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Russian
00:00:02
Roman Good evening I greet you, I00:00:07
admitted I’ve been wanting to talk to you for a long time00:00:09
As one of the most authoritative00:00:11
Ukrainian military experts and you know, I would like to00:00:14
structure today’s conversation as00:00:16
follows: I will ask very00:00:19
simple, perhaps primitive, but questions that00:00:23
interest millions of Ukrainians00:00:26
and you try to answer like this so that00:00:29
millions of Ukrainians, having watched our00:00:31
interview, say that there are00:00:32
no questions now.00:00:35
Roman, here is the current state of the00:00:38
Ukrainian army00:00:41
in comparison with the Russian army on00:00:44
the fronts of which00:00:48
we currently have one00:00:53
small problem, but maybe it’s a00:00:55
big one; it’s an00:00:57
endless human resource,00:01:00
Russian and finite, after all,00:01:04
Ukrainian and this is the problem that it00:01:07
is. It’s not going anywhere.00:01:11
You can get away from it only by speeding up00:01:14
certain actions to push00:01:17
Russian troops out of Ukraine, that is,00:01:20
continue to reach the border in 1991 and00:01:23
hold the front line in defense mode.00:01:27
That’s how we can solve it. this00:01:30
small big problem is small00:01:33
in the fact that according to certain00:01:36
actions at the front,00:01:39
strength and quantity do not always influence and00:01:45
always become Living force is used for iron, and because00:01:49
when there is iron, it seems that00:01:52
Living force is not scary, but when there is a lot of it, then00:01:55
we remember this quantity Stalin sometimes00:01:58
turns into quality and in itself it00:02:01
is already a quality. It’s better that this00:02:03
quality has already stopped somewhere. It must be00:02:07
stopped somewhere because this is a00:02:11
problem in everything else. The Ukrainian00:02:13
army is now head and shoulders above the Russian army.00:02:16
We have been training for 8 years. We are 8. for years they fought for00:02:21
8 years, they completely restored it00:02:25
practically from scratch,00:02:27
they restored the army, so from 14, it00:02:30
was completely destroyed, that is, at the00:02:33
beginning of 14, the Ukrainian army00:02:35
practically did not exist in the form in00:02:38
which it is00:02:39
considered as such. Over 8 years, the army00:02:43
has grown00:02:45
contrary to the military-political00:02:48
that Ukraine is it so happened that on the00:02:51
one hand we were00:02:53
tempered, raised and raised by our enemy,00:02:56
we had to. I mean we, the people of00:03:00
the army had to be00:03:02
tempered by fighting with the enemy, having00:03:07
instead of training grounds 400 kilometers of fund. Well,00:03:11
we had good instructors,00:03:13
after all, the instructors who came to us00:03:15
taught us they showed their00:03:19
techniques, they took away something from us for themselves, and00:03:23
this interesting symbiosis of00:03:27
ours,00:03:29
I was in contact mainly with Canadians,00:03:33
excellent Canadian instructors, well done00:03:36
guys, of course, and they helped so quietly,00:03:40
like Canada, it’s unheard of at the00:03:43
moment, Canada Canada exists00:03:46
Canada wife,00:03:48
you and I are fighting together That is,00:03:50
there were instructors and Polish Well,00:03:54
there were NATO ones, even Swedish ones, that is, at00:03:58
least I don’t know everyone. That is, the dream was00:04:01
very big in the package, but who I00:04:05
was in contact with was this Plast,00:04:08
so we can say that Now the00:04:10
Ukrainian army is really already one of the00:04:14
best armies in the world, it has absorbed itself.00:04:18
This is the most interesting thing, when a00:04:21
nation or a person chooses Yes, a lot of00:04:23
blood and becomes healthier00:04:26
according to various indicators, such is our army,00:04:30
having absorbed itself, most of the00:04:32
interesting ones, sometimes not very much, but00:04:36
nevertheless having absorbed itself a lot of new things and00:04:39
from other00:04:41
army of other instructors the same through00:04:45
the instructor it was all the transfers We00:04:47
chose for ourselves everything that we delivered what00:04:49
we need at the moment and now00:04:51
of course we are superior to the Russian00:04:54
Russian army has degraded and in00:04:57
reality I know the Soviet army very well00:05:00
myself from where else from 1981 I00:05:04
put on boots at the age of 17 after school I immediately00:05:08
entered the flight school 17 that is, I00:05:11
know the00:05:13
Soviet army I knew the beginning of the Ukrainian00:05:15
army I know what kind of army we have now I see the00:05:19
Russian army they have complete degradation00:05:22
neither Gerasim nor anyone else they00:05:25
could not They couldn’t they were still able to00:05:28
deploy it and build an army, even They00:05:33
couldn’t make a defensive one, let alone an00:05:37
offensive one, even a defensive one,00:05:38
now they’re trying, they’re just afraid of the00:05:41
Ukrainian army,00:05:43
they’re trying to get ready somehow, they don’t have time to00:05:46
damage it, but the only thing is that they have a00:05:48
vacuum cleaner, they won’t rely on it00:05:50
now, but let’s talk about human00:05:52
resources, it means they have 140 million00:05:55
people there, no one counted us,00:05:58
in my opinion, there hasn’t been a census since 2001. Well, let’s00:06:01
say it’s probably 35 million, or maybe00:06:04
30. Nobody knows how many, in fact,00:06:07
this is a big problem in your opinion in the00:06:11
presence of00:06:12
high-precision weapons, which we00:06:15
hope will be given to us in full,00:06:19
here we must understand that high-precision00:06:22
weapons will still destroy00:06:24
either warehouses or00:06:27
decision-making centers, that is,00:06:30
command posts, logistics chains,00:06:32
but high-precision weapons will not destroy a00:06:35
large number of manpower. This is00:06:37
approximately If we00:06:39
take How example the same Afghanistan, a00:06:43
lot of people without galoshes without boots but with00:06:47
machine guns they did the job Vietnam the00:06:52
same picture That is, if you take this00:06:54
plane, high-precision weapons00:06:56
as such do not always solve the problem as much as possible.00:07:00
But what is good about high-precision weapons is that they00:07:04
definitely neutralize the00:07:06
enemy’s offensive capabilities; offensive ones do not00:07:09
defensive to the enemy if there is a lot of him00:07:12
with small arms, even just with00:07:14
clubs. But if he can defend very much,00:07:16
attacking will not help00:07:19
because here there is just such a balance of00:07:22
capabilities and a balance of necessity,00:07:25
because high-precision weapons will definitely00:07:28
help us; it will not allow the Russians to attack00:07:32
us; there will be nothing to simply attack with we00:07:34
will mow down the defense mode and we00:07:36
can squeeze the enemy to00:07:38
certain00:07:39
borders that we will draw for ourselves.00:07:43
It’s most likely 91, after all, we wo00:07:45
n’t go to Russia, they don’t need it in this00:07:48
sense, but then these 14000:07:50
million are even 10 percent of 1400:07:53
millions They will hang out for about 7,00000:07:56
kilometers00:07:59
from Europe to Vladivostok. That is, it00:08:04
will naturally be a problem00:08:05
as far as Russia goes, let’s00:08:08
really call it in. Really, this means00:08:10
arming, feeding, clothing, after all,00:08:15
what can we count on, how many of them00:08:17
can come here, it’s00:08:19
all about in time right now at the00:08:23
moment They were able to more or less put00:08:27
on wheels, let’s say so, yes, that is, to00:08:30
bring up to the level of motorized infantry somewhere up to00:08:34
300 thousand people that we have,00:08:36
not all of them there, mostly there are00:08:39
motorized infantry units, but there are a lot of00:08:42
infantry rifle units now they are00:08:44
still waiting for their armor, there is not enough of it, but00:08:48
somewhere around the end of spring for the summer they00:08:52
will be able to send armor here for 100 thousand or so a month,00:08:56
that is, and this is already00:08:59
this problem will be somewhere closer to00:09:02
summer now there are not yet 100,000 people,00:09:04
purely so to speak,00:09:07
in living meat, if you can call them that00:09:11
is, they are somewhere around 100 thousand a month, the00:09:13
system has already been fully launched, it doesn’t00:09:15
need any mobilization of the announcement of the00:09:18
mobilization of the00:09:19
situation, it has been fully launched00:09:21
somewhere since December and now in January,00:09:24
after they released conscripts00:09:28
to00:09:29
replace demobilized ones, and after that the00:09:32
system continues to work, about00:09:34
100 thousand a month, they will stamp,00:09:37
recruit, stamp and they will00:09:40
go here for slaughter. But they will put00:09:43
more or less children of about 10 years old in the armor. This system the00:09:46
meat plant will malfunction, for example,00:09:49
under the influence of a large number of00:09:51
coffins that come to Russia, but the00:09:54
mothers will simply raise a protest, they will say we00:09:57
won’t give up our children or it’s00:09:59
futile,00:10:00
but here there’s war, mathematics, I’ve been saying this for00:10:04
at least a year on air, war is00:10:07
mathematics, everything counts 100 thousand00:10:09
people We downvoted for year, well, roughly00:10:12
100 thousand people out of 100 million,00:10:15
not even counting 140,150 out of 100 million00:10:18
Russians This is an exact number and there are definitely about00:10:21
100 million of them. 100 thousand people00:10:23
is one in a thousand.00:10:25
For them, they don’t even know who died.00:10:29
That is, this is very little one person out of00:10:34
a thousand, that is, he disappeared; no one even00:10:37
knew him out of this thousand people during00:10:39
his life. Well, hundreds of people00:10:42
communicate not with thousands, for sure there is an00:10:45
exception here. There are no questions; the main ones are00:10:46
somewhere around 100 people, this is the maximum00:10:50
social circle of an average person, because thousands00:10:53
Well, exactly no, if you minus a million,00:10:55
then only one out of a hundred then00:11:00
complaints Well, maybe then this00:11:02
person is just an00:11:04
average Russian, he may00:11:06
have known that some Vasily Petrovich00:11:09
died somewhere out there whom I knew there 2000:11:11
years ago, that’s all, that is the quantity the coffin to00:11:15
Russia is simply not enough right now00:11:18
for the Russians to even00:11:19
notice it No, they don’t notice it, we00:11:22
disperse it, we see it in this space,00:11:25
we load these Russian corpses with00:11:28
Kamaz trucks, just not Kamaz trucks, we have other00:11:31
vehicles, that is, they simply don’t00:11:35
notice it and won’t notice it And up to the level of a00:11:38
million in00:11:40
year we need to reach we still need 100,00000:11:44
people per month minus this is00:11:47
about 3000 per day00:11:51
this is real Really this is real but00:11:55
now 600 700 need to be caught up to 3000 This00:11:59
is the mill to start it up only then,00:12:02
firstly, a00:12:03
back wave of coffins somehow at00:12:06
least people will see again that they will see00:12:09
one out of a hundred, this is if in such a00:12:12
regime as I just said, not one00:12:14
out of a hundred will be seen, that is, one out of a hundred00:12:18
will be dead, this again cannot but00:12:21
hit absolutely because I say this in this00:12:23
sense in this sense the resource is endless00:12:26
and this is definitely not possible,00:12:29
it is unrealistic in such a regime, and00:12:33
it is unlikely that this will hit the Russians. The00:12:37
Russians can only be hit by the00:12:39
economic situation, the economic00:12:41
situation, that is, when the center is unable to00:12:44
provide finances for its circles for its00:12:48
formations of the state Republic00:12:51
when there will be no00:12:55
financial center and then00:12:58
everyone will just have to,00:13:00
that is, the Russian Federation will have to00:13:02
somehow become tied up in00:13:05
certain clusters within itself and00:13:09
already fall apart, or rather simply forget00:13:11
about the Constitution of the Russian Federation,00:13:14
which in principle probably no longer00:13:16
exists, the legal field was torn apart by00:13:19
the introduction of Crimea there, but especially the00:13:21
four republics of Ukraine that is, it does not00:13:24
exist. This is the most optimal00:13:26
option and probably the only possible one00:13:28
when the Russians are given the wave of this war,00:13:32
which we now have, we have problems with00:13:36
mobilization,00:13:38
we definitely have problems with00:13:41
mobilization, and not with mobilization, I00:13:44
would say, but most likely with00:13:46
professional filling00:13:49
they didn’t deal with the army, the fact that the army00:13:53
itself was involved in this is one thing the people00:13:55
were involved in, but the army As such, not a00:13:57
single president, from00:14:01
Kuchma to Zelensky, was involved in the army during all00:14:03
this time, it’s clear00:14:06
why. Because people can’t, I00:14:08
can’t deal with, say, providing a00:14:11
surgical clinic I don’t00:14:14
understand anything. That is, it’s simply unrealistic,00:14:18
and in all these years of00:14:21
Independence, the00:14:24
Ukrainian people have not elected a single president based on their rights and00:14:27
suitability; the00:14:29
president is elected by the president. He is senior over all00:14:33
the security forces, that is, the people had to00:14:35
choose their Supreme Commander,00:14:38
they are the president. there should have00:14:41
been some kind of00:14:44
professional suitability here. Well, it simply wasn’t there00:14:46
because people may not be in the simplicity of their00:14:49
souls simply because they simply did not00:14:51
understand the very essence of the problem, well, our00:14:55
army on February 24 was able to be00:14:58
deployed across the states peacetime00:15:01
Well, if anyone understands who will understand, the army00:15:06
in peacetime states does not have the right to00:15:08
do much of anything at all, some things00:15:11
that even carried out illegal things in the Donbass,00:15:14
and then there is the question of00:15:16
when these issues can even arise,00:15:19
some things do not have a statute of limitations00:15:23
because00:15:25
there are many problems with this00:15:29
and after00:15:32
martial law was already introduced, the army is deployed00:15:36
when the army also according to wartime states,00:15:40
it then begins to00:15:42
deploy, increases by 3-5 times,00:15:45
depending on the need, first a00:15:48
certain number of00:15:49
professionals are recruited, those who can00:15:53
generally perform combat missions I as00:15:58
an instructor, I can say with confidence that00:16:00
more than a dozen people taught00:16:02
fighters to fly; some of them were copied off,00:16:05
that is, in truth, not00:16:08
all people can fly fighters; one in a00:16:10
thousand can fight; there are a00:16:19
lot of questions, but they00:16:22
just can’t, if forcing a00:16:24
person to fight is the same as killing him,00:16:28
putting a person in a fighter plane,00:16:31
forcing him to take off, then he will be killed, he will00:16:34
not sit down, but he00:16:36
will kill someone else on the ground, and in this sense, a person00:16:40
with a machine gun who can’t perform00:16:43
certain tasks for various reasons,00:16:46
I’ll also tell you, he can’t either himself or00:16:49
him or he will kill a lot of hits,00:16:53
even we know this very well,00:16:56
friendly fire because of these same00:16:58
reasons, that is, people simply cannot00:17:01
fight for various reasons of mine this00:17:04
forces us to have this problem, there is a00:17:06
problem, it’s a big one, you can’t approach it, the00:17:10
first thing it shouldn’t have been, it’s a00:17:12
system error, a system error, the fact that00:17:14
martial law was not introduced and the00:17:17
army was not deployed to00:17:19
wartime states for another 14 years. This is a question00:17:22
for all three presidents Turchynov00:17:24
Poroshenko Zelensky’s army, naturally,00:17:27
could not recruit a certain number of00:17:30
professionals and approach this issue with the00:17:33
project. And now, after this systemic00:17:37
error, the approach is again wrong, that is,00:17:40
you need to select people according to two criteria:00:17:45
professional suitability. That is, this is a mandatory00:17:47
criterion and certain things related to the00:17:53
desire for certain actions. Well, that00:17:56
is, a person must necessarily want00:17:59
not only to be able to But also to Want, that is, there00:18:01
must be motivation motivation and00:18:04
professional suitability for these Only00:18:06
two things now at the moment if00:18:09
there is a drawback and it will be in any case00:18:11
because we are now being given new00:18:13
weapons, there are already parts that we have yours00:18:16
to guarantee them That is, now the00:18:18
best option based on these two00:18:21
criteria about suitability and00:18:26
certain points related to00:18:28
participation in the war. It is now necessary to00:18:31
raise00:18:32
government officials00:18:36
who, for their entire life, receive the00:18:39
state a00:18:41
certain financial, that is,00:18:44
state funding comes plus00:18:47
security forces who are professionally00:18:50
suitable to apply with weapons, this is the00:18:52
police, these are certain security00:18:55
structures, these are customs officers, these are00:18:57
border guards of the SBU. Well, that is, all the law enforcement00:19:00
agencies in which people were recruited00:19:03
according to these two criteria, motivation and00:19:07
professional suitability, that is,00:19:08
on the street to collect people, this is just00:19:12
at least 90 of them, or even 99 of00:19:16
them kill sent to war, one person00:19:20
survives And by the way, according to the Russian this00:19:24
chmobik, it is also clear from the hundred 90 from00:19:29
the minus,00:19:30
and this is called the so-called00:19:33
natural selection, that is, according to those00:19:35
professional skills at least00:19:38
they remain alive 90 and kills00:19:42
and this happens right away because we have00:19:45
the problem with the approach we have is simply a00:19:48
system error, which tells00:19:51
the ground forces how to do it all correctly,00:19:58
friends Good afternoon, this is00:20:00
the situation we have, see there is no light again00:20:03
Thank you to our Russian brothers in quotes,00:20:07
may they burn in hell for all the00:20:09
good they have done for us in in quotation marks00:20:11
again Right now I’m sitting here signing00:20:14
Gordon shock books for my merch store,00:20:18
now you see we have a light bulb like this,00:20:21
see how it’s on batteries I’ve00:20:24
already signed 9 books,00:20:27
I have 10 left 1 This is what00:20:32
I’m going to sign now so you can see how00:20:36
it’s happening and they knew that00:20:38
I wasn’t signing this for someone else for me I always00:20:41
do everything myself I’ll show the sentry00:20:44
You see how opening up like this the Euro00:20:48
was more inconvenient now I’ll hook it to something00:20:51
beautifully so on the tablet what should we do00:20:57
adapt a person is such an animal00:20:59
that he can adapt to everything00:21:02
now I’ll show you how I’m going to sign this book,00:21:13
so it will be seen, it will be seen, yes, you00:21:41
see, somehow we’ll defeat everyone, we’ll defeat everyone.00:21:46
Glory to Ukraine00:21:51
[music] [applause]00:21:53
[music]00:22:00
Roman, we have big losses,00:22:03
we have losses now, one00:22:06
seven somewhere with Russians in terms of deaths are00:22:11
one in seven. Therefore, here you can, if00:22:14
now there are about 120 thousand Russians, then we00:22:18
already have over 10, that’s for sure. These are only the dead,00:22:22
but we have a lot of wounded, a00:22:26
lot of wounded, seriously wounded, there is a00:22:31
big plus in our doctors, a couple of00:22:34
doctors in our medical system, that00:22:37
is we practically save all the00:22:40
Russians who die, everything works out if in00:22:43
a few tens of minutes they provided00:22:45
assistance to a Russian00:22:48
wounded man, he has already died, that is, either00:22:51
from blood loss or frostbite, we00:22:54
pull everyone out, we rescue without arms without00:22:58
legs with large wounds, and00:23:03
uh, we have00:23:05
very large seriously wounded00:23:08
the numbers really can’t be named until the end of00:23:12
the war, but believe me, they’re big.00:23:16
I talk periodically with the guys00:23:19
who are now standing in awe, they00:23:22
say that the Russians learned to fight00:23:25
before, they fought poorly, but now they’ve learned,00:23:28
experience is still a good thing, they say00:23:32
that the Russians have good weapons, they’re in a00:23:34
frenzy and they’re fighting more - less good is this00:23:38
true or not,00:23:39
but in continuation of my words00:23:42
they brought it Previously Yes, they say before it’s00:23:45
worse now it’s better 100 thousand people come in,00:23:49
I’m speaking roughly now for the sake of00:23:51
understanding 100 thousand came in00:23:53
90 died 10 survived 10 survived which ones are00:23:58
professionally suitable in terms of00:24:01
their00:24:02
qualities and even genetic, even00:24:06
No other, simply because of the speed of00:24:08
reaction because of00:24:09
orientation on the ground in space00:24:12
Well, there are a lot of things that give ingenuity, and00:24:16
that’s it, but inside somewhere It’s also00:24:19
recorded on the psychomatrix because these 1000:24:22
now remaining are now fighting them00:24:26
now they have been accumulating, that is,00:24:29
what Putin did Putin is what we have,00:24:32
or rather, everywhere all over the world, we have so-00:24:34
called selection procedures. When joining the army00:24:38
at any00:24:40
military university, there is professional selection everywhere,00:24:43
that is, a professional commission selects a00:24:46
person, different tests, I remember we00:24:50
came to the Chernigov school back in 1981 as a00:24:53
17-year-old boy. We were00:24:55
tested for professional aptitude for several weeks. And00:24:59
in my opinion, several thousand00:25:01
people were dropped out; only about 300 remained,00:25:04
that is, and these tests clearly00:25:08
show that they are doctors, psychologists, and there are a00:25:12
lot of specialties there. clearly they00:25:15
clearly show whether a person can00:25:18
do something or not according to his own00:25:20
qualities, not even acquired ones, that is, it was00:25:23
originally laid down by nature and here00:25:28
the Russians are doing. What are the Russians doing? Putin, what did00:25:31
he do, he was so right, he had a selection on00:25:34
the front end, he threw as many as00:25:38
possible alive,00:25:40
survived the fittest is called that is,00:25:43
these survivors now, they are already so00:25:45
seasoned,00:25:47
shelled seasoned, here they are and they are00:25:50
now starting to fight equipment there was equipment in the00:25:53
Bakhmut area there was equipment equipment from00:25:56
first of all private traders they had their own00:26:00
flow of equipment they had00:26:02
their own specific position and00:26:06
they received equipment equipment No, not00:26:09
really no, well, let’s say there is little equipment in00:26:12
the Kherson direction, little equipment in the00:26:14
Zaporozhye direction there, closer to the00:26:17
Dnieper And in the Bakhmut area Moreover, in the00:26:19
main directions there is equipment,00:26:21
now they have gone to some places of00:26:24
the offensive, already with equipment they are moving in the00:26:26
Daria corner with equipment in the00:26:30
flint area, equipment is also already appearing there.00:26:34
Please tell me00:26:36
what Western weapons we need in order to00:26:41
maintain victory as quickly as possible, that’s what00:26:44
you asked Today from the West,00:26:47
let’s assume the West says that we need everything,00:26:51
we’ll give the list00:26:53
first. Even though I’m a pilot, I have to00:26:57
start with aviation but anyway, I’ll start with the00:27:00
real general combat of artillery00:27:03
artillery once again00:27:06
80 90 percent of the enemy’s losses from00:27:10
artillery00:27:11
because any artillery is better than high-precision and there is a00:27:16
lot of ammunition. That is, we have00:27:18
now I didn’t say that we have a shell00:27:21
hunger, but00:27:24
ask any warrior at zero he he will clearly say00:27:28
from there 5-7 are flying there alone and this is still happening00:27:33
and this can be corrected Only quantity00:27:38
And not only the matter is that it’s not00:27:41
me who doesn’t conclude that if the two of us are now included in the00:27:46
Artillery team, we will not complete00:27:50
those tasks that00:27:52
professional Artie would have performed who knows how to00:27:55
work with a grid knows how to work with00:27:59
certain types of detection with00:28:02
reconnaissance aircraft that correct Fire,00:28:04
that is, the whole process. It is the same thing and00:28:08
to be prepared for the same flying00:28:11
art, that is, the same art of00:28:13
any military art. Art is art is00:28:16
professionalism. Therefore, here also00:28:18
training of personnel00:28:20
is very important The first is art and00:28:24
ammunition the second is armor armor is important00:28:27
Why carry out offensive00:28:31
missions without armor is to put a00:28:34
lot of people again the kind of people we have,00:28:38
too, professionals we prepare them00:28:40
That is, every person He, in addition to the fact00:28:43
that this is life this is someone’s husband, son, brother and00:28:49
relative, this is also a professional.00:28:52
A professional must be trained to the level of00:28:54
professionalism, that is, in order for a00:28:56
professional to be prepared to protect, he00:28:58
needs armor, and armor is a level. That00:29:02
is, this is an infantry fighting vehicle, armored personnel carrier, and any armor00:29:05
that is available on the battlefield that is00:29:08
possible. transferring tanks by itself is an00:29:12
offensive weapon, offensive00:29:14
according to certain formulas,00:29:16
the amount of00:29:17
heavy equipment necessary to00:29:20
carry out a breakthrough on a certain00:29:22
section of the front along the width and to a00:29:24
certain depth of the front is calculated, and this is00:29:26
very simply calculated00:29:28
somewhere a company of a company of tanks per kilometer,00:29:34
this is roughly a company of 10 tanks per kilometer00:29:36
And then the depth of the front, depending on the00:29:39
tasks, tanks, of course, aviation, aviation00:29:43
is important just during an offensive. The fact is00:29:46
that now in the battle that we are having now,00:29:50
at least we are in this state, we are in this00:29:53
state, we have a00:29:54
very strong anti-aircraft system00:29:56
defense and we do not allow enemy aircraft to00:29:59
approach the front line; they do not00:30:00
approach; they are afraid to go beyond the00:30:02
front line; sometimes they00:30:03
drop in at extremely low altitudes,00:30:06
not reaching 23 kilometers; the00:30:11
helicopter raises the nose of the plane; they shoot off the nose and00:30:13
leave so that our snowmen do00:30:16
not overwhelm them. But this is the maximum that they while00:30:17
they can still more or less do it, they00:30:21
're throwing down, we're throwing down, yes, they don't00:30:24
always overshoot the front line, the pilots don't always00:30:26
determine in the same place a fraction of a second, that's already00:30:28
kilometers. Well, that is, the00:30:31
iron composition here is very complex, not the same00:30:33
as a year ago, the yellowmouths went, that00:30:37
is, stock and Pros We landed00:30:42
last year and yellowmouths now Why are there00:30:44
more of them and they go to bed when they don’t00:30:46
jump out now it’s clear from the00:30:49
spinners and dryers they are landing more00:30:53
we are landing00:30:55
aviation aviation is needed00:30:58
for the offensive mainly in defense sending an00:31:02
advance opposite00:31:04
the enemy will not work because the00:31:07
air defense is not bad copes, but on the contrary,00:31:10
let’s say aviation also needs missiles, that00:31:12
is, for the offensive00:31:15
on the ground and to carry out00:31:18
interception tasks, that is, you need a00:31:22
tax-functional fighter that00:31:24
could carry aerial bombs, could carry missiles from the00:31:28
air of a groundman to work on the00:31:31
ground, and could carry missiles to intercept00:31:35
enemy missiles.00:31:38
type f-16 type F16 f-16 f1800:31:43
Well, that is, light on one side, light00:31:47
multi-role fighters. It is00:31:49
very important here that a00:31:50
fighter can have any engine00:31:54
working on an interceptor opposite00:31:56
enemy aircraft and any00:31:59
aircraft, any fighter is00:32:01
designed for this, no we need00:32:03
fighters00:32:05
to carry out certain00:32:09
again, to carry out certain00:32:11
tasks, let’s say to carry out00:32:13
offensive tasks, we need at least a00:32:15
couple of squadrons. That is, this is a00:32:19
squadron of 12 aircraft, 2 squadrons, this is00:32:21
a Brigade, that is, one brigade before00:32:24
performing an offensive one00:32:25
offensive action. But realistically, to00:32:27
close, realistically to close the sky, we00:32:31
need Well, at least 5 brigades That’s for sure and00:32:34
close the sky Yes, that’s already more than a hundred00:32:37
planes, and we seem to have had00:32:42
these hundred planes, but again they are00:32:44
diverse drying Su-25 attack aircraft00:32:47
could only work on the ground00:32:50
Su-24 bombers could only work on the ground00:32:53
MiG 29 Su-27 note seems to be00:32:56
multifunctional but not upgraded, we00:32:59
didn’t improve them in our time and they00:33:03
worked with old Soviet missiles, they00:33:05
still work, to be honest, I feel00:33:08
sorry for the pilots who work with these00:33:11
missiles, these are00:33:14
r27r73 missiles, these are00:33:17
semi-active homing heads,00:33:20
the pilot must approach the target, approach00:33:23
illuminate it to the enemy plane and00:33:27
constantly while the missile is coming, he must00:33:29
keep the00:33:31
enemy plane under color. And00:33:35
Russian planes00:33:37
have a radiation detection system on all planes,00:33:40
they only feel that it is00:33:42
emitting it and it is turning around and its00:33:45
missile ranges, missile ranges are00:33:47
twice as long as ours and the pilot doesn’t leave anymore,00:33:50
he just exposes himself and it’s00:33:54
called “Let him launch a missile with an00:33:58
infrared homing head,00:33:59
turn 180 degrees including00:34:02
Fast and Furious and with matte, otherwise God forbid he00:34:04
turns around and everything seems like a joke, but00:34:07
nevertheless we have such a problem with these with our00:34:10
aircraft, we need to completely change the entire fleet, the00:34:13
entire fleet of aircraft that00:34:15
we have just needs to be changed. Change at00:34:17
least at the F16 level, for this you need about 500:34:20
brigs, 57 brigades00:34:23
besides the F16, we talked, we are also talking about the00:34:28
Atakams, now the state is saying the00:34:30
Atakams are asking for 300,600 missiles00:34:34
kilometers range What do you think about this00:34:37
Well, attacks from 300 kilometers 30000:34:40
kilometers have a launch system like00:34:44
mlrs Or the same hymers, so this is a00:34:47
launch system you can go there a lot00:34:50
Spectrum of missiles it can,00:34:54
yes there is 500-600 this is PSM atacams this is 30000:34:59
kilometers And 500 600 This is a new missile00:35:02
They tested it on there is already a PSN00:35:06
if it’s correct it’s not shootable at all00:35:09
but if it’s sent to Russia to00:35:11
Russia somewhere well in this life everything can be00:35:15
shot down and everything can be missed00:35:18
technically00:35:19
theoretically But the technical ones are very00:35:23
difficult these are ballistic missiles it00:35:27
goes away several tens of kilometers00:35:29
almost into space And then from there00:35:33
it begins to fall down towards the target with acceleration00:35:36
going00:35:37
closer to hypersonic speed and it is00:35:41
simply impossible, that is, no00:35:42
system if there is no If there is no00:35:47
satellite tracking system That is, if the satellites do not00:35:50
see the launch point ballistic missile, they do00:35:53
not first determine the ballista of00:35:56
this missile and at least approximately00:35:59
determine the entry point, that is, the00:36:02
target point, then maybe they have time to00:36:04
activate that00:36:07
missile defense system and that00:36:09
anti-aircraft missile system that is within the00:36:11
radius of destruction of this point, this is00:36:14
how the Patriot system works, by the way, this is exactly00:36:16
how it works sees the point to launch the00:36:20
satellites calculate the system, or rather00:36:23
calculate the ballistic trajectory,00:36:26
activates that point and that battery00:36:29
that00:36:30
is in the damage radius and from there00:36:34
this battery further calculates then before00:36:37
the meeting it sends missiles to meet on a00:36:41
collision course, you can only shoot down00:36:44
hypersonic ballistic00:36:46
missiles like this good system Yes in in this sense,00:36:49
Yes, Patriot is a very good system, Saint is the00:36:53
newest and Israeli, here are three systems00:36:56
that work approximately the same00:37:01
Well, guys, now I’ll show you what you00:37:05
should drink tea with, look what I have00:37:07
in my hands Gordon’s bird’s milk00:37:11
in chocolate is delicious Bird’s milk is00:37:13
nothing I haven’t eaten better in my life00:37:16
and here I have marshmallows in my hands Gordon00:37:19
Believe me, I haven’t eaten anything better in my life00:37:22
and it’s true, look at them00:37:26
on my plate Here they are Bird’s00:37:28
milk00:37:29
from marshmallows This is such beauty Now00:37:33
look what I have I have an00:37:36
ordinary cup, like a cup. So I put it on, I take a00:37:40
teapot and pour it into a cup. Now00:37:43
let’s see what will happen to00:37:45
this cup. I pour boiling water,00:37:48
pour, pour, pour, look00:37:52
what will happen to it.00:37:59
-something is manifesting there00:38:03
I think it’s me00:38:07
Excellent It’s already manifested itself and Now look at00:38:11
these candies00:38:17
No, this is a bomb00:38:19
and here’s a marshmallow00:38:21
[applause]00:38:22
[music]00:38:26
these are two letters00:38:29
for health guys,00:38:43
what else does Ukraine need besides the00:38:46
above00:38:48
Well, if aviation comes in But if aviation comes in00:38:52
then aviation can be said00:38:55
only aviation means with00:38:58
certain weapons, not just00:38:59
aviation like on an airplane aviation00:39:03
that will be transferred certain00:39:05
weapons can be said that00:39:08
aviation In a sense, these are weapons of00:39:10
mass destruction after00:39:13
aviation works there is nothing left on the ground00:39:15
where it happened, let’s say a00:39:18
flight of bombers came in00:39:21
and got bombed, so00:39:24
each plane is 5-7 tons can take a00:39:28
combat load of 5-7 tons, one shell Well,00:39:33
that’s 50 kilograms00:39:34
and that’s 5-7 tons, that is, artillery can’t00:39:37
compare Well, that’s okay That is, we can00:39:39
say about weapons of mass destruction00:39:41
because if there is enough aviation, we will00:39:44
plow this manpower. And to the00:39:47
depth of the combat radius of the aircraft, aviation.00:39:50
How does aviation work first with00:39:55
anti-radar missiles,00:39:56
anti-radar missiles, it knocks out the entire semi-against,00:39:59
it’s just that everything where at least something00:40:01
lights up, for the sake of radiation of the00:40:05
earth, the missile leaves and all of it is no longer there,00:40:08
it works for several weeks, two to three weeks00:40:11
a month. Until all of its enemy is00:40:14
destroyed, the aircraft does not come in to carry out a00:40:16
combat mission. After the last00:40:19
anti-aircraft missile system is destroyed,00:40:21
then the bombers come in and00:40:23
begin to plow up the earth with everything that is there00:40:26
on the ground. here is a 50000:40:29
kilogram bomb Imagine that00:40:32
there will be 5 tons 10 boom at once 50000:40:35
kilograms per head, it’s about the same as00:40:37
if you compare Well,00:40:40
10 Iskanders at one point yes Or but00:40:43
this is simply impossible to do with the00:40:45
help of ballistic missiles, there00:40:47
are not so many of them, well, there are a lot of them needed here00:40:49
at once one plane carries a dozen dozen00:40:55
half-tons, that is, there is simply nothing left to plow on the ground00:40:58
because this is00:41:01
manpower, how can you cope with the00:41:03
Russians with Russian manpower with the00:41:07
help of artillery will hold the00:41:10
front line to the depth of its work, but00:41:13
on average artillery works 15-2500:41:15
kilometers, it’s clear these are all00:41:18
MLRS missiles, this is not at all like army artillery00:41:21
works to a depth of 15-25 where it00:41:24
can plow something, and aviation00:41:27
will plow to the depth of the combat radius; the00:41:30
average combat radius, let’s say it’s already00:41:34
16,700 kilometers, it will be possible to plow00:41:36
back and forth and that’s how since that00:41:39
mechanism is the regime in which we will have to00:41:42
fight with Russia, they00:41:45
will give us aviation. As it seems to you,00:41:48
I’m even sure that they will. The fact is that there00:41:51
are certain ones. That’s how I was sure00:41:54
that they would give us tanks even before the New Year.00:41:56
As soon as I heard that they were giving us00:41:59
Bradley there are no00:42:03
infantry fighting vehicles in large00:42:06
quantities, but there are things that are given for00:42:09
something, that is, infantry fighting vehicles are00:42:12
accompanying tanks that00:42:15
support armor, so there was no00:42:19
point in giving Bradley such a quantity00:42:21
if it is not assumed that they will be transferred,00:42:23
that is, there are things that they00:42:27
pull one after another if they give Bradley, then they will00:42:29
give tanks, if they give a couple of Bradley tanks, they00:42:32
will definitely give openings from00:42:35
the air, otherwise a tank with an infantry fighting vehicle, whatever it is,00:42:39
whatever kind of infantry fighting vehicle I have, if it is00:42:41
not covered from the air by aviation, this is a very00:42:43
easy target for anyone, for any aviation,00:42:46
they even they will sacrifice, let’s say00:42:49
aviation, sacrifice planes, but they00:42:53
will knock out tanks. Moreover, they will00:42:55
hunt, in my opinion, they have already announced 1000:42:58
million for each Abrams, the Russians00:43:01
will hunt, they will not hunt for this piece of goods,00:43:04
so to speak, while the tank00:43:07
will still be a piece of goods, because they must be00:43:09
covered with airplanes and they will00:43:11
definitely be given, otherwise they didn’t give it, it’s not00:43:13
crazy, that is, I only00:43:16
understand from this that aviation will be00:43:18
transferred, and one more00:43:21
indicator is that what will be transferred to us is being00:43:24
transferred and is being transferred also in order00:43:27
to cover cover the airbase, that’s why the00:43:30
Americans and where00:43:34
Israel is used where patriots are used00:43:36
they are used to cover air bases00:43:38
this is a pretty good pair when00:43:41
planes on the ground cover the Patriot And00:43:44
already the Patriot works from an airplane with00:43:47
missiles, some mean like an anti00:43:51
-aircraft missile system like an00:43:53
air defense system That is, it00:43:54
can work also from the platform Which00:43:56
carries an anti-missile missile on board the00:43:59
plane, that is, here is this pair and without00:44:03
planes there is no Triad on the ground, not a00:44:06
pair is obtained00:44:09
because the plane will definitely be, as I00:44:12
understand it, the Russians00:44:14
don’t have anything like that or they have no no they’re even in00:44:18
they are not moving in this direction. We at one time,00:44:22
back in the Soviet Union,00:44:25
diverged in00:44:28
directions, that is, the Russians remained00:44:31
on the Soviet concept,00:44:34
this is air defense, increasing the00:44:37
range of the locator in increasing the00:44:39
range of missiles, and the Americans took a00:44:43
completely different path; they have a range of00:44:46
locators due to the visibility of00:44:49
satellites. And this is already almost infinite00:44:52
visibility That is, everything00:44:54
depends, everything depends on the number of00:44:56
satellites as such and00:44:59
Process control due to the range of the00:45:02
rocket itself due to its number and00:45:06
coverage of the network, that is, these networks00:45:08
are covered And the satellite is watching But the00:45:11
Russians don’t have the Russians watching the locator is00:45:13
already working the rocket is trying to increase00:45:18
its range due to its weight, here one thing00:45:21
pulls on another, that is, the farther00:45:24
the rocket flies, the heavier it is, the heavier the00:45:26
heavier the engine is needed to accelerate it,00:45:28
such movement is nowhere because the network00:45:31
covering system is00:45:34
much more effective Where it is used00:45:36
By the way, SMT and hetz are also used00:45:39
they also use it in the same mode,00:45:41
because the Russians simply won’t catch up,00:45:45
they went in the wrong direction,00:45:47
only one thing worries them: they give, thank you,00:45:51
thank you for giving, but slowly slowly00:45:55
slowly all the time, as if it’s00:45:58
necessary to give the day before yesterday, they give only00:46:00
tomorrow plus time for training necessary Well,00:46:04
now everyone is talking about the fact that the Russians00:46:06
will go on the offensive Yes, February March And00:46:09
we still have nothing of what they have now00:46:11
promised to give us, there is nothing and it will be00:46:13
unknown when this might happen00:46:15
in the fall,00:46:17
what do you think00:46:18
about the timing, the Russians have almost00:46:22
already gone offensive the Russians went on the00:46:25
offensive from Russian Christmas on the 6th 7th00:46:29
They asked Well they didn’t ask00:46:33
they offered A truce under the guise of a truce00:46:36
should have been00:46:38
reformatted in the Ugli Dara area in the00:46:42
solidar area that is in these two points but00:46:45
we did not agree naturally the movement in the00:46:48
Ugli Dara area was extinguished then they also00:46:51
started moving around three weeks00:46:54
ago,00:46:55
ours worked from minus there who00:46:59
was needed on the solidary, not all of them00:47:01
began to move under this cover And00:47:04
now the entire Donetsk front, he has already00:47:06
arrived, the movement is offensive, the00:47:08
Russians are advancing everywhere from the corner of Dora to00:47:11
the solidary, that is the offensive is already underway, that00:47:15
is,00:47:17
they say that in 2-3 months something will00:47:19
start, it won’t start, everything has already started, there00:47:21
won’t be a green whistle like it was on the00:47:24
24th, everything they have, they immediately00:47:27
start it up, we see it perfectly, that is, the00:47:31
Russian mobilization system00:47:33
has started already at full00:47:36
capacity, it has no longer00:47:38
achieved anything 100 thousand people per month, as I already00:47:41
said, 202 month Standard set00:47:45
Well, this is not a little, this is a little by the standards of the00:47:49
Second World War, but this is not a00:47:51
little in just thousands of00:47:54
kilometers here it all depends on the width of the00:47:57
front, now we have a front width of00:48:00
thousands of kilometers, roughly, but minus. Minus00:48:03
about 30-400 kilometers is a front00:48:06
that is covered by the Dnieper and the Kakhovka00:48:10
reservoir, here it is minus part of00:48:13
the front is still minus due to the00:48:17
basements, that is, it remains somewhere00:48:20
kilometers00:48:22
[music]00:48:23
600 700 to such real ones00:48:27
Yes, quite a lot Belarus00:48:30
no no Belarus Belarus doesn’t need to be00:48:34
touched yet, or rather taken into account Because these00:48:37
thousands of kilometers between Ukraine and00:48:40
Belarus Belarus number of troops at00:48:43
the moment Even if this is the case,00:48:46
Lukashenka’s occupation regime00:48:47
will turn on the mobilization regime He is preparing for00:48:50
mobilization, they have already checked00:48:52
four times probably00:48:55
everyone who is ready and back and within two weeks they00:48:58
can put 50 60 thousand under arms Well,00:49:01
in theory But this is still not the corps00:49:03
that can carry out offensive00:49:06
movements, therefore Belarus definitely00:49:09
cannot be accepted yet there is no point in taking into account00:49:12
they will run into our00:49:15
defenses, which General Naev has now rebuilt,00:49:17
I know him well personally since 14 in the00:49:21
Donbass. He knows in this00:49:26
sense, the northern border is definitely00:49:28
fortified because there is no movement from Belarus, but00:49:30
these 100 thousand people are moving they00:49:33
will work, but00:49:36
now each 100 kilometers of the front, that is, 100 thousand00:49:39
every month, will enter the Donetsk00:49:41
front and00:49:43
they will try to move these 100 kilometers of the Donetsk front, and00:49:46
at the expense of manpower they will enter with00:49:49
equipment at the expense of equipment. Well, that is, the00:49:51
aviation is now grounded did they stay with us or00:49:56
in Marika the helicopters approached, transferred00:50:00
through Russian are00:50:04
working, are00:50:06
approaching, working on my link, or00:50:10
even more than 45 helicopters have already been installed,00:50:13
that is, as soon as something is00:50:17
ready, they won’t immediately no one will00:50:19
accumulate anything anywhere, they won’t00:50:21
have enough, they just have the troops will stop with00:50:24
us, they will immediately go in the opposite00:50:25
direction, the front will go into reverse because they00:50:28
will be pressing it with manpower, they have crossed over,00:50:31
they have covered themselves in the Dnieper area, the Dnieper00:50:35
Kakhovka, and in the Zaporozhye area they tried to00:50:37
feed the front line and have stopped for about a00:50:40
week, nothing is going there, that00:50:42
is they nourished the front line for00:50:44
defense measures, they still calmed down,00:50:46
they tried in the area of the walnut field to00:50:50
try our00:50:52
defenses, they realized that it was so00:50:55
stock reinforced concrete, they pulled00:50:57
back, dug in and sat quietly, like mice. And00:51:00
these hundred thousand will move on the Donetsk front00:51:03
every month and you00:51:08
definitely rule out movement no There will be no00:51:10
movement towards Kiev The fact is that most00:51:13
likely the political leadership has already00:51:16
realized your complete professional unsuitability in00:51:20
solving military issues, they moved00:51:22
back not a plan and turned on the00:51:26
military, the logic of any military man in the world is with00:51:29
them Well, it’s like mathematics, yes, that is00:51:31
their Paraguay and ours Twice two is four00:51:34
Can we can or can’t00:51:38
the Russians can’t take Kiev00:51:41
the Russians can’t from and the army that they have and in the00:51:45
next 10 years maybe I’m not even00:51:47
talking about months or years there 10 years the00:51:51
Russians won’t create an army that could,00:51:55
let’s say, lay00:51:57
claim to Kiev is simply unrealistic,00:52:01
Kharkov can only approach00:52:04
theoretically, they can approach frontally,00:52:07
approach and start squeezing out without00:52:09
encirclement, this is how they are now, let’s say in00:52:12
Bakhmut, they are trying to do this, so I will do the00:52:14
same thing, that is, this is how they will approach, they00:52:16
can reach Kharkov with their bodies00:52:19
let's throw our fortifications from the side towards00:52:23
Belgorod, reach Kharkov, they will run into00:52:26
city buildings, they will become like00:52:27
they stopped in the Bakhmut area, again a00:52:29
stupid movement. Well, that is, it00:52:32
in itself is just stupid, it’s just that00:52:34
no one can do it. But that’s why they are in00:52:37
the Donbass these 100 kilometers, the thing is that00:52:39
Donbass is occupied Donbass which is00:52:41
now an excess of these are old mountains00:52:43
this is an excess of 300 meters above00:52:47
sea level Naturally they are from above and it is much00:52:50
easier to move and wherever they00:52:53
squeeze us out they squeeze us out either00:52:54
from top to bottom or they try from the lowlands, that00:52:57
is, already going down from above, do not squeeze out00:53:01
also00:53:02
bakhmut from he is now a Gorlovka00:53:05
excess, they have an excess in Gorlovka,00:53:08
but a Gorlovka excess. Here they are with him, they00:53:11
have a blast in their hands,00:53:12
they shoot him like a shooting gallery, this is the same thing as what00:53:16
we are doing now in the Solidar area, that00:53:18
is, we retreated to the excess, they will bang,00:53:20
they will go to the west, they will go up there, well00:53:23
meters Let there be a few tens of meters of00:53:26
excess and the solidarity is already in full view, the00:53:29
artillerymen can00:53:31
play naval battle, just kidding, but00:53:37
nevertheless they work according to the solidarity already for the00:53:39
Russians, that is, because of this,00:53:43
only Donetsk is no longer at any point00:53:46
from any direction Russian Generals00:53:49
who have now already entered the mode and00:53:52
they were allowed to move in another00:53:55
direction,00:53:57
we can simply leave the bakhmud00:54:02
if00:54:04
there is a certain one. That is,00:54:06
the Russians need time for this, they must, in order for00:54:09
us to leave the bakhmud, they must00:54:11
complete two tasks or one of two00:54:14
or completely encircle Bakhmut,00:54:16
cut but not completely. Let’s00:54:18
cut all the supply lines, it’s called an00:54:21
operational encirclement, that is, they must00:54:23
enter from the side of the klescheevka to the Yar hours00:54:27
in order to cut the line of00:54:31
certain supply lines even for Kramatorsk00:54:33
and they must reach right up to the route from00:54:38
Bakhmut to Slavyansk. These are a few00:54:40
tens of kilometers still from the solidary, that00:54:42
is, then they will take all the00:54:45
supply lines of the Bakun group and under00:54:49
Artillery fire. That is,00:54:52
under the control of00:54:54
artillery, the00:54:56
operational environment is naturally called. Our troops will go00:54:59
out in a00:55:00
real way, a normal technique, how to00:55:03
squeeze a garrison out of00:55:06
the area, let’s say either or throw bodies at them. How do00:55:11
they do this? now they are doing this now,00:55:13
they are trying with the number of00:55:16
several thousand still remaining there, they still have prisoners left,00:55:19
they are trying to throw bodies from the side of00:55:20
Kleshcheevka from the southeast00:55:24
and try to squeeze out the Ukrainian00:55:27
troops or completely destroy the entire edge of the00:55:31
bakhmut artillery, completely destroy00:55:33
all the high-rise buildings there up to half a meter there00:55:37
is something there I already had nowhere to00:55:39
defend then the Ukrainian troops00:55:41
will go to the excess as it was done00:55:43
in solidarity, that is, they destroyed the industrial area, they00:55:46
destroyed the city, we had to00:55:50
exceed the flood of the river, the Russians have enough00:55:53
shells, look, they have enough equipment, are they00:55:56
producing now or is that all old00:55:58
stocks00:56:00
They, firstly, they produce everything that they did not00:56:03
produce and a year ago00:56:06
missiles too and Missiles missiles at least00:56:09
from at least one missile a day00:56:11
is produced by the wing sanctions are not sanctions00:56:14
nothing works00:56:15
They are not the sanctions will not work00:56:18
as they would like, that is, gray diagram Well,00:56:22
let’s say the elemental base can00:56:24
eventually be carried in a suitcase somewhere in00:56:27
China or from Taiwan. But this can be solved, and00:56:30
if drugs are transported in tons, then00:56:34
it will be decided. I don’t solve it. I don’t understand00:56:37
that now, instead of drug trafficking, they are00:56:43
losing a lot of elemental base traffic. Because it’s like since a00:56:47
small one is a problem for them But a00:56:49
small one they solve a rocket per day00:56:52
at least they produce more in00:56:54
different positions even more they00:56:57
produce 5 thousand sleep per day now00:57:00
that’s00:57:02
not a lot It all depends on the width of the front if at00:57:06
10 meters this is a lot and if at 100000:57:09
kilometers, it’s very few, that is, but00:57:13
what are they doing in one in one location, it’s00:57:17
just that more is supplied there And00:57:21
they still have certain warehouse00:57:23
stocks, based on the dynamics of the00:57:25
decrease in the number of00:57:28
ammunition fired, we can say00:57:30
that they will have zero post stock reserves00:57:32
somewhere - then by spring That is, they will00:57:35
have nothing left in their warehouses; they00:57:37
will work from the wheel; this is 5,000 orders00:57:39
and this is 5,000 shells they will supply00:57:41
every day for these. Why do I say00:57:45
100 kilometers, they are more? Five thousand00:57:47
shells for 100 kilometers is normal00:57:50
for to carry out offensive actions,00:57:52
they will use these 5000 days00:57:55
for Well, they will try to squeeze us out,00:57:59
we already have00:58:01
some parity, some are still parity.00:58:04
We also already have about 5-7 thousand shells, it’s00:58:07
true that we can work all along the entire00:58:09
front line, that is, along the entire thousand00:58:11
kilometers Why am I saying? We don’t have enough00:58:13
shells, we need guns too.00:58:17
Amazingly bitter, terrible,00:58:19
disgusting history of Ukraine, which has00:58:22
always been famous for its weapons, take00:58:25
only Yuzhmash, which cost better than a00:58:28
rocket plant in the world,00:58:30
to disgrace yourself like that and not produce00:58:33
anything.00:58:36
I’ve already said nothing about presidents, but00:58:39
here the question is not only for the president, questions00:58:41
for our Ukrainian people need to00:58:43
wise up, but when you choose someone, but00:58:46
you choose a00:58:47
professionally qualified person, I will not now00:58:49
talk about the professions of those presidents00:58:52
that we have elected over the course of all these00:58:55
30 years, but just00:58:58
for yourself,00:59:00
go through the entire line and look at00:59:03
them00:59:05
just the rocket scientist00:59:07
Leonid Danilovich rocket scientist Danilych00:59:11
red Direct00:59:13
and the red director will build00:59:16
Soviet production, so he00:59:19
started building00:59:21
Soviet production from the outside with certain00:59:24
production cycles. For some reason it00:59:26
seemed to me, based on what the00:59:29
military said, that on January 5 we were supposed to00:59:32
take flint you had such data that were00:59:35
criminalized, not that they should have been00:59:38
criminalized, they could have taken it earlier before the00:59:42
New Year, there was a moment associated with00:59:47
our certain actions, a00:59:49
movement began. Yes, probably by the00:59:52
fifth, by January 5th, we were definitely already there,00:59:56
only we didn’t have to for a minute were to00:59:58
take we had to01:00:00
cut the01:00:02
supply lines r66 that is, take01:00:06
almost complete encirclement01:00:10
enter enter from the south not from the north as we are01:00:14
cutting now we go out01:00:17
somewhere on the fifth day it didn’t work out01:00:21
there a lot of mines yes There they01:00:25
mined and they mined it’s interesting01:00:28
when they say there maps of minefields01:00:31
all this simply wasn’t there, they were mining in01:00:34
front of them from left to right, and they were01:00:38
mining several01:00:41
several passes, that is, first one01:00:45
let’s say A brigade mines a second third01:00:48
Just when they mine, let’s say sappers, that01:00:51
is, a sapper a sapper knows how to get through01:00:55
even a mine That is, he’s great at it01:00:58
understands, but when the sappers leave after01:01:01
mining, then those who01:01:03
remain there have problems with Russia,01:01:06
if with regards to Russia, it is not01:01:08
minefields in the OPS on all sides01:01:11
[music] is01:01:13
closed, they themselves are afraid to get out of them,01:01:15
a lot of them have blocked off in the valleys,01:01:21
but we let's take the flint svatogo we will01:01:24
definitely take not only the flint svartova01:01:27
svatogo here it is simpler than svatogo01:01:29
now we are going through Kuzemov a bunch to the south01:01:33
north of the svatogo we will cut this01:01:36
main road from Valuyki after01:01:38
we cut it there will be only one01:01:40
road left to Starobelsk, we will also01:01:43
approach it, that is, we are the matchmaker garrison we’ll01:01:45
just squeeze them out, they’ll leave the grip and01:01:48
most likely the flint They’ll have to leave,01:01:50
just eat. The rules of war will go away and01:01:53
they already understand this and we’ve already01:01:56
seen how everyone doesn’t do it;01:01:58
we’ll take the flint in a pincer, most likely from01:02:01
the South and the North, and the North on Popovka is01:02:04
not even on flint, but most likely01:02:07
we’ll move straight to the line, this is the01:02:09
best option, we cross the01:02:12
same road there and back and to the criminus01:02:14
klemennaya line and from the south we’re under pressure, that01:02:18
is, the cross-cutting question. We can say it’s01:02:20
decided that Kremennaya She is01:02:23
in the most uncomfortable position with this01:02:26
agglomeration there are four cities of Kremennaya01:02:28
Rubezhnoye Severodonetsky Lisichansk01:02:30
Kremennaya is divided in half by a river of red01:02:33
and very uncomfortable reality, once we01:02:36
get there it will be very convenient for him01:02:39
to defend it they will leave, that is, there01:02:41
may still be a few01:02:42
kilometers left and until01:02:46
Klemennaya is organized he will make a decision they will go to the line01:02:49
you said that politicians have moved away from01:02:52
making military decisions, leaving this to the01:02:55
military.01:02:56
Tell me in your opinion01:02:58
Gerasimov other Generals Are they generally01:03:03
trained or are they all01:03:06
people who graduate from01:03:09
military school for money, graduate01:03:11
for money, get a rank for money, or are01:03:14
they smart01:03:16
and there it is necessary to divide the Ministry01:03:19
Defense And the General Staff, by the way, like ours, this is01:03:22
the Ministry of Defense, probably everyone in01:03:24
all countries is to hug and cry when01:03:26
you look at the Ministry of Defense, but01:03:28
there to the military, but no one does what the01:03:32
Ministry of Defense itself does. This is a large01:03:33
flow of money, an01:03:35
incredibly large flow of money, because01:03:38
mainly to the Ministry of Defense01:03:40
is catching up with only gaps if so we01:03:45
already see from the corruption scandals what is01:03:47
happening there, imagine this is01:03:50
happening now during the war and what01:03:52
is being done for a long time. That is, this can be01:03:54
multiplied by 10 this is not now this is now01:03:57
they are playing around like this because01:03:59
they might just catch a bullet from01:04:05
I say rudely to some soldier who hasn’t eaten for three days. But what happened before the war does01:04:09
n’t only concern us, it concerns01:04:10
all Ministries of Defense around the world and01:04:14
democratic ones and whatever they may be,01:04:18
there is a lot of money and a lot of01:04:21
temptations01:04:24
and mechanisms like this funding01:04:28
can be withdrawn because, well, it’s very difficult,01:04:31
really very difficult, without having a01:04:34
specific system, the Americans01:04:36
somehow set it up, although almost01:04:38
up to one projectile they don’t see how it goes and01:04:41
how it is used, but it’s a very complex01:04:44
system and the Americans need to be in charge The01:04:47
American army was originally the starting one01:04:50
and so it was rebuilt from scratch, but it’s01:04:54
impossible to build. The Russians have the same01:04:56
problem there in the Ministry of Defense01:04:58
Well, I don’t know the military Well, reindeer herders Who01:05:01
we had before was the director of a furniture01:05:03
store, that’s where it’s from, I’m just01:05:07
saying why to slightly separate01:05:09
the Ministry of Defense, this is the Ministry01:05:11
of Defense, this is not this, the01:05:16
military in the General Staff in the Russian military are01:05:19
real, they have gone through certain01:05:25
stages of training, these are Gerasimov’s people,01:05:29
including these are people who are01:05:33
professionals in their field,01:05:35
real professionals, to say that they bought something there01:05:38
or they just because of their01:05:41
professional qualities came to certain01:05:43
management because to manage the01:05:45
headquarters of an army of two million Well, it01:05:50
really needs to be there 75 But there are01:05:55
some Generals Clearly, there are those who01:05:58
I would say that they bought shoulder straps for money in the wrong place, they01:06:01
simply couldn’t cope with a01:06:03
certain situation and didn’t have time to01:06:06
rebuild from the Soviet from the Soviet01:06:08
Army of Russia01:06:10
for the last 10 years He has been trying to rebuild the01:06:14
Russian army with01:06:15
already01:06:16
advanced models of the uh world he01:06:20
just has it just not at noon not01:06:22
only NATO he he also tried the Israeli approach and01:06:26
some both Chinese and not01:06:30
Indian, that is, even Pakistani01:06:33
as far as I know, that is, he tried But01:06:35
the question is that, firstly,01:06:37
the ossification of any Russian01:06:40
any Russian mechanism, no matter what you01:06:43
take. He’s all ossified because he01:06:46
just didn’t move it, didn’t advance it, that’s01:06:49
exactly the problem Gerasimo now he can01:06:51
do nothing now he can’t won’t be able to for the01:06:54
next 10 years in order to, uh,01:06:57
complete at least some task, even the01:07:00
task of defense. I’m not even talking about the task of a01:07:02
large-scale offensive in Ukraine,01:07:04
and even the task of defending the Russian01:07:07
Federation now, but he hasn’t completed it,01:07:10
if now China is there for Kazakhstan I don’t01:07:13
know, in America I’m generally silent, even in01:07:16
North Korea it’s on their mind to01:07:18
occupy it now, or the Amur region or01:07:22
somewhere in the defense of Vladivostok, they won’t01:07:25
do anything, it’s on someone’s01:07:28
mind to take something from them now when01:07:30
all the resources are here01:07:33
yes, this is only possible for the North Koreans,01:07:36
especially since the nuclear country is standing nearby,01:07:40
because01:07:42
Gerasim simply won’t succeed, he’s01:07:45
normal, that is, he is a professional, a01:07:48
professional in his field.01:07:50
Pro, but the ossification of the01:07:53
army and now01:07:55
lack of preparedness, even if now there is a01:07:58
complete01:07:59
switch, rearrange all the speeches of the01:08:02
Russian army command on new01:08:04
rails, the most advanced the01:08:06
supply management system and the like01:08:10
will have to be prepared from scratch01:08:13
practically because01:08:15
last year we eliminated all the professional heads who were01:08:19
mobilized. Well, these are not01:08:21
professionals who were mobilized. That is, these are people from the street, this is01:08:23
exactly what I said; they could not be01:08:25
recruited. But this is not being done. this is01:08:28
not an army herd Yes, a herd with, let’s say, with01:08:33
machine guns Yes, but it’s not that none of01:08:36
them can be put on a plane Why01:08:38
Because in order to01:08:40
train as a pilot, he must be trained for at least four years01:08:43
in a flight school, after which he will be01:08:46
brought up to the level for about the same amount01:08:48
of certain professionalism, 8-10 years,01:08:51
you get a pilot of the first second class01:08:54
to perform certain combat missions.01:08:56
And until that time, who can01:08:59
take off and land. Well, takeoff and all these are two01:09:04
different differences, so what else01:09:08
is there not to prepare is one and the other, the01:09:10
Russians do not have they have time to prepare the01:09:13
troops themselves, let alone prepare one01:09:16
first, you need to prepare a person and then01:09:19
put him through certain01:09:22
systems of01:09:24
combat coordination in, say,01:09:28
even the mode of a battalion of a tactical group.01:09:30
Although now they are all mobilized, they are01:09:33
undergoing combat coordination as01:09:36
part of a battalion of a tactical battalion of01:09:38
500 people, here they are they are trying to somehow with this01:09:41
battalion spend a month or two fiddling around so that the01:09:44
battalion is positioned correctly, goes out,01:09:47
performs tasks, leaves, and now in01:09:51
order to carry out defense tasks,01:09:53
this may still be enough when the01:09:54
battalion is cut into two kilometers01:09:56
of front, it is brought out there and they say that’s01:09:59
where the enemy is, that’s where your two are kilometers01:10:02
on the left you have the 3rd battalion on the right 7th01:10:04
battalion, you see here at two01:10:06
kilometers hold the front line, this is01:10:08
still possible. But in order to01:10:10
advance on a larger scale, it is necessary to01:10:13
carry out combat coordination within the01:10:16
corps. That is, this is the minimum of a corps. But in01:10:19
reality, three corps is These are several01:10:22
brigades, that is, this is a corps, this is even01:10:25
two or three Divisions, this is already tens of thousands of01:10:28
people in order to prepare for an01:10:31
offensive war, they must first01:10:34
recruit tens of thousands of professionals to01:10:37
prepare them, I told how many it is01:10:39
up to 8 years of pilots If a good infantryman01:10:43
years Tankers artists the same thing then01:10:46
there will be thousands of tens of thousands of people01:10:49
to carry out combat coordination to conduct01:10:51
a lot of01:10:54
exercises but then maybe01:10:57
move somewhere else they have nothing,01:10:59
nothing will happen, that is, all the talk about a01:11:02
large-scale offensive of the Russians01:11:04
immediately covering Ukraine there or01:11:07
something else Well, this01:11:09
is called the gap of a madman and this is already nonsense. As I understand it, this is01:11:12
nonsense. It was a madman01:11:15
for them, this is Putin, this was clear And all the01:11:18
military men understood this, this nonsense was already,01:11:20
as I understand it, faded into the background came01:11:22
to the fore already military planning is the01:11:25
same Gerasimov or the military headquarters01:11:27
the general staff is not even the Ministry of Defense you01:11:30
see on the blue helicopter even01:11:32
Shoigu has stopped flying already.01:11:35
Gerasimov has come to the fore and he is already01:11:37
performing some actions from what he has.01:11:39
What is it realistic to just01:11:42
try to put forward those that manpower and01:11:47
equipment in certain areas by01:11:49
squeezing out, the most they can do01:11:52
is try to roughly assign one01:11:54
battalion tactical group the01:11:56
task of bypassing Bakhmut from the south, and01:12:00
assign the second group the task of bypassing Bakhmut of01:12:03
the North, and that’s what they have time to do, they don’t01:12:06
have time at all, what to do gradually01:12:08
somehow they are trying squeeze out they01:12:11
can’t even put it together here01:12:14
otherwise manage the process so out of01:12:18
desperation he performs such actions and01:12:20
Roman You know I really like our01:12:22
conversation01:12:23
firstly you are a professional and secondly you01:12:27
answer questions very clearly and don’t01:12:30
embellish the situation so I like it01:12:32
when people think soberly and soberly01:12:35
they say I will now finally propose a01:12:37
blitz01:12:39
short questions Short answers01:12:43
you are more or less calm about the situation on the01:12:46
fronts Yes now yes01:12:49
you are the chief of the general staff01:12:53
or commander in chief Do01:12:57
you have the necessary weapons01:13:00
Where do you go to drink the enemy first of01:13:03
all in which direction do we have a board01:13:06
coast01:13:07
any point any point on the Azov01:13:10
coast further than Crimea after that, as soon as01:13:14
I clear the rear, I leave on Lugansk from the01:13:18
matchmaking further Taganrog, I cut off01:13:20
the Donbass defend the Donbass01:13:22
Wow, you don’t leave the Donbass for last,01:13:25
no Crimea no You can’t leave any group in the rear, you can’t01:13:30
even seal it, you can’t01:13:33
deal with the Donbass until there are01:13:36
all the negatives which you01:13:39
told about Do you believe in the Victory of Ukraine01:13:42
I am confident in the victory of Ukraine unequivocally01:13:45
and I am confident based on the mathematics01:13:50
that said war is mathematics01:13:53
mathematics shows it is impossible to01:13:56
conquer a country of 40 million people, it is simply01:13:59
impossible by any means now the01:14:03
last question for today and is related to01:14:06
mathematics when to your look,01:14:08
the war will end,01:14:10
we will squeeze the Russians out to the borders of 9101:14:14
during this year if we If there is01:14:17
the dynamics that we have now, the01:14:20
weapons that we saw from the first01:14:22
Ramstein will remain, we will squeeze them out to the border of 9101:14:25
this year,01:14:28
by the end of this year, for sure, and already the war with the01:14:33
Russian Federation will end only01:14:35
after the Russian Federation01:14:36
disintegrates into components01:14:40
or clusters or01:14:44
state formation. Maybe this01:14:46
lasts up to 10 years on the border of 91, there is01:14:50
only one mechanism that can01:14:54
stop if we join NATO, the01:14:57
Russians are afraid of the Chechens01:15:00
equally because that01:15:05
I liked our finale in terms of optimism01:15:08
much more than the entire previous conversation,01:15:11
I am grateful to you. Thank you very muchDescription:
Военный эксперт Роман Свитан в интервью Дмитрию Гордону рассказал об украинской и российской армиях, темпах мобилизации в России и проблемах с мобилизацией в Украине, о том, готовилась ли Украина к войне и какое оружие нужно Украине, дадут ли Украине истребители и дальнобойные ракеты, могут ли россияне захватить Киев и Харьков, о начавшемся наступлении России и направлении будущего контрнаступления Украины Официальный магазин с мерчем и конфетами Дмитрия Гордона: https://gordonshop.com.ua. Покупая, помогаешь ВСУ! Купить эксклюзивные NFT из коллекции SUPER GORDON можно тут – https://supergordonnft.com Перспективное вложение и помощь украинской армии! Подписывайтесь на инстаграм NFT коллекции Super Gordon: https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser Телеграм: https://t.me/super_gordon Официальный канал программы "В гостях у Дмитрия Гордона" https://www.youtube.com/user/vgostyahugordona?sub_confirmation=1 Официальный канал Дмитрия Гордона https://www.youtube.com/user/DmytriyGordon?sub_confirmation=1 Следите за новостями и читайте аналитику на общественно-политическом сайте "ГОРДОН": https://gordonua.com/ukr/ По вопросам рекламы пишите на [email protected] Присоединяйтесь к нам в соцсетях! https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser https://www.tiktok.com/@gordondmytro? https://twitter.com/dmitry_gordon https://t.me/dmytrogordon_official https://www.facebook.com/unsupportedbrowser https://t.me/s/gordonuacom https://invite.viber.com/?g2=AQABYNa0%2Brz9Pkzt0NnTdm5DcUzQHlf7QrDvmsZ1C9h5ZjM%2FKIIfxji%2BDRkQ6fy9&lang=ru https://twitter.com/Gordonuacom 00:00 интервью Дмитрия Гордона с Романом Свитаном 00:35 «Бесконечный человеческий российский ресурс – проблема для ВСУ. Во всем остальном ВСУ на голову выше россиян» 02:16 «За 8 лет украинская армия выросла, вопреки военно-политическому руководству Украины» 02:51 «Украинскую армию воспитал и закалил противник, плюс у нее были очень хорошие инструкторы» 04:08 «Украинская армия на сегодняшний день – одна из лучших в мире» 04:53 «Российская армия деградировала – она не способна даже обороняться» 05:51 «Высокоточное оружие не решает проблему живой силы противника, но нивелирует его наступательные возможности» 08:05 «Уже к лету россияне смогут пригонять в Украину по 100 тысяч человек на броне» 09:45 «Чтобы россияне начали замечать потери на войне, мы должны уничтожать 3000 оккупантов в день» 12:36 «Плохое экономическое состояние – единственная причина, которая может вызвать протестные настроения в России» 13:34 «У нас проблемы с мобилизацией. Ни один президент Украины не занимался армией – все они были профнепригодны» 14:55 «На 24 февраля украинская армия была развернута по штатам мирного времени» 15:30 «Воевать может только один из сотни человек. Причины могут быть от генетических до морально-психологических» 17:05 «То, что с 2014 года не было введено военное положение и не была развернута армия по штатам военного времени – системная ошибка» 17:35 «В армию нужно набирать не всех подряд, а профпригодных и мотивированных» 18:06 «На данный момент оптимальном вариантом было бы мобилизовать госчиновников и людей из силовых структур» 19:21 «Из 100 российских мобиков выживает только 10» 19:57 Гордон о своих книгах из "Гордон шоп". Покупая, помогаешь ВСУ! 22:01 о потерях украинской армии 23:16 «Российские военные прошли профотбор на передовой – выжили сильнейшие и именно они сейчас воюют» 26:34 «Нам нужна арта, арта и еще раз арта – 80-90 процентов потерь врага от артиллерийского огня» 28:27 почему ВСУ очень нужна бронетехника 29:41 «У россиян летный состав в основном желторотики – практически всех профи мы приземлили в прошлом году» 30:55 «Для того, чтобы закрыть небо нам нужно больше сотни самолетов» 32:40 о превосходстве российской авиации над украинской: «Нам нужно полностью менять наш летный парк» 34:24 почему ракеты для HIMARS практически невозможно сбить 37:01 Гордон о своем магазине мерча "Гордон шоп". Покупая, помогаешь ВСУ! 38:43 «С живой силой россиян можно справиться с помощью авиации» 41:44 «Если нам дают танки, значит дадут и самолеты для прикрытия с воздуха» 45:47 «Россияне уже пошли в наступление на донецком направлении с 6 января» 48:29 будет ли наступление с Беларуси 49:30 «Донецкий фронт россияне будут пополнять каждый месяц на 100 тысяч человек» 51:05 «Россияне еще лет 10 не смогут создать армию, которая могла бы взять Киев» 52:00 могут ли россияне взять Харьков 53:57 может ли Украина оставить Бахмут 55:52 «Россияне производят минимум одну крылатую ракету и 5000 снарядов в сутки» 59:26 почему затягивается взятие Кременной 1:01:20 возьмет ли Украина Кременную и Сватово 1:02:50 «Герасимов сейчас не сможет выполнить даже задачу обороны России» 1:08:35 «Идея широкомасштабного наступления родилась в сумасшедшей голове Путина. Военные понимали, что это нереально» 1:12:49 «Нельзя заниматься Донбассом, пока не будет зачищен Крым» 1:13:36 «40-миллионную страну завоевать невозможно» 1:14:07 «Даже если мы выйдем на границы 1991 года, война с Россией может длиться еще 10 лет»
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