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Video tags
Subtitles
Russian
00:00:01
Hello00:00:04
Ruslan, I would like to ask this first00:00:07
question. Are you aware of the recent publication of the New00:00:09
York Times? And I understand that it00:00:13
largely confirmed what I wrote about and00:00:16
what C it was talking about in recent months.00:00:18
What percentage coincides with what this is about?00:00:21
did you say and were there any things00:00:24
that somehow particularly surprised you in00:00:26
this publication?00:00:29
Well, they surprised you in the sense that we00:00:31
knew something new, perhaps one such00:00:33
thing was when they published those00:00:36
documents where the specific00:00:37
plans of the Russian troops were outlined in the first days of a00:00:40
full-scale invasion and there on the00:00:43
second day of the invasion it was indicated that00:00:46
Russian troops should already take up00:00:48
positions about 80 km south of this00:00:52
city of Kanev and they should set up a00:00:55
defense line there to prevent the00:00:57
enemy from advancing from00:00:59
Kremenchug and Poltava, that is, this is00:01:03
how the hat is cast the00:01:04
Russian troops had plans, even for us00:01:08
those who saw what was happening And at the00:01:11
beginning at the end of February when I saw how00:01:14
they sent columns of troops00:01:16
to storm Kiev, even for us such00:01:19
plans that the public were00:01:21
only a surprise for us, that is, we did not know that00:01:22
so they were optimistic, it turns00:01:24
out they are Russian Generals of the00:01:25
Russian command there are elements with00:01:29
which We rather do not quite agree,00:01:32
for example One of these elements that is00:01:35
often cited in the media and activists is00:01:37
also that Russian Soldiers00:01:39
use Soviet maps there in the00:01:42
60s, in fact there is such a moment00:01:45
that According to for any instructions,00:01:48
some crews must have a00:01:50
map. That is, you have a uniform.00:01:52
You have a first aid kit there and among other00:01:54
crew kits there must be a map and, in00:01:58
principle, no one gives a damn, some kind of map00:02:00
will simply have to be present for the00:02:02
fact for reporting and that’s why00:02:05
they meet according to the map that has been lying there for00:02:07
decades, no one in the army actually00:02:09
uses it, but they must be00:02:11
present in the car and that’s why they were00:02:14
found there. That is, I don’t think that anyone00:02:16
made military plans specifically based on Soviet00:02:18
maps of the sixties, for example,00:02:20
most likely everything- they did use more00:02:22
modern tools, that is, at the00:02:24
General Staff level, this includes00:02:26
various satellite images at the00:02:29
soldier level and they are also commanders of the most00:02:31
childish level, this includes an00:02:33
Internet service like Yandex.Google00:02:35
Maps. That is, I don’t think that it’s Russian The00:02:38
soldiers are so it’s as if00:02:39
they turned over here to us with the help of a00:02:42
time machine from the past that I don’t know that there00:02:44
is an Internet, there is an00:02:45
electrical device where you can00:02:47
see everything up-to-date and also we don’t quite00:02:50
agree. We don’t quite agree with such arguments in the spirit of the fact00:02:53
that a00:02:54
significant part of Russian soldiers00:02:56
are under the command those people00:02:58
who have nothing to do with the army at all00:03:01
and are cited as examples of Kadyrov and00:03:03
Yevgeny Prigozhin, in fact, according to00:03:06
Kadyrov, in all these 10 months,00:03:08
almost 10 months have already been going on, because00:03:10
we haven’t seen00:03:12
any even indirect factors00:03:14
talking about that that Kadyrov takes at least00:03:16
some part in the00:03:18
planning of offensive operations, there00:03:21
was nothing of the kind, and the troops themselves who ran00:03:23
towards him, that is, Kadyrov’s people are the same00:03:25
talkers. We know that they would hardly00:03:28
have participated in the actions, that is, they00:03:30
were simply there for more PR purposes Yes,00:03:32
there is a separate unit of Chechen00:03:34
units such as special forces Akhmat. But00:03:37
other all sorts of dramas are volunteer00:03:39
formations that were formed in00:03:41
the summer and sent to the so-called00:03:44
special operation zone. But as far as I can see, yes,00:03:47
they were formed by the leadership of the Chechen00:03:49
Republic, armed with them, they received00:03:51
supplies from them, money for logistics. But00:03:55
that’s all- as far as I can see, when they00:03:57
find themselves on the front line, they00:03:58
enter the command of some00:04:00
commanders of certain directions of00:04:02
some General Lapin and others, that00:04:05
is, it is under the Ministry of Defense, that is, the00:04:07
name of the command there or Kadyrov or00:04:08
some or Mkhanov or something in00:04:10
in this spirit and the same goes for00:04:12
Prigozhin Prigozhin, too, it seems he has never even00:04:14
been exposed as exactly the00:04:16
combat commander of the group of the Laguerre group,00:04:20
no one has ever said that he is there00:04:21
applauding some kind of military operations. He00:04:22
simply appears in fact to the owners of00:04:24
this group and moreover relations of the00:04:27
group as such, as if about00:04:29
any such rabble, an unusual debit is00:04:31
useless. I also think that, but it’s00:04:33
completely wrong, especially if we were00:04:36
talking about the Wagner group until the00:04:37
beginning of March. And in general last year,00:04:40
on the contrary, it was like this. One of the most00:04:42
combat-ready units because in00:04:45
Unlike the Russian army, the00:04:46
Wagner group was mainly staffed by people00:04:49
with extensive experience, those who participated at00:04:51
least in the Chechen company in the Chechen00:04:53
war, those who fought in Georgia are there and00:04:57
those who once participated there in00:04:58
Afghanistan Andrei Bogatov, the same one00:05:00
of the commanders the Wagner group, that is,00:05:02
people with impressive combat experience,00:05:04
including those who fought00:05:07
in the Donbass in 1914-15-16, respectively, these are00:05:11
unique specialists with combat experience00:05:14
treating those as some kind of rabble00:05:16
who are not an obstacle will be00:05:18
completely, of course, incorrect and plus00:05:20
the motivation is completely different. That is, if00:05:22
mostly Russian contract soldiers are00:05:24
some people who00:05:25
don’t have normal jobs in their home region and don’t have normal00:05:27
salaries. And that’s why they,00:05:28
in order to learn military science,00:05:30
become a cool special forces just00:05:32
to earn money, then in the Var group00:05:34
after all it’s more the other way around, it’s00:05:37
the people who are motivated. Yes, and in general, in general,00:05:41
they didn’t have any particular problems with supplies and money, but now00:05:43
there are some adjustments in their00:05:45
combat effectiveness, let’s say, due to the fact00:05:48
that somewhere in the middle of summer they began to00:05:50
recruit a huge number of prisoners so00:05:52
that they fight in the ranks of Wagner and00:05:54
use them as cannon fodder,00:05:56
yes, but the main one is Kostya, when00:05:58
they are still military specialists, and as00:06:02
far as I can see, all these00:06:04
military plans were drawn up inside, it was people with00:06:07
experience who are not useful, of course Therefore, in00:06:09
this regard, I drew00:06:12
attention to this point in this material.00:06:14
In my opinion, they were incorrect, but in00:06:16
general, yes, everything that we already knew about and00:06:19
total corruption in the Russian army and the00:06:21
inability of Russian00:06:24
commanders to train and the use of open00:06:26
communication with Russian soldiers were00:06:28
already directly to the territory of00:06:30
Ukraine That is, this is, in principle, all00:06:31
that we already knew and I told my reports00:06:33
growing up, this topic00:06:36
of discussion ends briefly with what they write about00:06:39
Gerasim, that the Ukrainians were ready to00:06:42
eliminate him, let’s say the Americans did not00:06:44
share with them and therefore one of the00:06:47
top Russian commanders there remained00:06:49
alive, as far as one can believe in this,00:06:51
how much can one trust this?00:06:54
Well, this seems to be true. That is, we didn’t00:06:57
know. Did the00:06:58
American services really know about this in advance?00:07:00
Well, most likely Yes, given the00:07:02
level of their preparedness, exhaustion and00:07:04
other things, there’s a story there there was something that the00:07:06
Americans found out that Gerasimov00:07:08
would come close to the front line, they didn’t tell the00:07:10
Ukrainians about it, and only then when,00:07:12
again, the American representatives found out00:07:15
that the Ukrainians were independently00:07:17
removing Gerasimov from the visit, then00:07:19
they tried to stop the Ukrainians so00:07:21
that they wouldn’t they hit Gerasimov, that’s00:07:25
exactly how it was. Well, yes, I00:07:28
remember those days when rumors appeared that00:07:30
they struck Gerasimov, that he was supposedly00:07:33
wounded, and then we received this00:07:37
source and information from the outside that in00:07:39
fact Gerasimov was alive and well, he was00:07:40
directly seen in a living story, that is,00:07:42
apparently it is completely00:07:43
plausible,00:07:45
and Ruslan has another question, I understand00:07:48
forecasts are a terribly thankless task.00:07:51
Perhaps you don’t want to give them at all,00:07:53
but still, the 300th day of the war is so00:07:56
round Yes, it still obliges00:07:59
us to draw conclusions. What are we doing? We’ve been00:08:04
talking about this for several days today and, in general, try a little to00:08:06
look00:08:08
into the future, what will happen next, what do00:08:10
you think we should expect in the next00:08:13
few years? Well, I don’t know the same 300 days, what00:08:15
will happen then. I’m not asking for this. I know00:08:18
there are no guarantees, it’s just your00:08:20
subjective opinion as a person00:08:21
who has been involved in military issues for many years.00:08:27
I don’t yet see any prerequisites for00:08:29
saying that the war is00:08:31
conditionally moving towards some kind of conclusion, even at00:08:34
least in the format of a conditional00:08:36
freezing of the conflict, as it was in in the00:08:38
fifteenth year there is nothing like this,00:08:40
I don’t see any prerequisites for them yet and,00:08:43
on the contrary, I expect that probably until mid-00:08:45
January we will live at this conditional00:08:48
pace. When there is very little news from the front00:08:50
And there my reports become shorter00:08:52
there the list of materials that we publish00:08:55
becomes smaller and There are00:08:57
also fewer mobilized units,00:08:58
but starting probably somewhere in mid-00:09:00
January, the00:09:03
second round of the war will gradually develop, that is, we will00:09:05
most likely see a second wave00:09:07
of mobilization first, and after that, I don’t know,00:09:10
2-4 weeks after the start of the Second wave00:09:12
of mobilization, I expect that most likely we00:09:13
will see some new round of war, at00:09:16
least the00:09:18
Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of00:09:19
Ukraine, Valeria Zalozhnaya, is talking about the latter; he expects00:09:21
that a new00:09:23
one and war will begin around February. Well, at00:09:26
best, probably in Although he says that00:09:28
maybe at the end of January they say00:09:30
it can also start and accordingly there00:09:32
will be fierce fighting again00:09:34
And it will be similar to what happened00:09:36
Most likely in February March of this year00:09:39
I’m not sure that they will go to Kiev again00:09:42
because after all, in order to have00:09:46
the resources to go to Kiev Even if00:09:48
there is all the mobilization, you still need00:09:50
a lot more people, that is, not 200 thousand,00:09:53
not 300 thousand, but much more, on00:09:54
the order of probably millions, there could be00:09:57
even more, and if you, if you say in00:09:59
January, announce universal globalization and00:10:02
say that we are calling In general,00:10:04
we are planning to recruit a lot of everyone there, there is another00:10:05
700,000 in order to reach that very00:10:08
million, it still takes a00:10:10
lot of time to gather everyone,00:10:12
prepare to recruit an additional00:10:14
amount of equipment for everyone so that all00:10:16
this is armed, therefore, that is why00:10:18
I am, for now, sort of re-attacking00:10:21
Kiev, not expecting, but still, some kind of00:10:23
intensification of hostilities there,00:10:25
somewhere around mid-January,00:10:27
I fully expect Ruslan and the lyrical00:10:30
question I’ll ask this last Zelensky00:10:32
came to Bakhmut, flew there, met00:10:35
with the participants in this very conflict, what do00:10:39
you think this is for- it can have an impact00:10:42
during the war or is it just a visit and00:10:45
a visit, well, it’s clear why00:10:49
one of the main elements of entering a war00:10:52
is the natural motivation of the00:10:55
soldiers themselves and their fatigue and when the Soldiers00:10:59
see that it’s hard and yes there are wounded and00:11:03
dead, but no matter how the Generals00:11:06
in command don’t they bite and they are00:11:09
nearby and they come straight to the front line to00:11:13
support you. Naturally, this00:11:15
greatly affects the00:11:16
morale of the soldiers and naturally it00:11:20
gives them the strength to fight. Then they understand00:11:22
the goals, they understand why they are fighting and this00:11:25
helps them, of course, but it is important that00:11:28
this happens like this, when00:11:29
directly anyone, not just a soldier, usually on00:11:33
either side, the viewer can see that00:11:35
yes, this was a fact. It was the fact of the visit of the00:11:38
commander of the President General00:11:40
directly there either to the front line00:11:42
or to a preferential city there, the format00:11:44
that was in the format from Russia00:11:46
when Putin came to some then the headquarters there00:11:49
seemed like it was in Rostov-on-Don when00:11:51
Shoigu, as they say, was flying the front line, but00:11:54
it’s not clear where there is only footage where in the00:11:55
Armenian Crimea this doesn’t00:11:58
work because everyone naturally00:11:59
begins to doubt whether the puck was on00:12:02
the front line or not, what? Well, yes He00:12:04
flew above the Armenian where where Everything00:12:06
that he flew further was already directly00:12:07
directly to the front line visited by soldiers,00:12:09
there is no such evidence, so most00:12:11
likely this is another enactment, a00:12:13
charming photo report for00:12:15
propaganda and most likely he did not00:12:16
visit anyone. Therefore, on the Russian side, this is00:12:18
what they did, I doubt that it is00:12:21
will affect the motivation of00:12:22
Russian soldiers But what to do00:12:24
Zelensky Yes, this certainly00:12:25
helps Ukrainian soldiers00:12:27
and the last question is now from me,00:12:30
please tell me everyone has been00:12:33
talking a lot about Belarus in recent days. I00:12:35
understand you are probably fed up with this00:12:37
question already, but nevertheless, there are00:12:39
news coming in all the time about the transfer of00:12:41
mobilized unknowns to Belarus or00:12:43
through Belarus, supplies from Kander and00:12:46
from 300 after the visit of Putin Shoigu and00:12:50
Lavrov, in your opinion, what does this all mean00:12:52
that Belarus is planning to open00:12:56
some kind of Second Front or something else that is00:12:59
worth worrying about or is it00:13:01
just such an attempt to maintain00:13:04
good relations with Lukashenko00:13:08
Well, I’ll probably start with comments00:13:11
regarding the publication of the Institute for the Study of00:13:13
War which, after the meeting between Lukashenko and00:13:16
Putin, said that Putin failed to00:13:18
drag Lukashenko into war, failed to00:13:21
convince him to participate in the war. In my00:13:22
opinion, this is a very strange comment00:13:23
because even if we imagine that00:13:27
Belarus is being drawn into the war by ground forces,00:13:30
then I have already said many times that the00:13:31
ground forces of Belarus are not00:13:33
so numerous, that is, there is no00:13:35
point in even trying to drag them into the war00:13:37
because it will not give anything, so00:13:39
why would Putin drag Lukashenko into the war?00:13:41
Therefore, I think that Nikolai is trying00:13:42
to persuade Lukashenko, let’s you also00:13:45
fight. I think there were no such attempts,00:13:47
rather it’s more to00:13:49
show the unity of the two partners, that00:13:51
they act together, that they are conditionally00:13:54
ready to fight back the date of the West, that they00:13:57
see these threats that come from the00:13:58
outside there, conditionally more than Finland00:14:00
because of the expansion of NATO as a whole, it’s nothing00:14:03
more than that part of the00:14:05
mobilized ones, why are they even in00:14:06
Belarus because the autumn conscription in00:14:09
Russia is still going on and, in general, the00:14:12
infrastructure of the Russian army was not00:14:14
designed for the fact that you will have00:14:15
conscription in parallel for conscript service and00:14:18
concurrently mobilized people who00:14:20
also need to be placed somewhere, they need to be00:14:22
trained; they need equipment for00:14:24
training. But all of this actually didn’t00:14:26
exist and that’s why they had to be00:14:27
sent to Belarus for the time being, where they are trained00:14:30
after by Belarusian instructors, I didn’t even00:14:31
Russian and therefore some of the equipment is00:14:33
also transported there so that there is something to00:14:35
train these mobilized but some00:14:38
new large trains with heavy00:14:41
equipment or with vehicles of00:14:43
anti-air defense complexes that00:14:45
would be traveling towards Belarus, we did not00:14:47
notice now And these are such important beacons00:14:49
that we they will talk about the fact that an00:14:51
offensive is really being prepared in00:14:53
these directions. We, in the same00:14:55
way, determined back in the Jews in00:14:58
December there in January that they were preparing00:15:01
something bad. When we saw in a row00:15:03
how first the00:15:04
air defense forces arrived there near Voronezh.00:15:06
Then the Russian Guard landing party arrived00:15:08
and that’s it. other things, it was precisely with00:15:10
these points that by February we realized that a00:15:12
full-scale invasion was really being00:15:14
prepared,00:15:16
we don’t see anything like this from Belarus now. And you are only00:15:18
training the mobilized.00:15:19
Thank you for watching us so00:15:23
that we can continue our work,00:15:24
support us. Sign up for sponsorship or00:15:28
click the button Thank you for this video,00:15:30
make your important contribution to the fight against00:15:33
propaganda and PutinDescription:
The New York Times опубликовала большое расследование о причинах неудач российского вторжения. Военный эксперт Руслан Левиев комментирует главное — согласны ли специалисты Conflict Intelligence Team с фактами из этого материала? А также обсуждаем, что сейчас происходит на фронте: «Я пока не вижу никаких предпосылок к тому, что война идёт к какому-то завершению. Наоборот, я ожидаю, что с середины января будет развиваться второй виток войны, мы увидим вторую волну мобилизации». Гость: Руслан Левиев https://twitter.com/RuslanLeviev https://t.me/ruslanleviev Ведущие: Георгий Албуров https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Дмитрий Низовцев https://twitter.com/zimbru_khv Помощь юристов и ответы на главные вопросы о мобилизации. Наш телеграм-канал: https://t.me/mobilizationnews Наш Patreon, где вы можете поддержать любимую передачу: https://www.patreon.com/Popularpolitics Станьте спонсором канала, и вы получите доступ к эксклюзивным бонусам. Подробнее: https://www.youtube.com/c/Popularpolitics/join Новости без цензуры: телеграм-канал «Сирена» https://t.me/news_sirena Наш список разжигателей войны: https://acf.international/ru/list-of-war-enablers Наш проект «Цены сегодня». Смотрите, как менялась стоимость товаров после начала войны: https://pricing.day/ Бот команды Навального: https://t.me/teamnavalny_bot Наши соцсети! Телеграм: https://t.me/politica_media Инстаграм: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Твиттер: https://twitter.com/politica_media Поддержите нашу работу! 🔸 Безопаснее всего делать это через криптовалюту. Биткоин-кошелёк: 3QzYvaRFY6bakFBW4YBRrzmwzTnfZcaA6E 🔸 Как купить криптовалюту с российской карты? Инструкция: https://acf.international/files/instruction.pdf 🔸 Наш Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/Popularpolitics 🔸 Другие способы есть на сайте (в России открывается через VPN): https://donate.acf.international/ru
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Which format of "Причины неудач армии России | Руслан Левиев" video should I choose?
The best quality formats are FullHD (1080p), 2K (1440p), 4K (2160p) and 8K (4320p). The higher the resolution of your screen, the higher the video quality should be. However, there are other factors to consider: download speed, amount of free space, and device performance during playback.
Why does my computer freeze when loading a "Причины неудач армии России | Руслан Левиев" video?
The browser/computer should not freeze completely! If this happens, please report it with a link to the video. Sometimes videos cannot be downloaded directly in a suitable format, so we have added the ability to convert the file to the desired format. In some cases, this process may actively use computer resources.
How can I download "Причины неудач армии России | Руслан Левиев" video to my phone?
You can download a video to your smartphone using the website or the PWA application UDL Lite. It is also possible to send a download link via QR code using the UDL Helper extension.
How can I download an audio track (music) to MP3 "Причины неудач армии России | Руслан Левиев"?
The most convenient way is to use the UDL Client program, which supports converting video to MP3 format. In some cases, MP3 can also be downloaded through the UDL Helper extension.
How can I save a frame from a video "Причины неудач армии России | Руслан Левиев"?
This feature is available in the UDL Helper extension. Make sure that "Show the video snapshot button" is checked in the settings. A camera icon should appear in the lower right corner of the player to the left of the "Settings" icon. When you click on it, the current frame from the video will be saved to your computer in JPEG format.
What's the price of all this stuff?
It costs nothing. Our services are absolutely free for all users. There are no PRO subscriptions, no restrictions on the number or maximum length of downloaded videos.