraine will speak

00:05:01

before Congress.

00:05:04

So what is this about?

00:05:07

Well, this is a very significant firstly. A visit to the

00:05:11

United States. Yes, as you correctly

00:05:12

said, this is ours with the main partners of

00:05:15

the military. Well, I don’t want to beg the

00:05:18

merits and merits of other countries,

00:05:20

of course, many countries such as Great

00:05:23

Britain such as the Baltic countries

00:05:26

who gave a lot of what

00:05:29

they had in proportion,

00:05:32

so I would like to thank everyone who is

00:05:35

now defending the side of good and fighting

00:05:38

against Putin’s army. What else is

00:05:40

significant about these visits, the meeting with

00:05:42

Biden is that that Vladimir

00:05:44

Aleksandrovich has not traveled outside of

00:05:47

Ukraine since February 24, this is the

00:05:50

first departure, there was a lot of speculation today

00:05:54

about the fact that he left Ukraine

00:05:56

on a Turkish plane, two Airbuses have been stationed

00:05:59

in Boryspil since February 24,

00:06:02

and today

00:06:04

they left the territory of

00:06:08

Ukraine yesterday and there was a lot of speculation on this

00:06:11

topic That it was these planes that

00:06:14

Vladimir Zelensky used, one of them,

00:06:16

according to other information,

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Vladimir Alexandrovich used a

00:06:21

different method on the ground

00:06:23

and

00:06:25

Well, in general, why these speculations, the main thing is

00:06:28

that the President of Security and this

00:06:31

meeting will soon take place

00:06:34

about what we will ask and then

00:06:39

someone says this is an ugly

00:06:41

verb to ask There’s nothing wrong with that, I don’t see anything wrong here,

00:06:44

they’re helping us, we’re asking for some

00:06:46

specific types of weapons, not just

00:06:48

something What do you have, but something

00:06:51

specific, so during the visit the President of

00:06:54

Ukraine, according to the publication, the politician will

00:06:56

ask to provide our country

00:06:57

long-range army tactical systems

00:07:00

Atakams

00:07:04

Reaper drones American officials believe

00:07:07

that sending long-range missiles to

00:07:09

Kiev could provoke Putin to

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use potentially even more

00:07:13

deadly weapons inside Ukraine a little

00:07:16

later about the Patriot I propose to talk

00:07:18

about Atakams and drones Gray

00:07:21

Eagle and Ripper, to be honest I do

00:07:24

n’t know about these drones. If you

00:07:26

have information, tell me what it

00:07:28

is and why, in your opinion, the Americans are

00:07:32

so afraid of

00:07:34

provoking Putin. What

00:07:39

else can they provoke him into? If we are

00:07:41

not talking now about the use of

00:07:43

nuclear tactical weapons,

00:07:46

but the point is something...

00:07:49

the president will ask, firstly, this was voiced on the one

00:07:51

hand by General Zaluzhny, that is, there are

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even certain figures for the

00:07:58

number of tanks and the amount of artillery,

00:08:02

Lieutenant General Syrsky voiced

00:08:04

certain requests for the number of

00:08:07

shells, that is, naturally, what we are

00:08:11

still hearing now. That is, this is

00:08:16

We’ve been telling our son about Atacama for at least six months. This is most likely

00:08:20

aviation, that is, at least MIG-29, which

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is in Europe, which will be

00:08:26

transferred to us; these are naturally weaving

00:08:29

platforms like

00:08:32

American drones, and not only these, there are

00:08:35

several other positions that can be given

00:08:37

to us transmitted, they just haven’t entered the

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information field yet. The fact is that

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every drone of this level is

00:08:44

simply a flying platform for carrying and

00:08:48

for lifting and controlling certain

00:08:50

weapons, which can be

00:08:52

either guided missiles or

00:08:54

guided bombs, that is, everything here

00:08:57

will depend not only on the transmission

00:09:00

these flying platforms of

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drones themselves And also the weapons

00:09:05

that this drone can carry

00:09:08

again We hear And this was in the

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information space of the transfer to us of

00:09:12

certain types of controlled Bombs and

00:09:16

gliding booms, quite powerful with

00:09:19

ranges of up to 110 from 150 km, that is, this is a

00:09:23

whole complex of

00:09:24

that requests that ask for our

00:09:27

political leadership from our

00:09:29

partners I completely agree with you, there is no

00:09:33

need to be afraid of the word, we ask, we

00:09:35

really ask, since we are

00:09:38

already one of the

00:09:42

structural divisions of the global

00:09:44

security system,

00:09:46

we can here ask to request,

00:09:48

so to speak, ask to request, that is, it does

00:09:50

n’t matter Moreover, when translated into

00:09:55

English, this is all leveled out by

00:09:57

such small subtleties because the general

00:10:01

request of our army now, which is

00:10:05

clear, is a request for offensive

00:10:09

actions. That is, almost all of the

00:10:12

weapons that we are now requesting are

00:10:13

offensive weapons,

00:10:16

there is part of the weapons that are

00:10:19

defensive such as missile systems of

00:10:22

air defense systems, but in some positions the

00:10:26

air defense system can be used

00:10:29

offensively, or rather, it is also used

00:10:32

during an offensive, since it is

00:10:33

the air defense during an offensive that is

00:10:36

pulled up to the front line and

00:10:38

begins to work against enemy aviation

00:10:41

and against enemy weapons

00:10:43

that can counteract our

00:10:45

offensive regarding these troops Because here,

00:10:48

most likely, it is the president’s trip and

00:10:52

it is truly significant. That is, this is a

00:10:54

trip before I think before the decisive

00:10:58

offensive that will actually

00:11:02

break the complete paradigm of Putin and the

00:11:07

Russian paradigm of some kind of

00:11:09

victorious war or victorious one’s own

00:11:12

or the accomplishment of some tasks, it is

00:11:14

approximately this operation is visible, that is,

00:11:18

based on the operational-tactical

00:11:20

situation that now exists on the

00:11:22

front line. It is clear Where we can hit and

00:11:25

how we can break, cut the Russian

00:11:29

gut that stretches from Kerch through the

00:11:31

Armenian further on Donetsk to Valuiki,

00:11:35

that is, a strike on the side of the Sea of Azov,

00:11:38

this requires a certain amount

00:11:40

equipment and I think this is highlighting the

00:11:43

highlighting of the action itself by

00:11:46

the transfer itself and the implementation of this kind of

00:11:49

movement On

00:11:51

December 21, Biden plans to announce that

00:11:54

he is providing Ukraine with more than other

00:11:57

types of weapons, in particular, according to the

00:11:59

source, the US administration will present a

00:12:02

new package of military assistance worth

00:12:04

$ 2 billion, about this amount

00:12:07

which for the first time will include a battery

00:12:10

of 3 and ammunition kits Join

00:12:13

directo so that turns

00:12:16

Unguided bombs fighters

00:12:17

precision-guided ammunition also included in the package are

00:12:20

artillery other

00:12:21

ammunition worth $850 million

00:12:24

from existing American

00:12:26

stocks

00:12:28

Let's talk recently discussed that the

00:12:32

Poles wanted to transfer the Germans to

00:12:35

Ukraine but Germany is on it didn’t go or,

00:12:39

in general, they found common agreements

00:12:41

But now the United States of America will supply them to us, it’s

00:12:46

still important to understand How many of them there

00:12:49

will be, how they are, how many of these batteries are how

00:12:51

they close What is the perimeter

00:12:54

and what will they change? Yes, and the task of

00:12:58

protecting us is certainly not

00:13:00

offensive weapons defense, that is,

00:13:03

we are saying that we will be even more protected

00:13:05

from massive attacks of the Russian

00:13:07

Federation.

00:13:09

The Patriot complex itself is the most

00:13:14

extreme stage of the entire

00:13:17

air defense system of the

00:13:19

United States and it is

00:13:21

never transferred separately. That is, if it

00:13:24

reaches some position even if

00:13:27

this is one launcher, even if it’s not a

00:13:29

battery, just one launcher, we

00:13:31

can already say that

00:13:33

this point is covered by a whole system with

00:13:37

this complex of smart, complete system of

00:13:43

air defense and missile defense measures,

00:13:45

and this also includes military satellites

00:13:47

that determine the exit point, let’s say

00:13:51

ballistic missiles see the entire

00:13:55

airspace and ground-based, including

00:13:58

here comes a certain

00:14:00

control system, that is, the internal control system of the

00:14:06

United States and countries themselves,

00:14:09

when the ALAX system is connected. That is,

00:14:11

these are already long-range

00:14:13

radar detection

00:14:14

target designation tracking aircraft, that is, this is a

00:14:17

whole set of measures. And in itself, this is

00:14:20

just one of parts of this entire

00:14:23

complex, and if they give us even

00:14:26

one launcher, the

00:14:29

launcher won’t be handed over one, it

00:14:30

will be at least a battery, the battery

00:14:32

costs about a billion dollars. Most

00:14:34

likely, in this package of two

00:14:38

billion there is only one battery sewn in.

00:14:40

But one battery is also not bad, a good

00:14:44

amount about up to 8 launchers

00:14:49

up to 84 up to 8 depending on the mission and

00:14:52

each launcher has 4 missiles.

00:14:56

That is, we can already say that

00:14:58

at least one very large city

00:15:01

can be blocked by this system from the

00:15:04

battery itself. This is the same and we can

00:15:07

say

00:15:09

regions, that is detection range by the

00:15:12

locators themselves Even if it has one

00:15:15

locator from this one battery, it has a

00:15:18

radio radius of about 180 kilometers, that’s

00:15:21

180 kilometers it sees and can

00:15:23

destroy Large targets such as

00:15:26

transport aircraft or

00:15:28

heavy bombers. But let’s say

00:15:31

small targets and the same missiles with a small IPR

00:15:35

cruise missiles already have a range of 80 80

00:15:39

100 kilometers, because even one

00:15:41

such battery, if let’s say it becomes in

00:15:43

its area, it comes with a radius of at

00:15:46

least 100 kilometers, this is

00:15:48

from almost all targets. This is a pretty

00:15:53

good step. And if you really look at it

00:15:57

in its entirety, this speaks about

00:15:59

the fact that they are already seeing us, they are counting on us, and the

00:16:03

sunken play zone that we

00:16:06

asked for at the beginning of the year comes to us, these are exactly the same

00:16:08

mechanisms that will completely

00:16:11

block our sky, but I think one

00:16:14

battery will naturally not run out. Most likely,

00:16:16

entire complexes will be transferred, this is

00:16:19

8- 9 batteries Well, they will come in

00:16:21

sequentially, depending on

00:16:23

how we develop them because the

00:16:26

development of such complexes is still

00:16:28

quite complex,

00:16:31

most likely the complexes with the

00:16:36

American military will be preserved first, and they never

00:16:39

completely transfer the complexes to full

00:16:43

service, strange when they hand over the

00:16:45

complex itself, any point there. No matter where

00:16:48

it stands, there will always be

00:16:51

members of the American army present. This is

00:16:53

also, by the way, a very big step. The Americans are

00:16:56

already taking this,

00:16:57

so if the Patriot defends our

00:17:00

cities, super Atacamaans. As I understand it,

00:17:03

now we are not talking about this about them. at

00:17:06

least in this package of assistance, what

00:17:09

can

00:17:10

turn the tide and help us in counter-

00:17:14

offensive actions and what can

00:17:16

help from the fact that Vladimir

00:17:18

Alexandrovich can bring from the

00:17:20

United States

00:17:21

Tanks and artillery That is, this is the most

00:17:25

basic thing that is needed to carry out

00:17:27

offensive actions artillery tanks Well,

00:17:30

of course, tanks are armor, that is. It’s clear that

00:17:33

tanks go without saying, that is, armored vehicles in

00:17:37

any offensive are one of the most

00:17:39

important components, plus of course

00:17:42

aviation comes here, that is, any offensive

00:17:45

action if there is aviation, and

00:17:48

two types of aviation and

00:17:51

attack fighters are always

00:17:53

covered by attack aircraft themselves, whatever you fly

00:17:55

without cover fighters without work against the

00:18:00

enemy are good goals. Therefore, here

00:18:03

maybe this is not yet in the

00:18:07

information field. But this will be

00:18:09

spelled out because any

00:18:10

offensive is

00:18:11

optimal with the participation of aviation. That is,

00:18:14

when aviation plows up enemy

00:18:17

troops in front of advancing troops,

00:18:21

enemy fortified areas after

00:18:24

aviation plows up there, in principle, you can

00:18:26

go further and work is quite

00:18:30

simply easier, at least and there are

00:18:33

very

00:18:34

small losses for any attacking

00:18:37

side, even though the aviation is working

00:18:39

here, the artillery is not enough. Moreover, when

00:18:41

it is a large-scale attack at

00:18:43

certain ranges, if this

00:18:46

range is, let’s say, more than 30 kilometers,

00:18:48

that is longer

00:18:49

operating range of army artillery

00:18:52

This is the most optimal option, exactly

00:18:54

What we lack, let’s say this by the way, I

00:18:57

don’t really see the space for us

00:19:00

to carry out the movement, let’s say an

00:19:03

offensive towards Melitopol is

00:19:06

80 kilometers away for us and here we definitely need

00:19:08

aviation Because if we

00:19:10

break through the enemy’s line of defense

00:19:13

is only army artillery, we will

00:19:15

do this for a very long time and with heavy losses,

00:19:18

aviation. And on the one hand,

00:19:21

this is not very much needed for this, that is, there will be

00:19:24

enough squadrons of

00:19:26

attack aircraft, let’s say a squadron of

00:19:28

fighters, even maybe 2 squadrons

00:19:31

of fighters, they can In some

00:19:33

cases, depending on the weapons they

00:19:35

can be used as and that we,

00:19:37

including the fighters themselves, because I’m

00:19:40

sorry, not everyone understands a squadron of 12

00:19:44

aircraft, that is, two squadrons of 24

00:19:46

aircraft are, in principle, enough for us to

00:19:48

carry out and support our

00:19:50

advancing troops, let’s allow cutting off the

00:19:54

Russian

00:19:57

group at the intersection to the Sea of Azov. there is

00:20:00

this minimum amount. It is clear that there is

00:20:03

no such thing as too much iron, but there is no such thing as equipment and weapons,

00:20:07

but the minimum amount is

00:20:09

2 squadrons. This is the most optimal

00:20:11

option.

00:20:12

Literally yesterday I talked to my friend

00:20:14

who recently returned from the front

00:20:18

now in Kiev and he was talking about exactly

00:20:21

what aviation also very much

00:20:23

supports the spirit of military personnel when you

00:20:25

understand that our aviation is right

00:20:28

over you right now, it’s very

00:20:30

inspiring

00:20:33

Well, it’s so clear in battle what other

00:20:36

advantages it gives so We promised to

00:20:38

say what’s there in Russia

00:20:41

at the head of the Russian Ministry of Defense Shoigu

00:20:45

speaking to colleagues of the Ministry of Defense

00:20:48

voiced several theses, one of

00:20:51

which is that it is necessary to increase the age of

00:20:54

conscription of citizens,

00:20:56

which means from 18 to 21, the limit should be increased to

00:21:00

30,

00:21:02

it is necessary to increase the size of the army to one

00:21:05

and a half million people, including

00:21:07

contract soldiers. Well, about the fact that the tasks and

00:21:11

goals of the special operation

00:21:13

until the goals are fully achieved are these one

00:21:16

and a half a million people are

00:21:20

cannon fodder soldiers, we can

00:21:24

treat them as contemptuously as we like,

00:21:26

saying that they are not trained, they are not dressed,

00:21:28

injections and bosses, but

00:21:31

this is one and a half million

00:21:34

soldiers,

00:21:36

this is a huge mass, even just

00:21:40

how dangerous it is and how they can use it

00:21:46

only on the Eastern flank or in the

00:21:50

south or do we return to the question of

00:21:54

Belarus or not only Belarus and the

00:21:56

northern part of Russia because we

00:21:58

still have a large section of the border with the Russian

00:22:01

Federation from the North and plus one more

00:22:04

question in the same interview

00:22:05

that you remembered with the publication He said

00:22:08

that I also do not exclude option of an attack from

00:22:11

the south What will they do with these one and a half

00:22:15

million Shoigu harsh Putin

00:22:19

Well, here you need to understand what

00:22:23

these leaders had in mind, that is, an increase to one

00:22:26

and a half million the number of the Russian

00:22:29

army, what level exactly do they have a regular

00:22:33

sawing million 800 something they have already

00:22:35

increased by mine was increased by 100 by

00:22:37

134 thousand, that is, the

00:22:41

payroll was brought to almost two million, that

00:22:43

is, what is meant is the neck of one and a half

00:22:46

million, these are new

00:22:49

mobilized, that is, a new mobilization

00:22:52

or or strengthening, let’s say in some

00:22:56

direction, that is, it is quite difficult to

00:22:58

analyze what exactly Most likely,

00:23:02

he meant an increase in the

00:23:05

combat component of the army; they have

00:23:08

about 200 million, but he plans. But

00:23:12

this is based on the figures of purely the

00:23:16

ratios themselves, that is, he plans a million to a

00:23:20

million to one and a half million. That is,

00:23:22

about 300 thousand more to get through

00:23:26

mobilization, these are two waves mobilization, that

00:23:29

is, January February March April 2 waves,

00:23:31

in principle, these are the figures that

00:23:33

almost all

00:23:35

analysts have been talking about lately, and by the way, our

00:23:37

leadership also practically

00:23:39

confirms.

00:23:42

Yes, I’ll give it quickly. To understand for the

00:23:45

word step what he said, to ensure a

00:23:47

guaranteed solution to the problems of

00:23:49

ensuring the military security of the Russian Federation, it is

00:23:52

necessary to increase the size of the

00:23:53

armed forces to one and a half million

00:23:56

military personnel, including

00:23:57

contract military personnel, up to 695 thousand

00:24:02

people are reported by the Russian media

00:24:05

Well, this is approximately what I said. That

00:24:08

is, 200 million to 500 million plus

00:24:11

another 300 thousand. This is approximately exactly the

00:24:14

increase in the contract component of the

00:24:16

Russian army somewhere around

00:24:19

200-250 thousand, that is, approximately these figures.

00:24:22

That is, this is this movement

00:24:24

plus another 300 thousand. Most likely

00:24:26

they will recruit either in two waves

00:24:28

of mobilization or they can leave the

00:24:31

contract component, that is, no longer

00:24:34

Announce mobilization As such,

00:24:36

leave it the filling that

00:24:38

is now under contract and nothing more. But this is a

00:24:43

time extension of about a month, three

00:24:46

four at least even four months,

00:24:50

such a number of troops is just for

00:24:53

the spring, again, something that our intelligence

00:24:56

is warning about and ours are warning us about

00:24:59

politically the leadership basically

00:25:00

says that from 200 thousand onward it’s

00:25:04

not going to find anything. But this again is

00:25:06

a statement from

00:25:08

people who, in principle, they are still

00:25:12

more political probably than the military, that

00:25:15

is, certain political

00:25:16

information components of the media

00:25:18

plane. And what will be done in

00:25:21

reality in fact, it will be our intelligence that will

00:25:22

report, but we can also predict

00:25:25

certain points related to the

00:25:27

throughput of the

00:25:30

Russian mobilization system, that is, they are now

00:25:32

finishing recruitment for

00:25:35

this year’s conscripts in December and from January they

00:25:40

can launch a New Wave of mobilization,

00:25:43

we have already seen about 150 thousand in

00:25:46

two months, that is, the standard

00:25:48

standard mode of the

00:25:50

Russian mobilization system,

00:25:54

another 150 thousand, here’s 300 plus 300 thousand,

00:25:58

this is finally April at the beginning of May. Well,

00:26:01

then the movement just this time

00:26:04

coincides with certain

00:26:07

weather conditions when it is already possible to

00:26:09

somehow start moving, that is, it is

00:26:12

May month It’s already a little drier and you can

00:26:15

carry out military operations. That is, I’m

00:26:18

thinking about what the Russians are talking about now

00:26:20

or dreaming about the Russian wars. The Russian

00:26:22

military-political leadership somewhere

00:26:24

closer to the month of May will begin some more

00:26:29

action, but if it’s from the south from the south, that’s

00:26:31

understandable Zaporozhye That is, if the

00:26:34

Zaporozhye Front does not hold, which they

00:26:37

definitely will not hold, thinking they are

00:26:40

still trying to somehow plan for 5 from the south,

00:26:43

you need to understand this is a media message, these are

00:26:45

not planned actions at all. As such, is

00:26:48

there a risk that they can go and

00:26:50

try to enter from the sea on the side of

00:26:54

Transnistria where there is information that from

00:26:57

ancient times there are still

00:27:00

ammunition depots that are guarded by the military

00:27:02

contingent of the Russian Federation, the

00:27:05

cabbage store actually in the PMR there are

00:27:07

warehouses that were 30 years ago or

00:27:11

were transferred from

00:27:14

Eastern Europe, mainly and they

00:27:16

remained in Ukraine in Belarus And in

00:27:19

the sausage store, that is in Moldova, but the fact is

00:27:21

that in these warehouses there are weapons

00:27:25

that have been in use for 30 years, no one in all this

00:27:28

time has brought them into divine shape to

00:27:32

perform certain combat missions,

00:27:34

based on those tables of approximately the same level

00:27:38

that were in Ukraine, we can

00:27:40

say that there is already at least more than

00:27:42

50 percent of

00:27:45

unusable shells and certain

00:27:48

types of destruction therefore it is unlikely precisely because

00:27:52

of the sausage

00:27:54

sausage itself is unlikely to be

00:27:57

the task of exiting and some kind of use of

00:28:02

these shells or the movement towards

00:28:06

Moldova itself, most likely from the movement

00:28:09

towards Transnistria Moldova Russians have

00:28:12

already refused, this can be seen from their

00:28:14

actions after they

00:28:16

decided to move from the right to the left

00:28:19

bank, if this was a purely military approach,

00:28:22

if they planned in the next 10

00:28:25

years to start moving towards Odessa

00:28:28

PMR They definitely left

00:28:33

some kind of bridgehead on the right bank so that they

00:28:36

could then begin this movement

00:28:38

if they left anymore, they are already on the right

00:28:41

bank in that area, at least they won’t

00:28:43

return and you can’t really count on this from the

00:28:48

point of view because

00:28:49

it’s simply unrealistic, then they wouldn’t

00:28:52

leave the right bank completely

00:28:54

as they left. Therefore, this movement is unlikely to be

00:28:57

possible for the next 10 years,

00:29:01

you are talking about a possible offensive of the

00:29:04

Russian Federation in the region of May,

00:29:06

plus or minus, in an interview, the

00:29:09

mortgaged economist speaks about February and even

00:29:11

about possibly the end of January.

00:29:15

What are the risks and where can we go in

00:29:19

February if we We understand that there

00:29:22

may still be a serious disadvantage on the street.

00:29:25

Can this become an obstacle to their

00:29:28

advance

00:29:29

and what

00:29:34

priority directions can

00:29:36

Russia choose for itself

00:29:37

in May? We talked about this and I’m talking

00:29:40

about 300 thousand people who

00:29:43

may be prepared closer to May. That

00:29:46

is, this the use of 300 thousand and those,

00:29:48

if we talk about We continued the conversation

00:29:52

about one and a half million which the

00:29:55

Russian Minister of Defense has already said, that is, these

00:29:59

300 thousand are young somewhere around May

00:30:01

to be used in the offensive, what

00:30:03

our command is talking about, there is

00:30:06

information that Putin has again on

00:30:09

the table there is a plan for an attack on Ukraine,

00:30:12

this plan that fell through at the

00:30:14

beginning of this year on February 24, which they did not

00:30:18

begin to implement, that is,

00:30:21

they did not think for a long time about the same plan, they probably have nothing to

00:30:24

think about. Although to develop a plan,

00:30:26

sometimes it really takes years to actually

00:30:29

prepare and therefore rather in total

00:30:31

they took the same plan, modified it a little in

00:30:34

certain areas, showed

00:30:36

certain

00:30:40

dates might not have changed, the most interesting thing is that the

00:30:43

dates might not have changed Why

00:30:47

Because why the dates might not have been changed

00:30:50

because the dates were still tied

00:30:52

to certain weather conditions, that is,

00:30:55

to a certain readiness ground to

00:31:00

certain

00:31:01

already worked out actions under this

00:31:05

kind of conditions, because most likely

00:31:07

it’s the end of February, but the fact that

00:31:11

this plan is on the table is that

00:31:15

our intelligence has shown it, they see about it,

00:31:17

of course, and our political

00:31:18

leadership is talking about the filling of

00:31:21

this plan. what is there if the plan is

00:31:23

to look at the real one that was and

00:31:26

how they acted there were two two so-

00:31:30

called claws that they didn’t want

00:31:33

which they wanted to have

00:31:35

a snack in the Eastern part of Ukraine the

00:31:40

big claw is when they entered the

00:31:43

right bank of the Dnieper from the side of Belarus

00:31:45

to Chernobyl and entered from the sides of the stump and

00:31:49

this is from the North and the South, the claw is when they didn’t

00:31:52

cross the river, they forced the interruption of the Dnieper

00:31:55

in Kherson and this claw also began

00:31:57

to rise up, this is a large so-

00:31:59

called claw. They just didn’t have

00:32:01

one zero to perform this kind of

00:32:04

movement. They didn’t have enough one zero in the

00:32:06

calculations, that is, they had to not 120 thousand

00:32:09

people, a million two hundred thousand people,

00:32:11

then maybe this movement

00:32:14

would have some kind of effect, they just somewhere 0

00:32:18

erased

00:32:19

the war, this is mathematics It’s just that there was

00:32:22

still a small claw, the so-called this is

00:32:25

when from the south from the side of Melitopol to

00:32:29

Vasilievka to Zaporozhye, this is already

00:32:31

called biting off the

00:32:34

left Left bank of the Dnieper Eastern bank

00:32:37

nor the right, mainly in order to enter

00:32:39

you and surround our Donetsk

00:32:41

group, this small claw from the south

00:32:44

raised units from Melitopol

00:32:47

rose towards Vasilyev and further

00:32:49

on Zaporozhye they were stopped in the

00:32:52

area Orekhovo Gulyaypole was stopped We

00:32:54

cut off, that is, they stopped moving

00:32:56

and the North came in, maybe you remember the first

00:32:59

Tank Army, mainly in tanks,

00:33:03

certain companies rushed around in tanks, regiments got lost from the

00:33:06

south just a little from the Central Department Store from near Akhtyrka and

00:33:10

went towards Poltava, they tried to

00:33:12

at least go to Poltava then to

00:33:14

Boryspil That is, they hung out until, in

00:33:18

the end, some regiment commander

00:33:20

shot himself and pulled back towards

00:33:23

Russia. The Tank Army itself was the

00:33:25

Northern so-called claw, then

00:33:28

by the way it was very hard,

00:33:31

because based on the plans that

00:33:35

they now have, they can try

00:33:38

to carry out a

00:33:39

movement along the small claw to the large one,

00:33:42

definitely not, they won’t have a million two hundred

00:33:44

people, they don’t understand this very well, because it’s

00:33:47

unrealistic for some kind of movement from

00:33:49

Belarus, let’s say in the direction of Kiev or a

00:33:52

transition to the right bank until practically

00:33:55

they can crush, let’s crush from near the

00:33:57

Gomel region side of

00:33:59

Chernigov so that we can tie up our

00:34:01

reserves in the North in the Chernigov area, but

00:34:04

there we have a very good line of defense.

00:34:06

They are far away from the Poligoncharovskaya tank.

00:34:10

Where is the Tank Army of our tank army,

00:34:13

because I don’t think that they

00:34:16

will create any big problem there, but

00:34:19

nevertheless they can tie up But realistically they ca

00:34:22

n’t do it,

00:34:24

let’s try, let’s say If, again, they have

00:34:28

the quantity they need, they don’t even have

00:34:30

300 thousand, this is simply unrealistic, that is, they

00:34:33

need somewhere around 600-700 thousand people,

00:34:36

somewhere around 300 thousand from each claw

00:34:40

you Zaporozhye North from the side of the sums,

00:34:42

again try to get there to Poltava

00:34:45

further to Kremenchug to the Dnieper city and

00:34:48

somehow encircle our Donetsk group,

00:34:51

this is also simply unrealistic, they don’t

00:34:54

have time, they need this for this, they need

00:34:56

several years to prepare for this

00:34:58

kind of operation, but nevertheless less this plan

00:35:00

lies because, most likely, the maximum that

00:35:03

Putin can do based on the

00:35:06

number of troops and the regime with

00:35:10

which he can feed these troops with

00:35:13

weapons and shells is to solve

00:35:17

the issues of somehow holding Crimea on the one

00:35:20

hand, that is,

00:35:22

along the isthmuses this is an Armenian

00:35:25

outgrower area the isthmus of

00:35:27

Chongar and the Rabat Strelka, that is, by the way, they are

00:35:30

now building exactly there.

00:35:33

Very powerful equipment for

00:35:36

their construction. By the way, just

00:35:39

after the last trip which was by

00:35:42

helicopter, he was there in a blue helicopter

00:35:45

looking through all this, just

00:35:48

looking at these

00:35:49

defensive structures and trying to

00:35:51

hold on to how -the Donbass may be

00:35:54

somewhere to advance there in the area of the same

00:35:56

Bakhmut, to advance towards the West, to

00:36:00

push back the Ukrainian troops and to

00:36:03

try to reach the administrative border along the Donbass, that is,

00:36:05

he

00:36:07

simply doesn’t have enough strength anymore, realizing that we

00:36:11

also won’t have all the muscles to sit and look at all this,

00:36:14

that is, we have certain

00:36:16

forces and means to carry out certain

00:36:18

actions. That is, the fact that the Russians,

00:36:20

let’s say, leave and lose the Kherson

00:36:23

Zaporozhye region, they themselves also

00:36:25

perfectly understand the actions that they are

00:36:28

now carrying out for me in the Kherson

00:36:29

Zaporizhzhya regions of the

00:36:31

defensive plan, just says

00:36:33

that that they are now preparing to

00:36:35

retreat so that we don’t destroy them in the back

00:36:38

more than in the front, this is visible, that

00:36:42

is, these are all the defensive

00:36:44

fortifications that are not currently being made

00:36:46

on the lines of retreat; on the one

00:36:49

hand, this is possible on the lines of advance of the

00:36:51

Ukrainian troops. But this is the same. This is the same.

00:36:53

the line of retreat of the Russians as such, that is,

00:36:56

they are from a new purchase from Kakhovka on

00:36:58

the road towards Melitopol, a

00:37:01

certain defensive one is being carried out by an

00:37:06

engineering structure, along the

00:37:08

railway from the side of Kherson

00:37:10

towards Armyansk, certain actions are also being carried out

00:37:13

Well, so the magician, that

00:37:15

is, the main offensive from under the nuts

00:37:17

side so dunks further on the Mediupol

00:37:20

also carries out defensive

00:37:22

certain marked so-called

00:37:24

fortifications and now they have begun to carry out the

00:37:28

same fortifications from the side

00:37:30

more along the railway to

00:37:33

Chernigovka and Berdyansk they

00:37:36

naturally hold this direction Well,

00:37:38

we’ll see next,

00:37:39

we’ll see Roman Thank you very much for such a

00:37:42

detailed analysis to the viewers I want once again

00:37:46

Remind you that you must subscribe

00:37:49

to the channel you are watching,

00:37:51

if you are watching us at the factory on Vym,

00:37:53

then please subscribe and find in

00:37:56

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00:37:58

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you will not miss the latest videos Roman,

00:38:03

what do you recommend, what might be worth

00:38:06

subscribing to your Facebook page or

00:38:09

any other

00:38:10

pages of social networks I trust you

00:38:14

all all bloggers Because I am with you all

00:38:17

who need to treat me with you Agreed

00:38:21

Agreed Romance date today

00:38:23

Thank you very much

00:38:24

and Thank you very much to our viewers

00:38:27

Take care of yourself and your loved ones

00:38:33

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Description:

Военный эксперт, летчик-инструктор, полковник ВСУ в запасе Роман Свитан в интервью Василию Голованову рассказал о поездке Зеленского в Бахмут и США, что президент привезет из Вашингтона, как кардинально переломить ход войны и что сейчас происходит на фронте. 00:00 Интервью с Романом Свитаном 01:17 Удар поддых Путину и Пригожину 04:36 Начался визит Зеленского, после которого будет решающий бой 12:01 Киев защитят американские военные 20:53 300 тысяч орков бросят в атаку в мае 26:58 Кремль окончательно отказался от атаки на Молдову 29:12 Какие сценарии повторного наступления России 🔸 Подписывайтесь на канал Голованова - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCl7KXisYHdJNK0kppWGGglA?sub_confirmation=1 📧 Для предложений сотрудничества: [email protected] 🔹 Facebook Василия Голованова - https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser 🔹 Instagram Василия Голованова - https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser

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