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Russian
00:00:00
[music]00:00:06
Hello friends on the air00:00:07
geoenergetics info Maxim Radaikin and my00:00:10
regular interlocutor Alexander Frolov00:00:12
Hello hello hello00:00:14
Alexander strategy of cockroaches politics about00:00:17
how in Europe they failed to deprive00:00:19
Russia of energy profits00:00:21
they spoke cheerfully and fervently about the fact that there00:00:24
is such a Bulgaria standing guard over the00:00:27
energy sector integrity of Europe, but here00:00:30
another question arises:00:00:32
they accepted packages of sanctions, so everyone in our00:00:35
Information space laughs at them00:00:37
openly about the fact that sanctions don’t00:00:39
work. The question is, well, we consider them00:00:43
morons. Well, in general, in principle, are they morons? Are00:00:46
they really not? can they00:00:48
adopt some kind of working sanctions or is00:00:52
this how it should be or is this some kind of00:00:54
tricky Giveaway Game and first of all,00:00:58
no, this is not a Giveaway Game00:01:00
but the processes taking place now and the00:01:04
facts about which one is complaining This00:01:06
European publication has objective00:01:10
reasons it is clear that if a person is a fool -00:01:13
This is also, in its own way, an objective reason00:01:15
for some kind of nonsense that is happening to him00:01:16
and that he does, but we are00:01:18
talking about objective reasons that do00:01:20
not depend in many respects even on the will of00:01:22
individual people and therefore I would00:01:25
point out attention That's the first thing in00:01:27
this article that we are now discussing.00:01:29
Let's hope there will be some kind of00:01:30
link to it so that everyone can00:01:33
read it. But they really00:01:35
complain that Russia continues to00:01:37
receive money from oil supplies,00:01:40
gas supplies and oh-oh- oh ah-ah-ah And there00:01:44
they note that Moscow’s income after the00:01:47
introduction of restrictions on December 5,00:01:50
2020 from oil exports decreased by only00:01:55
14% if we look at the forecast for the00:01:58
forecast of our00:02:00
Well, our financial and economic00:02:03
block, then we will see that income if talking00:02:07
only about the state budget, then the00:02:09
revenues of the Russian Federation should have00:02:12
decreased by 22% if we talk about00:02:14
the oil and gas part, namely the oil and gas00:02:17
part in which Approximately 2/3 is the00:02:20
mineral extraction tax on oil and00:02:23
this reduction, accordingly,00:02:26
was00:02:28
predicted as expected and it turns out that00:02:31
those amounts which count the companies00:02:34
on which this European00:02:36
publication of politico relies, and more than the amounts00:02:40
that the Russian Federation expected to receive,00:02:43
and here it turns out that this is a00:02:46
funny thing that comes out, well, that is, on the00:02:48
one hand, you can shout. You see,00:02:50
after all, their incomes have decreased, but their00:02:53
incomes have decreased in comparison with a period of00:02:55
abnormally high prices, moreover, this period of00:02:58
abnormally high prices Well, when oil00:03:00
was 120 dollars 125 dollars, this00:03:03
period was caused by the actions of the United00:03:06
States and the countries that joined it. That is,00:03:09
when the United States shouted right00:03:11
now We will remove Russia from the world00:03:14
oil market, we imposed such sanctions that00:03:16
oh-oh-oh ah-ah-ah Well, the market reacted00:03:19
quite as expected, the market fell into a panic and00:03:22
this rise in prices was largely due to the fact00:03:24
that people expected that00:03:25
indeed, now Russian volumes would00:03:28
leave the world market And this would00:03:30
mean a monstrous deficit Moreover,00:03:33
after the Middle Eastern countries00:03:36
said that we cannot replace Russia,00:03:38
but then Russia again increased production there,00:03:40
production fell, then we00:03:42
restored it, and the market seemed to00:03:46
stabilize, but nevertheless there was a00:03:48
period of very high prices which led00:03:50
to abnormally high revenues for our00:03:53
budget from the oil and gas00:03:55
part of tax revenues and our00:04:00
oil and gas tax revenues00:04:01
amounted to about 115 rubles00:04:05
last year in the VM this year they expected00:04:09
to receive00:04:10
8.9 trillion00:04:12
rubles. Well, they are getting more by the way now,00:04:15
but that’s okay, that’s not the point, that is,00:04:19
complaints about what Russia continues00:04:22
receiving money from exporting oil and gas is00:04:24
strange Well, did you sincerely expect that we00:04:27
would stop exporting them? Well, if you00:04:32
sincerely expected this, then you are a00:04:35
strange person who has a craving for00:04:38
using alternative methods of00:04:40
thinking. And if you are trying to stand in a00:04:44
certain position, depict a certain00:04:47
one, indicate a certain surprise Well, it00:04:50
turned out bad and I’ll note00:04:53
the following, let’s see how the00:04:56
European energy sector00:04:57
developed if you leave the00:05:01
United States of America out of the equation. Let’s00:05:03
look only at Europe. It’s clear. Let’s00:05:05
ignore Canada. Let’s ignore00:05:07
Australia. All these others00:05:09
have joined.00:05:11
Powerful economies are only Europe. Europe has a00:05:16
problem. and the problems did not start yesterday and00:05:20
not because of Russia, Europe’s problems, by00:05:23
and large, began back in the00:05:26
2000s, and initially in 2005,00:05:29
Europe was00:05:30
predicted to have a Golden Age of Gas, well, everyone00:05:33
predicted it, and Europe in particular,00:05:35
then the European Union and Great Britain00:05:38
consumed 500 billion cubic meters of00:05:40
gas and they were predicted that by the third year00:05:43
they would reach a level of consumption of00:05:45
about 800 billion cubic meters of00:05:49
gas, that is, plus 300 billion in the conditions of00:05:51
falling own production, and now,00:05:54
faced with such a prospect,00:05:56
European officials came to the conclusion00:05:58
that in essence they are facing an inevitable00:06:02
increase in dependence on import of00:06:04
energy resources and something needs to be00:06:06
done about it Well, dependence on imports00:06:08
is undesirable. I think everyone in the Russian00:06:10
Federation will agree that being dependent00:06:13
on imports even from the most friendly00:06:16
countries is not very good even if it is the00:06:20
import of cars and mobile phones00:06:22
and so on, but the export of energy and the import00:06:26
of energy resources is an even more significant00:06:28
thing because energy resources00:06:31
underlie the production of cars,00:06:33
mobile phones,00:06:35
methanol, paints, fertilizers,00:06:39
and hydrogen Anything, that is, what00:06:43
you create, what the industry creates. Well,00:06:46
energy resources ensure the maintenance of the00:06:49
viability00:06:50
of households, that is,00:06:53
energy imports and dependence from00:06:55
energy imports - this is a really00:06:57
important issue with which something had to be done,00:07:00
and the Europeans, in general,00:07:03
made the reforms that the00:07:06
Europeans launched in this regard, they had a00:07:09
clear, understandable, absolutely non-00:07:12
contradictory basis; it will increase; we are00:07:16
predicted that dependence on00:07:18
imports will increase; we do not want we are starting00:07:21
to fight this now and not in 2030, what did they00:07:24
do, they estimated the buyer’s premiums to be high.00:07:29
Well, that is, if00:07:31
respected people who are00:07:33
now predicting that Green00:07:35
energy will win everyone, by the way, they00:07:37
predicted in 2005 that00:07:40
natural gas will win everyone, wonderful00:07:42
the analysts are wonderful, the international00:07:44
energy agency, their forecasts are00:07:46
100% unfulfilled, that’s why they are valuable, so00:07:51
if gas consumption increases by 300 billion00:07:53
and imports increase and00:07:58
will continue to fall, then it means you are a freaking00:08:02
attractive market and they will fight for you.00:08:05
So we need to do something like00:08:08
this a system in which this struggle00:08:11
will lead to a decrease in price. And this00:08:14
system simply needs to link the price00:08:17
of gas00:08:18
to stock exchange quotes, that is, there are00:08:22
essentially two pricing systems in the00:08:24
gas market, not oil-linked00:08:26
and exchange-linked; oil-linked,00:08:29
more traditional, more widely00:08:30
used and it was widely used,00:08:34
including in Europe, but it cannot influence your00:08:37
local market. It cannot affect the oil market.00:08:40
But it can affect the gas market. Maybe because there is00:08:42
no global gas market. There are large00:08:44
regional markets, and in this regard, Europe00:08:47
has transferred all long-term contracts,00:08:50
including to the exchange-based00:08:52
pricing principle received an instrument00:08:54
of pressure, ideally received an instrument00:08:56
of pressure on gas suppliers and due to00:08:59
this received more favorable prices. That00:09:01
is, they will fight for her if she00:09:04
increases consumption like this, they00:09:06
will fight for her market, they will fight, push with their00:09:08
elbows, bring down prices, everything00:09:10
is fine and then in In 2009, over the course of00:09:15
two years, the00:09:17
third energy package was adopted, which included a number of00:09:20
reforms, including this exchange00:09:22
pricing, including the principle of00:09:24
separation of businesses. That is,00:09:26
if you own00:09:29
volumes of gas, you should not own00:09:31
a pipe. If you own a pipe, you00:09:34
own volumes of gas production. gas, then you00:09:36
must reserve part of this pipe, part of the capacity of00:09:39
this pipe for00:09:41
alternative suppliers, that is, they00:09:43
built a system that had to00:09:45
work in conditions of a00:09:48
potential incredible increase in demand00:09:50
for gas, which00:09:58
is supported, that is, they built a00:09:59
system that should have00:10:01
worked ideally in conditions When Europe is it is00:10:03
truly a buyer's market when the00:10:05
demand for GAZ, the demand for other00:10:06
energy resources is constantly growing, that is,00:10:09
for conditions of continuous economic00:10:12
growth,00:10:14
but in 2009, when the third energy package00:10:18
was developed, at least Since00:10:21
2007, at least, that is,00:10:24
they have already reached the working stage of adoption. Since the seventh00:10:26
year, the main parameters have already been agreed upon00:10:29
It’s passed, they’ve already gone00:10:31
to agree on some specifics, so in the00:10:33
ninth year they accept and the ninth year00:10:35
- it was the year of the crisis of the global00:10:38
financial00:10:39
crisis, which led to a drop in demand00:10:42
for energy resources, which drove Europe00:10:44
into a multi-year period of crises. Well, in00:10:48
fact, the crisis began and00:10:50
it continued further there was a slight00:10:52
warming, but in general, the00:10:54
European economy did not develop further at the00:10:56
rate that everyone00:10:58
was counting on, it did not develop very much. In principle,00:11:00
it developed, that is, an increase of half a percent00:11:02
per 1% - this, Sorry, is00:11:04
funny not only for Europe. By the way, this is00:11:07
funny for any other countries without00:11:11
exceptions, this is funny, but since we are00:11:14
now talking about Europe, we are00:11:17
only talking about Europe, so Sorry,00:11:18
we are going back there, that is, this system00:11:20
was supposed to work, but it was adopted at the00:11:22
moment when it could no longer work;00:11:25
in principle, it could not work because00:11:27
Europe did not buyer's market and00:11:32
in parallel with this, in order to00:11:33
again reduce dependence on00:11:35
energy imports and to strengthen the position of00:11:37
their industry, Europeans00:11:40
began to create00:11:41
discriminatory conditions for gas and other00:11:44
fossil fuels, which00:11:48
helped develop the00:11:50
renewable energy segment at the time when the00:11:52
corresponding decisions were made,00:11:54
expensive friends Who thinks that Europe's00:11:56
morons were beaten in the neck were accepted Europe00:12:00
was the00:12:02
largest manufacturer of equipment00:12:04
for renewable generation 10% of00:12:07
the production of all solar panels was00:12:11
concentrated in Germany alone, this was to the exclusion of00:12:13
other countries, that is, Europe was going to00:12:16
make a growth point for its00:12:19
industry a growth point that00:12:21
supported the energy sector reducing00:12:23
dependence on fossil fuels,00:12:25
imported fossil fuels all around the00:12:28
sun is wonderful, but the Holy Exchange00:12:31
should again lead to the fact00:12:33
that the price for the end consumer00:12:34
should decrease about the World Cup, as a matter of fact, which, strictly speaking,00:12:37
was promised to the00:12:40
same Germans by your guys at the beginning of the early 2010s00:12:45
electricity will become twice as expensive, it will go up three times in price00:12:47
Well, market reforms happen, you00:12:49
know, they are so unpredictable If you00:12:51
want a big big lecture with00:12:54
some Just right with a listing of00:12:57
the power plant,00:12:59
write comments if you like it,00:13:01
if it gets how many likes we’ll00:13:04
ask Come on 10 Let's get 10,00000:13:09
likes under this video, we'll00:13:11
record an hour or even00:13:12
an hour and a half,00:13:14
we'll tell you in more detail about the development of reforms00:13:18
in the European energy sector in general there, the00:13:20
gas industry, the electric power industry Yes00:13:24
Of course, it will be impossible to describe the sun within an hour and00:13:26
a half, but it will be00:13:27
worse than now and more00:13:30
thoroughly representative and all that00:13:31
stuff So if you want Well,00:13:34
Like Like Like Write00:13:36
comments Let this video be promoted00:13:39
because the more people see it, the00:13:41
more likes they will give if they are00:13:43
interested in all this Well, we will record something00:13:44
like that,00:13:46
post the video on your00:13:48
social networks and all that stuff Well, that’s00:13:51
all for today dear friends All the00:13:53
best Oh yes I apologize to my00:13:55
Telegram channel oil and gas game00:13:57
Subscribe I noticed that if I00:14:00
say this they subscribe if they just00:14:02
leave a link in the attached00:14:04
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one needs it so00:14:09
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meet again, all the best00:14:29
[music ]00:14:34
ADescription:
В ЕС признали провал Санкций против России. В Евросоюзе заявили, что санкции вредят жителям ЕС больше, чем России. Евросоюз согласовал 12-й пакет санкций против России. Европе не удалось лишить Россию нефтегазовых доходов. Несмотря на западные санкции, экспорт российской нефти сократился лишь на 14% и продолжает приносить Москве миллионы евро. Почему провалились санкции против России, расскажем в новом видео Геоэнергетика Инфо. Приятного просмотра! Наш телеграм: https://t.me/geonrgru Наш Дзен https://dzen.ru/geonrgru Станьте спонсором канала CПОНСОР.РУ ► https://sponsr.ru/geonrgru/ Поддержать канал: Сбербанк - 4274 3200 6731 4487 Максим Р. Тинькофф - 4377 7237 6815 3060 Максим Р. ВТБ - 2200 2407 5683 3253 Максим Р. https://yoomoney.ru/to/410018728624134 (донат сервис) Пожалуйста НЕ указывайте ничего в комментариях и назначении перевода! VK ► https://vk.com/geonrgru ЯНДЕКС.ДЗЕН ► https://dzen.ru/geonrgru Сайт Геоэнергетика https://geonrg.ru/ Реклама, сотрудничество: https://t.me/radaykinpro [email protected] Обязательно подписывайтесь на канал, ставьте все уведомления, ставьте лайки и пишите комментарии! Вы помогаете продвигать канал!
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