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Download "Облигации в 2022. Как получить максимум? Мои шаги, от А до Я. Обзор топовых ОФЗ."

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Table of contents
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Table of contents

0:00
Вступление
0:33
Основная теория, базовые понятия
1:10
Виды облигаций, их плюсы и минусы
2:32
Риски инвестирования в облигации
3:40
Номинал, купон, погашение, НКД и другие важны моменты
5:20
Критерии выбора облигаций. Стратегии. Плюсы и минусы.
14:29
Индекс облигаций, как с ним работать
18:00
Обзор интересных ОФЗ
20:29
Корпоративные облигации
22:03
Еврооблигации
23:15
Дюрация
24:50
Налоги, выводы и послесловие
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Subtitles

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  • ruRussian
Download
00:00:02
no profit here again, and today we’ll talk about bonds, an
00:00:04
educational video in which I’ll
00:00:06
tell you in detail about all the nuances that you
00:00:08
need to know in order to, first of all,
00:00:11
increase and also not lose money
00:00:12
on this wonderful
00:00:14
fixed-income instrument, how to
00:00:16
choose the right time to sell, when to buy and
00:00:19
so on, I’ll tell you complex things in simple
00:00:21
words, I hope that everything will work out, by the way,
00:00:25
this is the first video of 2022, so I
00:00:28
congratulate everyone on the holiday,
00:00:29
let’s start with what a
00:00:33
bond is in its essence, from Latin, a
00:00:35
bond is a guarantee of an
00:00:36
obligation, to simplify it, it’s a
00:00:39
way to give someone company or
00:00:41
the state in debt through the stock exchange
00:00:44
acts here as an intermediary
00:00:46
bonds dad save nature is beneficial not
00:00:49
only to the company they are beneficial to the investor well
00:00:51
mutually beneficial interest the company can
00:00:54
receive money at a lower interest rate than
00:00:55
banks and the investor can invest money
00:00:58
at a higher interest rate than with bank
00:00:59
deposits or less but this is a completely
00:01:02
different story, watch the video to the end
00:01:04
to learn how not to lose money on
00:01:06
bonds but to increase them,
00:01:08
there are three types of
00:01:11
government bonds, they are in phases,
00:01:14
federal loan bonds, municipal and
00:01:15
corporate, and state
00:01:16
bonds can only be issued by the
00:01:19
Ministry of Finance, that is, it is a guarantor
00:01:21
from the state, it is the most reliable
00:01:24
bonds, but in the opposite countries, the reliability
00:01:27
from them is high, as a rule, the
00:01:29
interest on them is slightly higher than the
00:01:31
key rate and slightly higher than a
00:01:33
deposit in a bank, and sometimes they should be of a
00:01:36
municipal level, issued by an object
00:01:39
and the Russian Federation and municipalities of a region
00:01:40
or city, usually they have a little bit of income
00:01:43
and nothing. phase, but the risks for them are slightly
00:01:45
higher and finally corporate bonds
00:01:48
are issued by private companies from
00:01:51
large corporations to small Carpathians
00:01:54
to small enterprises and spirits of horns and
00:01:55
hooves, such bonds are of course
00:01:58
considered the most risky because
00:01:59
you understand it is one thing to lend to a
00:02:01
conventional large commercial bank,
00:02:04
another thing to give was in debt,
00:02:05
doubtful, incomprehensible IMHO, who
00:02:07
opened an office somewhere in a city with a
00:02:10
population of 50 thousand people before this is
00:02:11
possible,
00:02:13
however, the higher the risk, the higher the profitability,
00:02:16
so here everything is as always standard
00:02:19
rules, large companies, of course, give a
00:02:23
lower coupon, but they are more stable
00:02:25
small companies They give better conditions
00:02:28
but the risks are correspondingly higher.
00:02:30
First of all, you need to understand what
00:02:32
risks there are with a bond. The most
00:02:35
important risk is the probability of default.
00:02:37
Default occurs when the one who
00:02:39
issued it refuses to pay interest
00:02:40
on the debt and sometimes return the entire amount of the
00:02:43
debt.
00:02:44
In case of default, I think residents of the CIS are
00:02:47
familiar with it. when the collapse of the
00:02:49
Soviet Union took place and also during the
00:02:52
USSR itself, when before the
00:02:54
nomination some bonds lost a lot
00:02:56
in price and were reduced almost
00:02:58
ten times, that is, there are examples when
00:03:01
bonds issued in the fifties
00:03:04
eventually practically lost their
00:03:06
value; there was nothing to buy with them
00:03:09
it’s impossible, but that’s a completely different story,
00:03:12
that’s actually just history,
00:03:16
so we’re talking about today, but
00:03:18
keep in mind that every bond of
00:03:21
every company has a credit
00:03:23
rating and talks about the third credit
00:03:26
company in Russia, for example, this is a
00:03:27
national rating agency
00:03:28
expert ra and about in the West this features will be
00:03:32
SNT and so on, well, in fact, this is not the
00:03:36
most important thing that you should pay
00:03:37
attention to now, but the important thing is the most important thing to
00:03:41
remember, or that is, what
00:03:42
the bond consists of, this is the basis of the fundamentals, there are
00:03:45
3 main parameters for the investor, this is the
00:03:47
par upon and the maturity date, the
00:03:50
par is fixed as a
00:03:53
rule, it is thousands of rubles; the cost is
00:03:55
elastic because the bond is traded
00:03:57
on the stock exchange; it can either rise or
00:03:59
fall; the cost of payment is interest on the
00:04:02
bond, which is paid by the issuer
00:04:04
Michelin from the company or the state; in
00:04:05
other words, coupons historically; coupons
00:04:08
are a piece of the actual bond in
00:04:11
which it was torn off; bonds were
00:04:13
paper and it was a
00:04:15
big big piece of paper the fate was torn off
00:04:17
from the coupon the word was fixed over time the
00:04:19
maturity date the day when the company
00:04:22
repays the debt on the bond to the investor
00:04:24
is accrued for the last coupon has passed for the
00:04:26
bonds themselves in the portfolio actually
00:04:28
disappear the money is returned
00:04:30
depreciation is something that you should also know
00:04:32
and remember sometimes it happens that the
00:04:33
issuers give the face value not on the
00:04:35
maturity date, but constantly just in small
00:04:38
parts, the whole thing with a coupon can be
00:04:39
invested, but this is a rarer
00:04:40
story in most cases, and in fact
00:04:43
what will be discussed in this video, the
00:04:44
main income on bonds is coupons
00:04:46
if you bought the bond through what -that
00:04:49
time they decided to sell and the payment of the coupon has
00:04:50
not yet occurred; part of the accumulated coupons
00:04:53
will be paid to you by the investor who bought the fur coat.
00:04:54
I can call this payment the accumulated
00:04:57
coupon income. Now what kind of
00:05:00
bonds are there in terms of duration:
00:05:01
short-term, this is 13 years; medium-term,
00:05:04
37 years; long-term, from 7 to 30 in some
00:05:07
cases, companies can return the money
00:05:09
ahead of schedule, this is called an offer,
00:05:11
for example, 40 bonds are 4 years,
00:05:14
but the issuer decided that some investors
00:05:15
can return the face value of the bond
00:05:18
in a year. An important point: the pros and cons of
00:05:20
the bond, I recommend listening to this
00:05:22
segment of the video as carefully and
00:05:24
thoughtfully as possible, here I tried to
00:05:25
explain in simple words how to most how to
00:05:27
effectively make money on a bond, how
00:05:29
not to lose money on them, let’s start, of course,
00:05:31
with the pros, by the way, first of all,
00:05:34
you need to continue with the investment
00:05:36
strategy, is the bond exactly the right
00:05:37
instrument for you regarding
00:05:39
the strategy, I recorded a separate video,
00:05:41
the link to it is in the description, look at it, you haven’t
00:05:42
seen it, it’s a little philosophical, but
00:05:45
very useful, I think that especially for those
00:05:47
who have recently entered the market, it’s really worth
00:05:49
listening to it, and so plus, let’s start with
00:05:52
the good, plus it’s a fixed
00:05:53
income, the ability to initially, let’s say,
00:05:56
reserve a certain percentage
00:05:58
for a fairly large period of time
00:06:00
in advance, this is important, it’s suitable again for
00:06:03
those who don’t want take risks every time,
00:06:06
who does not want to trade and does not want to
00:06:10
think about some of the little things in
00:06:12
life, monitor the foundation of the company, do not
00:06:14
monitor any risks of payments,
00:06:18
not paying dividends, that’s all
00:06:20
I’m talking about in both phases, of course, with
00:06:24
devices a little bit the next
00:06:26
plus is liquidity; unlike a
00:06:28
bank deposit, you can always quickly
00:06:30
extract funds from bonds and, if
00:06:32
necessary, sell them on the stock exchange to other
00:06:34
participants; coupon income has been accumulated;
00:06:36
it will help you not to lose money between
00:06:38
coupon payments; this is a very important thing;
00:06:40
you can park money in bonds; I
00:06:42
just don’t worry. get in when you
00:06:44
need to buy riskier assets
00:06:47
now let's move on to the
00:06:49
minuses there are quite a lot of minuses in fact 1
00:06:53
minus is a large dependence of the key
00:06:55
rate there are serious sharpnesses you are
00:06:57
buying especially long [ __ ] to get
00:06:59
on what you bought at par or higher than
00:07:01
par over time their price will fall and you
00:07:04
will lose in profitability you will have to either
00:07:05
wait until maturity or wait until the
00:07:07
rate changes 2 risk is the lack of
00:07:10
liquidity this is also important to understand you
00:07:12
can buy some small
00:07:13
corporate bond for a conditional
00:07:16
million of 2 rubles and
00:07:18
withdraw money for a week and a half simply because it is in the
00:07:19
trading book no volumes no 3 risk
00:07:23
is to buy a bond that will have a
00:07:26
strong low income pluses also buy
00:07:29
it at a price above the face value and then you
00:07:31
simply and will not sell this money to anyone
00:07:33
you can also lose and the case is
00:07:35
also known this is actually not a
00:07:38
guarantee that is, if you want to
00:07:40
get your money one hundred percent, choose a
00:07:42
bank deposit, it’s the easiest way, but as
00:07:43
for me, bonds allow you to
00:07:46
earn much more, it’s not interesting. Now let’s
00:07:48
move directly to how to
00:07:50
choose bonds. The smart-lab website is in front of you. I’ll
00:07:53
leave a link to it in
00:07:55
the description. Here it’s convenient; you can
00:07:57
choose what you need you bond
00:07:59
sort by a number of parameters the first
00:08:02
item the first column let's see how
00:08:03
to sort now the tab about the
00:08:05
phase is open here at the top tab office
00:08:08
corporate municipal carry
00:08:11
federal Eurobonds and even worse the
00:08:13
rest look at the first deposit 1
00:08:16
respectively column this name
00:08:18
can be by number just enter the broker
00:08:21
this number and and you you will find
00:08:22
this bond without any problems, the maturity date is the date
00:08:25
when you return it, the
00:08:26
full cost is returned, this is the
00:08:28
bond, that is, the face value, how many years until
00:08:30
maturity, the yield of the bond at the moment
00:08:33
at the current market price, that is, it
00:08:35
can be higher for coupons,
00:08:39
the bond is traded at a discount, as a
00:08:41
rule, this occurs for long
00:08:43
bonds that were issued in previous
00:08:45
years when the key rate was lower,
00:08:47
they have a coupon yield of, for example, 57
00:08:49
percent and now there are not very
00:08:52
many corresponding discount trades,
00:08:54
it is important to understand the key moment, how the
00:08:57
price is generally formed at the moment there is a
00:08:59
key resignation around it, everything dances
00:09:01
accordingly if the bond the request was
00:09:03
issued with a coupon below the key
00:09:05
side, now trade with a
00:09:07
discount, if the bonds have a coupon higher than
00:09:09
the key, then it is traded accordingly
00:09:11
with a markup as the rule, bond prices are
00:09:13
pulled up plus or minus a single
00:09:15
value, that is, we now have a key I
00:09:18
hypothetically creeps just hypothetically
00:09:20
key conditionally 10 percent it’s
00:09:23
not 10 now, but this is for ease of calculation, that
00:09:25
is, we had bonds of five
00:09:27
percent, coupons for 15, they are all, but
00:09:29
adjust everything to the average number. By the way, on the
00:09:31
topic of the key rate, it is important to understand how to
00:09:35
choose a bond,
00:09:37
listen to this moment carefully if
00:09:40
you are in the future
00:09:41
you expect that the key rate will go down,
00:09:43
inflation will fall, then it is advisable to
00:09:47
take it and you are absolutely sure of this, I don’t know
00:09:50
why, here is the conclusion of such a cool economist,
00:09:51
they are sure it is advisable to take long
00:09:53
bonds, you can earn more on this
00:09:55
because long bonds are
00:09:57
more subject to fluctuations in their price c
00:09:59
more susceptible to fluctuations from
00:10:02
changes in the key rate, I generally see
00:10:04
progress in the economy, that is, you can
00:10:05
take it easier with repayment in
00:10:08
some kind of 2036, when there
00:10:10
will already be flying cars and people will be replaced by
00:10:12
robots and you assume that in a
00:10:16
certain period this time the
00:10:17
key rate will fall, it will fall will be, for
00:10:18
example, below eight percent below 7
00:10:21
percent you will earn on the difference not
00:10:23
because it will trade with a very
00:10:25
steep with a very steep markup because it is
00:10:28
stingy on its yield, this is an
00:10:30
important point if you think that the
00:10:32
key rate will continue to rise,
00:10:34
you need to invest in short-term
00:10:36
bonds because they are less dependent
00:10:38
on changes in the economy, short
00:10:40
bonds, then, accordingly, one two three
00:10:42
years maximum, preferably 12 years, and
00:10:44
actually sell them just as it goes,
00:10:47
repay until maturity, wait and
00:10:48
fix the yield as is, and if
00:10:51
inflation grows very strongly, if you
00:10:53
realize that there will be a risk a hard
00:10:55
increase in the key rate, then on
00:10:57
bonds there is a very big
00:10:58
opportunity to lose everything, as in this
00:11:01
case, I think it’s still worth returning to the
00:11:03
classics of the potro, but see my channel about
00:11:06
trading, today’s episode is an
00:11:07
exception, that’s why you want to troll,
00:11:09
watch the rest of the episodes, by the way, don’t
00:11:11
forget to subscribe to YouTube channel
00:11:12
I try to regularly release interesting
00:11:14
material I hope that everyone will like it
00:11:16
now let's move on and return to
00:11:19
the table yield at the
00:11:21
current price market and taking into account the coupon
00:11:25
this yield at redemption is the annual
00:11:27
coupon yield relative to the
00:11:28
par value that is, this is the fix
00:11:30
respectively the coupon yield
00:11:32
relative to the current price coupon
00:11:34
yield is a derived column par price
00:11:36
in percentage, the price
00:11:39
is calculated as a percentage, that is, the face value is
00:11:41
always thousands of rubles, the price of it as a
00:11:42
percentage is 2 per 900,912,912
00:11:47
rubles,
00:11:48
900,940 rubles, so on and so forth and so on, the
00:11:50
trading volume is preferably when it is, of course,
00:11:52
larger, if you enter for a large
00:11:54
amount, this is the optimal size coupon
00:11:56
frequency of issue panova phase stably
00:11:58
bought twice, it’s rarely less
00:12:00
accumulated coupon income, this is what
00:12:02
I was talking about, this difference is
00:12:03
ideally, of course, desirable to buy
00:12:06
in public when they have less NKD, that is,
00:12:09
their coupon was paid again and says
00:12:11
the word, that is, you wrote in the comments
00:12:13
they asked her to speak, I try to
00:12:14
throw it out, but it doesn’t always work
00:12:15
out, please forgive me, working
00:12:18
on myself, friends vomiting, in general, the
00:12:20
accumulated coupon income, the lower it is,
00:12:22
the better it is to buy bonds, so it
00:12:24
turns out that it’s a few centuries of days before the next
00:12:26
coupon and the duration regarding the walkie-talkie
00:12:27
I’ll tell you separately a little later The
00:12:29
walkie-talkie has a convexity, the concept of derivatives, this is
00:12:31
already complex mathematics, I’ll tell you a little
00:12:34
later, briefly how to choose, you can
00:12:36
sort by profitability, here we see
00:12:39
that we have a repayment yield of 80
00:12:40
half, this is just at the key level,
00:12:43
but this is quite a long [ __ ],
00:12:45
you should be careful with them, as I have already said above
00:12:47
noted if you are looking for these that the
00:12:49
key profitability will be further on, or rather, it
00:12:51
will only grow further brothers, it’s not worth it that
00:12:54
I personally think that other rates will
00:12:55
most likely see 99 half 10, I
00:12:58
very much doubt it, unless
00:13:00
some kind of global collapse occurs, then
00:13:02
most likely we will go down for
00:13:04
some time just a runner, so
00:13:05
let's go down, I don't think there will be a
00:13:07
strong increase in the key, but we
00:13:09
can't know this in advance, so major is
00:13:11
my opinion now, this is important, by the way, the
00:13:14
video is also a must, if you
00:13:16
got worse there, don't listen, go back to
00:13:18
the video, listen to the important point how to
00:13:20
compile a portfolio of bonds, it
00:13:22
is advisable to compile them in a portfolio for
00:13:25
breg tions, divide it into long and
00:13:26
short ones,
00:13:27
now in the current economic situation,
00:13:30
in my opinion, it is better to still give
00:13:33
preference to short ones, this invitation is
00:13:34
20-22 fourth year and average and
00:13:37
percent per thousand percent ratio
00:13:40
70 3070 in favor of the short average 30 in
00:13:42
favor of the long rest gain a dollar
00:13:45
further if our rate goes
00:13:47
up again and the price of torpedoes changes accordingly
00:13:50
at the auction there will be some maybe
00:13:52
other issues so on and on and
00:13:54
on we don’t know what will happen there
00:13:55
after a certain amount of time
00:13:57
then you can simply average and
00:13:59
if you think that now you are at the
00:14:02
key peak, I’ll tell you right away, friends, you will
00:14:04
never guess when the peak from
00:14:06
the top is located, you can be wrong a hundred times even
00:14:08
if you are one hundred percent sure, so
00:14:10
here, like with all other investments,
00:14:12
you need to average and then you need will
00:14:14
average these bonds, add more
00:14:16
long ones when the rate reaches its maximum,
00:14:18
and after that the portfolio
00:14:21
will be balanced and again an
00:14:24
important point is how to understand where
00:14:26
the bottom is in front of you, the bridge index on the
00:14:29
government bond exchange is a very important tool,
00:14:32
by the way, they don’t talk much about this Yandex in
00:14:35
other training videos on
00:14:37
Before recording this, I looked at youtube
00:14:39
in general to see what my colleagues are talking about, but
00:14:41
unfortunately they rarely mention this weight,
00:14:43
very in vain this is an extremely important point,
00:14:45
so the index you can estimate the
00:14:47
average temperature in the hospital I
00:14:51
paid quite a lot of attention to your index in the global review 2022 if you haven’t watched it,
00:14:54
take a look In general, I
00:14:56
remind you once again that I recommend subscribing to the
00:14:57
YouTube channel so as not to miss
00:14:59
useful important videos, this index is the
00:15:02
average temperature in the hospital, it
00:15:03
reflects the current value of bonds of
00:15:07
relative denomination, so we
00:15:10
can conclude that when we had a
00:15:12
corresponding failure in 14-15 and the
00:15:15
active rifling was running and The
00:15:18
government debt market didn’t seem very attractive to them,
00:15:20
logically they were afraid that something
00:15:23
terrible would happen next, they didn’t
00:15:25
understand what was happening, but in
00:15:27
general they guys are so tense, you
00:15:28
remember that they were recently defeated by our
00:15:30
market, I made a separate video about this, I
00:15:32
also take it from there they ran rifling nothing
00:15:34
savings then from bought rifling they were
00:15:36
forced to buy later but they
00:15:38
will have to buy the stream later they will want it more expensive
00:15:39
my opinion is that we, after all, as
00:15:42
people who are able to see the situations
00:15:45
inside, we should understand more about
00:15:47
our market and not succumb to some kind of
00:15:49
panic history in general, don’t
00:15:53
panic at all in investing in trading,
00:15:54
panic is a direct path to draining the deep
00:15:56
budget and a direct path to liquidation, so
00:16:01
those who were not afraid then and assessed
00:16:03
the situation soberly were able to buy good,
00:16:06
wonderful obliques at prices much
00:16:09
lower than the face value, much lower after
00:16:11
that the period began reduction of the key
00:16:13
rate and for songs not and the key
00:16:15
rate, the cost relative to the nominal value
00:16:17
has increased to quite high values;
00:16:20
this is
00:16:22
the yield in general, or rather the curve, and there is
00:16:24
no need to actually consider it from the point
00:16:26
of view of technical analysis; here, in general,
00:16:27
technical analysis never works; this is the
00:16:28
average temperature in the hospital and
00:16:31
this you need to use tools
00:16:32
just to understand the sentiments of the
00:16:34
market to understand how now,
00:16:37
including precisely the cuts and quite a
00:16:38
large number in our bonds,
00:16:40
they evaluate our market, how they evaluate
00:16:44
it as profitable or as not very
00:16:46
profitable, they flee from it or the bloat is carrying
00:16:48
money. a very important point and
00:16:51
in the current situation, one gets
00:16:53
the impression that now the market has been attractive to you for a long time,
00:16:55
taking into account the key rate, taking into
00:16:57
account accelerated inflation, taking into account the
00:16:59
generally rather risky situation
00:17:02
on the
00:17:03
stock market, now the market looks government debt
00:17:06
is interesting in general, the debt market is a cool
00:17:08
thing and I won’t take pictures yet next
00:17:11
video, but now we have a short tutorial,
00:17:13
perhaps we will try to catch another
00:17:16
bottom if the rate still starts to rise, but I don’t
00:17:18
think that some strong hard drive will be very direct,
00:17:20
it is also now
00:17:21
seeing purchases, we are now seeing
00:17:23
that for many top liquid flash drives
00:17:28
we for many top carp there are large
00:17:30
volumes of purchases the market is laying down the
00:17:32
expectation of a small increase and a strong
00:17:35
freebie most likely they won’t give us, but
00:17:38
again we don’t know what kind of
00:17:40
sanctions there will be and what the politics will be like
00:17:42
in terms of politics in general, it’s difficult to guess, it
00:17:43
all depends very much on this too and
00:17:45
this is a big risk factor, so you
00:17:47
definitely need to pledge your portfolio, both
00:17:50
short and long, and dilute it with
00:17:52
shares and have a currency basket, and then
00:17:55
maybe it will be possible to raise
00:17:58
money normally, they just drain it, we go
00:18:02
back to the choice of bonds and so at the
00:18:03
moment, which ones do you like, let’s
00:18:05
see the short ones let's start with the short ones, I
00:18:08
can immediately sort the long
00:18:11
by the short, in fact, everything is simple
00:18:15
26,220 looks interesting, trades at
00:18:17
approximately par value, good coupon
00:18:20
yield and
00:18:22
redemption in a year, this is us, but even
00:18:25
less than a year later, the video
00:18:26
was recorded in January, in fact, it’s quite
00:18:30
good vomit is worth not paying
00:18:33
attention to
00:18:35
26 209 is also quite interesting good
00:18:38
note by the way ladies a huge
00:18:40
trading volume many buy short forms
00:18:42
many sell at such the closer the redemption in general
00:18:44
the greater the volume and this is
00:18:47
stable and the rule what else is
00:18:49
interesting from the interesting 21 22 1520
00:18:53
215 in principle yes, it’s not bad, it’s
00:18:55
trading with a discount of
00:18:58
26,223 already far from this two fourth
00:19:02
year here, I would start to slowly
00:19:04
dilute it with long ones, I have long ones,
00:19:08
in fact, there are several already lying around, I
00:19:10
have long ones lying around
00:19:12
26 26
00:19:14
just a discount goes on it, a good
00:19:16
coupon if you buy a long attention
00:19:19
stubbornly coupon in long ones the higher the coupon the
00:19:22
better in short ones it’s not so important
00:19:24
because in short important ones buy exactly below the
00:19:26
par value in order to make money on the difference when
00:19:29
redeeming which by the way you will also
00:19:31
pay tax so pay attention to this
00:19:34
we use the sign here everything is fine
00:19:37
Of course, we focus on the size of the discount,
00:19:39
for example 26,236, it has a coupon by
00:19:44
today’s standards, a garage and but it is
00:19:46
trading very cheaply with a discount, but
00:19:48
it takes a very long time to redeem, I wouldn’t
00:19:51
buy it, that is, there was some kind of
00:19:53
bond with a maturity in the twenty-
00:19:54
fourth year with such I would say discount, and
00:19:55
of course I would say skaly because it’s a cool
00:19:57
opportunity to make money on the difference, but for
00:20:00
example, already with a coupon of 795, yes with a coupon of
00:20:05
795 it’s already quite interesting to give,
00:20:07
sort by doctor’s coupon and 218 sram, an
00:20:10
interesting option at the moment, it’s
00:20:12
trading a little bit above the par value,
00:20:13
notice the market already laid down the risks, that is, the
00:20:15
wife of the market most likely expects that there
00:20:17
will not be a strong increase in the rate and is
00:20:19
proactively buying back bonds with a good
00:20:22
coupon because this is an option
00:20:23
to fix the yield for a long
00:20:25
period of time,
00:20:27
then watch for yourself, let’s not
00:20:30
delay the video, now let’s
00:20:31
watch corporate by corporate,
00:20:33
I’m not at all I can definitely say
00:20:36
which ones to buy here, there are a lot of them; for
00:20:40
corporate accounts, 60 make up a
00:20:41
large large basket, buy at least
00:20:43
20; I prefer 3030 different ones in order to
00:20:46
distribute your risks because you
00:20:47
see that there is perfection here, the
00:20:49
returns that have been going on, there are absolutely crazy
00:20:52
coupons, and they are sorted by coupons here
00:20:55
huge coupons, from my memory, now one of the
00:20:57
closest ones would be in Russia, one of the
00:20:59
biggest coupons there is not a coupon there,
00:21:02
our discount is there, bargain there is a big lie
00:21:04
and very profitable at the top, high
00:21:06
profitability for a small subcontractor of
00:21:10
construction, decent profitability is coming,
00:21:12
but I repeat, these are big risks to
00:21:14
buy, you need to buy so that 2030 immediately and no
00:21:18
more than thirty percent of the total
00:21:20
wealth in the portfolio division of
00:21:21
the portfolio of bonds, conditionally you have 100
00:21:24
thousand rubles, these 100,000 should preferably be
00:21:26
divided as follows: 30,000 you
00:21:28
send to carp and buy for
00:21:29
conditionally, hypothetically, thousands of rubles, so
00:21:32
3,030 bonds, giving rubles for each
00:21:34
70,000 to allocate more accordingly, two
00:21:36
parts of which you give roughly 50
00:21:39
now for short-term and 20 give for
00:21:42
long-term in the league later and the situation
00:21:44
will change and it will be possible to support
00:21:46
the opportunity to buy long-term cheaper
00:21:48
you buy them together, it’s important
00:21:50
to understand there are also municipal
00:21:51
municipal ones in general I don’t have the name of tarot guru
00:21:53
in my portfolio and
00:21:55
as if, if you want, you can add
00:21:58
the yield on them is a little higher than that of
00:22:00
flash drives, but the risk is also a little more than
00:22:02
Eurobonds, Eurobonds are the same
00:22:04
eggs only in profile, this is a bond
00:22:06
in general, Eurobonds are not necessarily
00:22:08
traded in euros, this is any bond
00:22:10
traded in a currency different from the
00:22:13
national one for companies conventionally, we
00:22:15
take Gazprom Gazprom the national
00:22:17
currency is the ruble in Gazprom it issues a
00:22:18
bond in dollars and its name
00:22:20
is poured on copied Eurobonds
00:22:22
about the phase go under the ticker rus rus of this
00:22:25
phase well, accordingly, then it is already
00:22:27
clear to the pipe who Lukoil is, there is
00:22:30
Gazprom and there are ways in dollars
00:22:34
and a coward so they are trading at a very
00:22:38
inflated denomination
00:22:40
of Eurobonds without getting into my hands, I’m
00:22:42
happy with ruble bonds, dollars, I
00:22:44
park in shares in dollars, I trade, you
00:22:47
know that my main focus on
00:22:49
trading is short-term lines,
00:22:52
including the dollar history div, I’d rather
00:22:54
park in whales some kind of de-freeze
00:22:56
machines for 20 works for 23
00:22:58
Eurobonds I don’t buy these are the main
00:23:02
things that I wanted to tell you in this
00:23:04
video, now let’s move on to additional
00:23:07
points
00:23:09
additional points, while
00:23:11
duration is very important, there is such a concept, it is also
00:23:15
available in sorting
00:23:17
columns on the smartlab operations, by
00:23:20
and large, this is such a
00:23:22
synthetic thing, I don’t even know how to
00:23:24
explain in simple words something like the
00:23:26
effect of the effective price effect,
00:23:29
elasticity in essence of bond prices in a
00:23:32
stretched out over time it is
00:23:33
necessary in the wilderness even without fasting what it is
00:23:36
explain what is needed it is needed for
00:23:38
measuring risks in percentages and for the so-
00:23:40
called portfolio reduction to
00:23:42
compile the most correct
00:23:44
percentage of assets, it estimates the
00:23:46
average
00:23:48
payback extended over the period of
00:23:51
time until maturity or before sale, as a
00:23:54
rule, duration is assessed most
00:23:58
thoughtfully by those who invest hundreds
00:24:00
of millions, if you are an investor and you have
00:24:02
less capital there, there is no I know 20 30
00:24:05
million, probably you will need the duration purely for
00:24:07
general development, you shouldn’t
00:24:09
bother too much, in short,
00:24:11
in general, in short, a
00:24:14
reduction in interest rates is expected here, the investor
00:24:17
needs to increase the duration of the portfolio, if
00:24:18
growth is expected, then we should reduce the freaks of
00:24:21
the portfolio, if you have no understanding of the
00:24:23
interest rate code at all, they’ll go then you just
00:24:25
need to distribute it so that it is
00:24:26
approximately equal to the investment period of the walkie-talkie,
00:24:28
it includes depreciation coupons
00:24:31
and a bunch, a bunch of all sorts of parameters, there is a
00:24:34
huge huge formula according to it, it is
00:24:37
calculated so that the federation does
00:24:40
n’t recommend bothering too much, but
00:24:44
it’s worth fooling around with optimizing taxes
00:24:46
oblique it is more profitable to take on an individual
00:24:48
style account, well, if you didn’t take
00:24:50
from, then we go back to the point
00:24:53
first and buy in the league so
00:24:55
that we can sell them at a higher price, that is, we
00:24:56
distribute them into short and long and
00:24:58
long we try to hook on the
00:25:01
maximum and interest rates
00:25:03
so that it is worth thinking about this
00:25:07
regarding bond trading, do not
00:25:09
use technical analysis, it does not work there at all,
00:25:11
from the words at all, in
00:25:13
bond trading only
00:25:14
macroeconomics works and market expectations work,
00:25:17
the rider tells them that the market lays
00:25:19
expectations first of all, then it
00:25:21
puts
00:25:23
all the
00:25:24
main things into reality accordingly regarding the bond, as
00:25:27
it seems to me, in this video I voiced from
00:25:29
this video I liked it, don’t forget to like,
00:25:30
leave comments, if you have
00:25:32
any doubts and think that
00:25:35
I’ve spoken nonsense somewhere, subscribe
00:25:37
to this channel and bye everyone

Description:

Стратегия выбора облигации в 2022. Надеюсь, что после просмотра этого видео вы сможете "подружиться" с долговым рынком и научитесь правильно выбирать облигации. Если есть вопросы/замечания, пишите в комментариях:) Не поленитесь, досмотрите до конца, разобрал все самые основные моменты, касающиеся работы на долговом рынке. Рассказал о том, как выбрать облигации ОФЗ, как выбрать корпоративные облигации, что такое евробонды, как выбрать наилучший купонный доход и как правильно инвестировать в облигации. Выбор ОФЗ: https://smart-lab.ru/q/ofz/ ______________ ✔️Мой Телеграм-канал, подписывайтесь - https://t.me/joinchat/lTwimgeg6TIwZGVi ______________ 0:00 - Вступление 0:33 - Основная теория, базовые понятия 1:10 - Виды облигаций, их плюсы и минусы 2:32 - Риски инвестирования в облигации 3:40 - Номинал, купон, погашение, НКД и другие важны моменты 5:20 - Критерии выбора облигаций. Стратегии. Плюсы и минусы. 14:29 - Индекс облигаций, как с ним работать 18:00 - Обзор интересных ОФЗ 20:29 - Корпоративные облигации 22:03 - Еврооблигации 23:15 - Дюрация 24:50 - Налоги, выводы и послесловие ______________ 🔸Еще видео, которые могли бы быть Вам интересны. Итоги 2021 + мысли по всем рынкам, на 2022: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RC9HyW2Wkjo Обзор рынка США, на 2022 год: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fjTe7NWVKKc Как не слить депозит, мощное видео: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wtYzrgeML30 Полный разбор S&P500, обучающее видео: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1mLDIyh5XmA&t=104s Как правильно выкупать коррекции: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuNtnllb3YU&t=0s ______________ 👍Напоминаю о том, что все сказанное -- личное мнение автора и не является инвестиционной рекомендацией. ______________

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