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00:00:02
Today is March 21st00:00:04
It's the first anniversary of the Eastern Airlines Flight 5735 air crash00:00:08
On this day last year00:00:09
Eastern Airlines Flight 5735 (AKA MU5735) took off from Kunming, Yunnan00:00:14
but crashed from the air on the way to Guangzhou00:00:18
All 132 passengers on board the aircraft, including 9 crew members, died in the crash00:00:23
This air crash is the most catastrophic one in our country in recent years00:00:27
After the plane crashed to the ground, it formed a 45-meter-deep pit00:00:31
The aircraft was completely shattered00:00:33
Its tail wing was found 12 kilometers away from the main crash site00:00:37
We can imagine00:00:38
what those passengers on the plane went through in the last one or two minutes00:00:41
It must have been a brutal scene00:00:45
After the air crash00:00:46
the families of the victims hoped that the relevant authorities00:00:48
would investigate the real cause of the air crash as soon as possible00:00:53
and make it public, because this is the best comfort for the victims' families00:00:57
but a year has passed, and they have not received anything00:01:02
Just yesterday, a notice was posted on the website of Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC)00:01:06
The notice said00:01:07
"This plane crash is extremely rare and complex"00:01:10
"We are still conducting a thorough investigation"00:01:13
"So we can't tell you anything right now, just wait for further updates"00:01:18
Today, we will continue to discuss the accident of MU573500:01:25
First, let me state the conclusion00:01:27
The cause of this air crash has long been figured out00:01:31
It's very clear00:01:33
But they will not tell the public, and will never tell the public00:01:38
If you want to understand the real reason for this air crash00:01:40
through the notice of CAAC00:01:44
that's dreaming, it's seeking the impossible, it's wishful thinking00:01:49
So, what is the real reason? Let's talk about it00:01:52
On May 18th last year00:01:55
I did a program on the Eastern Airlines air crash00:01:57
In that program, I came to a conclusion00:02:00
This air crash was caused by human factors00:02:03
There are three main reasons for this00:02:05
First, the air crash occurred on March 21st00:02:08
April 20th preliminary accident report released00:02:12
Meanwhile, Boeing 737-800 resumes flights00:02:15
The aircraft model involved in the air crash was Boeing 737-80000:02:19
In accordance with the general procedures for handling air crashes00:02:23
For safety reasons, the type of aircraft involved in00:02:26
a plane crash must be grounded until the investigation is complete00:02:29
And there is a condition for resuming flights, the investigation must first rule out00:02:32
all factors related to the design and manufacturing of the aircraft00:02:38
Therefore, when the "Boeing 737-800" resumed flights in China on April 20th last year00:02:42
it indicated a very important reason00:02:44
the accident investigation team had already ruled out00:02:47
accidents caused by the "Boeing 737-800" itself00:02:52
Second, on May 17th last year, the WSJ obtained some intelligence00:02:57
because China was the main investigating country for this accident00:03:00
but as the NTSB, as well as Boeing aircraft00:03:03
had the right to send an investigator to participate in the entire investigation00:03:07
but they did not have the right to publish anything00:03:10
So the WSJ obtained information through some specific channels00:03:14
and the investigators who participated in the investigation told them that00:03:19
"the real cause of this accident was human error"00:03:22
After the accident occurred00:03:24
both black boxes of the aircraft00:03:26
the Flight Data Recorder and the Cockpit Voice Recorder00:03:30
were sent to the United States for analysis00:03:33
During the analysis, the US side definitely gained knowledge of00:03:35
the aircraft's actual state during the flight00:03:40
and the real situation inside the cabin during the air crash00:03:43
Therefore, those involved leaked to reporters from WSJ saying that00:03:48
"last few minutes of the flight"00:03:50
"seemed to have been hijacked"00:03:52
"Someone was directing inside the cockpit"00:03:54
"The person was instructing the plane to crash into the ground in a certain way"00:03:58
Either the plane was hijacked by someone outside the cockpit00:04:01
or someone inside the cockpit hijacked it00:04:04
This is a very important factor00:04:07
The third reason is that after the air crash00:04:11
China immediately required all planes to implement a "two-pilot" system00:04:16
Previously, one captain and one co-pilot were responsible for flying the plane00:04:20
Implementing the "two-pilot" system means that00:04:22
one captain and one co-pilot cannot guarantee00:04:26
the safe operation of the aircraft00:04:28
At the same time, airlines across the country were investigating the psychological00:04:30
and family conditions of their pilots, and requiring them to sign commitment letters00:04:36
So my conclusion at the time was00:04:38
that the real cause of this plane accident was human error00:04:41
However, at that time, all I used was logical reasoning00:04:44
There was no objective evidence00:04:46
Today, I'm going to talk about the objective evidence00:04:51
First, let's analyze yesterday's report00:04:53
Why did they release this report yesterday?00:04:55
There's actually a bit of background to it00:04:57
According to the Chicago Convention00:04:59
an air crash00:05:02
requires the final report to be published within 12 months00:05:06
this requirement is not mandatory00:05:09
But even though it's not mandatory, as a contracting state00:05:13
you certainly can't ignore such a requirement00:05:16
So yesterday, which was one day before the 12-month anniversary of the accident00:05:22
they issued such an announcement00:05:23
saying "look, we are still investigating"00:05:26
"It's very complicated and extremely rare"00:05:29
At the same time, Xinhua News Agency interviewed experts in the aviation industry00:05:32
These aviation experts also said that00:05:34
"This air crash"00:05:35
"Is different from all the previous air crashes"00:05:38
"So it's understandable that the investigation takes a long time"00:05:42
Actually, all of this is just muddying the waters00:05:44
the reason for this air crash is different from the past00:05:48
it does not mean that the investigation itself is difficult00:05:52
These are two different concepts00:05:54
Air crash nowadays00:05:56
as long as we obtain the aircraft cockpit voice recorder and flight data recorder00:06:02
The cause of 99.9999999999% of air crashes00:06:07
can be figured out in a very short period of time00:06:13
This is different from early air crashes00:06:15
early air crashes had no black boxes00:06:17
the wreckage of the plane had to be pieced together00:06:20
then analyzed to determine the possible cause00:06:23
Now these two black boxes, one records the entire flight status of the aircraft00:06:28
the other records what happened in the cockpit at the end00:06:32
With these two factors combined00:06:35
The cause of the aircraft's air crash is basically easy to determine00:06:41
Then let's look at this report00:06:43
Through this report00:06:44
you can know that they have figured out the reason00:06:48
This report talks about00:06:49
they are conducting investigations in four areas, and have already completed them00:06:54
The first area is the analysis of 100 large debris00:06:58
to determine the cause of the aircraft damage00:07:01
The second area is to investigate the qualifications and abilities of the aircraft pilots00:07:05
the operation of the flight, and the management of the airline00:07:11
The third area is to investigate00:07:12
the air traffic control services and ground security00:07:17
The fourth area is to combine relevant data00:07:21
and analyze the final flight status of the aircraft00:07:25
and use aircraft simulation machines and real machines for simulation and verification00:07:32
Here, the first and fourth areas are particularly important00:07:35
The first area is to put the debris together to determine the cause of damage00:07:40
Let me explain to you00:07:42
in the process of investigating air accidents00:07:45
the debris is gathered together to analyze the cause of the damage00:07:50
it is actually not to search for the cause of the air crash00:07:53
but to verify the cause of the air crash00:07:56
this point is very important00:07:58
they have already determined the cause of the plane crash00:08:01
through the cockpit voice recorder00:08:02
and flight data recorder00:08:06
Therefore, we go to the wreckage to find out00:08:09
whether there is a logical correspondence with the cause of the air crash00:08:11
that has been calculated00:08:14
One very important point here00:08:16
it is not that analyzing the cause of the air crash through wreckage00:08:20
This is very important, this is the first point00:08:23
The second is the fourth area00:08:25
Combining the final flight status of the aircraft00:08:28
and relevant data00:08:30
to verify with real aircraft and simulators00:08:35
What does this mean?00:08:36
It means that they already knew what happened in the last minute00:08:41
They just verified it with a real aircraft00:08:43
and flight simulator00:08:47
Think about it00:08:48
They didn't know the real cause of the plane crash?00:08:50
They knew it too well00:08:52
They knew it completely00:08:53
But they just don't tell you00:08:55
They just don't tell the public00:08:57
Why?00:08:58
Because if they really tells the truth to the public00:09:00
It is going to be a huge scandal00:09:03
After the air crash, I have been concerned about it00:09:06
I have some connections with the civil aviation industry00:09:08
Some people have actually provided me with information00:09:10
Several pieces of information put together00:09:13
Basically, the matter has been figured out00:09:15
Let me slowly tell you00:09:17
There were a total of three members in the cockpit of the plane00:09:21
The captain's name was Yang Hongda, very young00:09:24
His total flight time was only 6,709 hours00:09:27
The first officer's name was Zhang Zhengping, 59 years old00:09:31
He is a meritorious pilot of China Eastern Airlines00:09:34
and a five-star pilot00:09:35
He has been a captain for more than 30 years00:09:38
His total flight time is 30,000 hours00:09:41
there have been no accidents for him00:09:44
The third member is the observer00:09:46
This person's name is Ni Hongtao00:09:48
His total flight hours are only 55600:09:51
In other words, Ni Hongtao may be just trying to accumulate flight hours00:09:55
You have to accumulate certain flight hours on the plane00:09:57
before you can become a co-pilot or captain00:10:03
So the real reason is this Zhang Zhengping00:10:07
He only had half a year left before retirement, at 59 years old00:10:11
He almost lost his life savings in an investment00:10:16
His emotions was quite low00:10:18
Coupled with an incident that occurred a few years ago00:10:21
When he was flying at a certain airport00:10:23
during the landing process00:10:25
due to not mastering the height of the flight00:10:27
which led to a low-altitude warning00:10:30
that is, the plane was too close to the ground when it entered the airport00:10:34
there is such an alarm device on the plane, so it alarmed00:10:37
According to aviation management, this belongs to an accident risk00:10:41
Although you did not have an accident00:10:43
But it belongs to an accident risk that is about to happen00:10:47
So he was demoted from captain00:10:49
to co-pilot for this reason00:10:52
Everyone knows that the captain and first officer00:10:55
have a huge difference in terms of their treatment and benefits00:10:58
Generally, a captain00:10:59
like those in the Yunnan branch of China Eastern Airlines, which is not particularly profitable00:11:02
earns seven or eight hundred thousand yuan a year00:11:05
But as a first officer, it becomes only two or three hundred thousand yuan00:11:08
What's even more humiliating is that00:11:10
the captain on this plane, Yang Hongda00:11:13
who is his disciple and was trained by him00:11:16
His disciple is in his twenties while he is 59 years old00:11:21
He still has to serve his own disciple in the cockpit00:11:25
What does he think about this from a psychological perspective?00:11:29
We don't know what happened in the last minute of the flight in the sky00:11:33
But some people speculate that there was a conflict in the air00:11:36
I haven't received any information on this00:11:39
However, the information I previously learned is all true00:11:42
which is, his investment failure00:11:45
usually lives in airline office, and rarely goes home00:11:47
divorced from his wife, with only one daughter00:11:50
a few years ago, due to his causing the plane00:11:53
to get too close to the ground during landing00:11:58
he was demoted from captain to first officer00:12:03
Perhaps because he didn't adjust his mindset well during this process00:12:07
Perhaps he had an unpleasant encounter with other personnel in the cockpit00:12:11
Finally, it led to him making such an extreme choice00:12:15
The ultimate cause of the accident of MU5735 was that00:12:19
Captain Zhang Zhengping committed suicide00:12:22
132 people perished with him00:12:26
I guess that the relevant authorities certainly think that00:12:30
if this news were to leak, it would be a huge scandal00:12:32
But actually, in terms of the history of aviation disasters in the world00:12:35
crashes caused by pilot suicide are not uncommon00:12:38
Russia has had such incidents, and it seems that last year00:12:42
in 2021, a pilot in an Arab country00:12:45
caused a crash due to suicide00:12:49
So for aviation disasters00:12:50
pilot suicide is not unheard of, it does happen00:12:56
But China under the CCP believes that this information of him00:13:01
cannot be disclosed, once it is disclosed00:13:04
everyone will point to the management of your airline00:13:06
your internal management mechanism00:13:08
After I finished last program about this accident00:13:14
a captain of Air China wrote to me and provided me with inside information00:13:16
He said: the internal management system of our civil aviation is very inhumane00:13:21
For example, he told me00:13:22
one of the captains caused the plane to slide off00:13:26
the runway at the airport in Panzhihua00:13:30
during the landing process the plane slipped past the line, just slightly00:13:31
Panzhihua airport is a high-altitude airport00:13:34
the air is relatively thin00:13:35
If you don't handle it well, the plane will slide too far00:13:39
this incident was considered a minor accident00:13:43
according to general practice, he should be grounded for 24 months00:13:47
But because of a so-called superior instruction00:13:52
a directive from Zhongnanhai00:13:53
the pilot was permanently grounded00:13:56
The result is that everyone is now living in fear00:13:58
No one knows where the boundary is00:13:59
This is not a professional management approach00:14:02
you can see that the CCP actually wraps up all information00:14:06
regarding such matters in every possible way00:14:10
So, in the midst of this matter00:14:12
Boeingand the US NTSB as well00:14:15
cannot break the international civil aviation treaty to expose this accident00:14:20
the most important issue reflected00:14:24
in the investigation of this accident00:14:26
is the current international civil aviation treaty, such a system00:14:30
that makes it impossible for countries like China00:14:32
to disclose the cause of the air crash if they refuse to00:14:36
the whole world will have no way, it is a closed loop00:14:41
Even if the airline itself knows, it cannot be made public00:14:45
Of course, there is also a background00:14:46
that now international airlines are not willing to offend China00:14:49
because China is a very large aviation market00:14:53
Both Boeing and Airbus00:14:56
hope that China can buy airplanes00:14:58
Let me tell you a story00:15:01
In 2018, the "Hero Captain" incident of Sichuan Airlines00:15:06
On May 14th, a Sichuan Airlines plane suddenly had a window burst while flying to Tibet00:15:11
The co-pilot was suddenly sucked out of the cabin00:15:16
the crew finally returned safely to the ground00:15:20
the media reported and praised this as a "heroic crew"00:15:25
But this was a shocking conspiracy00:15:29
Why?00:15:30
because this accident was actually a very low-level man-made accident.00:15:36
After the accident occurred, since the plane was an Airbus A32000:15:40
Airbus sent a letter to the accident investigation team00:15:44
asking "why was the co-pilot not wearing a seatbelt when the accident happened?"00:15:51
Here, I'll give you some background information00:15:53
In the story of the Sichuan Airlines incident00:15:56
during the heating of the plane's front windshield, due to uneven heating00:16:00
it eventually led to the windshield bursting00:16:02
However, based on the design of Airbus00:16:04
generally allows at least 10 minutes from the occurrence00:16:09
of a crack in the windshield to the eventual bursting00:16:12
These 10 minutes are meant for the pilots to handle the situation promptly00:16:16
But if you look at all the reports on the Sichuan Airlines incident00:16:20
they said "from the discovery of the windshield cracking"00:16:24
"to the complete bursting was only a few seconds"00:16:27
Why did this happen?00:16:29
In the end, I learned the truth through people in the civil aviation industry00:16:34
the plane was flying at an very high altitude and was very exposed to the sun00:16:40
so many pilots covered the cockpit windshield with newspapers00:16:46
The pro is that the sun can't shine through anymore00:16:48
but it brings a very big problem00:16:50
When the windshield of the plane burst, they didn't know there was a crack00:16:55
Wait until the end when there is a 'bang' sound00:16:57
that is not the time for cracks, but the glass has already started to burst00:17:01
And in the process00:17:03
because the co-pilot did not fasten his seatbelt at that time00:17:06
he was immediately sucked out of the window00:17:12
During the process of being sucked out of the window00:17:16
he accidentally damaged all the instruments in front of him00:17:21
So the aircraft's autopilot system failed suddenly00:17:26
The captain was also dizzy at the time00:17:29
Fortunately, all the Chinese planes that entered Tibet at that time had a three-person crew00:17:33
There was also a second officer00:17:35
The second officer was in the cabin and quickly came to the cockpit after the accident00:17:40
The second officer immediately went to assist the captain and put on an oxygen mask00:17:45
He requested to immediately enter a state such as 7710 or 770000:17:50
The plane landed on the ground after more than 20 minutes00:17:55
But the core issue here is00:17:57
why the co-pilot did not fasten his seatbelt00:18:01
It was because he had put newspapers on the front windshield of the plane00:18:07
causing them to not see the cracks when they appeared00:18:12
If he didn't put up this newspaper00:18:14
if they saw the crack00:18:16
they quickly lower the altitude, reduce speed00:18:18
fasten their seat belts, actually nothing will happen00:18:21
when the glass of the airplane shatters, it only causes a loss of cabin pressure00:18:25
This happens everywhere in the international civil aviation of airplanes00:18:27
It won't cause any problems with the cockpit00:18:30
But it was precisely because of this co-pilot00:18:33
At that time, they put the newspaper on the front windshield of the airplane00:18:36
They couldn't see it, so the crack on the airplane was not discovered00:18:39
When it exploded, people were sucked out00:18:42
during the suction process, the front instrument panel was also destroyed00:18:46
This is the true reason for the incident that occurred at Sichuan Airlines00:18:50
After the crew of the airplane fell from the sky00:18:53
The accident investigation team immediately took these people in the cockpit00:18:56
to the hotel for investigation00:18:59
Each person had to write down the process and answer questions00:19:01
this is a basic investigation process00:19:05
And Airbus asked00:19:07
"Why didn't this co-pilot fasten his seat belt?"00:19:10
After a week, there was a turning point in the incident00:19:14
Xi Jinping in Zhongnanhai issued a directive00:19:16
He said this was a 'heroic crew' and it should be praised00:19:19
As a result, the entire investigation ended00:19:23
These people were all turned into heroes00:19:25
The captain was awarded 5 million yuan00:19:27
The second officer was awarded 3 million yuan00:19:29
The c0-pilot surnamed Xu00:19:32
to be honest, it was good enough that he wasn't arrested. He was also awarded 1 million yuan00:19:36
because he was defined as a 'heroic captain'00:19:40
Since it was a heroic crew00:19:44
There should not be troublemakers in the crew, right?00:19:47
So he was given 1 million yuan symbolically00:19:51
That is why the second officer, who was in the cabin, got 3 million yuan00:19:55
but the co-pilot surnamed Xu only got 1 million yuan00:19:59
It means that the authorities believed that00:20:02
he had the least contribution00:20:05
he not only had no contribution00:20:06
but also violated the operating manual during the flight00:20:11
Although it is possible not to fasten your seatbelt during a flight00:20:16
they violated the rules by putting newspapers on the glass00:20:19
which obscured the crack on the aircraft's windshield00:20:22
this resulted in the accident and the co-pilot was almost sucked out00:20:25
and the cockpit instruments were damaged00:20:27
As a result, the co-pilot was even awarded 1 million yuan00:20:31
At that time, Sichuan Airlines provided him with a female nurse specializing in medical care00:20:39
As a result, he married the nurse00:20:41
When I read this news, I found it really funny00:20:45
but what I want to say about this news is00:20:48
that it is not just concealing the truth00:20:50
but Airbus was actually intimidated by the pressure from the Chinese government and did nothing00:20:57
In theory, the question they asked at the time was very, very important00:21:00
Why didn't the copilot buckle his seat belt00:21:04
when he had 10 minutes to do so00:21:07
this incident was intervened by the Chinese government00:21:10
and turned a crew-caused accident00:21:14
into a heroic crew situation00:21:17
Finally, it was made into a movie called00:21:22
"The Captain" about a terrifying experience in the sky00:21:25
As you can see00:21:26
This is how China handles air disasters00:21:30
Let's go back to the incident of this flight MU573500:21:35
Similarly, now Boeing Company00:21:37
and large airlines like Airbus are afraid to offend China00:21:41
So before March 21 this year00:21:44
I saw the BBC interview Boeing Company00:21:49
and the NTSB00:21:52
they both said, please consult the CAAC on this matter00:21:56
and they contacted the CAAC00:21:58
The CAAC 'read but didn't reply', ignoring them completely00:22:03
So now it has become an dead loop00:22:06
As long as the Chinese government does not disclose the true cause of the MU5735 flight accident00:22:11
the public will never know00:22:13
A few days ago, the CAAC website also issued a notice00:22:16
Someone wants to apply for the public disclosure of the cockpit voice recorder of flight MU573500:22:23
once the cockpit voice recorder is made public00:22:25
everything will become clear00:22:27
the conversation that took place in the cockpit in the last minute00:22:32
will definitely reveal the true cause of the air crash00:22:36
However, the CAAC refused00:22:38
Saying, "This is a state secret and cannot be made public"00:22:42
That's China for you00:22:43
When they don't want you to know something, it's always a secret00:22:46
Always a secret00:22:48
Finally, I'll tell you all here00:22:51
Whether this accident was ultimately caused by humans00:22:54
I'll also give you a standard00:22:56
This book is compiled regularly by the CAAC00:23:01
It's a compilation of all civil aircraft accidents00:23:05
It's compiled every few years00:23:06
I bought this book at a small stand in Japan, "The Secret Collection"00:23:10
I don't know why it ended up on a small stand in Japan00:23:14
There is a principle in this book00:23:16
That man-made air disasters are not included00:23:19
Do you all know about the China Northern Airlines Flight 6136 air crash?00:23:21
Is is not in this book00:23:24
Why? Because it says that it was caused by humans, so it's not publicized00:23:29
So, in a couple of years, you can check this book00:23:32
you'll definitely find that the air crash of MU5735 is not included00:23:38
Why?00:23:39
Because it was caused by human factors00:23:40
It was caused by the co-pilot's suicide00:23:45
Alright, that's all I have for today. Thank you, everyone00:23:48
本期英文翻译：毛豆腐00:23:59
The real reason for the China Eastern Airlines accident was because the co-pilot committed suicide. This reason was already clear to the Chinese Civil Aviation Accident Investigation Team, but they will not disclose it, never00:24:14
The statement released by the Chinese Civil Aviation on March 20th was only to fulfill the obligations of the Chicago Convention, not because of the real difficulties in the accident investigation process. Even if the final report cannot be released, the interim report should be made public as much as possible, revealing the true cause of the accident to the public00:24:28
Due to interests, the nationality aviation industry dare not offend the Chinese government, resulting in the public having no way to know the truth about air crashes that occur in China, as long as they do not disclose it, even though they already know the cause of the air crash00:24:43
The entire Chinese civil aviation industry is like a black box, and outsiders can never know what is inside. The tragedy is that the whole of China is also becoming more and more like a black boxDescription:
Yesterday, on the eve of the first anniversary of the China Eastern Airlines flight 5735 plane crash, the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) released a statement saying that the accident was very rare and complex and is still under investigation. The International Civil Aviation Convention stipulates that a final report should be released within 12 months, but the CAAC completely dismisses it. Is the accident really that difficult to investigate? Has the accident investigation team honestly not figured out the cause? Wang Sir's News Talk | (20220518) Reason of China Eastern Air crash couldn't be hidden https://youtu.be/SW8IYLL7sVw
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