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огризко

00:00:00

a special broadcast continues on radio nv. My

00:00:02

name is Vlasta lazur. Traditionally, on

00:00:05

weekends we

00:00:06

try to analyze or sum up

00:00:09

some main results of the week.

00:00:12

Volodymyr Hrysko,

00:00:14

head of the Russian Research Center and

00:00:16

Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine 2007-9

00:00:19

years, has already joined our broadcast. Good morning. I wish you good

00:00:21

health. I'll probably

00:00:24

start with

00:00:26

Erdoğan's plan. There were no official messages

00:00:29

from the Turks,

00:00:30

but for example, the edition of the new newspaper Europa,

00:00:34

this Russian edition, part of the

00:00:35

employees moved to Europe and

00:00:37

founded another new edition there, so

00:00:40

they write that they have a document in their hands

00:00:43

that they have

00:00:44

familiarized themselves with. the so-

00:00:47

called Erdoğan Peace Plan is something. I

00:00:50

understand it. Well, maybe it is something similar

00:00:53

to some Istanbul agreements that

00:00:55

were not ultimately reached. I don’t know, but the

00:00:58

journalists write that this document

00:01:00

says that

00:01:03

the war stops at the borders where

00:01:06

it is now. What is Ukraine? undertakes in the

00:01:08

40th year to hold an all-Ukrainian

00:01:10

referendum on the determination of the

00:01:12

foreign policy course and a referendum

00:01:15

on the territories occupied by Russia, and

00:01:18

Ukraine maintains its non-aligned status, and

00:01:22

Russia does not object to Ukraine's accession to the

00:01:24

European Union. Well, and the freezing of the war,

00:01:28

accordingly, the president's office immediately

00:01:30

said that it was all a fake and there

00:01:32

is no such plan in Turkey, they are silent, but in Russia, I

00:01:36

saw Piskov, he said that Well, he did not

00:01:39

directly say whether there is such a document,

00:01:41

but he said that it could well be

00:01:43

the basis for starting negotiations with

00:01:47

Ukraine. Please tell me what you

00:01:49

think there are reasons for us to believe

00:01:51

that such a document really exists and,

00:01:53

according to Novaya Gazeta Europa, all

00:01:56

three parties, Ukraine and Ukraine, and

00:01:58

Russia already have copies of this document in their

00:02:01

possession, you know, with the

00:02:04

departure of the so-called liberals from Russia,

00:02:08

including Novaya newspapers to Europe, a

00:02:11

huge amount of canned goods leaves for Europe and settles

00:02:14

there and

00:02:18

then works in the interests of all possible and

00:02:21

impossible Russian special services. So I do

00:02:24

not rule out that

00:02:25

this is one of the options for a special operation,

00:02:30

but not the kind that has been

00:02:33

talked about in Moscow for two years. special operations of the

00:02:36

Russian special services in order to launch what they need through

00:02:39

such apparently democratic liberal

00:02:42

publications

00:02:45

because there are

00:02:47

definitely opportunities for

00:02:54

their people to do the things

00:02:57

they need through the infiltrated same new newspaper Europe on the one hand here we

00:03:00

cannot rule this out, we do not know

00:03:02

the facts, but judging by what Russia has been doing

00:03:05

for the past 20 years, we see

00:03:08

that And this could be another option, the

00:03:11

Turkish option, you are right,

00:03:12

Turkey is silent, and why is it silent, and

00:03:16

because some of the elements of this plan I

00:03:20

I am not talking about all of them, but some of them quite

00:03:24

possibly fit into what

00:03:26

Turkey wants there, they called it. There is also the

00:03:30

issue of

00:03:31

nuclear confrontation, that is, that Turkey

00:03:34

is calling for the nuclear powers to

00:03:36

stop, well, that is, the USA and Russia to stop

00:03:40

these mutual intimidation and everything else and everything

00:03:43

else so that the topic Prodno weapons were in

00:03:46

principle removed from the agenda in order to

00:03:48

confirm again and again that they

00:03:51

will never be used and so on. And

00:03:53

so on. That is, what does the special service do in

00:03:57

such a situation?

00:04:07

those they want and launch it on

00:04:10

behalf of a country that seems to be

00:04:13

related to this, well, this is how modern

00:04:16

information warfare works, and for some reason it

00:04:19

seems to me that what we read and

00:04:21

saw is a kind of hybrid between what

00:04:25

Turkey really offered somewhere, but

00:04:29

in a clearly truncated study the word option and

00:04:32

what we saw in the performance of this

00:04:35

Novaya Gazeta Europe so that somewhere I think

00:04:39

the truth is in the middle, but the fact that

00:04:42

Turkey is inclined to

00:04:46

end the war at our expense and start making

00:04:51

love with Russia again, I have no

00:04:54

doubts here, this is Erdogan's

00:04:57

general the principle of action

00:05:00

is to sell at a higher price. I'm sorry,

00:05:03

Turkish bazaar,

00:05:04

and against this background, I'll ask you if there

00:05:09

was enough reaction from Ukraine. Well, there

00:05:12

was a

00:05:13

reaction from the freelance adviser, even

00:05:16

Yermak's adviser Daria, as well. Somewhere in the

00:05:18

telegram, she wrote that it was all a fake.

00:05:22

Was this

00:05:23

reaction enough? well, you know, if they are constantly talking

00:05:27

about the fact that somewhere behind the skeletons there are

00:05:30

some meetings of advisers about the Peaceful

00:05:34

Settlement, then I think that we

00:05:37

should not have expected more. I ca

00:05:47

n’t

00:05:50

get my head around it because what

00:05:52

Arahamia signed in Istanbul is, well,

00:05:56

capitulation, it’s actually not very

00:05:59

different from what we heard now,

00:06:02

in fact, the idea is the same neutral

00:06:05

Ukraine with the permission of the Barsk shoulder of

00:06:09

Russia, we are allowed to think about the

00:06:11

European Union, but not it is allowed

00:06:13

to think about NATO, the limitations of our

00:06:16

armed forces, and everything else and everything else. Well,

00:06:18

sorry, this is a variation on the same

00:06:20

topic. Well, it is possible, in fact, and they took

00:06:23

the same document, rearranged some

00:06:26

two paragraphs, changed the commas, and

00:06:29

maybe offered it again

00:06:32

quite interesting, maybe here we can actually

00:06:34

only speculate on this topic, let's

00:06:37

wait for more such concrete

00:06:40

facts, but I

00:06:42

personally, Well, what makes me think that there is something

00:06:46

Turkish there is that Turkey is silent,

00:06:51

if there was nothing there that

00:06:54

this new new newspaper in Europe did not write about, then I think

00:06:57

that Turkey reacted instantly and

00:07:00

would say that you guys

00:07:02

made a little mistake here, we were not close

00:07:05

because there is no such reaction, so there is

00:07:08

definitely something there, do you not see the

00:07:12

risks of this Turkish

00:07:15

option, if it eventually exists? And if

00:07:18

it it exists, I think the leaders of a number of

00:07:22

Western and not only Western countries know about

00:07:25

its existence, but don’t you see the risks

00:07:28

in the fact that against the background of the fact that for Ukraine,

00:07:30

aid is primarily

00:07:33

American, against the background of the lack of

00:07:36

protection in Ukraine, such as patriots and

00:07:40

weapons against the background of such a political crisis

00:07:43

in the United States caused by the elections.

00:07:46

More and more Western and non-Western leaders

00:07:51

may insist on this Turkish plan

00:07:53

or a similar one may

00:07:55

appear.

00:08:05

or like

00:08:09

Lindlis, this is already a technical issue. I think

00:08:12

that it is definitely necessary to pester him

00:08:14

now for the time being to talk about what will happen in

00:08:17

50 years. When we

00:08:19

will, as it were, give him away, I think that we will not.

00:08:22

So it is the

00:08:23

same. I think that we should immediately think

00:08:28

about where look for these e irises or e

00:08:34

patriots and you can find them Because there are many of them

00:08:38

around the world and I think that against the background of the change in the

00:08:41

position of the Americans regarding aid e

00:08:44

and the issue of patriotism will be e

00:08:47

resolved much faster, but as for the

00:08:51

new plans, you know We

00:08:53

haven’t waited yet Chinese in our country. There is

00:08:56

still a Chinese surprise ahead, they

00:08:59

will bring it to the peace summit in

00:09:01

Switzerland, but here is an interesting question, by

00:09:04

the way, because Turkey is, again,

00:09:08

only the first step, and I think that in Moscow,

00:09:11

all this is perfectly calculated with, you know,

00:09:15

such an element injection, now

00:09:17

we will show you such a small piece, and

00:09:20

then a little bit bigger, and then somewhere like

00:09:23

hell, a Chinese

00:09:25

representative will jump out, whom the

00:09:28

previous secretary of the NBO Danilov did not like very much, called

00:09:31

him all kinds of Chinese words.

00:09:36

In fact,

00:09:39

all the canned goods that are currently sitting in the west will pop out,

00:09:43

all the useful idiots

00:09:45

who will shout and write in all the

00:09:48

possible and impossible publications that you

00:09:50

see. It turns out that you can find

00:09:53

such a plan, it is only that bad

00:09:55

Ukraine does not want to agree with it and this

00:09:58

will really be a very unpleasant

00:10:00

informational part of this program,

00:10:03

because actually everything else is decided one way or another

00:10:05

on the battlefields and not in

00:10:09

newspaper editorial offices, but this is something that can

00:10:12

seriously harm us informationally, and

00:10:16

especially I think that it will all be

00:10:18

played out until the middle in June, before this

00:10:21

Peace Summit, which is planned for

00:10:24

mid-June in Switzerland, so that

00:10:28

somewhere around the end of May, the beginning of June, we have to

00:10:32

wait for new peaceful plans in quotation marks from the

00:10:38

Russian allies, direct or

00:10:41

indirect, and with regard to American

00:10:43

aid, you just said that there was a

00:10:45

breach, and what does that mean? there was a scandal that

00:10:47

Mike Johnson went there to see Trump and

00:10:50

Trump came out and said that OK, let there be a

00:10:53

debt or a loan, it means nothing.

00:11:04

senate, secondly, it may

00:11:06

happen that if it is a different

00:11:08

bill and not the one

00:11:10

voted on by the senate, it will be necessary to write

00:11:12

another one that provides for a loan, this is

00:11:15

a vote in the senate again, it is again presented in

00:11:17

congress, it may not be a hack, it may

00:11:19

just be that Donald Trump

00:11:22

found a method is there a way how to drag out

00:11:25

time, well, time can be dragged out endlessly

00:11:27

right here and there, you really know.

00:11:30

Give it to the lawyers. They

00:11:32

will

00:11:33

drag it back and forth for years.

00:11:44

democrats and under very strong external

00:11:47

pressure. Look at it, after all, it is

00:11:50

influenced by Cameron's visits and

00:11:52

Johnson's statements and everything And everything And everything, that is, the letters

00:11:56

that go out and are already signed by a

00:11:58

hundred and fifty

00:12:00

famous political figures in the world of

00:12:02

public figures and so on And so on.

00:12:04

That is, all this creates tension and it is not

00:12:07

profitable for him to remain in this case

00:12:09

the object of an attack, both external and especially

00:12:13

internal, so it seems to me that it is

00:12:15

profitable for him now to go for the fact that he is saving

00:12:18

face. He says that I achieved what the

00:12:21

Ukrainians will be for it to pay I don't

00:12:23

give American money just like that and

00:12:27

do it, and here we could

00:12:30

really have the option that first they will

00:12:32

vote for one thing, then another. That is,

00:12:34

it may drag on, but in principle, I think

00:12:37

that he has already moved to the

00:12:39

part where he has to delay. It is not very

00:12:42

profitable, because all the same, arrows will

00:12:44

fly at him because he doesn't want to solve it because of the manipulations of

00:12:46

Johnson or someone else, that's why

00:12:48

I think that he is now

00:12:52

in that situation, when he actually succeeded in

00:12:55

what he wanted to achieve, and then Well, one

00:12:59

way or another, Ukraine must get these

00:13:04

weapons and she gets them, so I think

00:13:07

that the problem is that now

00:13:10

Johnson just has a bigger maneuver.

00:13:14

If Trump said please, then

00:13:16

Johnson can now calmly

00:13:18

ignore all kinds of

00:13:22

slightly maddened supporters of

00:13:26

Trump, and it is known I don't want

00:13:29

to call her, lady, who is still screaming that she will

00:13:33

lie down as a corpse, but she won't miss

00:13:35

doing her job. So I think that there

00:13:37

is really evil. And tell me, please. What do

00:13:40

you think? How

00:13:42

carefully,

00:13:44

with excitement or without

00:13:46

excitement, did you watch with all these

00:13:48

events in the United States from the Kremlin, what

00:13:51

for them, what for the Kremlin, does this

00:13:54

statement by Trump that there

00:13:56

may be help for Ukraine, but it may be there in the

00:13:58

form of a loan, which means that the hopes

00:14:02

that everything will drag on to the elections, and

00:14:08

in fact to the nomination of the new president,

00:14:13

we can actually say goodbye to these plans, and therefore the chances

00:14:18

of a successful war are becoming less and less,

00:14:21

well, let's be

00:14:23

honest, the maximum that the

00:14:26

Russian economy can withstand is one and a

00:14:28

half years, this is the end of the 25th year, after the

00:14:31

25th year, all in one voice,

00:14:35

adequate economists who are able to

00:14:38

analyze trends say that

00:14:40

Russia will not be able to carry this burden from either internal or external

00:14:43

prospects, so to speak,

00:14:46

the question is not even whether

00:14:48

they will be able to mobilize the next

00:14:51

100,000 or 200,000 or 300,000 economy will

00:14:54

not pull out the loads that

00:14:56

will fall on it, because after all, external factors are

00:15:00

putting a lot of pressure on Russia. It is looking for

00:15:03

and finding some evasive maneuvers, but this

00:15:06

is not something that can pull out the entire economy.

00:15:10

Look now only at the example of these

00:15:13

floods in the Orenburg region, what is

00:15:16

happening are already going on, well, actually,

00:15:19

these slave revolts are traditional for Russia,

00:15:22

when people start saying

00:15:26

that we are not for Putin, but that Putin has resigned, these are

00:15:29

also certain signals when this

00:15:33

slave population begins

00:15:34

to feel that it has simply been abandoned, because if

00:15:37

they say that rodents

00:15:39

have gnawed through the dam on which was bombarded with hundreds of

00:15:43

billions of rubles, then this is bullying

00:15:46

even of slaves, and it

00:15:49

cannot endure to do this for a long time. Well, at

00:15:52

the same time, I want to remind you that it seems that

00:15:55

just last week there was a statement by the

00:15:58

Der Depu that they stated that

00:16:01

in two years of full-scale war in

00:16:03

Ukraine, Russia restored its

00:16:07

army, including with the

00:16:10

help of allies such as Iran or

00:16:13

Korea, well, or with the help of relative

00:16:16

allies such as China, well, to a certain

00:16:21

extent, this means that

00:16:23

Russia now has the opportunity to

00:16:26

use the military potential of, well,

00:16:29

at least the North Korea and at least

00:16:32

Iran, Iran now has its own circumstances. I

00:16:36

think that they have a great influence on

00:16:39

what was planned there in

00:16:40

Russian-Iranian relations, and China.

00:16:44

Well, you see, this is such a specific story, because

00:16:47

it is really strengthening its

00:16:50

military cooperation with Russia, doing it

00:16:54

secretly, although everything is secret, yes or else it

00:16:57

becomes clear. But

00:17:01

again, China's line in relations with Russia, we have

00:17:04

already talked about it with you, remains the same. It

00:17:05

seems to me that it is the same to keep Russia in the

00:17:09

form of its economic vassal to

00:17:12

manage this process and suddenly to

00:17:16

use its nuclear potential in

00:17:18

order to insure the West itself

00:17:21

the logic

00:17:22

by which China is guided Well, until

00:17:26

the limit when, after all, in

00:17:30

Russia, even with the help of these three

00:17:33

regimes, problems will begin on the battlefield, and

00:17:36

they will really begin.

00:17:45

can resume production

00:17:47

on such a scale that is needed for the

00:17:50

front of armored vehicles, tanks and so on, yes,

00:17:53

they can now produce shells,

00:17:55

they can now produce anti-aircraft guns, but this is

00:17:58

not the whole set of tools, so to speak, with

00:18:01

which you can win the war,

00:18:04

so it will take a little longer, and then even with

00:18:08

its help so-called allies, Russia will

00:18:11

not be able to lead the line to war further.

00:18:15

Tell me, please. And what

00:18:18

effect can this Iranian attack on Israel have on the war in Ukraine and on Russian

00:18:22

aggression?

00:18:31

to end, but from what is already obvious,

00:18:33

we can see how actively the

00:18:35

United States got involved, they were there that night

00:18:38

intercepting all these missiles and

00:18:40

drones that Iran launched against

00:18:42

Israel, we see that Joe Biden

00:18:45

has already interrupted his vacation and is holding an

00:18:49

extraordinary summit of the leaders of the G7 countries,

00:18:52

we understand that Iran is an ally

00:18:55

Russia, and I can only assume that it may

00:19:00

have some kind of influence on the war in Ukraine, which, well, you see here. There may

00:19:03

be different variations, from the fact that it will

00:19:06

speed up the provision of

00:19:08

aid in the large package that includes

00:19:11

Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, to the fact that

00:19:14

package, Israel will now urgently be

00:19:16

pulled out and given

00:19:19

aid first of all, and we and Taiwan will remain

00:19:22

on the second

00:19:25

plan.

00:19:38

will make a decision for himself that this regime of the

00:19:42

ayatollah, who is a destabilizer of the situation in the

00:19:48

entire region, should be

00:19:50

ended, and it is actually not difficult

00:19:52

to do if a political decision is made

00:19:54

to deprive Iran and its nuclear

00:19:57

program. And again, these are several very

00:20:00

precise but massive strikes it is clear from the well-known

00:20:02

centers where they are and that is the

00:20:09

end of the question of his ambitions in this part of the world, well, but we

00:20:13

come back to the same thing again,

00:20:16

for this we need political will and

00:20:17

determination, does Biden have it, well, I have a

00:20:21

question.

00:20:23

by all means yes, but

00:20:27

they will most likely not act individually, and the words that

00:20:30

were said there today or last night,

00:20:33

well, you know, this is a reminder of what we

00:20:35

hear about Ukraine. Yes, iron

00:20:39

support, yes, until the end. Yes, we will be with

00:20:42

you. Well, what if these words are not

00:20:47

reinforced with real hard actions,

00:20:51

they remain words. The last thing I

00:20:55

will ask you in the context of Donald Trump,

00:20:59

we know that he has repeatedly

00:21:01

said that he will end the war in

00:21:04

Ukraine in 24 hours.

00:21:10

called Trump's plan primitive.

00:21:14

Well, he said that if Trump's plan

00:21:15

is for Ukraine to give up

00:21:17

its territories, then it is all very

00:21:20

primitive. Yesterday,

00:21:22

your colleague, also a diplomat, Oleg Shamshur, was on our air.

00:21:25

He said that it is necessary to understand that Trump is a

00:21:28

very impulsive person and should not it is

00:21:31

so hard to answer him because he is

00:21:33

offensive, he will remember and then he will definitely

00:21:36

answer what do you think the

00:21:39

president has the right to do. The Ukrainian

00:21:41

president has the right to answer like that. Well,

00:21:43

considering that it is still about

00:21:45

Ukrainian territories, well, you know, I

00:21:48

immediately heard these theses from

00:21:51

Trump, although then we heard them in the same way

00:21:54

from where they actually won, and they refused these statements

00:21:58

about this plan. Well, I

00:22:01

reacted very simply, I said that you

00:22:03

know, it would be better for Trump to

00:22:06

offer to give Alaska to Russia, it is

00:22:09

36 times more than 63. Excuse me, 63 times more

00:22:13

than Crimea and then In this way Well, everything could be

00:22:15

fixed very quickly and the friendship

00:22:17

between Russia and the USA would be eternal. Well, you can

00:22:21

sometimes, you know, not to respond harshly,

00:22:23

you can joke. I think the effect of

00:22:25

this is no

00:22:26

less. So, who is to joke?

00:22:29

Zelensky Well, of course, that is, don't say

00:22:33

that this is a primitive plan to say that you know

00:22:34

I have another plan that can be used

00:22:36

to settle all issues leaving the Crimea alone

00:22:39

because it is a trifle compared to

00:22:41

Alaska Well when did you buy it for a

00:22:43

million Well then sell it for two Well and

00:22:45

put an end to that thank you very much

00:22:48

Volodymyr Hrysko, the head of the

00:22:50

Russian Research Center and the Minister of Foreign

00:22:53

Affairs of Ukraine in 2007-9, we talked

00:22:56

about the so-called Peace Plan of

00:22:59

Erdogan, the existence of which was

00:23:01

not confirmed by Erdogan himself, but the media write about it.

00:23:09

they talked

00:23:11

about the prospect of Ukraine receiving

00:23:13

American aid, I will repeat, the question

00:23:15

is open and we are monitoring what is being

00:23:17

said on the live broadcast, then we have

00:23:19

news, and after the news, the broadcast will continue. My

00:23:21

colleagues, stay on nv, subscribe to

00:23:24

nv radio channel,

00:23:27

here foreign

Description:

Владимир Огрызко, руководитель центра исследования России, бывший министр иностранных дел Украины, на Radio NV о турецком плане мира для Украины, почему Турция молчит и ничего не комментирует, какие тайные, выгодные для турок пункты, могут быть там, как Россия будет привлекать эту спецоперацию дальше, кто будет давить на нас, чтобы посадить за стол переговоров, почему план Кремля по затягиванию войны до выборов Трампа не сработал, сколько они еще смогут продержаться экономически, почему союзники до сих пор не готовы покончить с режимом аятоллы в Иране и обидится ли Трамп на заявления Зеленского Ведущая – Власта Лазур

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